Jakson The UFC 334 UNDEFEATED Post Weigh In Show täydellinen litterointi

00:05:53.899 --> 00:05:58.160 not exactly sure who or what he is. He's very well-rounded. 72 00:05:58.199 --> 00:06:00.279 He's got some good grappling when he gets on top 73 00:06:00.319 --> 00:06:03.519 of people. He's very dangerous with both his submissions and 74 00:06:03.540 --> 00:06:07.060 his ground and pound. He's only 29. So technically, he's 75 00:06:07.100 --> 00:06:09.519 a younger fighter who still could be very much improving. 76 00:06:09.779 --> 00:06:12.319 And his last win was over Gage Young. And that's 77 00:06:12.399 --> 00:06:16.129 turned into a pretty decent win. Gage Young has done 78 00:06:16.149 --> 00:06:19.790 way better than I expected in the UFC so far. 79 00:06:19.850 --> 00:06:21.430 I thought maybe he was going to end up being 80 00:06:21.449 --> 00:06:23.970 a bit of a throwaway. Even though I'm a fan 81 00:06:23.990 --> 00:06:25.889 of the guy, I wasn't sold he was going to 82 00:06:25.910 --> 00:06:27.850 be ready at the UFC level. So I count that 83 00:06:27.889 --> 00:06:30.370 as a decent win there for Evan Elder. Sam Sanchez. 84 00:06:30.740 --> 00:06:33.560 He's new to the UFC, got his Dana White's Contender 85 00:06:33.579 --> 00:06:36.610 Series contract, and then I guess broke his arm or 86 00:06:36.670 --> 00:06:38.569 something like that. So he had to take a decent 87 00:06:38.610 --> 00:06:41.769 bit of time off to recover from that. And now 88 00:06:41.850 --> 00:06:45.029 he is making his comeback. He is young. And I've 89 00:06:45.069 --> 00:06:47.930 told you guys this before, when these young kids get 90 00:06:48.009 --> 00:06:50.110 breaks like this. Now, I know he was off because, 91 00:06:50.149 --> 00:06:52.180 you know, an injury, but it ended up taking a 92 00:06:52.300 --> 00:06:55.000 year for him to recover at just 23 years old. 93 00:06:55.339 --> 00:06:57.680 Those are growth years, guys, like a 23, 24, 25, like, 94 00:07:00.560 --> 00:07:04.560 If you're taking a year off at 37, that's bad. 95 00:07:04.699 --> 00:07:07.560 That's probably a bad thing. Maybe you'll come back a 96 00:07:07.579 --> 00:07:09.839 little healthier, but that just means you're old and you're 97 00:07:09.860 --> 00:07:12.879 busted up and your body is falling apart. When you're 23, 24, 98 00:07:12.879 --> 00:07:15.139 you take a year off. That whole time, you know 99 00:07:15.180 --> 00:07:17.860 they're developing. You know they're chomping at the bit to 100 00:07:17.899 --> 00:07:20.040 get back in there. You know what I mean? He's 101 00:07:20.079 --> 00:07:23.139 got fast hands. As you can see, he's very big. 102 00:07:23.560 --> 00:07:26.540 He's strong. He hits hard. He's athletic. Like, I like 103 00:07:26.560 --> 00:07:29.509 this kid, you guys. I like this kid a lot. Now, 104 00:07:29.850 --> 00:07:31.850 here's where things get interesting. You know, I got to 105 00:07:31.910 --> 00:07:34.050 switch caps here for you guys for a second. Got 106 00:07:34.069 --> 00:07:37.629 to switch hats here for

you on this one because 107 00:07:37.769 --> 00:07:40.430 there's a reason. There's a reason that I bet on 108 00:07:40.470 --> 00:07:43.410 this kid coming into this fight. Something I've noticed with 109 00:07:43.449 --> 00:07:48.240 these recent Dana White's Contender Series kids is the ones 110 00:07:48.389 --> 00:07:54.069 who are real. you know, Anthony Wint, Bilal Hassan, like 111 00:07:54.129 --> 00:07:57.610 these guys that the UFC is like, oh, we got one, boys. 112 00:07:58.269 --> 00:08:03.709 They get turned around super quick, okay? And Sam, Sam 113 00:08:03.750 --> 00:08:07.230 got his UFC contract in September of 2025. Well, he 114 00:08:07.310 --> 00:08:14.970 was booked for his UFC debut in March of 2026. 115 00:08:15.050 --> 00:08:17.750 They were ready to get this kid in there pretty 116 00:08:17.790 --> 00:08:22.050 quickly on a big stage against Taufik Mosayev, who is 117 00:08:22.209 --> 00:08:26.389 a notable name, somebody who is respectable in the UFC game. 118 00:08:26.910 --> 00:08:30.689 That kind of turnaround, that kind of, hey, we want 119 00:08:30.709 --> 00:08:32.230 to get you in there quick, that kind of, hey, 120 00:08:32.250 --> 00:08:34.470 we want to get you a name. I'm like, they 121 00:08:34.490 --> 00:08:38.169 like this kid. UFC likes this kid. So not only 122 00:08:38.549 --> 00:08:40.840 do I like this kid, not only do I like 123 00:08:40.889 --> 00:08:45.240 the kid's skill set, the UFC also appears to, to 124 00:08:45.279 --> 00:08:47.399 have wanted to throw him into the deep end against 125 00:08:47.470 --> 00:08:49.509 somebody who he may or may not be able to 126 00:08:49.549 --> 00:08:51.710 beat and get a notch on his belt very quickly 127 00:08:51.769 --> 00:08:56.610 at a very, very young age. I like Sam Sanchez. 128 00:08:56.710 --> 00:08:59.129 So I did go ahead and lay minus 120. It 129 00:08:59.149 --> 00:09:00.950 looks like this is ping pong back and forth a 130 00:09:00.970 --> 00:09:03.559 little bit. You can get minus 115. Like DraftKings right 131 00:09:03.600 --> 00:09:06.700 now has minus 118 on Sam Sanchez. So it's not 132 00:09:06.740 --> 00:09:09.480 like I beat some crazy line move, but we're splitting hairs. 133 00:09:09.799 --> 00:09:12.000 You know, minus 120, minus 118. I'm not going to 134 00:09:12.039 --> 00:09:15.250 cry about something like that. It's a coin flip. I 135 00:09:15.269 --> 00:09:17.909 believe in this kid. I like this kid. That's my 136 00:09:17.950 --> 00:09:19.870 first play of the night, and that's the one that 137 00:09:19.929 --> 00:09:23.220 I'm on. What's up, everybody? Welcome into the chat here. Alan, 138 00:09:23.279 --> 00:09:26.860 what is up? Says, even Toporio wants Hokie to win, 139 00:09:27.220 --> 00:09:29.299 even though he might not admit it. He's a fan, honestly. 140 00:09:29.320 --> 00:09:31.080 I mean, you might be right. You might be right. 141 00:09:31.100 --> 00:09:34.190 Something about that. How about that? What is up? And yes,

142 00:09:34.230 --> 00:09:38.629 Super Green Samurai, this side of the chat, likes Plessie. 143 00:09:41.009 --> 00:09:43.860 That was an all-timer, man. That line from Josh Hokett 144 00:09:43.919 --> 00:09:49.500 was absolutely an all-timer. Absolutely insane. Dixon, my man, what 145 00:09:49.720 --> 00:09:55.129 is up? Josh says, long-time podcast listener, first-time live viewer, 146 00:09:55.210 --> 00:09:58.769 what is up, my man? Appreciate you being here live. 147 00:09:58.809 --> 00:10:01.580 He says, podcast keep me company on 12 hour shifts 148 00:10:01.620 --> 00:10:04.679 and long drives home from work mad love from toronto 149 00:10:04.740 --> 00:10:07.539 my man i have so many people that listen to 150 00:10:07.580 --> 00:10:10.159 the show and chime in like yourself from canada i 151 00:10:10.220 --> 00:10:13.240 freaking love it i absolutely love it uh my my 152 00:10:13.279 --> 00:10:15.340 frozen brothers up there up north i'm glad i could 153 00:10:15.360 --> 00:10:17.549 help out thank you for tuning in Glad you could 154 00:10:17.570 --> 00:10:20.009 make a live show, my friend. I appreciate you listening 155 00:10:20.049 --> 00:10:22.190 and tuning in, and I'm glad I can get you 156 00:10:22.210 --> 00:10:25.120 through those tough days. I know how those days go, 157 00:10:25.179 --> 00:10:27.500 and especially as an MMA fan, I'm not going to 158 00:10:27.519 --> 00:10:29.299 get all sappy on you guys or anything like that, 159 00:10:29.340 --> 00:10:32.509 but actually... When I first started the podcast, you know, 160 00:10:32.549 --> 00:10:35.720 one of the reasons why I started the podcast, first 161 00:10:35.759 --> 00:10:38.080 and foremost, it was therapy. I couldn't shut up about MMA. 162 00:10:38.120 --> 00:10:40.620 Nobody wanted to listen to me anymore. So I needed 163 00:10:40.639 --> 00:10:43.789 to talk to somebody. But the other thing was I 164 00:10:43.970 --> 00:10:46.230 never felt like there was enough MMA for me to 165 00:10:46.269 --> 00:10:48.169 listen to. You know what I mean? I'm going about 166 00:10:48.389 --> 00:10:51.669 my day. I'm going about my week. And it was like, Damn, man, 167 00:10:51.690 --> 00:10:54.070 there's like two podcasts. And then when you had like 168 00:10:54.110 --> 00:10:57.330 a break from like someone would drop something on Tuesday 169 00:10:57.370 --> 00:10:59.730 and then nobody else was doing anything until like Thursday 170 00:10:59.789 --> 00:11:02.409 or Friday. There was like I straight up have like two, 171 00:11:02.450 --> 00:11:04.149 three days of my week where I don't have shit 172 00:11:04.169 --> 00:11:07.309 to listen to about my favorite sport. So that was 173 00:11:07.370 --> 00:11:10.110 one of the reasons why I actually started doing the podcast. 174 00:11:10.129 --> 00:11:12.990 So I'm very, very happy to hear that I can 175 00:11:13.029 --> 00:11:16.009 help you get through your work week that way, my man. 176 00:11:16.049 --> 00:11:20.519 That means an absolute ton to me. Let me get this. 177 00:11:21.009 --> 00:11:25.389 queued up here and of course anthony what is going 178 00:11:25.509 --> 00:11:29.360 on what is going on super green samurai liking josh 179 00:11:29.440 --> 00:11:33.139 that's what's up colby my man says gonna watch tomorrow 180 00:11:33.200 --> 00:11:35.539 but popping in to say you're the man appreciate you 181 00:11:35.559 --> 00:11:38.039 buddy appreciate you maybe you'll hear the shout out tomorrow 182 00:11:38.080 --> 00:11:40.600 morning uh and of course dixon just king of the 183 00:11:40.639 --> 00:11:44.539 chat always here the man see curse my man what 184 00:11:44.580 --> 00:11:47.250 is up all right let's get after it everybody next 185 00:11:47.570 --> 00:11:51.070 up we have got alatang hayley Coming in here on 186 00:11:51.250 --> 00:11:55.669 short notice, taking on Juan Diaz. One of two weight misses, 187 00:11:55.730 --> 00:11:58.909 ladies and gentlemen. Juan Diaz did not make weight for 188 00:11:58.950 --> 00:12:03.220 this fight. He came in at 136.4. Alitang Haley did 189 00:12:03.240 --> 00:12:08.990 make 135.6. I guess they gave him 0.6 instead of 0.5. 190 00:12:08.980 --> 00:12:12.700 Not sure why they're being super, giving that extra little 191 00:12:12.720 --> 00:12:14.399 bit of credit there about it. I don't know. Usually 192 00:12:14.419 --> 00:12:16.649 they cut it off at 0.5. They probably just round 193 00:12:16.690 --> 00:12:18.649 down or round up at that point. You're splitting hairs. 194 00:12:20.190 --> 00:12:24.789 Juan Diaz, guys, I love this kid. I absolutely love 195 00:12:25.330 --> 00:12:30.120 Juan Diaz, 16, six and one training with my boy, 196 00:12:30.340 --> 00:12:34.799 Brandon Moreno, my absolute favorite fighter on the roster right now. 197 00:12:35.259 --> 00:12:37.419 He's training at Intram gym. You know, they're doing some 198 00:12:37.450 --> 00:12:39.389 good things. They've got a lot of good prospects. They've 199 00:12:39.429 --> 00:12:41.799 got that mean streak in them. They've got that. that 200 00:12:41.879 --> 00:12:44.919 Mexican warrior spirit that we love so much as fans 201 00:12:45.080 --> 00:12:47.820 and as gamblers. Those are guys you know will go 202 00:12:47.860 --> 00:12:49.899 out there and fight for your money. If you're putting 203 00:12:49.919 --> 00:12:52.940 a bet on somebody on the weekend, you want to 204 00:12:53.039 --> 00:12:55.320 know that they're going to fight tooth and nail for 205 00:12:55.360 --> 00:12:57.299 you and they're not going to fold the towel and quit. 206 00:12:57.340 --> 00:12:59.740 You know what I mean? These guys from Intram, you 207 00:12:59.779 --> 00:13:01.620 know they're going for it. Each and every one of 208 00:13:01.639 --> 00:13:03.320 them is in there going for it. Now, this kid 209 00:13:03.360 --> 00:13:06.950 won on Dana White's Contender Series in October. 2025, makes 210 00:13:06.990 --> 00:13:10.889 his UFC debut against Malcolm Wellmaker,

and absolutely nobody thought 211 00:13:10.990 --> 00:13:13.409 he was going to be Jack in that fight. Wellmaker 212 00:13:13.460 --> 00:13:15.820 was still all the rage. They thought he was the 213 00:13:15.940 --> 00:13:19.059 next big thing. Of course, we all know that's actually 214 00:13:19.100 --> 00:13:23.419 Peyton Talbot, right? But everybody was excited about Malcolm Wellmaker. Hey, 215 00:13:23.519 --> 00:13:25.980 I was too. I was too. But this kid rocks 216 00:13:26.039 --> 00:13:28.500 in there as a plus 200 underdog, smokes him, chokes 217 00:13:28.539 --> 00:13:32.250 him out in the second round, shows just how well-rounded 218 00:13:32.330 --> 00:13:35.779 he is. He's got fast hands. He's very aggressive. He's 219 00:13:35.860 --> 00:13:39.000 very athletic. He's got good boxing. He got chin checked. 220 00:13:39.159 --> 00:13:42.059 He can take a shot too. And obviously he can grapple. 221 00:13:42.080 --> 00:13:45.100 It's like this kid is the total package. And now 222 00:13:45.139 --> 00:13:47.179 we know. It's like your opportunity to get him at 223 00:13:47.200 --> 00:13:50.000 a good price tag was his UFC debut. Those days 224 00:13:50.100 --> 00:13:54.370 are gone already. Now, Alatang Haley. I like Alatang Haley, 225 00:13:54.399 --> 00:13:57.669 you guys. He's tough. He's gritty. He wants to get 226 00:13:57.750 --> 00:14:00.370 in there and throw down. But he's got these stubby 227 00:14:00.409 --> 00:14:03.000 little arms. He's always at a reach disadvantage, and that 228 00:14:03.039 --> 00:14:06.940 causes problems. He's very physically strong, but he refuses to 229 00:14:07.080 --> 00:14:09.600 use his wrestling chops. And if he does, it's like 230 00:14:09.679 --> 00:14:13.210 fainting a takedown or mixing in one or two takedowns 231 00:14:13.230 --> 00:14:15.029 to open the hands of that. He doesn't like grapple. 232 00:14:15.070 --> 00:14:17.370 He doesn't want to grapple. He wants to get in 233 00:14:17.389 --> 00:14:20.250 there and throw down. And his power hasn't really been 234 00:14:20.289 --> 00:14:22.980 there at the UFC level. Now, it seems like his 235 00:14:23.039 --> 00:14:25.419 defense has improved because he used to get knocked out. Like, 236 00:14:25.460 --> 00:14:28.539 on the regional scene, he's got, like, three KOs pre-UFC. 237 00:14:28.899 --> 00:14:31.259 He hasn't been knocked out in the UFC at all. 238 00:14:31.610 --> 00:14:35.730 And then he does have a couple of guys that, like, he, like, 239 00:14:35.750 --> 00:14:39.590 knocked out Kevin Krum. Like, Kevin is notoriously chinny and 240 00:14:39.629 --> 00:14:42.009 was not really UFC level in the first place. Guys 241 00:14:42.029 --> 00:14:44.769 that are half decent, he's not knocking them out. But he's, like, 242 00:14:44.830 --> 00:14:47.779 alternating wins and losses, going to decision with guys like 243 00:14:47.820 --> 00:14:51.950 Gutierrez and Blackshear. So he's in every fight. And frankly, 244 00:14:51.970 --> 00:14:54.490

that's guys, that's why we circled him last week. Okay. 245 00:14:54.529 --> 00:14:57.149 Or not last week, his last fight, pardon me. He 246 00:14:57.200 --> 00:15:01.519 fought John Castaneda and we got in on the live line. 247 00:15:01.559 --> 00:15:04.840 It was on this very show that we talked about 248 00:15:04.879 --> 00:15:08.179 it that week where we said, look, John Castaneda fights 249 00:15:08.340 --> 00:15:12.200 close in every single fight, every single fight he's in. 250 00:15:12.240 --> 00:15:14.990 He's one of those guys that just does not distance 251 00:15:15.029 --> 00:15:18.690 himself from his opponents. So there might be an opportunity there. 252 00:15:18.950 --> 00:15:22.149 to get like a stupid line on Alitang Haley live. 253 00:15:22.570 --> 00:15:24.710 And sure enough, we got it. It was plus 400. 254 00:15:24.710 --> 00:15:29.129 It was a one-to-one fight. Pretty obviously. Like you could, 255 00:15:29.379 --> 00:15:32.259 there were some people that thought it was 2-0 Castaneda, 256 00:15:32.279 --> 00:15:34.679 but I'm like, man, I'm pretty sure this thing's one-to-one. 257 00:15:35.059 --> 00:15:37.139 We got plus 400 and sure enough, the split went 258 00:15:37.259 --> 00:15:39.539 our way. You got to get lucky sometimes gambling. You 259 00:15:39.559 --> 00:15:42.330 catch some of those bounces, you know, one judge sees 260 00:15:42.379 --> 00:15:45.470 it the other way and we feel bad about ourselves and, 261 00:15:45.549 --> 00:15:47.230 you know, we have a value loser that we got 262 00:15:47.250 --> 00:15:49.149 to kind of lick our wounds on, but We got 263 00:15:49.190 --> 00:15:52.029 the bounce, so we cashed the ticket at plus 400. Guys, 264 00:15:52.070 --> 00:15:54.669 that ain't happening in this fight. Like, look at the 265 00:15:54.710 --> 00:15:58.850 size difference. This kid is younger. This kid is hungrier. 266 00:15:59.389 --> 00:16:03.789 He's bigger. And you've got Alitang Haley, who we don't 267 00:16:03.889 --> 00:16:06.029 really know what's going on with him at this point. 268 00:16:06.049 --> 00:16:07.730 You know, he was a fight-ready guy. He's not at 269 00:16:07.769 --> 00:16:10.070 fight-ready anymore. I think he went to the MMA lab 270 00:16:10.110 --> 00:16:12.169 at this point, but he's just kind of jumping in 271 00:16:12.240 --> 00:16:15.860 here on short notice, taking this opportunity. I think that 272 00:16:15.919 --> 00:16:17.899 Juan Diaz is going to beat the brakes off of 273 00:16:18.019 --> 00:16:22.559 Alitang Haley I want to say that Juan Diaz finds 274 00:16:22.620 --> 00:16:25.179 his way to a KO. The thing is, I don't 275 00:16:25.220 --> 00:16:28.139 want to sell myself down the river on that. The 276 00:16:28.159 --> 00:16:31.500 decision prop is minus 120 for Juan Diaz. The money 277 00:16:31.570 --> 00:16:36.679 line is minus 400, and the KO prop is plus 330. 278 00:16:36.679 --> 00:16:38.960 So if it's plus 330 on DraftKings, you can probably 279 00:16:39.039 -->

