Atlantic Division Win Totals の全文書き起こし

translation is that they couldn't finish, they couldn't they couldn't space, and guess what? 00:06:48.319 --> 00:06:50.079 More changes happened. 00:06:51.120 --> 00:06:58.800 Like Nick Claxton getting out of town, and Jay Dayron Sharp is going to be the center. 00:06:59.199 --> 00:06:59.680 Now D. 00:06:59.839 --> 00:07:03.120 Ron Sharp is getting a uh just a perennial backup. 00:07:03.279 --> 00:07:09.439 Uh he is a plus 0.4 per 100 possessions with him on the floor. 00:07:09.600 --> 00:07:11.920 Without him, they are negative nine. 00:07:12.800 --> 00:07:15.279 So hopefully this will help. 00:07:15.839 --> 00:07:23.680 Now, they also have the first the five first-round draft picks from last year, and I want to get into this a little bit. 00:07:23.920 --> 00:07:36.240 So they have Drake Powell, who his box plus minus was negative six, Nolan Treori, the kid from France last year, he had a box plus minus of negative six point eight. 00:07:36.560 --> 00:07:44.079 Ben Saraph, who I think is gonna end up being a player somehow, some way in this league. 00:07:44.319 --> 00:07:58.560 He had a box plus minus of negative 7.3, and Danny Wolf, who is the seven-footer who can pass the ball, or supposedly pass the ball, he had a negative 2.5. 00:07:59.279 --> 00:08:04.399 Only Egar Dem uh how they say it, Eggard Demon. 00:08:04.800 --> 00:08:07.439 I'm gonna butcher that name for a while. 00:08:07.600 --> 00:08:10.319 I need to get the pronunciation correct. 00:08:10.639 --> 00:08:21.120 But he had a negative 1.6, uh, he got all rookie votes, so he was the shining light of the five first-round draft picks they had. 00:08:21.680 --> 00:08:23.439 And let me tell you something. 00:08:23.680 --> 00:08:32.320 If this guy is the one guy that turns out to be a player, that's a bad draft. 00:08:32.720 --> 00:08:41.360 You know, I'm hoping that Drake Powell, Nolan Treori, or Ben Sarah really kick off something. 00:08:41.519 --> 00:09:01.600 I think Danny Wolf will actually end up being a backup big somehow that can uh stretch the floor a little bit, but they need to get something out of these uh five players if they're gonna make any sort of run towards a better record than they had last year. 00:09:01.919 --> 00:09:08.960 We already talked about that Nick Claxton's gone, so with him is his 11.7 points and his 6.9 rebounds. 00:09:09.039 --> 00:09:23.360 They're now in Chicago, and the Nets draft class being as terrible as it was might have a lot to do with the next guy we're gonna talk about, which is Michael Porter Jr. 00:09:23.919 --> 00:09:25.440 Michael Porter Jr. 00:09:25.679 --> 00:09:29.759 last year scored about 24.2 points a game. 00:09:30.000 --> 00:09:34.159 Now his usage went from 20.2% to 30.5%. 00:09:35.440 --> 00:09:51.919 As we told you last year, remember there was uh they had Thomas and they had Porter, and I was like, Porter is now free from Denver, so he's gonna take a lot of shots, and he did do so. 00:09:52.159 --> 00:09:55.519 My man was out here shooting for sure, for sure. 00:09:55.679 --> 00:10:08.879 His true shooters percentage slipped from uh 61.7% to 59.5, so not a bad dip for somebody who was handling the ball and shooting the ball a lot. 00:10:09.120 --> 00:10:16.080 His assist rate doubled though, it went from 8.7% to 18.2%, which is great. 00:10:16.399 --> 00:10:21.679 Now, he only had 9% of his threes that were absolutely wide open. 00:10:21.840 --> 00:10:30.559 I know that was a culture shock for him being on a team with Jokic, Murray, and Gordon for as many years as he was. 00:10:30.799 --> 00:10:34.960 To see that situation happen to him must have been just eye-opening. 00:10:35.039 --> 00:10:38.559 It was like, oh yeah, you're the first dude on the whiteboard now, Mr. 00:10:38.720 --> 00:10:39.600 Porter Jr. 00:10:40.159 --> 00:10:41.519 Just so you know. 00:10:42.159 --> 00:10:46.320 Now that might change with the little help that he got, and we'll get to that guy in a second. 00:10:46.480 --> 00:10:49.840 But Michael Porter Jr., be careful for what you asked for. 00:10:50.080 --> 00:10:52.559 You wanted the ball, you wanted more shots. 00:10:52.720 --> 00:10:53.840 Guess what, my man? 00:10:54.080 --> 00:10:56.159 You got all the shots you want. 00:10:56.480 --> 00:11:01.039 But what comes with that is a lot of attention from the other team. 00:11:01.519 --> 00:11:08.000 A scout that I talked to, um, this is in the from the Southeast, you see, he said he studied him for years. 00:11:08.240 --> 00:11:14.559 The question isn't whether Porter can score, it's whether Brooklyn can get him to get a clean look. 00:11:14.720 --> 00:11:20.240 And obviously that had a lot to do with the five the five first-round draft choices that they had last year. 00:11:20.559 --> 00:11:25.360 None of those guys really popped off, which was a tough scene. 00:11:25.759 --> 00:11:31.039 So if you don't have Cam Thomas and listen, Cam Thomas wasn't gonna pass to Michael Porter Jr. 00:11:31.360 --> 00:11:35.679 unless it was like a last second shot, and he didn't have a good look at it. 00:11:35.919 --> 00:11:38.399 Those two were just battling for shots. 00:11:38.639 --> 00:11:46.399 Now, Denver Porter was a Audi, and Brooklyn Porter was an inny, so that's a severance take. 00:11:48.879 --> 00:11:51.759 Let's check his availability for the last four years. 00:11:51.840 --> 00:11:59.919 Here's the thing it's gone up 52, 62, 81, 77 over the last four years. 00:12:00.720 --> 00:12:02.639 Our guy Julius Randle. 00:12:02.879 --> 00:12:11.279 Now, Julius Randle returns to New York not as a conquering hero, because he's on the other side of the bridge. 00:12:11.519 --> 00:12:14.639 He's in Brooklyn, he's not with the Knicks. 00:12:14.879 --> 00:12:24.320 Now, what he brings with him is his 21.1 points a game, his almost seven rebounds, his five assists, and this dude posts. 00:12:24.879 --> 00:12:31.200 And what I mean by that is that he comes to play, he played in 79 games in Minnesota last year.

00:12:31.360 --> 00:12:39.200 His true shooting percentage was uh 58.5%, and he had a box plus minus of positive 1.5. 00:12:39.919 --> 00:12:41.759 Now the decline is real. 00:12:42.159 --> 00:13:01.120 The rebound rate has gone from 15.4% to 11.2% since his all-star appearance in 2023, 2022-2023 season, his three-point shot, uh, is down to thirty-one point five percent on four and a half tries. 00:13:01.360 --> 00:13:24.080 Now, I'm not here to shit on Julius Randle because there was also some things in uh in Minnesota that weren't as good either, but he was the second guy to Anthony Edwards, and being that second guy to Anthony Edwards was had an important role. 00:13:24.240 --> 00:13:43.120 So you might have lost some things in some of the stats as far as that's concerned, but you pres you with your almost 22 points a game, and being playing effective defense, um, and providing a outlet for Anthony Edwards was crucial. 00:13:43.200 --> 00:14:04.720 Now, some of those shots weren't as good as maybe they could have been with like a more diverse team as far as ball handling is concerned, and being able to find you in the right spots, but you handled your business well, and like I said, your true shooting percentage went from like 61.7 to 58.5, not bad. 00:14:05.120 --> 00:14:10.320 Now, he was uh fourth and assist on threes over the last seven years. 00:14:10.399 --> 00:14:16.000 Only Jokic and Giannis Anta Tacumpo and Luka Doncic are ahead of him. 00:14:16.639 --> 00:14:18.240 That's a good stat to know. 00:14:18.399 --> 00:14:26.000 Now, if Brooklyn can shoot some threes this year, which and uh listen, this is outside of Michael Porter Jr. 00:14:26.240 --> 00:14:29.600 We know he can shoot some threes, he's a dead eye shooter. 00:14:29.840 --> 00:14:32.080 We're talking about the other dudes. 00:14:32.720 --> 00:14:34.720 Okay, the other dudes. 00:14:36.080 --> 00:14:39.919 So I think he and uh Michael Porter Jr. 00:14:40.080 --> 00:14:54.399 will make a good tandem and kind of be the they'll be the basically the buoy in the water that will keep Brooklyn afloat and keep them somewhat competitive in these games. 00:14:55.279 --> 00:15:11.039 Now his playoff games that's another thing to talk about, and the reason why we bring it up is this Do we do we believe that Julius Randle is in Brooklyn for the long haul? 00:15:11.279 --> 00:15:17.039 Or is he just there until the early part of February, late part of January? 00:15:18.000 --> 00:15:19.759 It's a question to ask. 00:15:20.080 --> 00:15:30.240 Cause here's the numbers in the playoffs 12 playoff games, PER 10.6, not great, true shooting percentage 47.9. 00:15:30.799 --> 00:15:35.039 Small sample size, but it was the last thing we saw. 00:15:35.759 --> 00:15:38.320 He turns 32 November 29th. 00:15:38.480 --> 00:15:44.240 That also tells you why I'm thinking what I'm thinking when it comes to Julius Randle. 00:15:45.679 --> 00:15:57.360 I think what you're gonna see is that he's gonna be the facilitator that Porter needed last year that he they did not get from one of the first with the five first-round draft picks that they had. 00:15:57.840 --> 00:16:02.159 Um, you got two high usage forage and no rim protection. 00:16:02.399 --> 00:16:07.519 That does not go well for their outcome as far as what they're gonna look like this year. 00:16:07.840 --> 00:16:12.879 Keep your passers close and your shooters closer, man, because these dudes gonna get up shots. 00:16:13.759 --> 00:16:17.840 Now, the rim protection falls to Dayron Sharp. 00:16:18.159 --> 00:16:26.240 Now, we will see how this works, but in 18.7 minutes, his PER was 20.5. 00:16:26.639 --> 00:16:29.919 He had a true shooting percentage of 63.8. 00:16:30.399 --> 00:16:36.559 Now, per 36 minutes, he averaged 16.7 points a game and 12.9 rebounds. 00:16:36.639 --> 00:16:38.879 That's crazy production. 00:16:39.039 --> 00:16:45.759 That's our math, that's us getting in, you know, we get into the crates, man, over here at FRPC. 00:16:46.159 --> 00:16:55.759 The only one of five players to hit 15, 12, and 36 uh in thir per 36 in each of his last three seasons. 00:16:56.240 --> 00:17:02.159 Now, some of the warts on Day Ron Sharp, he has a 20% turnover rate. 00:17:02.399 --> 00:17:10.960 He's only 67.8 from the free throw line, and his block rate went from 4.6 to 2.1. 00:17:11.279 --> 00:17:15.839 He only had seven starts last year, so this is gonna be a whole new world for our guy. 00:17:16.079 --> 00:17:17.839 So we'll see how it all goes. 00:17:18.000 --> 00:17:25.599 And with Claxton gone, you know, it's him and Danny Wolf that are manning the uh rim. 00:17:26.000 --> 00:17:27.920 Good luck to Brooklyn. 00:17:28.480 --> 00:17:31.359 Listen, it's gonna be a slow build in Brooklyn. 00:17:31.440 --> 00:17:33.279 It's gonna be a slow build. 00:17:34.000 --> 00:17:40.079 Analytics director from another team said this it's the easiest raise on that roster, sharp's minutes. 00:17:40.319 --> 00:17:44.559 Sharp is the only net with a with a positive on-off. 00:17:44.720 --> 00:17:46.880 Naturally, he starts seven games. 00:17:47.680 --> 00:17:52.240 So they kind of like the his ability. 00:17:52.480 --> 00:17:58.079 They think that you know, with giving more minutes, his productivity will go up. 00:17:58.240 --> 00:18:01.599 I am I am dubious on that. 00:18:01.759 --> 00:18:03.519 I'm not saying that it won't go up. 00:18:03.680 --> 00:18:11.920 I don't know if the efficiency will actually stay the same with more minutes because you're gonna have a expanded role, my guy. 00:18:12.240 --> 00:18:17.359 You're gonna be the lone rim protector, you're definitely gonna be the rebounder. 00:18:17.839 --> 00:18:26.240 Um now Julius will help you with that, and maybe them as a tandem being like a bruiser when it comes to that will be helpful. 00:18:26.480 --> 00:18:34.720 Now, another guy who will help them, it's kind of funny that they ended up with another guard, is Mikhail Brown Jr.

