TRASCRIZIONE 🔗
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Big Bitcoin is here. You can love it, you can hate it. Maybe there could have been a dream of a continued wave of retail adoption, but I think this is the much more realistic way that it was always expected to play out. I value the freedom, the autonomy, the empowerment that Bitcoin brings to the world. I really identify with the phrase, everything's good for Bitcoin, including digital credit ETFs. It's really just the beginning.
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The price, I think, is in a great place, to be honest. I think for 2026, what should be our worst year of the cycle.
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27 will be a green year, followed by some more green years.
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A lot of the tourists have left, and it's kind of like the band that's still playing, but you're like, is anybody still here?
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The amount of progress that Strive has been able to make during a bear market gives me a lot of optimism.
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Let's go buy $10 billion, $100 billion a week of Bitcoin and just see what happens.
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I wish I had a seatbelt here because I'm ready for that jetpack, especially with AI.
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All right, Becca, Tim, thank you so much for joining us.
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How are you doing?
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Great.
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Yeah.
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Big day, yeah.
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Big day, yes.
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Tim, how are you?
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Great.
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Big day.
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I mean, yeah, by the looks of it, we are in a beautiful location, of course, Punta Mita, Mexico, for Mita Tech Talks.
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It was a really interesting, fascinating conversations, and we're here to sum it all up, talk about what's going on in Bitcoin.
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Look Forward. So I want to start the conversation with the topic of Big Bitcoin, because I think you both represent Big Bitcoin in different ways, right? So Becca, over to you. How would you define Big Bitcoin?
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I think Big Bitcoin is, you know, it's a meme, but it's referring to the introduction of institutions to Bitcoin in general. So that comes from different directions. That's in the form of ETFs. It's in the form of derivatives and other trading opportunities.
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built on top of Bitcoin. It's in the form of regulatory. So Anchor Watch, of course, does
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insurance. You can call that big Bitcoin for sure. And I think it's just all of these things. And the
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reason why it gets discussed and it's memed is because it's a huge change. It's a huge change to
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what had developed really as the culture of Bitcoin over the last many years. And there's been a very
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market shift, I think, in the last few years with BigBitcoin. Yeah. And Tim, how would you define it?
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You've sort of ridden on the back of BigBitcoin to prominence within the scene. Some people call me
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BigBitcoin. Yeah. So it's been interesting to see the term come about. I've seen David Bailey try to
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take credit for inventing the term. I don't know if that's true. Probably not. And yeah, of course,
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We've seen the retail of adoption from when it was $0.00 and 0 cents.
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And it would just be natural that as the adoption curve continues, you see corporates, institutions,
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and dare I say nation states starting to adopt one Bitcoin per day.
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Shout out El Salvador.
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So I think, you know, you can have fun with it.
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You can love it.
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You can hate it.
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But some people probably equate it with Wall Street, with suits, with big beautiful buildings and places like Punta Mita.
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So maybe this is big Bitcoin. Maybe we're here and we don't even know it.
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So you think it's just a natural progression of where Bitcoin goes, yeah?
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I do. I think if we want the amount of market cap flowing into the asset, the only way that happens is through larger entities, larger buys. Or maybe it's not the only way. Maybe there could have been a dream of a continued wave of retail adoption. But I think this is the much more realistic way that it was always expected to play out. And I think many people agree with that.
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and it just is kind of coming to fruition.
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Yeah.
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And Tim, when it comes to big Bitcoin, can big Bitcoin still share that cypherpunk freedom mentality?
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Do you share any of that?
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Do you value that in Bitcoin?
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I value the freedom, the autonomy, the empowerment that Bitcoin brings to the world.
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And I really identify with the phrase, everything's good for Bitcoin.
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So the more on-ramps we have, whether it's through self-custody, multi-institutional custody, some other form of custody that I'm not even aware of, the exchanges, the ETFs, the, of course, Bitcoin treasury companies, and all of these products that are built layer upon layer upon layer on top of it, including, you know, digital credit.
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ETFs. It's like you're kind of really building a
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taller building there when you're holding a basket
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in an ETF product of preferred equity products that don't have direct Bitcoin. They have indirect
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Bitcoin exposure. So I think the more on-ramps we have for Bitcoin, the better. And yeah, it's really
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just the beginning. It's been, I'm sure we'll get into it, wild to be here with, you know,
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We call it 100 people and have a really cool, beautiful, intimate setting to get to know people, get to really know people, right?