00:16:42.279 find it plus 350 or plus 375, something like that 280 00:16:42.320 --> 00:16:44.299 at some of the other books. I will warn you guys. 281 00:16:44.679 --> 00:16:48.279 One thing not everybody realizes, and I see people online 282 00:16:48.320 --> 00:16:51.720 get caught with this like all the time. If you're 283 00:16:51.740 --> 00:16:54.940 looking at like FanDuel, the prop numbers are usually just 284 00:16:54.980 --> 00:16:57.679 a little bit better over at FanDuel, right? But there's 285 00:16:57.720 --> 00:17:01.320 a reason for that. The KO prop specifically. On books 286 00:17:01.379 --> 00:17:05.769 like BetMGM and DraftKings, the KO includes the DQ. So 287 00:17:05.849 --> 00:17:09.349 if you get like an eye poke disqualification, you actually 288 00:17:09.390 --> 00:17:12.299 will cash your TKO ticket if you're betting on sites 289 00:17:12.359 --> 00:17:16.990 like BetMGM or DraftKings. But on FanDuel... The reason they're 290 00:17:17.049 --> 00:17:20.190 giving you that extra dollar, extra $ 2 on that KO 291 00:17:20.230 --> 00:17:23.569 prop is because they take the DQ off. The DQ 292 00:17:23.609 --> 00:17:27.460 becomes a push. So if there's a disqualification, you don't 293 00:17:27.539 --> 00:17:31.160 get your KO ticket. I will take, you know, and 294 00:17:31.200 --> 00:17:33.579 I know DQs don't happen all that often in the UFC, right? 295 00:17:33.619 --> 00:17:35.710 They don't happen all that often. But I'm the type 296 00:17:35.750 --> 00:17:37.930 of guy that I'm like, look, if we're talking... We've 297 00:17:37.970 --> 00:17:41.000 got a knockout prop, and it's plus 350 here, and 298 00:17:41.019 --> 00:17:45.160 it includes the DQ. Or I can get plus 380 there, 299 00:17:45.519 --> 00:17:48.180 and it doesn't have the DQ. We're splitting hairs. I've 300 00:17:48.200 --> 00:17:50.119 said splitting hairs like three times tonight. Why am I 301 00:17:50.160 --> 00:17:52.160 stuck on splitting hairs? I don't know what's going on. 302 00:17:52.160 --> 00:17:53.759 Do you guys ever do that? You get like a 303 00:17:53.940 --> 00:17:56.779 phrase or something that just kind of like burrows its 304 00:17:56.819 --> 00:17:59.099 way into your brain, and you can't stop saying it. 305 00:18:00.269 --> 00:18:02.329 I've been in the same situation three times already on 306 00:18:02.349 --> 00:18:04.970 this podcast, and I couldn't come up with something else 307 00:18:05.009 --> 00:18:07.150 to say other than splitting hairs. So I just keep 308 00:18:07.309 --> 00:18:09.650 using that phrase. I don't know why I'm stuck on 309 00:18:09.690 --> 00:18:14.430 splitting hairs tonight. I apologize. I'm better than that. So 310 00:18:15.299 --> 00:18:19.359 I don't know. Anyway, I always will take the lines 311 00:18:19.880 --> 00:18:22.960 on like the DQ. I want the DQ. I always 312 00:18:23.000 --> 00:18:25.420 want the DQ. Now, if we're talking, you're getting like 313 00:18:25.460 --> 00:18:28.180 a 15 to one versus an 11 to one different story, right? 314 00:18:28.220 --> 00:18:30.940 Like there's some meat on the bone. You can say, okay, 315 00:18:30.960 --> 00:18:33.049 I'm going to risk it on this one. I don't 316 00:18:33.190 --> 00:18:36.059 want to, you know, I'm not going to jump at shadows, right? 317 00:18:36.099 --> 00:18:39.079 I'm not going to get scared of this phantom disqualification. 318 00:18:39.599 --> 00:18:41.420 We'll go ahead and take the extra juice on this 319 00:18:41.500 --> 00:18:45.319 line here. So I would love to confidently like take 320 00:18:45.380 --> 00:18:48.180 my spear and just stab it into the ground and 321 00:18:48.710 --> 00:18:51.170 plant my flag and be like, guys, Juan Diaz, it's 322 00:18:51.210 --> 00:18:54.849 Juan Diaz by knockout. And like, I think that's what happens. 323 00:18:54.990 --> 00:18:57.869 I do. I think that's what happens. I think those 324 00:18:57.970 --> 00:19:00.890 chin issues kind of come back to call. I think 325 00:19:00.930 --> 00:19:04.170 the short notice nature of this fight takes its toll 326 00:19:04.210 --> 00:19:07.109 maybe on someone like Alex Angeli, who normally he's in 327 00:19:07.150 --> 00:19:09.170 really good shape. I know he trains a lot, so 328 00:19:09.710 --> 00:19:11.859 I'm not worried about him having a tough weight cut 329 00:19:11.900 --> 00:19:14.579 or rolling off the couch or anything like that. But 330 00:19:14.740 --> 00:19:17.259 when you're trained and you're prepped and you're ready for 331 00:19:17.299 --> 00:19:19.700 a fight versus when you're just kind of jumping in there, 332 00:19:20.200 --> 00:19:22.220 that's the kind of thing that I'm like, man, he 333 00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:25.299 could get tired. He really could. He could get tired 334 00:19:25.339 --> 00:19:28.519 deep into this fight, and if he slows down, That's 335 00:19:28.559 --> 00:19:31.779 when somebody like Diaz will turn up and I can 336 00:19:31.799 --> 00:19:34.369 see him getting like around two round three KO. I'm 337 00:19:34.440 --> 00:19:37.029 probably going to play it safe. Like I'm probably going 338 00:19:37.049 --> 00:19:40.089 to like parlay up Diaz. I think he's winning this fight. 339 00:19:40.309 --> 00:19:41.750 I don't think there will be a question as to 340 00:19:41.789 --> 00:19:43.750 who won it at the end of this fight. And 341 00:19:43.970 --> 00:19:46.710 I would love to see him put another stamp on 342 00:19:46.750 --> 00:19:49.890 his second UFC fight and go ahead and get that win. 343 00:19:50.619 --> 00:19:53.619 What is up, rude boy? Good to see you. Dixon 344 00:19:53.640 --> 00:19:58.079 Siders says, Glenn, I think you're splitting hairs. Yeah, yeah, exactly. 345 00:19:58.160 --> 00:20:02.539 But well played, my friend. Well played. Next up, we 346 00:20:02.559 --> 00:20:06.220 have Macy Chasson, and she takes on Bea Mesquita. 134.8 347 00:20:06.220 --> 00:20:12.289 for macy 135.8 for bea mesquita and there's a decent 348 00:20:12.329 --> 00:20:15.349

size advantage here as you guys can tell uh macy 349 00:20:15.390 --> 00:20:19.250 shes on somebody who has struggled historically at this weight 350 00:20:19.289 --> 00:20:22.910 class she's missed several times she's also had to use 351 00:20:22.950 --> 00:20:25.279 the box of shame several times like it's been a 352 00:20:25.299 --> 00:20:27.960 problem for her making weight at this weight class she 353 00:20:27.980 --> 00:20:30.160 a big girl you know she was she was part 354 00:20:30.279 --> 00:20:34.579 of the uh clearing out of 145 pounds, right? There 355 00:20:34.599 --> 00:20:36.900 were multiple women who they were like, all right, guys, 356 00:20:36.920 --> 00:20:39.039 like we're just, we're canning this division. If you want 357 00:20:39.059 --> 00:20:40.339 to stick around in the UFC, you got to get 358 00:20:40.380 --> 00:20:42.450 down a weight class. And she's been one who's really 359 00:20:42.490 --> 00:20:45.650 struggled with it herself. She's on a three fight losing streak. 360 00:20:45.990 --> 00:20:48.910 She lost to Yana Santos, Katelyn Vieira, and most recently 361 00:20:49.390 --> 00:20:52.950 Aileen Perez. I have been kind of critical of Macy 362 00:20:52.970 --> 00:20:55.789 Chason because I always make an argument for her. You know, 363 00:20:55.849 --> 00:20:58.839 she was one of my fly under the radar type 364 00:20:58.880 --> 00:21:00.440 of fighters. She was one of the ones that I 365 00:21:00.480 --> 00:21:03.200 was like, hey, she's in these fights. I cashed a 366 00:21:03.220 --> 00:21:06.849 ticket on the Norma Dumont split decision back in 2022, which, 367 00:21:07.269 --> 00:21:09.410 crazy enough, that was Oliveira versus Gaethje. It was here 368 00:21:09.430 --> 00:21:12.869 in Phoenix, actually. I was live at that fight. I've 369 00:21:12.950 --> 00:21:15.789 always found a way to argue for Macy. I respect 370 00:21:15.849 --> 00:21:20.089 how she fights. I respect the skill set that she's got. But, man, recently, 371 00:21:20.190 --> 00:21:22.950 it doesn't feel like her heart's in it, man. Her 372 00:21:22.990 --> 00:21:25.789 last couple of fights, she's going to her back way 373 00:21:25.829 --> 00:21:28.609 more instead of doing the intelligent thing, getting on top 374 00:21:28.630 --> 00:21:31.349 of her opponents. She's a whole lot less aggressive. Like 375 00:21:31.470 --> 00:21:33.880 it just, you can kind of see the fire fading away, 376 00:21:33.960 --> 00:21:36.319 I feel like. And then on this one, I said 377 00:21:36.660 --> 00:21:39.339 on Monday, I did like my, you know, Instagram stalking 378 00:21:39.359 --> 00:21:42.039 and stuff like that. And you can see that she's 379 00:21:42.099 --> 00:21:44.859 just kind of doing like personals. She's doing like one-on-ones. 380 00:21:44.940 --> 00:21:46.779 She's in like a hole in the wall type of gym. 381 00:21:47.960 --> 00:21:50.220 Not training at a camp, not getting in there with 382 00:21:50.289 --> 00:21:52.490 like high levels training

partners. And like, don't get me wrong. 383 00:21:52.529 --> 00:21:55.829 I'm sure she is like bringing in training partners that 384 00:21:55.869 --> 00:21:57.829 are respectable and, you know, stuff like that. So I'm 385 00:21:57.869 --> 00:22:00.579 sure it happens in, They're just not necessarily posting it 386 00:22:00.619 --> 00:22:03.680 on Facebook, that kind of thing. But I'm having a 387 00:22:03.700 --> 00:22:06.019 hard time seeing her being at the level that she's 388 00:22:06.059 --> 00:22:09.220 always been at. Now, Bia, she's a big favorite in 389 00:22:09.259 --> 00:22:12.000 this spot, minus 265. And as much as I do 390 00:22:12.059 --> 00:22:14.079 think she's going to win this fight, she's not without 391 00:22:14.099 --> 00:22:17.869 her question marks. 8-0, undefeated, 35 years old. She's a 392 00:22:17.869 --> 00:22:20.569 little too old to be considered like an up-and-coming prospect. 393 00:22:20.829 --> 00:22:23.349 But she does train at ATT. She trains with Kayla Harrison. 394 00:22:23.390 --> 00:22:26.410 And frankly, guys, she fights like Kayla Harrison. She has 395 00:22:26.470 --> 00:22:30.839 got seven of her eight wins inside the distance one 396 00:22:31.319 --> 00:22:34.200 by KO. She has six wins by sub. She is 397 00:22:34.259 --> 00:22:38.839 an incredible grappler. She's a very strong wrestler. And once 398 00:22:38.880 --> 00:22:40.299 she gets you down on the ground, she is a 399 00:22:40.519 --> 00:22:44.660 very slick jujitsu player. But the thing is she's like Hamza. 400 00:22:44.680 --> 00:22:47.049 When he first got to the UFC, when she gets 401 00:22:47.089 --> 00:22:50.609 you down on the ground, she looks to smash. She 402 00:22:50.670 --> 00:22:54.130 wants elbows. She wants punches. She is just trying to 403 00:22:54.210 --> 00:22:57.660 slam her opponent's head through the canvas of And if 404 00:22:57.819 --> 00:23:00.339 she can make you turn your back, then she snatches 405 00:23:00.400 --> 00:23:03.240 the neck. She's very quick. She's got a very good 406 00:23:03.279 --> 00:23:05.720 rear naked choke. She's got a very tight squeeze. She's 407 00:23:05.779 --> 00:23:10.220 very physical. The size difference here comes from the muscle, right? 408 00:23:10.309 --> 00:23:12.829 She's so short. She's very stocky. She's got a big, 409 00:23:12.869 --> 00:23:15.569 strong back on her. She's very physical for women's MMA. 410 00:23:16.009 --> 00:23:18.269 And so it comes with a cost, you know, and 411 00:23:18.289 --> 00:23:22.109 that cost obviously is her height at this weight class. 412 00:23:23.029 --> 00:23:24.630 I do think Bay is going to end up winning 413 00:23:24.670 --> 00:23:26.750 this fight, you guys. I feel like that's the point, right? 414 00:23:26.769 --> 00:23:29.279 The UFC is putting her on a card with her 415 00:23:29.319 --> 00:23:32.500 training partner where realistically there's a chance that they go 416 00:23:32.579 --> 00:23:35.599 to an O. They're from the same gym. They're training together. 417 00:23:35.619 --> 00:23:38.359 They're peaking at the same time. And they both like 418 00:23:38.400 --> 00:23:41.720 to finish fights. And Macy is a notable enough name. 419 00:23:41.759 --> 00:23:43.900 It's going to look real good on her resume. And 420 00:23:43.920 --> 00:23:46.670 it also lets her dip her toe into that top 10, right? 421 00:23:46.730 --> 00:23:49.549 It's also giving her kind of a softball or as 422 00:23:49.650 --> 00:23:52.089 softball as you can get at this stage. to get 423 00:23:52.150 --> 00:23:54.769 her ranked, to get her moving up in the world, 424 00:23:56.410 --> 00:23:58.779 see whether or not she's serious. Because in her last fight, 425 00:23:58.930 --> 00:24:01.079 she got wobbled badly on the feet. And that's the 426 00:24:01.099 --> 00:24:03.319 thing everyone keeps pointing at, is that, man, she wants 427 00:24:03.359 --> 00:24:05.599 to go out there and strike. She's trying to be 428 00:24:05.640 --> 00:24:08.000 a mixed martial artist, but she sucks on the feet. 429 00:24:08.099 --> 00:24:09.839 She sucks standing, and it looks like she's not all 430 00:24:09.859 --> 00:24:12.460 that durable. The thing is, she's got that wrestling in 431 00:24:12.480 --> 00:24:15.569 her back pocket. She can always level change. She can 432 00:24:15.809 --> 00:24:17.970 always turn the tide of a fight. She got bonked 433 00:24:18.049 --> 00:24:20.329 on the feet in her last fight, and she said, oh, shit, 434 00:24:20.369 --> 00:24:22.460 enough of this. and level changed and got it to 435 00:24:22.509 --> 00:24:25.029 the ground, and it was over shortly thereafter. And that's 436 00:24:25.069 --> 00:24:26.849 the kind of thing that I feel like, even against 437 00:24:26.890 --> 00:24:30.569 Macy Chaisson, she can probably pull off. So as much 438 00:24:30.630 --> 00:24:35.009 as it's greasy, as much as it's nasty, I still 439 00:24:35.049 --> 00:24:36.970 got to pick Bia, you guys. I still got to 440 00:24:37.009 --> 00:24:39.690 pick Bia. The thing I like, I want to take 441 00:24:39.730 --> 00:24:42.069 a little sprinkle on that knockout prop, you guys. She's 442 00:24:42.089 --> 00:24:45.609 got one KO to her resume, but she is looking 443 00:24:45.730 --> 00:24:50.619 for it in every single fight. I know Macy is 444 00:24:50.680 --> 00:24:53.740 very difficult to put away. So I do think the 445 00:24:53.799 --> 00:24:57.759 most likely method of victory is the submission at minus 120. 446 00:24:57.759 --> 00:25:00.359 But again, that's her escape hatch. That's not the thing 447 00:25:00.400 --> 00:25:02.380 she's looking for. That's not what she's going in there 448 00:25:02.420 --> 00:25:05.769 to do. She wants to get a TKO and she 449 00:25:05.809 --> 00:25:07.710 just ends up having to settle for the sub more 450 00:25:07.789 --> 00:25:10.400 often than not. So. If you're going to make a 451 00:25:10.430 --> 00:25:13.500 larger investment, I would say bet the sub prop. But 452

00:25:13.519 --> 00:25:15.400 if you're looking to get crazy and you want to 453 00:25:15.420 --> 00:25:18.099 sprinkle something with some long odds, hopefully set you up 454 00:25:18.119 --> 00:25:20.339 for the rest of the night, a little taste of 455 00:25:20.380 --> 00:25:23.019 that TKO, right? That's probably what I'm going to do. 456 00:25:23.079 --> 00:25:26.210 I think I'll have a little taste of that TKO. Dixon, 457 00:25:26.230 --> 00:25:29.230 my man says, Clint, I'm absolutely terrified. Bill might not 458 00:25:29.269 --> 00:25:31.289 be able to get Macy down because of the massive 459 00:25:31.390 --> 00:25:33.950 size difference. Please tell me it's going to be okay. 460 00:25:34.609 --> 00:25:36.410 I do think it's going to be okay. Dixon. I 461 00:25:36.450 --> 00:25:39.799 do think it's going to be okay. Macy, uh, while 462 00:25:39.839 --> 00:25:43.240 she is a pretty good grappler, she's not the best 463 00:25:43.420 --> 00:25:49.299 wrestler in the world. And she also, uh, She also 464 00:25:49.359 --> 00:25:51.059 pulls guard. I don't know if you guys noticed that. 465 00:25:51.079 --> 00:25:53.119 And like her last couple of fights, she's been just 466 00:25:53.400 --> 00:25:55.970 willing to go down to the ground more often than not. 467 00:25:56.589 --> 00:25:58.390 She has a here. I'm looking this up for you 468 00:25:58.430 --> 00:26:00.430 right on the fly here at Dixon. She's got a 469 00:26:00.410 --> 00:26:06.589 62% takedown defense rating, 62. And the UFC knows exactly 470 00:26:07.089 --> 00:26:10.259 what they're doing. Okay. Ketlin Vieira. She don't shoot takedowns. 471 00:26:10.720 --> 00:26:13.140 Yana Santos. She don't shoot takedowns. 472 00:26:13.359 --> 00:26:13.579 Right. 473 00:26:13.700 --> 00:26:18.890 Myra Bueno Silva. She don't shoot takedowns. Piani Canzada. She's 474 00:26:18.930 --> 00:26:22.750 not good. She got a takedown. In Chason's last fight 475 00:26:22.849 --> 00:26:25.750 against Aileen Perez, who, by the way, even though she's 476 00:26:25.789 --> 00:26:27.670 like a beefcake, and I know everybody loves that she 477 00:26:27.710 --> 00:26:30.789 shakes her ass, like, let's be real, she's not like 478 00:26:30.829 --> 00:26:35.410 a hardcore American wrestler. She got six takedowns. Six out 479 00:26:35.450 --> 00:26:39.619 of ten takedowns. Like, this girl knows how to wrestle 480 00:26:39.700 --> 00:26:45.220 her ass off, Dixon. She's a real wrestling threat, training 481 00:26:45.279 --> 00:26:48.910 at ATT of all places. She can wrestle here, buddy. 482 00:26:49.170 --> 00:26:52.259 She'll be all right. I think she can get the takedowns. 483 00:26:53.970 --> 00:26:59.059 Next up, Jared Gordon taking on Melky Costa. 155 and 484 00:26:59.099 --> 00:27:02.980 a half, roughly, for both men in this fight. I'm 485 00:27:03.079 --> 00:27:05.779 not going to get into the. 6 and. 7 bullshit. 486 00:27:06.160 --> 00:27:08.259 And they both hit 155 and a half. Close enough. 487 00:27:08.920 --> 00:27:12.339 We have got Melky making his move back up to 488 00:27:12.339 --> 00:27:16.069 155 pounds. And, guys, it makes me just all kinds 489 00:27:16.109 --> 00:27:18.890 of queasy inside. He's coming into this thing hot. Like, 490 00:27:18.910 --> 00:27:21.339 you listen to his interviews, and he's like, Jared, I'm sorry. Like, 491 00:27:21.380 --> 00:27:22.900 I'm going to hurt you. I'm going to finish you. Like, 492 00:27:23.200 --> 00:27:26.319 he is spouting all kinds of talk coming into this fight. 493 00:27:26.619 --> 00:27:28.380 And I kind of get it. You know, he's got 494 00:27:28.400 --> 00:27:31.180 a ton of experience, 26 and 8, which is just 495 00:27:31.220 --> 00:27:34.059 a ridiculous amount of fights at 30 years old. But 496 00:27:34.079 --> 00:27:36.799 he's got nine knockouts. He's got eight subs. Like, this 497 00:27:36.819 --> 00:27:40.880 guy is a very violent finisher. But I've been talking 498 00:27:40.900 --> 00:27:42.809 about this all week, you guys. I can't figure him out. 499 00:27:43.250 --> 00:27:45.190 I can't figure him out. So you lose to a 500 00:27:45.210 --> 00:27:47.730 guy like Steve Garcia, who's chinny as fuck, by the way, 501 00:27:48.269 --> 00:27:50.319 you lose to a guy like Arnold Allen, who everybody 502 00:27:50.339 --> 00:27:52.519 thought was shot. Obviously he still got it. I'm not 503 00:27:52.559 --> 00:27:54.380 saying like he is shot or he shouldn't have won 504 00:27:54.400 --> 00:27:56.500 that fight or blah, blah, blah. But like, you know, 505 00:27:57.119 --> 00:27:58.740 it's kind of a bad look in this stage of 506 00:27:58.779 --> 00:28:00.480 the game to be losing to Arnold Allen. All the 507 00:28:00.519 --> 00:28:03.289 guys who are real threats in the weight class are 508 00:28:03.390 --> 00:28:06.430 beating Arnold Allen. And after losing to Arnold Allen, you're 509 00:28:06.470 --> 00:28:09.069 switching weight classes. Like it just kind of feels weird 510 00:28:09.130 --> 00:28:11.609 to me. He became the first guy to ever finish 511 00:28:11.670 --> 00:28:14.359 Danny gay. And it feels like a bit of a 512 00:28:14.460 --> 00:28:17.660 fluke with that, like, spinning heel kick. And even though 513 00:28:17.700 --> 00:28:20.339 he did Morgan Charrier dirty and, like, took him out, like, 514 00:28:20.579 --> 00:28:23.279 he took that dude off his feet. Like, he completely 515 00:28:23.380 --> 00:28:27.720 destroyed Morgan Charrier. But he couldn't knock out Julian Arosa. 516 00:28:28.400 --> 00:28:31.299 He went 15 minutes striking with Julian Arosa, who doesn't 517 00:28:31.359 --> 00:28:34.079 move his head, who's got the smallest little pea head 518 00:28:34.119 --> 00:28:37.359 you've ever seen in your life. He couldn't knock that 519 00:28:37.400 --> 00:28:40.640 guy out. He just retired. He was right around the 520 00:28:40.680 --> 00:28:42.740 corner from retirement. Can't get that guy out of there. 521 00:28:43.309 --> 00:28:46.230 just weird. It's just weird.

