KOPYA NG SALIN 🔗
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This is Star Talk. I'm Neil deGrasse Tyson, your personal astrophysicist.
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With me is my comedic co-host, Chuck Nice. Chuck.
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Hey, hey, Neil. How are you?
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Still tweeting at Chuck Nice Comic.
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Thank you, sir. Yes, I am. Having to remind people
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that you're a comic. Well, I have to remind myself.
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That's the problem. I'm not worried about them. It's me
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that I'm concerned about.
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So this is going to be another in our multi-part
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series on different angles of Into the coronavirus. Yes. And
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in this particular episode, we'll be addressing coronavirus conspiracy theories.
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Oh, my goodness. So we're going to be here for
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a few days.
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And more broadly, skepticism and science literacy. And how do
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you invoke that? Coronavirus is just one example how we
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can invoke skepticism. But there's no end in this list.
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And there's only one person.
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Only one.
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Who is the ideal candidate. guest for this and it's
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the one and only michael schirmer michael welcome back to star.
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Talk that's right i'm the returning champion.
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You're founding publisher of skeptic magazine and a best-selling author
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uh you've been our guest on star talk multiple times
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and you have a recent book you have several books
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In fact, if I look carefully on your shelf, what
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a coincidence!
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You've got some other books.
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It's always fun to see what people put on the
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shelves behind them in this pandemic era. Well, our most
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recent issue, as you can see right there, is on conspiracies.
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That was before the pandemic, so it was good timing.
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I've never seen the spread, like a virus, of conspiracy
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theories like this. This is really quite shocking.
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Crazy. And so in your latest book, Giving the Devil
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His Due, Reflections... of a scientific humanist. Now, you have
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a book with the word devil in it. Do you
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expect to sell that book to Christians?
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Yeah, you see, there he is, yeah.
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You just cut the sales in half, at least, right there.
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So what are your main arguments in there, and why
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is the devil in the title?
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Well, the devil is whoever disagrees with you or whoever
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you disagree with, whose opinions you dislike, anybody whose viewpoint
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diverges from yours. And the reason those devils should be
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given their due is so that for your own safety's sake,
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that is to say, if you sign off on censorship
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and silencing people for voicing their minority position, what happens
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when you're in the minority, when you're the lone voice
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pushing back against the mainstream, when you want to push
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against the dogma, and you've signed off on silencing people
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who disagree, then they'll come after you. So the title
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comes from a play called A Man for All Seasons about,
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this is Robert Bolt's play that was made into a film,
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about Sir Thomas More and his collision with King Henry
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VIII over his divorce from Catherine of Aragon and the church.
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You know, there's a bunch of different threads in there,
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but one of which is Thomas More arguing with his
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future son-in-law about tearing down the laws to get after
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the devil, metaphorically speaking. And More is arguing that we
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have to give the devil his due for our own
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safety's sake. That is, the laws are there to protect people,
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for example, the First Amendment. So if you say, well,
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we've got to make an exception for this one person
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because he's really, really bad. Okay, well, what about this person?
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Because they're really bad also. And, you know, so you
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start with something like, you know, a conspiracy theorist extremist
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like Alex Jones. And you go, OK, well, we have
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to silence him and cancel him. Well, what about this
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person over here, David Icke? What about this guy? What
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about that guy? What about this coronavirus skeptic? Well, wait
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a minute. Maybe the skeptic
Load full transcript
of the coronavirus theory, maybe
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he has a point. Maybe we can learn something from them.
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In other words, there's a kind of concept creep or
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the bin theory. of which we put stuff in that
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we think is dangerous, gets larger and larger.
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So is this, it seems to me, we've all heard
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the phrase, the devil's advocate. And if I remember correctly,
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this would be in Catholic church trials, where someone, you know,
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you're accused of heresy, and someone would be appointed by
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the church to defend you in the face of the heresy.
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And of course, you're on the side of the devil.
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So we need someone to defend the devil and devil's advocate.
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So that was, it seems like, even though the whole
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system was rigged against you.
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I was going to say, nice to see that this
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court isn't biased. I'm already on the side of the
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devil as you are prosecuting me for being on the
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side of the devil.
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But that has an inkling of what you're saying, I think.
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Yeah, that's right. Actually, the position, the devil's advocate, the
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Advocatus Diabli was positioned by the Catholic Church Also to
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act as a skeptic against miracle claims. That is to say,
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everybody and their brother had somebody they thought should be canonized.
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And you have to be, you know, I forget, it
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was like two major miracles and three minor miracles to
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be canonized.
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It's a checklist. It's a checklist.
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It's a checklist. And so, you know, everybody had a
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story about weeping statues and bleeding pictures and miracle cures
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and things like this. So the Catholic Church realized that
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most of these are bogus. So they would appoint a skeptic, essentially,
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someone like, yourself or me, to go out there and
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investigate and find the natural explanation. And then once all
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those are eliminated, then if there's some left, then they
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could say, well, that one is a miracle. Now, you
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and I would not go that far, of course, but
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they did centuries ago. So the devil's advocate was actually
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a valuable position, a skeptical position.
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Yeah. I'm going with the Blue Oyster Cult. I'm living
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for giving the devil his due. That's where I come in.
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And I'm burning. I'm burning. I'm burning for you.
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There's a song in there.
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Okay, but you need free speech in order to combat
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conspiracy theories.
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Yeah, that's right. So, you know, here I kind of articulate.
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So let's bring this back to coronavirus. So how does
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this play out? How does this work?
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So the reason we need free speech is because most
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of us are wrong much of the time. And so
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the only way to find out is to listen to
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what other people have to say. So the moment you think, well,
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we have the final truth. No, we don't have the final.
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We never have the final truths. There are no truths
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with a capital T in science. And the coronavirus is
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a perfect example of this. There's so many unknowns. And,
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you know, although I admire Dr. Fauci very much, he's
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not omniscient. He's not God. He may be wrong about
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some things. And the CDC, same thing and so forth.
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So it's good to listen to the people that are,
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you know, kind of pull away from that or they're,
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you know, they disagree a little bit. Could be this,
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could be that. Is it a bioweapon or is it a,
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you know, genetically engineered virus or is it a bat virus? Well,
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we have the answer to that now. But it's okay
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to talk about that because, you know, maybe it is
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this or that. And the things with conspiracy theories, Neil,
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is that a lot of them, there's enough of them
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that are true, that it pays to be constructively conspiracy-minded,
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that is, a little paranoid. And it's not that we
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think Bill Gates is going to take over the world
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or 5G is causing the coronavirus, but we do know
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that pharmaceutical companies have hacked the FDA system of regulations
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to cheat the standards and make more money. We know
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Volkswagen hacked the mission standards to make money. We know
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government agents and politicians lie and insider trading and Wall Street.
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There's enough of these kinds of things that go on
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that when someone says, you know, I'm a little skeptical
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about what the CDC said or what the Chinese are
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telling us, that's not a crazy position to take. In
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other words, enough of it happens that there's kind of
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a logic to listening to some of it, at least. Now,
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you sort of go from like 10% away from the
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Fauci mainstream to 20% to David Icke thinks it's the
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5G towers and Bill Gates. But the problem of silencing him,
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let's say he got kicked off YouTube because he appeared
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on this British TV show, a YouTube channel.
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Wait, who got kicked off?
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This guy named David Icke, who's sort of the Alex
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Jones of England. I mean, he's way out there. He
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thinks the lizard aliens are secretly running the world and
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all this stuff. I mean, he is way out there.
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Chuck thinks that, by the way. Chuck is totally... Behind
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that one.
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They're more amphibians than they are.
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Sorry, I got that wrong.
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Hey, don't lump me in with the crazies. I'm talking
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frog people.
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You know, there is a funny story about that, that
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the 9-11 truthers are kind of divided amongst themselves about
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whether there really were planes or not. There's an extreme
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group of the truthers who think they're called the no-plainers,
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that these were holographic images that people think they saw planes,
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but it was actually just explosive devices. And the regular
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9-11 truthers who just think it was an inside job
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by the Bush administration, they say, oh, those no-plainers, they're crazy.
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So it's kind of funny that they debunk each other.