00:18:34.960 --> 00:18:42.000 Hey, if you fail one year in the lottery, God dogged it, pick some more. 00:18:42.480 --> 00:18:50.400 If you can't get a bucket from the five guys that you got last year, go out and draft another one. 00:18:50.640 --> 00:18:52.079 And Mikhail Brown Jr. 00:18:52.240 --> 00:18:58.160 comes from Louisville, he was the sixth overall pick in the 2026 uh NBA draft. 00:18:58.319 --> 00:19:07.200 He is 6'5, he averaged 18.2 points a game, he had 3.3 rebounds and almost five assists at 4.7. 00:19:07.519 --> 00:19:11.599 Now he only played in 21 games because he had an injury. 00:19:11.759 --> 00:19:14.160 Now the numbers will not look great. 00:19:14.319 --> 00:19:23.200 Okay, he only shot 41% from the field, he shot 34.4% from three, but here's the saving grace. 00:19:23.440 --> 00:19:27.279 He shot 84.4% from the free throw line. 00:19:27.440 --> 00:19:35.920 So that tells me right now that that 34% might have a lot to do with the injury situation and not with that man's touch. 00:19:36.079 --> 00:19:38.400 He shoots 84% from the free throw line. 00:19:38.480 --> 00:19:39.920 So I'm good there. 00:19:40.160 --> 00:19:57.279 Now, do through December 13th, this was his numbers 16.6 points a game on 38% shooting, 27% from the three-point line, and 84% from the free throw line. 00:19:57.440 --> 00:19:59.440 Now he missed eight games. 00:19:59.920 --> 00:20:05.119 Check this out from January 24th to February 23rd. 00:20:05.359 --> 00:20:09.839 This is what he put up, and I think this is more indicative of who he is. 00:20:10.559 --> 00:20:16.319 21.1 points a game on 45% shooting overall. 00:20:16.880 --> 00:20:18.079 Check this out. 00:20:18.480 --> 00:20:25.200 43% from three-point land and 85% from free throw line. 00:20:25.599 --> 00:20:32.640 He had a 45-point game against NC State, where he went 10 of 16 from the land of three. 00:20:33.119 --> 00:20:34.880 He re-heard his back late. 00:20:34.960 --> 00:20:39.519 He missed the ACC and the um March Madness tournament. 00:20:40.240 --> 00:20:41.359 I love this kid. 00:20:41.440 --> 00:20:43.359 I think this kid is going to be good. 00:20:43.440 --> 00:20:45.200 It's just the injury bug. 00:20:45.440 --> 00:20:48.319 His playmaking was uh outstanding. 00:20:48.559 --> 00:21:01.759 He was uh he had a 30.3 assist rate, which was fourth among freshmen in the NCAA last year, and he had a box plus minus of positive five. 00:21:02.000 --> 00:21:04.000 Just telling you, I love this kid. 00:21:04.559 --> 00:21:13.200 One scout who's tracking this class head, he's a he's a creator who's better making his own shot than catching and shooting. 00:21:13.359 --> 00:21:25.039 So my man likes to get into his dribble package, he likes to do his James Harden Um clone type situation and go ahead and really get into his back. 00:21:26.000 --> 00:21:30.000 Now, the buggable is the injury. 00:21:30.160 --> 00:21:32.799 Is this a is this a lingering situation? 00:21:33.039 --> 00:21:37.759 Is this

something that we're gonna have to deal with on a year-to-year basis? 00:21:38.079 --> 00:21:42.880 Now he's thin, he's 190 pounds, so he should fill out a little bit more. 00:21:43.200 --> 00:21:47.119 But 190 is not that terrible at 6'5. 00:21:47.440 --> 00:21:59.759 I mean, yeah, you would love for him to be like Brandon uh or Braden Burries from uh Milwaukee, where that dude was six foot four and like 210 pounds, that'd be great, but he's not that. 00:22:00.319 --> 00:22:03.279 So he's gonna have to put on weight in Brooklyn. 00:22:03.519 --> 00:22:05.519 We will see how that works out. 00:22:05.759 --> 00:22:17.680 Now his um efficiency should get better because his shot selection should get better because he will be playing with Julius Randle and Michael Porter Jr. 00:22:18.000 --> 00:22:22.880 Those three guys are gonna be pretty much the hope to space the floor out. 00:22:23.119 --> 00:22:33.279 Now, Dayron Sharp is not the guy that is going to post up and you know say, okay, hey, get me the ball in the low post. 00:22:33.759 --> 00:22:35.119 I'm gonna go ahead and work. 00:22:35.279 --> 00:22:36.880 That is not his situation. 00:22:38.000 --> 00:22:39.599 Screen and roll, my guy. 00:22:39.680 --> 00:22:40.960 That's your deal. 00:22:41.599 --> 00:22:57.680 What we're hoping to see is either Igor Demon or Nolan Treori or Ben Seraph come to the forefront and help one of these guys out. 00:22:58.640 --> 00:22:59.519 You know what I'm saying? 00:22:59.680 --> 00:23:00.720 You need more help. 00:23:00.799 --> 00:23:07.920 One of those couple of those guys need to hit from that draft class of 2025, and that's all there is to it. 00:23:08.079 --> 00:23:11.440 But Mikel Brown Jr., Michael Porter Jr. 00:23:11.599 --> 00:23:21.200 and Julius Randle as far as spacing and uh offensive creation should kind of anchor that team. 00:23:21.759 --> 00:23:40.880 Now, the keys for them to go over this year, over their total, Porter plays 70 plus game, sharp plays more than 26 minutes a game, and Randall turns quarters 9% wide open rate into something more respectable and real. 00:23:41.920 --> 00:23:44.559 Now, why they don't go over? 00:23:44.880 --> 00:23:58.559 You got two high usage forwards, no real protection, you have six young players that had a box plus minus of anywhere from negative one point six to negative seven point three. 00:24:00.000 --> 00:24:02.160 Is Mikel Brown Jr. 00:24:02.720 --> 00:24:05.440 going to be an effective guard right off the bat? 00:24:05.680 --> 00:24:08.880 Usually the history tells us no, right? 00:24:08.960 --> 00:24:11.359 It tells us that it doesn't happen that way. 00:24:13.039 --> 00:24:19.599 Sharks minutes are are there, but do they amount to anything? 00:24:20.319 --> 00:24:22.880 I think the focus for the fans is this. 00:24:23.759 --> 00:24:36.240 Concentrate on the young players, which one of the five or two, hopefully two or three of the five, pop off, right, from last year's draft class, and then what does

Mikhail Brown Jr. 00:24:36.480 --> 00:24:36.960 look like? 00:24:37.279 --> 00:24:50.000 You are about your youth movement, and then you will have your eyes stuck upon early February, where there might be a trade, whether it's Michael Porter Jr. 00:24:50.319 --> 00:25:06.799 or whether it's Julius Randle that will hopefully bring you something back that helps you build upon the future that you're laying in Brooklyn while the Knicks continue to eat up all the headlines and become basically New York's well, they are New York's team. 00:25:06.960 --> 00:25:13.759 You are playing for I don't even know if you're playing for second place right now, and I'm not trying to be disrespectful. 00:25:14.319 --> 00:25:18.160 Brooklyn really needs to move back to New Jersey for show. 00:25:18.960 --> 00:25:19.680 For sure. 00:25:19.920 --> 00:25:22.960 I am I am 100% positive on that. 00:25:23.359 --> 00:25:25.519 Now, do they have picks? 00:25:25.680 --> 00:25:26.480 Yes, they do. 00:25:26.559 --> 00:25:30.240 They actually got next picks, which aren't going to be great. 00:25:30.480 --> 00:25:33.440 They got their own pick, but they got next picks too. 00:25:33.680 --> 00:25:38.240 Uh 2027, 2029, and 2031 first. 00:25:38.799 --> 00:25:41.920 They also have a Denver first of 2032. 00:25:42.400 --> 00:25:48.559 They have uh Houston holds swap rights on the next on the Nets pick for 2027. 00:25:48.720 --> 00:25:50.160 So here's the thing. 00:25:51.440 --> 00:25:58.799 Houston could be looking at something pretty tasty when it comes to this year's draft. 00:25:59.039 --> 00:26:02.480 That that freaking sucks for the Nets. 00:26:03.200 --> 00:26:05.680 I think that was that was part of the Harden deal. 00:26:05.839 --> 00:26:06.400 Remember that? 00:26:06.480 --> 00:26:17.759 Remember when James Harden kind of ate his way out of Houston and then kind of emoed his way out of Brooklyn? 00:26:18.000 --> 00:26:21.359 Yeah, the 2027 pick is gonna come back to haunt him. 00:26:22.160 --> 00:26:25.440 Now, you would say, well, Ark, I think the call is this. 00:26:25.519 --> 00:26:26.559 I hate to say it. 00:26:26.799 --> 00:26:41.359 I think they're probably going to go slightly over their 24 and a half uh win win total that uh I think is uh draft DraftKings has put out for them. 00:26:41.759 --> 00:26:43.200 Actually, no, this is FanDuel. 00:26:43.359 --> 00:26:44.079 I apologize. 00:26:44.319 --> 00:26:49.039 FanDuel quotes out 24 24 and a half win total over under. 00:26:49.279 --> 00:26:54.160 I think they might beat it by like one and a half games, 26 wins. 00:26:54.480 --> 00:26:57.680 I don't think that the combination of Porter Jr. 00:26:57.759 --> 00:27:01.119 and and Julius Randle will amount to a lot. 00:27:01.359 --> 00:27:10.880 I think as Julius starts to age, he needs to fall into a more um complimentary role instead of being like a primary type of guy. 00:27:11.200 --> 00:27:21.279 And I think uh unless one of the or two of the guys from their last two draft cap uh class pop off, this is gonna be a tough season. 00:27:21.440 --> 00:27:24.640 So that means that pick is gonna end up in Houston. 00:27:25.920 --> 00:27:32.880 So we're looking for them to go to 26 and 56. 00:27:33.599 --> 00:27:34.000 Right? 00:27:34.160 --> 00:27:36.160 Yep, 26 and 56. 00:27:36.640 --> 00:27:39.440 We need to go uh across the border. 00:27:39.599 --> 00:27:41.200 We need to go to Toronto. 00:27:41.440 --> 00:27:42.960 What's happening in Toronto? 00:27:43.119 --> 00:27:44.000 A couple things. 00:27:44.160 --> 00:27:52.960 They won 46 games last year, they lost in game seven um to Cleveland. 00:27:53.920 --> 00:28:02.319 They traded Brandon Ingram and Grady Dick to the Los Angeles Clippers for Kawhi Leonard on last year's numbers. 00:28:02.400 --> 00:28:08.720 It is the biggest per minute upgrade any Atlantic team made, and the line did not move. 00:28:08.880 --> 00:28:13.119 Man, they are supposed to be at 45 and a half games, and they stayed there. 00:28:13.599 --> 00:28:19.519 So what do we expect from our Houston or our Toronto Raptors this year? 00:28:19.920 --> 00:28:25.599 Can they go from can they can they beat that 45 wins? 00:28:25.680 --> 00:28:27.519 Well, we'll we'll dive into the numbers and see. 00:28:27.599 --> 00:28:29.119 We'll see what happens. 00:28:30.240 --> 00:28:35.599 I think right now there's two things that we need to talk about. 00:28:35.839 --> 00:28:41.759 One, their offense have just gotten way better with Kawhi Leonard in it. 00:28:42.319 --> 00:28:53.119 Um, you take out Brandon Ingram and Grady Dick, Markel Foltz, and also Sandro Mamu Kilish Vili, who is a Los Angeles Lakers, and we love him. 00:28:53.279 --> 00:28:54.799 Thank you, Toronto. 00:28:54.880 --> 00:28:55.839 Thank you for Mamu. 00:28:56.000 --> 00:28:57.200 We appreciate it. 00:28:57.599 --> 00:29:11.039 They're gonna miss his 80 games that he played, his 11.2 points off the bench, uh, his true shooting percentage of 63.7 percent and his positive box plus minus a 2.8. 00:29:11.599 --> 00:29:17.440 Their front line is thinner, no doubt, but the price of Kawhi Leonard is this. 00:29:17.839 --> 00:29:19.039 Check this out. 00:29:20.319 --> 00:29:27.200 Hey man, we are gonna tell you that you are gonna get picks way in the future. 00:29:27.440 --> 00:29:31.200 Kawhi won't even be playing with us when this happens. 00:29:31.440 --> 00:29:38.160 Uh, 2031 and 2033 first round picks unprotected that will be going to the Clippers. 00:29:38.400 --> 00:29:46.559 But check this out they have a 2027 first round swap with the Clippers. 00:29:46.720 --> 00:29:52.960 So if the Clippers don't have a good season, which they shouldn't, Toronto gets that pick. 00:29:53.920 --> 00:29:55.119 Not bad. 00:29:55.440 --> 00:30:01.599 Toronto keeps its own first of 2028, 2029, and 2030 and 2032. 00:30:01.680 --> 00:30:04.160 So they got they still got some stuff to do. 00:30:04.799 --> 00:30:10.000 Um, they made the Clippers an offer, and the

