TRASCRIZIONE 🔗
WEBVTT
1
00:00:02.819 --> 00:00:11.179
The Radical Fundamental Principles of Freedom Rational Self-Interest and Individual
2
00:00:11.240 --> 00:00:21.280
Rights This is the Yaron Brook Show Alright everybody, welcome
3
00:00:21.300 --> 00:00:26.280
to Yaron Brook Show on this Tuesday, November 3rd Oh,
4
00:00:26.320 --> 00:00:29.539
we got an echo, let's get rid of that There
5
00:00:29.559 --> 00:00:34.609
we go, that should do it There is sound No video. No,
6
00:00:34.630 --> 00:00:37.590
there is video now as well. Should be any second now.
7
00:00:37.630 --> 00:00:41.219
There we go. You got sound, you got video, I hope.
8
00:00:42.979 --> 00:00:46.219
Let me know in the chat if I just confirmed
9
00:00:46.240 --> 00:00:50.359
that you got sound and video. Anyway, welcome everybody. It's
10
00:00:50.399 --> 00:00:54.840
been a while. I am in Rio de Janeiro and
11
00:00:54.899 --> 00:00:58.920
I figured it's late here. It's 10 p.m. But I
12
00:00:58.950 --> 00:01:01.229
figured I'd get on and just with some commentary on
13
00:01:01.270 --> 00:01:05.760
the midterm elections, of course, We're not actually going to
14
00:01:05.799 --> 00:01:10.010
know anything about the results tonight. Those are going to
15
00:01:10.049 --> 00:01:12.370
come in much, much later, later than I'm willing to
16
00:01:12.450 --> 00:01:17.609
stay up. And most of the, I think, meaningful results
17
00:01:17.769 --> 00:01:22.819
will be known only tomorrow. You know, I'm certainly not
18
00:01:22.840 --> 00:01:27.159
going to call any races here. I'm not an expert
19
00:01:27.280 --> 00:01:32.420
on any of these races and how to kind of
20
00:01:32.700 --> 00:01:36.430
assess races. what is going on, but I thought we'd
21
00:01:36.890 --> 00:01:38.790
just chat a little bit and look at some of
22
00:01:38.810 --> 00:01:40.409
the early results and see if we can see a
23
00:01:40.450 --> 00:01:44.750
pattern or not. I don't know. We'll see. I've got
24
00:01:44.950 --> 00:01:48.640
a bunch of feeds here feeding me updated information. We'll
25
00:01:48.659 --> 00:01:54.019
look at that and we'll try to figure out. But
26
00:01:54.480 --> 00:01:59.239
let's just start with, you know, where we are more broadly.
27
00:02:02.379 --> 00:02:06.400
I mean, here's the reality. in terms of what I
28
00:02:06.459 --> 00:02:09.599
hope will happen tonight. I mean, my hope is that
29
00:02:10.370 --> 00:02:14.110
the Republicans get crushed. I mean, not just lose, but
30
00:02:14.150 --> 00:02:17.909
they get crushed. Now, I've been saying this since 2016.
31
00:02:17.909 --> 00:02:22.069
I've wanted Republicans to get crushed since 2016 because at
32
00:02:23.669 --> 00:02:28.389
some point, the American people, I hope, turn against Donald
33
00:02:28.430 --> 00:02:34.680
Trump and make it clear to the Republican Party that this... This,
34
00:02:35.139 --> 00:02:39.210
the modern, the Republican Party of Donald Trump, the Republican
35
00:02:39.250 --> 00:02:41.469
Party that lets Donald Trump get away with everything, the
36
00:02:41.509 --> 00:02:44.330
Republican Party that will not stand up to him, the
37
00:02:44.349 --> 00:02:49.710
Republican Party of populism, of socialism. I just, I have to,
38
00:02:49.969 --> 00:02:53.729
where is that story? I had it here a second ago. Like,
39
00:02:53.889 --> 00:02:57.849
just today, just to show you, you know, kind of
40
00:02:58.009 --> 00:03:02.219
the nature of the Trump administration from an economic perspective.
41
00:03:02.240 --> 00:03:07.159
This is not the worst thing that the Trump administration
42
00:03:07.199 --> 00:03:14.360
is doing. But it's still significant. This is news from today. Today,
43
00:03:14.939 --> 00:03:20.310
the Trump administration announced its 41st equity stake in a
44
00:03:20.389 --> 00:03:28.710
private U.S. company. 41 companies. This is unprecedented in American history.
45
00:03:29.509 --> 00:03:32.789
And you're worried about Democrats Take Socialists of America when
46
00:03:32.870 --> 00:03:40.250
the Republican president is buying up stock in American companies. But,
47
00:03:40.509 --> 00:03:42.689
you know, I hope everybody goes out there and votes
48
00:03:42.990 --> 00:03:46.169
to stop socialism in America, right? By doing what? By
49
00:03:46.210 --> 00:03:49.449
voting for what? You're getting socialism in America no matter
50
00:03:49.469 --> 00:03:55.930
who you vote for. Anyway, I am hopeful, hopeful, that
51
00:03:56.789 --> 00:04:02.400
the American people will finally repudiate Donald Trump. So that's
52
00:04:02.560 --> 00:04:06.919
one part of it. I'm also hopeful, but while I
53
00:04:06.979 --> 00:04:09.400
think the American people are about to repudiate Donald Trump,
54
00:04:09.419 --> 00:04:12.759
I think the Republicans are going to get a, I
55
00:04:12.819 --> 00:04:14.360
think they're going to get a shellac, and we'll see.
56
00:04:15.060 --> 00:04:18.160
You know, it's very hard to tell. But the other
57
00:04:18.180 --> 00:04:20.079
piece of it is I also hope, and this I'm
58
00:04:20.310 --> 00:04:24.649
not hopeful about, but I hope, that the Democratic Socialists
59
00:04:24.670 --> 00:04:29.730
of America candidates of the Democratic Party don't win, right?
60
00:04:29.889 --> 00:04:34.810
The worst elements on the left Don't win. But they
61
00:04:34.819 --> 00:04:38.329
probably will. They probably will. Whether that's El Sayyad in Michigan,
62
00:04:39.009 --> 00:04:42.569
he seemed to be leading and seemed to be in
63
00:04:42.589 --> 00:04:45.230
a good position to win. Whether it's, I don't know,
64
00:04:45.509 --> 00:04:49.129
in the Senate in Florida. Florida. This is Marco Rubio's
65
00:04:49.189 --> 00:04:54.750
open seat. You've got a Democratic Socialist of America Democratic
66
00:04:54.790 --> 00:04:58.629
candidate who nobody knows how she won the Democratic primary.
67
00:04:59.069 --> 00:05:04.639
She had no money. and she beat an established guy, Vindham,
68
00:05:05.959
Load full transcript
--> 00:05:10.509
with real money, she's running against a Republican who should
69
00:05:10.569 --> 00:05:16.990
be easy cakewalk. We'll see. I mean, right now she's leading,
70
00:05:17.089 --> 00:05:21.740
but Florida, famously Florida, the way they count the votes,
71
00:05:22.480 --> 00:05:28.379
often you see very quick shifts later in the night,
72
00:05:28.600 --> 00:05:32.240
and they usually count the Democratic parts of the state
73
00:05:32.639 --> 00:05:35.040
earlier because those are in the cities and the rural
74
00:05:35.079 --> 00:05:38.620
stuff comes in later and then there's the whole mailed
75
00:05:38.660 --> 00:05:43.699
in ballots and everything like that so anyway what you
76
00:05:43.720 --> 00:05:47.279
get is what you're getting though is a Democratic Socialist
77
00:05:47.339 --> 00:05:49.850
of America candidate doing very well in Florida even if
78
00:05:49.870 --> 00:05:54.730
she doesn't win so you know that's what I hope
79
00:05:54.810 --> 00:06:00.670
that would be ideal Democratic Socialist no Trump no probably
80
00:06:00.709 --> 00:06:05.040
ain't gonna happen the worst, I think, would be an
81
00:06:05.100 --> 00:06:09.790
inconclusive evening where, eh, kind of, yeah, Republicans lose in
82
00:06:09.819 --> 00:06:12.389
the midterms, but they always lose in the midterms. The
83
00:06:12.430 --> 00:06:16.509
governing party always loses in the midterms. So it's not
84
00:06:16.529 --> 00:06:20.490
a statement about Trump. It's just, yeah, people are unhappy
85
00:06:20.550 --> 00:06:23.819
with the existing government, so they vote against it, against
86
00:06:23.839 --> 00:06:29.439
the Republicans, but there's no overwhelming kind of repudiation. That
87
00:06:29.480 --> 00:06:34.889
would be the worst. So early results, the state of
88
00:06:34.949 --> 00:06:38.529
Georgia was called for the Senate. And again, this is
89
00:06:38.550 --> 00:06:44.490
just an indication of how badly Republicans are doing, more broadly.
90
00:06:45.689 --> 00:06:50.560
Georgia used to be a solidly red state. It used
91
00:06:50.600 --> 00:06:54.120
to be a Republican state. And you would think it
92
00:06:54.160 --> 00:07:00.540
was kind of a close call between Democrats and Republicans.
93
00:07:01.910 --> 00:07:04.870
the state is pretty evenly matched. Even though it's not
94
00:07:04.889 --> 00:07:09.310
solidly red anymore, you'd think it would be close. Well,
95
00:07:09.350 --> 00:07:15.149
the polls closed in Georgia, and within minutes, CBS projected
96
00:07:15.170 --> 00:07:19.100
that John Ossoff, the Democrat, would win the Senate. They
97
00:07:19.129 --> 00:07:21.629
don't even have to count that many votes, and it's
98
00:07:21.689 --> 00:07:24.699
obvious he's going to win. He's leading by so much.
99
00:07:26.220 --> 00:07:31.589
And that's pretty stunning. because he's a Democrat in Georgia
100
00:07:31.689 --> 00:07:35.389
and he's running away with it. And what that indicates
101
00:07:35.610 --> 00:07:42.040
is how bad the candidate on the Republican side is.
102
00:07:42.680 --> 00:07:49.439
Georgia should be close. Now, Ossoff might be the guy
103
00:07:49.870 --> 00:07:57.189
the Democrats ultimately, you know, push forward as the presidential
104
00:07:57.209 --> 00:08:00.920
candidate in 2028. So Ossoff's a guy to watch. He
105
00:08:01.009 --> 00:08:07.439
might be the leading candidate right now for the Democratic nomination.
106
00:08:08.639 --> 00:08:14.050
He's not a Democratic socialist in America, so that's good.
107
00:08:15.649 --> 00:08:18.389
And so we'll see. We'll see. And he's very articulate.
108
00:08:18.889 --> 00:08:22.689
He looks the part. He looks presidential. I wouldn't be
109
00:08:22.829 --> 00:08:25.910
at all surprised if he runs for president. I'm pretty
110
00:08:25.930 --> 00:08:28.730
sure he's going to. but that he actually becomes the nominee.
111
00:08:28.750 --> 00:08:35.769
We'll see. We'll see. So, you know, across the board,
112
00:08:35.789 --> 00:08:43.019
it really, you know, we'll see how well Democrats do,
113
00:08:43.639 --> 00:08:46.620
but it doesn't look good for Republicans right now, just
114
00:08:46.759 --> 00:08:49.740
looking at some of the early results. But that's my hope.
115
00:08:50.240 --> 00:08:53.779
My hope is the Democrats win big. And, you know,
116
00:08:53.820 --> 00:08:59.820
people could say, It's about inflation and price inflation, cost
117
00:08:59.879 --> 00:09:03.100
of food and cost of diesel and cost of fuel.
118
00:09:03.580 --> 00:09:05.919
And there's no question that's part of it. And that's
119
00:09:06.179 --> 00:09:09.139
partially Trump's fault. Tariffs is a big part of it,
120
00:09:10.350 --> 00:09:15.190
of prices going up. It's also the consequence of not
121
00:09:15.330 --> 00:09:17.159
winning a war, starting a war and not winning it,
122
00:09:17.750 --> 00:09:21.299
which has driven up oil prices and diesel prices, which
123
00:09:21.379 --> 00:09:25.429
then trickle, you know, affects some other prices. go up.
124
00:09:26.610 --> 00:09:29.230
It's also the fault of the Federal Reserve, which has,
125
00:09:29.250 --> 00:09:35.080
but partially encouraged by Trump, which has continued kind of
126
00:09:35.840 --> 00:09:40.580
a loose monetary policy, which has driven up prices, driven
127
00:09:40.659 --> 00:09:45.129
up monetary inflation, the monetary component of the inflation. So
128
00:09:45.809 --> 00:09:51.889
across the board, prices are higher, people upset. People, you know,
129
00:09:52.289 --> 00:09:55.710
Americans have been, and this is A lot of this
130
00:09:55.909 --> 00:10:01.590
is just, it's Trump because tariffs are crazy. and stupid.
131
00:10:02.629 --> 00:10:05.750
And any economist in the world that he'd asked would
132
00:10:05.789 --> 00:10:08.759
have told him that they're stupid and crazy and people
133
00:10:08.799 --> 00:10:11.720
don't like it. People don't like prices going up. Inflation
134
00:10:12.919 -->
00:10:17.779
is a political disaster. In American history, whenever there's inflation,
135
00:10:18.059 --> 00:10:23.179
the incumbent loses. Inflation, again, being price inflation. People don't
136
00:10:23.240 --> 00:10:28.860
like to see prices going up. So Republicans are going
137
00:10:28.879 --> 00:10:33.500
to suffer for that. But they also talk a lot
138
00:10:33.539 --> 00:10:37.679
about the corruption of this administration. In exit polls, there's
139
00:10:37.720 --> 00:10:41.059
a lot of talk about corruption. That is part of
140
00:10:41.100 --> 00:10:44.419
what's motivating people to vote, I think, against Trump more
141
00:10:44.440 --> 00:10:46.659
than anything else. I think a big part of people
142
00:10:46.700 --> 00:10:51.460
voting today is pro or against Trump's policies. Trump is
143
00:10:51.500 --> 00:10:54.279
a Republican, they're voting against Republicans, not because they don't
144
00:10:54.350 --> 00:10:56.990
like the particular candidate, they don't even probably know what
145
00:10:57.009 --> 00:11:00.730
they stand for. They're voting for or against, to a
146
00:11:00.750 --> 00:11:05.750
large extent, for or against Trump. And that's a sense
147
00:11:05.789 --> 00:11:12.870
in which I very much hope Trump loses, right? That
148
00:11:13.149 --> 00:11:18.409
the Democrats have a big day today. And I think
149
00:11:18.850 --> 00:11:22.710
The Democrats will probably learn the wrong lessons from what
150
00:11:22.750 --> 00:11:27.090
happens today. They'll probably think that the way to go
151
00:11:27.370 --> 00:11:31.090
in the future is to lean more into the Democratic
152
00:11:31.110 --> 00:11:35.950
Socialist of America side of things and to go further
153
00:11:36.029 --> 00:11:39.149
to the left. I think that'll be a big mistake
154
00:11:39.490 --> 00:11:43.460
and that'll cost them in the future. But right now,
155
00:11:44.080 --> 00:11:45.860
it doesn't matter how far they go to the left.
156
00:11:46.879 --> 00:11:49.240
People are voting against Trump. That's the vote. Now, we'll
157
00:11:49.279 --> 00:11:54.210
see again how bad it actually is. This is not
158
00:11:54.269 --> 00:11:57.929
DSA versus Trump. The DSA does not have political power.
159
00:11:58.490 --> 00:12:02.570
When it comes to actually passing laws and passing the legislation,
160
00:12:02.649 --> 00:12:07.580
DSA will not get its way. They don't have 60
161
00:12:07.580 --> 00:12:11.039
votes in the Senate to pass a Medicare for all.
162
00:12:11.659 --> 00:12:15.870
They can't pass anything. Now, what happens in 2008 happens
163
00:12:15.909 --> 00:12:22.009
in 2028, happens in 2028. But this is not DSA versus, what, Trump.
164
00:12:22.820 --> 00:12:27.659
This is Trump versus America. And America is repudiating Trump.
165
00:12:27.740 --> 00:12:32.279
America is not today. The victory of the Democrats is
166
00:12:32.419 --> 00:12:36.429
not a victory for DSA. Some DSA candidates will get in.
167
00:12:37.220 --> 00:12:40.480
But it's not because Americans support their agenda. It's because
168
00:12:40.539 --> 00:12:44.750
Americans are fed up with a second term of the
169
00:12:44.789 --> 00:12:48.299
Trump administration, where in the second term, Trump has actually
170
00:12:48.799 --> 00:12:51.419
done the things that he promised to do in the
171
00:12:51.460 --> 00:12:57.019
first term and didn't get done. They're turning their backs
172
00:12:57.039 --> 00:13:07.570
to the most corrupt, you know, just despicable, irrational, I think,
173
00:13:07.629 --> 00:13:14.179
president in American history. So, It's Trump versus America. And
174
00:13:14.200 --> 00:13:17.460
the DSA will benefit. But the DSA is not winning.
175
00:13:18.179 --> 00:13:20.879
And nobody thinks of it. Nobody's going to the ballot thinking,
176
00:13:21.330 --> 00:13:23.539
I'm going to vote for the DSA. Even in Florida
177
00:13:23.610 --> 00:13:27.570
where the Democratic candidate is DSA. My guess is most
178
00:13:27.610 --> 00:13:31.330
Democrats don't even know that. They're voting. Do they want
179
00:13:31.710 --> 00:13:36.009
to support Trump or do they want to vote, you know,
180
00:13:36.330 --> 00:13:41.480
basically symbolically against him? And I think that's true. even
181
00:13:41.519 --> 00:13:44.700
in house races, which are usually much more local and
182
00:13:44.740 --> 00:13:52.950
much more concentrated on the local. Yeah, I mean, here's
183
00:13:53.009 --> 00:13:56.830
another example, right? So Florida did a bunch of redistricting, right?
184
00:13:57.330 --> 00:14:00.009
Florida did a bunch of redistricting to try to help Republicans.
185
00:14:00.549 --> 00:14:06.279
So they redrew lines, district lines, in order to make
186
00:14:06.299 --> 00:14:09.960
them more favorable to Republican victory. So, for example, Florida 14th,
187
00:14:13.129 --> 00:14:20.679
which was redrawn by DeSantis to dilute Tampa. Tampa is,
188
00:14:20.740 --> 00:14:25.379
of course, Tampa, like many cities, is more democratic. So
189
00:14:25.419 --> 00:14:33.070
they redrew the Florida 14 to dilute Tampa. Trump won
190
00:14:33.889 --> 00:14:39.269
this district, the new lines of this district, by 11 points, right?
191
00:14:41.429 --> 00:14:46.740
they've just called the district for the Democrat, who's Castro,
192
00:14:46.759 --> 00:14:49.840
I don't know anything about Kathy Castro, but she's winning
193
00:14:49.860 --> 00:14:56.480
this 51.5 to 45.6, with 91% of the vote. So
194
00:14:56.519 --> 00:15:01.830
that's a, I assume that's a Democratic pickup. But that's big, right?
195
00:15:01.870 --> 00:15:06.210
So these are, this is the Republicans playing the game, right?
196
00:15:06.950 --> 00:15:17.059
Playing the game. And losing and losing. I mean, um,
197
00:15:18.659 --> 00:15:20.970
I mean, here's a, here's a, uh, you know, another
198
00:15:21.070 --> 00:15:26.250
one where it was, um, you know, the, the, the,
199
00:15:26.370 --> 00:15:31.750
the GOP, this
is rural, uh, rural South Florida, north
200
00:15:31.769 --> 00:15:35.529
of the Everglades. It was drawn up as a GOP seat,
201
00:15:35.610 --> 00:15:43.580
another redistricted, uh, county. And, um, at least with 89%
202
00:15:43.580 --> 00:15:47.379
of the vote counted, it looks like the Democrats are
203
00:15:47.399 --> 00:15:53.000
going to take it. I mean, this is Florida. So,
204
00:15:54.279 --> 00:15:59.860
so much for redistricting. So much for redistricting. Now, the
205
00:15:59.879 --> 00:16:05.279
big ones are going to be the Senate races. You know,
206
00:16:06.830 --> 00:16:11.000
don't have a lot of the percentage vote in. So
207
00:16:13.019 --> 00:16:16.870
in Florida now, the Republican has taken the lead in
208
00:16:16.909 --> 00:16:19.570
the Senate, which is good because, you know, I guess,
209
00:16:19.950 --> 00:16:24.490
because Angie Nixon, the Democrat, is a DSA candidate, and
210
00:16:24.649 --> 00:16:29.259
I expect she will lose. And the Republican is ahead,
211
00:16:30.639 --> 00:16:36.279
and that's with 83.8% of the vote in. So, you know,
212
00:16:36.320 --> 00:16:40.480
we'll see. We'll see as the votes continue in. The
213
00:16:40.519 --> 00:16:45.179
big ones are going to be Michigan. Will El-Sayed win?
214
00:16:45.480 --> 00:16:49.950
That'll be a huge win for the DSA, you know,
215
00:16:50.000 --> 00:16:54.529
against Mike Rogers, who, you know, I'm pretty sure Mike
216
00:16:54.570 --> 00:16:56.250
Rogers is the guy who had a run-in years ago
217
00:16:56.850 --> 00:17:01.669
where we landed up yelling at one another. You've got Maine,
218
00:17:01.809 --> 00:17:08.000
where Susan Collins is the Republican incumbent. She always lags
219
00:17:08.059 --> 00:17:11.000
in the polls and then wins an election. So we'll see.
220
00:17:11.059 --> 00:17:14.559
Maine is a Democratic state with a Republican senator. Will
221
00:17:14.579 --> 00:17:17.869
they keep a Republican senator in a Democratic state? Kansas,
222
00:17:18.009 --> 00:17:23.750
which is a shocker, right? Kansas is a red state.
223
00:17:24.009 --> 00:17:28.799
Trump won it by a huge margin. But it was
224
00:17:28.859 --> 00:17:31.440
expected that it might be a tight race. The other
225
00:17:31.480 --> 00:17:34.660
one to look for is, of course, Texas. I mean,
226
00:17:34.779 --> 00:17:38.099
I really, really hope that in Texas the Democrat wins.
227
00:17:38.940 --> 00:17:44.750
This is one where, God, I mean, Ken Paxton is
228
00:17:44.890 --> 00:17:49.930
such a bad candidate. He represents everything that's bad about MAGA.
229
00:17:50.950 --> 00:17:56.730
His positions on the core issues are awful, including a
230
00:17:56.789 --> 00:18:03.950
moratorium on data centers. He is, by all accounts, right,
231
00:18:04.430 --> 00:18:10.150
He seems to be unbelievably corrupt. Again, MAGA. And just
232
00:18:10.170 --> 00:18:15.009
a horrible human being. Texas also is, you know, just
233
00:18:15.029 --> 00:18:19.890
the way Texas has
gone with regard to abortion is
234
00:18:20.190 --> 00:18:26.349
just horrific. In many respects, Texas Republicans should get a
235
00:18:26.609 --> 00:18:32.309
slap in the face. Ken Paxton losing would be huge.
236
00:18:32.369 --> 00:18:35.950
I mean, remember, this was a seat held by Senator Kanye.
237
00:18:36.589 --> 00:18:41.410
If Senator Kanye was running, he would probably win. And
238
00:18:41.450 --> 00:18:45.730
Republicans chose Paxton over Kanye in the primaries, where Paxton
239
00:18:45.769 --> 00:18:48.890
is clearly a bad guy who has a real chance
240
00:18:49.529 --> 00:18:56.089
of losing to this James Telerico, who I'm sure is
241
00:18:56.130 --> 00:19:01.930
an awful candidate, but Republicans deserve to lose. Here's the thing,
242
00:19:02.490 --> 00:19:08.049
more broadly. Republicans deserve to lose. Democrats don't deserve to win.
243
00:19:08.869 --> 00:19:15.890
Republicans deserve to lose. And as people often remind me,
244
00:19:16.509 --> 00:19:21.410
it's binary. One wins, the other loses. And if Republicans
245
00:19:21.509 --> 00:19:23.230
deserve to lose, then the Democrats are going to win.
246
00:19:25.119 --> 00:19:27.460
And by the way, here's the other point I wanted
247
00:19:27.480 --> 00:19:31.160
to make. I should have made this earlier. If Republicans
248
00:19:31.259 --> 00:19:36.130
lose big tonight, It won't be my fault. I know
249
00:19:36.150 --> 00:19:38.849
a lot of you will blame me. A lot of
250
00:19:38.869 --> 00:19:42.619
you will accuse me of bringing about the rise of
251
00:19:42.650 --> 00:19:47.140
the DSA. But let me just say plainly, it wasn't me.
252
00:19:48.500 --> 00:19:51.299
I didn't do it. I'll tell you who did it.
253
00:19:51.900 --> 00:19:55.940
Who's responsible for the Democratic victory? All of you guys
254
00:19:55.980 --> 00:20:00.799
who voted for Trump. Trump is the reason the Democrats
255
00:20:00.839 --> 00:20:05.329
are seeing such a resurgent. This country is not a
256
00:20:05.390 --> 00:20:10.930
Democratic country. Democratic in terms of pro-Democratic party. This is
257
00:20:10.990 --> 00:20:18.970
a right of center country. This is, the U.S. is Republican,
258
00:20:19.450 --> 00:20:23.880
you know, Republicans lose, you know, should win. And to
259
00:20:23.890 --> 00:20:26.599
the extent that they lose, they lose because of their actions.
260
00:20:28.319 --> 00:20:32.619
The person responsible for Democrats' victory tonight, if there is
261
00:20:32.660 --> 00:20:39.240
such one, is Donald Trump. The person responsible for the
262
00:20:39.279 --> 00:20:42.880
rise of DSA politically, the rise of DSA is caused by,
263
00:20:43.940 --> 00:20:47.329
you know, a lot of issues with our educational institutions.