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And there's splits like that in creationism, and the flat
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earthers are divided about their arguments. And So it's kind
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of fun to watch them go at each other. But
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that's part of the free speech. Let everybody have their voice.
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It'll be pretty obvious which ones are crazy and which
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ones are not.
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So may I ask this, Michael? With respect to health
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concerns such as a pandemic, there are consequences to misinformation.
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And there are consequences to for people who propagate conspiracy
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theories to the detriment of the greater society how do
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you deal with that so here's a person who says Like,
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we shouldn't do A, B, and C. I don't care
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what it is. Let's just say. But A, B, and
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C actually contributes to the public good by keeping us
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all safe from one another and mitigating the spread of
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the disease. What do you do with somebody like that
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who is posing an imminent threat?
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Yeah.
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Well, I agree with you on that. And there's a
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distinction between that, which is actual action or behavior that
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people take, versus the words that they speak. Less concerned
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about the words that they speak, but going out without
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a mask or mingling amongst other people when you're sick.
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You know, a lot of Americans have this crazy idea
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that freedom means I can do anything I want. Like
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there was that viral video last week of the woman
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in Target, might have been Costco, you know, purposely coughing
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into somebody's face. You know, I'm an American and the
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Constitution says I can do anything I want. No, ma'am,
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it does not say that. You know, you are not
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free to drive on the left side of the road, right?
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You give up that freedom for the security of a
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safer drive, right? And just go right down the line
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from there. There's a thousand freedoms you give up every
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day in the national interest or security or safety of
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your community,
whatever. And, you know, the kind of that
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libertarian notion can go too far. I mean, the freedom
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for you to swing your arm ends at my nose
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and the freedom for your kid to cough in my
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kid's face when he's got, you know, a communicable disease
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that ends at my kid's, you know, health. So, you know,
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to the anti-vaxxers who say, well, I should be free
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not to vaccinate my kid. Well, okay, maybe, but then
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my kid should be free from your kid. So you
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can't send your kid to public schools, public libraries, public pools,
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you know, don't let them out of the house because,
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you know, that's a risk. So, and we make those
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kinds of sacrifices in the interest of health and safety
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all the time. So the coronavirus has kind of pushed
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people on this. You see these people very confused about
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what freedom means.
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So my question is, What makes the coronavirus more susceptible
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to conspiracy theories than some other thing that might be
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in the news? Is it because we don't have a
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complete and total handle on it, and so that leaves
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open a room for people's imaginations?
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Is that the cause and effect of this?
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Yeah.
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To quote one of your heroes, Aristotle, you know, nature
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abhors a vacuum. The mind abhors a vacuum of explanation.
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and we'll fill it with anything we got. And so we,
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we didn't know for a while what was going on
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with the coronavirus and, uh, you know, the novel coronavirus,
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that's why it was called that it was novel. You know,
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we'd never seen it before. The origin was, you know,
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kind of, um, obscure. China wasn't exactly the, you know,
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the most honest regime and trustworthy regime. And, and then
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the COVID-19, uh, pandemic that comes from the coronavirus. And
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we weren't sure how fast that was going to spread.
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you know, in hindsight, it's like, yeah, we should have
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closed the economy a few weeks earlier, like Germany did,
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because look, now they're coming out of it sooner than
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we are, so forth. But nobody knew that. That's with hindsight, right?
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We just didn't know. And, you know, I was there
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at that TED conference when Bill Gates gave that famous speech,
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now seen gone viral on video, I think it was 2015, saying,
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this is coming. It's the next big thing. And we're
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all like, yeah, yeah, we've heard this before, you know,
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the H1N1 and the bird flu and the swine flu.
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And Ebola and on and on. Every couple of years,
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there's one of these things and everybody says, this is it.
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And then it peters out. OK, so it was not
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completely crazy to think this might just peter out.
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Right.
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And but now we go, oh, OK, it didn't. So
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that kind of opens the door. This is so you
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have uncertainty, a threat, a serious threat, a real threat.
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And then couple that to a couple other things that
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were going on. The rollout of 5G at the same time, right?
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So what is 5G? Well, it's an extension of 4G.
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It's this invisible force, the electromagnetic radiation. I can't see it,
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like nuclear energy. I can't see it, smell it, taste it,
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touch it.
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And it's dangerous.
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It's potentially threatening. And so the 5G thing. And then
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you throw in, there's always a fear.
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Plus, 5G was pioneered by the Chinese. So that gave
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a double force operating on the fertility of the discussion.
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Parenthetically, we should note that the counterfactual cities that don't
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have 5G that have been hit by the coronavirus and
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so forth, that refutes that hypothesis. But nevertheless, also another
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normal driving force behind conspiracy theories is power differentials. So
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conspiracy theories are usually targeted at rich and powerful people, corporations,
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big government agents and agencies and so forth. And So,
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you know, here's Bill Gates now involved in public health, vaccinations,
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things like this and the virus. And he's rich and powerful. And,
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you know, that kind of got lumped in there with
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the big companies rolling out 5G. And then big pharma
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is always in that formula.
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Right.
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So here they're now being discussed, you know, who they're
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going to make a vaccine that everybody has to take.
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So they're going to make a fortune on it. And
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then Bill Gates is going to chip everybody so he
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can control the world population. And before you know it,
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you've gone off the deep end.
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By the way, Michael, it's not a chip. It's nanites.
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I was wondering how they're going to fit them inside
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the needle.
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Yeah.
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Yeah, nanobots. That's right, nanobots.
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We're going to take a break. And when we come back, we'll...
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Take your questions that have been solicited. We were overloaded
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with skeptics' questions about the coronavirus and skepticism in general
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when we come back on StarTalk. We're back. StarTalk. This
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is actually a Cosmic Queries edition exploring conspiracy theories in
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the coronavirus. I got checked nice, as always.
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And I don't believe you, Neil.
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You don't believe me.
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I don't believe this is an episode about exploring conspiracies.
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We've got Michael Shermer, who is the patron saint of–
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can I say that about you, Michael? Patron saint of skeptics.
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I have one more miracle before I'm sainted.
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So with his new book out, give me the full name,
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The Devil.
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Giving the Devil His Due.
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Here it is.
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Here it is. There it is.
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There you go.
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Giving the Devil His Due, yep.
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So exploring free speech and arguments and the skeptics movement
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and how we can apply that wisely in our current challenges.
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So Chuck, you got a question for us?
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Yeah, we have several questions from our Patreon patrons who
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support us.
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Of course. So they lead off this. There's not just
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Patreon for this, but we lead.
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Off with it. We lead off with our Patreon patrons,
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and we invite you.
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They bought their way to the front of the list.
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That's just like the Titanic.
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Except the Titanic sank, Chuck.
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I hate to give you the news. God, that's not
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a good analogy, then, is it? Yeah, okay.
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All right.
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So anyway, let's go with Robert Kernel, who says, to
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assist in the death, of conspiracy theories, is it better
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to confront them or ignore them? Has there been any
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research on whether confronting these theories makes it more likely
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people will believe them because of belief reinforcement? Or does
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confronting them give them credibility and help them spread? Wow, Robert,
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I'm going to say that's a damn good question.
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All right, Michael, what do you got?
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Yeah, it is kind of the question of the day. Well,
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they're going to spread anyway, whether you ignore them or not.
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In the modern age, everybody is their own publisher with
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their own YouTube channel and so on. So that's not
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a great strategy. On the other hand, you're not required
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to respond to everybody. I mean, we ignored the Flat
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Earthers for a long time because, you know, the head
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of it died back in 96 or whatever, and that
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was the end of that. He was the last member.
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But then it kind of erupted, as you know, Neil,
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a couple of years ago and kind of spread, went viral.
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So then we thought, all right, I guess we need
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to have an issue of skeptic. on how we know
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the Earth is not flat and, you know, how does
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science work anyway? And we kind of used it as
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an excuse to talk about that. But, you know, if
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you ask the average person, how do you know the
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Earth is round? How do you know
it goes around
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the sun and so forth? A lot of people can't
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articulate that. So we thought, well, we'll just use that
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as an excuse, something like that. We also kind of
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depends on the influence that the claim has. The conspiracy
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theory is are people talking about it? Do they care
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about it? Do we need to provide some kind of
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response to the media and the public? And so that
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also depends. So in terms of free speech, you know,
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people should be free to say what they want, but
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I'm not required to enable their speech. So, you know,
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occasionally creationists or Holocaust deniers have tried to place ads
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and skeptic. I don't take them. But that's not a
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I'm not censoring them. They're free to publish their own
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newsletters and magazines and produce their own docs or whatever.