Like sometimes he goes in 522 00:28:46.250 --> 00:28:47.730 there and he's able to get the damn thing done. 523 00:28:47.750 --> 00:28:50.089 And then other times, I don't know if it's a 524 00:28:50.109 --> 00:28:52.089 mentality thing. I don't know if it's a game plan thing, 525 00:28:52.109 --> 00:28:54.190 but like, it's just weird that sometimes he can land 526 00:28:54.230 --> 00:28:57.569 like these crushing kicks that you're like, Oh fuck. And 527 00:28:57.589 --> 00:29:00.210 then other times he's just, it's almost like he doesn't 528 00:29:00.299 --> 00:29:02.490 got it. Like his opponents aren't phased by it, which 529 00:29:02.650 --> 00:29:03.910 I don't, I don't know what to do about that. 530 00:29:04.450 --> 00:29:07.279 Jared Gordon is 38 years old. And even though he 531 00:29:07.319 --> 00:29:09.299 has been in the UFC for a very long time, 532 00:29:09.359 --> 00:29:12.880 he's turned from decision machine to knockout artist. You know, 533 00:29:12.900 --> 00:29:14.759 you look at his last two wins, Mark Madsen and 534 00:29:14.779 --> 00:29:19.240 Tiago Moises. Smoked those dudes. Absolutely smoked those dudes. Comes forward, 535 00:29:19.279 --> 00:29:22.690 heavy boxing pressure, attacks the body, gets in the pocket, rolls, 536 00:29:23.009 --> 00:29:26.130 hits hard. He's a little beefcake. He's a little muscle shark. 537 00:29:26.529 --> 00:29:28.650 But he's fallen on kind of hard times, right? Like 538 00:29:28.670 --> 00:29:32.710 he lost to Rafa Garcia and Jim Miller in back-to-back fights. 539 00:29:33.170 --> 00:29:35.970 The Rafa Garcia one, yes, yes, yes. The car accident. 540 00:29:35.990 --> 00:29:38.250 So not entirely his fault. Like the floor fell out 541 00:29:38.309 --> 00:29:41.099 on his durability in that fight. And a cardio freak 542 00:29:41.420 --> 00:29:44.220 who is apparently a stronger bully wrestler than him and 543 00:29:44.259 --> 00:29:46.680 Rafa was able to TKO him in the third round. 544 00:29:46.980 --> 00:29:51.019 But Jim Miller, that's the one that's like, you know, 545 00:29:51.460 --> 00:29:53.539 we'll talk about Jim Miller a little bit later. All 546 00:29:53.579 --> 00:29:56.039 respect to Jim Miller, dude, doing this thing, doing the 547 00:29:56.059 --> 00:29:58.769 damn thing as old as he is. Can't say a 548 00:29:58.789 --> 00:30:02.059 bad thing about him. But for Jared Gordon, that's the 549 00:30:02.200 --> 00:30:04.380 spot where you're like, buddy, you shouldn't be losing to 550 00:30:04.420 --> 00:30:08.779 Jim Miller. You know, like if you're still if you're 551 00:30:08.799 --> 00:30:11.619 still around, if you're still something, you shouldn't be losing 552 00:30:11.640 --> 00:30:15.190 to Jim Miller at this stage. But he's 38 years old, man. 553 00:30:15.210 --> 00:30:17.029 What are you going to do? You know, he joined 554 00:30:17.670 --> 00:30:20.549 he joined Team Violence. And ever since then, it's been 555 00:30:20.589 --> 00:30:22.650 live and die by the sword

for a guy like 556 00:30:22.690 --> 00:30:25.920 Jared Gordon. And that's not how he used to fight. Um, yeah. 557 00:30:25.940 --> 00:30:28.500 Super green samurai says Melky filled out. He did a 558 00:30:28.619 --> 00:30:30.519 little bit, but I mean like, just look at the 559 00:30:30.720 --> 00:30:33.700 thickness difference here. Like, I feel like there is a 560 00:30:33.940 --> 00:30:39.940 frame difference here. Jared is not that much shorter than Melky. 561 00:30:40.259 --> 00:30:43.539 Like I, I know the shoulders, the shoulders are different. 562 00:30:43.559 --> 00:30:47.200 Like Melky's taller than him, but like, look how round 563 00:30:47.279 --> 00:30:50.380 the shoulders are. Look how broad he is from his 564 00:30:50.440 --> 00:30:54.700 back to his chest. Like Jared Gordon is a thick dude. 565 00:30:55.210 --> 00:30:58.630 compared to Melky Costa. And then when you look at 566 00:30:58.789 --> 00:31:01.930 what Melky Costa, I still can't say his full name. 567 00:31:01.950 --> 00:31:05.049 I'm just going to stick with Melky. Look at what 568 00:31:05.150 --> 00:31:10.250 Melky Costa's run looked like. Again, the Steve Garcia fight 569 00:31:10.269 --> 00:31:11.890 was the one that made him change weight classes in 570 00:31:11.910 --> 00:31:16.390 the first place. That was at 155. Tiago Moises, who 571 00:31:16.589 --> 00:31:20.569 at this point is like a throwaway, handled him and 572 00:31:20.609 --> 00:31:22.799 choked him out in the second round. That was at 573 00:31:22.799 --> 00:31:26.109 155 guys. He's two and he's one and two. He's 574 00:31:26.569 --> 00:31:28.690 one and two. No, no, no, no. The Austin lingo 575 00:31:28.710 --> 00:31:31.210 fight was at one 45. Holy shit. I thought, I 576 00:31:31.250 --> 00:31:33.809 thought he went three fights in a row at one 55. 577 00:31:33.809 --> 00:31:37.089 I did not realize that the lingo fight was actually 578 00:31:37.130 --> 00:31:40.980 down at one 45. Okay. So he's officially Owen two 579 00:31:41.240 --> 00:31:43.579 at 155 pounds in the UFC. You guys, he has 580 00:31:43.720 --> 00:31:46.099 yet to win a UFC fight at 155 pounds. I just, 581 00:31:46.180 --> 00:31:52.509 all of this to say, Yes, the UFC is absolutely 582 00:31:52.589 --> 00:31:56.089 setting up Melky Costa to knock out old man Jared 583 00:31:56.130 --> 00:32:00.039 Gordon to get a decent name on his resume to 584 00:32:00.079 --> 00:32:03.279 make him, you know, get him that much more hyped up, 585 00:32:03.339 --> 00:32:08.779 bring him along. But, like, I cannot get the fluke 586 00:32:08.900 --> 00:32:11.220 Andre Feely fight out of my head, you guys. I 587 00:32:11.279 --> 00:32:14.079 can't get the fact that Andre Feely at 145 pounds, 588 00:32:14.119 --> 00:32:17.480 string bean, old ass Andre Feely, was able to just, like, 589 00:32:17.539 --> 00:32:19.599 out-hustle him and take him down, put him on his back. 590 00:32:21.519 --> 00:32:23.420 You're crazy if you don't think Jared Gordon can do 591 00:32:23.480 --> 00:32:27.319 that to him. Jared Gordon can absolutely wrestle this kid. 592 00:32:27.359 --> 00:32:29.789 If Tiago Moises can school you on the floor, so 593 00:32:29.809 --> 00:32:32.650 can Jared Gordon. If Andre Feely can take you down 594 00:32:32.990 --> 00:32:34.710 and put you in bad positions and make you fish 595 00:32:34.730 --> 00:32:39.200 for guillotines, so can Jared Gordon. And that's where I'm like, fuck, man. 596 00:32:40.349 --> 00:32:43.410 Jared Gordon might be shot, but he still has that 597 00:32:43.450 --> 00:32:45.990 wrestling in his back pocket. And I don't think Milky's 598 00:32:46.009 --> 00:32:48.470 going to sit up into a guillotine. That doesn't work, 599 00:32:48.549 --> 00:32:52.750 by the way. You catch white belts with that shit. 600 00:32:52.769 --> 00:32:56.019 You catch guys on their first day of jiu-jitsu class 601 00:32:56.059 --> 00:32:58.059 that don't know what they're doing with that shit. You 602 00:32:58.210 --> 00:33:01.220 don't catch UFC fighters. I will die on the hill 603 00:33:01.720 --> 00:33:03.880 that that Andre Feely fight was one that he threw 604 00:33:04.000 --> 00:33:07.839 because that choke does not happen. That choke just simply 605 00:33:07.920 --> 00:33:13.450 does not happen. I can't. lay minus 400 on Melky Costa. Now, 606 00:33:14.049 --> 00:33:18.710 plus 125 for a knockout prop on Melky? That's a 607 00:33:18.779 --> 00:33:21.240 little more speak in my language. Bank on the fact 608 00:33:21.279 --> 00:33:25.099 that he's supposed to win this fight. He's younger. He's longer. 609 00:33:25.440 --> 00:33:27.759 He likes to kick. Like, you want to use all 610 00:33:27.779 --> 00:33:29.920 of those talking points and be like, yeah, I think 611 00:33:29.960 --> 00:33:32.150 he's going to knock him out? Okay, I'll give you that. 612 00:33:32.829 --> 00:33:35.309 I'll give you that. And at least we're getting a 613 00:33:35.450 --> 00:33:38.809 plus number at that point, right? So Melky Costa by 614 00:33:38.849 --> 00:33:42.490 knockout is plus 125. Milky by decision, which that'd be 615 00:33:42.549 --> 00:33:46.869 greasy as shit, is plus 250. Jared Gordon by decision 616 00:33:46.930 --> 00:33:52.119 is plus 550. Now, did any of you guys listen 617 00:33:52.150 --> 00:33:54.839 to my prop show earlier this week? Am I crazy? 618 00:33:56.500 --> 00:34:01.859 Wasn't that plus 650? When I did Clint's Hot Props 619 00:34:02.960 --> 00:34:06.599 just a day or so ago, wasn't Jared Gordon by 620 00:34:06.640 --> 00:34:14.389 decision plus 650? interesting i'm gonna have to run my 621 00:34:14.449 --> 00:34:17.210 own show back i'm gonna have to run my own 622 00:34:17.329 --> 00:34:19.889 show back and see what that number was because i 623 00:34:19.949 --> 00:34:23.130 quoted it on that show and if it dropped a 624 00:34:23.190 --> 00:34:27.659 whole dollar from jared gordon plus 650 to plus 550 625 00:34:27.659 --> 00:34:35.460 that's that's interesting that's

interesting uh Timothy, my man, milky 626 00:34:35.599 --> 00:34:38.960 sub after dropping Jared on the feet. What a call. 627 00:34:39.119 --> 00:34:42.320 The club and sub. My man, appreciate the donation. Thank 628 00:34:42.340 --> 00:34:46.190 you very much for being here. And Dixon agreeing with 629 00:34:46.230 --> 00:34:49.010 me that the fight was fixed and that he threw it. Yeah, yeah, 630 00:34:49.070 --> 00:34:51.969 I get that. I get that. Oh, that's interesting. Dixon 631 00:34:52.030 --> 00:34:57.159 shouting out most takedowns on DraftKings. Gordon is plus 275 632 00:34:57.159 --> 00:34:59.340 to have the most takedowns in the fight. I do 633 00:34:59.380 --> 00:35:02.280 think that's actually really interesting because why wouldn't Jared Gordon 634 00:35:02.300 --> 00:35:04.679 grapple in this fight? I feel like that's his best 635 00:35:04.800 --> 00:35:06.960 path to victory here is to put Melky on his back. 636 00:35:07.659 --> 00:35:09.360 And I don't know that Melky is going to like 637 00:35:10.590 --> 00:35:12.530 have a pissing contest and like make a point to 638 00:35:12.550 --> 00:35:14.710 take him back the other way. Like I think he's 639 00:35:14.730 --> 00:35:15.989 going to try and stay on the feet and kick him, 640 00:35:16.230 --> 00:35:19.630 you know, uh, go, go saying that Gordon's washed. He's 641 00:35:19.650 --> 00:35:20.989 been finished in four of his last seven. 642 00:35:21.010 --> 00:35:21.190 Yeah. 643 00:35:21.510 --> 00:35:23.550 And that's the, that's the threat here, right? That's the 644 00:35:23.590 --> 00:35:26.639 question mark. Um, I have never been sold on Melky 645 00:35:26.659 --> 00:35:29.320 being like a contender, uh, or like this next big thing. 646 00:35:29.559 --> 00:35:32.239 I think he's fine, but he's not a guy that 647 00:35:32.489 --> 00:35:34.150 I think is going to make waves. You know, you're 648 00:35:34.190 --> 00:35:37.289 not losing to Tiago Moises. You're not losing to Steve 649 00:35:37.309 --> 00:35:41.469 Garcia if you're a challenger, right? So I just don't 650 00:35:41.489 --> 00:35:43.389 think he's that good. You know, he's okay. Don't get 651 00:35:43.409 --> 00:35:45.949 me wrong. I'm not saying he's terrible or anything, but 652 00:35:46.050 --> 00:35:48.559 is a washed version of Jared Gordon able to out-wrestle 653 00:35:48.900 --> 00:35:52.980 Melky Costa? He might be. He might be. Johnny Boy saying, 654 00:35:53.000 --> 00:35:55.659 I think Hokid's taking the L. We'll see. We'll see. 655 00:35:55.780 --> 00:35:57.980 That's such a good fight. We'll get there. We'll get there. 656 00:35:58.820 --> 00:36:02.300 All right, everybody. Weird spot. Like I could see myself 657 00:36:02.449 --> 00:36:06.309 biting on plus 550 Jared Gordon by decision for like 658 00:36:06.349 --> 00:36:09.690 a long shot, crazy, crazy sprinkle. I have to pick Melky. 659 00:36:09.750 --> 00:36:11.630 I have to pick Melky KO, but that's kind of 660 00:36:11.670 --> 00:36:15.869 all predicated on Jared Gordon being shot, right? Weird fight. 661 00:36:16.150 --> 00:36:19.920 I don't like the number. Next up, you've got Dante 662 00:36:20.219 --> 00:36:27.019 Johnson taking on Cesar Almeida. This is an interesting 190-pound 663 00:36:27.260 --> 00:36:31.389 catch weight. here on this one. Shout out my man, 664 00:36:31.429 --> 00:36:33.630 Timothy in the chat says, I feel like this is 665 00:36:33.690 --> 00:36:35.269 going to be one of those cards with a ton 666 00:36:35.309 --> 00:36:39.079 of finishes. I'm predicting eight to 10 finishes, just something 667 00:36:39.099 --> 00:36:41.380 in the air this week. Timothy, thank you so much 668 00:36:41.599 --> 00:36:44.420 for chiming in. Thank you for the donation. I agree 669 00:36:44.460 --> 00:36:46.440 with you. I agree with you. You know, a lot 670 00:36:46.460 --> 00:36:49.590 of these cards, when you get a step up in competition, 671 00:36:49.659 --> 00:36:52.170 when these fights go to a slightly higher level, you 672 00:36:52.210 --> 00:36:54.829 actually end up seeing more decisions, right? Because these people 673 00:36:54.869 --> 00:36:58.510 have defense. They know how to survive submissions. They know 674 00:36:58.570 --> 00:37:02.170 how to breathe through tough spots. They know how to survive, 675 00:37:02.230 --> 00:37:05.090 find their happy place, and then get back into a fight. 676 00:37:05.510 --> 00:37:07.909 When you get these lower level fights or like the 677 00:37:07.969 --> 00:37:10.530 one we're about to talk about where there's like staggered 678 00:37:12.070 --> 00:37:15.570 skill sets, that's where you find those finishes. One guy 679 00:37:15.659 --> 00:37:18.219 doesn't know how to kickbox as well as the other. 680 00:37:18.360 --> 00:37:21.019 That becomes a problem. One guy cannot grapple as well 681 00:37:21.059 --> 00:37:23.559 as the other. That also becomes a problem. I think 682 00:37:23.599 --> 00:37:25.900 you have a very, very good read on this, and 683 00:37:25.940 --> 00:37:27.360 I'm with you, man. I think we're going to get 684 00:37:27.400 --> 00:37:29.550 a lot of finishes. Eight to ten is crazy. I 685 00:37:29.550 --> 00:37:31.289 don't know if we'll get that many, but the UFC 686 00:37:31.349 --> 00:37:39.500 very specifically has been matchmaking. For finishes. It's been much 687 00:37:39.559 --> 00:37:51.510 more of a thing. One second. UFC 334. Okay, I'm 688 00:37:51.530 --> 00:37:55.210 trying to find something here real quick here. Okay, so 689 00:37:55.530 --> 00:37:57.389 this one caught me off guard a little bit, you guys. 690 00:37:57.949 --> 00:37:59.989 We have a catch weight. I didn't realize this was 691 00:38:00.010 --> 00:38:05.239 going to be a catchweight. Dante Johnson, 189. Cesar Almeida, 189.5 692 00:38:05.239 --> 00:38:11.019 for a 190-pound catchweight. And I just pulled this up. Apparently, 693 00:38:12.039 --> 00:38:18.920 Almeida is the one who asked for a catchweight. I 694 00:38:19.059 -->

00:38:26.699 didn't realize this. Wow. Okay. So Cesar Almeida was having 695 00:38:26.840 --> 00:38:31.250 a tough time making weight, and apparently his team has 696 00:38:31.429 --> 00:38:35.780 asked for a catchweight coming into this fight. Interesting. Interesting. 697 00:38:36.500 --> 00:38:38.059 You got to wonder if getting a little bit older 698 00:38:38.079 --> 00:38:41.579 ain't taking some kind of a toll, you know? Coming 699 00:38:41.619 --> 00:38:44.960 off a first knockout, finished loss of his career, obviously 700 00:38:45.039 --> 00:38:52.030 kind of a decent-sized dude, getting a little older. Interesting. Interesting. Timothy, 701 00:38:52.130 --> 00:38:54.630 my man, this is minus 150. Fight ends by KO. 702 00:38:54.829 --> 00:38:56.809 I just might need to hammer. I don't mind it. 703 00:38:57.230 --> 00:39:01.940 I don't mind it. It is interesting. Dixon agreeing with 704 00:39:01.960 --> 00:39:04.059 me here that Cesar asking for a catchweight the day 705 00:39:04.099 --> 00:39:07.320 before is suspect for real, for freaking real. Honestly, guys, 706 00:39:07.380 --> 00:39:09.059 I think that explains a lot of the line move here. 707 00:39:09.079 --> 00:39:12.280 So let me get into this. Dante Johnson, right? Team 708 00:39:12.300 --> 00:39:14.679 Spectation Sports. We like this guy. We're cheering for this guy. 709 00:39:14.719 --> 00:39:16.090 We want him to do well. We want him to 710 00:39:16.119 --> 00:39:19.090 be good. All that kind of stuff. He is a 711 00:39:19.679 --> 00:39:22.340 freak of nature like look look at his chest look 712 00:39:22.360 --> 00:39:25.489 at his shoulders if he turns sideways he's like twice 713 00:39:25.530 --> 00:39:28.809 as wide he's short he's stocky he's built like a 714 00:39:28.889 --> 00:39:32.909 tank uh he's very physical he's very strong but the 715 00:39:32.949 --> 00:39:36.300 thing is i'm not sure how good he is at 716 00:39:36.760 --> 00:39:42.440 anything like like literally nothing he can wrestle He's not great. Like, 717 00:39:42.619 --> 00:39:46.780 he can strike. He's not great. He just went out 718 00:39:46.800 --> 00:39:49.010 to Thailand for this camp. I love that. He's working 719 00:39:49.070 --> 00:39:51.550 on his striking. That's good. He's investing in himself. He's 720 00:39:51.570 --> 00:39:56.110 investing into his future as an MMA fighter. His jiu-jitsu scrambles. 721 00:39:56.150 --> 00:39:58.769 His submission defense checked out against Cody Brundage. But, like, 722 00:39:59.309 --> 00:40:02.710 it seems like he's not quite there yet. Like, he's 723 00:40:02.730 --> 00:40:05.690 got a lot of upside, but we still don't really 724 00:40:05.750 --> 00:40:09.070 know what he is. What he does have is just raw, 725 00:40:09.190 --> 00:40:12.260 unfiltered performance. This guy loves to strike. He's got that 726 00:40:12.320 --> 00:40:14.260 big old back with all that muscle, and he puts 727 00:40:14.340 --> 00:40:17.980 it into everything. When he hits people, they fall down. 728 00:40:18.059 --> 00:40:20.199 He's got a lot of round one KOs, but he's 729 00:40:20.219 --> 00:40:23.400 a little wild. He swings crazy, and that's the thing 730 00:40:23.420 --> 00:40:25.090 that kind of worries me about him in this fight 731 00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:29.610 because Cesar Almeida is a battle-tested world-class kickboxer. This guy 732 00:40:29.809 --> 00:40:34.130 is very, very, very good at striking, and the majority 733 00:40:34.150 --> 00:40:35.809 of people in the UFC that have needed to beat 734 00:40:35.869 --> 00:40:38.710 him have needed to wrestle to take him down. Did 735 00:40:38.829 --> 00:40:42.489 Johnson go to ATT for this camp? Did he call 736 00:40:42.570 --> 00:40:45.170 up the MMA lab? Did he hang out with Ben 737 00:40:45.269 --> 00:40:48.460 Askren or Daniel Cormier? No, he went to Thailand. So 738 00:40:48.500 --> 00:40:50.300 I'm like, man, this kid's coming in here thinking he's 739 00:40:50.320 --> 00:40:52.940 going to strike with a world class kickboxer. That scares 740 00:40:52.960 --> 00:40:55.139 the ever living piss out of me. Now, even though 741 00:40:55.159 --> 00:40:58.260 he's at a slight size disadvantage here, I'll bet you 742 00:40:58.280 --> 00:41:00.530 if they turned and faced frontward on the camera, like 743 00:41:00.630 --> 00:41:03.530 I think he's probably wider than Cesar Almeida. So he's 744 00:41:03.570 --> 00:41:05.840 probably still stronger. He's got that big old back on him. 745 00:41:06.269 --> 00:41:08.389 I do think he can kind of bully Cesar Almeida, 746 00:41:08.409 --> 00:41:11.070 but Almeida's footwork is something that I think is probably 747 00:41:11.110 --> 00:41:13.789 going to give him problems. Now, to the betting line, 748 00:41:13.829 --> 00:41:16.460 because this is the part that I think really makes 749 00:41:16.500 --> 00:41:19.719 things interesting. He was a decent-sized favorite throughout the week, 750 00:41:20.079 --> 00:41:22.139 but money has been coming in on Cesar Almeida, and 751 00:41:22.179 --> 00:41:24.159 I've been seeing it online. I see a lot of 752 00:41:24.239 --> 00:41:26.960 love for Cesar Almeida. He feels like a very, very 753 00:41:27.079 --> 00:41:29.389 public dog to me here this week. I see a 754 00:41:29.650 --> 00:41:31.550 lot of people seeing the same things that I am, 755 00:41:31.590 --> 00:41:34.719 that he might struggle with the striking problems In this fight, 756 00:41:34.760 --> 00:41:36.989 and Cesar will have the advantage there, even coming off 757 00:41:37.030 --> 00:41:42.590 the KO loss. Pardon me. Getting too excited. Talking too fast. 758 00:41:43.309 --> 00:41:46.750 Need to hydrate a little bit. So there's been a 759 00:41:46.989 --> 00:41:51.250 U-shaped line move here. Money came in on Dante. Bet 760 00:41:51.269 --> 00:41:53.809 him up. Money came in on Cesar. Bet him down. 761 00:41:53.929 --> 00:41:56.070 And now as we're getting closer to fight time, the 762 00:41:56.090 -->