264
00:20:48.180 --> 00:20:54.650
But the person responsible for electorally the rise of DSA
265
00:20:55.730 --> 00:20:58.809
is Donald Trump. So if you want to blame somebody
266
00:20:58.849 --> 00:21:02.450
for tonight, which I know a lot of
you want to, right,
267
00:21:05.220 --> 00:21:08.089
don't blame me. I have no influence. I wish I could,
268
00:21:08.549 --> 00:21:12.890
but I have no influence. Blame Trump and blame the
269
00:21:12.930 --> 00:21:17.470
people who voted for him. Because, look, if Kamala had won,
270
00:21:19.150 --> 00:21:23.359
today would be a massive red wave. Republicans would be
271
00:21:23.539 --> 00:21:29.400
sweeping into the House and Senate and would be stopping
272
00:21:29.460 --> 00:21:37.019
the irrationality of Kamala. But given Trump, This is what
273
00:21:37.039 --> 00:21:40.400
you get. Whether I think Republicans deserve to lose or
274
00:21:40.480 --> 00:21:56.480
not is irrelevant to what actually happens. All right, let's see. Yeah,
275
00:21:56.619 --> 00:22:00.680
Abdul El-Sayed is going to win. And maybe, we'll see,
276
00:22:00.859 --> 00:22:03.619
maybe he won't. But if he wins, that's Trump's fault.
277
00:22:04.480 --> 00:22:07.480
It's not my fault. It's Trump's fault. If Abdullah Syed wins.
278
00:22:08.420 --> 00:22:13.150
And Abdullah Syed is awful. And you deserve him because
279
00:22:13.329 --> 00:22:17.190
you voted for Trump. You deserve him. This is what
280
00:22:17.210 --> 00:22:19.950
you get with Trump. You know, what happens with the
281
00:22:19.990 --> 00:22:23.269
left and right is they feed off of each other.
282
00:22:23.990 --> 00:22:27.440
And when the right goes nuts, the left gets stronger.
283
00:22:27.980 --> 00:22:31.539
When the left went nuts with woke, Trump could even win.
284
00:22:33.349 --> 00:22:35.769
And you voted for this guy. You keep voting for
285
00:22:35.789 --> 00:22:40.569
this guy. You voted for him in the, what do
286
00:22:40.589 --> 00:22:44.109
you call it, the primaries. And you voted for him
287
00:22:44.130 --> 00:22:48.269
in the general election. So don't look shocked when Democrats
288
00:22:48.349 --> 00:22:53.410
like Abdullah Sayyad win. This is the response to a
289
00:22:53.450 --> 00:22:57.819
Trump presidency. This is what happens. Nutty things happen. Crazy
290
00:22:57.859 --> 00:23:01.680
things happen. Stupid things happen. Really, really immoral people like
291
00:23:01.920 --> 00:23:13.480
Sayyad get elected. Hassan has 200,000 viewers on his stream
292
00:23:14.079 --> 00:23:22.099
watching right now. Yep. He beats me. Jennifer says it's
293
00:23:22.160 --> 00:23:26.569
Canada's fault. Probably. I mean, probably Canada's fault. I mean,
294
00:23:27.630 --> 00:23:30.730
whenever something bad happens here, it's going to be Canada's fault.
295
00:23:30.750 --> 00:23:42.150
All right, let's see. 9.45 is the next check-in. Okay,
296
00:23:42.170 --> 00:23:45.910
so we've got another 15 minutes before we get another
297
00:23:45.950 --> 00:23:50.630
check-in in terms of how the races, the existing races
298
00:23:50.690 --> 00:23:56.809
are going. Again, we've got now, in terms of the
299
00:23:57.150 --> 00:24:01.829
key races, we've got one House race called in favor
300
00:24:01.869 --> 00:24:06.710
of the Democrats in Florida, 14th. This is a district
301
00:24:06.730 --> 00:24:10.769
that Trump won by 11th. and it went Democratic, and
302
00:24:10.809 --> 00:24:15.599
we've got Georgia by a huge margin. Ossoff is winning,
303
00:24:16.299 --> 00:24:18.380
and this should be a toss-up state, and it's not.
304
00:24:18.599 --> 00:24:22.119
This is a state won by Democrats. So, again, still
305
00:24:22.160 --> 00:24:26.480
hard to tell what this all means because we need
306
00:24:26.519 --> 00:24:30.319
a lot more data. And, you know, Alaska is only
307
00:24:30.339 --> 00:24:36.609
going to be closing at 1 a.m. 1 a.m. East
308
00:24:36.650 --> 00:24:41.299
Coast times. So in Alaska might be key to Senate control.
309
00:24:41.779 --> 00:24:44.329
So we might not know. So yes, I mean, there's a,
310
00:24:44.799 --> 00:24:48.180
I mean, if you had looked at this map a
311
00:24:48.220 --> 00:24:50.799
year or two ago and asked yourself, what are the
312
00:24:50.819 --> 00:24:57.000
chances that the Democrats could take the Senate in this year?
313
00:25:00.160 --> 00:25:03.700
You know, you would have said zero. The map right now,
314
00:25:04.509 --> 00:25:11.470
huge in favor of of Republicans. And yet, here we are,
315
00:25:12.049 --> 00:25:19.130
with the opportunity for Democrats to flip Texas, to, you know,
316
00:25:19.339 --> 00:25:24.359
they've already taken Georgia, which should be, you know, and,
317
00:25:25.619 --> 00:25:28.579
you know, what else, you know, they probably flip Maine. Maine,
318
00:25:28.740 --> 00:25:31.359
you probably would have predicted in advance, maybe, that that
319
00:25:31.380 --> 00:25:34.299
would be close. But there's a chance they take South Carolina. Yeah.
320
00:25:36.410 --> 00:25:39.490
They're very likely to take New Hampshire. That will be
321
00:25:39.529 --> 00:25:44.400
a keep, not a flip. You know, they're going to
322
00:25:44.440 --> 00:25:51.579
take Ohio, right? I mean, this is Vance's seat, and
323
00:25:51.640 --> 00:25:54.000
it looks like the Democrats are going to win it.
324
00:25:57.299 --> 00:26:01.119
In Ohio, again, a toss-up state, but not a toss-up state,
325
00:26:01.420 --> 00:26:04.750
a solid red state. It's going to go Democratic. And
326
00:26:04.789 --> 00:26:08.390
it might go Democratic on the governor, in the governor's race.
327
00:26:08.890 --> 00:26:11.109
I don't know if they've, I guess they haven't closed
328
00:26:11.130 --> 00:26:17.450
the polls yet. The polls are closing now in Ohio,
329
00:26:17.490 --> 00:26:22.589
so we might get some sense of, no, we've already
330
00:26:22.630 --> 00:26:27.420
got some data. 25% in Sherrod Brown is leading the
331
00:26:27.440 --> 00:26:32.769
Republican by quite a big margin. So we'll see. What else? Kansas. God,
332
00:26:32.950 --> 00:26:35.470
who would have thought Kansas was up again? And Texas?
333
00:26:36.759 --> 00:26:43.720
That would, you know, nobody would
have considered that. Nobody. So, yeah, it's,
334
00:26:44.359 --> 00:26:50.259
and Iowa even. Iowa is a toss-up. No, and, you know,
335
00:26:50.299 --> 00:26:53.269
and we'll see about Alaska, and Alaska will probably be
336
00:26:53.390 --> 00:26:58.470
litigated because, I mean, the Democrats clearly, I mean, talk
337
00:26:58.509 --> 00:27:05.259
about ugly, What the Democrats did in Alaska is about
338
00:27:05.299 --> 00:27:11.059
as disgusting as anything anybody does during an election. The
339
00:27:11.240 --> 00:27:15.319
story in Alaska is that the Democrats found somebody with
340
00:27:15.339 --> 00:27:19.099
the exact same name as the Republican candidate, put him
341
00:27:19.160 --> 00:27:25.299
on the ballot, knowing that people would get confused and
342
00:27:25.420 --> 00:27:29.069
vote for the wrong Dan Sullivan. and that would dilute
343
00:27:29.109 --> 00:27:31.480
the votes that he got, which would give the Democrat,
344
00:27:31.880 --> 00:27:42.039
in other words, disenfranchising voters, disenfranchising voters, explicitly doing so. It, it,
345
00:27:42.480 --> 00:27:46.700
you know, that, it's just shocking how ugly our politics is,
346
00:27:46.779 --> 00:27:51.609
and in this case, Democrat, the Democrats are the ones, uh,
347
00:27:51.829 --> 00:27:54.750
that are playing a really, really, really ugly game here.
348
00:27:55.410 --> 00:28:05.700
Ugly game. Um, Let me just find out any... Now,
349
00:28:06.460 --> 00:28:10.460
we've got... We've got also... Remember, we've got a lot
350
00:28:10.480 --> 00:28:14.380
of propositions. Really, the big one is going to be California,
351
00:28:14.920 --> 00:28:17.500
which is voting today on a wealth tax on billionaires.
352
00:28:18.440 --> 00:28:24.059
That'll be huge. Let's see. With 34% of the vote
353
00:28:24.099 --> 00:28:31.160
in for the governor of Ohio... Yeah, Amy Acton, the Democrat,
354
00:28:31.180 --> 00:28:38.390
has 59% of the vote, Vivek, 38%. You know, we'll see.
355
00:28:38.430 --> 00:28:42.329
It's too early to call, right? So nobody's calling this,
356
00:28:42.869 --> 00:28:51.420
but so far, at least, we have the Democrats ahead.
357
00:28:56.079 --> 00:28:58.099
I'll keep track of that one as well. I'm curious
358
00:28:58.140 --> 00:29:02.490
about What happens to Vivek? Of course, Vivek probably lost
359
00:29:02.519 --> 00:29:06.339
significant ground because of the stupid ad that he ran,
360
00:29:06.839 --> 00:29:12.519
which was just dumb. It was a toss-up. It was
361
00:29:12.539 --> 00:29:15.079
a very close race. And then he ran this ad
362
00:29:17.589 --> 00:29:23.369
using Amy Acton's mother. They haven't talked. They've been estranged
363
00:29:23.410 --> 00:29:30.450
since Amy was 12 when her I guess stepfather or
364
00:29:30.490 --> 00:29:36.400
father was indicted for raping her as a young girl.
365
00:29:37.869 --> 00:29:41.380
And Vivek used an ad. with the mother who had
366
00:29:42.259 --> 00:29:48.279
taken the father's
side of this, you know, attacking Amy.
367
00:29:49.680 --> 00:29:53.799
It's disgusting and stupid, right? Stupid. Now, we'd have to
368
00:29:53.839 --> 00:29:56.380
go through all the facts and figure out exactly, you know,
369
00:29:56.480 --> 00:30:00.190
all the facts about it. But even if there's some,
370
00:30:00.690 --> 00:30:02.930
even if it's not quite as clear-cut as it seems
371
00:30:02.990 --> 00:30:08.769
to be, it's just stupid. Because, you know, he just
372
00:30:08.829 --> 00:30:13.069
opened his eyes to accusations of being cruel and not
373
00:30:13.109 --> 00:30:18.150
caring about a pedophile and not caring about rape. I mean,
374
00:30:18.430 --> 00:30:25.230
but this is Vivek, who I think for, you know,
375
00:30:25.289 --> 00:30:29.480
when he ran in the primaries for the Republican in
376
00:30:29.500 --> 00:30:38.579
the Republican primaries for president exhibited the kind of callousness, cruelty,
377
00:30:40.019 --> 00:30:46.720
you know, and playing into whatever MAGA wanted and lying, right,
378
00:30:47.099 --> 00:30:52.680
the kind of lying that typifies a post-Trump Republican Party,
379
00:30:53.140 --> 00:30:57.799
kind of the explicit, shameless lies, and never backing down.
380
00:30:57.900 --> 00:31:00.670
That's the other thing. He didn't back down. And Andy
381
00:31:00.710 --> 00:31:06.369
withdrew the ad, but only after there was a huge backlash. So, again,
382
00:31:07.349 --> 00:31:10.569
Vivek deserves to lose. I don't know that Ohio deserves
383
00:31:11.069 --> 00:31:14.799
Amy Acton, but Vivek deserves to lose. This is the problem, right?
384
00:31:16.019 --> 00:31:22.579
So many of these Republicans deserve to lose, even if
385
00:31:22.640 --> 00:31:31.289
we don't deserve the alternative. Let's see. Yeah, as I said,
386
00:31:31.390 --> 00:31:34.069
we'll only get updates, I think. I'll only get updates
387
00:31:34.109 --> 00:31:39.410
here about any particular races, some of the bellwether races.
388
00:31:39.519 --> 00:31:41.539
Let's see if we have any kind of broader update
389
00:31:42.400 --> 00:31:47.700
about any of this. Let me pull up this. Yeah,
390
00:31:49.000 --> 00:31:52.640
I mean, if you look at the voter surveys, what
391
00:31:52.759 --> 00:31:55.930
are people upset about? I mean, they're upset about high costs,
392
00:31:56.470 --> 00:32:01.420
primarily of food and fuel. Uh, those are, those are the, the, the,
393
00:32:01.680 --> 00:32:05.000
the top concerns, uh, what they, you know, for them,
394
00:32:05.099 --> 00:32:08.579
cost of living. Um, Americans went to the polls in
395
00:32:08.599 --> 00:32:13.099
a sour mood. Um, they're looking for change in Washington. Uh,
396
00:32:14.769 --> 00:32:17.410
let's see, high fuel and fuel prices were the top
397
00:32:17.430 --> 00:32:21.910
voter concern. Makes sense with roughly, I mean, again, tariffs
398
00:32:22.289 --> 00:32:25.750
and not winning the war is really costing Trump and
399
00:32:25.789 --> 00:32:35.190
costing Republicans. Uh, Let's see. Let's see. What else? Roughly
400
00:32:35.190 --> 00:32:37.559
6 in 10 voters said they were very concerned about
401
00:32:37.619 --> 00:32:40.940
cost of food with a similar proportion registering that levels
402
00:32:41.099 --> 00:32:45.440
of worry about the price of gasoline or diesel. Ahead
403
00:32:45.460 --> 00:32:47.500
of the election, Trump cast the economy as being on
404
00:32:47.619 --> 00:32:52.369
solid ground. You know, that's the thing. He keeps telling people, no,
405
00:32:52.710 --> 00:32:54.670
you don't know what you're talking about. Everything's going great.
406
00:32:55.289 --> 00:33:02.869
When people seem to feel or really experience the fact
407
00:33:02.930 --> 00:33:07.230
that it's not going so great. Let's see, what else?
408
00:33:08.849 --> 00:33:10.630
Four out of ten voters said one of the reasons
409
00:33:10.690 --> 00:33:15.609
behind the U.S. House vote was to express opposition to Trump. Well,
410
00:33:15.650 --> 00:33:19.319
three-quarters said they feel dissatisfied or angry about the way
411
00:33:19.390 --> 00:33:24.980
things are going nationally. That's Trump. Congress remains deeply unpopular
412
00:33:25.339 --> 00:33:27.960
with almost half saying they strongly disapprove of the job
413
00:33:27.980 --> 00:33:30.509
it is doing. Yeah, I mean, Congress has done nothing.
414
00:33:31.069 --> 00:33:34.579
It has stood by and let Trump do whatever the
415
00:33:34.619 --> 00:33:39.319
hell he wants, and they do nothing. Absolutely zero. Seven
416
00:33:39.359 --> 00:33:41.799
in ten voters said the institution isn't doing enough to
417
00:33:41.839 --> 00:33:45.319
provide checks and balances on the president. Yay to Americans.
418
00:33:45.849 --> 00:33:48.769
That is exactly right. Seven in ten voters want more
419
00:33:48.829 --> 00:33:54.640
checks and balances. I do too. Both political parties were
420
00:33:54.680 --> 00:33:58.440
viewed skeptically by voters, with nearly six in ten having
421
00:33:58.480 --> 00:34:01.269
an unfavorable view of the Republican Party, and a bit
422
00:34:01.309 --> 00:34:07.230
more of half seeing the Democratic Party that way. Republicans currently,
423
00:34:07.289 --> 00:34:12.449
let's see, so most important issues for voters, the economy,
424
00:34:13.150 --> 00:34:16.409
a close second the state of democracy, so the state
425
00:34:16.429 --> 00:34:20.969
of kind of the functioning government. Good. 14% immigration, it's
426
00:34:20.989 --> 00:34:25.739
not clear which direction that goes. But look, ICE is
427
00:34:25.840 --> 00:34:34.519
not popular. Not popular. Nine in ten voters said government
428
00:34:34.760 --> 00:34:38.980
corruption was a crucial, a major factor in deciding their
429
00:34:39.039 --> 00:34:43.349
vote for the U.S. House. For the U.S. House. Where's
430
00:34:43.369 --> 00:34:47.010
the primary corruption? It's in the White House. It's Trump.
431
00:34:50.829 --> 00:34:55.880
So they're voting in the House based on how, you know,
432
00:34:55.960 --> 00:35:00.599
their sense of the corruption in, you know, in the
433
00:35:00.619 --> 00:35:09.309
White House. All right, let's see. Roy Cooper is being
434
00:35:09.389 --> 00:35:16.820
called as the Democrat, Democrat winning the Senate in North Carolina. Again,
435
00:35:16.880 --> 00:35:20.829
a state you would think. Republicans would at least be close,
436
00:35:21.510 --> 00:35:24.630
but he's running away with it. Running away with it,
437
00:35:24.630 --> 00:35:29.030
and that's a pickup. So that was a seat held
438
00:35:29.130 --> 00:35:35.949
by a Republican. So not good for Republicans. And Roy
439
00:35:35.989 --> 00:35:39.309
Cooper is another one who I expect will run for president.
440
00:35:39.909 --> 00:35:44.610
He is a more conservative Democrat. He wins in North Carolina.
441
00:35:45.150 --> 00:35:48.460
And that's why I think Democrats from Georgia or North
442
00:35:48.500 --> 00:35:55.690
Carolina have a real shot at winning nationwide, whereas Democrats
443
00:35:55.750 --> 00:35:59.730
in California or Democrats in New York have less of
444
00:35:59.769 --> 00:36:03.550
a chance of winning nationwide in a presidential election. So
445
00:36:03.610 --> 00:36:07.130
look at Roy Cooper, look at Ossoff as maybe the
446
00:36:07.210 --> 00:36:12.139
leading candidates on the Democratic side for the presidency. Right now,
447
00:36:12.519 --> 00:36:16.099
people are talking about the governor of California. I'm not
448
00:36:16.139 --> 00:36:18.190
sure if he's going to be the guy. I'm not
449
00:36:18.210 --> 00:36:20.530
sure if he's going to be the guy. Now, Trump
450
00:36:21.530 --> 00:36:24.360
is sitting at the White House watching Fox and seeing
451
00:36:24.420 --> 00:36:28.400
the results come in, and he is fuming. And every
452
00:36:28.500 --> 00:36:32.559
once in a while, he'll put out a tweet on
453
00:36:32.679 --> 00:36:38.219
Truth Social attacking Fox News for what he believes is
454
00:36:39.989 --> 00:36:46.489
much too much of a positive depiction of the Democrats. Now,
455
00:36:48.150 --> 00:36:51.829
So far, we have not seen ice in the streets.
456
00:36:53.250 --> 00:36:59.849
We did not see any significant attempt by anybody, Republicans
457
00:36:59.909 --> 00:37:03.690
or Democrats, to steal this election in any kind of way,
458
00:37:03.869 --> 00:37:07.389
at least not in the voting aspect. We didn't have
459
00:37:07.550 --> 00:37:15.090
ice around voting areas, intimidating people. So that is all good.
460
00:37:16.809 --> 00:37:22.469
Trump will challenge certain elections. Alaska, they've already challenged. The
461
00:37:22.530 --> 00:37:25.329
courts have let the vote go through. They challenged 20,000
462
00:37:25.329 --> 00:37:29.389
votes in California. They'll probably challenge them again. But they're
463
00:37:29.409 --> 00:37:32.949
the basis that some of the voters are not citizens.
464
00:37:33.170 --> 00:37:38.760
That's a legit base. They'll challenge other things. So we'll see.
465
00:37:39.400 --> 00:37:44.739
But I just don't think it's going to be significant, right?
466
00:37:46.969 --> 00:37:49.190
uh all these challenges i don't think they have a
467
00:37:49.250 --> 00:37:56.469
real chance um all right let's see this is so
468
00:37:56.510 --> 00:38:03.360
we've got now uh is this the second one or
469
00:38:03.400 --> 00:38:11.730
the first one Yeah, I mean, here it is. I mean,
470
00:38:12.050 --> 00:38:15.780
I can't remember. Let's see. Let me just see if
471
00:38:15.820 --> 00:38:18.219
this is the one I already told you was called. Yeah,
472
00:38:18.260 --> 00:38:20.260
it's the same one, but this is the Wall Street
473
00:38:20.280 --> 00:38:24.380
Journal writing about it. Representative Kathy Castor from Florida survived
474
00:38:24.440 --> 00:38:28.219
a mid-decade redistricting to defeat her Republican challenger. This is
475
00:38:28.570 --> 00:38:33.510
from the journal. Former state lawmaker Mike Beltran, the AP said,
476
00:38:33.530 --> 00:38:36.570
with 97% of the vote, she has 51.2 to 45.9%.
477
00:38:38.539 --> 00:38:42.659
Casta has held the seat since 2007, routinely coasted to re-election,
478
00:38:42.820 --> 00:38:47.110
but Republican Governor Ron DeSantis and state lawmakers reshaped her
479
00:38:47.190 --> 00:38:51.530
Tampa area district, Florida 14th, this spring to favor the GOP.
480
00:38:52.230 --> 00:38:54.630
She ran on her record of steering federal investment to
481
00:38:54.650 --> 00:38:58.889
her district and focused her campaign on bolstering the local economy. Beltran,
482
00:38:58.909 --> 00:39:01.880
the Republican, who served three terms in the Florida House
483
00:39:01.909 --> 00:39:05.800
of Representatives, was endorsed by Trump, so good that he lost,
484
00:39:06.800 --> 00:39:09.639
And he advocated for cracking down on illegal immigration and
485
00:39:09.699 --> 00:39:12.789
lowering cost of living. So cracking down on illegal immigration,
486
00:39:13.590 --> 00:39:18.289
I'm glad that lost. I'm not for cracking down on immigrants.
487
00:39:19.489 --> 00:39:22.820
And lowering cost of living, well, if you're a Republican
488
00:39:22.840 --> 00:39:25.260
and you're running on lowering cost of living, and the
489
00:39:25.280 --> 00:39:29.840
cost of living has been going up because of Trump,
490
00:39:30.239 --> 00:39:37.670
and tariffs and bad policy all around, then yeah, you're
491
00:39:37.710 --> 00:39:41.050
not going to be successful. That's not a bad thing.
492
00:39:42.429 --> 00:39:46.449
Let's see if we've got any other calls here. We
493
00:39:46.469 --> 00:39:48.389
don't have that. We don't have that. We don't have that.
494
00:39:48.570 --> 00:39:52.579
All right, Florida 14th, we said that was called. Florida 25th.
495
00:39:53.340 --> 00:40:01.550
So this is also redistricted in favor of Republicans, right?
496
00:40:01.929 --> 00:40:07.789
And Democrats won
it, 51 to 46. So again, the redistricting,
497
00:40:07.869 --> 00:40:10.730
at least in Florida, does not seem to have worked
498
00:40:11.110 --> 00:40:13.809
in Republicans' favor, does not seem to have worked in
499
00:40:13.849 --> 00:40:19.239
a way that they would have expected. let's see we've
500
00:40:19.280 --> 00:40:23.940
got some Texas houses again too early to call them
501
00:40:24.820 --> 00:40:31.610
house races and yeah alright let's see I think in
502
00:40:31.670 --> 00:40:35.769
another minute I'm going to get an update from Claude
503
00:40:36.250 --> 00:40:39.650
Claude is going to update Claude is going to update
504
00:40:39.670 --> 00:40:43.400
some of the races for us in like a minute
505
00:40:43.800 --> 00:40:51.860
so we will see what it looks like. Yeah, all
506
00:40:51.880 --> 00:40:55.880
of that's good. All right. What else do we want
507
00:40:55.900 --> 00:41:06.760
to say? We'll talk about that. Let me see if
508
00:41:06.780 --> 00:41:10.840
there was anything else. Yeah, I mean, if you want
509
00:41:10.860 --> 00:41:13.539
to see what Trump is all about, go to Truth Social.
510
00:41:14.250 --> 00:41:17.050
And check out his post right now and kind of
511
00:41:17.070 --> 00:41:21.739
the frantic nature of it. This is Donald Trump, and
512
00:41:21.760 --> 00:41:26.980
this is what I hope gets repudiated tonight. All right,
513
00:41:27.219 --> 00:41:32.480
here we've got the update. We've got, let's see if
514
00:41:32.519 --> 00:41:37.510
there's anything being called. What's this update now? Call that.
515
00:41:44.469 --> 00:41:52.119
Just looking at some of the Senate races. Yeah, it's
516
00:41:52.159 --> 00:41:57.519
way too early. Florida, as I said, shifted to the
517
00:41:57.559 --> 00:42:03.809
Republican side. All right, here we go. Ohio governor is
518
00:42:03.909 --> 00:42:08.750
not called yet. Amy Acton is at basically 59. Vivek
519
00:42:08.769 --> 00:42:18.300
at 38. And I guess Claude is now updating the rest.
520
00:42:19.440 --> 00:42:23.599
Right into the desk page and 945 update now. I mean,
521
00:42:23.619 --> 00:42:26.300
this is nice. You can kind of set up Claude, uh,
522
00:42:26.429 --> 00:42:31.030
to basically track the Senate races and key house races and, uh,
523
00:42:31.190 --> 00:42:34.489
and also tracks on the governor races and it will
524
00:42:34.650 --> 00:42:36.869
update it on a kind of a, on a regular
525
00:42:36.889 --> 00:42:43.769
basis that I, uh, um, yep. Yeah. You know, Brian says, uh,
526
00:42:44.570 --> 00:42:47.320
Brian Cross says, I felt ill of voting Democratic across
527
00:42:47.360 --> 00:42:50.239
the board. I made a last desperate attempt to find
528
00:42:50.280 --> 00:42:56.820
a Republican worth supporting. Any such Republican got purged from
529
00:42:56.880 --> 00:42:59.989
the party last election along with Liz Cheney. I think
530
00:43:00.030 --> 00:43:03.070
that's right. I mean, the better Republicans were kicked out. Again,
531
00:43:03.389 --> 00:43:06.889
this is why Republicans deserve to lose. Because they have
532
00:43:06.989 --> 00:43:11.889
kicked out the better people. The good people. They're being
533
00:43:11.909 --> 00:43:15.320
kicked out. And it's become a party of MAGA. And
534
00:43:15.599 --> 00:43:19.019
you cannot, I mean, what's the difference between MAGA and Democrats?