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Not for five minutes or even 15 minutes. We get to spend a couple of days with everybody. It's really cool.
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Yeah, absolutely.
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You know, the leaders in this space of the big Bitcoin companies are, by and large, they're a rebellious group compared to TradFi or compared to maybe the environments that they grew up in. So I do think we actually do kind of hang on to a little bit of that, even in the corporate environment. You know, if you think about, I mean, just the existence of some of these, you know, paper Bitcoin products, right, that they took somebody really, you know,
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thinking outside of the box and really pushing against the way things are done. If you think about
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Matt Cole from Strive and the way he talks very openly about how they run their business, I think all of these things are kind of signs of the community of Bitcoin or the culture of Bitcoin just growing up a little bit.
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I just love the expected 50% CAGR that they talk about. I mean, what's not to love?
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What's not to love?
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Strive for Bitcoin.
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There you go.
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Shout out.
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The orange tie is a sign of corporate rebellion.
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Yes.
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Maybe.
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Let's start.
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Let's get that narrative going now.
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Make it cool.
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So let's talk about the attacks that we've been under, right?
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I think both sides, whether it's the custody, of course, and treasury companies, too, they've
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been under attacks from the markets.
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So let's talk about that, how we've dealt with it the last year.
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Becca, you've had a front row seat to the Red Team with your co-founder Rob Hamilton helping to take charge of all that. So give us the inside scoop. What have the last three months been when you've been such close proximity to Bitcoin Red Team?
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I mean, I would say it's definitely been an onslaught. That's the impression I get. So it was every few weeks. Now it's every few days a new model is coming out.
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And so all the volunteers who are red teaming, they really have to take the new model, rescan the repos, and they're finding new vulnerabilities every time.
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So it's changing the dynamic, I think, from kind of putting a good ring of defenses around your product or your project and then continuing to work on your project.
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and now it's put up your walls and then keep reinforcing your walls again and again and again.
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And if you don't stop, your project has the risk of becoming vulnerable.
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So my impression has just been the team has been adjusting to that new reality just as the rest of companies will have to adjust to it I think in the coming months or years
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It's been very impressive.
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Rob, Calais, and many others have shown very good organizational skills, ability to build their plane while they were flying it,
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ability to organize people, to harness their AIs together, to...
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The ability to exist on energy drinks alone?
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Yes, only on Monster. They've taken in no calories other than Monster for three months. It's a feat for sure.
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yeah but it's it's just been very very impressive inspiring a little I would say daunting when I
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watch from the outside only because I know how much these volunteers are providing to each project
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right and so in a world where you really have to be doing that for yourself the community broader
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business community, different entities have provided server space, have OpenSats has by and large covered the majority of the token expense. So all of that has been really meaningful to all of Bitcoin. I think, you know, Bitcoin, Bitcoiners, Bitcoin industry, including big Bitcoin really could not, you can't over or rather underestimate, you know, what they have done, I think for all of us.
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regardless of the size of the company. It's been really very interesting to watch.
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And the Strive team that you work closely with, they donate to OpenSass to help out Red Team. Have you talked to them about that at all?
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I've seen their posts about it, but that's about the extent of it. We've not talked about it on the Hurdle Rate podcast, but it's probably a good topic for next week, so thank you.
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Yes. Also, before we dive in, I'm still trying to get used to the phrase big Bitcoin as a serious term.
I'm trying not to laugh hysterically. You've both learned over the last couple of days that I'm a little more loose in real life than I am on the suit and tie extravaganza.
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But yeah, it's been a wild ride from observing the space since SAYLOR started the revolution in August of 2020 and then starting to interview a lot of the analysts and executives in the space in early fall 2024.
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It's interesting to bring it back to reality when you see the chart of like since the beginning of the strategy till now, like what over the years the return on microstrategy and how strategy has been.
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But of course, 2025 was a fun year
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Paper Bitcoin summer
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Yeah, and the conference in September, I mean, we almost like nailed the exact peak
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So that was interesting
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And then of course, from the fall of last year until now
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You saw a few companies sell their Bitcoin and leave the space
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You saw a lot of brutal capital markets action
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whether it's because of convertible debt or whether the market just doesn't care.
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And if it's really amplified Bitcoin and the leading treasury companies are very transparent in saying,
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like, if it's amplified to the upside, it's going to be amplified to the downside.
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So make your own decisions on whether you're holding this long term or it's more of a trade.
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Those are interesting things to think about.