00:41:58.539 money's coming back in on Dante. He's gone from minus 763 00:41:58.539 --> 00:42:01.380 170 up to minus 185 again. So he's steaming away 764 00:42:01.460 --> 00:42:04.050 again as the favorite here. And that's That's the move 765 00:42:04.070 --> 00:42:06.929 that lets me know that the people who have the 766 00:42:06.969 --> 00:42:09.050 money are the people that have the knowledge, the books 767 00:42:09.090 --> 00:42:14.500 who respect certain betters. Dante Johnson is the side here 768 00:42:14.840 --> 00:42:18.500 probably that you want to be on, right? That U-shaped 769 00:42:18.539 --> 00:42:20.880 line movement is something I pay very, very close attention to. 770 00:42:21.260 --> 00:42:22.980 I just don't know if I want to lay minus 771 00:42:22.980 --> 00:42:24.960 200 on it because I don't know what Dante Johnson's 772 00:42:25.000 --> 00:42:26.820 plan is. I don't know if he's going to wrestle. 773 00:42:27.500 --> 00:42:29.469 I don't know if he's going to strike. I feel 774 00:42:29.510 --> 00:42:32.309 like he finds a way to win this fight. but 775 00:42:32.349 --> 00:42:34.809 I don't know if I want to be laying minus 776 00:42:34.809 --> 00:42:38.530 185 to see him figure it out. Now asking for 777 00:42:38.610 --> 00:42:41.550 a catch weight, we're finding out the day before the 778 00:42:41.650 --> 00:42:46.639 fight that has me wondering, well, why did he miss weight? 779 00:42:47.059 --> 00:42:51.199 A lifelong professional martial artist who, to my knowledge, I 780 00:42:51.219 --> 00:42:54.860 don't think we've ever had weight problems with Caesar. Have we? 781 00:42:54.900 --> 00:42:56.539 Let me, let me pull this up here real quick. 782 00:42:56.579 --> 00:43:00.260 I don't think he's ever, missed in the UFC. I 783 00:43:00.300 --> 00:43:04.099 will correct myself if that is not the case. Nope. 784 00:43:04.659 --> 00:43:07.179 So in his entire MMA career, he has not flagged 785 00:43:07.199 --> 00:43:09.360 for any type of weight issues. And now coming into 786 00:43:09.380 --> 00:43:10.960 this fight, all of a sudden he needs to catch weight. 787 00:43:10.980 --> 00:43:14.449 Does he have a bum ankle? Could he not do 788 00:43:14.489 --> 00:43:17.250 his cardio? Like, you know what I mean? Something's going 789 00:43:17.309 --> 00:43:20.210 on there. The line move going back to Dante Johnson 790 00:43:20.389 --> 00:43:22.989 and finding out that Cesar requested a catch weight, those 791 00:43:23.070 --> 00:43:26.269 two things are putting me firmly on the Johnson side 792 00:43:26.309 --> 00:43:29.389 of things. It just kind of connecting dots here live 793 00:43:29.489 --> 00:43:32.130 on the show for you guys. I thought it was 794 00:43:32.170 --> 00:43:34.849 kind of dogger past betting earlier on in the week, 795 00:43:35.190 --> 00:43:37.929 but we are looking at a younger guy who the 796 00:43:38.030 --> 00:43:42.849 UFC likes, who is undefeated, who they're trying to build. 797 00:43:43.389 --> 00:43:45.369 And then an older guy who just got knocked out 798 00:43:45.449 --> 00:43:48.349 there in the feeding him to the youth phase of 799 00:43:48.409 --> 00:43:52.090 his career. So the UFC definitely wants Dante Johnson to 800 00:43:52.110 --> 00:43:54.710 win this fight. My whole thing is I'm just struggling 801 00:43:54.750 --> 00:43:58.090 to figure out how, right? Does he go in there 802 00:43:58.130 --> 00:43:59.869 and do the same thing that Damian Pinas did and 803 00:43:59.889 --> 00:44:04.489 just nuke Cesar Almeida? I don't think he does. Just 804 00:44:04.530 --> 00:44:06.969 because I'm not sure he's that smooth of a striker, 805 00:44:07.070 --> 00:44:08.329 I don't know that he'd be able to catch him 806 00:44:08.610 --> 00:44:11.010 the way that Damian Pinas did. I think he has 807 00:44:11.030 --> 00:44:13.429 to grapple. And then if he does grapple, does he 808 00:44:13.510 --> 00:44:19.489 wear out? Cesar Almeida or TKO him? That's the thing. 809 00:44:19.539 --> 00:44:21.960 I'm not sure how this plays out. It's a weird 810 00:44:22.039 --> 00:44:25.179 one because I guess I have to go Dante Johnson 811 00:44:25.199 --> 00:44:28.139 by KO. I am not confident in this pick at all, 812 00:44:28.280 --> 00:44:30.280 as you guys can tell. If anything, I would be 813 00:44:30.380 --> 00:44:34.980 fading the old man needing the extra weight. And I'd 814 00:44:35.059 --> 00:44:37.690 be tailing a line move. If I was going to 815 00:44:37.730 --> 00:44:40.030 do anything on Dante Johnson, those are the things pushing 816 00:44:40.070 --> 00:44:42.250 me to that side. So otherwise, I'm just going to 817 00:44:42.530 --> 00:44:44.650 rely on the youth. This is probably not a fight 818 00:44:44.690 --> 00:44:46.949 that I want to have a whole lot of investment 819 00:44:47.030 --> 00:44:49.429 in unless somebody gets a hold of my ear and 820 00:44:49.469 --> 00:44:52.780 tells me something that I really need to know. Perp show. 821 00:44:52.860 --> 00:44:56.139 What is up, my man? Saying Johnson's my current favorite fighter. 822 00:44:57.030 --> 00:44:59.929 Two-way action on the KO here is these two just 823 00:45:00.130 --> 00:45:02.050 a no-brainer. I agree with you, Timothy. I think that's 824 00:45:02.090 --> 00:45:05.710 a good bet. Vaneezy, Ryan in the chat. What's going on, buddy? 825 00:45:05.989 --> 00:45:08.789 He says, read my article. Love you, man. I'll check 826 00:45:08.829 --> 00:45:11.230 it out, my friend. I'll check it out. Gonna be 827 00:45:11.369 --> 00:45:14.769 a good fight this week. He says, Johnson KO won 828 00:45:14.789 --> 00:45:19.900 his round plus 550. Really? Okay. All right. All right. 829 00:45:19.960 --> 00:45:22.920 Dave Johnson says, Dante should win, but He's just so 830 00:45:22.980 --> 00:45:27.699 untrustworthy family connection there. Dave Dante, both Johnson. No, I'm kidding. Um, 831 00:45:28.059 --> 00:45:30.380 meet what's going on. Meet rocket. Welcome into the show. 832

00:45:30.400 --> 00:45:33.030 This is in fact live, my friend, by the way, 833 00:45:33.090 --> 00:45:34.969 you should be able to tell, I don't know if 834 00:45:34.989 --> 00:45:37.349 you guys can see this. Does it say live up 835 00:45:37.389 --> 00:45:39.289 here for you? It says live up here for me. 836 00:45:39.389 --> 00:45:41.989 I can see a little, little thing here that says live. Um, 837 00:45:42.050 --> 00:45:43.889 but if you're, if you're tuning in on YouTube, it 838 00:45:43.929 --> 00:45:46.050 should also actually tell you if I'm live or if 839 00:45:46.139 --> 00:45:52.090 it's a prerecorded thing, but it's definitely live, my man. Um, Yes. Dixon. 840 00:45:52.250 --> 00:45:54.030 I did see you as men in prison. Thank God 841 00:45:54.070 --> 00:45:55.829 for that. I mean, that's the kind of shit, man, 842 00:45:56.130 --> 00:45:58.010 they need to be cracking down on that kind of thing. I, 843 00:45:58.360 --> 00:46:03.639 I can't stand the gang begging thug life bullshit. Catch, 844 00:46:03.840 --> 00:46:06.619 catch a guy sleeping, jump on him with six year buddies. 845 00:46:06.659 --> 00:46:08.780 Like that's the kind of shit that I'm like, bury 846 00:46:08.800 --> 00:46:11.400 them out back. Like that's, we do not need any 847 00:46:11.440 --> 00:46:13.159 more of that shit. There's way too much of that 848 00:46:13.199 --> 00:46:16.119 kind of shit going on in the world. And, um, 849 00:46:16.989 --> 00:46:18.510 I can't stand it. You know, it's like, I know 850 00:46:18.550 --> 00:46:20.769 these guys are basically caged animals. I know a lot 851 00:46:20.789 --> 00:46:23.369 of MMA fighters have that type of mentality. And that's the, 852 00:46:23.730 --> 00:46:25.809 that's the side of the sport that I really can't stand. 853 00:46:25.889 --> 00:46:27.650 You know what I mean? I'm like, you get paid 854 00:46:28.110 --> 00:46:31.090 to fight, like just go, go cash a check, right? 855 00:46:31.190 --> 00:46:33.730 Get in the cage. Let us turn the cameras on. 856 00:46:33.769 --> 00:46:35.309 That's what you're trained to do. That's when you get 857 00:46:35.349 --> 00:46:37.889 to do it. Jumping Marab. Now, the only thing is 858 00:46:38.250 --> 00:46:41.449 I can't say like poor Marab, because you got to 859 00:46:41.650 --> 00:46:46.510 understand he did start it because he slapped the Nurmagomedov's kid. 860 00:46:46.989 --> 00:46:49.599 When he was like talking to him. So that's the thing, man. 861 00:46:49.619 --> 00:46:52.699 There's no innocent party in this. Like Merab shouldn't have 862 00:46:52.840 --> 00:46:56.000 touched the other dude. Right. He said something. Merab didn't 863 00:46:56.039 --> 00:46:57.480 like it. And he slapped the shit out of him 864 00:46:57.500 --> 00:46:59.880 that like people want to do like, oh, it's face 865 00:46:59.920 --> 00:47:02.690 to face. That's different. It's like, well, I mean, yes. 866 00:47:02.869 --> 00:47:04.929 Like what? I agree with you. Like one on one 867 00:47:05.010 --> 00:47:07.130 face to face. That is different. But at the same time. 868 00:47:07.780 --> 00:47:09.559 you don't get to just go slap people. So like 869 00:47:09.579 --> 00:47:12.019 keep your fucking hands to yourself. So like, I get 870 00:47:12.239 --> 00:47:14.800 why Usman was like, you slapped my boy. I will 871 00:47:14.820 --> 00:47:16.880 come slap you back. Like I get all that. But 872 00:47:16.940 --> 00:47:20.139 when you're also two weight classes larger and you've got 873 00:47:20.219 --> 00:47:22.280 six buddies behind you to jump a guy that's half 874 00:47:22.320 --> 00:47:25.429 your size, like that's bullshit. Like that's not the same thing. 875 00:47:25.469 --> 00:47:27.269 I don't know. The whole thing's fucked up. Merab shouldn't 876 00:47:27.289 --> 00:47:30.050 have slapped him. And then obviously Usman shouldn't have retaliated. 877 00:47:30.090 --> 00:47:32.230 That's those, that's the kind of situation where you're like, 878 00:47:32.550 --> 00:47:36.090 you're both wrong. I am glad Usman and his boys 879 00:47:36.130 --> 00:47:38.940 went to jail though. Cause people, people shouldn't be doing that. 880 00:47:39.000 --> 00:47:41.079 But yeah, it's, there, there is no, that's the thing. 881 00:47:41.139 --> 00:47:43.619 Everyone wants to take a side on this kind of thing. 882 00:47:43.940 --> 00:47:45.940 And we all need to open up our brains and go, 883 00:47:45.960 --> 00:47:49.230 you know, Marab was partially at fault too. Usman is 884 00:47:49.289 --> 00:47:52.590 not correct in jumping him. That's bad. He should not 885 00:47:52.630 --> 00:47:54.710 have done that. He deserves to go to prison for that. 886 00:47:54.829 --> 00:47:58.170 But also Marab is not entirely innocent. So, you know, 887 00:47:58.570 --> 00:48:00.789 you just, you gotta kind of be like, you both 888 00:48:00.829 --> 00:48:04.840 kind of fucked up on this one. Super green samurai 889 00:48:04.860 --> 00:48:08.130 saying Johnson's path to victory is ground and pound. uh, 890 00:48:08.349 --> 00:48:10.130 Caesar's too slick on the feet. And I think I 891 00:48:10.170 --> 00:48:12.449 agree with that. I think I agree with that. Uh, 892 00:48:12.510 --> 00:48:15.130 meat rocket. Yes. Dante Johnson is pretty good. It's just 893 00:48:15.150 --> 00:48:18.050 that he's still developing. That's my thing. Um, these developing 894 00:48:18.090 --> 00:48:22.559 guys catch the elderly. That's MMA. That's what happens. So, uh, 895 00:48:22.639 --> 00:48:26.639 definitely going to, um, side with Dante Johnson here on 896 00:48:26.679 --> 00:48:28.599 this one, that rude boy saying shout out to my 897 00:48:28.639 --> 00:48:31.980 Rob's boy. Yeah, that dude, uh, that little wrestle boxer 898 00:48:32.019 --> 00:48:34.860 kid throwing hands. He looked, he looked real. I know 899 00:48:34.900 --> 00:48:36.920 Dana pretended like he didn't know who he was, but, 900 00:48:37.369 --> 00:48:38.909 I'll bet you we'll see him on the next season 901

00:48:38.949 --> 00:48:42.789 of Dana White's Contender Series. Next up here, we have 902 00:48:42.889 --> 00:48:46.949 got Jim Aitzenmiller taking on Terrence T-Rex McKinney. And it's 903 00:48:46.989 --> 00:48:50.530 our second weight miss of the night. Jim Miller came 904 00:48:50.550 --> 00:48:54.369 in at 155, T-Rex 160.2. So, man, we've got a 905 00:48:54.570 --> 00:48:56.710 big weight miss here. I mean, we're talking four, four 906 00:48:56.730 --> 00:48:59.989 and a half pounds. I already was looking the way 907 00:49:00.010 --> 00:49:03.170 of Terrence McKinney on this one, you guys. I will never, 908 00:49:03.289 --> 00:49:05.719 I will never lay this kind of price tag. on 909 00:49:05.739 --> 00:49:08.940 a guy like Terrence McKinney. He's minus 205. I've got 910 00:49:08.960 --> 00:49:11.800 to pick him to win because he's younger, he's taller, 911 00:49:11.920 --> 00:49:16.070 he's longer, he's faster, he's more explosive. right? Like all 912 00:49:16.090 --> 00:49:19.210 of these things, like that's the reason I am picking 913 00:49:19.269 --> 00:49:23.590 Terrence McKinney. But at the same time, he wilts. He 914 00:49:23.639 --> 00:49:28.159 just completely gases. And it's not even gases. It's heart. 915 00:49:28.219 --> 00:49:29.760 You know what I mean? Like he doesn't have the 916 00:49:29.880 --> 00:49:33.179 heart to continue. He is one of the best hammers 917 00:49:33.199 --> 00:49:36.000 we've ever seen in the UFC. He's also maybe the 918 00:49:36.059 --> 00:49:39.750 worst nail we have ever seen. in the UFC. Now, 919 00:49:39.969 --> 00:49:43.070 what I did get is my buddy Jay, if you 920 00:49:43.090 --> 00:49:46.530 guys know on Twitter, the legend Jay himself, really good, better, 921 00:49:46.630 --> 00:49:50.170 high stakes, dude throws crazy stuff out there. Um, I 922 00:49:50.230 --> 00:49:52.210 saw him post the same game parlay. And again, I'm 923 00:49:52.230 --> 00:49:53.969 going to tip my cap to my guy, Jay, because 924 00:49:54.449 --> 00:49:57.039 I've always told you guys, my plays are my own. 925 00:49:57.400 --> 00:50:00.780 My brain work is my own, right? I win or 926 00:50:00.920 --> 00:50:03.519 lose on the back of my own analysis or my 927 00:50:03.599 --> 00:50:06.699 own shortcomings, uh, or the things that I, you know, 928 00:50:06.900 --> 00:50:09.469 miss or the bear traps I step in. It's all me. 929 00:50:10.139 --> 00:50:12.530 If I tail somebody, I'm man enough to tell you 930 00:50:12.570 --> 00:50:15.110 guys I'm tailing Jay on this play. You guys, it's 931 00:50:15.150 --> 00:50:19.929 the same game parlay Terrence McKinney, winning method by KO 932 00:50:20.349 --> 00:50:23.730 and under half a round. So you're basically betting on 933 00:50:23.769 --> 00:50:26.369 Terrence McKinney to win by knockout in the first two 934 00:50:26.389 --> 00:50:30.010 and a half minutes of this fight. No sub has 935 00:50:30.030 --> 00:50:33.409 to be a KO under half a round, not one 936 00:50:33.429 --> 00:50:36.489 and a half rounds, half a round. So I think 937 00:50:36.530 --> 00:50:39.889 that Terrence is going to come out the exact same 938 00:50:40.030 --> 00:50:43.880 way that he did against Kyle Nelson. And that's the thing. 939 00:50:44.550 --> 00:50:48.769 I think that works here, okay? Kyle Nelson got completely 940 00:50:48.849 --> 00:50:53.889 blown away in that fight. 24 seconds. Terrence just jumped 941 00:50:53.989 --> 00:50:56.610 on him and kept swinging. The ref had to pull 942 00:50:56.650 --> 00:50:59.429 him off. Jim Miller is 43 years old, you guys. 943 00:50:59.889 --> 00:51:02.039 I love Jim Miller as much as you guys do. 944 00:51:02.519 --> 00:51:04.539 I honestly would like to see him get his hand 945 00:51:04.599 --> 00:51:07.679 raised in this fight. That'd be fucking awesome. But I 946 00:51:07.780 --> 00:51:10.840 don't think he can handle the onslaught that's going to 947 00:51:10.900 --> 00:51:14.280 hit him from a guy like Terrence McKinney. You look 948 00:51:14.320 --> 00:51:17.539 back at his recent run, he was willing to get 949 00:51:17.579 --> 00:51:20.369 in there life and death with Jared Gordon. Now, maybe 950 00:51:20.530 --> 00:51:22.369 that's enough of a sign to say that, you know what, 951 00:51:22.409 --> 00:51:24.230 he can roll and counter and crack a guy like 952 00:51:24.269 --> 00:51:26.630 Terrence and put him away. He did it to Jared Gordon. 953 00:51:26.650 --> 00:51:29.510 Why can't he do it to Terrence? That's fair. Totally 954 00:51:29.590 --> 00:51:31.469 on the table. But then you look at the other 955 00:51:31.510 --> 00:51:33.699 guys he's beating, and it's like, well, Damon Jackson, that 956 00:51:33.719 --> 00:51:35.800 guy's losing on the regional scene now just a year 957 00:51:35.820 --> 00:51:38.880 or two later. Chase Hooper. He's kind of been fraud 958 00:51:38.920 --> 00:51:41.050 checked in the UFC as much as I love the guy. 959 00:51:41.429 --> 00:51:44.170 Bobby Green, that fight could have been stopped at any 960 00:51:44.409 --> 00:51:47.429 point in time. And Bobby was playing with him. Bobby 961 00:51:47.469 --> 00:51:50.219 wasn't looking to put him away. If Bobby had wanted 962 00:51:50.260 --> 00:51:52.920 to put him away, he absolutely could have, right? And 963 00:51:52.940 --> 00:51:55.960 that's going back two years. So now Jim is 43 964 00:51:55.960 --> 00:51:59.769 years old. He's older. He's taken more damage. And he 965 00:51:59.849 --> 00:52:01.829 really has been a kind of killer be killed guy 966 00:52:01.869 --> 00:52:04.639 in the first round. I respect the hell out of Jim. 967 00:52:05.219 --> 00:52:07.000 I just feel like we are reaching the end of 968 00:52:07.019 --> 00:52:09.780 the rope. You know, I can't keep going down this 969 00:52:09.860 --> 00:52:13.940 road with Jim Miller. Now, if Jim does win this fight, 970 00:52:14.199 --> 00:52:17.860 obviously it's because he manages to survive the early pressure 971 00:52:18.250 --> 00:52:22.309