535
00:43:20.820 --> 00:43:24.579
I don't know. I mean, there are differences. There are
536
00:43:24.599 --> 00:43:28.760
differences in emphasis. There are differences in what way they
537
00:43:28.800 --> 00:43:34.809
are statist. But they're all statist. According to NBC, Ramaswamy
538
00:43:34.869 --> 00:43:38.869
would need about 54% of the remaining votes to catch
539
00:43:38.929 --> 00:43:42.929
up in Ohio. Higher counts, early votes first, and those
540
00:43:42.969 --> 00:43:46.550
lean Democratic. So it's still, you know, it's still going
541
00:43:46.570 --> 00:43:51.469
to be closer. Rural counties reported so far, like Adams, Allen,
542
00:43:51.510 --> 00:43:57.500
and Ashland, are going to run with Swami by roughly 55,
543
00:43:57.500 --> 00:44:01.400
between 55 and 64 percent. So this lead should narrow,
544
00:44:01.440 --> 00:44:05.300
but how much is open, right? So we're going to watch,
545
00:44:05.320 --> 00:44:11.329
we're Okay, as we said, Democrats picked up a Senate seat.
546
00:44:12.650 --> 00:44:18.090
That is the North Carolina Roy Cooper. New Hampshire, Pappas
547
00:44:18.769 --> 00:44:22.170
holds the Democratic seat. They've called New Hampshire for the Democrat.
548
00:44:22.289 --> 00:44:29.760
Ossoff holds his seat in Georgia. Ohio, NBC says it's
549
00:44:29.780 --> 00:44:34.380
a leaning Democratic, with Brown leading 55.8 to the Republicans 40.5. Now, again,
550
00:44:38.579 --> 00:44:42.550
They count the early votes, the mail-in votes first, so
551
00:44:43.550 --> 00:44:50.190
that gap will narrow. Florida special election right now, 97%
552
00:44:50.750 --> 00:44:55.449
of the vote, Republican lead, but they haven't called it yet.
553
00:44:56.289 --> 00:45:00.860
So Florida looks like it'll stay Republican. Again, it's going
554
00:45:00.880 --> 00:45:08.179
to be close. Early counts, not projections. Teleriso in Texas
555
00:45:08.260 --> 00:45:11.659
imagine Texas going Democratic I mean I'm not saying it'll
556
00:45:11.679 --> 00:45:16.239
happen but imagine that happening that is pretty wild you
557
00:45:16.260 --> 00:45:19.579
know even in the governor's race there's some talk about
558
00:45:20.880 --> 00:45:25.360
you know the Democrats potentially doing really well probably not
559
00:45:25.400 --> 00:45:28.480
winning it but doing really really well okay so Teleriso
560
00:45:29.079 --> 00:45:30.639
is leading 58% to 39% but that's only 29% and
561
00:45:30.679 --> 00:45:37.590
that's big cities report first and the Democrats are going
562
00:45:37.610 --> 00:45:40.230
to benefit in the big cities, and then it's the
563
00:45:40.289 --> 00:45:44.869
rural counties in Texas that will probably go Republican. But also,
564
00:45:45.469 --> 00:45:48.809
you've got a lot of Hispanic votes in those rural counties,
565
00:45:48.849 --> 00:45:53.429
particularly in South Texas, that went Trump in 2024, but
566
00:45:53.449 --> 00:46:00.440
will probably go Democratic this year. Let's see, Kansas, Democratic
567
00:46:01.099 --> 00:46:02.239
leading 62 to 36, but that's only 18% of the vote.
568
00:46:05.519 --> 00:46:10.139
El Sayyad is leading 56 to 42 with 10% in. Again,
569
00:46:10.159 --> 00:46:13.969
I think these are meaningless for the most part. South Carolina,
570
00:46:14.050 --> 00:46:18.809
here's a big one, right? South Carolina. You don't get
571
00:46:18.869 --> 00:46:22.510
much more Republican than South Carolina. When was the last
572
00:46:22.530 --> 00:46:28.510
time South Carolina voted for a Democrat in a statewide election? Anyway,
573
00:46:28.550 --> 00:46:30.809
South Carolina right now, the Democrat is leading 52 to
574
00:46:30.809 --> 00:46:35.429
46 with 53% in. Who knows where that will land up,
575
00:46:35.510 --> 00:46:40.170
but it just, it says a lot that anybody's even
576
00:46:40.250 --> 00:46:46.610
thinking about this, that it's even being considered, right? Okay,
577
00:46:47.710 --> 00:46:53.590
we've got a Democratic pickup in North Carolina, and let's
578
00:46:53.730 --> 00:47:00.920
see that, yeah, Ohio governor, senator, what am I going
579
00:47:00.940 --> 00:47:06.829
to look at? I want to see Texas governor race.
580
00:47:09.530 --> 00:47:12.949
I'm just curious if there's anything even to watch there
581
00:47:13.670 --> 00:47:16.320
in this, in a Texas governor. You think it would
582
00:47:16.340 --> 00:47:18.429
be a slam dunk. I mean, Abbott has been governor
583
00:47:18.449 --> 00:47:20.960
for what? Three terms. This will be his fourth term.
584
00:47:21.900 --> 00:47:25.960
He has to be the strong favorite. And yet who knows?
585
00:47:26.099 --> 00:47:31.519
All right. Um, so we've got it. We said the
586
00:47:31.559 --> 00:47:36.750
Florida ones we've already called, uh, Kentucky 6th, this is Kentucky,
587
00:47:37.110 --> 00:47:42.889
is flipped to the Democrats. Virginia flipped to the Democrats,
588
00:47:42.909 --> 00:47:48.869
Virginia 2. 50.9, 46.8, we'll see if that, you know,
589
00:47:48.889 --> 00:47:55.679
they expect that to hold. Indiana 5 is, it looks
590
00:47:55.699 --> 00:48:02.079
like it's Democrat. Virginia 5, Democrat is leading. Virginia 1,
591
00:48:02.079 --> 00:48:06.559
Democrat is leading. South Carolina 1. Republican is leading, but
592
00:48:06.719 --> 00:48:10.039
only by 1%. Well, that's just only 1% counted, so
593
00:48:10.079 --> 00:48:14.360
that's not significant. Let me just see if there's anything on.
594
00:48:15.659 --> 00:48:21.260
I mean, this is funny, you know, and I'm sure
595
00:48:21.320 --> 00:48:24.070
this tells you everything about where the votes are coming
596
00:48:24.199 --> 00:48:28.570
in from, but right now for Texas governor, the Democrat
597
00:48:28.610 --> 00:48:34.630
is leading 57 to 42. Now, my assumption is, That's
598
00:48:34.670 --> 00:48:36.369
because the votes have come in from the big cities,
599
00:48:37.130 --> 00:48:40.380
and that Greg Abbott will catch up and probably win this.
600
00:48:40.980 --> 00:48:46.539
But imagine, just imagine, just for fun, imagine if the
601
00:48:46.659 --> 00:48:53.309
governor of Texas is a Democrat. Now, you know, I
602
00:48:53.329 --> 00:48:59.070
have to say, given how, you know, the Republicans' position
603
00:48:59.769 --> 00:49:04.440
on abortion in Texas... but also given Greg Abbott's position
604
00:49:04.519 --> 00:49:11.079
on data centers in Texas, you know, given his position on,
605
00:49:13.510 --> 00:49:17.150
you know, on illegal immigrants and immigrants, immigration in general
606
00:49:17.289 --> 00:49:22.400
in Texas. Yeah. he should lose. Greg Abbott should lose
607
00:49:22.460 --> 00:49:27.599
in Texas. Imagine Texas with a Democratic governor and a
608
00:49:27.679 --> 00:49:31.659
House and Senate that are Republicans and complete gridlock in Texas.
609
00:49:31.960 --> 00:49:36.320
That's probably the best outcome Texas could want. Best outcome
610
00:49:36.429 --> 00:49:42.880
for Texas. So, yep. All right, let's see. All right,
611
00:49:42.920 --> 00:49:46.940
we've got those two. Georgia's being called for Senate. We
612
00:49:46.980 --> 00:49:49.800
said that. New Hampshire's being called for Senate, for Democrat.
613
00:49:49.840 --> 00:49:57.019
We said that. North Carolina's being called. We said that. Maine,
614
00:49:57.039 --> 00:50:01.760
they've started counting. We don't know where that is going
615
00:50:01.780 --> 00:50:07.570
to land up. It's way too early. Michigan, they've started counting.
616
00:50:08.239 --> 00:50:14.760
And again, way too early, but El-Sayed has an early lead. Kansas,
617
00:50:14.800 --> 00:50:20.699
they've started counting with the Democrat ahead, but again, it's
618
00:50:20.760 --> 00:50:27.869
way too early. And Texas, again, way too early. And
619
00:50:27.889 --> 00:50:35.920
then we've got Minnesota. The polls will close tomorrow. in
620
00:50:36.019 --> 00:50:38.679
six minutes. So, uh, and, and that one's an interesting
621
00:50:38.780 --> 00:50:43.130
one because there's a outside chance Republicans can pick that
622
00:50:43.230 --> 00:50:47.289
up because the Democrat running is so far to the
623
00:50:47.389 --> 00:50:50.389
left that Republicans think they have a chance of picking
624
00:50:50.429 --> 00:50:52.730
that one up. So, uh, we will, we will see
625
00:50:52.750 --> 00:50:59.099
what happens there. Um, right. I mean, a lot of the,
626
00:50:59.190 --> 00:51:03.440
what they call the bellwether districts, which are going to
627
00:51:03.460 --> 00:51:07.800
suggest if there's a, blue wave or blue tsunami are
628
00:51:07.820 --> 00:51:17.480
going democratic are going democratic right let me just see
629
00:51:23.320 --> 00:51:38.519
Georgia governor okay James is asking about a Georgia governor.
630
00:51:38.539 --> 00:51:52.179
All right, the Democratic, 66% of the vote in.
631
00:51:53.809 --> 00:51:58.469
Keisha Lance Bottoms, the Democrat, is leading 56 to 44.
632
00:51:58.469 --> 00:52:08.260
I mean, that's, That's, they haven't called it, right? Let
633
00:52:08.300 --> 00:52:15.190
me just add this to our list. Add Ohio, Texas,
634
00:52:16.670 --> 00:52:40.559
Georgia governor races to night desk monitoring. All right. It's
635
00:52:40.599 --> 00:52:45.320
going to add that. All right. We did that. Let's see.
636
00:52:45.340 --> 00:52:47.059
I'm just checking down here, and then I'm going to
637
00:52:47.099 --> 00:52:51.559
go to your other races to watch. Okay. Georgia governor,
638
00:52:51.599 --> 00:52:56.840
Texas governor, Ohio governor. Nice. Michigan's seventh. Polls are still open.
639
00:52:56.880 --> 00:53:10.210
All right. Right. Yeah, I mean, both in Georgia and
640
00:53:10.289 --> 00:53:15.670
in Texas, you get the metro areas reporting first. So
641
00:53:16.389 --> 00:53:18.769
it's going to be the governor's races are still wide open.
642
00:53:19.769 --> 00:53:23.349
You know, it's way too early to call them. But again,
643
00:53:23.449 --> 00:53:29.659
it's big leads for the Democrats, you know, even given that.
644
00:53:30.300 --> 00:53:35.340
I'm curious what Fox.com who's reporting, given that Trump is
645
00:53:35.400 --> 00:53:44.489
watching Fox. So that's his focus, is on Fox. And then, right,
646
00:53:44.610 --> 00:53:49.269
nothing much in the Wall Street Journal updating. Yeah, Fox.com
647
00:53:49.289 --> 00:53:50.809
is going to be all video. I don't want to
648
00:53:50.849 --> 00:53:58.420
watch video. Yeah, I guess it has to be FoxNews.com. FoxNews.com.
649
00:53:58.820 --> 00:54:10.570
All right. Right. Fox has called Florida for the Republicans.
650
00:54:11.949 --> 00:54:15.239
Very close, and it's pretty amazing how close it is,
651
00:54:15.269 --> 00:54:18.909
given that the Democrat is a DSA member and a
652
00:54:18.949 --> 00:54:24.809
complete wacko who shocked Democrats by winning their primaries. So
653
00:54:25.650 --> 00:54:30.170
they're projecting that Republican Ashley Moody will win her first
654
00:54:30.250 --> 00:54:33.289
full term in Florida. She was the one who was
655
00:54:33.349 --> 00:54:43.389
appointed to the position once Juan Corubio was made, joined
656
00:54:43.409 --> 00:54:47.590
the cabinet, right? Let's see, in terms of the Senate,
657
00:54:51.349 --> 00:54:56.670
what have we called, they've called, you know, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, Illinois,
658
00:54:58.230 --> 00:55:03.400
New Hampshire, and New Jersey, have all been called for
659
00:55:03.420 --> 00:55:11.369
the Democrats. Florida, West Virginia, and Kentucky have all been called.
660
00:55:11.429 --> 00:55:15.849
So those are just holds for the Republicans, have all
661
00:55:15.909 --> 00:55:29.619
been called for the Republicans. And let's see, Fox calls
662
00:55:29.659 --> 00:55:39.230
West Virginia. Class 2, called Kentucky, for Andy Baugh. That's Baugh. Okay,
663
00:55:39.449 --> 00:55:44.030
that's not a Senate seat. That's a House seat. All right.
664
00:55:48.179 --> 00:55:57.139
Michigan voters break with party. We'll see. All right. We'll
665
00:55:57.159 --> 00:56:10.170
keep this up. All right. Let's go to some of
666
00:56:10.389 --> 00:56:16.550
your questions. I'm going to shut that down. I'm going
667
00:56:16.590 --> 00:56:27.309
to go there. And let's see if we've got anything there.
668
00:56:27.329 --> 00:56:38.489
All right. Let's send some of your questions, ones that
669
00:56:38.510 --> 00:56:43.530
are election, you know, well, just generally, and then we'll
670
00:56:43.570 --> 00:56:51.159
get updates as we go through the night. Let me
671
00:56:51.179 --> 00:56:53.900
just ask Claude when it's going to update it next.
672
00:56:54.139 --> 00:57:05.789
When is next update? Okay. 10.30 my time. Okay. 10.30
673
00:57:05.789 --> 00:57:07.869
East Coast time. I'm, I'm an hour ahead of that.
674
00:57:08.929 --> 00:57:14.190
So here it's, um, here it's 11. Uh, 10.30 your time,
675
00:57:14.230 --> 00:57:18.349
about half an hour from now. Um, just after Iowa,
676
00:57:18.369 --> 00:57:22.239
Nebraska and New York close at 10. After that it'll
677
00:57:22.280 --> 00:57:25.920
be 11.30, 12.30 and a final wrap up at 2.15 a.m.
678
00:57:26.000 --> 00:57:35.050
once Alaska polls close. All right. Looks good. Um, All right,
679
00:57:35.150 --> 00:57:38.170
let's check out your questions, and we'll go from there.
680
00:57:38.230 --> 00:57:43.179
We've got some $ 50 questions, and we'll start with those.
681
00:57:43.539 --> 00:57:49.139
Liam says, ICE is rapidly re-arresting immigrants who are being
682
00:57:49.179 --> 00:57:52.670
released after winning court petitions. Will their lives be breaking
683
00:57:52.730 --> 00:57:56.269
down with a sweeping Democratic victory? Will ICE be neutered,
684
00:57:57.090 --> 00:58:02.550
or will they form their own social justice version of ICE? Well,
685
00:58:02.610 --> 00:58:05.239
I mean, Democrats are likely ultimately, when they gain power,
686
00:58:06.019 --> 00:58:09.059
to form their own type of ICE. I mean, ICE
687
00:58:09.099 --> 00:58:12.260
has set a precedent for what the federal government can do,
688
00:58:12.780 --> 00:58:15.179
and it's kind of scary when you think about where
689
00:58:15.219 --> 00:58:20.829
that can take us. But I don't think Democrats are
690
00:58:20.849 --> 00:58:25.130
going to do too much to neuter ICE, partially because
691
00:58:26.210 --> 00:58:30.519
a lot of Americans support ICE, support running up illegal
692
00:58:30.559 --> 00:58:34.710
immigrants at least. And what can Democrats do, right? This
693
00:58:34.789 --> 00:58:38.530
is an executive, part of
the executive office. The budget
694
00:58:38.570 --> 00:58:42.019
has already been approved. You know, budget talks in the
695
00:58:42.099 --> 00:58:45.219
future are going to be very difficult between the Trump
696
00:58:45.239 --> 00:58:48.500
administration and potentially both the House and the Senate that
697
00:58:48.519 --> 00:58:53.179
are held by the Democrats. It could make any budget
698
00:58:53.219 --> 00:58:58.300
discussions impossible. Democrats might insist on defunding ICE or at
699
00:58:58.340 --> 00:59:01.079
least reducing the funding from ICE. But ISIS has already
700
00:59:01.119 --> 00:59:03.550
got so much money and I think a multi-year thing
701
00:59:03.590 --> 00:59:08.929
that the Republicans passed in order to try to prevent
702
00:59:08.989 --> 00:59:11.039
exactly the kind of defunding. that we will talk about
703
00:59:11.079 --> 00:59:14.139
in the future over the next two years. So I
704
00:59:14.179 --> 00:59:17.219
think ICE is protected from much of what the Democrats
705
00:59:17.320 --> 00:59:20.739
could do. Democrats, no matter what happens tonight, are not
706
00:59:20.760 --> 00:59:23.179
going to have 60 seats in the Senate. They're not
707
00:59:23.199 --> 00:59:25.619
going to be able to pass laws in the Senate.
708
00:59:26.469 --> 00:59:29.309
And Trump can also always veto them, and then I'm
709
00:59:29.329 --> 00:59:33.670
going to get a veto-proof majority. So, you know, I
710
00:59:33.690 --> 00:59:36.139
don't think ICE is going to be neutered. And I
711
00:59:36.199 --> 00:59:39.579
don't think Republicans, I don't think the lesson Republicans take
712
00:59:39.599 --> 00:59:44.320
from this election is we should treat immigrants nicer. I
713
00:59:44.340 --> 00:59:47.400
don't think that is the lesson they take. They might
714
00:59:47.440 --> 00:59:53.289
take something about tariffs, the non-Trump Republicans. They might take
715
00:59:53.329 --> 00:59:56.769
something about the war. They'll interpret this as an anti-war
716
00:59:59.650 --> 01:00:04.210
anti-war vote. I don't think they'll take this as a
717
01:00:04.230 --> 01:00:07.300
pro-immigration vote and I don't think Democrats will have enough
718
01:00:08.079 --> 01:00:12.460
power or really the motivation. I don't think immigration is
719
01:00:12.980 --> 01:00:17.460
a winning I don't think Democrats view immigration as a
720
01:00:17.579 --> 01:00:20.679
winning issue for them. I think they were going to
721
01:00:20.739 --> 01:00:23.719
focus on what they think are winning issues which have
722
01:00:23.760 --> 01:00:30.800
to do with affordability. So, you know, socialist policies, you know,
723
01:00:32.400 --> 01:00:37.099
price controls of various kinds, and Medicare for all are
724
01:00:37.199 --> 01:00:39.630
probably what they believe are winning issues. And I think
725
01:00:39.650 --> 01:00:44.889
if you look at survey data around Americans, Americans want,
726
01:00:45.050 --> 01:00:47.789
including Republicans, by the way, they want price controls, they
727
01:00:47.809 --> 01:00:50.050
want Medicare for all, they want more socialized health care.
728
01:00:50.460 --> 01:00:52.340
They want this kind of stuff, and that's what the
729
01:00:52.429 --> 01:00:56.110
Democrats are going to go after. They're going to go
730
01:00:56.170 --> 01:01:04.789
after where the voters are. And so-called affordability is, I think,
731
01:01:05.130 --> 01:01:07.570
their winning issue, or at least they're going to perceive
732
01:01:07.590 --> 01:01:09.769
it as their winning issue. And then what will happen
733
01:01:09.809 --> 01:01:12.320
is I think they're going to overreach, and as a
734
01:01:12.380 --> 01:01:16.119
consequence of their overreaching, I think they're likely to lose
735
01:01:16.159 --> 01:01:21.880
in 2028. Well, maybe not in 2028, maybe 2030, but
736
01:01:21.989 --> 01:01:25.320
ultimately they will lose because Democrats will overreach. They always do.
737
01:01:25.760 --> 01:01:28.360
They always overreach. They always overdo it. They always think
738
01:01:28.380 --> 01:01:30.480
they have a mandate to do stuff that they don't
739
01:01:30.519 --> 01:01:37.380
really have a mandate. Anyway, we'll see. The real tragedy,
740
01:01:37.820 --> 01:01:39.469
I think one of the big tragedies of all of
741
01:01:39.510 --> 01:01:44.989
this is going to be that Republicans will not blame
742
01:01:45.090 --> 01:01:48.809
Trump for this. Republicans will blame the war for this.
743
01:01:50.590 --> 01:01:55.730
They will blame, you know, the Iran war. They won't
744
01:01:55.769 --> 01:01:58.610
even blame not winning the Iran war, which is what
745
01:01:58.630 --> 01:02:02.190
they should blame. But they're going to blame going to war.
746
01:02:02.690 --> 01:02:06.800
That's what Republicans will say. The big mistake was going
747
01:02:06.820 --> 01:02:09.800
to war. When the big mistake was tariffs, the big
748
01:02:09.840 --> 01:02:13.679
mistake was Trump. Just Trump. Just the fact of Trump.
749
01:02:14.739 --> 01:02:18.440
The personality of Trump. You know, the corruption of Trump.
750
01:02:18.519 --> 01:02:24.409
The ugliness of Trump. And, you know, so they won't
751
01:02:24.449 --> 01:02:28.230
talk about tariffs when tariffs are probably the reason why
752
01:02:28.250 --> 01:02:31.969
Republicans are losing right now. Tariffs are what raise the
753
01:02:32.010 --> 01:02:36.320
cost of living and not winning the war. I don't
754
01:02:36.340 --> 01:02:39.840
think it's going to war, which is a problem. I mean,
755
01:02:40.599 --> 01:02:48.139
if you look at Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Iowa, the farm states,
756
01:02:49.489 --> 01:02:52.570
Why are farm states suffering right now? What is hurting
757
01:02:52.630 --> 01:02:59.030
farming in Iowa and in Kansas? Tariffs. Trade war. The
758
01:02:59.070 --> 01:03:05.320
fact that China is not buying soybeans. And Michigan. Why
759
01:03:05.360 --> 01:03:12.219
is Michigan
suffering? Why do Michiganders, right, why do they
760
01:03:12.239 --> 01:03:20.860
hate Trump? Because of the tariffs in Canada. And you know,
761
01:03:20.900 --> 01:03:24.219
the same with Texas and the threat to trade with Mexico.
762
01:03:25.179 --> 01:03:27.320
And of course, Texas, I would argue, I would argue,
763
01:03:27.760 --> 01:03:31.019
I don't think any Republican is going to say this, ICE,
764
01:03:31.380 --> 01:03:37.079
ICE is part of why Texas Hispanics are turning against
765
01:03:37.119 --> 01:03:40.920
the Republican Party when two years ago there was a
766
01:03:41.099 --> 01:03:46.639
massive move of Texas Hispanics towards the Republican Party. It
767
01:03:46.659 --> 01:03:50.150
was this big demographic change. Everybody said, this is it.
768
01:03:50.309 --> 01:03:52.710
Republicans are going to win forever because now they've got their,
769
01:03:53.050 --> 01:04:03.809
they've got Hispanic vote and even got some black votes. So,
770
01:04:06.320 --> 01:04:13.800
you know, so it's, but they'll never blame that. They'll
771
01:04:13.820 --> 01:04:18.539
never blame ICE. They'll never blame tariffs. They'll blame the war.
772
01:04:18.909 --> 01:04:21.190
That'll be the big thing. That'll be the only thing,
773
01:04:22.269 --> 01:04:28.449
you know, they'll talk about. Yeah, you know, so somebody
774
01:04:28.469 --> 01:04:32.329
just posted, the tariffs didn't help, but let's face it,
775
01:04:32.590 --> 01:04:34.849
any losses were because of the Iran war and its
776
01:04:34.889 --> 01:04:39.360
effect on fuel, which rapidly rippled through the economy. Not true.
777
01:04:40.409 --> 01:04:45.199
I mean, sure, should have won that war quickly. But
778
01:04:45.239 --> 01:04:51.670
it's mainly tariffs. And there was no upside. By the way,
779
01:04:52.730 --> 01:04:55.389
this is interesting, right? I didn't see this earlier today.
780
01:04:56.030 --> 01:05:01.489
But it turns out that Pete Buttiger, you know, the
781
01:05:01.769 --> 01:05:05.690
transportation secretary from Biden's administration, the guy who used to
782
01:05:05.730 --> 01:05:12.190
be a mayor, he said earlier today, he said, Abdullah
783
01:05:12.230 --> 01:05:19.579
Syed's comments and association with Hassan Paika should disqualify him. Well,
784
01:05:19.619 --> 01:05:25.969
that's good. Some reasonable Democrats identifying the bad guys within
785
01:05:25.989 --> 01:05:29.409
their own party. Imagine Republicans doing that. Imagine Republicans saying,
786
01:05:30.510 --> 01:05:37.909
Trump's behavior after January 6th disqualified him from being president
787
01:05:38.170 --> 01:05:41.239
and we should vote against him. A few Republicans said that.