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And of course, talking to executives and seeing how they're trying to either reinvent or rebuild through this market has been really interesting to the point of, you know, I think in many, especially on social media, in many ways, a lot of the tourists have left.
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And it's kind of like the band that's still playing, but you're like, is anybody still here?
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So, you know, the move from 60 to 80, I think it gave us all a little jolt. It was kind of unexpected.
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But I think 2027 is going to be, I'm the ever-optimist, but I think it's going to be pretty wild.
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Got to be bullish.
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There comes a point as a Bitcoiner where simply buying and holding Bitcoin isn't the whole story anymore.
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You start thinking about bigger questions.
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How do I borrow against my Bitcoin without selling it?
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How should I structure my retirement accounts?
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Where should I keep my cash while I wait to buy the dip?
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And how do I manage all this without compromising the Bitcoin I've spent years accumulating?
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That's what OnRamp Finance is built for.
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And when it comes to these treasury companies, they have to custody their Bitcoin. Do you work with any of these treasury companies in helping them do that?
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We will be making some announcements in the coming weeks. We actually, AnchorWatch just got our charter as a trust company. So AnchorWatch Trust Company just opened as of 10 days ago or so, which means we're a qualified custodian, which now allows the publicly traded companies to use us.
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So we had some that were waiting in the wings that were interested to use our custody platform and get the insurance, but they really just couldn't until we had our trust company charter.
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Yeah.
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And so now they're coming on board. So you'll see, I think, more and more of them start to use us over 2027.
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Nice. And SAYLOR got a lot of hate for not showing proof of reserves, right? But Leishman over at River does show proof of reserves for his exchange.
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So do you think these treasury companies should be showing proof of reserves?
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I think there's multiple ways of doing custody and supporting customers. So I think each business needs to decide what's important to them and transparency or privacy serve different purposes and different end uses. And I think it's fine for each client to decide what level of transparency they want to show ultimately.
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In terms of the mechanisms for, I think there's actually three options. So AnchorWatch Trust Company does segregated. So your Bitcoin is
in your vault and you don't need proof of reserves because it's your Bitcoin. It's right there. So every client has their own known vault that they can go look at on on chain anytime you want. And therefore proof of reserves is not necessary. That's how most trust companies or proper fiduciaries are working.
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If it's pooled in an omnibus account, then proof of reserves is wise, absolutely.
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But there's the question of if it needs to be released to the public or if it just needs to be conducted and maybe released to your clients, right, to those who are using your platform.
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So I don't think we need to judge or say there's one real method or one correct method unless you're going for certain use cases, in which case it should be available and all of them are now available
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And speaking of attacks, MSCI is dropping the treasury companies from their indices, that includes Strategy and Metaplanet, what does that mean, is this a big deal, should we be worried about it?
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When the news came out I think strategy was down on the day I take Michael at his word when he says it not really something that we concerned about but you also hear that from people when they introducing him at conferences that he working with MSCI and with many different parties behind the scenes to really move everything forward
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So I think it's, again, I think if everything's good for Bitcoin, everything's good for Bitcoin treasury companies because of the attention-driven nature of the conversation.
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And back to proof of reserves for a second, I just kind of think of it as the waves, you know, from, of course, retail investors on social media that, you know, there was a time when that came and went.
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And it's just interesting what topics retail investors are advocating for on any given day or week.
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So it's interesting to watch. Narratives, it's all narratives, right? Yeah, and price. And liquidity.
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And so we're here at Punta Mita and we're talking about AI, Bitcoin and energy. It seems as if there's a lot of, I'd say, soft pivots into the freedom tech talk, you know, just from Bitcoin to AI and this kind of different angle on it all. How do you feel about that transition going from strictly Bitcoin to a wider?
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I think it's appropriate for where we are. I think you can't deny that a lot of attention, including from Bitcoin builders, has gone to AI. A lot of startup companies that were very Bitcoin focused are now a hybrid of Bitcoin and AI or had to transition to AI.
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I think Bitcoin will march on kind of regardless.
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I think here at Mita, I think a couple of the talks from people were very much about kind of the original spirit of Bitcoin.
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And honestly, they were a good reminder for me.
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They were a good reminder that moving Bitcoin cross-border is very important around the world, in the third world, where there's currency debasement.
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So all those things where builders are now using AI to actually solve those problems, I think it's vital. And so I think whether it's event organizers or media, you know, personas, podcasters, I mean, I do think also there may be a little bit of a responsibility to keep those folks in the conversation,
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even if the majority of the industry feels like it has moved on because those things, just like self-custody, I think are in fact integral to Bitcoin's purpose.