Clippers couldn't refuse it. 00:30:10.160 --> 00:30:19.920 They wanted to get Kawhi out of town so bad, just the bad taste in their mouth, all the publicity that was just going on with them, and and just all the nonsense. 00:30:20.079 --> 00:30:22.000 It was just like, hey, man, go. 00:30:22.079 --> 00:30:24.559 Just this was a failed experiment. 00:30:25.039 --> 00:30:27.200 We don't even want to look at you no more. 00:30:27.519 --> 00:30:28.400 Skip up out. 00:30:29.279 --> 00:30:30.319 Shouldn't have done that. 00:30:30.559 --> 00:30:32.240 Because now he's going to Toronto. 00:30:32.400 --> 00:30:37.680 And Toronto was a team on the rise last year, and this is what he brings with him. 00:30:38.319 --> 00:30:40.880 Kawhi Loki had a great year last year. 00:30:41.039 --> 00:30:44.160 This dude almost averaged 28 points a game. 00:30:44.319 --> 00:30:46.960 He was 27.9 points a game. 00:30:47.119 --> 00:30:50.720 His true shooting percentage was 62.9%. 00:30:51.839 --> 00:30:59.599 He had a usage rate of 33.5, and his box plus minus was a solid positive eight. 00:31:00.480 --> 00:31:06.400 He shot 38.7% from three on damn near seven tries. 00:31:06.880 --> 00:31:08.880 6.8 to be exact. 00:31:09.119 --> 00:31:12.480 He almost shot 90% from the free throw line. 00:31:12.640 --> 00:31:14.079 You gotta love that. 00:31:14.480 --> 00:31:24.799 Uh on 5.7 attempts, and he was seventh in MVP voting last year, and he was second team all NBA. 00:31:25.200 --> 00:31:32.720 So even though Kawhi is at an advanced age, he's still playing like an absolute G and a certified stud. 00:31:33.599 --> 00:31:36.799 And he's not alone, he won't get alone this year. 00:31:36.960 --> 00:31:51.200 That's the great part about this, is that with Scotty Barnes, and we'll get into him a little bit, also Emmanuel Quickly and a couple of the other guys there, it's not like Kawhi's gotta do it by himself. 00:31:51.519 --> 00:31:52.880 So I like that. 00:31:53.359 --> 00:31:54.799 I like this pickup. 00:31:55.200 --> 00:32:00.400 Um my hope is that Kawhi Leonard can play in more than 65 games. 00:32:00.480 --> 00:32:02.880 That's always going to be the problem with him. 00:32:03.359 --> 00:32:13.039 Um he played in 222 of the possible 328 games over the last four seasons, which is 68%. 00:32:13.920 --> 00:32:18.240 Uh games played 52, 68, 37, 65. 00:32:18.799 --> 00:32:26.240 He sat out all of 2021 and 2020, uh 21-22 season with an ACL injury. 00:32:26.400 --> 00:32:29.519 Uh only 22 of 37 playoff games. 00:32:29.599 --> 00:32:31.440 That's absolutely crazy. 00:32:31.680 --> 00:32:34.960 And over the last six years, and he's 35 years of age. 00:32:35.200 --> 00:32:42.400 So, do you think that Kawhi Leonard will play the the key is not how many games they will win? 00:32:42.960 --> 00:32:49.519 Y'all need to go on Calci and figure out does Kawhi Leonard play 65 games? 00:32:50.240 --> 00:32:55.759 Does he get himself eligible for the postseason awards? 00:32:56.480 --> 00:32:58.319 What's your thoughts on that? 00:32:59.119 --> 00:33:01.759 Because last year he played 65 on the nose. 00:33:01.920 --> 00:33:03.359 Does he do it again? 00:33:03.680 --> 00:33:05.119 History says no. 00:33:05.440 --> 00:33:10.720 History says that he would not do it again, and he's 35 years of age. 00:33:11.519 --> 00:33:15.359 So I'm hmm, I don't know. 00:33:16.400 --> 00:33:23.440 Now, what makes this a good fit is that Toronto now has a go-to guy at the end of the shot clock. 00:33:23.680 --> 00:33:31.519 Um, his effective field goal percentage in the last six seconds of the shot clock is 53% over the last three years. 00:33:31.759 --> 00:33:34.880 That's ninth of 130 in 131. 00:33:35.279 --> 00:33:39.599 He's a half-court closer for a team that lives in transition. 00:33:40.240 --> 00:33:45.599 So, if you're looking for somebody to get you a basket, Kawhi Leonard is that dude. 00:33:46.799 --> 00:33:54.400 When you watched him last year, um it isn't whether Kawhi helps Toronto win or not. 00:33:54.480 --> 00:33:57.440 It's whether Toronto can keep him on the floor. 00:33:57.599 --> 00:34:00.079 It's all about his availability. 00:34:00.480 --> 00:34:04.480 Kawhi is basically the Doctor Strange of the NBA. 00:34:04.640 --> 00:34:07.359 Every timeline has the win. 00:34:07.680 --> 00:34:10.880 You just have to be on the one where he's available. 00:34:11.119 --> 00:34:11.599 Right? 00:34:11.760 --> 00:34:20.480 You got to get the good Kawhi, not the bad Kawhi, not the guy who takes off two or three weeks, nobody knows where he is. 00:34:21.119 --> 00:34:25.199 He's in some sort of undisclosed location or whatever the case may be. 00:34:25.440 --> 00:34:29.360 That can't be where he need where he does in Toronto. 00:34:29.519 --> 00:34:35.039 He can't be the same dude that he was when he was what with the Los Angeles Clippers, whatsoever. 00:34:35.519 --> 00:34:41.039 Now, is he gonna get 65 games or is he gonna play 40? 00:34:43.599 --> 00:34:53.440 Now you would say with the help that he got with the Toronto Raptors, he'll probably play close to 65. 00:34:53.920 --> 00:35:03.039 I think when you have Scottie Barnes, who is looking like a guy who is gonna take another step. 00:35:03.599 --> 00:35:06.400 I think last year showed us something. 00:35:06.639 --> 00:35:15.679 Now he scored less points last year at 18.1 from his prior year, which was 19.3, but everything else went up. 00:35:16.000 --> 00:35:33.760 His field goal percentage went up, he went from 44.6 to 50.7, his true shooting went up, he went from 57.7 to yeah, he went he went from 52.3 to 57.7, so all these numbers are up. 00:35:34.320 --> 00:35:47.119 Um, he had a win share percentage of uh 0.14, that's up from 0.0878, and his box plus minus went from he basically switched numbers around. 00:35:47.360 --> 00:35:50.480 He went from 2.4 positive to 4.2. 00:35:51.119 --> 00:35:54.320 We love Scottie Barnes, we love how he plays. 00:35:54.719 --> 00:36:17.920 This is um

a guy that can facilitate, be a connector piece, and now he has a guy that can really be dynamic in the scoring department that he can connect to to go along with the Emmanuel Quicklys and the uh Colin Murray Boyles of the world. 00:36:18.239 --> 00:36:24.079 So I like what they have here in Toronto. 00:36:26.239 --> 00:36:37.519 Now he would he play 80 games, he was an all-star, he was fifth in defensive player of the year, and obviously he made uh second team all defensive team. 00:36:38.079 --> 00:36:40.000 Now, here's the rub. 00:36:40.159 --> 00:37:03.519 He's still a abysmal shooter from three, he's only 30.4 percent, but with Kawhi next to him, maybe a little little less pressure, maybe he can take one less three a game, you know, on average, maybe that'll help him with his average of shooting the three. 00:37:04.400 --> 00:37:13.360 And also, again, he might not be called upon to shoot as many threes with Kawhi there and with Emmanuel quickly healthy. 00:37:16.079 --> 00:37:24.480 Now, our guy that we absolutely love, and the person that I think might actually get pinched in this situation is Colin Murray Boyles. 00:37:24.639 --> 00:37:30.880 Now, this dude has the chance and the opportunity to be a breakout candidate. 00:37:31.119 --> 00:37:38.480 He only played in 57 um games last year for the Toronto Raptors, but I don't even want to talk about those. 00:37:38.719 --> 00:37:43.840 I want to talk about the playoff games that my man played. 00:37:44.320 --> 00:38:04.320 The 14.4 points a game, the 6.4 rebounds, the uh 65.6% field goal percentage, the true shooting percentage of 68.5, and the ungodly positive box plus minus of 5.6. 00:38:05.440 --> 00:38:08.159 That's incredible for a rookie. 00:38:08.239 --> 00:38:16.559 And he we he did that in the playoffs, so all his numbers went expeditiously up in the playoffs from the regular season. 00:38:16.880 --> 00:38:19.840 This man was not scared of the moment whatsoever. 00:38:20.079 --> 00:38:22.239 He just he thrived in the environment. 00:38:22.480 --> 00:38:24.880 He was like, shit, this is like March Madness. 00:38:25.119 --> 00:38:30.000 But if we don't win a game, we'll be able to go back and play another one in a couple days. 00:38:30.239 --> 00:38:30.719 Cool. 00:38:30.880 --> 00:38:35.519 Let me go out here and get some rebounds, let me go out here and get some points, you know what I'm saying? 00:38:35.679 --> 00:38:40.079 Play some some stud defense and just be that guy. 00:38:42.000 --> 00:38:45.920 Now, things to survive playoff basketball. 00:38:46.079 --> 00:39:07.440 When you shooting 60 62% from your two situation, and your offensive rebound rate is uh 12 12% on on the dot, and your block rate is 4.1, and you have a defensive box plus minus of positive 1.5 as a rookie, you're doing some things. 00:39:07.840 --> 00:39:14.559 I appreciate your effort, and I appreciate you just absolutely flourishing in the moment. 00:39:15.199 --> 00:39:17.360 CMB is about that life. 00:39:17.599 --> 00:39:19.599 Let's just call it what it is. 00:39:20.480 --> 00:39:22.960 Now, things to work on, right? 00:39:23.119 --> 00:39:33.599 You're a rookie, always things to work on 34% on a volume of less than one shot per game. 00:39:34.800 --> 00:39:42.480 So 17 of 50 over the season, our math says, and I'm just saying oh for three in the playoffs. 00:39:43.199 --> 00:39:44.159 Not great. 00:39:45.199 --> 00:39:49.840 So what are you gonna do with this kid? 00:39:52.000 --> 00:39:55.920 He gets it in, and I think he's just gonna get better. 00:39:56.000 --> 00:40:00.239 I think this is just one step in the right direction. 00:40:00.400 --> 00:40:06.880 That playoff appearance really showed me a lot in what this kid is and what this kid is trying to do. 00:40:07.199 --> 00:40:12.639 The other guy that we need to talk about in earnest is Emmanuel Quickly. 00:40:12.719 --> 00:40:14.960 He played in 70 games last year. 00:40:15.280 --> 00:40:21.440 We need him to play the type of basketball that he is known to play. 00:40:21.599 --> 00:40:22.480 You know what I'm saying? 00:40:22.639 --> 00:40:27.119 And what I mean by that is that we need you to do the exact same thing last year. 00:40:27.440 --> 00:40:36.320 The 16 and a half points a game, the six assists a game, all shooting 37.5% from three on damn near seven tries. 00:40:36.559 --> 00:40:38.639 We need all of that from you. 00:40:39.039 --> 00:40:42.639 The turnover rate, 9.3%, not bad. 00:40:42.960 --> 00:40:45.760 You had career highs games as a rafter. 00:40:46.159 --> 00:40:47.440 I love that. 00:40:47.760 --> 00:40:52.400 Because you only played in 38 and 33 the last two. 00:40:54.639 --> 00:40:58.559 You're a good shot creator, but you're not a great shot creator. 00:40:59.039 --> 00:41:10.400 But I think with Scottie Barnes being there and the gravity that Kawhi Leonard causes, you might be able to get better shots than you did in the last couple years, anyway. 00:41:11.280 --> 00:41:15.199 And they also got a rookie out of Santa Clara, 19th in the draft. 00:41:15.280 --> 00:41:17.039 His name is Alan Graves. 00:41:18.159 --> 00:41:20.480 He is a kind of a jack of all trades. 00:41:20.639 --> 00:41:27.920 This is another guy who's long, long, he's a long wing, he's like six foot eight, six foot nine. 00:41:28.719 --> 00:41:37.599 Defensive mentality, uh, provides a little scoring, provides a little offensive creation, gets on the boards pretty well. 00:41:37.840 --> 00:41:40.079 This is a solid bench piece. 00:41:41.039 --> 00:41:46.320 What the Raptors don't have is a lot of big help. 00:41:47.679 --> 00:41:53.679 And this is where I will start to talk about what they might have and what they might be doing. 00:41:55.519 --> 00:42:02.800 If they go over, that means Kawhi plays 65 games, okay, in around 32 minutes. 00:42:05.920 --> 00:42:09.840 Holds uh the shoot his shooting efficiency as a starter. 00:42:10.239 --> 00:42:12.559 I don't know if he's gonna start