from Terrence McKinney. And then he clubbing subs him or 972 00:52:22.369 --> 00:52:24.750 he just hits him with something coming back the other way. 973 00:52:24.969 --> 00:52:27.280 You know what I mean? Um, minus 200 on a 974 00:52:27.300 --> 00:52:30.139 guy like Terrence, who's basically a coin flip and falls 975 00:52:30.199 --> 00:52:32.960 apart after four minutes. You don't want to be laying 976 00:52:32.980 --> 00:52:35.500 minus 200 on that guy. Am I picking him to win? Yes. Yes, 977 00:52:35.559 --> 00:52:38.679 I am. Uh, him to win by knockout. Let's see 978 00:52:38.840 --> 00:52:42.840 exact method. KO is interesting to me. I know Jim 979 00:52:42.860 --> 00:52:45.210 has got a nasty submission threat, but the way Terrence, 980 00:52:45.309 --> 00:52:48.289 we've seen him like slump and fold over multiple times 981 00:52:48.349 --> 00:52:50.989 over the course of his career. Um, I think the 982 00:52:51.030 --> 00:52:53.389 KO is super live. Jim can just pound on him 983 00:52:53.429 --> 00:52:56.590 with his, with his hands. Um, And I don't think 984 00:52:56.639 --> 00:52:58.280 that Terrence is going to be dumb enough to go 985 00:52:58.320 --> 00:53:00.719 for a submission on a guy like Jim Miller. Like, 986 00:53:00.780 --> 00:53:04.800 why would you engage with a black belt the level 987 00:53:04.840 --> 00:53:08.300 of Jim fucking Miller? You don't. So I think Terrence 988 00:53:08.340 --> 00:53:11.110 McKinney by knockout is the move. By the way, watching 989 00:53:11.150 --> 00:53:14.690 these numbers, that went down from plus 125 to plus 120. 990 00:53:14.690 --> 00:53:18.489 So a very, very small move on this Terrence knockout prop. 991 00:53:18.909 --> 00:53:21.920 Jim Miller's KO prop is plus 700 and that is sexy. 992 00:53:22.300 --> 00:53:24.300 I would like to sprinkle a little bit of that 993 00:53:24.380 --> 00:53:26.420 if you're on the Jim Miller side of things. But 994 00:53:26.639 --> 00:53:30.039 with that same game parlay, I might look at this 995 00:53:30.159 --> 00:53:33.610 fight in spike KO because at minus 125, like I 996 00:53:33.639 --> 00:53:36.710 don't think I'm fading a Terrence McKinney sub in this 997 00:53:36.750 --> 00:53:39.650 fight because I don't see Terrence McKinney going for a sub. 998 00:53:39.730 --> 00:53:41.889 Obviously he can, but I just, I don't think that's 999 00:53:41.909 --> 00:53:44.090 going to be his path here. You are fading the 1000 00:53:44.110 --> 00:53:46.420 club and sub from Jim Miller. Absolutely. If Jim wins 1001 00:53:46.460 --> 00:53:49.880 this fight, the sub is absolutely live. And frankly, that's 1002 00:53:49.900 --> 00:53:52.400 his favorite prop that if he wins it, it's plus 1003 00:53:52.400 --> 00:53:55.760 300 for him to win by sub. But I think again, I, 1004 00:53:55.800 --> 00:54:00.019 we have enough evidence that when Terrence falters, um, he's 1005 00:54:00.079 --> 00:54:04.019 not necessarily level changing, right? He's not giving you his 1006 00:54:04.099 --> 00:54:07.960 neck for the opportunity. He's just kind of slumping, right? 1007 00:54:08.079 --> 00:54:11.719 He he's getting sparked body shot from Bobby green folded 1008 00:54:11.760 --> 00:54:14.539 him right now, the, the Anaconda choke from Chris Duncan 1009 00:54:14.599 --> 00:54:16.500 like that, you know, that kind of ruins my argument, but, 1010 00:54:16.800 --> 00:54:19.880 You know, the Esteban Rivivic's head kick. He just fell over. 1011 00:54:19.980 --> 00:54:22.639 You know what I mean? I think he can just 1012 00:54:22.679 --> 00:54:26.880 get straight up chopped in this fight. The Ismail Bonfim fight, 1013 00:54:26.900 --> 00:54:29.030 where he just wilted and covered up against the fence. 1014 00:54:30.860 --> 00:54:33.590 Fight ends by KO at minus 125. I think that's interesting. 1015 00:54:33.690 --> 00:54:35.829 That way you don't have to pick a side. You 1016 00:54:35.869 --> 00:54:37.650 don't have to take the under one and a half. 1017 00:54:38.210 --> 00:54:40.710 It's a bettable number. And then all you're doing is 1018 00:54:40.809 --> 00:54:44.690 fading the grappling. I kind of like that. I am 1019 00:54:44.750 --> 00:54:48.739 picking Terrence. but I think this fight is over quickly. Go, 1020 00:54:48.780 --> 00:54:50.590 go Flamingo. I like that look. He said, I got 1021 00:54:50.690 --> 00:54:53.250 either fighter to win in the first two minutes of 1022 00:54:53.309 --> 00:54:56.050 round one at plus 500. That's fun. I actually liked 1023 00:54:56.110 --> 00:55:00.050 that plus 200. I'm sorry. Plus 500 for either fighter 1024 00:55:00.510 --> 00:55:02.869 in the first two minutes. That's sexy, man. That's a 1025 00:55:02.909 --> 00:55:06.849 good bet. I like that. Um, AB what's up says 1026 00:55:07.889 --> 00:55:12.199 the Blanco Memorial dog of the week is Kevin Holland. 1027 00:55:12.219 --> 00:55:14.820 And I will say, I love that pick my guy. 1028 00:55:14.900 --> 00:55:17.679 I love that pick. Good luck. on the blanco memorial 1029 00:55:17.699 --> 00:55:20.239 dog of the week uh timothy my man thank you 1030 00:55:20.280 --> 00:55:23.130 very much again for sharing the love says it's going 1031 00:55:23.150 --> 00:55:26.710 to end quickly either way under half a round i 1032 00:55:26.730 --> 00:55:29.409 like that i like that and yeah meet uh we're 1033 00:55:29.429 --> 00:55:32.289 with you meet rocket i think everybody thinks uh it 1034 00:55:32.309 --> 00:55:34.110 would be great to watch jim miller win a fight 1035 00:55:34.159 --> 00:55:36.739 like this it would be awesome um as long as 1036 00:55:36.760 --> 00:55:38.500 he can keep it together and keep doing the damn 1037 00:55:38.519 --> 00:55:40.619 thing like we'll just keep cheering for him jim miller's 1038 00:55:40.699 --> 00:55:42.989 awesome He's a legend of the game, and these guys 1039 00:55:43.050 --> 00:55:44.929 phase out, and we miss them when they're gone. So 1040 00:55:44.989 --> 00:55:47.019 if he can keep stacking a

couple wins here and there, 1041 00:55:47.719 --> 00:55:51.619 I'm all for it. Next up, we have got Drew Dober, 1042 00:55:51.639 --> 00:55:55.380 and he's taking on Chris Duncan. 155.5 for both guys here. 1043 00:55:55.760 --> 00:55:59.550 Great face-off. We brought back the blue face paint for 1044 00:55:59.590 --> 00:56:03.010 Chris Duncan. You'll love to see it. Drew Dober, the 1045 00:56:03.050 --> 00:56:06.309 Crimson Chin himself. Shout-out my boy LiamPixFights for that nickname. 1046 00:56:06.389 --> 00:56:10.699 It suits him perfectly. Um, according to the sharp action report, 1047 00:56:10.719 --> 00:56:13.519 my guy, Andrew Babakidis, you guys, Chris Duncan is taking 1048 00:56:13.559 --> 00:56:15.590 a whole lot of sharp money on this one. Now 1049 00:56:16.139 --> 00:56:20.750 I picked Drew Dover as my link Memorial dog of 1050 00:56:20.849 --> 00:56:23.610 the week. We announced that, uh, early on the Monday 1051 00:56:23.650 --> 00:56:25.449 podcast that he was the dog of the week, but 1052 00:56:25.550 --> 00:56:29.469 I waited because I knew, I knew that I was 1053 00:56:29.510 --> 00:56:30.909 going to be on a bit of an Island here 1054 00:56:30.969 --> 00:56:32.800 on this one. I knew that people were going to 1055 00:56:32.820 --> 00:56:35.449 be coming in on Chris Duncan. Cause I, realistically, he 1056 00:56:35.469 --> 00:56:37.519 went on this run, you know, four fights in a row, 1057 00:56:37.539 --> 00:56:38.820 just kind of chopping people up. 1058 00:56:38.880 --> 00:56:39.079 Right. 1059 00:56:39.400 --> 00:56:41.539 And then he ran into Hanata Moikano, a guy who's 1060 00:56:41.559 --> 00:56:43.579 a much better grappler than him, a big step up 1061 00:56:43.619 --> 00:56:46.619 in competition, a former training partner, like, you know, all 1062 00:56:46.659 --> 00:56:48.820 that kind of stuff, just bad news bears, bad, bad 1063 00:56:48.920 --> 00:56:52.280 for a guy like Chris Duncan. So he loses that fight. Right. Um, 1064 00:56:52.460 --> 00:56:54.199 I think everybody's going to bet on him to bounce 1065 00:56:54.239 --> 00:56:55.699 back and kind of just pick up right where he 1066 00:56:55.719 --> 00:56:59.199 left off. The thing is, I think Drew Dober has 1067 00:56:59.239 --> 00:57:02.730 a better resume than than Duncan, and Duncan is a 1068 00:57:02.769 --> 00:57:05.789 guy who we've seen hurt really badly on the feet before, 1069 00:57:06.210 --> 00:57:07.869 and he kind of panics if he can't get his 1070 00:57:07.909 --> 00:57:11.469 wrestling going, and he is willing to firefight if it 1071 00:57:11.530 --> 00:57:13.929 turns into a striking match, and I think all of 1072 00:57:14.010 --> 00:57:17.090 those things favor Drew Dober. Dober's a guy who is 1073 00:57:17.289 --> 00:57:19.530 able to sprawl and brawl. He does have a decent 1074 00:57:19.590 --> 00:57:23.309 get-up game, and yes, he can get tagged. His durability 1075 00:57:23.349 --> 00:57:26.230 does seem to be fading a little bit, but if 1076 00:57:26.269 --> 00:57:28.360 these guys are going to throw down, obviously, I still 1077 00:57:28.380 --> 00:57:30.829 have to favor Dober. I still have to favor Dober 1078 00:57:30.869 --> 00:57:33.210 at this stage of their careers. He's coming off of 1079 00:57:33.230 --> 00:57:35.769 a couple of knockouts. And in the Michael Johnson fight, frankly, 1080 00:57:36.309 --> 00:57:38.409 he showed he still got it as far as I'm concerned. 1081 00:57:38.469 --> 00:57:41.760 He literally fractured the skull of Michael Johnson in that fight. 1082 00:57:42.460 --> 00:57:45.059 You're at a speed disadvantage. You're at a reach disadvantage. 1083 00:57:45.099 --> 00:57:47.400 And he still figured out the spacing and the timing. 1084 00:57:47.480 --> 00:57:49.280 He figured out the counters. He got in and he 1085 00:57:49.440 --> 00:57:51.239 put the guy out in the second round. So I'm like, 1086 00:57:51.639 --> 00:57:54.559 that's perfect. That's the Drew Dober I'm looking for here. Now, 1087 00:57:54.739 --> 00:57:57.440 I got plus 155. I was feeling real smart because 1088 00:57:57.460 --> 00:57:59.980 it felt like the market had peaked. On Drew Dober, 1089 00:58:00.059 --> 00:58:02.480 he was coming back down to about plus 150 or so. 1090 00:58:02.780 --> 00:58:04.719 And now it's going back the other way. It's still 1091 00:58:04.760 --> 00:58:08.280 taking more Chris Duncan money. He's back up at plus 1092 00:58:08.280 --> 00:58:10.889 155 again. So that number does seem to be available 1093 00:58:10.949 --> 00:58:12.449 if you want a piece of it on Drew Dober. 1094 00:58:12.769 --> 00:58:15.269 But I think he's the better striker. And I think 1095 00:58:15.309 --> 00:58:19.489 he'll be able to nullify the grappling of Chris Duncan. 1096 00:58:19.809 --> 00:58:21.690 If he's not able to do that, this is going 1097 00:58:21.710 --> 00:58:23.570 to look like a really bad day, you guys. That's 1098 00:58:23.590 --> 00:58:26.429 the thing. if he's not able to nullify the grappling 1099 00:58:26.449 --> 00:58:29.630 of Chris Duncan, this in hindsight will look very poor. 1100 00:58:30.010 --> 00:58:34.190 But again, I just keep going back to like the 1101 00:58:34.250 --> 00:58:37.429 barn burners he had, you know, his second Dana White's 1102 00:58:37.469 --> 00:58:40.519 contender series fight with Charlie Campbell, where he was on 1103 00:58:40.699 --> 00:58:43.139 shaky legs and like running for his life and then 1104 00:58:43.480 --> 00:58:46.460 bit down and swung for the fences and almost kind 1105 00:58:46.480 --> 00:58:48.380 of got lucky. Right. That he landed on that one. 1106 00:58:48.860 --> 00:58:52.659 I'm not the most impressed with his current resume, right? Okie, 1107 00:58:53.489 --> 00:58:56.579 Dropped weight class, not looking good. Vucinic, fraud checked, out 1108 00:58:56.599 --> 00:59:00.059 of the UFC. Rebecki, a guy who kind of has 1109 00:59:00.079 --> 00:59:01.840 to win in the first round or two if he's 1110

00:59:01.860 --> 00:59:05.230 going to, and a guy who needs the grappling advantage again. 1111 00:59:05.510 --> 00:59:07.849 That's the good win in this run, in my opinion. 1112 00:59:08.349 --> 00:59:10.179 And then Terrence McKinney, who, like we talked about, if 1113 00:59:10.199 --> 00:59:11.719 he doesn't win in the first two, three minutes, he 1114 00:59:11.760 --> 00:59:14.699 quits and he's done. So I think he's got three 1115 00:59:14.840 --> 00:59:18.719 and a half frauds in his four-fight win streak. That's 1116 00:59:18.820 --> 00:59:21.579 who he's been thriving on. And when he gets big 1117 00:59:21.619 --> 00:59:25.500 step-ups in competition, he can't win. Hanato subbed him in 1118 00:59:25.519 --> 00:59:29.559 the second round, made him look easy. Manuel Torres... Punched 1119 00:59:29.579 --> 00:59:30.820 him in the mouth and choked him out in the 1120 00:59:30.840 --> 00:59:32.730 first round. And now Drew Dober is not on the 1121 00:59:32.750 --> 00:59:34.489 level of either of those guys at this point in 1122 00:59:34.530 --> 00:59:36.710 his life. But this guy also got knocked out by 1123 00:59:36.750 --> 00:59:40.590 Slava Claus. So, I mean, like, I think Drew Dober 1124 00:59:40.630 --> 00:59:42.320 can knock him out, you guys. I think at any 1125 00:59:42.360 --> 00:59:44.539 point in time, Drew can land the right punch and 1126 00:59:44.559 --> 00:59:47.599 put this dude down. So he is my pick. I'm 1127 00:59:47.639 --> 00:59:49.639 picking him by knockout. He's the dog of the week. 1128 00:59:50.340 --> 00:59:52.380 We're going to town, baby. One more time. Let's go 1129 00:59:52.420 --> 00:59:55.079 to war with Drew Dover. D, what is up, buddy? 1130 00:59:55.099 --> 00:59:57.599 Appreciate you being here. Glad you could make the show. 1131 00:59:57.760 --> 00:59:59.559 I hope you are well. I hope you had an 1132 00:59:59.599 --> 01:00:02.780 amazing week. And looking forward to these fights, my guy. 1133 01:00:02.820 --> 01:00:05.340 It's going to be a fun card. Next up, we 1134 01:00:05.360 --> 01:00:09.090 can all dry our tears here because it is the 1135 01:00:09.250 --> 01:00:13.210 end of the line. Steven Wonderboy Thompson taking on Charles Radke. 1136 01:00:13.820 --> 01:00:18.380 Thompson is hanging up the gloves. This is his retirement fight. 1137 01:00:18.500 --> 01:00:21.280 It is documented. It is on record. It is over. 1138 01:00:21.360 --> 01:00:24.159 This is the last dance. And Stephen Thompson has been 1139 01:00:24.300 --> 01:00:27.460 sitting at about minus 155 basically all week. And I 1140 01:00:27.480 --> 01:00:30.780 got to tell you guys, I see everybody betting Wonderboy. 1141 01:00:31.159 --> 01:00:33.840 I see everybody on their mother clicking Wonderboy here in 1142 01:00:33.880 --> 01:00:38.389 this spot. The thing is, he's old as shit. And 1143 01:00:38.409 --> 01:00:41.829 while he does still got it striking... He's one in 1144 01:00:41.989 --> 01:00:43.869 four in his last five fights, one in five in 1145 01:00:43.909 --> 01:00:47.320 his last six, something like that. He's 43 years old 1146 01:00:48.280 --> 01:00:52.619 and he has never been able to stop the grappling. 1147 01:00:53.219 --> 01:00:56.320 Now I will say, I actually thought he beat Gabriel 1148 01:00:56.340 --> 01:00:59.539 Bonfim in his last fight. Um, I picked him that 1149 01:00:59.579 --> 01:01:02.780 night and I, I think I live bet him that night. Um, 1150 01:01:03.480 --> 01:01:06.900 I also think on, uh, Gabriel Bonfim is still like a, a, 1151 01:01:07.949 --> 01:01:11.429 a slinking fraud right he's still a snake hiding in 1152 01:01:11.449 --> 01:01:13.090 the grass like he's not as good as people think 1153 01:01:13.110 --> 01:01:16.730 he is and uh i think wonder boy is actually 1154 01:01:16.750 --> 01:01:18.730 the one who kind of proved me right on that 1155 01:01:18.840 --> 01:01:21.280 the judges gave bomb fiend the decision he did not 1156 01:01:21.539 --> 01:01:24.639 win that fight um he had to bail out for 1157 01:01:24.659 --> 01:01:27.519 the grappling diving on legs doing everything he can to 1158 01:01:27.559 --> 01:01:31.019 survive and uh didn't do any damage at all barely 1159 01:01:31.059 --> 01:01:33.460 got enough control i mean i i just don't agree 1160 01:01:33.480 --> 01:01:37.090 with that decision whatsoever Now, Charles Radke is a decent 1161 01:01:37.130 --> 01:01:42.030 step down in competition, but Charles Radke is a decent grappler. 1162 01:01:42.170 --> 01:01:44.289 And I say decent because it's not like he's nothing 1163 01:01:44.309 --> 01:01:46.969 to write home about, but he's good enough. He trains 1164 01:01:47.070 --> 01:01:51.260 with Bilal Muhammad. Bilal, back in 2021, actually fought and 1165 01:01:51.320 --> 01:01:54.800 beat Stephen Wonderboy Thompson. And that is going to be 1166 01:01:54.980 --> 01:01:59.559 extremely beneficial to have that kind of a teammate in 1167 01:01:59.599 --> 01:02:02.570 your corner, ready to go, telling you the tricks, telling 1168 01:02:02.610 --> 01:02:04.570 you what works. knowing what you need to do to 1169 01:02:04.610 --> 01:02:07.210 get the win. This is somebody who they've prepared for 1170 01:02:07.250 --> 01:02:10.269 and trained for, who's on a three-fight losing streak, who's 1171 01:02:10.309 --> 01:02:13.320 won one fight in the last five years, who is 1172 01:02:13.320 --> 01:02:15.139 43 years old, who is hanging it up. I mean, 1173 01:02:16.599 --> 01:02:19.960 I know Wonderboy can outstrike this guy. I know Wonderboy 1174 01:02:20.019 --> 01:02:23.179 still has some sting in those kicks, right? I know 1175 01:02:23.239 --> 01:02:25.400 Charles Radke has been knocked out three times over the 1176 01:02:25.440 --> 01:02:27.159 course of his career. But the guys that have knocked 1177 01:02:27.179 --> 01:02:29.909 him out in the UFC are Mike Malott and Prime 1178 01:02:29.929 --> 01:02:34.179 Carlos Protez. I don't think wonder boy falls in that 1179 01:02:34.219