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And, you know, I provide a custodial solution, which is not pure self-custody, but I still think pure self-custody needs to be developed, research protected.
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I think all people should have kind of an armed multi-sig. Maybe they don't even keep Bitcoin in it, but they have it. It's using the latest technology, and maybe that technology will change over time. And if you're worried about the debt crisis over the next 20 years, you're always keeping up with self-custody. So if necessary, you can move Bitcoin into self-custody.
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So I do think there is kind of an important responsibility among those of us who work in the industry to help those small builders and those idealistic builders at least stay on the outskirts.
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I mean that in an inclusive way. Stay on the outskirts and benefit from the increasing volume that's coming on to Bikki.
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I think it's so interesting when I first sat down with Matt Cole in January of last year, so call it two years ago, he said the three themes of the next couple of years are going to be AI, Bitcoin, and energy.
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And now we're here at a conference focused on Bitcoin, AI, and energy. So I'm not saying Matt Cole can tell the future, but I think energy has always, of course, been, you know, something that,
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individuals that study Bitcoin, or at least aware of, from the infrastructure standpoint.
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And in the same way that when someone is kind of, I'm talking to them or I mentioned Bitcoin and they sort of go like this and they are like, well, and I'm like, it's just a tech, it's like decentralized code.
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It's just a new, it's a technology. In the same way, I think of AI as, well, it's just technology, right?
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Someone's going to say, don't use the calculator, don't use the supercomputer. It's a tool, it's technology, it's, you
know, of course, going very fast and very powerful, but I think, you know, having an energy background myself, it's very, and then, you know, arguably something in finance,
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It's interesting to now, when people say, what do you do? Really almost have to say, I'm in tech. Because what is Bitcoin? What is AI? What is a lot of energy when you really think about how advanced all of this is? So I think it's, to Bega's point, a very natural progression and inclusive of what's going on when you actually just need to name a couple of things specifically.
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I think I'm just very open-minded, sometimes to a fault, right? It's like we want to be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brain falls out. So I'm somewhere on that spectrum. And I think when I had someone explain Bitcoin to me and they say, well, oil is a commodity, natural gas is a commodity, Bitcoin is a commodity, as deemed by the IRS. I was like, oh, okay. So it's not just some wild imaginary thing. So at the time, I just thought, you know, mineral rights, oil and gas rights, it's recorded in the courthouse.
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It's part of the bundle of sticks. It's real. And of course, you need to dig a little bit deep on Bitcoin to realize what is underpinning it, so to speak.
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And what about you, Becca? I don't know. What unlocked Bitcoin for you?
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What unlocked Bitcoin for me was the national debt hitting $3 trillion in 1990 when I was eight.
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I'm not kidding. It was on the nightly business report on TV, and I asked my dad how we were going to pay that back because they put a parabola shape graph on the screen, and I understood that we were supposed to pay back our debts.
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And I couldn't understand how America, who I knew was the greatest country in the world, I couldn't understand how the whole world functions on this bad math.
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Yeah.
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And my dad didn't have a good answer for me, which was surprising. He was a business professor. And so that always just stayed in my mind. I majored in finance because of it. I was always just very curious to kind of figure out that mismatch of information.
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and eventually when I heard about Bitcoin, I was already trading it without understanding it.
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When I heard about Bitcoin and started learning about it, kind of similarly, I was just like,
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oh, this explains everything. Got it. And I was orange-pilled almost immediately because,
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yeah, it just saw a lifelong bit of confusion for me.
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And then how did that go into custody?
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So from there I was hanging out with the Bitcoiners. So I'd gotten orange-pilled on the app clubhouse and a group of Bitcoiners were discussing what Bitcoin-related startups actually needed to exist versus being a little ancillary.
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And insurance was called out as kind of something lacking in the industry, that every mature asset class has a robust insurance market, but Bitcoin was totally lacking in that.
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And so that was kind of the idea for the company I initially invested in AnchorWatch and then within about a week I was helping out Rob and within another week I was co and we were in it to win it
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What if I told you that even if you started buying Bitcoin near the peak of the 2021 bull market, you could have nearly doubled your money?
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And Tim, in terms of you and your business, I mean, you've got a lot of things cooking right now. Is there anything that you're willing to share?