personally. 00:42:12.719 --> 00:42:14.880 I think he's gonna be coming off the bench. 00:42:15.280 --> 00:42:17.519 Yakka Cardo needs to stay healthy. 00:42:17.599 --> 00:42:24.320 He only played in 46 games last year, and when he was on the court, he had a 70% field goal percentage. 00:42:24.559 --> 00:42:28.000 When he obviously he can't help you when he's off the court. 00:42:28.400 --> 00:42:35.840 Now, for them not to hit their total, uh Kawhi Leonard misses 25 plus games. 00:42:36.719 --> 00:42:44.639 The youth collision slows the transition offense that scored 18.9 fast break points last year. 00:42:44.960 --> 00:42:48.639 Quickly's injuries aren't resolved. 00:42:49.760 --> 00:42:51.039 You know what I'm saying? 00:42:51.840 --> 00:42:54.880 So, what do the fans need to focus on? 00:42:56.480 --> 00:43:06.239 Kawhi staying healthy, Scotty Barnes still being the dude that he is, a walking triple double as soon as he wakes up in the morning. 00:43:06.480 --> 00:43:11.039 And what does Colin Murray Boyles do for Encore? 00:43:11.440 --> 00:43:12.480 I don't know. 00:43:12.719 --> 00:43:14.639 I can't wait to find out. 00:43:15.360 --> 00:43:17.039 Now I will say this. 00:43:18.159 --> 00:43:34.960 They got some picks, so if there was something they needed, they can go out and get it, and they have enough like um what I call like transition contracts where they can go out and and make a deal for a piece if they need one down the road. 00:43:35.280 --> 00:43:36.559 I like that. 00:43:36.960 --> 00:43:44.000 Now I think the Raptors will get over their forty five and a half win total that uh FanDuel has for them. 00:43:44.159 --> 00:43:46.960 I think they'll get to forty seven wins personally. 00:43:47.440 --> 00:43:55.679 But I think what they're gonna look like in the playoffs is gonna be I want to see who they're matched up against. 00:43:55.920 --> 00:43:58.079 Cause they might cause some chaos in the playoffs. 00:43:58.159 --> 00:44:04.719 So I'm not really like And people are sitting there going, oh, 47 wins is crazy for a team. 00:44:05.199 --> 00:44:08.079 You know how stacked the East is, right? 00:44:08.719 --> 00:44:14.639 Like, I don't think there's going to be a team in the East that wins 60 games or even close to it. 00:44:14.960 --> 00:44:23.920 I think the team that is going to be like with the number one record in the East probably has at the most 56 wins. 00:44:25.039 --> 00:44:27.199 And then it kind of goes down from there. 00:44:27.840 --> 00:44:30.000 So we'll see how it all goes. 00:44:30.239 --> 00:44:31.599 But I like Toronto. 00:44:31.679 --> 00:44:33.679 I like the direction they're headed. 00:44:33.920 --> 00:44:45.440 Um Kawhi Leonard was a swing, but it didn't really hurt them in the long run, like in the like in the next three to four years as far as draft picks are concerned. 00:44:45.679 --> 00:44:47.679 So I'm good with what they did. 00:44:47.840 --> 00:44:49.679 I think they got him for a song. 00:44:49.920 --> 00:44:51.840 They signed him up for a couple more years. 00:44:51.920 --> 00:44:53.760 So now he's three years left there. 00:44:53.920 --> 00:44:55.599 And let's see what they do. 00:44:56.480 --> 00:45:04.079 Moving on to a team that I know everybody wants to talk about, and that is the Philadelphia 76ers. 00:45:05.119 --> 00:45:08.159 Best five on paper, the hardest to bet on the board. 00:45:08.239 --> 00:45:09.760 Boy, I tell you. 00:45:10.079 --> 00:45:14.239 Now, what has made Philly so dynamic? 00:45:14.480 --> 00:45:20.239 Well, first of all, they traded Paul George and Pigs for Jalen Brown. 00:45:20.639 --> 00:45:26.880 And then they followed it up with signing LeBron James to basically a vet minimal contract. 00:45:27.039 --> 00:45:31.920 And now my man is taking helicopters from Philadelphia to New York City. 00:45:32.159 --> 00:45:34.639 Because you know he wasn't staying in Philly, right? 00:45:35.199 --> 00:45:40.320 But now you look at the 76ers lineup, and it is just star-studded. 00:45:40.719 --> 00:45:51.440 You got Joel Embiid at the center, you got LeBron James, you got Jalen Brown, you got Tyrese Maxie, and you got VJ Edgecomb. 00:45:51.679 --> 00:45:53.440 Poor VJ Edgecomb. 00:45:54.320 --> 00:45:56.400 Oh, I'm gonna get the ball next year. 00:45:56.480 --> 00:45:58.639 I'm gonna go ahead and score crazy. 00:45:58.800 --> 00:46:01.280 I'm just gonna be out here doing stuff. 00:46:01.440 --> 00:46:06.880 I almost averaged like seven 17 points or what 18 points a game last year. 00:46:07.280 --> 00:46:11.119 You know, I dunked on people, I look great. 00:46:12.079 --> 00:46:17.519 Oh, hey, VJ, just so you know, we just traded for LeBron and Jalen Brown. 00:46:17.679 --> 00:46:21.199 Or actually, we traded for Jalen Brown and signed LeBron James. 00:46:21.280 --> 00:46:26.400 So we're gonna need you to go ahead and stand in this corner and shoot some threes. 00:46:27.920 --> 00:46:34.559 And take less shots than you did last year because we're gonna have to accommodate these dudes that we just brought in. 00:46:36.000 --> 00:46:38.880 So our guys' development is stymie. 00:46:39.119 --> 00:46:40.079 I don't like that. 00:46:40.239 --> 00:46:44.800 I do not like that, but I understand it because talent is talent. 00:46:45.280 --> 00:46:48.320 So what did Philadelphia do last year? 00:46:49.519 --> 00:46:51.920 They were 45 and 37 last year. 00:46:52.000 --> 00:46:54.639 They beat Boston in seven games. 00:46:54.719 --> 00:47:01.119 Uh in B, played like an absolute animal, and then couldn't back it up with in the next round. 00:47:01.360 --> 00:47:02.639 He just ran out of gas. 00:47:02.719 --> 00:47:06.480 He was tired, and I think he was a little bit injured again. 00:47:07.920 --> 00:47:11.519 They're over under this year. 00:47:12.079 --> 00:47:13.920 It's 50.5. 00:47:14.320 --> 00:47:16.719 We'll see if they get there. 00:47:17.199 --> 00:47:18.880 Actually, is it 50.5? 00:47:19.119 --> 00:47:19.519 Yeah. 00:47:19.840