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But that's a different kind of thing there. So maybe
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I hope that answers the question. Well, you are censoring
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them in your own mouthpiece. That is a kind of censorship. Well,
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in a way, though, I have to be selective. We
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can't talk about everything. So I picked the ones I
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think are most important. Just like college campuses, you know,
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they invite maybe 12 public speakers to come to campus.
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All right. But there's a thousand to choose from. So
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in a way, that's a kind of a censorship, I suppose,
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that you discriminate. But they're free to do whatever they want.
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Hmm.
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I don't think you answered the question. Should you directly
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engage a conspiracy theorist on the hope or expectation that
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you will change their mind?
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Oh, I forgot about that.
387
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Yeah.
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So there was this idea a few years ago. so-called
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backfire effect. That is by addressing a particular claim and
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explaining why it's wrong, like climate denial, denial, you'll actually
391
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just double the people will double down on their beliefs.
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Dig in their heels.
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00:20:03.180 --> 00:20:05.059
Yeah, dig in their heels. Now, the studies on that
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have not been replicated. That is to say, it looks
395
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like people can change their mind if you present evidence
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in a particular way. One, in a very visual way,
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you know, pie charts, bar graphs, things that are easy
398
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to understand, not just piles of numbers in a table, but,
399
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you know, something that's visual. And two, you present in
400
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a way that doesn't challenge the person's deepest moral beliefs, right?
401
00:20:27.859 --> 00:20:31.900
So the number... number one predictor of climate skepticism is
402
00:20:32.000 --> 00:20:38.210
political position. But climate skeptics who tend to be conservative,
403
00:20:38.250 --> 00:20:40.849
they don't know anything more about climate science than the
404
00:20:41.170 --> 00:20:44.650
climate believers, say Democrats or liberals. That is to say,
405
00:20:45.430 --> 00:20:48.369
knowledge about climate science does not predict who believes in
406
00:20:48.430 --> 00:20:52.769
it or accepts it. So the public expression of your
407
00:20:52.809 --> 00:20:55.890
skepticism or belief is more of a signal to your
408
00:20:55.950 --> 00:20:59.970
tribe I'm so conservative, I doubt that climate science business, right?
409
00:21:00.269 --> 00:21:02.190
Even if you don't know anything about it. Same thing
410
00:21:02.230 --> 00:21:07.589
with evolution. If you give Christians a choice between Darwin
411
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and Jesus, they're not picking Darwin, okay? Darwin is not
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going to be anybody's savior, right? So you have to
413
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take that off the table. Keep your savior, keep Jesus,
414
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keep your Christianity. Evolution was the way God created life
415
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or something like this. And then you take that off
416
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the table. So they don't feel threatened. So those are
417
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the two things you can do to get around the
418
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backfire effect.
419
00:21:27.710 --> 00:21:30.019
So the tactics, this is tactical. Yeah.
420
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Strategies. Yeah.
421
00:21:31.180 --> 00:21:34.299
Okay. All right. So Chuck, what else you got? Okay.
422
00:21:34.619 --> 00:21:37.559
Uh, this one is from, um, who is this guy?
423
00:21:37.619 --> 00:21:37.880
Chuck?
424
00:21:37.940 --> 00:21:40.710
Nice. Co-host of star talk radio.
425
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Are you a Patreon member? Indeed I am.
426
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Okay.
427
00:21:44.450 --> 00:21:49.779
Um, Has there ever been any studies done on the
428
00:21:49.920 --> 00:21:53.069
psychological makeup of people who are prone to
believe in
429
00:21:53.119 --> 00:21:54.119
conspiracy theories?
430
00:21:55.190 --> 00:21:57.390
Yeah, there's a fair amount of research on that now.
431
00:21:57.869 --> 00:22:00.430
First of all, the meme we hear of, you know,
432
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the conspiracy theorist is some overweight guy in his parents' bedroom,
433
00:22:03.869 --> 00:22:07.450
you know, with a tinfoil hat and an internet connection.
434
00:22:08.509 --> 00:22:11.690
You know, that's not the case. Really, most conspiracy theorists
435
00:22:11.730 --> 00:22:14.920
are thoughtful, educated, and so on. It depends on the
436
00:22:14.960 --> 00:22:20.420
conspiracy theory, right? So... say politically, those that are in
437
00:22:20.480 --> 00:22:23.460
power tend to be less conspiratorially minded than those out
438
00:22:23.500 --> 00:22:27.799
of power. So the losing party usually goes conspiracy bonkers
439
00:22:27.920 --> 00:22:31.740
after they lose. Those in power drop the conspiracy theories. Now,
440
00:22:31.769 --> 00:22:34.430
the current administration, current president seems to be an exception
441
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to that. He's still talking about the conspiracy against him
442
00:22:38.650 --> 00:22:40.880
in the election. It's like, dude, you won. Shut up.
443
00:22:42.079 --> 00:22:46.299
oh it was rigged it's like uh you know you
444
00:22:46.339 --> 00:22:51.799
won right so um but there but there are some
445
00:22:51.819 --> 00:22:55.500
things uh you know like what's called global coherence that
446
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is the moment you tick the box for believing one
447
00:22:57.700 --> 00:23:01.859
conspiracy theory uh that you think princess diana was assassinated
448
00:23:01.900 --> 00:23:05.160
you're more likely to believe that jfk was assassinated by
449
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a conspiracy and or in any number of the other
450
00:23:08.890 --> 00:23:12.339
popular 9-11 was an inside job and and so forth,
451
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that there's sort of a tendency to think somebody is
452
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behind the scenes pulling the strings, and the moment you
453
00:23:19.539 --> 00:23:22.339
sort of go down that pathway, you think it happens everywhere.
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Even within a particular conspiracy theory, that is, people that
455
00:23:26.880 --> 00:23:28.619
are more likely to check the box that they think
456
00:23:28.700 --> 00:23:32.269
Princess Diana was murdered are also more likely to think
457
00:23:32.329 --> 00:23:35.769
she faked her death and is still alive somewhere. Well,
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00:23:35.970 --> 00:23:38.589
they can't both be true. She can't be dead and
459
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alive at the same time, right?
460
00:23:40.170 --> 00:23:40.289
So.
461
00:23:42.059 --> 00:23:44.700
And also there's a bias that some people are more
462
00:23:44.759 --> 00:23:47.680
inclined to that is the size of the cause should
463
00:23:47.720 -->
00:23:51.150
match the size of the effect. So the Holocaust was
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the worst thing that ever happened to a group of
465
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people committed by the Nazis, the worst regime in history.
466
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So you sort of get this match. But JFK, leader
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of the free world and the most powerful man on earth,
468
00:24:02.910 --> 00:24:06.470
assassinated by who? Lee Harvey Oswald, some lone nut? It
469
00:24:06.490 --> 00:24:08.470
doesn't match. So you've got to add the FBI and
470
00:24:08.490 --> 00:24:11.130
the CIA and the KGB and the Cubans and the mafia.
471
00:24:11.500 --> 00:24:13.000
you know, to kind of make it match. Same thing
472
00:24:13.039 --> 00:24:17.140
with Princess Di, you know, cause of death, drunk driving, speeding,
473
00:24:17.160 --> 00:24:19.440
no seatbelt, you know, tens of thousands of people die
474
00:24:19.480 --> 00:24:21.599
of that every year. But princesses are not supposed to
475
00:24:21.640 --> 00:24:23.460
die like that, right? So you got to have the
476
00:24:23.619 --> 00:24:26.309
MI5 and the MI6 and the royal family and the Arabs,
477
00:24:26.349 --> 00:24:29.380
and we're all in on it. And so 19 members,
478
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you know, 19 guys with box cutters, you know, brought
479
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down the World Trade Center building. I mean, come on,
480
00:24:34.190 --> 00:24:36.549
that's just, you know, Bush had to be involved in
481
00:24:36.589 --> 00:24:38.759
this group and that group. So you get some of that,
482
00:24:38.839 --> 00:24:41.039
and some people are more inclined toward that kind of
483
00:24:41.319 --> 00:24:42.200
reasoning than others.