--> 01:02:37.699 category still, you know? I do think that he's going 1180 01:02:37.739 --> 01:02:39.969 to grapple in this fight. And I've mentioned this on 1181 01:02:40.170 --> 01:02:43.150 every single show this week. I will apologize to you guys. 1182 01:02:43.510 --> 01:02:44.949 I try to keep it fresh on the Friday show. 1183 01:02:45.150 --> 01:02:46.929 You know that. So for those of you who watch 1184 01:02:46.969 --> 01:02:49.289 my Monday show and then tune back in on Friday, 1185 01:02:49.610 --> 01:02:51.849 I don't want you guys to just hear a rehash 1186 01:02:52.070 --> 01:02:54.610 of the same show you already heard. You know what 1187 01:02:54.630 --> 01:02:56.190 I mean? Like I try to kick it up. I 1188 01:02:56.210 --> 01:02:59.130 try to make it a little more entertaining. Obviously we're 1189 01:02:59.170 --> 01:03:00.880 playing with the chat and, you know, pulling up your 1190 01:03:00.889 --> 01:03:02.679 guys' comments and all that kind of stuff. So it's 1191 01:03:02.719 --> 01:03:04.360 got a different vibe to it, but I, I don't 1192 01:03:04.400 --> 01:03:07.019 want to give the exact same breakdown to you guys 1193 01:03:07.340 --> 01:03:10.500 multiple times throughout the week because, you know, it's boring 1194 01:03:10.539 --> 01:03:11.880 and you want to hear something new. You want to 1195 01:03:11.900 --> 01:03:15.440 hear something fun. But this thing just this bears repeating. 1196 01:03:16.820 --> 01:03:20.929 In an interview, Charles Radke sat down and they were like, hey, 1197 01:03:20.949 --> 01:03:22.929 are you going to go out there and strike with Wonderboy? 1198 01:03:23.090 --> 01:03:27.030 And his response was, if you guys don't want to 1199 01:03:27.070 --> 01:03:32.059 see grappling, go watch boxing. He's grappling, you guys. You 1200 01:03:32.099 --> 01:03:35.150 look at his Instagram, you can see him drilling takedowns. 1201 01:03:35.550 --> 01:03:38.130 He's coming into this fight knowing exactly who he's fighting, 1202 01:03:38.150 --> 01:03:40.590 knowing exactly what he's dealing with. And you look at 1203 01:03:40.630 --> 01:03:43.690 his last two fights and what did he do? He 1204 01:03:43.710 --> 01:03:46.409 went out there and fucking grappled. Daniel Frunze, he put 1205 01:03:46.449 --> 01:03:48.400 that dude on his ass and he dragged him into 1206 01:03:48.420 --> 01:03:50.340 the deep waters and then he choked him out. He 1207 01:03:50.380 --> 01:03:52.940 went out there and he wrestled against Francisco Prado. He 1208 01:03:52.960 --> 01:03:54.500 did what he had to do to get those wins. 1209 01:03:54.559 --> 01:03:57.159 He's a changed man. He's got a different approach on life. 1210 01:03:57.570 --> 01:04:00.269 And you know what? I have always said it is 1211 01:04:00.469 --> 01:04:04.469 fade the retiring fighters or pass, right? The young dog 1212 01:04:04.489 --> 01:04:07.880 will eat the old dog every opportunity at MMA. It 1213 01:04:07.889 --> 01:04:09.940 doesn't always work out. Some of these guys recently have 1214 01:04:09.960 --> 01:04:12.280 been pulling off the wins, but they've also been match 1215 01:04:12.320 --> 01:04:15.320 made very, very friendly by the UFC. I don't think 1216 01:04:15.360 --> 01:04:18.000 this is friendly matchmaking. You've got a guy who is 1217 01:04:18.039 --> 01:04:20.789 a good wrestler and a good grappler, which has been 1218 01:04:20.849 --> 01:04:25.579 the absolute kryptonite. of somebody like Steven Thompson, his entire career, 1219 01:04:25.900 --> 01:04:28.739 they're not giving him somebody who they know will go 1220 01:04:28.900 --> 01:04:31.539 brawl and just go stand in front of him the 1221 01:04:31.559 --> 01:04:33.900 way Kevin Holland did. They're giving him a guy who's 1222 01:04:34.000 --> 01:04:37.559 got a win condition, who is more than capable of wrestling. 1223 01:04:38.079 --> 01:04:40.820 And I think he's going to use it. So I 1224 01:04:40.840 --> 01:04:42.619 got to go dogger pass again. And this is starting 1225 01:04:42.639 --> 01:04:45.159 to get scary. You guys, because I legitimately have picked 1226 01:04:45.619 --> 01:04:48.119 almost every single dog on this card. Like when we 1227 01:04:48.199 --> 01:04:51.650 run down this thing, It seriously is like 50-50. I've 1228 01:04:51.730 --> 01:04:54.690 picked almost half the dogs, and I'm willing to put 1229 01:04:54.750 --> 01:04:57.090 my money on those dogs. It's one of those ones 1230 01:04:57.139 --> 01:05:00.179 where if I have six underdog bets, I better hit 1231 01:05:00.199 --> 01:05:02.760 four of them. If I hit three of them, I win, right? 1232 01:05:02.780 --> 01:05:05.280 If I go three and three with all underdog plays, 1233 01:05:05.599 --> 01:05:07.940 I'll manage a profit with that kind of a strategy. 1234 01:05:07.980 --> 01:05:10.739 But so many of these dogs are alive this week. 1235 01:05:11.119 --> 01:05:15.139 It's almost scaring me. Timothy, my man, says, Round 1 KO. 1236 01:05:16.659 --> 01:05:19.920 like Robbie retirement fight. Oh yeah. See, that would be big. 1237 01:05:19.960 --> 01:05:21.380 That would be big. I don't know if I'm betting 1238 01:05:21.400 --> 01:05:23.719 this one. That's the thing. Like I it's dog or pass. 1239 01:05:24.199 --> 01:05:25.800 I don't know if I'm betting it. I want to 1240 01:05:25.820 --> 01:05:27.909 look at the takedown props right now while we are 1241 01:05:27.949 --> 01:05:31.570 talking about this, because Charles Radke, I do fully expect 1242 01:05:31.949 --> 01:05:33.730 he's going to come out here and grapple. And I 1243 01:05:33.769 --> 01:05:35.969 don't know if the books have adjusted to the fact 1244 01:05:35.989 --> 01:05:40.889 that that's a thing he's willing to do. Um, takedowns 1245 01:05:41.090 --> 01:05:44.349 over under Charles Radke over one and a half takedowns 1246 01:05:44.389 --> 01:05:47.590 is minus one 35. I like that. I like that. 1247 01:05:48.250 --> 01:05:50.849 I mean, this could be like a takedown

ladder setup 1248 01:05:50.889 --> 01:05:52.710 if you guys like to do that kind of thing. 1249 01:05:53.630 --> 01:05:56.230 I don't think Charles Radke is going to be able 1250 01:05:56.250 --> 01:06:00.519 to TKO or submit somebody like Wonderboy. And even if 1251 01:06:00.559 --> 01:06:04.280 he loses the fight, if we only need two takedowns 1252 01:06:04.880 --> 01:06:08.280 before he loses the fight, I like that bet. Over 1253 01:06:08.400 --> 01:06:10.519 one and a half takedowns for Charles Radke at minus 1254 01:06:10.519 --> 01:06:12.840 135 actually might end up making my card now that 1255 01:06:12.860 --> 01:06:15.150 we found that. D, what is up? Says, I watched 1256 01:06:15.170 --> 01:06:17.949 your boy JJ last night. I admit, didn't hate what 1257 01:06:18.030 --> 01:06:19.750 i saw despite him throwing that pick at the end 1258 01:06:20.070 --> 01:06:23.070 my man i'm telling you jj is he's 23 years 1259 01:06:23.150 --> 01:06:27.409 old dude he's 23 years old like he is a 1260 01:06:27.630 --> 01:06:30.849 very good quarterback um or at least he's got the 1261 01:06:30.889 --> 01:06:35.050 potential to be a very good quarterback uh i think 1262 01:06:35.090 --> 01:06:38.820 that wasn't necessarily his fault i feel like some of 1263 01:06:38.840 --> 01:06:41.179 that was on the play calling with harbaugh because they 1264 01:06:41.199 --> 01:06:43.280 could have they could have chunked their way down the 1265 01:06:43.300 --> 01:06:46.869 field and gotten into field goal range rather than going 1266 01:06:46.929 --> 01:06:49.909 for like going for it all there at the end. Um, 1267 01:06:50.429 --> 01:06:52.710 and I feel like neighbors, I love Malik neighbors. I've 1268 01:06:52.730 --> 01:06:54.809 got them in my dynasty for fantasy. So I'm a 1269 01:06:54.909 --> 01:06:58.369 big fan of neighbors. I really honestly feel like he 1270 01:06:59.699 --> 01:07:01.980 didn't really do JJ any favors. He dropped that big 1271 01:07:02.019 --> 01:07:04.239 ball that would have made a huge difference in the fight. 1272 01:07:04.739 --> 01:07:07.199 And then, uh, at the end, he didn't really fight 1273 01:07:07.219 --> 01:07:10.039 for that one that got intercepted either. So tough, uh, 1274 01:07:10.630 --> 01:07:12.849 Tough look, man. Tough look. But, yeah, I think JJ 1275 01:07:12.929 --> 01:07:15.929 is starting to wake a couple people up. Next up, 1276 01:07:15.969 --> 01:07:18.949 you guys, we've got a very serious fight to talk about. 1277 01:07:19.530 --> 01:07:23.489 It is Bilal Hassan season, and, oh, my God. You guys, 1278 01:07:24.090 --> 01:07:26.860 he did something we have never seen before at these face-offs. 1279 01:07:27.360 --> 01:07:33.150 Bilal Hassan came out here, and he straight-up dick-mogged Luis Gurule. 1280 01:07:33.530 --> 01:07:37.130 This man pulls up. Gurule is ready to face off 1281 01:07:37.210 --> 01:07:41.940 and stare down, and this man drops his drawers. I mean, 1282 01:07:42.280 --> 01:07:47.239 he

put his nuts on the table quite literally. We 1283 01:07:47.300 --> 01:07:50.800 like to talk about whipping them out and measuring dicks, 1284 01:07:50.980 --> 01:07:55.650 and this man took that to heart. He said, you 1285 01:07:55.710 --> 01:08:02.670 want both of these nuts? This is a power move 1286 01:08:03.070 --> 01:08:06.630 if I've ever seen one. We're going to fight. You 1287 01:08:06.650 --> 01:08:10.510 want to throw hands? And he says, check out my Johnson. 1288 01:08:12.909 --> 01:08:17.130 I cannot believe this kid uh he is taller he 1289 01:08:17.229 --> 01:08:21.390 is longer Luis Gurule obviously a little bit thicker uh 1290 01:08:22.090 --> 01:08:24.449 let me say they this this face off got nice 1291 01:08:24.529 --> 01:08:26.529 and intense and look at Dana's face he was like 1292 01:08:26.600 --> 01:08:31.460 the fuck like Josh Hogan has infected everybody at this 1293 01:08:31.500 --> 01:08:35.729 stage you guys shit's gonna get wild now um You know, 1294 01:08:35.750 --> 01:08:38.930 I have a hard time with these young kids that 1295 01:08:39.090 --> 01:08:41.979 are on these rocket ships, right? I think Bilal Hassan 1296 01:08:42.020 --> 01:08:43.579 is winning this fight as much as you guys do. 1297 01:08:43.899 --> 01:08:46.220 But he's an 11-1 favorite. That makes it kind of 1298 01:08:46.300 --> 01:08:49.199 impossible to bet on him. And then his knockout prop 1299 01:08:49.439 --> 01:08:52.819 at flyweight, mind you, 125 pounds, where KOs are really 1300 01:08:52.890 --> 01:08:55.590 not a thing that happen as much, he is minus 1301 01:08:55.590 --> 01:08:59.869 400 to win by knockout. This is all just pure insanity. 1302 01:09:00.500 --> 01:09:03.630 to me. You guys, you have to get extremely creative 1303 01:09:04.069 --> 01:09:07.210 if you want to bet on this fight. Now, while 1304 01:09:07.270 --> 01:09:10.869 Bilal Hassan is all the hotness and he's got all 1305 01:09:10.909 --> 01:09:14.029 these KOs and stuff like that, this is a legitimate 1306 01:09:14.050 --> 01:09:16.529 step up in competition for him. Gurule, as much as 1307 01:09:16.630 --> 01:09:18.800 I don't think much of him, is a tough dude, 1308 01:09:19.020 --> 01:09:23.819 is a UFC level athlete, can grapple, can strike. Like 1309 01:09:23.859 --> 01:09:25.779 he's got all the stuff that you need to have 1310 01:09:25.800 --> 01:09:30.039 at this level, but he's not winning at the UFC level, right? 1311 01:09:30.079 --> 01:09:31.880 He goes out there and bangs it out. The fact 1312 01:09:31.899 --> 01:09:34.579 that he went to decision with a guy like Alden Correa, though, 1313 01:09:34.979 --> 01:09:38.399 shows to me he's pretty durable. You know, Ray Tetsurio 1314 01:09:38.439 --> 01:09:40.300 was able to out hustle him on the mat and 1315 01:09:40.439 --> 01:09:42.960 Bilal Hassan for everything he is, is not Ray Tetsurio. 1316 01:09:42.979 --> 01:09:46.300 My boy Ray is taking this place over by storm. Um, 1317 01:09:46.359 --> 01:09:49.199 there's different levels there. Right. And, and that dude's a grappler. 1318 01:09:49.510 --> 01:09:51.850 He got caught by Odey Osborne, but it took him 1319 01:09:51.869 --> 01:09:55.069 to round two and Odey is a big hitter. So 1320 01:09:55.430 --> 01:09:57.310 this is going to be like death by a thousand 1321 01:09:57.369 --> 01:10:01.529 cuts with Bilal Hassan speed, as opposed to the big 1322 01:10:01.680 --> 01:10:05.010 one hitter quitter punch. If, Luis Grule is able to 1323 01:10:05.050 --> 01:10:07.029 get in on some grappling. I feel like this fight 1324 01:10:07.069 --> 01:10:11.229 really could extend. I'm kind of, the only thing I 1325 01:10:11.270 --> 01:10:12.569 can think to bet in this fight, you guys, the 1326 01:10:12.630 --> 01:10:15.050 only thing I can think to bet is the over 1327 01:10:15.229 --> 01:10:18.750 one and a half. Because Luis Grule has had two 1328 01:10:18.810 --> 01:10:21.189 fights in the UFC where he's lost inside the distance. 1329 01:10:21.569 --> 01:10:23.810 The knockout came just over one and a half to 1330 01:10:23.869 --> 01:10:26.560 Odey Osborne. And the sub was on the ground and 1331 01:10:26.600 --> 01:10:29.819 not something I'm expecting Bilal Hassan to be able to replicate. 1332 01:10:30.319 --> 01:10:34.159 Bilal does have one submission win on his resume. The 1333 01:10:34.180 --> 01:10:37.060 10-1 for Bilal by sub actually sounds a little bit 1334 01:10:37.100 --> 01:10:38.939 fun if you want to think maybe, well, club and 1335 01:10:38.960 --> 01:10:41.420 sub or, you know, Luis Gurley gets rocked and shoots 1336 01:10:41.439 --> 01:10:43.460 a bad takedown, that kind of thing. I think you 1337 01:10:43.479 --> 01:10:45.470 could make that argument, but please, for the love of God, 1338 01:10:45.550 --> 01:10:48.659 don't touch this minus 400 KO prop that's just asking 1339 01:10:49.359 --> 01:10:52.390 to be a parlay buster. Don't do that. You'd have 1340 01:10:52.430 --> 01:10:54.270 to pick a total, in my opinion, to play this 1341 01:10:54.310 --> 01:10:57.210 thing if you want to do something like that. If 1342 01:10:57.229 --> 01:10:59.310 you wanted to do, like, I don't know, even a 1343 01:10:59.329 --> 01:11:01.779 same-game parlay is not really going to help you. with this, 1344 01:11:01.960 --> 01:11:05.460 these kinds of numbers. Cause it's, it's insane. Um, you 1345 01:11:05.479 --> 01:11:07.600 have to bet the sub, you have to bet the decision, 1346 01:11:07.640 --> 01:11:11.579 which sounds gross. Um, I betting the over one and 1347 01:11:11.600 --> 01:11:13.500 a half, or maybe like if we can find like 1348 01:11:13.520 --> 01:11:16.880 a fight starts round two, that's the kind of thing 1349 01:11:16.920 --> 01:11:19.180 that I would look at for this fight. If you 1350 01:11:19.239 --> 01:11:21.659 want to have action, I think this is the type 1351 01:11:21.689 --> 01:11:24.989 of fight where they have essentially priced us out of 1352 01:11:25.050 -->

01:11:30.609 having action. You do not need to bet this fight. Um, 1353 01:11:31.210 --> 01:11:33.569 Bilal Hassan to win in round two is plus 300. 1354 01:11:33.569 --> 01:11:37.210 Bilal Hassan to win round one is plus 100. So 1355 01:11:37.369 --> 01:11:39.029 if you want to say, hey, like, let's just just 1356 01:11:39.090 --> 01:11:41.470 get me out of that first round. Round two is 1357 01:11:41.529 --> 01:11:44.250 plus 300. Round three is plus 750. That would be 1358 01:11:44.289 --> 01:11:45.949 a fun way, I think, to take a look at it. 1359 01:11:46.189 --> 01:11:49.399 Fight to start round two is even money. I don't 1360 01:11:49.420 --> 01:11:53.539 mind that. Then you don't need the half round. You know, 1361 01:11:53.800 --> 01:11:55.520 he could finish this thing at the beginning of round two. 1362 01:11:55.939 --> 01:11:58.119 It is shaded ever so slightly minus 120 to the nose. 1363 01:11:59.399 --> 01:12:02.720 So they do apparently line this as though he's going 1364 01:12:02.760 --> 01:12:05.739 to win by round one KO. This is the kind 1365 01:12:05.779 --> 01:12:07.460 of thing that I'm like, man, I just, I gotta, 1366 01:12:07.720 --> 01:12:10.819 I gotta see it, you know? And I don't even 1367 01:12:10.859 --> 01:12:14.010 like Luis Gurule. This sounds like I'm making an angle 1368 01:12:14.069 --> 01:12:16.229 somehow for Gurule to hang around in this fight. And 1369 01:12:16.250 --> 01:12:19.229 I'm really not. I just, he's tough, you know? And, 1370 01:12:19.350 --> 01:12:22.750 and these young kids who have one, maybe two fights 1371 01:12:22.829 --> 01:12:25.920 under their belt, I don't believe they're going to be 1372 01:12:25.979 --> 01:12:29.869 winning in 60 seconds. That's all, you know? We'll see. 1373 01:12:30.829 --> 01:12:33.090 We'll see what happens. Rude Boy gets it. Yeah, not 1374 01:12:33.130 --> 01:12:38.270 a playable fight. Not a playable fight. Yeah, yeah. The 1375 01:12:38.289 --> 01:12:42.170 play calling, questionable. But at least people are starting to see. 1376 01:12:42.789 --> 01:12:45.630 I am a salty Minnesota Vikings fan. Thank God we 1377 01:12:45.670 --> 01:12:48.729 went out there and got Kirk Cousins. Otherwise, there would 1378 01:12:48.770 --> 01:12:50.729 be a whole bunch of us in a Minnesota bar 1379 01:12:50.750 --> 01:12:54.250 hanging from the ceilings with our belts. We needed a 1380 01:12:54.289 --> 01:12:57.979 quarterback desperately. And giving away somebody like JJ after seeing 1381 01:12:58.029 --> 01:13:01.270 what he's doing over in New York, we're all just like, 1382 01:13:01.310 --> 01:13:03.909 the fuck, dude, the fuck. And especially me. There's people 1383 01:13:03.949 --> 01:13:06.510 who are like haters of J.J. McCarthy that are like, ah, whatever, 1384 01:13:06.550 --> 01:13:08.520 we're better off without him. And I'm like, no, you 1385 01:13:08.609 --> 01:13:12.760 fucking idiots. He's a 23-year-old quarterback. Like, we could have 1386 01:13:12.779 --> 01:13:15.399 helped him develop. We could have shifted the offense so 1387 01:13:15.420 --> 01:13:18.039 that it fit his skill set. We could have managed 1388 01:13:18.079 --> 01:13:20.619 to work with him. And with Kyler and Wentz, like, 1389 01:13:20.680 --> 01:13:22.640 my God, we had a 23-year-old kid we could have 1390 01:13:22.680 --> 01:13:24.090 just thrown in there and he could have been our 1391 01:13:24.119 --> 01:13:26.949 franchise quarterback. But we traded him for a fifth round. 1392 01:13:27.010 --> 01:13:30.159 Thank God for Kirk Cousins. It's a mess, man. The 1393 01:13:30.199 --> 01:13:33.180 Vikings organization in shambles. Thank God for that defense and 1394 01:13:33.199 --> 01:13:40.239 Brian Flores. Next up, you guys, we have got Uros Medic, 1395 01:13:40.319 --> 01:13:44.810 and he takes on Kevin Holland. 171 for Medic, 170 1396 01:13:44.810 --> 01:13:48.310 for Kevin Holland. Kevin Holland, the ever so slightly larger 1397 01:13:48.350 --> 01:13:51.670 man here. They size up pretty well, actually, which is 1398 01:13:51.710 --> 01:13:54.239 kind of interesting because Holland moonlights at 185 and comes 1399 01:13:54.300 --> 01:13:57.229 down to 170 where his true weight class is. and 1400 01:13:57.239 --> 01:14:00.130 then Uros is a guy coming up from 155. Kind 1401 01:14:00.149 --> 01:14:02.109 of hard to believe he ever made 155. It's kind 1402 01:14:02.189 --> 01:14:05.829 of nuts. This is a really tough fight to call, 1403 01:14:05.869 --> 01:14:08.989 you guys, because I've never been an Uros believer. I 1404 01:14:09.010 --> 01:14:11.590 have never, ever, ever in my life been an Uros believer. 1405 01:14:11.989 --> 01:14:14.399 He is chinny, and I know he's got that left hand. 1406 01:14:14.840 --> 01:14:17.640 He is fast. He is aggressive. He's got great killer instinct, 1407 01:14:18.100 --> 01:14:20.979 but I don't think he can take a shot coming 1408 01:14:21.020 --> 01:14:23.899 back the other way. We've seen him get knocked out 1409 01:14:23.979 --> 01:14:26.819 just once, but he's been submitted twice. So that's been 1410 01:14:26.859 --> 01:14:28.619 a problem for him. And we've seen him get wobbled 1411 01:14:28.659 --> 01:14:30.399 more than once. That's the big thing for me is 1412 01:14:30.439 --> 01:14:32.859 that even though he hasn't like gone out, some of 1413 01:14:32.880 --> 01:14:35.390 these have been like barn burners where he almost did, 1414 01:14:35.430 --> 01:14:37.770 where you've seen him wobble. Um, and now that he's 1415 01:14:37.810 --> 01:14:40.329 hyper aggressive, the last four of his fights in a row, 1416 01:14:40.369 --> 01:14:42.890 all coming by round one KO, some of these in 1417 01:14:42.890 --> 01:14:46.310 30 seconds, like I think he's a guy that's going 1418 01:14:46.329 --> 01:14:49.510 to be over aggressive again. Like he's gotten a taste 1419 01:14:49.909 --> 01:14:53.250 for winning these quick fights. You know, Kevin Holland, uh, 1420 01:14:53.310 --> 01:14:55.810 for