788
01:05:42.159 --> 01:05:44.420
They were sent to the woodshed. Maybe Pete will be
789
01:05:44.440 --> 01:05:48.239
sent to the woodshed as well. We'll see. Now, why
790
01:05:48.300 --> 01:05:50.440
he does it on the election day and not a
791
01:05:50.460 --> 01:05:56.699
week before, so that what he says has no significance?
792
01:06:00.969 --> 01:06:26.460
All right. Yeah, all right. Let's see. Right now, according
793
01:06:26.500 --> 01:06:31.900
to the betting sites, the betting sites are saying 97%
794
01:06:31.900 --> 01:06:38.280
chance for Telerico to win Texas. That would be huge.
795
01:06:39.099 --> 01:06:45.630
That would be huge, right? You know, you raise taxes
796
01:06:45.670 --> 01:06:54.139
on Americans, tariffs. And look, Trump has deregulated energy. He's deregulated,
797
01:06:54.460 --> 01:06:58.730
he's done some important deregulation in the EPA, Environmental Protection Agency,
798
01:06:59.110 --> 01:07:06.469
deregulated environmental stuff. All that is really, really good. But
799
01:07:06.989 --> 01:07:13.010
not enough, not enough to compensate for just the horrible character,
800
01:07:15.099 --> 01:07:18.429
not enough to compensate for the tariffs. Not enough to
801
01:07:18.469 --> 01:07:21.250
compensate for starting a war and not winning it. A
802
01:07:21.329 --> 01:07:27.690
winnable war, which you could have won, and didn't win.
803
01:07:28.889 --> 01:07:32.219
Didn't win. And is not winning. Now, maybe he still will,
804
01:07:33.079 --> 01:07:37.000
but my guess is Republicans will learn from this, including Trump, no,
805
01:07:37.059 --> 01:07:39.699
the war is what caused me to lose, and therefore
806
01:07:39.840 --> 01:07:41.400
I need a compromise, I need to cut a deal,
807
01:07:41.440 --> 01:07:45.239
or something like that. In that sense, this is not good.
808
01:07:48.989 --> 01:08:04.969
Let's see if there's anything else. I don't know if
809
01:08:05.130 --> 01:08:11.320
this is... I don't know. I mean, if Greg Abbott
810
01:08:11.360 --> 01:08:15.360
loses in Texas, that'll blow my mind. That'll be huge.
811
01:08:15.920 --> 01:08:21.250
That'll be huge. But again, Republicans have earned this. They've
812
01:08:21.310 --> 01:08:24.930
earned it. They worked really, really, really hard to lose
813
01:08:24.970 --> 01:08:29.250
these races, to lose Texas, basically. And they're succeeding. You've
814
01:08:29.270 --> 01:08:35.649
got to give them credit. They're succeeding. Yeah, I mean,
815
01:08:35.670 --> 01:08:38.470
social democracy is not going to sweep the nation. It'll
816
01:08:38.550 --> 01:08:41.489
feel that way. But the reality is Americans don't want
817
01:08:41.550 --> 01:08:47.060
social democracy. This election is not about DSA. This election
818
01:08:47.100 --> 01:08:51.100
is about Trump. This election is about Trump, about whether,
819
01:08:51.899 --> 01:08:54.319
you know, the American people support Trump's agenda or not.
820
01:08:55.229 --> 01:08:58.899
And they're a puny idiot. It at least seems that
821
01:08:58.960 --> 01:09:01.880
way right now. All right, let's see some more questions. Michael,
822
01:09:03.479 --> 01:09:07.359
who is more socialist? Mamdani who wants to open some
823
01:09:07.460 --> 01:09:11.520
stupid
government-run grocery stores or Trump who's been having the
824
01:09:11.560 --> 01:09:17.899
government take equity stakes in major corporations by the dozens? Yeah, 41, 41.
825
01:09:17.899 --> 01:09:22.640
corporations now, they just took a position in a drone maker,
826
01:09:22.640 --> 01:09:27.260
41 American businesses now have an equity stake by the government.
827
01:09:28.680 --> 01:09:36.079
I mean, it's unprecedented in a time of peace or
828
01:09:36.479 --> 01:09:40.050
where we're not in a world war, right, for the
829
01:09:40.090 --> 01:09:43.850
government to own American businesses. And yet, 41 American businesses
830
01:09:43.890 --> 01:09:48.880
now have partial ownership by the government. And Don't tell
831
01:09:48.920 --> 01:09:52.270
me it doesn't affect how these companies are run, what
832
01:09:52.329 --> 01:09:54.869
happens to these companies. By the way, Intel, I think,
833
01:09:54.930 --> 01:09:58.229
took a major hit to its stock price last week.
834
01:09:58.270 --> 01:10:00.649
The government lost a lot of money. But that's not
835
01:10:00.689 --> 01:10:03.520
the point. The point is not losing or gaining money.
836
01:10:03.880 --> 01:10:10.560
The point is the government has no business. No. Capital N. No. Business.
837
01:10:11.399 --> 01:10:23.149
Owning equity. Owning U.S. businesses, or any country's businesses, stay
838
01:10:23.250 --> 01:10:27.409
out of... I mean, that's... The essence of socialism is
839
01:10:27.750 --> 01:10:31.590
the government owns the means of production. And the Trump
840
01:10:31.609 --> 01:10:37.409
administration is aggressively moving us in that direction. With no...
841
01:10:37.649 --> 01:10:39.930
By the way, no approval from Congress to use the
842
01:10:39.989 --> 01:10:43.369
funds in this way. No approval from Congress to take
843
01:10:43.489 --> 01:10:50.630
on 41 companies. 41 companies. And nobody's talking about this.
844
01:10:51.449 --> 01:10:54.609
This is not in the election. This is not in
845
01:10:54.630 --> 01:10:58.229
the agenda. But this is part of the reason why
846
01:10:58.409 --> 01:11:02.789
I believe the Republicans have to lose, because if the
847
01:11:02.829 --> 01:11:07.020
Republican Party was a decent political party, had any semblance
848
01:11:07.060 --> 01:11:12.439
of decency, then the Senate and the House would repudiate
849
01:11:12.800 --> 01:11:18.539
Trump's taking on American equity stakes in American businesses. They
850
01:11:18.579 --> 01:11:20.880
would pass a bill saying you can't do it. Let
851
01:11:20.899 --> 01:11:23.159
Trump veto it, fine. But at least they would make
852
01:11:23.199 --> 01:11:26.359
a statement. Or there would be some senators who would
853
01:11:26.399 --> 01:11:28.739
go out there and make a big deal out of this.
854
01:11:29.609 --> 01:11:32.069
The Republican Party is not a socialist party and therefore
855
01:11:32.109 --> 01:11:35.750
we don't want you to take equity positions in American businesses.
856
01:11:40.289 --> 01:11:46.319
Has any senator said that? No. Again, as a consequence,
857
01:11:46.560 --> 01:11:52.220
they deserve to lose. Thank you, Michael, for the $ 50.
858
01:11:51.619 --> 01:11:59.180
We really appreciate that. James, is Kant essentially post-enlightenment Plato?
859
01:12:00.119 --> 01:12:02.180
He tweaked a few things in Plato to make it
860
01:12:02.760 --> 01:12:06.779
palatable for people to absorb in a post-enlightenment world. Are
861
01:12:06.800 --> 01:12:09.930
there any substantial differences between Kant and Plato? Was Plato
862
01:12:10.199 --> 01:12:13.109
less of an altruist? Yeah, I think Plato is definitely
863
01:12:13.149 --> 01:12:17.149
less of an altruist. Plato doesn't have this pure altruistic conception.
864
01:12:19.090 --> 01:12:24.800
But again, this is a good question to ask Greg Salmieri,
865
01:12:25.140 --> 01:12:27.319
who's going to be, I'm going to be hosting a
866
01:12:27.460 --> 01:12:31.500
regular show with Greg, I think once every two weeks.
867
01:12:31.680 --> 01:12:36.399
I'll announce it closer to Thanksgiving when we start this show.
868
01:12:37.000 --> 01:12:39.260
So we'll have a philosopher on once every two weeks.
869
01:12:39.300 --> 01:12:40.979
And these are perfect questions to ask him. He's a
870
01:12:41.010 --> 01:12:44.510
Plato expert. He's a Greek philosophy expert. And I think
871
01:12:44.550 --> 01:12:47.689
he would be good. But there's a sense in which
872
01:12:47.729 --> 01:12:53.630
that's true, that Kant is, certainly in his epistemology, there's
873
01:12:53.649 --> 01:12:58.850
a lot of similarities, not directly, but certainly a post-enlightenment.
874
01:13:00.220 --> 01:13:04.659
This is the difference, though. Kant is a Christian, and he, again, remember,
875
01:13:04.680 --> 01:13:08.479
he's saving faith from reason. So he's trying to save
876
01:13:08.579 --> 01:13:12.850
faith by undermining reason. And that's exactly what he does,
877
01:13:13.029 --> 01:13:17.760
and that is not Plato's agenda. Plato's not Christian and
878
01:13:17.779 --> 01:13:20.279
he's not religious in the same sense as Kant is
879
01:13:20.319 --> 01:13:23.640
trying to be and I don't think he would explicitly
880
01:13:23.800 --> 01:13:28.270
undermine reason although his view of reason is wrong in
881
01:13:28.279 --> 01:13:31.789
terms of what he views reason as so yes Kant
882
01:13:31.850 --> 01:13:38.630
is a post-enlightenment but the big difference certainly in ethics
883
01:13:38.869 --> 01:13:45.189
but I think generally in his philosophy technically philosophically the
884
01:13:45.260 --> 01:13:52.159
big difference is but they're suddenly on the same axis, right? Plato, Kant, Aristotle,
885
01:13:52.180 --> 01:13:55.979
Ayn Rand. Those are the two axes, I think, ultimately
886
01:13:56.000 --> 01:14:02.520
in the history of philosophy. And Plato, Kant are winning,
887
01:14:03.590 --> 01:14:13.250
including in this election. All right,
let's see. Let's see
888
01:14:13.329 --> 01:14:15.170
if the Wall Street Journal has anything new to say.
889
01:14:22.149 --> 01:14:26.989
Angie Aga, a Democrat, wins North Carolina's 11th House District.
890
01:14:28.890 --> 01:14:37.060
Let's see, is that a surprise? Yeah, I don't know.
891
01:14:38.500 --> 01:14:41.640
Can't tell from that news report whether that's a surprise.
892
01:14:44.199 --> 01:14:50.579
Here's a headline. GOP Republican fears grow on South Carolina Senate.
893
01:14:50.699 --> 01:14:54.340
Here's a good example of why Republicans deserve to lose, right?
894
01:14:55.079 --> 01:14:59.359
How did they decide on a candidate for Senate in
895
01:14:59.399 --> 01:15:07.159
South Carolina? They chose the sister of the deceased senator, right?
896
01:15:07.590 --> 01:15:11.350
And who was, you know, a huge supporter of Donald Trump.
897
01:15:11.409 --> 01:15:14.090
Donald Trump chose his sister because she would be a
898
01:15:14.130 --> 01:15:17.340
huge fan of Donald Trump Not qualified. She doesn't know
899
01:15:17.359 --> 01:15:20.739
anything about foreign policy. She sits on a debate. She's
900
01:15:20.760 --> 01:15:24.140
just not a good candidate. By any standard, by the
901
01:15:24.159 --> 01:15:27.380
standards of winning, she's not a good candidate. And yet,
902
01:15:27.920 --> 01:15:32.479
because it's Donald Trump's party, he gets to decide. And
903
01:15:32.520 --> 01:15:35.899
he chose her. And they had a primary. And she won.
904
01:15:36.439 --> 01:15:43.409
And now, Republicans might lose a Senate seat in South Carolina.
905
01:15:43.810 --> 01:15:55.710
Lindsey Graham's old seat. Which is just, again, it's just stunning. Stunning. So, yeah.
906
01:15:58.329 --> 01:16:04.560
And really, the Republicans have put forward really, really, really
907
01:16:04.720 --> 01:16:08.800
bad candidates. Ken Paxton in Texas is probably the ultimate
908
01:16:08.840 --> 01:16:12.100
example of that. But also, Graham in South Carolina is
909
01:16:12.119 --> 01:16:15.399
a good example of that. It's just family relations. It
910
01:16:15.420 --> 01:16:18.159
has nothing to do with qualifications, nothing to do with
911
01:16:18.470 --> 01:16:20.750
ability to win. It has nothing to do with anything.
912
01:16:21.090 --> 01:16:29.350
Just bad, bad, bad, bad candidates. All right, let's see.
913
01:16:29.529 --> 01:16:34.739
Another $ 50 question. Thank you, James. Here's Arthur with $ 50.
914
01:16:34.319 --> 01:16:38.760
Is reason infallible? Reason is a faculty possessed by man.
915
01:16:40.079 --> 01:16:44.310
Fallibility is a concept that applies to entity of a
916
01:16:44.399 --> 01:16:48.739
volitional consciousness. It is man performing acts of reason, not
917
01:16:48.939 --> 01:16:55.140
reason as its own actor that you can call it fallible. Well,
918
01:16:55.779 --> 01:17:01.109
but how do you separate those two out? Reason is fallible.
919
01:17:01.189 --> 01:17:08.470
That is, reason, the faculty, can misintegrate. Now, it can
920
01:17:08.489 --> 01:17:12.180
misintegrate because of the guidance maybe it's gotten from you,
921
01:17:12.920 --> 01:17:19.310
but I don't think it's meaningful to talk about reason
922
01:17:19.369 --> 01:17:25.420
as something separate from man. Reason is a faculty of man.
923
01:17:25.899 --> 01:17:32.420
It's a faculty that does not provide you with infallible stuff.
924
01:17:33.319 --> 01:17:38.729
The sense is infallible. But once... And reason is also
925
01:17:39.010 --> 01:17:48.380
activated by... you know, by your volition. So absolutely, I
926
01:17:48.420 --> 01:17:54.239
think reason is fallible. Reason has, it's doing stuff. And
927
01:17:54.560 --> 01:17:57.000
so it's not like the senses, which in a sense
928
01:17:57.060 --> 01:18:01.699
are passive. They just receive. They just, it's just sense data, right?
929
01:18:01.739 --> 01:18:05.149
The sense data, they receive what they receive. And they're
930
01:18:05.170 --> 01:18:09.489
infallible in that sense. Reason is not. Reason is doing
931
01:18:09.550 --> 01:18:13.260
stuff with the sense data. And it can do stuff badly, wrongly.
932
01:18:16.619 --> 01:18:22.479
It can do stuff incompletely. It could do stuff, yeah, incompletely.
933
01:18:22.819 --> 01:18:26.060
So the integration could be wrong. It could be flawed.
934
01:18:27.460 --> 01:18:30.239
So I think you can say that reason is fallible.
935
01:18:31.380 --> 01:18:33.460
I think the whole point is it's a fallible tool.
936
01:18:33.779 --> 01:18:37.319
That's why when you're monitoring what your mind is doing,
937
01:18:37.920 --> 01:18:44.550
when you're monitoring your faculties, monitoring yourself, you have to
938
01:18:44.590 --> 01:18:48.199
be careful. You have to really be open to the
939
01:18:48.220 --> 01:18:52.840
possibility that what you're doing is wrong. is mistaken and
940
01:18:52.859 --> 01:18:57.439
therefore double checking and making sure you're not evading there's
941
01:18:57.479 --> 01:19:00.529
work to be done whereas with sense data there's no
942
01:19:00.569 --> 01:19:03.590
work to be done open eyes that's it there's the
943
01:19:03.609 --> 01:19:11.029
camera there's the computer there's no you know alright so Now, again,
944
01:19:11.260 --> 01:19:17.899
good question to ask Greg. Good philosophical question to ask Greg.
945
01:19:19.659 --> 01:19:28.850
But I think that's right. Like, I like something like that.
946
01:19:30.090 --> 01:19:34.010
Thoughts on Patrick Swayze. Rest in peace, Captain Picard. Thank
947
01:19:34.029 --> 01:19:36.310
you for all you do and the value you provide
948
01:19:36.329 --> 01:19:41.720
to me. I appreciate that. Thank you. Yeah, Patrick Stewart
949
01:19:42.960 --> 01:19:46.199
passed away a couple of days ago. He was a
950
01:19:46.199 --> 01:19:50.949
good actor. He had kind of a presence to him.
951
01:19:51.069 --> 01:19:55.369
I think he was a great captain for the USS
952
01:19:55.409 --> 01:19:58.649
Enterprise because he had a commanding presence. I think it
953
01:19:58.729 --> 01:20:03.220
came to some extent from his Shakespearean training or the
954
01:20:03.239 --> 01:20:05.060
other way around, maybe because he has a presence he
955
01:20:05.079 --> 01:20:10.869
made for good Shakespeare. but, but yeah, a good actor, a, uh,
956
01:20:11.770 --> 01:20:14.250
you know, somebody who, who seemed like a, a nice
957
01:20:14.310 --> 01:20:17.880
guy to the extent you could tell, uh, somebody, uh,
958
01:20:18.300 --> 01:20:26.760
you know, you could respect. So, um, yeah. Um, no,
959
01:20:26.800 --> 01:20:36.470
I don't want to go there. So, um, yeah, rest
960
01:20:36.479 --> 01:20:39.880
in peace, uh, Patrick Stewart, and you will be missed.
961
01:20:41.760 --> 01:20:44.100
I thought it was, you know, yeah, again, he had
962
01:20:44.779 --> 01:20:47.380
kind of a commanding presence. He was a real, I
963
01:20:48.720 --> 01:20:51.520
don't know, he gave the sense of being an actor's actor, right?
964
01:20:52.880 --> 01:20:55.479
Somebody who you paid attention to no matter what role
965
01:20:55.500 --> 01:20:59.750
he was playing, which is unique. All right, let's see.
966
01:21:10.590 --> 01:21:27.869
All right. What have we done here? Okay. All right.
967
01:21:27.909 --> 01:21:44.119
At this point, I'm looking to see If there's anything new,
968
01:21:44.180 --> 01:21:47.149
I think we'll get some new stuff, new data in
969
01:21:47.189 --> 01:21:55.090
five minutes from Claude. All right. Liam, can you be
970
01:21:55.210 --> 01:21:57.989
egoistic and happy in your 80s and 90s? I don't
971
01:21:58.010 --> 01:22:01.710
see why not. I mean, what would prevent you? I mean,
972
01:22:01.750 --> 01:22:08.609
health would prevent you maybe from being egoistic, from being happy.
973
01:22:09.329 --> 01:22:13.779
But I'm not sure why not. why is egoism an
974
01:22:13.800 --> 01:22:19.050
issue of age? I understand why, you know, happiness can
975
01:22:19.060 --> 01:22:21.010
be an issue of age because of health, but I
976
01:22:21.050 --> 01:22:25.250
don't understand why egoism is an issue of age. You
977
01:22:25.289 --> 01:22:27.609
can be egoistic in any age. You should be egoistic
978
01:22:27.670 --> 01:22:32.560
in any age. And I think even though bodies start slowing,
979
01:22:32.680 --> 01:22:34.640
you know, in the 80s and 90s, suddenly the body
980
01:22:34.720 --> 01:22:38.779
is falling apart and slowing you down and so on,
981
01:22:38.899 --> 01:22:40.560
I still think you can be happy in spite of that.
982
01:22:42.760 --> 01:22:56.439
alright thank you Liam Harper Campbell do most jealous people
983
01:22:56.500 --> 01:23:00.739
not realize their hatred comes from jealousy it manifests in
984
01:23:00.779 --> 01:23:04.050
them thinking more successful people are keeping them down I
985
01:23:04.069 --> 01:23:06.329
mean I really think you need to separate jealousy from
986
01:23:06.449 --> 01:23:11.170
envy I don't think it's the same thing you know
987
01:23:11.229 --> 01:23:18.720
jealousy is is maybe wanting something that somebody else has had,
988
01:23:18.739 --> 01:23:22.189
but not hating them for having it. Envy is hatred
989
01:23:22.229 --> 01:23:25.109
of the good for being the good. That's really evil.
990
01:23:25.250 --> 01:23:29.029
I think jealousy is just, yeah, I really like that
991
01:23:29.649 --> 01:23:31.390
guy's Porsche. I wish I had a Porsche. Maybe I
992
01:23:31.590 --> 01:23:34.550
need to work harder to get a Porsche. But envy is,
993
01:23:34.970 --> 01:23:37.859
I hate that guy for having a Porsche. So I
994
01:23:37.899 --> 01:23:42.850
think they're two different things. right? You're jealous if your
995
01:23:42.989 --> 01:23:49.779
girlfriend is flirting with another guy, right? You kind of
996
01:23:49.819 --> 01:24:00.369
protect it. You want it to be yours, but that's
997
01:24:00.390 --> 01:24:05.510
not envy necessarily, right? So I would separate those two out.
998
01:24:06.430 --> 01:24:10.979
I don't think I don't think jealousy has to involve hatred,
999
01:24:11.220 --> 01:24:14.439
whereas envy involves hatred. So if you mean, do most
1000
01:24:14.840 --> 01:24:20.409
envious people not realize that hatred comes from envy? Yeah,
1001
01:24:20.449 --> 01:24:23.369
I don't think people really think it through. They hate.
1002
01:24:24.850 --> 01:24:27.069
They hate, but they don't think about the source of
1003
01:24:27.109 --> 01:24:32.970
that hatred, where it comes from exactly. Envy is when
1004
01:24:33.029 --> 01:24:36.350
someone has something you don't. That's not envy. It's when
1005
01:24:36.380 --> 01:24:40.039
you hate somebody who has something you don't. And they
1006
01:24:40.079 --> 01:24:44.270
have it because of virtue. Again, Ayn Rand defined envy
1007
01:24:44.329 --> 01:24:47.789
as hatred of the good for being good, for being
1008
01:24:47.850 --> 01:24:53.130
the good. So it's not just a simple emotion of,
1009
01:24:53.930 --> 01:25:01.550
I want that thing that you have. It's much more substantial. Right,
1010
01:25:01.930 --> 01:25:04.630
I mean, it looks like most of the channels have,
1011
01:25:05.890 --> 01:25:09.729
Texas is leaning Democratic Kansas is leaning Democratic. That is
1012
01:25:09.840 --> 01:25:16.460
huge if Kansas goes Democratic. Iowa is leaning Democratic. Michigan,
1013
01:25:16.760 --> 01:25:24.979
leaning Democratic. Ohio, leaning Democratic. And Maine at this point, but,
1014
01:25:25.500 --> 01:25:29.899
you know, Maine, leaning Democratic. But it's all very early, right?
1015
01:25:30.520 --> 01:25:34.460
The only one that's flipped, and South Carolina, leaning Democratic.
1016
01:25:34.920 --> 01:25:39.310
The only one that's clearly flipped... is North Carolina. That's
1017
01:25:39.369 --> 01:25:44.729
the one pickup Democrats have. I don't think Republicans have
1018
01:25:44.770 --> 01:25:50.109
a pickup yet. Although Minnesota, Minnesota, that would
be huge.
1019
01:25:50.920 --> 01:25:56.880
If Republicans can take Minnesota, that's you. Peggy Flanagan, the
1020
01:25:56.899 --> 01:26:03.659
corruption in Minnesota that we saw, Republicans winning that would
1021
01:26:03.699 --> 01:26:06.020
not be a bad thing in spite of the idea
1022
01:26:06.079 --> 01:26:09.439
that We want Republicans to get hammered. I think picking
1023
01:26:09.500 --> 01:26:12.159
up Minnesota would be good. Not losing Michigan would be good.
1024
01:26:12.180 --> 01:26:15.220
Those are the two, in terms of Senate seats, I'd
1025
01:26:15.260 --> 01:26:19.039
like to see, you know, I'd like to see not
1026
01:26:19.159 --> 01:26:30.170
go generally towards the Republicans getting hammered. All right. Let's see.
1027
01:26:32.789 --> 01:26:37.310
Let's see if there's a update here. Yeah, I think
1028
01:26:37.329 --> 01:26:39.609
we need to give it a few more minutes to
1029
01:26:39.630 --> 01:26:47.270
run the update. Yeah, it's running the update now. Okay,
1030
01:26:47.289 --> 01:26:50.880
so we'll get to that. All right, James. Is libertarianism
1031
01:26:50.899 --> 01:26:54.500
a strange mix of Kantian subjectivism and nihilism with Ayn
1032
01:26:54.520 --> 01:26:58.439
Rand's political philosophy? No, I think that's way too generous
1033
01:27:00.800 --> 01:27:04.220
to the libertarians. I don't think there's much Ayn Rand
1034
01:27:04.239 --> 01:27:08.079
political philosophy they've taken bits and pieces from Ayn Rand's
1035
01:27:08.100 --> 01:27:11.810
political philosophy but I wouldn't say they've embraced Ayn Rand's
1036
01:27:11.850 --> 01:27:16.550
political philosophy and mixed it with Kantian subjectivist nihilism I
1037
01:27:16.590 --> 01:27:22.489
think it's a it's you know libertarianism mostly you know
1038
01:27:22.529 --> 01:27:27.460
it's a big tent with a big Rothbardian hoppe anarchist
1039
01:27:27.560 --> 01:27:32.659
Kantian subjectivist religious because you know a lot of them
1040
01:27:32.680 --> 01:27:40.279
are very religious but basically a political philosophy that elevates anarchy,
1041
01:27:40.869 --> 01:27:45.489
so not Ayn Rand's political philosophy, with a subjectivist morality
1042
01:27:45.710 --> 01:27:54.960
or religious morality or Kantian morality, with another wing of
1043
01:27:55.020 --> 01:27:59.600
the libertarians who are free market and don't want to
1044
01:27:59.659 --> 01:28:03.149
think about morality, don't want to think about epistemology, don't
1045
01:28:03.189 --> 01:28:05.409
really want to take those into account. Kind of what
1046
01:28:05.449 --> 01:28:09.329
I call kind of economics, I don't know, almost common sense,
1047
01:28:10.069 --> 01:28:13.029
just the pro-free markets. They get that free markets work.
1048
01:28:13.909 --> 01:28:17.510
They like freedom. They like the idea of freedom. They
1049
01:28:17.550 --> 01:28:24.029
reject anarchy. Some of them might be mildly, they don't
1050
01:28:24.069 --> 01:28:27.619
really understand arguments against anarchy, but they're not advocates for anarchy.