484
00:24:43.279 --> 00:24:47.779
Is it because deep in our minds we want a
485
00:24:47.980 --> 00:24:54.579
full explanation? There's a need that's being served, a psychological
486
00:24:54.619 --> 00:24:59.130
need being served by the flesh that's on a conspiracy theory.
487
00:25:00.529 --> 00:25:05.470
Exactly right. And even scarier is the idea that nobody's
488
00:25:05.509 --> 00:25:08.569
in charge. You know, the idea that there's a cigarette
489
00:25:08.609 --> 00:25:11.369
smoking man behind the curtain and he's making all these
490
00:25:11.410 --> 00:25:15.690
things happen, wars and economic revolutions and so on. But
491
00:25:15.710 --> 00:25:19.210
the idea that actually there's nobody that runs the economy.
492
00:25:19.289 --> 00:25:22.450
The economy is just this sort of chaotic, unpredictable thing.
493
00:25:23.029 --> 00:25:26.009
That's kind of scary in a way.
494
00:25:26.049 --> 00:25:27.650
Wait, I got a question.
495
00:25:28.019 --> 00:25:28.259
Okay.
496
00:25:28.599 --> 00:25:34.319
Isn't God the ultimate conspiracy theorist? I mean, people who
497
00:25:34.339 --> 00:25:36.660
believe in God, that's the ultimate conspiracy theorist. God is
498
00:25:36.700 --> 00:25:39.599
in charge
of all things. So here's the question. Are
499
00:25:39.940 --> 00:25:45.500
religious people, if they're satisfied that God is operating, do
500
00:25:45.619 --> 00:25:50.000
they have any more or less susceptibility to other understandings
501
00:25:50.039 --> 00:25:52.160
of the world with regard to conspiracy?
502
00:25:53.579 --> 00:25:56.559
I haven't seen any data on that, that religiosity is
503
00:25:56.619 --> 00:25:59.000
a predictor of conspiracy-mindedness.
504
00:25:59.119 --> 00:26:01.440
Or not, or the opposite. Or the opposite, yes. Religious
505
00:26:01.480 --> 00:26:04.140
people are less, correct me if I'm wrong, are less
506
00:26:04.240 --> 00:26:10.839
represented among astrologers and other sort of New Age humans.
507
00:26:10.859 --> 00:26:14.069
Yes, that may be a good study for our research
508
00:26:14.660 --> 00:26:15.529
team at Skeptic.
509
00:26:15.569 --> 00:26:16.769
Okay, well, get to it.
510
00:26:17.230 --> 00:26:19.630
I'm going to do this the moment we hang up here.
511
00:26:20.130 --> 00:26:23.470
But actually, Neil, you got me thinking there. In a way,
512
00:26:23.490 --> 00:26:27.490
I mean, the common line that religious people use is
513
00:26:28.039 --> 00:26:29.400
everything happens for a reason.
514
00:26:29.420 --> 00:26:29.660
Reason.
515
00:26:30.890 --> 00:26:32.710
Now, it's not just Christians. I mean, there's a lot
516
00:26:32.750 --> 00:26:36.910
of like Deepak Chopra following Buddhists, Western Buddhists that think,
517
00:26:36.950 --> 00:26:40.720
you know, there's some kind of cosmic force that balances things.
518
00:26:40.759 --> 00:26:43.140
And if something bad happens over here, something good happens
519
00:26:43.200 --> 00:26:43.500
over there.
520
00:26:43.619 --> 00:26:45.420
That's the ultimate conspiracy theory.
521
00:26:45.599 --> 00:26:47.539
That is a kind of conspiracy theory.
522
00:26:47.559 --> 00:26:47.680
Yeah.
523
00:26:47.700 --> 00:26:49.900
I hadn't really thought of it that way. Yeah.
524
00:26:50.319 --> 00:26:53.180
Interesting. Chuck, give me some more.
525
00:26:53.200 --> 00:26:57.579
All right, here we go. This is Alan DeMoss. Says,
526
00:26:57.619 --> 00:26:59.359
first of all, I love the show. My question is,
527
00:26:59.710 --> 00:27:02.880
Where is the healthy line between believing in some grand
528
00:27:02.980 --> 00:27:10.359
conspiracy and being a very cautious skeptic? And is it
529
00:27:10.440 --> 00:27:14.579
for some, not for you, of course, or Neil, but
530
00:27:14.660 --> 00:27:18.079
is it for some, perhaps, the beginning of the slippery slope?
531
00:27:18.220 --> 00:27:20.019
I start off as a skeptic, and then before you
532
00:27:20.039 --> 00:27:22.900
know it, I don't believe anything. This is all BS!
533
00:27:23.420 --> 00:27:23.940
Mm-hmm.
534
00:27:25.480 --> 00:27:27.900
Yeah, Carl Sagan had a great line that I quoted
535
00:27:27.920 --> 00:27:30.069
in my first book, Why People Believe We're Things, on
536
00:27:30.660
--> 00:27:34.509
the kind of healthy skepticism, that finding the rub between
537
00:27:34.569 --> 00:27:37.630
being open-minded enough to accept radical new ideas, but not
538
00:27:37.670 --> 00:27:39.930
so open-minded that your brains fall out and you believe
539
00:27:39.970 --> 00:27:42.190
every wacky thing that comes down the pike. And it's
540
00:27:42.670 --> 00:27:45.170
hard to know where that line is, essentially the line
541
00:27:45.190 --> 00:27:49.069
of demarcation between science and pseudoscience, say. And it depends
542
00:27:49.269 --> 00:27:52.430
on the particular area. So since we're talking about conspiracy theories,
543
00:27:53.049 --> 00:27:55.509
You know, the bigger it is, the grander it is,
544
00:27:55.569 --> 00:27:57.970
the less likely the theory is to be true. Again,
545
00:27:59.220 --> 00:28:03.740
conspiracies like Volkswagen cheating the emission standards or pharmaceutical companies
546
00:28:03.799 --> 00:28:07.319
cheating the FDA regulations, you know, those are real conspiracies,
547
00:28:07.339 --> 00:28:09.779
but they're very narrow and targeted. Like, we know why
548
00:28:09.819 --> 00:28:11.640
they're doing it, to make money, you know, in this
549
00:28:11.740 --> 00:28:14.390
one little area. You know, but the moment you scale up,
550
00:28:14.410 --> 00:28:18.859
you know, world domination, it's like, okay, you know. Probably not.
551
00:28:19.140 --> 00:28:21.279
No, but you need the Cubans and the Chinese and
552
00:28:21.339 --> 00:28:22.099
the North Koreans.
553
00:28:23.660 --> 00:28:24.960
Just keep adding them in there, right?
554
00:28:24.980 --> 00:28:25.539
You got nothing.
555
00:28:26.660 --> 00:28:29.450
That's right. And the more people that have to be involved, right?
556
00:28:29.470 --> 00:28:32.910
Because most people are fairly incompetent. And they bumble and
557
00:28:32.950 --> 00:28:36.950
stumble their way through jobs. And the idea that you've
558
00:28:37.349 --> 00:28:39.609
cracked the perfect team to go out there and pull
559
00:28:39.650 --> 00:28:41.960
this off. I mean, Nixon had a pretty good team
560
00:28:42.039 --> 00:28:45.180
of the Watergate burglars, right? I mean, these were G-men.
561
00:28:45.740 --> 00:28:46.119
You know, G.
562
00:28:46.140 --> 00:28:48.599
Gordon Liddy. I mean, come on. And they couldn't even
563
00:28:48.859 --> 00:28:52.569
burgle an office without getting caught, right? That's kind of
564
00:28:52.589 --> 00:28:54.109
how things normally go.
565
00:28:54.130 --> 00:28:58.829
Plus, now a billion photos are uplifted to the Internet
566
00:28:58.849 --> 00:29:02.089
every day. You'd have pictures of stuff. Even, you know,
567
00:29:02.130 --> 00:29:05.569
the stockpiled aliens in Area 51. Somebody's sneaking a photo
568
00:29:05.690 --> 00:29:07.609
out on their Instagram. You know that.