--> 00:47:24.800 So I think that's gonna be a hard call. 00:47:25.199 --> 00:47:27.119 But they are like the Avengers, man. 00:47:27.199 --> 00:47:28.639 They assembled all of them. 00:47:28.880 --> 00:47:32.559 It's now who's gonna play 60 plus games? 00:47:32.719 --> 00:47:35.840 That's you know, that's beyond my pay grade. 00:47:35.920 --> 00:47:36.960 I don't know that. 00:47:38.719 --> 00:47:40.880 But this team is completely changed over. 00:47:40.960 --> 00:47:48.000 You got Jalen Brown, like we said, LeBron James, they got KCP out of Memphis. 00:47:48.639 --> 00:47:50.719 They got Anthony Simons. 00:47:51.440 --> 00:47:56.000 Hakordy got hurt, so he would he was a new guy also on this team. 00:47:56.239 --> 00:47:57.760 They got Dean Wade. 00:47:57.920 --> 00:48:05.039 Oh, and they also got they drafted in the uh first round last year with the 22nd overall pick. 00:48:05.280 --> 00:48:07.119 LeBaron Phylon Jr. 00:48:07.519 --> 00:48:10.239 Now, LeBron Phyllon Jr. 00:48:10.400 --> 00:48:12.159 is like 6'4, 6'5. 00:48:12.559 --> 00:48:13.519 He's real thin. 00:48:13.599 --> 00:48:16.239 I think he's like 175 pounds. 00:48:16.639 --> 00:48:25.920 So I don't expect a lot from him this year, but I really don't expect a lot from him this year because of what the roster looked like. 00:48:26.079 --> 00:48:28.079 So we'll see how that goes. 00:48:28.480 --> 00:48:37.360 Now, out was Paul George, Andre Drummond, Kyle Lowry, Quentin Grimes, and Cooley uh Kelly O'bre Jr. 00:48:37.599 --> 00:48:41.119 The tsunami poppy is in Indiana. 00:48:41.599 --> 00:48:46.960 I wish they I wish they would have been able to keep Kelly O'bre Jr. 00:48:47.679 --> 00:48:56.559 That would have been a nice little bench piece, you know, get you 13 to 15 points a game, you know, just going out and doing things. 00:48:57.119 --> 00:48:59.519 Not having that is going to be a bummer. 00:49:00.320 --> 00:49:03.519 What do they have as far as picks are concerned? 00:49:04.480 --> 00:49:13.199 Now Philly has their own 2027 pick, 29, 30, 32, and 33. 00:49:15.920 --> 00:49:22.559 So they are still good as far as picks are concerned after the Jalen Brown trade. 00:49:23.599 --> 00:49:31.039 So it's not like they're hurting, it's not like they just strip the team down to the studs to get him. 00:49:31.920 --> 00:49:37.519 Now the other guy they have to worry about is again, we we're gonna sound like a broken record. 00:49:38.159 --> 00:49:40.960 How many games are you getting out of Joel and B? 00:49:41.360 --> 00:49:44.320 Because when he plays, obviously, it's great. 00:49:44.639 --> 00:49:46.480 Almost 27 points a game. 00:49:46.639 --> 00:49:49.119 His true shooting percentage is 60.5. 00:49:49.519 --> 00:49:52.480 It would be more, but he shoots a bunch of threes. 00:49:53.199 --> 00:49:55.199 His usage is 33.5. 00:49:55.519 --> 00:49:57.199 That's gonna have to change. 00:49:58.239 --> 00:50:03.199 He was a uh 4.9 box plus minus, but that was only in 38 games. 00:50:03.360 --> 00:50:06.159 It's it's tough. 00:50:07.119 --> 00:50:16.000 The last couple years his box plus minus has gone from like MVP type of box plus minus to regular dude box plus minus. 00:50:16.239 --> 00:50:23.360 Um, a couple years about four years ago, you were looking at nine point two, three years ago. 00:50:23.440 --> 00:50:29.760 You were looking at eleven point six, uh two years ago was three point five. 00:50:30.000 --> 00:50:33.039 Now last year he did go up a little bit to four point nine. 00:50:33.199 --> 00:50:35.039 We'll see how that goes. 00:50:35.360 --> 00:50:45.280 But it's not the same guy that he was, it's just not his defensive rebound rate has gone from 28.8% to 20. 00:50:46.000 --> 00:51:02.719 His free throw rate has also dipped by 10%, uh 58.1% to down to 48.1%, so 10 on the notes, and his block rate has gone down by one full percentage, which is 4.6 to 3.6 last year. 00:51:03.039 --> 00:51:09.199 All this has to do with the injuries, it has to do with the the lower limb injuries and what have you. 00:51:09.280 --> 00:51:14.960 Now he's in way better shape, um, a lot thinner than he was. 00:51:15.760 --> 00:51:24.239 We just hope that his his knees and his legs can stabilize him through this next upcoming season. 00:51:25.199 --> 00:51:27.840 All there is about it at this point. 00:51:30.000 --> 00:51:38.159 Now, our guy has only played in 162 of the possible 328 over the last four years, that's 49%. 00:51:39.280 --> 00:51:43.039 Um, over the last three seasons, he played in 96. 00:51:44.239 --> 00:51:48.400 So you play 82 games, so that's 246. 00:51:49.599 --> 00:51:53.519 And you play 96 of a possible 246. 00:51:54.719 --> 00:51:59.920 And he's only played in 45 of the possible 94 playoff games. 00:52:00.239 --> 00:52:02.079 This is crazy, man. 00:52:04.079 --> 00:52:09.199 This year is gonna be like Phil Collins in the air tonight, man. 00:52:09.920 --> 00:52:11.679 Cause you got the squad. 00:52:11.840 --> 00:52:17.039 This is everybody's looked at your squad and said, This is tough. 00:52:17.760 --> 00:52:25.679 Now, obviously, LeBron James is gonna have to change his ways a little bit. 00:52:26.000 --> 00:52:32.000 But after watching the preseason game last night, I was I'm I'm a little worried. 00:52:32.320 --> 00:52:35.039 Not about LeBron and what he's gonna do. 00:52:35.599 --> 00:52:38.480 It's the style of play that I'm worried about. 00:52:38.559 --> 00:52:45.519 And I'll get to that uh towards the end of what our prediction is for the Philadelphia 76ers. 00:52:45.760 --> 00:52:51.199 What you're getting out of LeBron James, first of all, this is year fucking 24. 00:52:52.320 --> 00:52:56.960 Okay, this is we're we're getting into ridiculous numbers now. 00:52:57.519 --> 00:53:07.519 Last year, my man put up 21 points a game, six points, 6.1 rebounds, 7.2 assists in 60 games. 00:53:07.840 --> 00:53:10.639 He played 33.2 minutes. 00:53:10.960 --> 00:53:13.599 True shooting percentage, damn near 60%.

00:53:14.320 --> 00:53:23.199 59.4, he had a PR of 20.8, and he had a box plus or minus of positive 3.5. 00:53:23.519 --> 00:53:34.800 It is a far cry from the normal MVP numbers that we used to see out of LeBron probably when he was in his mid-30s. 00:53:34.880 --> 00:53:35.920 So think about that. 00:53:37.039 --> 00:53:40.960 But he doesn't need to be an MVP candidate here. 00:53:41.119 --> 00:53:42.719 You know what you need to be here? 00:53:43.199 --> 00:53:58.960 You need to be a connecting piece, you need to play off ball a little bit, you need to allow Terry uh Tyrese Maxie and others to get on ball, and you know, you be a cutter, you be that guy who cuts into the lane now. 00:53:59.039 --> 00:54:09.199 If you see somebody doing something cool like on the baseline, or also if you see a wide open three-point shooter, go ahead and kick it out to him. 00:54:09.519 --> 00:54:15.679 This should be the best second side initiator in the game. 00:54:15.840 --> 00:54:17.119 But here's the thing. 00:54:17.360 --> 00:54:26.079 If you notice last year, now a lot of this had to do with the Luka Doncic injury and the Austin Reeves injury as well. 00:54:26.400 --> 00:54:34.880 But LeBron played a primary on-ball role for that team. 00:54:35.119 --> 00:54:36.239 I'll say that again. 00:54:36.400 --> 00:54:41.199 He played a primary on-ball role on the Lakers. 00:54:41.760 --> 00:54:44.079 The Lakers had Luka Doncic. 00:54:45.679 --> 00:54:46.719 You know what I'm saying? 00:54:46.880 --> 00:54:51.360 Like, they had to stagger their minutes, you know, like they would start, right? 00:54:51.440 --> 00:54:57.360 And then they would stagger their minutes because you couldn't have both of them with the ball. 00:54:58.079 --> 00:55:03.840 And listen, I'm not saying that Maxie is the wizard that Luka Doncic is. 00:55:04.079 --> 00:55:13.679 I am just saying that those guys like Tyrese Maxie and VJ Edgecombe and Jalen Brown, they like to play with pace. 00:55:14.239 --> 00:55:22.320 And I know that my guy at 42 does not want to play with pace. 00:55:22.880 --> 00:55:25.360 Doesn't want no does not want to do that. 00:55:26.239 --> 00:55:34.480 So are we gonna get the half-court grinded out style where LeBron is dissecting the other team or whatever the case may be? 00:55:34.719 --> 00:55:35.440 Maybe. 00:55:35.920 --> 00:55:39.039 Now the numbers say that that it still works. 00:55:39.360 --> 00:55:40.880 It still works. 00:55:41.360 --> 00:55:42.800 But the decline is real. 00:55:42.960 --> 00:55:49.679 He's gone from uh in the last four years, he's gone from a PR of 23.9 to 20.8. 00:55:50.079 --> 00:55:58.800 The box plus minus was 6.5 four years ago, and obviously, you know what we saw last year is 3.5. 00:55:59.679 --> 00:56:08.480 So the points have gone from almost 29 points to just over 21 to uh just under 21. 00:56:09.199 --> 00:56:13.039 His three-point shooting is still not great, it's 31%. 00:56:14.159 --> 00:56:20.079 He shot a abysmal 73.7% from the free throw line, which is terrible. 00:56:20.559 --> 00:56:33.119 Now the games played, you know, four years ago, 55, 3 years ago, 71, 72 years ago, and 60 last year. 00:56:33.760 --> 00:56:39.440 Possible 250 256 games out of possible 328, that's 78%. 00:56:40.159 --> 00:56:45.440 What do you expect from somebody who turns 42 on December 30th? 00:56:45.760 --> 00:56:50.159 Why this matters is because Brown is an isolation first player. 00:56:50.480 --> 00:56:55.280 MV is a post scorer, LeBron is a passer who connects them. 00:56:55.760 --> 00:56:58.639 So we're gonna see a lot of him on ball. 00:56:59.360 --> 00:57:13.360 When a uh anonymous scout said this, he says watch them for two decades, says the question isn't the legs, it's whether he'll take a smaller role in get in games in the games that do don't matter. 00:57:15.440 --> 00:57:17.199 You know, that was the thing last year. 00:57:17.360 --> 00:57:20.239 They wanted LeBron to play like around 30 minutes. 00:57:20.480 --> 00:57:35.039 Now you say, oh, well, he only played like 33 and a half, but those minutes add up, especially on somebody who on his legs, on his knees, at the age of 42, father time will catch up to everybody. 00:57:35.119 --> 00:57:42.239 Now, LeBron has been able to stay off Father Time for a long period of time now, so hey, we will see. 00:57:42.880 --> 00:57:46.400 Now, the big piece that they got this year was Jalen Brown. 00:57:46.559 --> 00:57:52.880 Philadelphia went crazy, got Jalen Brown for a song personally, I think. 00:57:53.199 --> 00:57:54.719 And what did they get? 00:57:55.039 --> 00:57:56.800 He's coming off a career year. 00:57:57.039 --> 00:57:59.920 This dude averaged 28.7 points a game. 00:58:00.159 --> 00:58:02.159 He played in 71 games. 00:58:03.039 --> 00:58:05.840 You know, his box plus or minus was 3.3. 00:58:05.920 --> 00:58:07.840 We'll get into that momentarily. 00:58:08.400 --> 00:58:11.360 Uh true shooting percentage was 57.3%. 00:58:12.480 --> 00:58:15.119 His free throw attempts went way up. 00:58:15.280 --> 00:58:18.000 He went from 5.1 to 7.5. 00:58:19.039 --> 00:58:24.320 Um 34.7% from three on almost six tries. 00:58:25.679 --> 00:58:30.159 And, you know, he is a bona fide bucket getter. 00:58:30.719 --> 00:58:40.079 But the other bucket getter on this team that is is the resident bucket getter is Tyrese Maxie, who also averaged 28.3 points a game. 00:58:40.400 --> 00:58:42.960 6.6 assists as well. 00:58:44.800 --> 00:58:52.719 So I'm looking at this dude and I'm hoping that he still gets to hold on to the ball. 00:58:54.239 --> 00:59:02.559 Now, a little ways down the road, we talked about uh VJ Edgecombe and what his development pathway is gonna be. 00:59:02.800 --> 00:59:06.400 Remember, he averaged 16 points a game last year. 00:59:06.639 --> 00:59:09.280 He was third in rookie of the year voting. 00:59:10.559 --> 00:59:32.400 Now, I don't know how this is gonna work, but we had Brown with a usage rate of 36%, we had MB with

a usage rate of 30 and 30 33 and a half, maxi with a usage rate of 29.4, LeBron with a 27.2, and Edgecomb with a 20. 00:59:32.559 --> 00:59:34.239 You know what that adds up to? 00:59:34.559 --> 00:59:36.559 146.4. 00:59:39.280 --> 00:59:41.199 You can only have 100. 00:59:42.000 --> 00:59:43.840 You can only have 100. 00:59:44.239 --> 00:59:46.800 Somebody's gonna have to sacrifice. 00:59:47.760 --> 00:59:50.480 Is VJ Edgecomb gonna have to sacrifice? 00:59:50.639 --> 00:59:51.519 That sucks. 00:59:52.159 --> 00:59:53.360 We get why. 00:59:53.519 --> 00:59:57.440 We understand why why that is right? 00:59:57.840 --> 01:00:01.760 Jalen Brown is on this team, LeBron James is on this team. 01:00:02.320 --> 01:00:07.360 How much you get out of Joel and B, that's that's we'll see. 01:00:07.920 --> 01:00:16.239 But sacrifice is going to have to be made all over this lineup. 01:00:16.880 --> 01:00:26.000 Now their bench is not as good as last year, but they do have one absolute firecracker off the bench, and that is Anthony Simons. 01:00:26.239 --> 01:00:32.400 Anthony Simons in uh 49 games last year, 14.2 points a game. 01:00:32.639 --> 01:00:34.960 He almost shot 40% from three. 01:00:35.280 --> 01:00:36.400 So I love that. 01:00:36.559 --> 01:00:38.480 Carwell Coe is old. 01:00:39.599 --> 01:00:43.679 Not LeBron James old, but old for a regular basketball player. 01:00:43.840 --> 01:00:48.079 He's 33, and the numbers haven't been great lately. 01:00:48.880 --> 01:00:56.719 The who's backing up MB, well, it's not gonna be Ariel Hawk Party, because he tore his ACL. 01:00:59.119 --> 01:01:02.320 MB has a damn bona out of UCLA. 01:01:02.400 --> 01:01:03.119 That's our guy. 01:01:03.280 --> 01:01:06.400 A clap all day, and Dominique Burrow. 01:01:07.039 --> 01:01:10.159 So we will see what they do. 01:01:10.239 --> 01:01:15.920 Now, does Liberian Feinline play a uh intrical role off the bench as a rookie? 01:01:16.320 --> 01:01:20.239 That would be really interesting to see. 01:01:20.639 --> 01:01:25.840 This is remember I told you I want I wish they would have been able to retain Kelly Ubre Jr. 01:01:26.079 --> 01:01:28.480 This is why the bench is terrible. 01:01:28.719 --> 01:01:39.840 But when you have five legitimate stars on your starting roster, you think about it, man. 01:01:39.920 --> 01:01:47.280 I don't know how you stagger these minutes, but you got Embiid, LeBron, Jalen Brown, Tyrese Maxi, and VJ Edgeb. 01:01:48.960 --> 01:01:52.159 Does VJ Edge Comb play with the bench a lot? 01:01:53.280 --> 01:01:55.119 Who else plays with the bench a lot? 01:01:55.280 --> 01:01:57.760 Is that gonna be the LeBron situation? 01:01:59.280 --> 01:02:02.320 They're gonna have the Nick Nurse has a lot of work to do. 01:02:02.880 --> 01:02:08.400 Now, what allows the 76ers to go over their win total? 01:02:08.639 --> 01:02:12.320 Obviously, in B's health, he has to play over 55 games. 01:02:12.639 --> 01:02:17.360 LeBron has to be at 33 minutes, if not a little