1051
01:28:28.060 --> 01:28:32.250
And certainly not advocates for the kind of nihilistic anarchy
1052
01:28:32.289 --> 01:28:35.659
that Rothbard and Hoppe stand for. I think that's more
1053
01:28:35.699 --> 01:28:41.569
George Mason and Cato and some of Cato Cato has
1054
01:28:41.729 --> 01:28:45.149
an awful foreign policy but you know that that where
1055
01:28:45.180 --> 01:28:51.779
they where they are basically guided by more of a
1056
01:28:51.859 --> 01:28:56.420
free market view and a pro-freedom view than a and
1057
01:28:56.560 --> 01:29:01.140
and they they either rejected or sidelined anarchy i think
1058
01:29:01.180 --> 01:29:05.979
reason magazine and uh and cato represent that it's not
1059
01:29:06.000 --> 01:29:09.439
that they're anti-anarchy although some of them are it's that
1060
01:29:09.460 --> 01:29:12.100
they it's not that you know they they don't go
1061
01:29:12.170 --> 01:29:17.289
there right um because they don't really understand arguments one
1062
01:29:17.329 --> 01:29:21.029
way or another it doesn't they don't like anarchy but
1063
01:29:21.069 --> 01:29:25.220
they don't really have the arguments against it all right
1064
01:29:25.300 --> 01:29:32.189
let's see um Wow. All right, so Keisha Lance Bottoms
1065
01:29:32.510 --> 01:29:38.430
is one. NBC is projecting her winning Georgia governor, so
1066
01:29:38.449 --> 01:29:42.010
she will be the first female and I think the
1067
01:29:42.029 --> 01:29:44.810
first black to be a governor of Georgia. Is that right?
1068
01:29:45.949 --> 01:29:56.279
I'm not sure. Wow. I mean, this is huge. The Democrat...
1069
01:29:57.229 --> 01:30:05.710
Hino Jossa is leading Abbott, 57.4 to 41.4, with 53% in.
1070
01:30:07.010 --> 01:30:12.149
And Abbott needs 58% of what's left. Now, he might
1071
01:30:12.170 --> 01:30:15.680
get it. It hasn't been called. But that is huge.
1072
01:30:16.920 --> 01:30:22.439
That is huge. Ohio is tightening. So the Democrat is
1073
01:30:22.479 --> 01:30:30.569
leading 51.8 to 45%. We're 57% in. But I can't
1074
01:30:30.649 --> 01:30:35.170
imagine Texas governor going Democratic, but that would be huge.
1075
01:30:37.029 --> 01:30:41.310
And that would be a real repudiation of Republican governance.
1076
01:30:42.680 --> 01:30:45.600
And Republicans really have to think about where did they
1077
01:30:45.609 --> 01:30:48.560
screw up in Texas? This isn't about national politics. This
1078
01:30:48.619 --> 01:30:52.640
is about Texas politics. And it has to reflect the
1079
01:30:52.659 --> 01:31:00.329
Hispanic vote, ICE, You know, and my guess is it
1080
01:31:00.369 --> 01:31:05.810
reflects abortion, right? I mean, Texas went all in on
1081
01:31:05.869 --> 01:31:13.300
banning abortion, criminalizing abortion, going after women, really. So the
1082
01:31:13.380 --> 01:31:15.960
governor race in Texas, I think, would be a reflection
1083
01:31:15.979 -->
01:31:19.220
of that and will be huge if that goes Democratic
1084
01:31:19.699 --> 01:31:21.720
and will be good, I think. I think having divided
1085
01:31:21.739 --> 01:31:25.720
government in Texas and kind of slapping the Republicans in
1086
01:31:25.739 --> 01:31:33.439
the face Now, again, we'll see what happens. Let's see.
1087
01:31:34.800 --> 01:31:41.560
NBC has moved South Carolina to lean Democratic. Ohio is narrowing,
1088
01:31:42.819 --> 01:31:44.960
so it's now in the Senate. This is not the
1089
01:31:45.000 --> 01:31:50.989
governor's race. Brown is 49.9%. Husted, the Republican, 57%. Florida
1090
01:31:51.010 --> 01:31:55.289
special election, we said, well, some places have called it
1091
01:31:55.310 --> 01:32:01.420
for the Republicans, others have not. but probably goes Republican. Again,
1092
01:32:01.439 --> 01:32:06.810
rural votes are still out in Texas, but Tel Aviv
1093
01:32:06.869 --> 01:32:12.829
is leading 60 to 39. In Kansas, the Democrat is
1094
01:32:12.869 --> 01:32:17.050
leading 59 to 38, again with the rural votes still out. Iowa,
1095
01:32:17.090 --> 01:32:21.079
the Democrat is leading 62 to 36. Michigan, El Sayyad
1096
01:32:21.140 --> 01:32:22.800
is leading 55 to 44, but only 16% in. So
1097
01:32:22.819 --> 01:32:27.560
hard to say. And then you know, Maine is only
1098
01:32:27.560 --> 01:32:33.050
8% in, and, uh, Nebraska has an independent running, who's
1099
01:32:33.100 --> 01:32:37.229
affiliated with the Democrats, running against the Republican, and the
1100
01:32:37.270 --> 01:32:39.710
independent is, is leading by a big margin, but only
1101
01:32:39.710 --> 01:32:46.369
24% in. Uh, rate, so none of the bellwether, what's
1102
01:32:46.409 --> 01:32:51.750
called the bellwether, um, uh, in Kentucky, Indiana, Virginia, and
1103
01:32:51.770 --> 01:32:56.800
South Carolina, uh, have not been called, but, uh, So
1104
01:32:56.899 --> 01:33:04.539
we're still waiting for calls on those. All right. Okay,
1105
01:33:04.579 --> 01:33:18.630
let's just make the next update for 11 p.m. Instead
1106
01:33:18.670 --> 01:33:37.159
of 11.30. Okay. All right. Let's go back to your questions,
1107
01:33:37.600 --> 01:33:40.250
and I'll keep an eye on this and see if
1108
01:33:40.369 --> 01:33:49.560
anything else is being called. I mean, they call it Massachusetts,
1109
01:33:49.579 --> 01:33:53.260
but that's kind of obvious, and New Hampshire. I mean,
1110
01:33:53.300 --> 01:33:57.880
Republicans hoped to flip New Hampshire. They ran John Sununu,
1111
01:33:57.899 --> 01:34:00.859
who was a very popular governor of New Hampshire. didn't
1112
01:34:01.039 --> 01:34:03.500
work you know even though all the libertarians have moved
1113
01:34:03.579 --> 01:34:06.319
out there to create the free state of new hampshire
1114
01:34:07.220 --> 01:34:15.449
um it's still going democratic all right let's see um
1115
01:34:17.890 --> 01:34:21.090
you know keisha uh lance bottom is governor of georgia
1116
01:34:21.130 --> 01:34:26.630
i mean that's pretty shocking you know and um yeah
1117
01:34:26.649 --> 01:34:29.600
i mean she's very left She's really bad. She's not
1118
01:34:29.800 --> 01:34:35.149
Democratic Socialist America, but she's very left. She's very bad. And,
1119
01:34:37.670 --> 01:34:41.470
you know, I think the Republican governor who didn't run,
1120
01:34:41.489 --> 01:34:44.270
I don't know if he was termed out or just
1121
01:34:44.310 --> 01:34:49.560
didn't run, was quite good. But my guess is Republicans
1122
01:34:49.640 --> 01:34:53.359
nominated some loser because that's who they've been nominating recently.
1123
01:34:54.220 --> 01:34:58.500
And the Democrats picked up Georgia again in a really shocking...
1124
01:34:59.840 --> 01:35:06.039
Georgia has been governed by Republicans for a long time. Now,
1125
01:35:06.079 --> 01:35:07.899
somebody asked a question about her. Let me just see
1126
01:35:07.930 --> 01:35:29.079
if I can find that question. Where is it? Uh... Yeah,
1127
01:35:29.159 --> 01:35:33.439
James says, how does a black governor change Georgia or
1128
01:35:33.520 --> 01:35:38.119
other states? She will be the first black to be governor.
1129
01:35:38.600 --> 01:35:41.199
How do you see race playing a role in 2028?
1130
01:35:41.199 --> 01:35:43.600
Every year the country becomes more mixed. On the one hand,
1131
01:35:43.760 --> 01:35:46.520
every year the country becomes more mixed. That's true. On
1132
01:35:46.539 --> 01:35:52.199
the other hand, Obama winning the presidency didn't seem to
1133
01:35:52.380 --> 01:35:56.939
really make a difference in terms of the Democrats making
1134
01:35:56.979 --> 01:35:59.989
race a bigger and bigger issue. And then Republicans becoming
1135
01:36:00.029 --> 01:36:03.170
more and more racist, at least at the extremes, right?
1136
01:36:03.890 --> 01:36:07.409
So I don't know how it's going to affect. You're
1137
01:36:07.470 --> 01:36:10.479
right in the sense that it should take race off
1138
01:36:10.489 --> 01:36:15.039
the table, right? Georgia would vote for a black governor
1139
01:36:16.000 --> 01:36:19.460
and a woman black governor. Then race doesn't seem to
1140
01:36:19.500 --> 01:36:25.109
be a factor anymore in American politics. And yet the
1141
01:36:25.170 --> 01:36:29.380
backlash to Obama was Trump. She's going to be an
1142
01:36:29.529 --> 01:36:32.960
awful governor. How much of that would be blamed by
1143
01:36:33.100 --> 01:36:38.260
some people on her quote blackness, whatever the hell that means. Um,
1144
01:36:38.920 --> 01:36:43.220
will this increase racism or decrease racism? I, you know,
1145
01:36:43.239 --> 01:36:48.060
I don't know. I wish it was as simple as look,
1146
01:36:49.399 --> 01:36:54.310
race doesn't matter. And, uh, and we'll elect, you know,
1147
01:36:54.350 --> 01:36:58.420
the least worst candidate or whatever. Um, But I'm not
1148
01:36:58.520 --> 01:37:02.090
sure that's how it actually plays out because
of how
1149
01:37:02.149 --> 01:37:04.970
people interpret it. So again, if you look back at Obama,
1150
01:37:04.989 --> 01:37:08.569
Obama should have been proof that systemic racism doesn't exist
1151
01:37:08.609 --> 01:37:13.270
in America, and yet the left made systemic racism the
1152
01:37:13.369 --> 01:37:20.239
issue for them, the issue, right? So, you know, I
1153
01:37:20.300 --> 01:37:24.579
don't know how this will play out. I fear that
1154
01:37:24.600 --> 01:37:27.659
it becomes, it highlights more racism rather than less racism.
1155
01:37:37.020 --> 01:37:42.859
All right, let's see. We talked about that. We talked
1156
01:37:42.920 --> 01:37:53.399
about that. We talked about that and that. All right.
1157
01:37:53.420 --> 01:37:58.390
All right, we'll keep track, and we'll see. I don't
1158
01:37:58.409 --> 01:38:00.170
know how long I'm going to go here, but we've
1159
01:38:00.210 --> 01:38:02.649
still got a lot of questions, so we'll certainly be
1160
01:38:02.729 --> 01:38:07.800
answering all your questions tonight. Clark says, Jordan Peterson said
1161
01:38:07.850 --> 01:38:13.399
gratitude is the antidote to resentment and arrogance. He's always
1162
01:38:13.520 --> 01:38:17.260
smuggling in altruism and humility in his lectures. He just
1163
01:38:17.380 --> 01:38:21.449
seems like a modern-day mystical witch doctor. I'm surprised he
1164
01:38:21.510 --> 01:38:24.850
hired you. Well, I mean, he's trying to create a
1165
01:38:25.170 --> 01:38:29.449
pluralistic platform, a platform that does not take his point
1166
01:38:29.489 --> 01:38:33.159
of view. So he's hired a lot of people. Well,
1167
01:38:33.199 --> 01:38:35.140
not a lot of people, but several people who disagree
1168
01:38:35.180 --> 01:38:41.270
with him. So, you know, there's a number of people
1169
01:38:41.310 --> 01:38:45.689
there who the economists are much more free market than
1170
01:38:45.710 --> 01:38:49.340
I think Jordan Peterson or his people are. that he's
1171
01:38:49.359 --> 01:38:53.399
hired to teach the basic economics courses. The philosophy course
1172
01:38:54.100 --> 01:39:00.350
is being taught by, what's his name? God, why the
1173
01:39:00.390 --> 01:39:05.390
names not come to me? Anyway, who's from the Atlas Society,
1174
01:39:05.409 --> 01:39:10.010
who's affiliated with kind of Ayn Rand in some way, right?
1175
01:39:10.590 --> 01:39:13.470
So friendly to Ayn Rand, and he's teaching all the
1176
01:39:13.510 --> 01:39:19.770
philosophy classes. Certainly not a religionist, and not somebody who
1177
01:39:19.810 --> 01:39:24.010
is going to advocate explicitly for altruism. So he wanted
1178
01:39:24.069 --> 01:39:26.409
a pluralistic platform, and I think he hired me as
1179
01:39:27.130 --> 01:39:29.569
part of that effort. And if he's owning me with something,
1180
01:39:29.590 --> 01:39:37.850
but he also, he had Schirmer, the so-called skeptic guy
1181
01:39:38.520 --> 01:39:42.479
who's pretty good on science and anti-religion. He has him
1182
01:39:43.079 --> 01:39:48.140
teaching at the Peterson Academy. So if Peterson Academy was,
1183
01:39:49.640 --> 01:39:54.319
we're going to teach Peterson's, Jordan Peterson's philosophy, and yeah,
1184
01:39:54.340 --> 01:39:56.430
we might have a token person here, a token person there,
1185
01:39:56.890 --> 01:40:01.529
teach each other stuff, basically it's Peterson's philosophy, then I
1186
01:40:01.909 --> 01:40:04.390
would not be part of it, but there is an
1187
01:40:04.449 --> 01:40:08.670
attempt at least to bring in a diversity, some diversity
1188
01:40:08.729 --> 01:40:10.670
points of view. Not as much as I would like,
1189
01:40:11.130 --> 01:40:17.659
but some diversity. I will have The third most courses
1190
01:40:18.500 --> 01:40:23.460
on the platform. The third most courses on the platform.
1191
01:40:25.220 --> 01:40:30.000
Let me just, one second. Oh, by the way, if
1192
01:40:30.039 --> 01:40:34.760
you're talking about Peterson Academy, big deal tomorrow. Very, very
1193
01:40:34.840 --> 01:40:40.439
big deal tomorrow. I'm really, really excited because tomorrow they
1194
01:40:40.460 --> 01:40:46.899
will be releasing my Ayn Rand course. So it's titled
1195
01:40:47.119 --> 01:40:51.090
Ayn Rand, Novelist and Philosopher. Ayn Rand, Novelist and Philosopher.
1196
01:40:51.670 --> 01:40:54.970
It's nine hours of me talking about Ayn Rand. And
1197
01:40:55.010 --> 01:40:59.550
it will be coming out tomorrow. Tomorrow. So stay tuned.
1198
01:41:00.229 --> 01:41:05.140
Now note, they've got Brad Thompson talking about the intellectual
1199
01:41:05.199 --> 01:41:12.159
origins of the American Revolution. You know, that's good, right?
1200
01:41:13.369 --> 01:41:14.930
You know, they've got a lot of people I don't like,
1201
01:41:15.010 --> 01:41:20.029
like Robert Barron, who's a bishop, who is a pro-market,
1202
01:41:20.609 --> 01:41:25.069
pro-free markets bishop, and all kinds of other stuff that,
1203
01:41:25.489 --> 01:41:28.390
you know, the historical reliability of the Bible, which is BS.
1204
01:41:29.289 --> 01:41:33.600
But they've also got, you know, a mixture of things, right?
1205
01:41:37.000 --> 01:41:44.890
What was I looking for here? I was looking for something. Uh... So,
1206
01:41:45.989 --> 01:41:50.289
you know who has the most courses on, the person
1207
01:41:50.310 --> 01:41:54.210
with the most courses in Peterson Academy is Stephen Hicks, right?
1208
01:41:54.689 --> 01:41:58.649
He's not a Jordan Peterson guy, right? So Stephen Hicks
1209
01:41:58.670 --> 01:42:02.289
has the most courses on the platform. Second most courses
1210
01:42:02.329 --> 01:42:06.130
on the platform is a, I think Cambridge or Oxford guy,
1211
01:42:06.149 --> 01:42:08.529
maybe he's an Oxford guy, by the name of James Orr,
1212
01:42:08.949 --> 01:42:14.630
who's more of a conservative, but a respected academic but
1213
01:42:14.649 --> 01:42:19.109
a conservative. Definitely more
for the Jordan Peterson direction. Third
1214
01:42:19.170 --> 01:42:25.029
most courses in Peterson Academy is me and Jordan Peterson. Now,
1215
01:42:25.329 --> 01:42:27.149
I'm sure at some point Jordan Peterson will overtake me,
1216
01:42:27.630 --> 01:42:29.710
but me and Jordan Peterson have the same number of
1217
01:42:29.770 --> 01:42:33.079
courses as of tomorrow when my course on Ironman comes
1218
01:42:33.140 --> 01:42:36.840
out on the platform. So that's pretty cool. So that's
1219
01:42:36.880 --> 01:42:40.760
why I'm doing it. And, you know, again, this is
1220
01:42:40.840 --> 01:42:44.079
why I think why he invited me. He wants good
1221
01:42:44.960 --> 01:42:53.770
good teachers somebody says Bradley Thompson has a course coming
1222
01:42:53.869 --> 01:42:55.850
no it's not coming it's already on there it's up
1223
01:42:55.869 --> 01:42:58.850
there it was released two three weeks ago and I
1224
01:42:58.890 --> 01:43:01.970
think I think he'll be back Brad will be back
1225
01:43:02.050 --> 01:43:05.229
there to do another course in in in in the
1226
01:43:05.310 --> 01:43:10.189
near or more distant future all right I am getting
1227
01:43:10.220 --> 01:43:23.359
all right let's see anything new no new calls I'm
1228
01:43:23.399 --> 01:43:29.409
looking at the you know the house we won't know
1229
01:43:29.470 --> 01:43:32.689
exactly what happened in the house until way into tomorrow
1230
01:43:32.710 --> 01:43:35.430
and probably not for another week or so California is
1231
01:43:35.510 --> 01:43:41.569
very slow in counting votes and we won't know you
1232
01:43:41.609 --> 01:43:50.500
know let's see governors Yeah, the big one is Georgia flipped.
1233
01:43:51.039 --> 01:43:55.600
That's the big one. Everybody else is pretty, in terms
1234
01:43:55.659 --> 01:44:02.859
of called ones, it's all expected. But Georgia is the
1235
01:44:02.930 --> 01:44:06.770
one that really flipped. All right, I don't want that.
1236
01:44:09.850 --> 01:44:16.529
All right, let's go. All right, Michael. Does the psychology
1237
01:44:16.550 --> 01:44:20.850
of envy come from frustration of holding the premise, I
1238
01:44:20.970 --> 01:44:24.109
don't have the ability to achieve what they have, so
1239
01:44:24.149 --> 01:44:26.770
I can't have it. Why should I be happy for
1240
01:44:26.829 --> 01:44:30.029
those who have? Well, I don't know. I mean, I
1241
01:44:30.109 --> 01:44:32.520
don't have the ability to achieve what some of these
1242
01:44:32.560 --> 01:44:38.539
people have. But I don't, I don't, you know, I
1243
01:44:38.560 --> 01:44:42.109
don't envy them. So I don't have the ability of a,
1244
01:44:42.970 --> 01:44:51.170
of a Bezos or, you know, Gates or Jobs and whatever.
1245
01:44:51.310 --> 01:44:53.010
So I'm not going to have what they have. I'm
1246
01:44:53.050 --> 01:44:54.770
never going to be a billionaire. Just not going to
1247
01:44:54.789 --> 01:44:58.689
be a billionaire. That's just, but I've never
thought, ooh,
1248
01:44:58.770 --> 01:45:02.090
I'm envious of the guy who's a billionaire. I'm just not.
1249
01:45:03.010 --> 01:45:06.069
They're billionaires. They did their thing. I do what I do.
1250
01:45:07.069 --> 01:45:08.779
You know, I try to be the best that I
1251
01:45:08.819 --> 01:45:10.239
can be at what I do. They try to be
1252
01:45:10.260 --> 01:45:14.260
the best. So I don't think I don't think it
1253
01:45:14.340 --> 01:45:17.960
comes from saying I can't achieve. I know I can't achieve.
1254
01:45:18.020 --> 01:45:21.270
I can't be a Nobel Prize winner. I can't be
1255
01:45:21.310 --> 01:45:23.149
a billionaire. There are lots of things I can't be,
1256
01:45:23.689 --> 01:45:30.470
and that doesn't cause me to envy the people who can. Jamie,
1257
01:45:31.250 --> 01:45:33.630
teachers' unions are definitely a big part of why American
1258
01:45:33.670 --> 01:45:38.170
education struggles, but proponents for unionization will point to Finland's
1259
01:45:38.289 --> 01:45:43.029
unionized teachers that have excellent results. What are your thoughts? Well,
1260
01:45:44.069 --> 01:45:46.729
you know, first of all, Finland's results are not excellent.
1261
01:45:47.729 --> 01:45:51.829
Finland has declined in the education rating significantly over the
1262
01:45:51.850 --> 01:45:55.109
last few years. So Finland is no longer a model
1263
01:45:55.590 --> 01:46:01.720
for excellent education. And generally, I don't buy this excellent education.
1264
01:46:01.819 --> 01:46:04.800
We don't know what excellent education is because we don't
1265
01:46:04.840 --> 01:46:07.800
have a competitive market out there anyway for really, really
1266
01:46:07.819 --> 01:46:11.140
good education. So Finland is better than America maybe. Even
1267
01:46:11.180 --> 01:46:16.359
that's not clear right now. But is it excellent? I
1268
01:46:16.399 --> 01:46:21.020
think it's probably not. It's probably just mediocre. And mediocre plus,
1269
01:46:21.079 --> 01:46:25.430
and we're mediocre minus. But it's all mediocre. And what
1270
01:46:25.470 --> 01:46:29.510
is possible in a free market is superb plus. And
1271
01:46:29.550 --> 01:46:32.590
we don't have that, so we can't even compare. We
1272
01:46:32.649 --> 01:46:35.850
can't even objectively evaluate a lot of these things because
1273
01:46:35.869 --> 01:46:43.829
we just don't know. Now, the problem with You know,
1274
01:46:44.029 --> 01:46:46.850
first of all, it could be that Finland's unions are
1275
01:46:46.869 --> 01:46:50.979
better behaved than American unions just because another country has unions.
1276
01:46:51.439 --> 01:46:55.899
I think unions generally in Scandinavia behave much better, are
1277
01:46:59.479 --> 01:47:04.279
less short term, are less about, you know, gaining at
1278
01:47:04.300 --> 01:47:07.359
the expense of the children, for example, teacher union. So
1279
01:47:07.880 --> 01:47:10.220
just because you have a union doesn't mean you're all
1280
01:47:10.239 --> 01:47:12.619
going to be equally bad. I think American unions are
1281
01:47:12.640 --> 01:47:17.829
particularly bad. Scandinavian unions are particularly good for whatever reason.
1282
01:47:18.350 --> 01:47:24.710
Maybe it's, you know, smaller countries, more cohesion, social cohesion.
1283
01:47:25.810 --> 01:47:29.270
So I don't think unionization, qua unionization is what's killing it.
1284
01:47:29.739 --> 01:47:33.159
But in America, the teachers union in America does harm.
1285
01:47:34.159 --> 01:47:38.840
In Finland, does less harm. Or maybe no harm. So...
1286
01:47:40.069 --> 01:47:43.869
It's not the unionization qua unionization. It's the particular incentive structure,
1287
01:47:44.270 --> 01:47:47.689
the particular attitude, the particular way the unions behave in
1288
01:47:47.710 --> 01:47:50.510
the U.S. that causes damage. But it's not just that.
1289
01:47:50.590 --> 01:47:56.539
It's the curriculum. It's the state running them. It's the
1290
01:47:56.579 --> 01:48:06.260
teachers' colleges. It's all these factors that make education in
1291
01:48:06.279 --> 01:48:11.489
the United States really, really bad. It's not just one factor. Okay,
1292
01:48:11.729 --> 01:48:17.149
the best Tom. Seems like the animus against Trump is
1293
01:48:17.229 --> 01:48:20.989
so intense people are becoming radicalized by the left. The
1294
01:48:21.050 --> 01:48:26.520
tragedy is cities turn to socialism, rarely recover. San Francisco
1295
01:48:26.560 --> 01:48:28.880
is a dump. Portland is a dump. I mean, I
1296
01:48:28.920 --> 01:48:33.180
don't think that's true. So San Francisco has recovered. It's
1297
01:48:33.319 --> 01:48:34.960
far less of a dump than it used to be.
1298
01:48:36.220 --> 01:48:39.470
It's much better right now. than it was three, four,
1299
01:48:39.529 --> 01:48:43.289
five years ago, as it replaced the kind of woke
1300
01:48:43.350 --> 01:48:47.409
mayor with a much better mayor. We'll see if Portland
1301
01:48:47.449 --> 01:48:50.920
can ever recover. I think it probably will recover. I
1302
01:48:50.960 --> 01:48:53.500
don't think it's true that socialism is a one-way track.
1303
01:48:54.359 --> 01:48:57.119
I grew up in a country that was socialist and
1304
01:48:57.159 --> 01:49:00.600
has done phenomenally well once it turned away from socialism.