569
00:29:07.690 --> 00:29:11.319
That's right. Actually, I use the WikiLeaks as an example
570
00:29:11.440 --> 00:29:14.789
of the absence of evidence is evidence of absence. That
571
00:29:14.849 --> 00:29:19.450
is to say, the ufologists or the 9-11 truthers would
572
00:29:19.470 --> 00:29:21.789
always say, well, of course we don't have direct evidence, Shermer.
573
00:29:21.809 --> 00:29:26.390
It's a secret. It's classified. And it's like, OK, here
574
00:29:26.410 --> 00:29:30.390
we have 10 million documents that are classified, leaked by WikiLeaks.
575
00:29:30.470 --> 00:29:34.319
There's nothing in there about Roswell, alien bodies at Area 51,
576
00:29:34.309 --> 00:29:38.930
some memo from Bush telling somebody to plant the explosive
577
00:29:38.970 --> 00:29:40.380
devices in the World Trade Center.
578
00:29:41.519 --> 00:29:42.000
Makes sense.
579
00:29:42.559 --> 00:29:44.559
Wow. What it is. We're going to take another break,
580
00:29:44.640 --> 00:29:46.579
and when we come back, our third and final segment,
581
00:29:47.059 --> 00:29:54.329
Conspiracy in the Coronavirus, on StarTalk. We're back. StarTalk. Chuck Nice.
582
00:29:54.730 --> 00:29:57.549
Michael Shermer. Mike, I've known you for a really long time.
583
00:29:57.730 --> 00:29:58.109
I'm just.
584
00:29:59.809 --> 00:30:04.349
Pleased to have this friendship that goes back decades, that
585
00:30:04.490 --> 00:30:08.589
we're kind of fighting for the same causes, but differently.
586
00:30:08.789 --> 00:30:11.089
I mean, I'm not in your face because I know
587
00:30:11.109 --> 00:30:11.890
you don't need me.
588
00:30:13.990 --> 00:30:14.789
I like your face.
589
00:30:16.470 --> 00:30:19.460
You got this. I just want you to know that
590
00:30:19.619 --> 00:30:23.680
I'm a huge supporter of your work and your life's direction.
591
00:30:24.190 --> 00:30:25.650
that you've taken it. So I just want to put
592
00:30:25.670 --> 00:30:26.049
that out there.
593
00:30:26.069 --> 00:30:29.009
Well, thank you. I appreciate that. Operators are standing by
594
00:30:29.049 --> 00:30:30.630
to take your donation.
595
00:30:30.730 --> 00:30:32.490
No, I'm just kidding.
596
00:30:34.230 --> 00:30:37.079
So Chuck, give me some more questions. Well, let me
597
00:30:37.099 --> 00:30:39.660
just comment. It takes all of us working on this together.
598
00:30:40.900 --> 00:30:44.339
Scientists from all fields pushing back in their areas. All
599
00:30:44.380 --> 00:30:46.640
we are is kind of a collective body that says,
600
00:30:46.960 --> 00:30:50.359
here's all the different claims and here's the experts in that.
601
00:30:50.799 --> 00:30:54.029
So we're all working to the same really enlightenment idea
602
00:30:54.109 --> 00:30:56.809
that there is a truth to be known, truth of
603
00:30:56.849 --> 00:30:58.759
the small t, and that science is the best tool
604
00:30:58.779 --> 00:30:59.450
we have to get there.
605
00:31:01.240 --> 00:31:03.579
Nice. All right, Chuck, keep it going.
606
00:31:03.599 --> 00:31:09.420
All right. Let's go to Magdalena Grupa. And Magdalena says,
607
00:31:09.740 --> 00:31:13.589
thank you for sparking joy and curiosity of science. In
608
00:31:13.619 --> 00:31:18.529
my 40s, could you please tell me how to sell
609
00:31:18.690 --> 00:31:22.680
the idea of skepticism to people successfully? to get them
610
00:31:22.720 --> 00:31:27.200
excited about being skeptical. I find it immensely hard not
611
00:31:27.259 --> 00:31:33.589
to sound condescending or sarcastic when I try. Well, Magdalena,
612
00:31:33.630 --> 00:31:34.609
maybe it's you.
613
00:31:38.009 --> 00:31:39.930
No, but Michael, you gotta admit, there are a lot
614
00:31:39.950 --> 00:31:44.069
of skeptics in the community that are just assholes. And
615
00:31:44.710 --> 00:31:47.200
it's like, I know more than you. I mean, as
616
00:31:47.240 --> 00:31:50.599
an educator, it hurts me to watch that exchange because-
617
00:31:51.410 --> 00:31:54.819
I care what someone knows and doesn't know, and I
618
00:31:55.059 --> 00:32:01.920
find ways that I can communicate, not just talk down
619
00:32:01.960 --> 00:32:04.099
to them. And you know such folks are in the
620
00:32:04.140 --> 00:32:05.940
skeptics community. What do you do about that?
621
00:32:06.829 --> 00:32:11.890
Yes, well, you tell them, don't be a dick. But
622
00:32:12.849 --> 00:32:14.450
even that.
623
00:32:14.509 --> 00:32:17.890
That was the title of a speech given by our
624
00:32:17.950 --> 00:32:21.720
friend and colleague, The bad astronomer, Phil Plait.
625
00:32:21.920 --> 00:32:22.539
Yeah, that's right.
626
00:32:22.559 --> 00:32:25.099
He gave a whole speech, don't be a dick. To skeptics.
627
00:32:25.500 --> 00:32:28.579
And I think that was fairly well received, although I
628
00:32:28.599 --> 00:32:31.069
know he got some pushback. But Carl made that point
629
00:32:31.109 --> 00:32:33.230
back in the 90s. I think it was a passage
630
00:32:33.250 --> 00:32:36.950
maybe from Demon Haunted World where he said something like,
631
00:32:37.009 --> 00:32:40.670
it's easy to be condescending to people. I feel the
632
00:32:40.750 --> 00:32:43.210
urge myself bubble up and I have to kind of
633
00:32:43.230 --> 00:32:46.069
suppress it. We should all suppress it. And just talk
634
00:32:46.109 --> 00:32:50.349
about the positive aspects of what we know Acknowledge that
635
00:32:50.369 --> 00:32:54.130
the other person, you know, is intelligent, thoughtful, or else
636
00:32:54.170 --> 00:32:56.329
they're not going to listen to you. You know, be respectful.
637
00:32:56.630 --> 00:33:00.109
There's certain kind of basic rules of engagement or conversation.
638
00:33:00.130 --> 00:33:02.690
By the way, that point of view is deeply imbued
639
00:33:02.990 --> 00:33:08.519
within Andrewian, who was co-writer of all three Cosmoses. So
640
00:33:08.559 --> 00:33:13.180
that at every turn where we talk about some crazy
641
00:33:13.240 --> 00:33:16.079
idea that people have, the urge to just say this
642
00:33:16.160 --> 00:33:18.980
is just preposterous, that urge is so strong.
643
00:33:19.000 --> 00:33:19.440
Yeah.
644
00:33:19.750 --> 00:33:23.369
But but then, you know, you can't and shouldn't go there. Otherwise,
645
00:33:23.410 --> 00:33:26.410
you just lost your audience. So you've got to find
646
00:33:26.430 --> 00:33:30.170
a way that it sort of organically reaches them so
647
00:33:30.210 --> 00:33:33.579
that they feel like that you care about who they
648
00:33:33.680 --> 00:33:35.220
are and how they think and where they came from
649
00:33:35.240 --> 00:33:36.880
and that you're going to take them to a new place.
650
00:33:37.299 --> 00:33:40.279
Yeah, that's right. I'm fine to say no one in
651
00:33:40.299 --> 00:33:42.119
the history of the world has ever joined a cult.
652
00:33:42.869 --> 00:33:44.410
you know, they join a group that they think is
653
00:33:44.450 --> 00:33:46.390
good and they just get sucked down the rabbit hole
654
00:33:46.450 --> 00:33:48.910
and that, you know, only outsiders can kind of assess that.