bit lower. 01:02:17.519 --> 01:02:23.360 But I would think that he also has to play 60 plus games for them to go over their win total. 01:02:24.960 --> 01:02:32.239 Brown's isolation volume drops and maxi keeps his as keeps his games at 70. 01:02:34.000 --> 01:02:36.400 And y'all learn how to share the sugar. 01:02:37.440 --> 01:02:40.159 Share the ball in Philadelphia. 01:02:41.199 --> 01:02:48.559 The reason why the Philadelphia 76ers won't hit their mark of the win total is this. 01:02:48.719 --> 01:02:56.880 Obviously, MV doesn't play enough games, they never figure out the usage the whole season. 01:02:57.440 --> 01:03:01.119 You know, and I'm gonna tell you that's gonna be a a struggle. 01:03:01.679 --> 01:03:18.159 You know, you're gonna have stretches where you're winning games and it looks great and everything like that, but I'm gonna tell you right now, you got to have guys buy into whatever the system is gonna be, or whatever the shot distribution is going to be. 01:03:19.760 --> 01:03:29.119 Because Maxi had green light all day long last year, and now you're telling him, Oh, yeah, we need you to bottle that up. 01:03:30.719 --> 01:03:35.599 That can be very difficult for a player. 01:03:38.079 --> 01:03:42.079 What the fans need to focus on, cross your fingers. 01:03:44.159 --> 01:03:46.880 Cross your fingers that MV plays a lot of games. 01:03:47.440 --> 01:03:48.159 Cross it. 01:03:48.800 --> 01:03:53.039 Now what helps you out is that you got a clethera picks. 01:03:53.760 --> 01:04:03.679 You still got your own 2027 first round pick, 2029, 2030, 2032, and 2033. 01:04:04.639 --> 01:04:07.920 Boston got your pick in 2031. 01:04:08.719 --> 01:04:12.480 Now, your call is the 50 and a half wins. 01:04:13.519 --> 01:04:15.519 I think talent wins out. 01:04:15.760 --> 01:04:18.000 I think you win fifty-two games. 01:04:20.159 --> 01:04:28.880 I'm putting a lot on MV staying healthy, and I should I should not bet that MV will stay healthy. 01:04:29.440 --> 01:04:42.079 Now the other question is this will Nick Nurse pick a style and be married to it, or be married to that clotting style that M B and LeBron will prefer them to play? 01:04:43.199 --> 01:04:45.280 And here is a question for you. 01:04:45.599 --> 01:04:47.840 Philadelphia 76ers fans. 01:04:48.320 --> 01:04:53.039 Hit me up on on uh X at Frontrunner PC. 01:04:54.880 --> 01:05:06.159 Is Maxie not MB the most important player on the 76ers and how he goes, so go the 76ers? 01:05:07.599 --> 01:05:13.519 That's why I'm saying that you guys are gonna go over. 01:05:14.800 --> 01:05:19.360 Next up on the docket is our guys from the Celtics. 01:05:19.599 --> 01:05:23.360 And the Celtics have a lot, a lot of explaining to do. 01:05:23.679 --> 01:05:26.159 Boston traded away Jalen Brown. 01:05:26.400 --> 01:05:30.559 Oh, by the way, seventh best player according to analytics. 01:05:31.039 --> 01:05:34.320 To the Philadelphia 76ers, obviously, for Paul George. 01:05:34.480 --> 01:05:39.199 They sign Mitchell Robinson and Mike Conley, who is old as dirt. 01:05:39.360 --> 01:05:43.519 Um, they get back Jason Tatum uh from the Achilles tier. 01:05:43.679 --> 01:05:52.559 Remember, he had a 16 game cameo last year uh and missed a couple of the pre the uh postseason games as far as that's concerned. 01:05:52.960 --> 01:05:59.280 Now he was able to spend a full offseason working on skill work rather than rehabbing, which is great. 01:06:00.000 --> 01:06:07.360 Now the Celtics won fifty-six games last year, but Pandu was saying forty-nine. 01:06:08.400 --> 01:06:11.360 Forty-nine and a half for the Celtics. 01:06:11.679 --> 01:06:12.800 What say you? 01:06:15.599 --> 01:06:17.519 They won fifty-six last year. 01:06:17.920 --> 01:06:20.079 We're not gonna talk about the postseason. 01:06:20.880 --> 01:06:23.199 Because we just talked about with the 76ers. 01:06:24.079 --> 01:06:26.239 Let's get into this team, shall we? 01:06:27.679 --> 01:06:34.159 Um both recent postseasons have ended in losses to lower seeds, by the way. 01:06:35.039 --> 01:06:37.119 That's a first and foremost thing. 01:06:37.760 --> 01:06:45.440 And being number six in the in the east, down one, we'll see. 01:06:46.079 --> 01:06:50.400 This is last the power rankings that came out from the athletic. 01:06:52.800 --> 01:06:59.199 If you want to know, it wasn't personal, it was strictly business about Jalen Brown. 01:06:59.360 --> 01:07:03.599 And when I say that, it's gonna make Boston Celtics fans mad. 01:07:04.239 --> 01:07:05.360 It was business. 01:07:05.599 --> 01:07:07.840 You're 100% right, it was. 01:07:08.480 --> 01:07:21.440 Boston moved on from a 71-game uh player in Brown, their best scorer, who almost averaged 29 points a game, to an often injured 36-year-old. 01:07:21.599 --> 01:07:27.039 And I'm telling you, that sell job came straight from Bill Chisholm himself and his desk. 01:07:27.360 --> 01:07:37.119 Brad Stevens just needs to execute the play the playbook and the cost-cutting vision that Chisholm has for him. 01:07:37.280 --> 01:07:44.000 And the analytics group needs to back it up, uh, back that up the narrative up with numbers. 01:07:45.920 --> 01:07:48.639 I'm just point blank simple. 01:07:49.679 --> 01:08:02.719 They weren't going to continue to have a team that where you have Tatum and Brown on it, basically taking up like a hundred and thirty million dollars of the cap. 01:08:03.679 --> 01:08:05.679 That was not gonna happen. 01:08:06.719 --> 01:08:09.920 Remember, Brown was due for extension. 01:08:10.239 --> 01:08:12.079 They were like, nah, we're not paying that. 01:08:12.239 --> 01:08:13.280 We're cool. 01:08:14.400 --> 01:08:16.960 We need to get off this dude real quick. 01:08:17.680 --> 01:08:26.720 And they've been trying to sell that Paul George is a better fit with Tatum than Jalen Brown. 01:08:27.600 --> 01:08:29.359 Who helped them win a title? 01:08:29.600 --> 01:08:38.640 By the way, not only helped them win a

title, he was the Eastern Conference Finals MVP and then also the NBA finals MVP. 01:08:39.279 --> 01:08:39.600 Okay? 01:08:40.079 --> 01:08:42.640 We're not talking about some scrub, dude. 01:08:42.960 --> 01:08:49.520 We're talking about argument for argument's sake, the second best player on the on the Celtics. 01:08:49.680 --> 01:08:57.119 I don't care what your analytics department says, or whatever independent number person you got that off of. 01:09:16.560 --> 01:09:19.279 Now they did draft kind of interesting. 01:09:19.520 --> 01:09:20.960 Chris Sinick Jr. 01:09:21.199 --> 01:09:28.800 from Houston was their 27th pick overall, and then they picked up Dylan Mitchell at the 40th pick. 01:09:30.239 --> 01:09:35.039 What's gone from the Boston Celtics? 01:09:35.359 --> 01:09:36.960 A bunch of coins. 01:09:37.680 --> 01:09:39.039 Jalen Brown is gone. 01:09:39.119 --> 01:09:40.640 We told you what he averaged. 01:09:40.800 --> 01:09:42.960 They have Rusovic on that team. 01:09:43.199 --> 01:09:45.520 And I'm not saying that you should have kept him. 01:09:45.840 --> 01:09:48.800 You know, I don't know if you could have afforded the price tag, but guess what? 01:09:48.960 --> 01:09:50.000 He's gone. 01:09:50.800 --> 01:09:54.479 And Anthony Simons is also in Philadelphia. 01:09:54.800 --> 01:09:59.680 Top five offense and defense for four straight seasons are the Boston Celtics. 01:09:59.760 --> 01:10:01.119 Is that gonna continue? 01:10:02.880 --> 01:10:13.840 Their offense was 126.6 per 100% uh what per what per 100 possessions, best in three years. 01:10:14.079 --> 01:10:20.159 Now, here's the rub, and I don't know if this gets any better with the acquisitions they made. 01:10:20.560 --> 01:10:27.119 Only 41% of shots in the paint drive into the paint on this roster right now. 01:10:27.600 --> 01:10:31.279 That's lasting the league for the third straight year. 01:10:31.439 --> 01:10:36.560 We know that Missoula likes to get up a bunch of po get a butt bunch of three-point shots. 01:10:36.720 --> 01:10:45.359 We know that, but they need to diversify this offense, and they need to do something with this as soon as possible. 01:10:46.159 --> 01:10:48.720 And also, can I ask a quick question? 01:10:49.039 --> 01:10:55.680 Are we expecting Mitchell Robinson to play like 32 minutes a game now? 01:10:56.880 --> 01:11:00.960 So we're gonna have a hacker Robinson in in Boston. 01:11:02.640 --> 01:11:07.920 Also, not the most durable dude on the face of the planet either. 01:11:09.439 --> 01:11:12.880 So, just got some questions there. 01:11:13.199 --> 01:11:15.520 Just questions all over the board. 01:11:15.840 --> 01:11:29.600 You traded Jalen Brown, who had his best season, maybe because he said something like, I know I played in the championship game or whatever, Casey McGee, but last year was my most satisfying season that I've had. 01:11:30.720 --> 01:11:42.720 A lot of people kind of turn their eye up to that one, they gave him a little side eye, thinking like you won a championship with Jason Tato, and you're telling us last seat season was the best season for you. 01:11:43.520 --> 01:11:45.840 That's disrespectful to the to the fan base. 01:11:47.199 --> 01:11:54.079 But hey man, that dude was looking to to to spread his wings a little bit. 01:11:54.319 --> 01:11:58.159 My whole thing is that could you have gotten better if you would have waited. 01:11:59.439 --> 01:12:00.159 Just asking. 01:12:00.319 --> 01:12:05.039 Oh, and by the way, you shift them off to a team that you're gonna see four times a year. 01:12:06.880 --> 01:12:09.359 This doesn't none of this sounds good. 01:12:09.840 --> 01:12:11.359 And I'm sorry, Boston. 01:12:11.680 --> 01:12:26.720 I'm trying to throw some rainbows in there somewhere, but the moves are to be critiqued as such because they look suspect. 01:12:27.359 --> 01:12:32.319 They look like we just tried to tear down payroll. 01:12:32.560 --> 01:12:34.000 That's what it looked like. 01:12:35.039 --> 01:12:44.079 And anybody telling you differently is is trying to sell you uh guerrilla goods that's not worth a damn. 01:12:45.039 --> 01:12:46.319 Just being honest. 01:12:46.560 --> 01:12:54.000 Now, the good thing about this is that they have their own picks of 2027, 2030, and 2033. 01:12:54.640 --> 01:13:01.439 Um Philadelphia owns their 2031 pick. 01:13:02.000 --> 01:13:06.000 Oh, they got their oh, they got Philadelphia's pick from 2031. 01:13:06.239 --> 01:13:10.399 Uh, they have a conditional situation with Portland and Washington in 2029. 01:13:10.960 --> 01:13:11.920 That sucks. 01:13:12.239 --> 01:13:15.359 And the 2032 pick is frozen because of the salary cap. 01:13:16.079 --> 01:13:17.279 Not great. 01:13:18.479 --> 01:13:21.439 Now, Jason Tatum is gonna be back. 01:13:22.159 --> 01:13:24.880 He's maybe he'd be fully back. 01:13:25.359 --> 01:13:31.199 I will not look at the numbers last year and go, oh, this is this is what he is, what he is. 01:13:31.359 --> 01:13:36.399 It's not because what he is is like a 27 point per game, dude. 01:13:36.560 --> 01:13:38.880 He might need to go up from that personally. 01:13:40.159 --> 01:13:44.960 He's a better rebounder of the ball than the Jalen Brown. 01:13:45.199 --> 01:13:54.000 I never thought like you should trade Tatum or you know, trade Tatum instead of Jalen Brown. 01:13:54.079 --> 01:13:56.560 I think you should have tried to find a way to keep them together. 01:13:56.720 --> 01:13:59.760 Maybe you pare down the payroll somewhere else. 01:14:00.079 --> 01:14:02.800 They wanted more flexibility down the road. 01:14:02.960 --> 01:14:04.000 I don't know. 01:14:04.560 --> 01:14:06.640 We'll see how this all works. 01:14:07.039 --> 01:14:09.840 But right now, not great. 01:14:10.560 --> 01:14:12.479 Not great whatsoever. 01:14:14.079 --> 01:14:19.279 So I think right now, and this is what Paul George numbers look like, by the way. 01:14:19.600 --> 01:14:29.199 He only played 37 games last year,