1305
01:49:01.409 --> 01:49:03.829
Look at Eastern Europe, look at Poland, how well Poland
1306
01:49:03.890 --> 01:49:07.630
is doing, turning away from socialism. So There's no reason
1307
01:49:07.689 --> 01:49:12.489
we can't turn away from socialism. But we need to
1308
01:49:12.529 --> 01:49:15.560
take the turn right now away from what Trump is
1309
01:49:15.640 --> 01:49:23.680
offering because I think the animus against Trump is intense
1310
01:49:23.800 --> 01:49:27.180
and I think it's justifiably intense. That is this very,
1311
01:49:27.239 --> 01:49:30.140
very good reason for the intensity of the animus against
1312
01:49:30.199 --> 01:49:33.670
Trump and that'll turn people away from Republicans. I do
1313
01:49:33.789 --> 01:49:39.090
not think It's radicalizing people for the left. I do
1314
01:49:39.250 --> 01:49:42.529
not think that this is a permanent shift to the left.
1315
01:49:42.569 --> 01:49:44.869
I don't think, and if the Democratic Party views it
1316
01:49:44.890 --> 01:49:48.810
as such, they're going to have a rude awakening in
1317
01:49:48.829 --> 01:49:53.020
the future. I think this is an election penalizing Trump
1318
01:49:53.760 --> 01:49:58.020
for things that Trump has done that deserves punishing, and
1319
01:49:58.100 --> 01:50:01.859
not just Trump. As you saw, 9 out of 10
1320
01:50:01.859 --> 01:50:05.989
Americans think that Congress should have done more in terms
1321
01:50:06.029 --> 01:50:10.119
of separation of powers, that Congress should have done more
1322
01:50:10.159 --> 01:50:15.239
to rein Trump in. So part of this is a
1323
01:50:15.300 --> 01:50:18.520
repudiation of the Republicans for not standing up for Trump,
1324
01:50:18.979 --> 01:50:24.199
to Trump. And I think that's, you know, really, really,
1325
01:50:24.239 --> 01:50:29.859
really good and important to repudiate Congress for not acting
1326
01:50:30.659 --> 01:50:44.670
like Congress should act. Right? All right. Okay, Democrats are
1327
01:50:44.689 --> 01:50:48.409
projected to have won at least 210 House seats in
1328
01:50:48.430 --> 01:50:52.380
the quest for at least 218 to take control of
1329
01:50:52.420 --> 01:50:57.939
the chamber. And they also are leaning towards flipping three
1330
01:50:58.020 --> 01:51:05.560
Republican-controlled Senate seats in Ohio, Texas, and South Carolina. let's see,
1331
01:51:05.579 --> 01:51:12.500
the key midterm election is deciding control of Congress. We
1332
01:51:12.539 --> 01:51:21.069
will see what happens as the night progresses. Okay, thank you,
1333
01:51:21.890 --> 01:51:28.510
the best Tom. Jamie, would also like to point out that, again,
1334
01:51:28.529 --> 01:51:31.949
I'm a huge fan and a capitalist, but just like
1335
01:51:32.390 --> 01:51:35.890
to steel man the socialist arguments because your arguments against
1336
01:51:36.729 --> 01:51:44.729
are much more in-depth than the ones I offer socialist friends. Thanks. Absolutely.
1337
01:51:44.750 --> 01:51:49.949
I appreciate it, Jamie. I don't doubt you. You're giving
1338
01:51:50.529 --> 01:51:55.789
me $ 20 for the questions, 20 Canadians. I'm not thinking
1339
01:51:55.810 --> 01:52:00.850
you're just doing that while you're a leftist. Chris says,
1340
01:52:02.819 --> 01:52:05.949
Wait a minute. You're saying Republicans will just blame the
1341
01:52:06.010 --> 01:52:08.949
war and not view this as a repudiation of Trump
1342
01:52:08.989 --> 01:52:11.850
and MAGA. I thought we were supposed to get excited
1343
01:52:11.930 --> 01:52:15.050
about this result. I feel like you've said both of
1344
01:52:15.109 --> 01:52:21.909
those
things. So the bigger the Democratic wave, the more
1345
01:52:21.949 --> 01:52:24.609
likely it is to be a repudiation of Trump. But
1346
01:52:24.729 --> 01:52:30.130
here's the thing. I'm saying MAGA will view this as
1347
01:52:30.149 --> 01:52:34.500
caused by the war. I hope that the rest of
1348
01:52:34.539 --> 01:52:38.119
Republicans view this as a repudiation of Trump and MAGA.
1349
01:52:39.279 --> 01:52:44.350
We will see. MAGA and Trump will probably view this
1350
01:52:44.430 --> 01:52:47.890
just as an issue of the war in Iran. And
1351
01:52:47.930 --> 01:52:51.289
that will be really, really, really sad, right, if that's
1352
01:52:51.470 --> 01:52:54.289
all they think about. But I do think the rest
1353
01:52:54.329 --> 01:52:56.529
of the Republican Party will have to really think about this.
1354
01:52:57.130 --> 01:53:00.350
And I think, at least in some quarters, there will
1355
01:53:00.390 --> 01:53:05.010
be a real consideration of where did we go wrong. And,
1356
01:53:06.029 --> 01:53:11.090
you know, at the very least, don't nominate corrupt politicians
1357
01:53:11.569 --> 01:53:13.510
to run for the Senate like they did in Texas.
1358
01:53:14.989 --> 01:53:22.329
Or don't nominate somebody because they're the sister of somebody else, right?
1359
01:53:22.630 --> 01:53:24.090
So what do you call it when you do it
1360
01:53:24.250 --> 01:53:29.529
in the family? I forget. There's a term for that. So...
1361
01:53:32.409 --> 01:53:38.609
We will, yeah, so again, I don't know what Republicans
1362
01:53:38.689 --> 01:53:42.189
are going to do. Let's be clear on that. I'm
1363
01:53:42.270 --> 01:53:47.409
just giving you the different options. MAGA will not take
1364
01:53:47.449 --> 01:53:51.810
this as repudiation of ICE or of immigration. The broader Republican,
1365
01:53:52.220 --> 01:53:55.439
or of tariffs, sorry, of ICE or of tariffs, the
1366
01:53:55.500 --> 01:53:58.640
broader Republican Party might, and that's what I hope for.
1367
01:53:59.420 --> 01:54:05.300
That's what I'm hoping for. All right. Let's see. Andrew.
1368
01:54:06.960 --> 01:54:12.600
A main Republican talking point is in the lead to
1369
01:54:12.619 --> 01:54:16.020
the election has been that Dems offer no policies on
1370
01:54:16.140 --> 01:54:21.119
issues like affordability. Leftists do look during the headlights when pressed.
1371
01:54:21.779 --> 01:54:26.850
The right's main defense against Medicare for All is the
1372
01:54:26.989 --> 01:54:31.449
illegal immigrants would be covered. Yeah. Rand said that it's
1373
01:54:31.569 --> 01:54:35.039
not enough to know what one opposes, one must know
1374
01:54:35.119 --> 01:54:39.300
what one is for. Modern politics is a void. No
1375
01:54:39.359 --> 01:54:41.399
one seems to be for anything. That's true. The only
1376
01:54:41.470 --> 01:54:46.770
people who are for something are the Democratic Socialists of America.
1377
01:54:47.170 --> 01:54:51.729
They're clearly for something. And MAGA, which is clearly for something.
1378
01:54:52.350 --> 01:55:00.579
Kicking out immigrants, more statism, more ownership of companies by government,
1379
01:55:00.819 --> 01:55:06.329
more socialist control. So it's MAGA and the socialists know
1380
01:55:06.350 --> 01:55:09.609
what they want. Everybody else is just floundering. Everybody else
1381
01:55:09.649 --> 01:55:18.029
has no clue. That's absolutely right. And the Republicans cannot
1382
01:55:18.060 --> 01:55:20.220
make an argument against Medicare. What are they going to say?
1383
01:55:21.279 --> 01:55:25.840
What would be their argument? Medicare for all. It's the
1384
01:55:25.899 --> 01:55:29.899
reason why in the first Trump term, he had promised
1385
01:55:30.010 --> 01:55:33.460
he would repeal Obamacare, and he didn't. Obamacare was not repealed.
1386
01:55:35.399 --> 01:55:37.739
Because they can't. They can't fight socialist medicine. They have
1387
01:55:37.779 --> 01:55:39.840
no basis on which to fight. And they have no
1388
01:55:39.880 --> 01:55:43.470
alternative to offer. What are they going to offer instead?
1389
01:55:46.470 --> 01:56:01.369
What is the best that they have instead? Yep. Yeah,
1390
01:56:01.390 --> 01:56:04.409
here's Phil Magnus, who was on the show. He says,
1391
01:56:04.449 --> 01:56:07.260
voters in 2024 wanted to end the affordability crisis and
1392
01:56:07.300 --> 01:56:10.399
return to economic prosperity we had before COVID. This is
1393
01:56:10.439 --> 01:56:14.840
when they elected Trump. Instead, they got post-liberal Lyndon LaRouche,
1394
01:56:15.680 --> 01:56:20.029
and all of it egged on by J.D. Vance's ideological
1395
01:56:20.170 --> 01:56:43.029
hatred for mainstream economics. Absolutely right. Absolutely right. This is
1396
01:56:43.109 --> 01:56:46.369
a Republican strategist says this. This is going to be
1397
01:56:46.409 --> 01:56:50.270
a massacre. Donald Trump asked voters to vote as if
1398
01:56:50.409 --> 01:56:55.920
he was on the ballot. They did. He says it's
1399
01:56:55.979 --> 01:56:59.739
worse than anyone thought. The assumptions on the percentage of
1400
01:56:59.779 --> 01:57:06.850
Republicans that would vote Republican was wrong. Why? He says
1401
01:57:06.869 --> 01:57:13.090
the answer is obvious. Inflation, diesel, Iran, Israel, Epstein, data centers, ballroom,
1402
01:57:13.710 --> 01:57:19.109
Trump family deals. Did you see, you know, Trump's yesterday's
1403
01:57:19.430 --> 01:57:21.949
last minute pitch for people to vote for him was
1404
01:57:22.010 --> 01:57:24.329
all about the reflecting pool and how he's going to
1405
01:57:24.970 --> 01:57:33.529
name the reflecting pool in Washington, D.C. after himself. So, yeah.
1406
01:57:33.729 --> 01:57:39.890
And then today, Trump said on Fox that this was
1407
01:57:39.909 --> 01:57:43.170
the last year Israel was going to get any financial
1408
01:57:43.189 --> 01:57:45.250
help from the United States. Starting next year,
they're going
1409
01:57:45.270 --> 01:57:49.720
to get nothing. He can't do that unilaterally. But he
1410
01:57:49.770 --> 01:57:54.399
said it, again, partially to defuse the, you know, to
1411
01:57:54.460 --> 01:57:57.300
try to get Republicans to come and vote Republican because
1412
01:57:57.539 --> 01:58:06.750
he's not really pro-Israel. It's pretty bad. It's pretty bad.
1413
01:58:07.270 --> 01:58:15.359
Elon Musk, by the way, spent $ 470 million. on this election. That's...
1414
01:58:15.779 --> 01:58:34.260
All right, let's see. Brian says, Is Trump angry with
1415
01:58:34.399 --> 01:58:38.859
Fox for not questioning the election results and yelling fraud
1416
01:58:39.930 --> 01:58:45.590
as he wants? I expected the claims of fraud to
1417
01:58:45.630 --> 01:58:49.010
have started by now. Are the networks being careful to
1418
01:58:49.109 --> 01:58:52.409
not report Trump's claim of fraud? Well, you know, the
1419
01:58:52.510 --> 01:58:56.930
only place in which there's some legitimacy is Alaska. I
1420
01:58:56.970 --> 01:59:00.270
expect that to land up in court and it will
1421
01:59:00.289 --> 01:59:08.020
be litigated. clearly what the Democrats did in Alaska is horrific.
1422
01:59:09.119 --> 01:59:14.100
And I don't know what the remedy should be or
1423
01:59:14.180 --> 01:59:18.840
could be. But, you know, what the Democrats did is
1424
01:59:18.880 --> 01:59:26.590
really unthinkable. So, you know, we'll see. But other than Alaska,
1425
01:59:27.029 --> 01:59:34.420
I don't know, you know, where there's any any semblance
1426
01:59:34.460 --> 01:59:38.060
of something to yell about. So Trump will yell fraud,
1427
01:59:38.100 --> 01:59:40.840
he'll yell fraud, he'll tell it was stolen. He'll continue
1428
01:59:40.859 --> 01:59:43.460
to yell fraud and stolen four years from now, two
1429
01:59:43.479 --> 01:59:46.180
years from now in 2028. But I don't think anything's
1430
01:59:46.199 --> 01:59:48.239
going to happen. I don't think anything's going to change.
1431
01:59:49.399 --> 01:59:53.229
We'll see. Maybe he's put enough people in positions of
1432
01:59:53.789 --> 01:59:57.510
authority over the election to be able to reverse some seats.
1433
01:59:58.270 --> 02:00:06.739
I think this is probably too big too big to reverse.
1434
02:00:07.020 --> 02:00:10.800
Take this, for example. NBC is now projecting that Annie Andrews,
1435
02:00:10.939 --> 02:00:17.180
a Democrat, this is huge, defeats Senator Lindsey Graham's sister
1436
02:00:18.039 --> 02:00:24.140
in South Carolina. 51 to 46.8, with 86% in. That's
1437
02:00:24.159 --> 02:00:27.939
the second pickup of the night. Second pickup, one more,
1438
02:00:27.979 --> 02:00:31.800
and it's 50-50 in the Senate. Two more, and Democrats
1439
02:00:31.840 --> 02:00:35.680
win the Senate Democrats are plus two so far and
1440
02:00:35.720 --> 02:00:40.060
need plus four for majority. But that's huge. South Carolina
1441
02:00:40.460 --> 02:00:48.520
is now represented by Democrat. NBC now rates Kansas and
1442
02:00:48.600 --> 02:00:54.210
Texas leaning Democratic. Kansas, one of the reddest states in
1443
02:00:54.229 --> 02:00:59.529
the country. So if they flip Kansas and they flip Texas,
1444
02:01:00.220 --> 02:01:04.819
they have a majority. They have a majority. Ohio is
1445
02:01:04.880 --> 02:01:11.359
very close now. It's 1.3%. The Democrats still leading, 70% in.
1446
02:01:12.399 --> 02:01:16.850
NBC still says lean Democratic, but we'll see. So that
1447
02:01:16.890 --> 02:01:20.010
would be, you know, that'd be a third seat flipped
1448
02:01:20.229 --> 02:01:24.770
because that's J.D. Vance's seat. And then we're still counting Iowa,
1449
02:01:25.010 --> 02:01:29.420
where the Democratic leads with very little votes in. Michigan,
1450
02:01:29.439 --> 02:01:32.979
where the Democrat leads with very few votes counted. Maine,
1451
02:01:33.000 --> 02:01:36.380
where the Democrat leads with very few votes counted. I mean,
1452
02:01:36.399 --> 02:01:41.880
some of these are flips. Just, just, that's big. These
1453
02:01:41.920 --> 02:01:46.359
are huge. Where's Minnesota? I don't see Minnesota. I'm curious
1454
02:01:46.380 --> 02:01:50.539
what's happening in Minnesota. All right. According to that, in
1455
02:01:50.560 --> 02:01:53.680
the House, NBC counts a Democratic net game of four
1456
02:01:53.720 --> 02:01:57.739
seats so far. Democrats need three to flip the chamber.
1457
02:01:59.220 --> 02:02:02.930
But most, I mean, this is still very early. In
1458
02:02:03.090 --> 02:02:12.569
governor's races, Georgia went to the Democrats. Ohio, it's uncalled yet,
1459
02:02:12.810 --> 02:02:16.989
but the Democrats still lead. Texas, uncalled, but the Democrats
1460
02:02:17.029 --> 02:02:22.819
still leads by a big margin. Some of the bellwethers,
1461
02:02:22.939 --> 02:02:29.520
the bellwethers, Kentucky, Indiana, Virginia, too, all lean Democratic at
1462
02:02:29.539 --> 02:02:35.779
this point. Virginia leans Republican. Virginia won. Virginia 5 is
1463
02:02:35.859 --> 02:02:46.569
tied with 72% of the votes counted. All right. Let
1464
02:02:46.609 --> 02:02:56.390
me just do this. Pretty amazing, South Carolina. Next update
1465
02:02:57.189 --> 02:03:02.390
at 11.30 p.m. Right. So we'll do that. Let me
1466
02:03:02.489 --> 02:03:07.029
see if there's anything on this thing. Those are all called, wow.
1467
02:03:10.069 --> 02:03:13.510
So both Carolinas, South and North Carolina, have now flipped
1468
02:03:13.529 --> 02:03:21.289
to Democratic senators. No, this is a shellacking. This is
1469
02:03:21.310 --> 02:03:26.409
a shellacking. Okay, Andrew says, Swear I was writing this
1470
02:03:26.449 --> 02:03:30.800
before you brought it up. Revealingly, Trump's election eve speech
1471
02:03:31.420 --> 02:03:35.960
Undercut the moment by touting the Reflecting Pool's renovation. A petty,
1472
02:03:36.159 --> 02:03:40.680
personal middle finger to his critics just to
show he can. Yes. And,
1473
02:03:42.300 --> 02:03:44.979
you know, what was the point? And if anything, the
1474
02:03:45.020 --> 02:03:49.550
Reflecting Pool showed the corruption and competence of this administration.
1475
02:03:50.770 --> 02:03:53.689
So he can't. There was no way for him to
1476
02:03:53.729 --> 02:03:57.510
gain anything with the Reflecting Pool issue. Nothing. Zero, nada.
1477
02:03:57.550 --> 02:04:07.430
All right. 1010 Lakes. Objectivity includes subjective feelings, according to
1478
02:04:07.470 --> 02:04:12.670
Leonard Peikoff. Leonard says, any concept, when reduced to percept,
1479
02:04:13.289 --> 02:04:19.000
has subjective feeling or emotion feeling of the contact points
1480
02:04:19.079 --> 02:04:25.779
to reality, but not the decisive factor in decision making. Yeah,
1481
02:04:25.819 --> 02:04:28.939
I mean, I'd have to really flesh out what you
1482
02:04:29.000 --> 02:04:33.770
mean by all that. Any concept, when reduced to percept,
1483
02:04:34.409 --> 02:04:37.909
has subjective feeling or emotion. What does that mean? What
1484
02:04:37.949 --> 02:04:40.970
does it mean it has subjective? Feelings are the contact
1485
02:04:41.050 --> 02:04:45.460
points to reality. Feelings are the way we respond to reality.
1486
02:04:46.300 --> 02:04:48.939
But not the decisive factor in decision making. That's right.
1487
02:04:49.619 --> 02:04:56.619
Feelings are important. They tell you about you. Jennifer is
1488
02:04:56.680 --> 02:05:01.560
saying that, you know, Al-Sayyad is winning in In Michigan.
1489
02:05:02.909 --> 02:05:05.609
I haven't called it yet, but he's certainly leading right now.
1490
02:05:05.630 --> 02:05:10.449
All right. Toolbox says, voted Democratic for House first time
1491
02:05:10.470 --> 02:05:13.539
in my life, but never would vote for Kathy Hochul.
1492
02:05:15.119 --> 02:05:19.159
I get that. Absolutely. Yeah, I mean, you guys have
1493
02:05:19.180 --> 02:05:24.329
to make decisions on a case-by-case basis. But realizing kind
1494
02:05:24.369 --> 02:05:29.060
of the four stakes that are involved. Not to have
1495
02:05:29.079 --> 02:05:32.130
a juggle with them. If the state outright abolished private property,
1496
02:05:32.649 --> 02:05:38.050
would you surrender your condo or go out with a bang? Well,
1497
02:05:38.090 --> 02:05:39.909
I mean, it depends what's going on. I mean, if
1498
02:05:40.310 --> 02:05:43.649
literally they were coming and confiscating my condo, you know,
1499
02:05:43.729 --> 02:05:46.920
I would probably go out with a bang. But, you know,
1500
02:05:46.939 --> 02:05:50.619
or maybe I'd just escape the country with whatever I had.
1501
02:05:51.560 --> 02:06:00.720
And so would I literally fight and die for my condo? No. No,
1502
02:06:00.939 --> 02:06:05.260
not if there was an alternative. And no, unless it
1503
02:06:05.300 --> 02:06:07.399
was part of a revolution where I thought there was
1504
02:06:07.439 --> 02:06:11.300
some chance of change.
But just to fight for the
1505
02:06:11.319 --> 02:06:15.739
sake of fighting, no. Now that you have a jug
1506
02:06:15.810 --> 02:06:19.949
of them, Millet is pitching a regulation-free AI haven. Will
1507
02:06:20.010 --> 02:06:22.699
Argentina become the center of AI revolution? I doubt it.
1508
02:06:24.270 --> 02:06:26.909
Maybe you'd get a bunch of data centers there, but
1509
02:06:26.949 --> 02:06:30.949
I just don't see yet any reason to believe that
1510
02:06:32.149 --> 02:06:38.569
the brainpower that fuels AI is moving to Argentina. Because
1511
02:06:38.600 --> 02:06:41.399
that's what you need. You need more than the computers.
1512
02:06:41.439 --> 02:06:44.239
You need the programmers. You need the brainpower, the people
1513
02:06:44.260 --> 02:06:48.020
who actually build these companies to move this. I doubt it. Look,
1514
02:06:48.079 --> 02:06:50.079
I also think Millet's in trouble. I mean, I was
1515
02:06:50.140 --> 02:06:54.520
in Argentina, and people are pretty pessimistic about his, whether
1516
02:06:54.560 --> 02:06:57.050
he can win next year. It's not clear that he
1517
02:06:57.060 --> 02:07:00.069
can win. And people are not happy with him. Even
1518
02:07:00.109 --> 02:07:03.810
his supporters are not happy. They're not happy he didn't dollarize.
1519
02:07:03.829 --> 02:07:06.909
They're not happy that their reform seemed to have stalled.
1520
02:07:09.340 --> 02:07:13.600
You know, they're not as happy as they're worried. They're really,
1521
02:07:13.640 --> 02:07:15.880
really worried about his ability to win next year. So
1522
02:07:17.119 --> 02:07:22.239
whether that regulation-free AI zone can sustain itself, who knows.
1523
02:07:23.479 --> 02:07:26.430
Wyatt says the other party usually wins the midterms, so
1524
02:07:26.510 --> 02:07:30.250
why would voting Harris so the GOP could be doing
1525
02:07:30.329 --> 02:07:35.340
better tonight be an appeal to Trump supporters. What? I
1526
02:07:35.380 --> 02:07:40.020
don't know what that means. I'm not appealing to Trump supporters.
1527
02:07:42.159 --> 02:07:45.329
You know, if you really support Trump, then you support Trump.
1528
02:07:45.569 --> 02:07:52.470
And now you're getting the shellacking you deserve. But, you know,
1529
02:07:52.630 --> 02:07:56.640
I don't know what, I don't know. All I'm saying is,
1530
02:07:57.630 --> 02:08:00.350
If Harris would have won, the GOP would be winning tonight.
1531
02:08:00.710 --> 02:08:04.010
They wouldn't be losing the Senate. They wouldn't be losing
1532
02:08:04.029 --> 02:08:06.449
the House. They probably would have won the Senate anyway
1533
02:08:06.489 --> 02:08:08.789
last time. So Harris would have had to deal with
1534
02:08:08.810 --> 02:08:11.250
divided government. And now she would have had to deal
1535
02:08:11.270 --> 02:08:15.289
with the House and Senate that was Republican. And I
1536
02:08:15.329 --> 02:08:18.810
think we'd be in a better track long term. Whereas,
1537
02:08:19.430
--> 02:08:22.420
as of now... You know, Democrats are controlling the House
1538
02:08:22.479 --> 02:08:25.180
and the Senate. They've got a good chance to win
1539
02:08:25.220 --> 02:08:30.899
the White House in 2028 because J.D. Vance looks like
1540
02:08:30.979 --> 02:08:34.800
the nominee that the Republicans will put forward. And if J.D.
1541
02:08:34.840 --> 02:08:37.579
Vance is the nominee, I think he loses, particularly to
1542
02:08:37.739 --> 02:08:43.970
Ossoff or to Cooper, one of these moderate Democrats. So
1543
02:08:44.250 --> 02:08:48.119
all I'm saying is, if you care about America... then
1544
02:08:48.159 --> 02:08:51.159
I think voting for Trump in 2024 is a mistake.
1545
02:08:52.359 --> 02:09:04.170
I've said this for a long time. I don't know.
1546
02:09:04.930 --> 02:09:06.989
I think they'll win both houses, and it looks like
1547
02:09:07.010 --> 02:09:09.210
they might win big in both houses, or they might
1548
02:09:09.250 --> 02:09:12.609
win big in the Senate, which is shocking, shocking, shocking.
1549
02:09:12.850 --> 02:09:14.779
I mean, I don't think you guys, I don't know
1550
02:09:15.060 --> 02:09:21.310
how much you appreciate how big of a deal this is. Um,
1551
02:09:21.470 --> 02:09:24.210
if they lose, if the Republicans lose Texas and lose
1552
02:09:24.229 --> 02:09:32.550
Kansas and lose South Carolina, it's huge. Yeah, it's very
1553
02:09:32.590 --> 02:09:41.180
late in Rio. It's, it's, uh, 1215. Um, it's after midnight. Let's,
1554
02:09:41.380 --> 02:09:48.729
what was I saying? Um, so, um, I don't know
1555
02:09:48.770 --> 02:09:54.710
what happens. One possibility is Trump flips out and lashes
1556
02:09:54.850 --> 02:09:59.090
out on Iran to show he's a macho guy. It
1557
02:10:01.029 --> 02:10:05.250
could be that MAGA puts a huge, MAGA decides that
1558
02:10:05.270 --> 02:10:07.109
they lost because of the war and they put a
1559
02:10:07.229 --> 02:10:11.220
huge amount of energy behind stopping Trump from doing that.
1560
02:10:12.319 --> 02:10:14.720
I don't know. You know, it's Trump. Who knows what
1561
02:10:14.760 --> 02:10:18.479
he'll do? So he could go either way. Could go
1562
02:10:18.539 --> 02:10:21.279
either way. He could lash out, or he could be
1563
02:10:21.319 --> 02:10:24.859
restrained for the wrong reasons by MAGA, who thinks they
1564
02:10:24.979 --> 02:10:27.699
just lost the election because of the war in Iran.