all of his flaws has been really durable, man. 1421 01:14:56.170 --> 01:14:58.630 I looked back at his resume, and I know– so 1422 01:14:58.670 --> 01:15:00.920 my biggest thing, I lost that D-Rod fight, right? We 1423 01:15:00.960 --> 01:15:03.319 lost the anchor, and that was my own fault. We 1424 01:15:03.359 --> 01:15:05.260 talked about it. You should never lay chalk on Kevin Holland. 1425 01:15:05.279 --> 01:15:07.319 You should never parlay Kevin Holland. I was an idiot 1426 01:15:07.340 --> 01:15:10.829 that night. But he should always beat D-Rod. That's kind 1427 01:15:10.869 --> 01:15:12.970 of the thing. That's the thing that's most frustrating about 1428 01:15:13.010 --> 01:15:15.689 Kevin Holland is that he should always, 10 out of 1429 01:15:15.689 --> 01:15:19.300 10– beat this version of Daniel Rodriguez. And he just 1430 01:15:19.319 --> 01:15:21.300 didn't show up that night or he took his opponent 1431 01:15:21.340 --> 01:15:23.779 lightly or whatever. He got clipped and he got hurt 1432 01:15:23.819 --> 01:15:25.970 in that fight, but he didn't go out. He didn't 1433 01:15:26.010 --> 01:15:28.670 go away. You look at the knockouts. It's the rib 1434 01:15:28.729 --> 01:15:32.770 injury against Roman. The leads a, a 185 pound monster 1435 01:15:33.029 --> 01:15:37.489 who used to fight at 205 pounds and a grappler, 1436 01:15:37.529 --> 01:15:41.229 something that Kevin Holland, we know historically can not handle 1437 01:15:41.609 --> 01:15:44.250 pops his rib out. That's the TKO loss. Then the 1438 01:15:44.310 --> 01:15:49.319 other one, Steven Thompson, the fight where Kevin refused to 1439 01:15:49.340 --> 01:15:55.090 grapple the BJJ black belt refused to wrestle the striker 1440 01:15:55.149 --> 01:15:57.750 who is 10 times levels higher than him. And he 1441 01:15:57.789 --> 01:16:01.510 got his ass whooped. Now in that fight, not only 1442 01:16:01.569 --> 01:16:05.510 did he actually not get TKO, but his corner through 1443 01:16:05.529 --> 01:16:09.109 the towel. And he broke his arm in that fight 1444 01:16:10.050 --> 01:16:12.829 and he fought through it. His corner had to save him, 1445 01:16:13.149 --> 01:16:17.970 but he was not unconscious. We have never, ever, not once, 1446 01:16:18.729 --> 01:16:21.550 seen Kevin Holland staring up at the ceiling, you guys. 1447 01:16:22.449 --> 01:16:26.930 Not a single time. This dude is stupid durable. Has 1448 01:16:26.970 --> 01:16:30.810 he been hurt before? Yes. Has he been wobbled before? Yes. 1449 01:16:31.229 --> 01:16:34.390 He has never been knocked out clean cold. And we've 1450 01:16:34.430 --> 01:16:36.789 seen him submitted. Guys can get him on the ground 1451 01:16:36.810 --> 01:16:39.609 and they can take full advantage of him grappling. But 1452 01:16:39.630 --> 01:16:41.930 that's not something Eros Medic is going to do. Now, 1453 01:16:42.390 --> 01:16:44.430 the final piece of the puzzle here for me, you guys, 1454 01:16:44.729 --> 01:16:49.920 is that

I think Kevin won the mental battle in 1455 01:16:49.939 --> 01:16:53.920 a big way against arrows because when they were doing 1456 01:16:53.960 --> 01:16:57.949 the presser arrows tried to kind of get involved a 1457 01:16:57.970 --> 01:16:59.930 little bit, you know, hope it was running the show. 1458 01:17:00.470 --> 01:17:03.149 And then the ladies were like doing their back and 1459 01:17:03.189 --> 01:17:05.229 forth war about being the goat and all that shit. 1460 01:17:06.029 --> 01:17:07.949 And it was all fine and dandy. Right. But arrows 1461 01:17:08.140 --> 01:17:11.359 tried to chime in and get going. And Kevin verbally 1462 01:17:11.479 --> 01:17:14.510 bitch slapped him. I mean, it was, It was sad 1463 01:17:14.590 --> 01:17:17.270 because it was like, oh man, you were not ready. 1464 01:17:17.350 --> 01:17:18.850 You thought you were going to open your mouth and 1465 01:17:18.869 --> 01:17:20.489 say something and it was going to go great and 1466 01:17:20.529 --> 01:17:22.810 it didn't. And then you didn't have a plan B 1467 01:17:22.850 --> 01:17:25.489 for when Kevin started talking. Mind you, this is big 1468 01:17:25.529 --> 01:17:28.739 mouth we're talking about. Well, Kevin called him on it. 1469 01:17:28.789 --> 01:17:30.789 He was like, oh, so like now you're just done? 1470 01:17:30.869 --> 01:17:32.569 Like you're not going to talk now? You wanted to talk. 1471 01:17:32.609 --> 01:17:34.220 You were a big man. You wanted to talk. You 1472 01:17:34.239 --> 01:17:36.060 wanted to say something. You're not talking now. And he 1473 01:17:36.079 --> 01:17:38.000 was like, you do what I tell you to do. 1474 01:17:38.260 --> 01:17:41.100 And then at this exact face off, a day later, 1475 01:17:42.079 --> 01:17:46.970 Kevin's like telling him, how to Kevin's like, you go, 1476 01:17:47.069 --> 01:17:50.029 you go over there. And he's like nodding and just 1477 01:17:50.069 --> 01:17:51.930 like does what he's told. It's like, fuck dude. I've 1478 01:17:52.050 --> 01:17:56.430 never seen a bigger cooking on a MMA card in 1479 01:17:56.449 --> 01:17:59.729 my entire life. It's insane that Earl's just kind of 1480 01:17:59.770 --> 01:18:02.380 stepped in line. Kevin is like, you want to be 1481 01:18:02.439 --> 01:18:05.699 me when you grow up? And it's like, fuck, apparently 1482 01:18:05.760 --> 01:18:09.279 he does. He's doing whatever daddy tells him. I haven't 1483 01:18:09.319 --> 01:18:12.649 seen anything like it. So I actually, and I'm not 1484 01:18:12.750 --> 01:18:15.369 joking here, you guys. I think there is a legitimate 1485 01:18:15.489 --> 01:18:19.449 big mental advantage right now for Kevin Holland in this fight. 1486 01:18:19.750 --> 01:18:22.970 And honestly, when Uros throws that big left hand at 1487 01:18:23.010 --> 01:18:26.170 him and Kevin smiles and laughs at him, I think 1488 01:18:26.189 --> 01:18:29.170 it's going to break him. I think the first time 1489 01:18:29.930 --> 01:18:32.810 Kevin looks at this dude and goes, yeah, is that 1490 01:18:32.970 --> 01:18:36.000 all you've got? I don't think Uros is going to 1491 01:18:36.060 --> 01:18:39.579 handle that very well. Um, I think Kevin Holland wins 1492 01:18:39.600 --> 01:18:41.529 this fight. You guys, I don't think our host is 1493 01:18:41.569 --> 01:18:43.350 going to become the first person to ever knock out 1494 01:18:43.369 --> 01:18:46.050 Kevin Holland. I just don't, I just don't believe that. 1495 01:18:46.510 --> 01:18:49.060 So I didn't think he was going to be the 1496 01:18:49.100 --> 01:18:52.100 first person. to make Jeff Neal look like that either though. 1497 01:18:52.140 --> 01:18:55.899 That's the thing. Gilbert Urbina sucks. Muslim Salikov, old as shit. 1498 01:18:55.979 --> 01:18:59.289 Daniel Rodriguez, old as shit. Jeff Neal is the one 1499 01:18:59.310 --> 01:19:00.810 where I'm like, Oh fuck. That was the one that 1500 01:19:00.829 --> 01:19:03.270 kind of turned my head. Right. Um, Jeff Neal seems 1501 01:19:03.310 --> 01:19:04.810 to be on kind of the decline a little bit, 1502 01:19:05.130 --> 01:19:06.729 but like you go back to like the Puna Haley 1503 01:19:06.750 --> 01:19:11.560 Soriano fight, Puna rocked this dude's shit. I don't understand 1504 01:19:11.659 --> 01:19:13.739 why Kevin Holland can't do that. Holland's got a reach 1505 01:19:13.779 --> 01:19:17.399 advantage on him. He's got that ridiculous wingspan. He is fast. 1506 01:19:17.479 --> 01:19:19.149 He's probably one of the few people that can match 1507 01:19:19.189 --> 01:19:22.109 the speed here for someone like Eros Medich. And then 1508 01:19:22.170 --> 01:19:25.649 simply based on the durability, if Eros hits him and 1509 01:19:25.689 --> 01:19:27.930 they end up in a clinch or in a scramble, 1510 01:19:28.289 --> 01:19:30.979 Holland's going to choke his ass out. If Holland is 1511 01:19:31.079 --> 01:19:34.579 able to roll and counter with one big shot, Eros 1512 01:19:34.640 --> 01:19:37.399 is going to be in trouble. So I can't do 1513 01:19:37.460 --> 01:19:40.850 this minus 150 on Eros. Here's the thing. I never 1514 01:19:41.029 --> 01:19:43.050 am a chalk on a roast guy. And I say 1515 01:19:43.069 --> 01:19:47.109 the same thing about Kevin Holland. I'm never laying chalk again. 1516 01:19:47.140 --> 01:19:48.640 I already did it once. It didn't work out well. 1517 01:19:48.949 --> 01:19:51.279 I'm never laying chalk on Kevin Holland. I only want 1518 01:19:51.300 --> 01:19:54.359 plus money on Kevin Holland. Well, there you go. We 1519 01:19:54.399 --> 01:19:56.920 got plus money on Kevin Holland. Also, it's my boy's 1520 01:19:56.939 --> 01:19:58.380 dog of the week. If you didn't, if you guys 1521 01:19:58.399 --> 01:20:00.760 weren't live for the show earlier, it's a, it's our 1522 01:20:00.779 --> 01:20:03.060 boy's dog of the week here as well. So, um, 1523 01:20:03.260 --> 01:20:06.659 you know, a little extra incentive there. for Blanco, the 1524 01:20:06.680 -->

01:20:09.859 Blanco Memorial dog of the week. Um, so I, I 1525 01:20:09.939 --> 01:20:11.739 actually think this is another dog or pass fight guys. 1526 01:20:11.840 --> 01:20:14.399 I think it's another violent fight. Um, the under one 1527 01:20:14.430 --> 01:20:16.670 and a half minus one 55. I think it sets 1528 01:20:16.750 --> 01:20:20.529 up very well for violence because, uh, Uros is on 1529 01:20:20.569 --> 01:20:23.810 this round one KO streak of his Holland is the 1530 01:20:23.829 --> 01:20:26.569 type of guy who can extend fights. But again, I 1531 01:20:26.729 --> 01:20:29.149 don't think that Uros is going to fight well against 1532 01:20:29.210 --> 01:20:31.689 a guy like Kevin in an extended fight. So I 1533 01:20:31.729 --> 01:20:34.350 think if it does extend, that's even more for the 1534 01:20:34.449 --> 01:20:38.300 Holland side of things. Shout out my man Timothy with 1535 01:20:38.319 --> 01:20:42.520 the $ 1. 99 donut. Says Holland by sub. Yeah, I don't 1536 01:20:42.539 --> 01:20:45.579 mind that. That was plus $ 4. 50. Let's see if this 1537 01:20:45.619 --> 01:20:48.399 bad boy has moved on us at all or not. 1538 01:20:49.640 --> 01:20:53.090 It was plus $ 4. 50. It is still plus $ 4. 50. Yeah, 1539 01:20:53.130 --> 01:20:56.319 I think the club and sub... Angle is always there 1540 01:20:56.380 --> 01:20:59.720 with Kevin Holland. But I'm actually thinking KO. This is 1541 01:20:59.760 --> 01:21:02.560 another one where I think I'll fade the submission because 1542 01:21:02.640 --> 01:21:04.640 Kevin's been kind of having this up or down thing. 1543 01:21:05.140 --> 01:21:07.140 And I know you take a win however you can 1544 01:21:07.159 --> 01:21:10.159 get it right. But Kevin seems to want that KO. 1545 01:21:10.439 --> 01:21:12.859 He doesn't want to grapple. He doesn't want to mess 1546 01:21:12.920 --> 01:21:14.779 with the ground. So if he has a chance to 1547 01:21:14.819 --> 01:21:16.979 knock this dude out, I think he's going to. And 1548 01:21:17.460 --> 01:21:19.020 I think that Uros is the kind of guy that 1549 01:21:19.039 --> 01:21:21.760 you can knockout. And I also don't think Oros is 1550 01:21:21.800 --> 01:21:23.960 the kind of guy that's shooting for a takedown. So 1551 01:21:24.000 --> 01:21:26.060 if he ends up getting wobbled by Kevin, I don't 1552 01:21:26.079 --> 01:21:28.310 think he's diving on legs. I think he's falling backwards. 1553 01:21:28.550 --> 01:21:30.369 You know what I mean? So I do think that 1554 01:21:30.409 --> 01:21:32.649 Kevin will follow up with big shots or something like that. 1555 01:21:32.989 --> 01:21:36.710 And Tim clarifies Holland by Darce calling my shot. I 1556 01:21:36.750 --> 01:21:38.250 hope you're getting a good number on that one, man. 1557 01:21:38.930 --> 01:21:41.229 I know the books have gotten sharp to these guys 1558 01:21:41.270 --> 01:21:44.359 and their favored types of subs. So I don't think 1559 01:21:45.270 --> 01:21:47.260 you're going to get

like a sexy price tag on that, 1560 01:21:47.270 --> 01:21:49.100 but you should still be getting like 16 to one 1561 01:21:49.140 --> 01:21:52.619 or something. Calling an exact sub like that is always 1562 01:21:52.739 --> 01:21:56.779 just glorious. I used to love, I would spam those things, man. 1563 01:21:57.020 --> 01:21:58.829 We haven't seen as many subs in the UFC anymore. 1564 01:21:58.869 --> 01:22:00.649 So I kind of backed off them. And then it's 1565 01:22:00.689 --> 01:22:02.829 also pretty tough because most of these things at the 1566 01:22:02.909 --> 01:22:04.810 UFC level are just going to be rare naked chokes. 1567 01:22:04.829 --> 01:22:07.149 You don't get a lot of, variety with these subs 1568 01:22:07.189 --> 01:22:11.489 anymore these days, unfortunately. AB, my man, says, love, appreciate 1569 01:22:11.529 --> 01:22:14.850 you supporting Blanco. That's what is up. Yeah, man, shout out. 1570 01:22:14.880 --> 01:22:17.819 Appreciate you. Much love to you and Blanco. Good luck 1571 01:22:17.859 --> 01:22:20.539 on your dog of the week this week. Moyes says, 1572 01:22:20.680 --> 01:22:24.300 Uros throws a kick and gets his knee popped. Holland 1573 01:22:24.479 --> 01:22:29.149 flew Quinn. Moyes We're bookmarking that. We're bookmarking that. We 1574 01:22:29.189 --> 01:22:34.489 are remembering this moment because I swear if this legitimately 1575 01:22:34.569 --> 01:22:37.189 is like a fluke and Holland gets a win because 1576 01:22:38.109 --> 01:22:42.779 Ross pops his knee, where do we bet that? Where 1577 01:22:42.840 --> 01:22:44.920 do we bet that? I don't think we can bet 1578 01:22:45.579 --> 01:22:48.579 your knee popping out. They need a fluke win prop 1579 01:22:48.619 --> 01:22:52.149 bet somewhere. Next up, you guys, Kyle Brallow taking on 1580 01:22:52.210 --> 01:22:56.930 Yusri Belkarui. And Yusri is a big, big dude. You 1581 01:22:56.970 --> 01:22:59.270 guys look at this size up. I mean, Dana had 1582 01:22:59.289 --> 01:23:01.350 to get between him because he was he was putting 1583 01:23:01.369 --> 01:23:05.279 the gun to the forehead of Kyle here in this spot. 1584 01:23:05.420 --> 01:23:07.920 And I mean, this is an intense fight. You guys, 1585 01:23:07.939 --> 01:23:11.460 this is a really intense fight. So. Glover Teixeira is 1586 01:23:11.539 --> 01:23:14.399 training these kickboxers in the way of martial arts and 1587 01:23:14.420 --> 01:23:17.819 they can grapple now and they can, um, wrestle now. 1588 01:23:17.960 --> 01:23:20.520 And Yusri Belgorui is doing the same thing that Alex 1589 01:23:20.560 --> 01:23:22.920 Pereira did making his transition over here to MMA. And 1590 01:23:22.960 --> 01:23:27.640 so far it's going pretty well. Um, Kyle is just, man, 1591 01:23:27.800 --> 01:23:30.520 he is, he is the whitest Brazilian I've ever met. 1592 01:23:30.560 --> 01:23:34.229 Just getting absolutely plastered and spray painted with all these 1593 01:23:34.270 --> 01:23:36.529 Japanese symbols

on them. You know, one of those is, 1594 01:23:36.970 --> 01:23:38.569 One of those has got to be something weird like 1595 01:23:38.630 --> 01:23:40.850 Duckwater or Small Dick or something like that. I don't know. 1596 01:23:42.590 --> 01:23:45.609 But he's got them all over the place now. Yusri 1597 01:23:45.649 --> 01:23:47.800 being bigger and longer, I think, is a big deal 1598 01:23:47.840 --> 01:23:50.590 in this fight. And Kaio, I've already said it. I'm like, hey, 1599 01:23:50.600 --> 01:23:52.739 Kaio's not that great of a wrestler, right? He's got good, 1600 01:23:52.840 --> 01:23:55.199 strong top control. He's a decent jiu-jitsu player, but he's 1601 01:23:55.220 --> 01:23:59.250 not a good wrestler. He's not even planning on grappling, 1602 01:23:59.289 --> 01:24:01.760 it doesn't sound like. Man, on the mic, he's like, 1603 01:24:02.420 --> 01:24:04.500 why do you think I'm grappling? He's like, I'm going 1604 01:24:04.520 --> 01:24:06.699 to wrestle. I'm going to strike this guy. I'm going 1605 01:24:06.720 --> 01:24:08.539 to come out here and outstrike this guy. I'm like, bitch, 1606 01:24:08.619 --> 01:24:12.939 you see how big he is? World-class striker with big power. 1607 01:24:13.000 --> 01:24:18.550 You're going to volunteer to strike this guy? I just think, man, 1608 01:24:19.210 --> 01:24:22.350 so many people I know are betting on the Kaio 1609 01:24:22.390 --> 01:24:24.840 side of things here, and I just don't get it. 1610 01:24:24.850 --> 01:24:27.819 I don't get it. Like, he was running for his 1611 01:24:28.050 --> 01:24:31.329 life against Jared Cannoneer. I thought Jared won that fight. 1612 01:24:31.770 --> 01:24:36.270 You know, damage is the number one criteria in MMA betting, 1613 01:24:36.390 --> 01:24:39.310 or at least it's supposed to be. And Kyle's face 1614 01:24:39.409 --> 01:24:43.460 was all busted up. He was swollen. He was cut. 1615 01:24:43.520 --> 01:24:45.880 He was bleeding. Jared didn't have a scratch on him. 1616 01:24:46.439 --> 01:24:48.579 He was running for his life at the end of 1617 01:24:49.239 --> 01:24:52.840 that fight. Now, granted, that was a five-round main event. 1618 01:24:53.260 --> 01:24:55.239 We know Jared Cannoneer is built for the deep rounds. 1619 01:24:55.340 --> 01:24:57.579 This is a three-round fight. But, like, we have just 1620 01:24:57.619 --> 01:25:00.479 seen that Kaio does not take damage well. We've seen 1621 01:25:00.960 --> 01:25:04.779 his face swells up. We've seen he gets hurt. Yusri's 1622 01:25:04.819 --> 01:25:07.979 hurting people. Now, this is a massive step up in 1623 01:25:08.000 --> 01:25:12.819 competition for Yusri Belgarui. However, I will say, for this 1624 01:25:12.859 --> 01:25:17.250 man being, you know, second career, right, lifelong kickboxer turned 1625 01:25:17.270 --> 01:25:22.020 MMA fighter, is this really a step up? because this 1626 01:25:22.079 --> 01:25:25.479 guy has fought the likes of Alex Pereira and Israel 1627 01:25:25.579