17.3 points a game, so you lost 11 points there, 5.3 rebounds, 3.6 assists. 01:14:29.439 --> 01:14:34.000 He did shoot 39.2% from 3 on 7 tries. 01:14:34.399 --> 01:14:41.039 His uh true shooting percentage was uh 57%, and his box plus minus was 1.7. 01:14:41.760 --> 01:14:55.920 Now uh he couple years ago he only played 41 games, so he's played in the last four years 56, 74, 41, and 37 games. 01:14:58.159 --> 01:15:02.640 Not great, not great, not great. 01:15:04.720 --> 01:15:09.520 And Derek White needs to have a bounce back year, by the way, just as a FY. 01:15:09.840 --> 01:15:12.319 That's the other guy that we need to talk about real quick. 01:15:12.560 --> 01:15:14.560 He played 77 games last year. 01:15:14.720 --> 01:15:15.359 That's great. 01:15:15.600 --> 01:15:20.319 He is the heart, he's one of the heart and soul dudes on this team, understandably. 01:15:20.560 --> 01:15:22.560 Everybody loves Derek White. 01:15:22.880 --> 01:15:29.680 Here's the thing the three-point shot, the 32.37% is not gonna cut it. 01:15:30.159 --> 01:15:32.880 Especially on eight eight point three tries. 01:15:33.199 --> 01:15:36.479 The true shooting percentage is down to 52.9. 01:15:37.520 --> 01:15:41.680 It was 60 point, it was 60.6 at one point. 01:15:42.479 --> 01:15:45.520 That's a 77 point drop, man. 01:15:46.399 --> 01:15:53.520 His two his uh two-point field goal percentage went from 59.3 to 48.7. 01:15:54.640 --> 01:15:58.239 Now, here's um the other things that he has. 01:15:58.399 --> 01:16:01.039 He's still one of the best defenders in the league. 01:16:01.199 --> 01:16:11.439 He still has an incredible block rate for somebody who block shots as a guard, 3.8, which is and he averaged 1.3 blocks a game, which is crazy. 01:16:11.680 --> 01:16:20.159 He's 32 years of age at this point, and there was somebody I talked to, and they said, Don't worry about the three-point shot. 01:16:20.239 --> 01:16:24.319 It's the two-point drop that is worth watching. 01:16:24.479 --> 01:16:27.600 That's the thing that you need to concentrate on. 01:16:27.760 --> 01:16:29.600 I was like, oh, okay, yeah. 01:16:29.760 --> 01:16:33.199 So that's when we dug into the numbers and we saw what he shot last year. 01:16:33.279 --> 01:16:34.319 It was terrible. 01:16:34.560 --> 01:16:39.039 Now, Mitchell Robertson is gonna be an awesome offensive rebounder. 01:16:39.199 --> 01:16:44.800 We saw him do it for the Knicks, but he does not play a lot of minutes. 01:16:45.119 --> 01:16:59.760 He didn't play a lot of minutes when he was in New York, and I'm trying to wrap my head around that we're just going to for a guy who's often injured, we're just gonna give this dude like 30 minutes a game, and that's just gonna be okay. 01:17:01.520 --> 01:17:02.560 You know what I'm saying? 01:17:02.640 --> 01:17:04.640 That's just gonna be alright. 01:17:04.960 --> 01:17:09.119 He only shoots 40% from the free throw line, by the way. 01:17:09.920 --> 01:17:13.760 So Hacker Robinson will come to the to the Celtics. 01:17:14.560 --> 01:17:22.000 Now, they have depth on the front court, they have Demais Kita, who was a standout last year. 01:17:22.159 --> 01:17:30.960 So basically, they have like a three-headed monster at the center position, along with Luka Garza, and also they got the kid Chris Sanak Jr. 01:17:31.439 --> 01:17:32.640 So that's good. 01:17:32.960 --> 01:17:36.239 So, what is the record for the Celtics? 01:17:36.399 --> 01:17:37.760 I'll tell you right now. 01:17:38.479 --> 01:17:50.399 If Tatum plays over 60 games and plays 30 34 34 minutes, if White gets his three-point shooting up to at least league average, but his twos come up as well? 01:17:53.119 --> 01:17:55.920 Is Robinson gonna play 55 plus games? 01:17:56.159 --> 01:17:57.680 Does that fix the paint? 01:17:58.239 --> 01:18:01.039 Is that center by committee gonna work? 01:18:02.479 --> 01:18:14.239 Does George play the amount of games that he usually plays, or is he gonna get up to close to the amount that you played to get uh awards? 01:18:14.720 --> 01:18:16.720 These are all questions that I have. 01:18:18.720 --> 01:18:22.640 The fans need to focus on their owner. 01:18:23.520 --> 01:18:30.079 Because you know what is important to you guys, it's gonna be the trade deadline this year. 01:18:30.720 --> 01:18:32.880 Is there more pairing to come? 01:18:34.079 --> 01:18:36.880 Is Derek is Derek White on his way out? 01:18:38.960 --> 01:18:40.560 What's the situation? 01:18:42.000 --> 01:18:46.880 Cause remember, um, our guy Paul Jordan makes a ton of money too. 01:18:47.199 --> 01:18:50.560 It's not like you got off this a crazy amount of money. 01:18:50.800 --> 01:18:56.159 You just didn't have to pay the extension for Jalen Brown, which you did not want to do. 01:18:58.319 --> 01:19:05.279 So your boy has told you like he's not trying to cost cut, but that's exactly what Bill Chisholm has done. 01:19:05.680 --> 01:19:14.239 Our call is this I don't think they're gonna get to the over 51. 01:19:15.039 --> 01:19:16.960 I think they're gonna hit 50. 01:19:17.600 --> 01:19:24.079 I think they're gonna be competitive, I think they're gonna win 50 games, but they're going under. 01:19:26.720 --> 01:19:35.840 Now, the next team that we need to worry about is the New York Knicks, the defending reigning champions of the NBA. 01:19:36.159 --> 01:19:38.640 Now, it's all good for the Knicks, right? 01:19:39.039 --> 01:19:44.239 The Knicks were 53-29 last year, but they were incredible during the playoffs. 01:19:44.399 --> 01:19:45.840 They were 16-3. 01:19:46.560 --> 01:19:51.199 They kept on coming back on San Antonio just like it was crazy. 01:19:51.760 --> 01:19:53.520 It was so crazy. 01:19:55.840 --> 01:20:00.399 So, what do they do for Encore after they won 53 games? 01:20:00.640 --> 01:20:03.279 Well, Mitchell Robinson is gone. 01:20:03.439 --> 01:20:12.479 They replaced him with Andre Drummond, which is kind of like a supposedly a close facsimile as far as

rebounding is concerned. 01:20:13.520 --> 01:20:16.079 Their win total is 52.5. 01:20:18.800 --> 01:20:25.039 So, what makes this team so good and looking to uh repeat? 01:20:26.399 --> 01:20:31.439 Well, everybody's back except for Mitchell Robson, so you know you got that. 01:20:31.680 --> 01:20:33.439 You don't have to worry there. 01:20:34.319 --> 01:20:46.239 You do have a couple things that you do need to worry about, like the extension for Carl Anthony Towns, which they down the front office is saying that we're gonna table these talks for a little bit. 01:20:47.439 --> 01:20:49.600 Not feeling that whatsoever. 01:20:49.920 --> 01:20:50.880 Who else was it? 01:20:51.039 --> 01:20:52.560 McBride as well. 01:20:54.319 --> 01:20:55.840 Not feeling that. 01:20:56.239 --> 01:21:00.399 But hey, it's a Kumbaya season. 01:21:00.640 --> 01:21:11.840 The Knicks are the world champions, they're the defending world champions, so their team looks still formidable, still formidable. 01:21:12.880 --> 01:21:19.279 They're gonna sit there and walk into this season with Jalen Brunson now with a championship under his belt. 01:21:19.520 --> 01:21:27.199 Uh Jalen Brunson had a phenomenal season again last year, 26 points a game, almost seven assists, three rebounds. 01:21:27.520 --> 01:21:34.239 He said true shooting percentage um was uh 58% or point five eight. 01:21:34.399 --> 01:21:43.920 Oh he had a box class minus three point one. 01:21:45.039 --> 01:21:50.319 He is three point percentage has gone down over the last two or three years. 01:21:50.560 --> 01:21:55.600 He was from 40% down to three point three six three thirty-six point nine. 01:21:55.840 --> 01:21:58.640 Now he's taking more shots, obviously. 01:21:59.279 --> 01:22:01.920 His free throw rate has kind of gone down as well. 01:22:02.000 --> 01:22:08.960 He's gone from uh point three seven three to uh two eight five, which is crazy. 01:22:09.520 --> 01:22:11.600 Gonna have to get those back up. 01:22:12.640 --> 01:22:15.600 He's pretty damn durable, he plays in a lot of games. 01:22:15.680 --> 01:22:19.920 He played at 74 last year, a couple years ago, 65. 01:22:20.399 --> 01:22:22.640 So he's really about right there. 01:22:23.119 --> 01:22:30.159 Now, the one weak number with him is his defensive box plus or minus, but that's why they built the team around him. 01:22:30.560 --> 01:22:32.640 That's why you got OG Ananobi. 01:22:32.720 --> 01:22:36.800 That's why you got Mikhail Bridges and in the crew. 01:22:37.039 --> 01:22:46.079 The real key is the I don't even know if you want to call it growth, but the maturity level that Carl Anthony Town showed during the playoffs. 01:22:46.159 --> 01:22:49.520 I wonder if that's something that he could do for an 82-game season. 01:22:49.840 --> 01:22:51.920 Now, the numbers are always good. 01:22:52.079 --> 01:22:55.680 20 points a game, almost 12 rebounds a game, which is stellar. 01:22:56.720 --> 01:22:58.479 Played in 75 games. 01:22:58.720 --> 01:23:13.199 His true shooting percentage was uh uh 619, uh he had a PR of 22, his win shares per 48 was one was point one nine seven. 01:23:16.239 --> 01:23:30.000 So I love that, and then he had a uh total rebound rate of twenty-one point four, the defensive rebound percentage was thirty one point three or thirty-one point seven. 01:23:30.079 --> 01:23:33.520 I'm sorry, and the offensive rebound was eleven point two. 01:23:37.119 --> 01:23:45.920 Now, you can talk about that, or you want to talk about just how what kind of defense he played in the playoffs? 01:23:46.399 --> 01:23:48.960 Cause that dude was a demon. 01:23:49.199 --> 01:23:51.520 Not he shot the wall, did all those things. 01:23:51.600 --> 01:23:54.000 Don't I'm not pooping the numbers. 01:23:54.079 --> 01:24:11.199 What I'm saying is that the silly fouls went away, and he was able to lock in on his defense assignment and be able to really complete his defense assignments last year, and I thought that was critical to what they were trying to do. 01:24:11.520 --> 01:24:23.199 Now, OG Ananobi will always be known as the dude who tipped the ball in during game four on that incredible comeback that they had no business coming back from. 01:24:23.439 --> 01:24:40.079 The miracle in the garden, whatever you want to call it, when you have like Hollywood types or whatever case may be, like Ben Stiller and Tracy Morgan and all these dudes just roaming around the garden like they're in a fog of euphoria. 01:24:40.640 --> 01:24:44.159 Man, it's an incredible, it's an incredible night to be alive. 01:24:44.319 --> 01:24:50.159 People will talk about that night for a long period of time in New York City. 01:24:50.319 --> 01:24:57.840 Now, when you look at OG Ananobi's numbers during the regular season, they look quite pedestrian. 01:24:58.079 --> 01:25:05.279 He averaged 16.7 points a game, 5.2 rebounds, he played in 67 games, right? 01:25:05.439 --> 01:25:06.640 33 minutes. 01:25:06.800 --> 01:25:12.960 Now he shot the ball very well at 38.6% from three on six attempts. 01:25:13.119 --> 01:25:17.119 His true shooting percentage was 0.620, which is great. 01:25:17.279 --> 01:25:26.239 His PR was five was 15.8, and his win share sport per 48 was.135. 01:25:26.960 --> 01:25:29.840 His box plus minus wasn't awesome. 01:25:30.319 --> 01:25:32.399 But here's the thing. 01:25:32.960 --> 01:25:36.960 The tip is the only thing that matters. 01:25:37.359 --> 01:25:49.279 That dude played incredible defense, he was super clutch during the playoffs, he hit shots, he was around the ball all the time. 01:25:50.319 --> 01:25:57.359 He had a um effective field goal percentage in the playoffs of 67.2%. 01:26:00.000 --> 01:26:06.319 It's the highest in playoff history for somebody who had a hundred and fifty plus attempts. 01:26:07.680 --> 01:26:10.399 Tell me that you're not clutch. 01:26:12.399 --> 01:26:14.319 Dude was awesome. 01:26:15.439 --> 01:26:19.760 We love OG and Anobi on this podcast.