1565
02:10:29.979 --> 02:10:34.630
I'm not making a prediction on that one. Neo, Bibi losing, apparently?
1566
02:10:34.729 --> 02:10:39.670
Any updates with Israel? No, I mean, Bibi, relatively speaking,
1567
02:10:39.770 --> 02:10:43.350
relative to what could have happened, had a successful election day.
1568
02:10:44.149 --> 02:10:47.340
He wasn't going to make 61 votes. His political party
1569
02:10:47.380 --> 02:10:52.180
is the largest. That was a surprise. He did much
1570
02:10:52.239 --> 02:10:55.579
better than the polls predicted, which is usually what happens.
1571
02:10:55.699 --> 02:10:57.479
I'm not talking about the bloc. I'm talking about his
1572
02:10:57.560 --> 02:11:02.810
political party. And now Israel has to figure out how
1573
02:11:02.829 --> 02:11:05.810
to form a government. We'll talk more about that in
1574
02:11:05.829 --> 02:11:09.189
the future. There's no rush because these things take a
1575
02:11:09.250 --> 02:11:12.369
long time for Israel to form a government, for the
1576
02:11:12.390 --> 02:11:15.300
Israeli parliament to form a government, given the number of
1577
02:11:15.310 --> 02:11:18.779
political parties and divisiveness of anything, and there's no obvious block,
1578
02:11:19.439 --> 02:11:22.579
and the Arab parties having an historical performance, which I
1579
02:11:22.619 --> 02:11:25.319
guess I haven't commented on, but I will comment on
1580
02:11:25.340 --> 02:11:27.550
the Arab parties as well and why they did so
1581
02:11:27.590 --> 02:11:32.449
well and what lessons should be learned from that. I'll
1582
02:11:32.470 --> 02:11:35.250
be commenting on that, but just not today. Today we'll
1583
02:11:35.310 --> 02:11:41.380
focus on the election in the U.S. James says, death
1584
02:11:41.439 --> 02:11:44.760
is not the enemy, a wasted life is. Marcus Aurelius.
1585
02:11:44.880 --> 02:11:47.569
I agree with that. That is absolutely right. Death is
1586
02:11:47.649 --> 02:11:51.489
also the enemy, right? Even if you didn't waste your life.
1587
02:11:54.930 --> 02:12:02.600
All right. Neo. Neo Collins agreed. I wish Democrats to
1588
02:12:02.640 --> 02:12:07.079
win Congress, to strengthen support for Ukraine through legislation, punish
1589
02:12:07.119 --> 02:12:11.710
Republicans for enabling Trump, and have Dems give Trump two...
1590
02:12:12.670 --> 02:12:16.250
Two years of political hell in office. Yeah, I mean,
1591
02:12:16.270 --> 02:12:20.930
I'm not sure that what you'll find is the Democrats
1592
02:12:21.949 --> 02:12:25.810
support Ukraine that much, particularly if the more left-wing Democrats
1593
02:12:25.829 --> 02:12:29.409
get elected. I don't think the far left is pro-Ukraine.
1594
02:12:29.909 --> 02:12:32.890
I think ultimately they're pro-Putin. So I don't think you'll
1595
02:12:32.930 --> 02:12:35.090
get that part of it, and I don't think they
1596
02:12:35.109 --> 02:12:38.689
are going to, but I agree with you, punish Republicans
1597
02:12:38.710 --> 02:12:43.369
for enabling Trump. I agree with that. and make Trump's
1598
02:12:43.409 --> 02:12:47.550
life hell for the next two years. I agree with that. Clark.
1599
02:12:48.310 --> 02:12:50.670
Rest in peace, Patrick Stewart. He would have made a
1600
02:12:50.710 --> 02:12:55.149
great objectorist. Yeah, that would have been cool. Nate says,
1601
02:12:55.590 --> 02:12:58.890
looking like Texas is about to have a blue senator
1602
02:12:58.949 --> 02:13:02.779
and governor. Wow. Wow is right. Wow is a big,
1603
02:13:03.399 --> 02:13:06.659
that's a
big deal. It's a big deal. We're going
1604
02:13:06.680 --> 02:13:09.560
to get an update in 13 minutes about how those
1605
02:13:09.600 --> 02:13:16.489
races are going. And then, yeah. James, I do not
1606
02:13:16.529 --> 02:13:20.260
understand how Republicans hate blacks and Hispanics, yet they all
1607
02:13:20.300 --> 02:13:23.880
worship the same God and read the same Bible. Did
1608
02:13:23.920 --> 02:13:27.699
that change in 20 years? I think Republicans, well, I
1609
02:13:27.720 --> 02:13:32.079
don't know that Republicans hate blacks and Hispanics. Certain Republicans,
1610
02:13:32.140 --> 02:13:35.159
way too many, hate blacks and Hispanics. There's a percentage
1611
02:13:35.180 --> 02:13:41.760
of Republicans that are racist. And... Since when has religion
1612
02:13:42.449 --> 02:13:46.260
prevented people from being racist? I mean, the South, which
1613
02:13:46.279 --> 02:13:49.399
was quite religious, had Jim Crow laws, and yet blacks
1614
02:13:49.420 --> 02:13:56.670
were all religious. So religion doesn't prevent racism. It just provides,
1615
02:13:57.970 --> 02:14:00.489
in the right hands, it just provides more excuses to
1616
02:14:00.529 --> 02:14:04.289
be racist. So I don't think religion is a solution
1617
02:14:04.329 --> 02:14:13.119
to racism. James, did you see the racism high school
1618
02:14:13.180 --> 02:14:16.479
soccer teams in North Carolina that got banned? No, I
1619
02:14:16.520 --> 02:14:20.119
didn't see that. If racism is taught at home and
1620
02:14:20.159 --> 02:14:24.229
by peers, how do we eradicate it? Well, I think
1621
02:14:25.270 --> 02:14:31.229
you eradicate it by delegitimizing it, delegitimizing it culturally, intellectually.
1622
02:14:32.109 --> 02:14:37.189
The reason racism is making a comeback is because the
1623
02:14:37.270 --> 02:14:41.210
left made it a big issue in identity politics, and
1624
02:14:41.250 --> 02:14:45.069
the right responded to that by becoming more racist. And
1625
02:14:45.090 --> 02:14:48.189
I think, you know, racism has increased in the United
1626
02:14:48.210 --> 02:14:51.710
States significantly over the last 10 years as a consequence
1627
02:14:51.729 --> 02:14:59.109
of identity politics on the left, resurrecting a, you know,
1628
02:14:59.149 --> 02:15:02.819
kind of a simmering racism on the right that had
1629
02:15:02.859 --> 02:15:08.350
been suppressed by racism being illegitimate and unacceptable in polite society,
1630
02:15:09.850 --> 02:15:13.909
the left made it legitimate again. And I remember saying,
1631
02:15:14.689 --> 02:15:21.289
when woke was big, you know, you think that what
1632
02:15:21.310 --> 02:15:27.180
you're doing is, you think it's going to end with,
1633
02:15:27.739 --> 02:15:30.659
what do you call it, with identity politics, but all
1634
02:15:30.680 --> 02:15:36.729
you're doing is enabling right-wing racism And that's exactly what happened.
1635
02:15:39.649 --> 02:15:45.109
All right. Let's see. Jamie says, dot-com bubble, NASDAQ 100
1636
02:15:45.109 --> 02:15:48.229
dropped 82%, 15 years to recover. Yeah, I remember that.
1637
02:15:49.149 --> 02:15:52.260
S & P 500 down 49%. I remember that. Seven
1638
02:15:52.270 --> 02:15:56.680
years to recover. Socialists say capitalism, capitalist failure that hurt
1639
02:15:56.720 --> 02:15:59.659
retirees and economy. Your thoughts? Thanks. Oh, I mean, that's
1640
02:15:59.699 --> 02:16:03.850
a big topic we can talk about sometime. But But no,
1641
02:16:04.210 --> 02:16:06.630
you know, a lot of that was inflation. That is
1642
02:16:06.649 --> 02:16:11.689
a massive expansion in the monetary base, which helped the
1643
02:16:11.729 --> 02:16:16.130
dot-com bubble along. But no, the dot-com bubble ultimately was
1644
02:16:16.170 --> 02:16:18.760
a huge success. The fact that the Nasdaq went down
1645
02:16:18.760 --> 02:16:23.220
82% is a sign of that success. Capitalism corrects itself.
1646
02:16:23.279 --> 02:16:27.199
Capitalism is not infallible. It doesn't know exactly what the
1647
02:16:27.260 --> 02:16:31.840
future is. Stocks that go up also come down. And
1648
02:16:32.260 --> 02:16:36.500
the NASDAQ corrected and then went up in a healthier fashion.
1649
02:16:37.719 --> 02:16:43.899
And ultimately, of the companies that got funded in the
1650
02:16:44.000 --> 02:16:49.120
late 90s as part of the dot-com bubble, if you
1651
02:16:49.159 --> 02:16:53.299
look at the wealth that those companies created, far exceeds
1652
02:16:53.739 --> 02:16:58.139
the wealth that was destroyed when the dot-com bubble collapsed.
1653
02:16:58.239 --> 02:17:04.030
So the net result of the dot-com bubble was overwhelmingly positive.
1654
02:17:05.940 --> 02:17:08.540
And I can send you the citation for the research
1655
02:17:09.159 --> 02:17:11.719
on that. Yeah, the S & P is going to
1656
02:17:11.760 --> 02:17:13.860
go up, and it's going to go down. And if
1657
02:17:13.879 --> 02:17:17.549
you look at retirees, retirees have done phenomenally well over
1658
02:17:17.579 --> 02:17:20.309
the long run. Remember, the NASDAQ went up 95% in 1999.
1659
02:17:20.309 --> 02:17:23.010
Anything that goes up 95%, an index, a broad index,
1660
02:17:24.350 --> 02:17:33.969
is going to come down. So you can't just look
1661
02:17:33.989 --> 02:17:36.340
at the down, look at the up. Where did it
1662
02:17:37.840 --> 02:17:42.260
go up to? Where did it come from? And retirees
1663
02:17:42.360 --> 02:17:45.209
over the long run, have they done well in the
1664
02:17:45.250 --> 02:17:49.129
markets or not? They've done well. Now, as an argument
1665
02:17:49.170 --> 02:17:52.940
against capitalism, it's a complete ridiculous argument because we have
1666
02:17:52.959 --> 02:17:56.479
no capitalism. We have a mixed economy. I argue against
1667
02:17:56.540 --> 02:17:59.079
a mixed economy. I don't think a mixed economy, I
1668
02:17:59.100 --> 02:18:01.600
don't think under capitalism, you would have had the run-up
1669
02:18:01.670 --> 02:18:05.030
in the NASDAQ in the late 90s and then the decline.
1670
02:18:05.569 --> 02:18:08.290
I think you would have had a lot saner, better
1671
02:18:09.370 --> 02:18:15.639
investment policies. and a more saner, better move of the markets.
1672
02:18:15.940 --> 02:18:21.399
So I don't think it's condemnation of capitalism, even if
1673
02:18:21.440 --> 02:18:26.790
you read it, those stacks as is. Jamie says, and
1674
02:18:26.969 --> 02:18:31.690
is NASDAQ 100 ETF safe bet for entire portfolio if
1675
02:18:31.750 --> 02:18:34.090
it's going to be over 25 to 30 years dollar
1676
02:18:34.129 --> 02:18:37.479
cost averaging monthly investment? No, I mean, I don't think so.
1677
02:18:38.329 --> 02:18:40.719
If you really want a diversified portfolio, you have to
1678
02:18:40.739 --> 02:18:44.959
diversify well beyond the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ, particularly the NASDAQ 100,
1679
02:18:44.959 --> 02:18:48.540
is just the biggest technology stocks. And that's great. You
1680
02:18:48.579 --> 02:18:52.780
should have it in your portfolio, but not just them. And,
1681
02:18:53.520 --> 02:18:59.319
you know, so no, I don't think that's safe. That's
1682
02:18:59.459 --> 02:19:05.739
volatile and over the long run goes up. But You
1683
02:19:05.780 --> 02:19:07.940
might want to retire exactly in 30 years when it's
1684
02:19:07.979 --> 02:19:10.719
actually down a lot. So no, you should be a
1685
02:19:10.780 --> 02:19:13.440
lot more diversified. You should have international stocks. You should
1686
02:19:13.469 --> 02:19:17.190
have small stocks. You should have value stocks. And then
1687
02:19:18.450 --> 02:19:21.049
you should only have a certain percentage of your portfolio
1688
02:19:21.149 --> 02:19:25.530
in risky assets, and that could be in the NASDAQ 100.
1689
02:19:25.649 --> 02:19:32.809
Riskier assets, I guess. Let's see. Jamie. I've heard people
1690
02:19:32.870 --> 02:19:36.399
make claims Singapore housing is successful because it's socialized any
1691
02:19:36.440 --> 02:19:38.760
truth to this. I don't know what it means that
1692
02:19:38.780 --> 02:19:42.709
it's successful. It is true that all of Singapore's housing
1693
02:19:42.750 --> 02:19:44.670
is basically owned by the government, or most of it
1694
02:19:45.090 --> 02:19:47.709
is owned by the government. But the government in Singapore builds.
1695
02:19:48.670 --> 02:19:51.149
And anybody, you know, if you build, then housing prices
1696
02:19:51.190 --> 02:19:54.770
don't go up. But no, I don't think, I don't
1697
02:19:54.790 --> 02:19:57.170
think it's a success. I don't think it should be emulated.
1698
02:19:58.129 --> 02:20:00.530
You know, it hasn't failed because Singapore government is generally
1699
02:20:00.579 --> 02:20:05.829
responsible and does, does it, fairly well the solution is
1700
02:20:05.870 --> 02:20:09.430
not to to socialize housing in the united states the
1701
02:20:09.450 --> 02:20:11.930
solution is to build which is what the singapore government
1702
02:20:11.969 --> 02:20:20.329
actually does rajiv says um so happy to see you
1703
02:20:20.389 --> 02:20:22.790
and hear you after a long time do you think
1704
02:20:22.850 --> 02:20:26.059
claude is better than chad gpt and gemini in research
1705
02:20:26.120 --> 02:20:29.620
analysis no not necessarily i think they're all good they
1706
02:20:29.659 --> 02:20:32.799
all do things a little differently I use all of them,
1707
02:20:32.840 --> 02:20:36.360
I even use Grok, because they all present slightly different
1708
02:20:36.500 --> 02:20:41.000
angles and different writing styles, and I like to get
1709
02:20:41.020 --> 02:20:45.239
the different perspectives and then integrate them. But I don't
1710
02:20:45.260 --> 02:20:49.090
know that one is better than the other at this point. Jamie,
1711
02:20:50.649 --> 02:20:55.790
part one my friend made the argument that Burkina Faso
1712
02:20:56.969 --> 02:21:01.870
and the socialist Sankara saw a huge spike in literacy
1713
02:21:01.930 --> 02:21:05.290
rates and had a massive vaccine campaign and in the U.S.
1714
02:21:05.329 --> 02:21:08.770
helped get him assassinated. I mean, I don't know. I
1715
02:21:08.809 --> 02:21:13.889
haven't studied that history. But no question that, you know,
1716
02:21:14.030 --> 02:21:19.860
authoritarians can get a lot of stuff done. Dictators can
1717
02:21:20.040 --> 02:21:22.840
get vaccine campaigns. They can force everybody to get vaccines.
1718
02:21:23.579 --> 02:21:28.059
They can build infrastructure. They can force everybody into schools.
1719
02:21:28.649 --> 02:21:33.850
So yeah, authoritarians do get stuff done. Whether it's worth
1720
02:21:34.909 --> 02:21:38.110
the lack of freedom is a different question. And I
1721
02:21:38.129 --> 02:21:40.450
don't know about the United States assassinating. I don't know
1722
02:21:40.469 --> 02:21:43.610
the history well enough. And look, why would you ever
1723
02:21:43.690 --> 02:21:50.069
want to defend what America does in its foreign policy?
1724
02:21:50.149 --> 02:21:52.350
Most of what America does in its foreign policy is
1725
02:21:52.389 --> 02:21:57.510
not good. You shouldn't defend it. So, you know, there's
1726
02:21:57.549 --> 02:22:01.250
no gotcha with the idea that America did something wrong
1727
02:22:01.290 --> 02:22:04.690
in its foreign policy. It's not a gotcha. They do
1728
02:22:05.110 --> 02:22:16.190
wrong stuff all the time. Let's see. Part two. There's
1729
02:22:16.350 --> 02:22:19.969
also widespread sentiment that America has prevented socialist success stories
1730
02:22:20.010 --> 02:22:23.270
in many countries. Any truth to this? No. Zero truth
1731
02:22:23.309 --> 02:22:27.399
to it. Socialist failures are not caused by America. And,
1732
02:22:28.379 --> 02:22:32.120
you know, America is not the cause for socialism not
1733
02:22:32.149 --> 02:22:36.430
to be successful. The cause of socialism not succeeding is
socialism.
1734
02:22:36.770 --> 02:22:40.610
Socialism is just a system of failure. There's no basis
1735
02:22:40.649 --> 02:22:46.909
to think it can succeed. It succeeded. Lots of places
1736
02:22:46.950 --> 02:22:49.979
in the world that were socialist that saw no government
1737
02:22:50.000 --> 02:22:54.590
interference from the United States failed, still failed. Jamie, one
1738
02:22:54.670 --> 02:22:58.950
big argument I've heard against AI is nuclear security. Is
1739
02:22:58.969 --> 02:23:01.250
this an irrational fear and why? No, I mean, none
1740
02:23:01.270 --> 02:23:03.829
of these fears are completely irrational. It's just a question
1741
02:23:03.850 --> 02:23:06.500
of who's best to deal with it. And, you know,
1742
02:23:07.329 --> 02:23:09.700
I've said all along, you need AI to deal with
1743
02:23:09.719 --> 02:23:13.200
the risk of AI. And the government agency is responsible
1744
02:23:13.239 --> 02:23:16.239
for nuclear. The government agency is responsible for biological and
1745
02:23:16.260 --> 02:23:19.420
chemical weapons. And the companies themselves all need to take
1746
02:23:19.459 --> 02:23:22.079
these threats seriously and deal with them. Deal with them
1747
02:23:22.100 --> 02:23:25.879
and make sure AI... you know, behaves and is not
1748
02:23:26.280 --> 02:23:34.110
used by malicious agents to do really bad stuff. All right. Sorry.
1749
02:23:34.170 --> 02:23:37.049
Some of these questions unrelated to the election, I'm giving
1750
02:23:37.069 --> 02:23:40.959
them short shift because it's after midnight and I'm tired, uh,
1751
02:23:42.120 --> 02:23:45.459
harder for me to focus. Uh, so, uh, a lot
1752
02:23:45.479 --> 02:23:48.840
of the answers are a little maybe shorter than usual. Um,
1753
02:23:52.829 --> 02:23:55.270
All right, Robert says, I'm glad the elections are going
1754
02:23:55.309 --> 02:23:57.719
the way I wanted them to go. Of course, I'm
1755
02:23:57.760 --> 02:24:00.579
unhappy that the left is winning, but I'm glad the
1756
02:24:00.620 --> 02:24:03.659
MAGA right is losing. Here's hoping it's all a bit
1757
02:24:03.700 --> 02:24:06.239
better in 2028. Let's hope. A lot of it will
1758
02:24:06.280 --> 02:24:12.579
depend on who the nominees are for president in both parties. Mark,
1759
02:24:13.360 --> 02:24:18.610
are objectivists uncharitable towards libertarians in accusing them of nihilism
1760
02:24:18.790 --> 02:24:23.110
over their mistrust of government Their stance, my stuff, is
1761
02:24:23.149 --> 02:24:25.889
for me, not anyone else. Well, if that was their stance,
1762
02:24:25.909 --> 02:24:28.389
that would be fine. But the idea of anarchy is
1763
02:24:28.450 --> 02:24:33.129
not that stance. It's something very different. And it has
1764
02:24:33.190 --> 02:24:36.790
implications to all of our lives. And I think anarchy fundamentally,
1765
02:24:36.870 --> 02:24:43.149
particularly the Rothbardians and Hopperians, is a nihilistic ideology. So
1766
02:24:44.319 --> 02:24:49.760
my stuff is for me, not anyone else. And therefore,
1767
02:24:49.920 --> 02:24:54.399
I need a government to protect my rights. Individual rights
1768
02:24:55.100 --> 02:24:58.780
are the foundation of everything. And libertarians reject it, and
1769
02:24:58.829 --> 02:25:00.950
they're exposed to it. They've read Ayn Rand. They still
1770
02:25:00.969 --> 02:25:06.770
reject it. So no, I don't think we're uncharitable. And again,
1771
02:25:06.850 --> 02:25:10.750
not all libertarians are like that, but a significant percentage.
1772
02:25:10.850 --> 02:25:14.409
I mean, think about their foreign policy. What was it?
1773
02:25:14.479 --> 02:25:17.139
My stuff is for me, not anyone else, unless you're
1774
02:25:17.159 --> 02:25:21.350
a Jew or an Israeli. and then hand over my
1775
02:25:21.409 --> 02:25:27.170
stuff to the Palestinians. I mean, the nihilism is best
1776
02:25:27.250 --> 02:25:32.610
expressed in how evil their foreign policy is, like Dave Smith.
1777
02:25:35.020 --> 02:25:37.180
That's not my stuff, it's for me, anyone else. That's
1778
02:25:37.200 --> 02:25:39.719
not property rights. If they actually believed in property rights,
1779
02:25:39.739 --> 02:25:42.139
they'd be huge supporters of Israel, the only country in
1780
02:25:42.159 --> 02:25:45.059
the Middle East that actually has any semblance of respect
1781
02:25:45.340 --> 02:25:52.489
for property rights. Hop up. Florida's Amendment 3 passed to
1782
02:25:52.569 --> 02:25:56.649
eliminate property taxes on primary residents. A huge victory. Do
1783
02:25:56.690 --> 02:26:00.600
you have more respect for DeSantis for making this a
1784
02:26:00.639 --> 02:26:03.600
serious topic? Not really, because I don't think it's a
1785
02:26:03.620 --> 02:26:08.159
serious topic, right? I mean, it's nice that they've eliminated
1786
02:26:08.719 --> 02:26:12.430
property taxes on your primary residents. Why only primary residents?
1787
02:26:13.049 --> 02:26:16.850
I mean, this is a kind of a no-brainer. everybody,
1788
02:26:17.389 --> 02:26:21.420
all the people who own residencies, particularly older people, who
1789
02:26:21.559 --> 02:26:24.459
own their primary residence in Florida voted for it. Why would,
1790
02:26:24.899 --> 02:26:27.360
you know, it would be shocking if they didn't vote
1791
02:26:27.379 --> 02:26:30.360
for it. So I don't think it's that important. I
1792
02:26:30.399 --> 02:26:37.010
don't think that's big of a deal. You know, what
1793
02:26:37.069 --> 02:26:39.010
is the state of Florida ultimately going to do in
1794
02:26:39.049 --> 02:26:43.350
order to raise revenue from other sources? I just think
1795
02:26:43.409 --> 02:26:47.920
it's the It's the lowest common denominator kind of thing.
1796
02:26:48.200 --> 02:26:53.379
It's the easiest thing, easiest tax to eliminate, particularly in
1797
02:26:53.440 --> 02:26:56.739
a state like Florida with retirees who own their homes
1798
02:26:57.440 -->
02:27:00.079
and pay property taxes. I mean, I'm glad. I'm happy
1799
02:27:00.120 --> 02:27:05.659
for Floridians not to have property taxes. But I don't
1800
02:27:05.739 --> 02:27:09.340
think it's a huge, I don't think it's that huge.
1801
02:27:09.979 --> 02:27:13.760
And it was completely expected given who's voting, right? Old
1802
02:27:13.799 --> 02:27:16.549
people vote. And they're the ones who own most of
1803
02:27:16.569 --> 02:27:26.899
the real estate. All right. Let's see. Loan dissenter. If
1804
02:27:26.940 --> 02:27:30.340
Dems take House and Senate, could they get enough Republicans
1805
02:27:30.379 --> 02:27:33.469
to join them in impeaching and convicting Trump and Hegseth?
1806
02:27:33.549 --> 02:27:37.149
Any chances? I doubt it. Very, very, very, very much
1807
02:27:37.229 --> 02:27:40.899
doubt it. Republicans, I mean, they couldn't impeach. him after
1808
02:27:40.959 --> 02:27:44.760
January 6th when it seemed like it was a no-brainer
1809
02:27:45.639 --> 02:27:48.739
and would have prevented him from running in 2024. And
1810
02:27:48.760 --> 02:27:53.579
when nobody supported Trump, they couldn't even get enough votes then.
1811
02:27:53.920 --> 02:27:58.760
I doubt they could get enough votes now. James, watch
1812
02:27:58.799 --> 02:28:02.209
the video on how Jared Kushner became a billionaire after
1813
02:28:02.270 --> 02:28:06.340
Trump's first term. Now his brother is a billionaire and
1814
02:28:06.420 --> 02:28:08.659
owns part of the LA Lakers. Yeah, I mean, Jared
1815
02:28:08.680 --> 02:28:12.559
Kushner became a billionaire by getting the Saudis to invest
1816
02:28:12.600 --> 02:28:15.829
a huge, huge amount of money in his first ever
1817
02:28:15.860 --> 02:28:18.969
private equity fund, which is really hard to raise your
1818
02:28:19.010 --> 02:28:26.479
first fund. But he had the contacts. He had the contacts. Gail,
1819
02:28:26.500 --> 02:28:28.639
thanks for the huge effort you're on. It is late
1820
02:28:28.680 --> 02:28:32.299
in Rio. Yes, it is. Thank you, Gail. Johnny, greetings
1821
02:28:32.399 --> 02:28:39.409
from Chile. I'm the letter guy. Thanks for answering. Glad
1822
02:28:39.649 --> 02:28:44.530
a top objectivist reached similar conclusions. Mine were raw. You
1823
02:28:44.569 --> 02:28:49.010
helped explain them. I'll keep studying. Excellent. Keep it up. Johnny,
1824
02:28:49.739 --> 02:28:54.639
it was great to meet you in Chile. Michael, we'll
1825
02:28:55.090 --> 02:28:58.389
Democrats shut down AI data centers if they take power,
1826
02:28:58.989 --> 02:29:01.610
or will they be too busy trying to impeach Trump
1827
02:29:01.670 --> 02:29:05.889
or defang ICE? Well, they can't. Anything they pass, Trump
1828
02:29:05.930 --> 02:29:12.170
can veto. But, you know, remember, Republicans were doing moratoriums
1829
02:29:12.250 --> 02:29:15.569
on data centers in places like Texas already. If they
1830
02:29:15.690 --> 02:29:18.250
flip Democratic, it's just going to become worse, but it
1831
02:29:18.290 --> 02:29:21.229
was already in that direction. But on a national basis,
1832
02:29:21.250 --> 02:29:23.940
they can't do it without Trump's support. because he can
1833
02:29:23.989 --> 02:29:33.510
veto any legislation they passed. Lincoln, my relatively moderate GOP
1834
02:29:33.530 --> 02:29:36.729
Hispanic congressman in Arizona, won by two points in 2024.