655
00:33:48.930 --> 00:33:50.569
But if you tell people, you know, you're in a cult,
656
00:33:50.589 --> 00:33:52.859
you know, that's not what they think is going on. And,
657
00:33:53.460 --> 00:33:57.279
and analogously, I say, no one's ever in the history
658
00:33:57.299 --> 00:33:59.319
of the world has never been a pseudoscientist who goes
659
00:33:59.339 --> 00:34:01.380
down to a pseudo lab to collect pseudo facts to
660
00:34:01.400 --> 00:34:04.480
test the pseudo theory, right? You know, they think they're
661
00:34:04.500 --> 00:34:06.960
doing something. And so you have to address it at
662
00:34:07.009 --> 00:34:09.250
that level. Like, you know, what, why is it you
663
00:34:09.289 --> 00:34:11.389
think that that's the case? I'm, I know you get
664
00:34:11.429 --> 00:34:14.219
these what I call theories of everything. Einstein was wrong
665
00:34:14.280 --> 00:34:16.159
and Newton was wrong and Hawking was wrong and I've
666
00:34:16.179 --> 00:34:19.679
worked out this new theory of the universe in my garage. Okay,
667
00:34:20.099 --> 00:34:22.380
you can't just say, you know what, you're the 20th
668
00:34:22.400 --> 00:34:24.639
crazy person this week to send me one of these
669
00:34:24.659 --> 00:34:27.880
because that just hurts their feelings. They don't think that
670
00:34:27.940 --> 00:34:31.659
that's what they're doing. So you have to at least listen.
671
00:34:31.860 --> 00:34:33.760
I mean, if you're going to engage with them, the
672
00:34:33.800 --> 00:34:35.880
rules of conversation, listen to what somebody has to say,
673
00:34:35.940 --> 00:34:38.440
let them finish their sentence. See if you can repeat
674
00:34:38.500 --> 00:34:40.969
back to them what they just said, the kind of
675
00:34:41.010 --> 00:34:44.469
steel manning rather than straw manning. Say it in a
676
00:34:44.510 --> 00:34:47.030
way that they would go, yeah, yeah, that is what
677
00:34:47.070 --> 00:34:49.590
I'm arguing. Or they're more likely to go, no, no, no,
678
00:34:50.210 --> 00:34:51.909
that's not quite what I mean. What I mean is,
679
00:34:52.829 --> 00:34:55.090
now maybe they did mean that and they realized how
680
00:34:55.269 --> 00:34:57.840
nutty it sounds when you say it, so they correct it.
681
00:34:57.889 --> 00:35:01.000
But that's also good, right? Conversation is about adjusting our
682
00:35:01.059 --> 00:35:03.139
ideas and exchanging ideas and so on.
683
00:35:03.179 --> 00:35:06.510
So And I was honored, Michael, that you had invited
684
00:35:06.530 --> 00:35:09.719
me onto your podcast for my last book, which was
685
00:35:09.760 --> 00:35:12.820
Letters from an Astrophysicist. About a third of them I'm
686
00:35:13.059 --> 00:35:18.500
carefully communicating with. Some of them were conspiracy theorists. There's
687
00:35:18.519 --> 00:35:22.139
a flat earther in there and a Bigfoot person. And
688
00:35:22.260 --> 00:35:25.630
so I was honored that you saw that in me.
689
00:35:26.070 --> 00:35:27.670
Enough to have me as a guest on your podcast.
690
00:35:27.809 --> 00:35:31.090
Oh, yeah. No, that kind of exchange I think is
691
00:35:31.150 --> 00:35:34.010
super fascinating. I love getting those kind of letters because
692
00:35:34.989 --> 00:35:38.030
it's interesting to engage with them and just ask them,
693
00:35:38.610 --> 00:35:40.469
how did you come to this belief? Or what makes
694
00:35:40.489 --> 00:35:43.210
you think that's true? Or what would it take to
695
00:35:43.250 --> 00:35:46.969
change your mind? It's just super interesting to think about
696
00:35:47.010 --> 00:35:49.840
the psychology of why people believe what they believe. And
697
00:35:49.860 --> 00:35:52.639
that's different from, say, refuting their arguments or whatever. Those
698
00:35:52.679 --> 00:35:53.880
are kind of two different levels.
699
00:35:54.460 --> 00:35:55.420
All right, Chuck, what else you got?
700
00:35:55.909 --> 00:36:01.530
Okay, back to our Corona, our Coronaverse that we live in.
701
00:36:01.969 --> 00:36:06.590
Josh V says, to mask or not to mask? That
702
00:36:06.650 --> 00:36:10.389
is the question. Why did the CDC change their advice
703
00:36:10.449 --> 00:36:13.429
about masks halfway through the pandemic? Does this type of
704
00:36:13.449 --> 00:36:19.500
flip-flop fuel conspiracy theories or at least increase distrust in authority?
705
00:36:19.960 --> 00:36:20.559
Nice one.
706
00:36:20.900 --> 00:36:23.500
Yeah, yeah, it certainly can. I remember when that happened.
707
00:36:23.880 --> 00:36:26.019
Part of the reason they were saying no masks was
708
00:36:26.079 --> 00:36:29.780
at first they were worried about the supply chain for
709
00:36:29.800 --> 00:36:32.429
health care workers to have enough masks. And if everybody
710
00:36:32.869 --> 00:36:34.710
made a run on masks, there wouldn't be enough for
711
00:36:34.750 --> 00:36:36.929
the health care workers. I think that was the first reason.
712
00:36:37.949 --> 00:36:38.929
As I remember it as well.
713
00:36:39.289 --> 00:36:41.730
Yeah, they kind of masked it by saying, well, maybe
714
00:36:41.750 --> 00:36:44.760
you don't need it. And then the science changed. I
715
00:36:44.760 --> 00:36:46.340
don't think the science ever really changed. I think it
716
00:36:46.360 --> 00:36:49.960
was more of a supply chain concern. Um, and you know,
717
00:36:49.980 --> 00:36:53.260
we're still, again, here we are the day we're recording.
718
00:36:53.300 --> 00:36:55.300
We still don't know a hundred percent about, you know,
719
00:36:55.360 --> 00:36:57.090
how many feet should you be apart from, you know,
720
00:36:57.139 --> 00:36:58.829
six feet where they come up with that number. Maybe
721
00:36:58.849 --> 00:37:01.289
it's seven, maybe it's three, who knows? You know, still
722
00:37:01.309 --> 00:37:03.130
a lot of that. So we're, you know, there's going
723
00:37:03.150 --> 00:37:04.949
to be a lot of hindsight bias in the next
724
00:37:05.130 --> 00:37:09.230
say decade of, you know, pundits, uh, second guessing everything
725
00:37:09.269 --> 00:37:12.369
we did. You know, I saw some numbers today on Germany.
726
00:37:12.409 --> 00:37:14.719
It looks like they, they, they timed it just about
727
00:37:14.780 --> 00:37:17.280
right of when to shut down the economy and they're
728
00:37:17.300 --> 00:37:20.610
starting to reopen now. But they're all experiments. Different nations
729
00:37:20.690 --> 00:37:23.610
trying different things. Different states within the United States trying
730
00:37:23.630 --> 00:37:27.269
different things. This is good. Experimentation is how we get
731
00:37:27.309 --> 00:37:27.809
to the truth.
732
00:37:28.730 --> 00:37:35.960
Yeah, but that's not the fluctuating frontier of what is
733
00:37:36.039 --> 00:37:40.420
experimentally true. It's not something that's taught in school. You
734
00:37:40.440 --> 00:37:43.119
think of science as a known thing. And if a
735
00:37:43.139 --> 00:37:46.719
scientist says something different tomorrow than today, all of a sudden...
736
00:37:47.210 --> 00:37:52.949
people feel justified to discount the entire source of this information. Yeah.
737
00:37:52.969 --> 00:37:54.469
The whole source gets canceled, right?
738
00:37:54.829 --> 00:37:58.389
That's right, yeah. Yeah, the problem with teaching science as
739
00:37:58.429 --> 00:38:02.110
just a body of facts is too delimiting. It's really
740
00:38:02.170 --> 00:38:04.929
a method. It's just a way of asking questions about
741
00:38:04.949 --> 00:38:06.760
the world and seeing what kind of answers you can
742
00:38:06.780 --> 00:38:07.800
get that are reliable.