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Absolutely nothing. It's a locked box over here. Yeah, really focused on the, you know, 7, 8, 9 podcasts, you know, from, you know, all under the umbrella of Bitcoin Treasuries,
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but really diving into more recently the digital credit space. Similar to Bitcoin Treasuries a handful of years ago, I just see more and more issuers entering the market. And even when I formally announced on Twitter that I was launching the digital credit podcast, I thought to myself, I don't think there's enough people to talk to. But once you start going down any rabbit
hole, you're like, well, between these executives, oh, and then they're doing something.
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Oh, and then these guys are ETF issuers. And it's like, okay, we got a dozen people, maybe two dozen people if I try really hard. And then also just launched the ETF playbook podcast. I had Eric Balchunez just realed him with questions for about 90 minutes and published that about a week ago. So the idea is to, you know, between equities and ETFs, it's a lot of access for investors. And so interviewing, again, the executives, the analysts,
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the builders in that space, I think is really important and something that I'm interested in.
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So let's look forward to my 26. It was a hard year. It was tough. We have a chain split,
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self-custody under attack, infighting. Just brutal. Just brutal. Let's just be honest.
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But I think you both are bullish and convicted as ever.
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So show us the path forward. Why should other people be as bullish as you?
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I mean, the price, I think, is in a great place, to be honest. I think for 2026, what should be kind of our worst year of the cycle, I think we hit 58K.
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that was a memetic low. And so I feel like, you know, we're in a good place to end the year somewhere in this neighborhood. I think 2027 will be a green year followed by some more green years. So I've considered this year to be a bind season, kind of regardless of month or price. And I still consider it that, you know, through the end of the year.
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I think everything is good for Bitcoin and while the losses have been traumatic for the individuals who lost Bitcoin in attacks, whether in any number of the attacks, that's devastating for those individuals, it's devastating for certain companies, it's good for Bitcoin.
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Right. Like we are the canary in the coal mine. We are making Bitcoin security stronger every hour, every day. One way or the other, this just sets us up better for the future. And so I'm excited that all our builders in the space are, I mean, they're really geniuses, right?
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We have truly exceptional minds working in this space and the inclusion of AI and kind of combining these exceptional minds with this exceptional technology.
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I just think while some of it may be a little bit intimidating in the security side, I just think we're going to see amazing things come out of different people and different companies over the next year.
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First of all, shout out to the 58K gang, right? They came back, they made a well-guessed appearance.
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I thought that was kind of nice. Hello, also see you later, hopefully. Yeah, I think back to when the
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched and the Bloomberg analysts gave their predictions and then the
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flows just knocked every estimate out of the park in short order. The most successful ETF launch in
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the history of capital markets. And then you see the iteration of the Bitcoin treasury companies.
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you see the advent of these preferred equity products and in 2025 you saw some weeks where
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strategy was literally buying a billion dollars or more per week of Bitcoin and so
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as you as I see these raises from strategy from strive the amount of progress that strive has been
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I'm not able to make during a bear market, arguably since they launched in September, became a reverse version to a public company in September of 2025. It's just been reverse merge, do the first and only M&A transaction in the space so far, buy a bunch more Bitcoin, launch a preferred product, launch another preferred product, I'm probably missing like 17 things. And so that amount of focus, execution, dedication, forward movement,
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It gives me a lot of optimism that not only to think about what strategy and strive are going to do, but let's say there's a dozen companies over the next year or two that can kind of get to that level and want to really engage the capital markets in that fashion.
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So you kind of, I think of it as a dual engine of the ETFs and the treasury companies.
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You know, let's go, let's go buy 10 billion, $100 billion a week of Bitcoin.
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and just see what happens. I'm bullish. I'm bullish. I wish I had a seatbelt here because I'm ready for that jetpack, especially with AI. I don't know if it was Lynn or Jeff. Somebody said,
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I'm mom. Lisa said that AI is a jetpack. I thought that was really cool.
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No, the seeds have been planted, right? The infrastructure has been built out. And now whether it is custody or the treasury companies or what have you, things can really bloom as soon as...
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I think we'll see Bitcoin used as collateral in more products. I think we'll see more fiat liquidity come into the market, allowing people to borrow against their Bitcoin more at the institutional level, not only retail.
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I think we'll see terms improve for those types of products.
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So yeah, I think there's a lot to look forward to over the next year.
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Big Bitcoin is here.
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That's right.
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TLDR.
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Sorry, you're asking the question.
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No, that's it.
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I think we should end right there.
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Big Bitcoin is here.
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Thank you guys so much.
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Thank you.
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Appreciate it.
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Cheers.