1835
02:29:36.729 --> 02:29:41.739
He's currently losing by 19 points. Wow. Insane how much
1836
02:29:41.780 --> 02:29:44.719
the Arizona GOP has been destroyed in the last few years. Yes,
1837
02:29:45.600 --> 02:29:48.120
Arizona GDP has just gone nuts, completely nuts. What was
1838
02:29:48.139 --> 02:29:51.180
her name? Lake. She was the one who completely destroyed
1839
02:29:52.040 --> 02:29:54.639
and it's just gotten worse and worse and worse, and
1840
02:29:54.659 --> 02:30:00.920
it's pathetic. All right, Hopper Campbell. If an amendment was
1841
02:30:01.000 --> 02:30:03.920
on the ballot in lefty states like California and New
1842
02:30:03.959 --> 02:30:07.920
York to eliminate property taxes on primary residency, I highly
1843
02:30:07.979 --> 02:30:11.639
doubt homeowners would vote yes on it. Their altruistic guilt
1844
02:30:11.899 --> 02:30:15.260
is too strong. I'm not sure. I'm not sure that's true.
1845
02:30:15.750 --> 02:30:18.430
I think homeowners, I mean, California was the first state
1846
02:30:19.190 --> 02:30:23.590
to cap property taxes. in the late 1970s. Now, it
1847
02:30:23.610 --> 02:30:27.870
was a different California. But I'm not sure if something
1848
02:30:27.909 --> 02:30:29.889
like that was actually on the ballot, made it onto
1849
02:30:29.909 --> 02:30:32.969
the ballot in California, if it would not be voted for.
1850
02:30:33.629 --> 02:30:37.750
Maybe you're right. But also, again, think of who the
1851
02:30:37.989 --> 02:30:41.469
people are in Florida. It's not like they're self-interested. It's
1852
02:30:41.489 --> 02:30:48.899
just that they're more elderly. They're more focused on, you know, living.
1853
02:30:48.979 --> 02:30:53.190
They're not working. So they're living on kind of a
1854
02:30:53.229 --> 02:30:55.909
fixed income, and the property tax thing is a no-brainer
1855
02:30:55.930 --> 02:31:01.229
for them. I don't think this is a big yay
1856
02:31:01.290 --> 02:31:05.889
for capitalism or yay for egoism in any kind of way.
1857
02:31:08.129 --> 02:31:10.430
I just don't buy it. All right, let me thank
1858
02:31:10.469 --> 02:31:13.479
some of the sticker people. Harper Campbell, thank you. Really
1859
02:31:13.590 --> 02:31:16.569
appreciate that. I think there were some big stickers earlier on.
1860
02:31:19.909 --> 02:31:25.450
And let's see, what else do we have? Almost done here. Whoops.
1861
02:31:27.530 --> 02:31:32.459
I think I saw Wes did $ 50. Ryan, thank you. Bonnie,
1862
02:31:32.520 --> 02:31:39.299
thank you. Mike, thank you. Isiv, thank you. Marylene, thank you.
1863
02:31:39.319 --> 02:31:48.379
And Tessa, thank you. And Cook and Wes, thank you
1864
02:31:48.399 --> 02:31:56.079
for the $ 50. Wes, really appreciate it. And, yeah, Nature Observer,
1865
02:31:56.120 --> 02:32:02.260
thank you. And John, thank you. By the way, I
1866
02:32:02.319 --> 02:32:04.989
wonder if any of the pro-Trump guys are going to
1867
02:32:05.020 --> 02:32:07.329
give me credit for predicting that this would happen to
1868
02:32:07.350 --> 02:32:10.930
the Republican Party under Trump's leadership. I doubt it. I
1869
02:32:10.969 --> 02:32:12.850
doubt if anybody's going to come on and say, hey,
1870
02:32:12.870 --> 02:32:15.459
you're on, you were right. Look, This is awful. Look
1871
02:32:15.479 --> 02:32:19.760
what Trump has done to our party. It's terrible. All right,
1872
02:32:19.799 --> 02:32:23.020
we now have one of those bellwether house districts in
1873
02:32:23.100 --> 02:32:31.200
Kentucky is now being called for the Democrats. A Virginia
1874
02:32:31.280 --> 02:32:34.500
second district is now also being called for the Democrat.
1875
02:32:35.489 --> 02:32:38.770
We talked about the two Florida districts called for Democrats.
1876
02:32:39.729 --> 02:32:43.420
In the Senate, We talked about this. Georgia, New Hampshire,
1877
02:32:43.440 --> 02:32:50.159
South Carolina, all Democratic. North Carolina, Democratic. In Florida, it
1878
02:32:50.200 --> 02:32:53.000
hasn't been called by everybody, but it certainly looks like
1879
02:32:53.040 --> 02:32:58.219
Florida will stay Republican. But very, very close. Really, really
1880
02:32:58.280 --> 02:33:02.399
close for a state that is pretty red. In Ohio,
1881
02:33:03.860 --> 02:33:10.790
the Democratic is leading, but by a very small margin. very,
1882
02:33:10.909 --> 02:33:15.930
you know, 1.2% lead. So it's leaning Democratic. 79% of
1883
02:33:15.950 --> 02:33:20.870
the vote in. So the Democrat is leading. That would
1884
02:33:20.909 --> 02:33:25.450
be a flip. That would be J.D. Vance's seat. In Maine,
1885
02:33:26.559 --> 02:33:29.739
the Democrat is leading, but only 26% of the vote.
1886
02:33:30.079 --> 02:33:35.479
In Michigan, El Sayed is leading. Kansas, you've got a
1887
02:33:35.540 --> 02:33:38.639
Democrat is leading by quite a bit with 71% of
1888
02:33:38.700 --> 02:33:46.899
the vote. So Hard to see how the Republican makes
1889
02:33:47.299 --> 02:33:55.049
up for it, but we'll see. In Texas, Telerico is
1890
02:33:55.229 --> 02:33:59.829
leading by a big margin with 58% of the vote in.
1891
02:34:01.129 --> 02:34:07.030
So we will see what happens. Minnesota. Minnesota looks like
1892
02:34:07.069 --> 02:34:11.340
it could be a Republican flip. where Republicans flip a
1893
02:34:11.360 --> 02:34:15.899
Democratic Senate seat. This would be big. And right now
1894
02:34:15.920 --> 02:34:20.409
the Republicans are leading 56% to 41%, but very few
1895
02:34:20.450 --> 02:34:23.690
of them vote in. So you shouldn't count that because
1896
02:34:23.809 --> 02:34:28.930
there's nothing we can really tell from that. Iowa, the
1897
02:34:29.450 --> 02:34:34.239
Democrat is leading. Alaska, the polls haven't closed yet. Governorship,
1898
02:34:34.270 --> 02:34:39.000
we told you Georgia is now being called for the Democrats. Texas,
1899
02:34:40.040 --> 02:34:45.450
Democrat is still leading with 59% in. We'll see. And
1900
02:34:45.729 --> 02:34:49.469
this is Abbott going for his fourth term, which he
1901
02:34:49.510 --> 02:34:58.879
won easily last time, easily. Ohio governor, again, the Democrat
1902
02:34:58.920 --> 02:35:05.219
is winning, beating Vivek. They haven't called it. Vivek would
1903
02:35:05.260 --> 02:35:08.350
need to win 56% of what's left. Hard to believe
1904
02:35:08.370 --> 02:35:12.409
he can do that, but maybe. We've got a Michigan
1905
02:35:12.950 --> 02:35:20.559
7th is close. New York 17th. We've got the Republican leading,
1906
02:35:20.739 --> 02:35:25.370
but it's close. All right, so that's where we are
1907
02:35:25.690 --> 02:35:29.549
as of now. Let's see if there's anything here that
1908
02:35:29.569 --> 02:35:41.729
I missed. All right. All right. We've got four last
1909
02:35:41.760 --> 02:35:43.409
questions and then we'll call it a night, I guess.
1910
02:35:44.290 --> 02:35:49.790
And we'll catch up next time. Next time. All right. Jason,
1911
02:35:50.870 --> 02:35:55.110
is if very red central Washington District 4 with the
1912
02:35:55.209 --> 02:36:00.979
last GOP who voted to impeach not running in 26
1913
02:36:00.979 --> 02:36:04.659
votes for Democrat for Congress, that would be huge and
1914
02:36:04.680 --> 02:36:08.500
a chance for a new party to get attention. Yeah,
1915
02:36:08.559 --> 02:36:12.930
I mean, you vote, you know, the guy who voted
1916
02:36:12.950 --> 02:36:17.389
to impeach was basically voted out by Republicans, and then
1917
02:36:17.409 --> 02:36:24.450
they flipped a Democratic? That's a repudiation of Trump again. Andrew,
1918
02:36:24.629 --> 02:36:27.510
is there any larger takeaway that can be gleaned from
1919
02:36:27.549 --> 02:36:31.920
the phenomena of two major politicians from different regions in
1920
02:36:31.979 --> 02:36:37.639
Mamdani and Al-Sayyad whose essential animating issue is being answered? Yeah,
1921
02:36:37.920 --> 02:36:41.030
this is This is the new woke. This is the
1922
02:36:41.190 --> 02:36:48.500
new far-left agenda item. It's not just those two. It's
1923
02:36:48.540 --> 02:36:52.479
what animates a big, big chunk of kind of the
1924
02:36:52.540 --> 02:36:57.750
far-left candidates, what animated the senatorial candidate in Democratic senatorial
1925
02:36:57.760 --> 02:37:01.989
candidate in Florida. A lot of them, this is their
1926
02:37:02.129 --> 02:37:06.389
focal point. This is what animates them. It's not an accident.
1927
02:37:07.500 --> 02:37:11.639
This is the manifestation of altruism right now. This is
1928
02:37:11.680 --> 02:37:13.729
the new woke. This is the new focus of the
1929
02:37:14.149 --> 02:37:29.790
crazy Democrats. We'll talk more about that. It's an important point. Rue...
1930
02:37:30.440 --> 02:37:34.420
we had a proposition to restrict traffic enforcement cameras. What
1931
02:37:34.440 --> 02:37:38.430
do you think about this topic? I mean, I'm not
1932
02:37:38.469 --> 02:37:41.530
big on cameras, but I think the main issue there
1933
02:37:41.569 --> 02:37:46.159
is how they're used. And what the restriction needs to
1934
02:37:46.190 --> 02:37:49.459
be is, They have to be used in the same
1935
02:37:49.500 --> 02:37:54.399
way that, you know, they can't just randomly use. They
1936
02:37:54.420 --> 02:37:58.360
can't be used to just spy on everybody. There has
1937
02:37:58.379 --> 02:38:03.340
to be probable cause. There has to be probable cause.
1938
02:38:03.440 --> 02:38:07.909
So that's my view on cameras. So they can film,
1939
02:38:08.469 --> 02:38:10.610
but to use the film, there has to be probable
1940
02:38:10.629 --> 02:38:18.010
cause first. Yeah, I mean, the headline of like Tim
1941
02:38:18.030 --> 02:38:22.290
Pool's podcast right now is live midterms, Democrats accused of cheating.
1942
02:38:24.389 --> 02:38:29.100
It's so, you know, I'm sure that's what you'll get
1943
02:38:29.120 --> 02:38:33.780
in the next few days. No basis yet for any
1944
02:38:33.799 --> 02:38:43.540
of that. Lone dissenter says, losing my voice. MAGA is
1945
02:38:43.559 --> 02:38:48.159
so dumb that they're losing the Texas Railroad Commission race,
1946
02:38:48.420 --> 02:38:52.000
leading oil and gas regulator, because their dumb candidate had
1947
02:38:52.020 --> 02:38:54.180
to tweet about Indians at the UT game. Oh, I
1948
02:38:54.180 --> 02:38:59.020
remember that. So this is the guy who tweeted against
1949
02:38:59.729 --> 02:39:03.809
Indian immigrants to the United States cheering on Texas in
1950
02:39:03.829 --> 02:39:06.590
a football game. And he tweeted about them not being
1951
02:39:06.649 --> 02:39:17.100
real Americans. Right? Right. And he just came out as
1952
02:39:17.139 --> 02:39:20.899
a real racist. And now they're going to lose the
1953
02:39:20.920 --> 02:39:26.389
Railroad Commission, which has been Republican forever. So if he's losing,
1954
02:39:26.889 --> 02:39:29.909
that is fantastic news. Because you want to kick out
1955
02:39:29.950 --> 02:39:32.610
the racists. You want to kick out the anti-immigration. You
1956
02:39:32.629 --> 02:39:37.219
want to kick out the people who vehemently support ICE.
1957
02:39:37.680 --> 02:39:51.930
You want to kick these bastards out. Okay, Ginger says,
1958
02:39:51.969 --> 02:39:57.729
a Democrat state is so anti-business that it's scary. Do
1959
02:39:57.770 --> 02:39:59.790
you think that's because of Trump, or is it just
1960
02:39:59.829 --> 02:40:04.659
normal Democrats? It's normal Democrats. You know, this is what
1961
02:40:04.690 --> 02:40:10.520
Democrats always were, is
anti-business. That's just standard practice. The
1962
02:40:10.600 --> 02:40:15.680
Democrats of Socialist America are worse than that. They're particularly
1963
02:40:16.159 --> 02:40:26.190
bad on all of that. All right. Let's see. Yeah,
1964
02:40:29.139 --> 02:40:33.760
I mean, a lot of what's happening to Republicans tonight
1965
02:40:34.920 --> 02:40:37.819
is the quality of the candidates that were handpicked by Trump.
1966
02:40:38.440 --> 02:40:41.739
Think South Carolina. Think Texas. These are people who were
1967
02:40:41.760 --> 02:40:53.790
handpicked by him and a complete disaster. Now, Trump is
1968
02:40:53.809 --> 02:41:00.870
saying there's massive election fraud happening nationwide right now. What
1969
02:41:00.909 --> 02:41:02.700
he can do about it, what he will do about it,
1970
02:41:02.879 --> 02:41:05.700
how he will respond to it, I don't know. But
1971
02:41:05.799 --> 02:41:12.879
he is completely losing it. Completely losing it. Now, you know,
1972
02:41:12.899 --> 02:41:15.989
people are already saying what, you know, DeSantis has positioned
1973
02:41:16.000 --> 02:41:19.000
himself very well to emerge as a right-wing critic. who
1974
02:41:19.079 --> 02:41:23.920
never aligned himself with the administration, and to succeed MAGA
1975
02:41:24.280 --> 02:41:35.020
from an anti-corruption, anti-war flank. So, you know, DeSantis is saying,
1976
02:41:35.340 --> 02:41:40.120
let's see, what is he saying? Oh, well, the gas, don't,
1977
02:41:40.479 --> 02:41:43.280
you know, he says, some of these Republicans are saying, oh, well,
1978
02:41:43.329 --> 02:41:46.469
the gas, don't worry, it's no big deal, or they're
1979
02:41:46.489 --> 02:41:49.750
trying to blame Biden. No, no, listen. We've just got
1980
02:41:49.770 --> 02:41:52.069
to be honest. Gas is higher, it hurts people, working
1981
02:41:52.090 --> 02:41:55.690
class people, and it's higher because of the Iran conflict. See,
1982
02:41:55.709 --> 02:41:57.770
it's not saying because we didn't win the war, but
1983
02:41:57.809 --> 02:42:01.069
because of the war, which is the wrong conclusion to
1984
02:42:01.110 --> 02:42:04.989
come to. That's just a fact. If you can't admit
1985
02:42:05.030 --> 02:42:08.569
that to voters, then you're gaslighting them, and they're not
1986
02:42:08.629 --> 02:42:11.430
going to listen to you on other things. So yeah,
1987
02:42:11.500 --> 02:42:13.680
this is the risk. The risk is the Republicans learn
1988
02:42:13.719 --> 02:42:18.079
this from their defeat, and that will not fix things.
1989
02:42:18.920 --> 02:42:21.540
That will not fix things. I'd like to see them
1990
02:42:21.620 --> 02:42:23.969
talk about tariffs. I'd like to see them talk about immigration.
1991
02:42:24.620 --> 02:42:26.940
I'd like to see them talk about winning the war
1992
02:42:26.969 --> 02:42:35.450
in Iran rather than never having done it. Now, of course,
1993
02:42:36.069 --> 02:42:40.549
you could argue he should have been nominated in 2024.
1994
02:42:40.549 --> 02:42:43.229
But no, you stuck with Trump. You stuck with Trump.
1995
02:42:43.309 --> 02:42:45.229
That's who you wanted. That's who you got. This is
1996
02:42:45.270 --> 02:42:49.270
the price you're paying. The price you're paying is you know,
1997
02:42:49.430 --> 02:42:57.700
really a disaster here. So, U.S. Senate midterm winner. Right now,
1998
02:42:57.719 --> 02:43:01.360
the Democratic Party looks like it's going to take the Senate.
1999
02:43:01.620 --> 02:43:05.219
The odds, oddmakers are placing the odds, you know, I
2000
02:43:05.239 --> 02:43:13.649
don't know, close to 90%, I think. Um, to the
2001
02:43:13.690 --> 02:43:15.010
rest of you, it looks like he's going to win.
2002
02:43:17.309 --> 02:43:20.719
It's huge. I mean, it really, really is huge. Candidate
2003
02:43:20.819 --> 02:43:32.590
quality matters. Yeah, here's Trump. Fox News ratings are way down, 27%,
2004
02:43:32.590 --> 02:43:36.290
because they're spending too much time covering the Trump derangement Democrats.
2005
02:43:37.110 --> 02:43:39.549
All of these people used to watch Fox and no
2006
02:43:39.590 --> 02:43:43.239
longer do. Get it. It's them, not me. My numbers
2007
02:43:43.299 --> 02:43:46.159
are better than they ever have been. The new CNN
2008
02:43:46.200 --> 02:43:51.270
poll stated, that Trump is at 99% among Republicans. 99%, really.
2009
02:43:51.950 --> 02:43:55.569
And among Republican presidents, Trump is at 53% compared to
2010
02:43:55.590 --> 02:43:59.389
Ronald Reagan, who's at 18%. And Abraham Lincoln at 8%.
2011
02:43:59.389 --> 02:44:02.430
So he's the best Republican president ever. This guy's deranged.
2012
02:44:02.829 --> 02:44:05.780
This is the kind of BS that people are voting against.
2013
02:44:06.620 --> 02:44:09.680
Fox knows this. And so does everyone else. Also, why
2014
02:44:09.719 --> 02:44:12.959
is Fox Corporation spending so much money donating to the
2015
02:44:13.040 --> 02:44:16.500
worst of the worst, including Hakeem Jeffries? He just goes
2016
02:44:16.579 --> 02:44:19.440
on and on. So it's those kind of rants that
2017
02:44:19.479 --> 02:44:24.319
make it clear that this guy is unhinged, completely unhinged.
2018
02:44:25.500 --> 02:44:31.340
He's worse than irrational. He is, you know, he's completely
2019
02:44:31.420 --> 02:44:38.260
lost it. And the consequence of that is, you know,
2020
02:44:38.280 --> 02:44:41.639
the consequence of that is people are voting against him.
2021
02:44:42.940 --> 02:44:46.799
Against him. And we always suffer from the fact that
2022
02:44:46.860 --> 02:44:49.280
now we have a House and Senate to the Democrats
2023
02:44:49.319 --> 02:44:56.579
and a real potential for a Democratic president. All right.
2024
02:45:10.750 --> 02:45:14.329
All right. Let's see. What else? What is going on here? Yeah.
2025
02:45:22.329 --> 02:45:25.170
Let's see, anything.
2026
02:45:25.610 --> 02:45:25.850
New?
2027
02:45:25.879 -->
02:45:30.020
Just asking for one last update. Will Republicans have an
2028
02:45:30.079 --> 02:45:36.500
economic panic with Democrats winning? I'm not sure what that means.
2029
02:45:36.920 --> 02:45:40.309
Will we have an economic panic with Democrats winning? I
2030
02:45:40.389 --> 02:45:44.709
think the Democrats winning was expected. So I think there
2031
02:45:44.750 --> 02:45:50.020
might be some worry about data centers. And so you
2032
02:45:50.040 --> 02:45:53.540
might see the AI panic continuing in the stock market.
2033
02:45:54.159 --> 02:45:57.969
I don't see an economic disaster on the horizon. Again,
2034
02:45:58.149 --> 02:46:06.190
Democrats can't get anything done without Trump. Trump can veto stuff. Now,
2035
02:46:07.629 --> 02:46:13.129
Texas having a Democratic governor, that has an impact. I
2036
02:46:13.170 --> 02:46:16.110
don't know exactly how. I assume the Republicans will hold.
2037
02:46:16.809 --> 02:46:23.120
the House and Senate in Texas. The Democratic governor won't
2038
02:46:23.159 --> 02:46:25.540
be able to do much, but I don't know. I mean,
2039
02:46:25.579 --> 02:46:28.659
we'll have to evaluate all this tomorrow morning once we
2040
02:46:28.739 --> 02:46:35.500
see the fuller results. Okay, here's the latest update. NBC's
2041
02:46:35.549 --> 02:46:40.270
projecting that Amy Acton will win the Ohio governor, flipping
2042
02:46:40.329 --> 02:46:47.559
it from Republican. So Ohio goes Democratic. Uh, Amazing, right?
2043
02:46:47.620 --> 02:46:51.090
Georgia went Democratic. Maybe Texas is going to go Democratic.
2044
02:46:51.329 --> 02:46:54.829
I don't know. But right now, Ohio is going Democratic
2045
02:46:54.909 --> 02:47:00.569
as a state, which is stunning, right? Democrats said plus
2046
02:47:00.649 --> 02:47:13.170
two Senate. Not enough has been called. Ohio is leaning Democratic.
2047
02:47:13.170 --> 02:47:21.170
Hard to tell about Maine. Kansas' is leading Democratic Iowa
2048
02:47:21.229 --> 02:47:27.799
is leading Democratic Michigan is leading Democratic Texas is leading
2049
02:47:27.829 --> 02:47:36.459
Democratic I mean let's see Nebraska is leading Independent which
2050
02:47:36.500 --> 02:47:52.620
is Democratic hey Republicans are winning in Mississippi. Yeah. All right. Oh,
2051
02:47:52.659 --> 02:48:00.360
we got one more question. Michael says, is there a
2052
02:48:00.440 --> 02:48:03.329
hunger you just can't teach when it comes to being
2053
02:48:03.360 --> 02:48:06.069
ambitious and successful in life? Yeah, I don't think you
2054
02:48:06.110 --> 02:48:08.489
can teach. That's an issue of the choice of values.
2055
02:48:09.120 --> 02:48:12.680
ambition is something you have to choose to be. It
2056
02:48:12.719 --> 02:48:15.590
has to be something you need to initiate as, as a,
2057
02:48:16.360 --> 02:48:20.059
as an individual. It doesn't just come, um, it doesn't
2058
02:48:20.100 --> 02:48:25.649
just come by itself. So, yes, there's, that hunger has
2059
02:48:25.680 --> 02:48:28.680
to be, it's, it's based on choices you make as
2060
02:48:28.729 --> 02:48:32.229
a human being. Um, but you can't teach it. You
2061
02:48:32.250 --> 02:48:34.370
can't bring it in from the outside. You can create
2062
02:48:34.409 --> 02:48:38.270
an environment where it's more likely to be chosen. Um,
2063
02:48:39.079 --> 02:48:43.760
But you can't teach it. Justin, thank you for the support,
2064
02:48:43.840 --> 02:48:47.000
for the sticker. I appreciate it. All right, guys. Let's
2065
02:48:47.069 --> 02:48:49.889
call this a night. Not sure when the next show
2066
02:48:49.950 --> 02:48:53.010
is going to be. Maybe tomorrow, but I'm not sure
2067
02:48:53.030 --> 02:48:56.290
exactly when I could do it tomorrow. We'll see. We'll see.
2068
02:48:57.450 --> 02:49:03.209
But if not tomorrow, no Thursday, no Friday. No Thursday.
2069
02:49:03.270 --> 02:49:09.329
Maybe Friday. So maybe Friday evening. I'll be in Mexico
2070
02:49:09.389 --> 02:49:14.450
City on Friday. Not Saturday. Definitely Sunday we're doing a
2071
02:49:14.709 --> 02:49:18.850
show with Nikos. Monday we'll do a show. And then
2072
02:49:18.899 --> 02:49:21.899
I travel again. So November is going to be spotty.
2073
02:49:22.860 --> 02:49:24.899
But thank you for tuning in tonight. Thank you for
2074
02:49:25.139 --> 02:49:28.799
being generous. And I will try to do a show
2075
02:49:30.100 --> 02:49:34.500
on Friday. Have a good night. I'm going to go
2076
02:49:34.540 --> 02:49:38.969
to sleep. It's almost 1 a.m. over here. And I'll
2077
02:49:39.000 --> 02:49:41.690
see you later in the week. Oops, my phone's died.
2078
02:49:42.270 --> 02:49:45.040
I guess it has. Bye, everybody. Good night.