01:26:20.560 --> 01:26:28.319 Now the Robinson to Drummond situation, you can sit here and say, hmm, how's that gonna work out? 01:26:29.359 --> 01:26:31.520 Robinson now in Boston. 01:26:31.680 --> 01:26:38.640 He gave him 60 games last year, 19 minutes per game, 5.7 points and 8.8 reruns. 01:26:38.880 --> 01:26:46.079 Now, drumming, 19.5 minutes a game, 6.4 points and 8.4 rebounds. 01:26:46.159 --> 01:26:49.600 I'm telling you, he was just the Robinson replacement. 01:26:50.399 --> 01:26:51.199 That's all. 01:26:51.840 --> 01:26:54.560 I mean, you couldn't have done better than that. 01:26:55.760 --> 01:26:57.039 You know what I'm saying? 01:26:57.359 --> 01:27:01.359 Now, do they still have the other cast of characters like Mikhail Bridges? 01:27:01.600 --> 01:27:04.159 100% Miles McBride still here, yep. 01:27:04.319 --> 01:27:06.319 He's still gonna be DM fools up. 01:27:06.560 --> 01:27:10.960 We also got our guy, Grant Theft Alvarado, you know what I'm saying? 01:27:11.039 --> 01:27:15.760 He's gonna be bringing just the Moxie and the pressure on the ball. 01:27:16.079 --> 01:27:21.279 Now, does Mohammed Diora play a more significant role? 01:27:21.439 --> 01:27:25.840 How about their rookie Sergio De La Rea? 01:27:26.399 --> 01:27:28.880 We will see how this works out. 01:27:29.039 --> 01:27:39.840 But they got a couple guys who I'm looking forward to seeing them again a couple couple minutes on the court, and it's Dioire and uh De LaRea. 01:27:40.319 --> 01:27:46.319 A lot of those two kids don't want to see them develop as far as turn, but the Knicks are going for another championship. 01:27:46.399 --> 01:27:48.000 So, how do they get there? 01:27:48.640 --> 01:27:56.720 Brunson stays steady, towns stay steady, but obviously, towns has the contract uh weighing over him. 01:27:56.880 --> 01:27:58.479 We'll see how that goes. 01:27:58.720 --> 01:28:03.359 Now, with that, we Are they gonna win enough games? 01:28:03.520 --> 01:28:05.439 Are they gonna have a championship hangover? 01:28:06.560 --> 01:28:12.159 If there was a team not to have one, it's gonna be this next team because who is leader? 01:28:13.439 --> 01:28:16.159 Brunson is unflapable, dude. 01:28:16.479 --> 01:28:18.479 He's just unflappable. 01:28:20.560 --> 01:28:24.720 But fifty-two and a half is a big number. 01:28:25.279 --> 01:28:28.880 But I'm gonna tell you right now, the Knicks are going over. 01:28:29.439 --> 01:28:32.800 The Knicks are going over their win total. 01:28:33.119 --> 01:28:37.680 They're gonna get to 54 games, one, something like that. 01:28:37.840 --> 01:28:44.239 They're gonna be the team that's favorite coming out the east again. 01:28:46.399 --> 01:28:47.039 You know? 01:28:48.079 --> 01:28:50.880 So and the cover is not bare. 01:28:51.840 --> 01:28:53.760 The cover is not bare. 01:28:54.399 --> 01:29:02.880 So if they need to make a trade, if something is lacking somewhere, they still have three first round picks that they can deal from. 01:29:04.239 --> 01:29:06.000 So we'll see how it all goes. 01:29:06.079 --> 01:29:08.319 But I think that the Knicks are gonna be awesome. 01:29:08.479 --> 01:29:10.399 I think I don't know if they're gonna repeat. 01:29:10.640 --> 01:29:14.239 We'll get to that when we get to like predictions or whatever. 01:29:14.399 --> 01:29:18.000 And here's how we do it here at Front Runner Podcast Collective. 01:29:18.479 --> 01:29:23.600 Everybody won't tell you what their finals uh situation is gonna be. 01:29:24.000 --> 01:29:26.560 We're telling you who who's gonna get to the playoffs. 01:29:26.720 --> 01:29:30.960 We're not gonna necessarily tell you who's gonna get to the finals until guess what? 01:29:31.760 --> 01:29:33.680 We get to the playoffs. 01:29:34.640 --> 01:29:36.560 And we do it series by series. 01:29:36.720 --> 01:29:41.199 Oh, this part the this team's gonna win the series, this team's gonna win the series, and whatever case may be. 01:29:41.439 --> 01:29:42.720 And here's why. 01:29:42.960 --> 01:29:45.279 So you haven't been with us for the long haul. 01:29:45.439 --> 01:29:47.359 Like this is you new for you. 01:29:48.000 --> 01:29:49.439 That's how we do it. 01:29:49.760 --> 01:29:55.199 But I do think the Knicks have a really good chance of coming out of the East. 01:29:55.439 --> 01:29:57.199 That's what I will tell you. 01:29:57.600 --> 01:30:01.039 Now, this is a long season, a lot of shit could happen. 01:30:01.359 --> 01:30:07.039 Somebody could get injured, somebody could say, if you don't pay me, I'm a pout. 01:30:07.359 --> 01:30:10.399 You can s a whole bunch of stuff could happen. 01:30:12.000 --> 01:30:23.600 But I like the Knicks, I like the the makeup of the team, I like who their leader is, and what what he's able to block out and what have you. 01:30:24.399 --> 01:30:28.000 So I do like their window staying open a little bit longer. 01:30:28.239 --> 01:30:31.520 So that is the Atlantic Division. 01:30:31.680 --> 01:30:34.479 I want to thank you guys for listening to this podcast. 01:30:34.720 --> 01:30:40.880 It did run long, that's okay, because we had a lot of shit that we needed to get to, and it was great. 01:30:41.199 --> 01:30:45.840 So the Knicks, best team in the Atlantic division. 01:30:46.079 --> 01:30:47.840 Who would have thought that? 01:30:48.960 --> 01:30:57.600 I picked them over the Avengers team of the Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics. 01:30:58.560 --> 01:31:01.840 Good luck in their chase of the Knicks. 01:31:02.960 --> 01:31:04.720 We'll see how it all works out. 01:31:04.960 --> 01:31:15.439 Boston fans, let me know how your cost-cutting measures go over the next three or four months in Boston. 01:31:15.760 --> 01:31:20.640 I know you guys gotta be shy-eyeing that new owner right about now. 01:31:21.119 --> 01:31:23.119 Is he turning into John Henry? 01:31:23.279 --> 01:31:24.079 Just let me know. 01:31:24.239 --> 01:31:30.640 Hit me up on Twitter or on X, as you want to put it, at uh frontrunner PC. 01:31:30.960 --> 01:31:35.439 That's frontrunner, P as in Paul, C is in Charles. 01:31:35.920 --> 01:31:42.720 And also you can hit up the the other social account, which is at socially underscore FRPC. 01:31:43.199 --> 01:31:43.920 You know what I'm saying? 01:31:44.079 --> 01:31:47.279 Follow us on all the all the social medias. 01:31:47.680 --> 01:31:57.760 FRPC events on IG, FRPC Vince on TikTok, FRPC events on so on YouTube, you know what I'm saying? 01:31:58.239 --> 01:32:00.560 You know where to find us. 01:32:01.119 --> 01:32:10.000 So with that being said, um, share this episode with somebody in your group chat that really needs it. 01:32:10.560 --> 01:32:12.479 Pull up on us on social media. 01:32:12.560 --> 01:32:17.279 I gave you all the social medias so you know how to get them. 01:32:17.840 --> 01:32:32.640 And now before we get up out of here, it's the one thing that I always mean to say to you is this the best part of you is you, not your win-loss record, not your timeline, not your algorithm, just you. 01:32:33.119 --> 01:32:35.119 You just the way you are. 01:32:36.000 --> 01:32:51.279 We want you to continue to surround yourself with beautiful people who actually give you light, the ones who bring you insight, the joy, and the real accountability that makes you you and makes you productive. 01:32:51.520 --> 01:32:53.520 That is your max deal. 01:32:53.760 --> 01:33:01.600 Appreciate them out loud and do not wait on a later day that nobody has promised. 01:33:02.399 --> 01:33:07.680 If you see something that somebody makes you feel good or whatever, let them know right away, man. 01:33:07.760 --> 01:33:09.199 Hey, I really appreciate you. 01:33:09.279 --> 01:33:10.560 Thank you so much. 01:33:11.039 --> 01:33:15.279 Now, here at FRPC, we want to be your hoop family. 01:33:15.520 --> 01:33:17.439 We're gonna be loud sometimes. 01:33:17.680 --> 01:33:22.640 We might get some things wrong, but we're gonna come back and we're gonna own that. 01:33:23.520 --> 01:33:28.239 But we will always respect your brain because anybody can yell a take. 01:33:28.560 --> 01:33:31.039 Very few can actually defend a thought. 01:33:31.359 --> 01:33:37.600 Until the next episode, keep your mind sharp, your heart open, and your circle tight. 01:33:37.840 --> 01:33:45.680 Protect your peace like cap space and never waste it on bad basketball or bad energy. 01:33:45.920 --> 01:33:47.600 I'm Vince, and we're out. 01:33:47.760 --> 01:33:48.479 Take care.