743
00:38:08.159 --> 00:38:14.480
So if we were to perhaps just adjust the perspective
744
00:38:15.780 --> 00:38:20.090
behind science what the way we're teaching science and the
745
00:38:20.110 --> 00:38:24.360
way it's received more importantly, focus more on discovery.
746
00:38:25.059 --> 00:38:25.739
Yeah. Yeah.
747
00:38:26.119 -->
00:38:29.280
See, if it's about, if it's all about discovery, then
748
00:38:29.320 --> 00:38:33.619
it's okay for things to change. We've discovered, like for instance,
749
00:38:33.940 --> 00:38:37.139
we thought it was all about surfaces. We now discovered
750
00:38:37.199 --> 00:38:39.429
that it is not that. Yeah. You still got to
751
00:38:39.449 --> 00:38:42.070
be concerned about surfaces, but we also now must be
752
00:38:42.190 --> 00:38:46.300
equally concerned about our exchange with one another and when
753
00:38:46.340 --> 00:38:50.260
it comes to speaking and being in our presence and distancing. So,
754
00:38:50.579 --> 00:38:54.420
but I think what happens is that this definitive and
755
00:38:54.480 --> 00:38:59.860
these declarative nature of arguments being made is what causes
756
00:38:59.929 --> 00:39:01.630
people to go, well, then you don't know what the
757
00:39:01.670 --> 00:39:05.570
hell you're talking about. I'm not listening. You don't know
758
00:39:05.590 --> 00:39:06.809
what the hell you're talking about.
759
00:39:07.090 --> 00:39:10.349
Chuck for Surgeon General. I vote Chuck for Surgeon General.
760
00:39:10.389 --> 00:39:10.650
Yeah.
761
00:39:12.300 --> 00:39:15.099
Yeah, that's right. It would be better if we thought
762
00:39:15.139 --> 00:39:19.159
of failures as actual successes. We succeeded in finding out
763
00:39:19.559 --> 00:39:21.750
the cause of it is not this, this, this, and this,
764
00:39:21.750 --> 00:39:23.849
and this. Those are successes, actually.
765
00:39:23.849 --> 00:39:26.190
And this is the this is the famous mantra in,
766
00:39:26.789 --> 00:39:30.659
in space exploration. It's if a rocket explodes on the
767
00:39:30.679 --> 00:39:33.599
launch pad and you say it's a failure. No, it
768
00:39:33.699 --> 00:39:39.980
is an experiment. Rich in data for the next experiment.
769
00:39:41.619 --> 00:39:44.280
That's funny. I mean, not that the rocket blew up.
770
00:39:44.320 --> 00:39:44.980
That's not funny.
771
00:39:46.019 --> 00:39:46.619
No, no.
772
00:39:46.699 --> 00:39:47.719
The rich in data part is funny.
773
00:39:47.739 --> 00:39:48.119
It could.
774
00:39:49.500 --> 00:39:49.570
Be.
775
00:39:49.579 --> 00:39:53.079
Right, right. Chuck, time for like maybe one or two more.
776
00:39:53.420 --> 00:39:54.780
Okay. All right. Here we go.
777
00:39:54.780 --> 00:39:56.300
All right.
778
00:39:56.320 --> 00:39:58.139
This is Jessica Bennett, and she wants to know, who
779
00:39:58.199 --> 00:40:01.530
is controlling the massive amount of Twitter bots that are
780
00:40:01.650 --> 00:40:06.320
pushing for no mask and pushing for to reopen America.
781
00:40:07.440 --> 00:40:08.619
That's something I didn't know about.
782
00:40:10.409 --> 00:40:14.070
We should ask Jack about that, the guy that runs Twitter.
783
00:40:14.090 --> 00:40:14.989
Oh yeah, Jack Dorsey.
784
00:40:15.110 --> 00:40:18.650
Yeah, because what do I know? I mean, maybe they're
785
00:40:18.670 --> 00:40:21.750
Russian bots or Chinese bots or whatever. I'm encouraged by
786
00:40:21.809 --> 00:40:26.110
some recent research by Hugo Mercier, the cognitive scientist, about
787
00:40:26.630 --> 00:40:29.389
the influence of those kind of bots on, say, the
788
00:40:29.389 --> 00:40:32.519
2016 election. He thinks that the influence was negligible, if
789
00:40:32.579 --> 00:40:36.670
at all, that people were pretty much already made up
790
00:40:36.710 --> 00:40:41.429
their minds. And the funny story is that if you
791
00:40:41.449 --> 00:40:43.840
think Hillary is running a pedophile ring out of a
792
00:40:43.880 --> 00:40:46.840
pizzeria and I correct you on that, you're not likely
793
00:40:46.880 --> 00:40:50.949
to vote for Hillary. You're probably inclined to kind of
794
00:40:51.159 --> 00:40:53.230
not be a big fan of hers anyway.
795
00:40:53.840 --> 00:40:56.480
Oh, she's not selling babies. I'll vote for her now.
796
00:40:56.599 --> 00:40:59.940
Exactly.
797
00:41:00.099 --> 00:41:03.039
Did we answer that question? What's the next one?
798
00:41:03.059 --> 00:41:09.340
Yeah, here's the next one. Sven Bjorn Bird wants to
799
00:41:09.929 --> 00:41:10.840
know this.
800
00:41:10.949 --> 00:41:12.090
We've had his questions before.
801
00:41:12.110 --> 00:41:15.230
Sven Bjorn. Sven Bjorn is back again.
802
00:41:16.769 --> 00:41:18.869
And why aren't you telling me what platforms these are
803
00:41:18.889 --> 00:41:20.710
coming from? I'm leaving out that information.
804
00:41:21.329 --> 00:41:26.530
It's not here. So how can you say theories are
805
00:41:26.590 --> 00:41:35.019
conspiracies if China is not being transparent? So, you know,
806
00:41:35.139 --> 00:41:37.760
and I think this is this is really emblematic of
807
00:41:37.820 --> 00:41:42.139
a big problem. And that is you have one fact.
808
00:41:43.099 --> 00:41:48.010
that actually leads and supports a conspiracy, but then that
809
00:41:48.250 --> 00:41:52.530
mushrooms into these thousands of things that are attached to it.
810
00:41:54.210 --> 00:41:56.409
Yeah, that's right. So this is the problem with authoritarian
811
00:41:56.429 --> 00:42:00.099
regimes not being up front. They may be transparent and
812
00:42:00.139 --> 00:42:02.539
honest now, but how do we know? Because they've lied
813
00:42:02.559 --> 00:42:05.179
so many times. It's a little bit like, that's why
814
00:42:05.199 --> 00:42:07.800
it's called the Chernobyl of China, because we know the
815
00:42:07.840 --> 00:42:09.380
Soviets were, it took them like, I don't know, a
816
00:42:09.420 --> 00:42:13.239
week and a half until radiation started falling over Sweden
817
00:42:13.260 --> 00:42:16.519
and Norway, that they've said, well, I guess we should
818
00:42:16.559 --> 00:42:20.159
be more upfront about what actually happened at Chernobyl. That's
819
00:42:20.199 --> 00:42:23.030
the problem. So if you lie and then you say, well,
820
00:42:23.070 --> 00:42:25.309
this time I'm telling
the truth, how do we know?
821
00:42:26.230 --> 00:42:30.349
That fuels conspiracism, of course, because that's part of conspiracy theories,
822
00:42:30.389 --> 00:42:33.269
is that somebody is behind the scenes doing something wrong,
823
00:42:33.550 --> 00:42:36.289
and of course they're going to lie about it. That's true.
824
00:42:37.309 --> 00:42:42.159
So there's a good reason to be skeptical or conspiratorial.
825
00:42:42.780 --> 00:42:45.960
So, but what it means is, in the case of China, then,
826
00:42:46.840 --> 00:42:48.530
like you said, even if they are telling the truth,
827
00:42:49.090 --> 00:42:51.789
you don't know even if that is true because there's
828
00:42:51.809 --> 00:42:53.650
the room that it could be a lie.
829
00:42:54.429 --> 00:42:56.710
Or a false, yeah, it could be a false, you know,
830
00:42:56.769 --> 00:42:57.769
disinformation campaign.
831
00:42:57.789 --> 00:42:59.510
Disinformation, right.
832
00:43:00.099 --> 00:43:04.179
Well, in the words of Xi Jinping, you can't handle
833
00:43:04.199 --> 00:43:04.920
the truth.
834
00:43:06.090 --> 00:43:07.130
Was that who said that?
835
00:43:07.150 --> 00:43:08.969
I was wondering where that came from.
836
00:43:09.150 --> 00:43:11.869
I'm pretty sure it was she.
837
00:43:15.519 --> 00:43:17.400
So, Mike, I want to spend the last couple of minutes.
838
00:43:17.480 --> 00:43:20.099
Could you give me some of the more outlandish, by
839
00:43:20.139 --> 00:43:24.250
your judgment, conspiracy theories regarding the coronavirus? I mean, like
840
00:43:24.269 --> 00:43:24.789
top three.
841
00:43:24.929 --> 00:43:28.550
Yeah, top three. Well, you know, 5G, Bill Gates. uh,
842
00:43:28.769 --> 00:43:31.650
bioweapon is, bioweapon is not quite as crazy, but, but
843
00:43:31.750 --> 00:43:33.909
we now know from the genetic analysis that it was
844
00:43:34.280 --> 00:43:38.480
not engineered. It's a bat virus. Um, you know, that, uh,
845
00:43:38.800 --> 00:43:41.400
you know, the, of course the, the anti-vaxxers were all
846
00:43:41.460 --> 00:43:43.739
over this, very predictable. They jump on anything like this.
847
00:43:44.320 --> 00:43:46.639
We've been tracking them for a quarter century. Every time
848
00:43:46.679 --> 00:43:50.570
something like this happens, there's the anti-vaxxers. And, uh, so that,
849
00:43:50.619 --> 00:43:55.239
you know, that, that's not great, just crazy. It's, dangerous because,
850
00:43:55.260 --> 00:43:57.389
you know, vaccines are one of the best things we've
851
00:43:57.570 --> 00:44:02.329
ever invented for saving human lives. And, you know, so
852
00:44:02.369 --> 00:44:07.829
that's a disturbing one, not just crazy, but dangerous.
853
00:44:08.070 --> 00:44:09.309
What would anti-vaxxers say?
854
00:44:10.130 --> 00:44:14.840
Oh, that either the government, you know, or the pharmaceutical companies,
855
00:44:14.900 --> 00:44:19.880
big pharma, are using the coronavirus pandemic as a scare
856
00:44:19.920 --> 00:44:23.510
tactic to force people to vaccinate. And then from there
857
00:44:23.530 --> 00:44:25.690
you go to they're going to chip us all so
858
00:44:25.710 --> 00:44:30.289
they can track us or nanobot us and then track us.
859
00:44:31.030 --> 00:44:37.119
Even the tracking and tracing, this idea is part of
860
00:44:37.139 --> 00:44:40.760
that kind of new world order conspiracy theory that goes
861
00:44:40.820 --> 00:44:43.639
back to the 1980s. And in a way, if you
862
00:44:43.659 --> 00:44:47.500
think about it, we are all being tracked. We are
863
00:44:47.679 --> 00:44:50.699
already chipped. You have a smartphone in your pocket that
864
00:44:50.739 --> 00:44:53.059
has chips in it and somebody knows where you are
865
00:44:54.400 --> 00:44:56.570
and maybe who you're talking to and where you're shopping
866
00:44:56.659 --> 00:44:58.110
and so on and so forth. In a way, this
867
00:44:58.119 --> 00:45:01.510
has kind of happened, but we voluntarily did it. And
868
00:45:01.590 --> 00:45:03.650
it's not big pharma and it's not big government. It's,
869
00:45:03.929 --> 00:45:04.630
you know, big tech.
870
00:45:05.389 --> 00:45:09.969
Walked right into it. And then what about the conspiracy
871
00:45:10.329 --> 00:45:13.010
that it was, maybe it's not a conspiracy or cover-up,
872
00:45:13.510 --> 00:45:16.949
that it was a lab-leaked Yeah.
873
00:45:17.130 --> 00:45:25.889
So, you know, Nature Medicine Journal published the genome analysis
874
00:45:26.110 --> 00:45:31.119
of the novel coronavirus and that it is like 98.5%
875
00:45:31.119 --> 00:45:35.139
similar to a bat coronavirus. Remember, coronaviruses are very common.
876
00:45:35.179 --> 00:45:37.400
You know, a third of all common colds are coronaviruses.
877
00:45:37.420 --> 00:45:41.739
The others are rhinoviruses and one other. It makes sense.
878
00:45:41.989 --> 00:45:46.260
Bats are mammals. They're very susceptible to respiratory diseases. They
879
00:45:46.300 --> 00:45:50.019
live in giant populations. There's this cave in Texas with
880
00:45:50.059 --> 00:45:54.800
like 20 million members. It's the city of Mexico. They
881
00:45:54.840 --> 00:45:58.199
get these kind of pandemic spreads all the time. It
882
00:45:58.239 --> 00:45:59.960
kind of makes sense. Wet market in China.
883
00:46:00.820 --> 00:46:03.769
Wait, so bats don't social distance?
884
00:46:03.789 --> 00:46:07.670
They don't. They hang upside down right next to each other.
885
00:46:08.590 --> 00:46:09.889
That's what makes it kind of spooky.
886
00:46:10.719 --> 00:46:15.519
That'd make a cute comic, bats social distancing.
887
00:46:15.980 --> 00:46:17.599
I don't want to get a human virus.
888
00:46:20.360 --> 00:46:23.400
Wash your wings for 20 seconds.
889
00:46:24.179 --> 00:46:28.400
But it is true that Wuhan is the site of
890
00:46:28.579 --> 00:46:30.699
an infectious disease research center?
891
00:46:30.719 --> 00:46:34.219
That's right. And there are bioweapons labs around the world. And,
892
00:46:34.300 --> 00:46:39.420
you know, twice during the Cold War, The Russian bioweapons
893
00:46:39.500 --> 00:46:41.679
labs had a leak. One was, I think, a fire
894
00:46:41.719 --> 00:46:44.820
and the other one was an accidental leak. And so,
895
00:46:45.039 --> 00:46:47.500
you know, again, it's not completely crazy to ask the
896
00:46:47.519 --> 00:46:50.199
question or to explore the idea. But I think that
897
00:46:50.300 --> 00:46:51.019
one's answered now.
898
00:46:51.320 --> 00:46:53.780
So, Chuck, Michael, we are out of time. But this
899
00:46:53.800 --> 00:46:56.860
has been highly illuminating. Michael, it's always great to talk
900
00:46:56.880 --> 00:47:00.480
to you. And your new book, I think, just released.
901
00:47:01.000 --> 00:47:03.420
Just in time for the coronavirus, because you knew you
902
00:47:03.440 --> 00:47:05.519
were planning this. In fact, you're the one who caused
903
00:47:05.539 --> 00:47:06.179
the coronavirus.
904
00:47:06.500 --> 00:47:08.539
I'm behind it. As soon as we hang up, I'm
905
00:47:08.579 --> 00:47:10.320
going back into my bioweapons lab.
906
00:47:12.619 --> 00:47:16.980
Giving the devil his due, reflections of a scientific humanist,
907
00:47:17.059 --> 00:47:20.840
which you are. So, Michael, always good to have you.
908
00:47:21.360 --> 00:47:23.980
Don't be a stranger. Chuck, love you, man.
909
00:47:24.139 --> 00:47:24.739
Love you too, man.
910
00:47:25.579 --> 00:47:25.760
Yeah.
911
00:47:25.780 --> 00:47:26.559
All right, gentlemen.
912
00:47:26.579 --> 00:47:31.340
Thank you. This has been StarTalk Cosmic Queries. Yet another
913
00:47:31.619 --> 00:47:36.869
coronavirus edition. This one on conspiracy theories. As always, I
914
00:47:36.929 --> 00:47:38.469
bid you to keep looking up.