--> 01:25:31.000 Adesanya that like, he's absolutely fought higher levels than this kickboxing. 1628 01:25:31.399 --> 01:25:34.149 So yes, it's a step up in MMA. It's not 1629 01:25:34.189 --> 01:25:36.869 a step up in this guy. Experience wise, he's fought 1630 01:25:36.890 --> 01:25:39.869 better people than Kyle standing. And Kyle is a decision machine. 1631 01:25:40.369 --> 01:25:43.029 You know, um, you streets going out and knocking everybody out. 1632 01:25:43.050 --> 01:25:45.149 He's on a three fight win streak off contender series, 1633 01:25:45.329 --> 01:25:48.949 all three by KO. Yes. That go of is a 1634 01:25:48.970 --> 01:25:51.850 bit of a gasser. We found that outright man, sir. Yes. 1635 01:25:52.229 --> 01:25:54.850 Turns out maybe he's a little bit of a fraud Santos. 1636 01:25:55.109 --> 01:25:58.100 He's nothing to write home about. This is a massive 1637 01:25:58.140 --> 01:26:02.039 step up in competition in the world of MMA. But 1638 01:26:02.079 --> 01:26:04.479 if this is going to be a striking fight, if 1639 01:26:04.520 --> 01:26:07.279 this is going to be a 15 minute kickboxing match, 1640 01:26:07.359 --> 01:26:10.300 because Kyle is not coming out here with this singlet on, 1641 01:26:11.260 --> 01:26:13.979 I'm taking the kickboxer. I just, I don't, I don't 1642 01:26:14.119 --> 01:26:17.039 get it. I don't get this line, you know? Um, 1643 01:26:18.550 --> 01:26:21.310 I know Abus has been looking good recently, but like 1644 01:26:21.489 --> 01:26:24.670 Abus and Nasruddin, those are the good wins that Kaio has. 1645 01:26:25.010 --> 01:26:26.890 I guess you could count the Reiner to Ritter one 1646 01:26:27.829 --> 01:26:30.869 as a good win, but Reiner basically wasn't able to 1647 01:26:30.890 --> 01:26:33.350 track him down. And then, of course, in a kickboxing fight, 1648 01:26:33.369 --> 01:26:36.069 Kaio is going to outstrike you. Reiner is not that 1649 01:26:36.109 --> 01:26:38.050 good of a striker, so that one is kind of 1650 01:26:38.109 --> 01:26:42.739 just it is what it is. I don't love Kaio's wins, right? 1651 01:26:43.000 --> 01:26:45.100 I don't love him running for his life to squeeze 1652 01:26:45.159 --> 01:26:49.310 out a victory over Jared Cannoneer. I just don't believe 1653 01:26:49.590 --> 01:26:51.489 I don't believe I don't know. This is one where 1654 01:26:51.510 --> 01:26:53.409 I feel like I'm missing something, guys. I will be 1655 01:26:53.470 --> 01:26:57.489 completely honest with you. I feel like I'm missing something 1656 01:26:57.850 --> 01:27:00.890 because Kyle being this big a favorite doesn't make any sense. 1657 01:27:01.350 --> 01:27:06.020 And all the sharps piling in on Kyle doesn't make 1658 01:27:06.520 --> 01:27:09.199 any sense. I think if this is a kickboxing fight, 1659 01:27:09.220 --> 01:27:12.060 you three is a better kickboxer and he hits harder. 1660 01:27:13.550 --> 01:27:17.109 So I dogger pass dogger pass. I have not bet 1661 01:27:17.149 --> 01:27:21.149 you three bugger yet. I haven't yet. I'm very tempted to, 1662 01:27:21.689 --> 01:27:23.840 I might get there. I'm a, and like I said, this, 1663 01:27:23.979 --> 01:27:27.060 this week, you guys, it might be a full dog 1664 01:27:27.100 --> 01:27:29.180 week for me where I'm like, Hey, we're just going 1665 01:27:29.199 --> 01:27:32.939 to bet all of the dogs and hope we get 1666 01:27:33.060 --> 01:27:37.319 more of them than not. Right. Understanding. This is the 1667 01:27:37.359 --> 01:27:39.340 kind of card where like, you have to go in understanding. 1668 01:27:39.619 --> 01:27:42.430 You're not going to sweep. right? You, we always want 1669 01:27:42.449 --> 01:27:45.449 to sweep. We always want to hit all of our bets, right? 1670 01:27:45.489 --> 01:27:47.890 That's the plan. But this could be a week where 1671 01:27:47.909 --> 01:27:50.329 it's like, you know what? If we bet six underdogs 1672 01:27:50.369 --> 01:27:52.409 and we go three and three, that's profit. And we're 1673 01:27:52.449 --> 01:27:55.630 okay with that. That might be the move this week 1674 01:27:55.689 --> 01:27:58.590 because these little plus one 30 plus one 25 plus 1675 01:27:58.670 --> 01:28:02.109 one 40 dogs. Like I just can't get to the favorites. 1676 01:28:02.729 --> 01:28:05.289 I can't, you know, usually you're like, Hey, this favorite 1677 01:28:05.310 --> 01:28:07.010 is like minus one 40 and they should be like 1678 01:28:07.069 --> 01:28:09.710 minus two 50. I don't feel that way this week. 1679 01:28:10.250 --> 01:28:12.989 at all. I'm like, this favorite is minus 160, and 1680 01:28:13.140 --> 01:28:15.600 I feel like this should be a coin flip, or 1681 01:28:15.640 --> 01:28:20.319 maybe they even shouldn't be favored. So, yeah, it's a 1682 01:28:20.399 --> 01:28:24.079 heebie-jeebies type of week for me, because I'm teetering on 1683 01:28:24.140 --> 01:28:25.439 the verge of doing something stupid. 1684 01:28:27.939 --> 01:28:28.319 Oh, man. 1685 01:28:28.739 --> 01:28:31.569 Hey, what is up, Hendrix? Thank you very much. Just 1686 01:28:31.590 --> 01:28:35.210 started watching the stream three weeks ago. Very helpful. Thanks. Hey, 1687 01:28:35.250 --> 01:28:38.510 appreciate you, man. I will tell you, I've been hot recently. 1688 01:28:38.609 --> 01:28:40.619 I'm on a heater. I'm on a heater. the first 1689 01:28:40.760 --> 01:28:44.119 half of this year. I basically just dug a hole 1690 01:28:44.180 --> 01:28:47.229 and buried myself. And for the last four months or so, 1691 01:28:47.289 --> 01:28:49.850 I've been digging my way out of it. So I'm 1692 01:28:49.899 --> 01:28:54.779 not a professional. Swings are very normal here. I swing 1693 01:28:54.819 --> 01:28:57.680 from the rafters. I get crazy ideas, and I'm willing 1694 01:28:57.720 --> 01:29:00.899 to bet them. So don't take my word as law. 1695 01:29:00.979 --> 01:29:03.460 I'm glad I'm able to help you out. That is 1696 01:29:03.500 --> 01:29:06.239 the goal. I try to

both entertain and then also 1697 01:29:06.319 --> 01:29:08.920 present the information, make sure you've got all the info 1698 01:29:08.939 --> 01:29:11.060 that you need to know. I will tell you what 1699 01:29:11.159 --> 01:29:13.609 I'm betting. I'm not trying to convince you to do anything, 1700 01:29:13.930 --> 01:29:16.750 but I'm glad to hear– that I've been helpful for 1701 01:29:16.770 --> 01:29:18.489 the last couple of times since you've watched the show. 1702 01:29:18.529 --> 01:29:20.390 I just want to make sure there's not an expectation 1703 01:29:20.409 --> 01:29:22.979 of like, this guy's always right. Cause that's definitely not 1704 01:29:23.020 --> 01:29:27.380 the case. All right, guys, co main event of the 1705 01:29:27.560 --> 01:29:31.220 evening goat status on the line, Kayla Harrison, taking on 1706 01:29:31.699 --> 01:29:36.770 Amanda Nunez Kayla with one of the scariest weight cuts 1707 01:29:37.149 --> 01:29:40.449 of all time. We don't see anybody struggle the way 1708 01:29:40.489 --> 01:29:44.189 she does on the scale, but as per usual, They 1709 01:29:44.210 --> 01:29:48.829 juiced her up backstage. She's fine. She rehydrates. She survived. 1710 01:29:49.189 --> 01:29:51.720 I will say this is probably the best weight cut 1711 01:29:51.800 --> 01:29:54.560 I think I've ever seen her have. She did look okay, 1712 01:29:54.859 --> 01:29:57.640 at least as far as she's concerned on the scales today. 1713 01:29:58.180 --> 01:30:01.979 She is slightly the larger woman here, a little bit bigger, obviously, 1714 01:30:02.000 --> 01:30:04.189 a little more physical, lots more muscle on the frame. 1715 01:30:04.550 --> 01:30:07.109 But the big story here, you guys, is this line move. 1716 01:30:07.529 --> 01:30:12.060 It's crashing. Nunez was like plus 190, plus 200 a 1717 01:30:12.659 --> 01:30:15.909 couple of weeks ago. And now she's plus 140. Like 1718 01:30:16.050 --> 01:30:20.029 it's just a flood on the Nunez side of things. 1719 01:30:21.050 --> 01:30:23.449 Kayla Harrison coming off that neck surgery. This fight was 1720 01:30:23.489 --> 01:30:28.550 originally scheduled for January. And then that didn't happen. And 1721 01:30:29.029 --> 01:30:32.489 I feel like that favors Nunez, right? Nunez coming out 1722 01:30:32.529 --> 01:30:36.250 of retirement, doing essentially almost a full camp to get 1723 01:30:36.270 --> 01:30:38.840 ready for this fight. and then having to hit the 1724 01:30:38.880 --> 01:30:41.000 reset button. And now you've got a whole year to 1725 01:30:41.039 --> 01:30:44.550 train and prep for this fighter. Um, the other thing is, again, 1726 01:30:44.659 --> 01:30:47.510 I'm going to go with like the, uh, the interviews angle, 1727 01:30:47.909 --> 01:30:49.689 you know, when these two are talking about this fight, 1728 01:30:49.789 --> 01:30:52.510 Kayla Harrison is all, Oh, I hope I can. Oh, 1729 01:30:53.010 --> 01:30:55.710 I think I'm going to be champion. Oh, I pray that, 1730 01:30:55.770 --> 01:30:57.489 you know, God will smile on me in the cage 1731 01:30:57.529 --> 01:30:59.149 and like, not that there's anything wrong with that, but like, 1732 01:30:59.510 --> 01:31:02.850 Everything is wishing and hoping. And when they ask Nunez, Hey, 1733 01:31:02.989 --> 01:31:05.010 who do you, you know, what's going to happen? She's like, guys, 1734 01:31:05.029 --> 01:31:07.050 I'm winning. You know, you know, you know, I'm winning. 1735 01:31:07.270 --> 01:31:11.449 Like she, the, the sheer confidence of Nunez, uh, these 1736 01:31:11.489 --> 01:31:14.050 two have trained before they were both at ATT for 1737 01:31:14.090 --> 01:31:16.569 a time. And I, again, I'm repeating myself here. I 1738 01:31:16.609 --> 01:31:18.909 talked about this on the sharp action report, but you guys, 1739 01:31:18.949 --> 01:31:21.689 I always say with the training partners, one partner thinks 1740 01:31:21.750 --> 01:31:24.819 the other partner knows. And I feel like that really 1741 01:31:24.880 --> 01:31:27.100 tells the story with the way these two are responding 1742 01:31:27.119 --> 01:31:31.489 to the questions, right? because Kayla thinks she can beat 1743 01:31:31.590 --> 01:31:34.680 Amanda Nunez, and Amanda's like, no, I'm winning this fight. 1744 01:31:34.810 --> 01:31:40.000 So she knows she's beating Kayla Harrison on Saturday. Another underdog, 1745 01:31:40.420 --> 01:31:43.000 I bet her already. I got two units on Amanda Nunez. 1746 01:31:43.319 --> 01:31:45.399 I got plus 150. I wish I had gotten the 1747 01:31:45.420 --> 01:31:48.279 plus 185 or so, but I did click at the 1748 01:31:48.319 --> 01:31:51.500 plus 150 mark. I just think the neck injury, the 1749 01:31:51.560 --> 01:31:54.409 weight cut, the fact that it's all over after this, 1750 01:31:54.470 --> 01:31:56.619 she never has to make this weight ever again. And 1751 01:31:56.659 --> 01:31:59.319 we've seen Kayla Harrison in a couple of extended fights before, 1752 01:31:59.340 --> 01:32:01.760 and it does not get pretty. So if she doesn't 1753 01:32:02.539 --> 01:32:05.380 choke Amanda out in the first round of this fight, 1754 01:32:05.699 --> 01:32:08.149 I think Amanda starts to punch her way back into it. 1755 01:32:08.479 --> 01:32:11.239 And frankly, I don't know how Harrison is going to 1756 01:32:11.279 --> 01:32:15.079 handle big bomb-style punches coming back at her. If Amanda 1757 01:32:15.100 --> 01:32:18.239 Nunez is anything at all like the Amanda we knew 1758 01:32:18.279 --> 01:32:20.899 when she was retired, she'll pick up as this fight 1759 01:32:20.939 --> 01:32:24.590 goes deep. And she'll start landing on Kayla Harrison. And 1760 01:32:24.609 --> 01:32:27.069 I just, I don't think Kayla Harrison can survive in 1761 01:32:27.090 --> 01:32:29.449 a fight where she's not able to get the grappling going. 1762 01:32:29.529 --> 01:32:33.140 So I fully expect takedowns probably early in this fight. 1763 01:32:33.449 --> 01:32:36.399 But the reason

I bet the money line on Amanda 1764 01:32:36.420 --> 01:32:40.819 Nunez is that Chris Cyborg fight. You can't even count 1765 01:32:41.000 --> 01:32:43.500 out the fact that Nunez might just spark her with 1766 01:32:43.520 --> 01:32:47.720 the first punch. It could just be over in five seconds. 1767 01:32:48.220 --> 01:32:50.729 Nunez could just rip her face off with one big 1768 01:32:50.779 --> 01:32:52.470 right hand. And that could be the end of it. 1769 01:32:52.470 --> 01:32:55.109 Because again, that neck injury, even if she was able 1770 01:32:55.149 --> 01:32:57.390 to maybe take those kinds of shots before, if she's 1771 01:32:57.430 --> 01:32:59.899 not fully healthy, if she's not all the way recovered 1772 01:32:59.939 --> 01:33:01.760 and she gets hit with a bad shot right off 1773 01:33:01.779 --> 01:33:04.939 the bat and she feels that shock, that zip go 1774 01:33:04.960 --> 01:33:08.819 down her spine because she is not completely recovered or 1775 01:33:08.859 --> 01:33:11.260 may never be the same after whatever this injury was, 1776 01:33:12.279 --> 01:33:13.989 you can't count that out. This is a fist fight, guys. 1777 01:33:14.189 --> 01:33:16.329 You know what I mean? So I like Nunez, whether 1778 01:33:16.369 --> 01:33:20.050 it's early, whether it's late, I think Amanda is and 1779 01:33:20.090 --> 01:33:23.560 always has been the WMMA goat. And I think she's 1780 01:33:23.600 --> 01:33:25.220 coming correct for that. You know, this is a fight 1781 01:33:25.239 --> 01:33:27.270 that people are saying she's taking a paycheck here, you know, 1782 01:33:27.770 --> 01:33:30.289 but we haven't seen her this happy in a long time. 1783 01:33:30.390 --> 01:33:34.710 She's smiling in every single interview. She's smiling on the scale. 1784 01:33:34.770 --> 01:33:39.289 Like it really looks like she's enjoying the moment as 1785 01:33:39.329 --> 01:33:44.109 a whole and she's confident. She's comfortable. These are all 1786 01:33:44.170 --> 01:33:45.850 things I want to bet on. These are all things 1787 01:33:45.899 --> 01:33:47.899 I want my money on the Nunez side. So yeah, 1788 01:33:48.399 --> 01:33:52.119 Amanda Nunez, GOAT of women's MMA all time. Is it 1789 01:33:52.159 --> 01:33:56.300 technically and new, right? Because Kayla's the champion right now. 1790 01:33:57.619 --> 01:33:59.800 But as far as I'm concerned, it's and still because 1791 01:33:59.840 --> 01:34:03.199 she retired on top. She never lost that belt. Timothy, 1792 01:34:04.119 --> 01:34:06.260 shout out to you, my friend. Thank you once again 1793 01:34:06.300 --> 01:34:08.979 for sharing the love. Says neck injury plus the bad 1794 01:34:09.039 --> 01:34:12.020 weight cut. Nunez brutal KO. I'm hoping so, man. I 1795 01:34:12.060 --> 01:34:15.550 am hoping so. Abs of freaking loot. All right, guys, 1796 01:34:15.590 --> 01:34:17.930 main event of the evening, the moment you have all 1797 01:34:17.989 --> 01:34:22.470 been waiting for. Cyril Ghosn taking on

Josh Hokett. 242 1798 01:34:22.470 --> 01:34:26.479 pounds for Cyril Ghosn, 231 for Josh. You can see 1799 01:34:26.520 --> 01:34:30.779 the obvious size discrepancy, and that's been something I've been 1800 01:34:30.819 --> 01:34:35.119 saying for a while, man. Hokett is– I mean, he's big. Like, 1801 01:34:35.159 --> 01:34:38.939 don't get me wrong, but he's got some– weight, it 1802 01:34:38.979 --> 01:34:41.340 looks like he could lose and he's not the most 1803 01:34:41.399 --> 01:34:43.939 jacked guy you've ever seen. Like, I feel like he 1804 01:34:43.960 --> 01:34:47.680 could make 205. I don't know. You know, Daniel Cormier 1805 01:34:47.720 --> 01:34:50.090 is a guy that like looking back in history is like, 1806 01:34:50.149 --> 01:34:53.689 he looks small at 205, but he was sawing his 1807 01:34:53.710 --> 01:34:55.529 leg off to get down there. You know, he had 1808 01:34:55.550 --> 01:34:56.770 to go up to heavyweight at the end of his 1809 01:34:56.829 --> 01:34:59.710 career because just the way his body's built, maybe hook it. 1810 01:34:59.750 --> 01:35:02.189 Couldn't make 205, but just looking at him, I'm like, man, 1811 01:35:02.229 --> 01:35:04.760 I feel like, I feel like he can make 205. 1812 01:35:04.760 --> 01:35:08.779 He's short. Um, uh, He's lit the world on fire 1813 01:35:08.840 --> 01:35:12.479 the way he talks, the gimmick, the way he's acting, 1814 01:35:12.779 --> 01:35:14.399 all this stuff. You either love him, you hate him, 1815 01:35:14.430 --> 01:35:16.729 you're tuning in to watch him fight either way. The 1816 01:35:16.750 --> 01:35:18.869 thing I like about Josh Hokett is once that cage 1817 01:35:18.909 --> 01:35:23.090 door closes, he's deadly serious. All the goofball shit goes 1818 01:35:23.130 --> 01:35:25.989 out the window. And he really is a guy who 1819 01:35:26.050 --> 01:35:28.970 brings the intensity once the cage door is closed. And 1820 01:35:28.989 --> 01:35:31.829 that's something that I don't know Cyril Ghosn is going 1821 01:35:31.909 --> 01:35:34.850 to deal with very well because Hokett will be in 1822 01:35:34.989 --> 01:35:39.390 his face nonstop. And I know Gon has been doing 1823 01:35:39.430 --> 01:35:42.069 his very best to patch up that wrestling issue, but 1824 01:35:42.090 --> 01:35:44.829 that's basically been the thing that's plagued him his entire career, 1825 01:35:45.250 --> 01:35:46.930 is people being able to just kind of take him 1826 01:35:46.970 --> 01:35:50.340 down at will, whether it's Jon Jones or Francis Ngannou 1827 01:35:50.399 --> 01:35:55.479 or Alexander Volkov recently. Everybody can take this guy down. Now, 1828 01:35:55.579 --> 01:35:58.760 I don't know what Hokit's plan is. That's my thing. 1829 01:35:59.340 --> 01:36:02.060 The weirdest thing about this fight, you guys, and I 1830 01:36:02.100 --> 01:36:06.180 said this on my last show, is everything in my brain... 1831 01:36:06.970 --> 01:36:11.449 says that Cyril Ghosn wins this fight. Better footwork, more experience, 1832 01:36:12.739 --> 01:36:16.180 bigger pop in his hands. Like, you know, the fight 1833 01:36:16.300 --> 01:36:21.420 with Curtis Blades. Josh Hokit hit him with everything in 1834 01:36:21.439 --> 01:36:24.960 the kitchen sink. Blades is not necessarily a chinny guy 1835 01:36:25.000 --> 01:36:27.100 by any means, but all the big hitters at heavyweight 1836 01:36:27.119 --> 01:36:29.640 have knocked him out. Well, they went a full 15 minutes. 1837 01:36:29.680 --> 01:36:32.199 Hokit threw everything he had at him, tried to cardio 1838 01:36:32.239 --> 01:36:35.180 death that guy, and Blades made it to the final bell. Yes, 1839 01:36:35.220 --> 01:36:36.939 he got Derek Lewis out of there, but you look 1840 01:36:36.979 --> 01:36:39.899 at the guys he's beating and it's like Max and 1841 01:36:39.960 --> 01:36:44.140 Menez doesn't really belong in the UFC, right? Sparked him 1842 01:36:44.199 --> 01:36:48.550 out of there in that first round. Denzel Freeman, bad gasser. Bad, bad, 1843 01:36:48.569 --> 01:36:54.550 bad gasser. Derek Lewis, bad gasser. Quitter, right? So he's 1844 01:36:54.590 --> 01:36:58.550 cooking these guys who don't have good cardio. That's the 1845 01:36:58.569 --> 01:37:02.689 big thing. Cyril gone has got pretty good cardio, man. 1846 01:37:02.770 --> 01:37:05.130 I mean, it's not the best, you know, there, there 1847 01:37:05.170 --> 01:37:08.310 have been times, right. I felt like he was like, 1848 01:37:08.350 --> 01:37:10.840 his mouth was hanging open a little bit against Alex Pereira. 1849 01:37:11.479 --> 01:37:14.899 I feel like things got sketchy against Alexander Volkov. I 1850 01:37:14.920 --> 01:37:16.579 thought Volkov won that fight, but he was able to 1851 01:37:16.600 --> 01:37:19.420 get the full 15 minutes to tie to a Vasa 1852 01:37:19.439 --> 01:37:22.039 fight that ended in round three. He found his opening, 1853 01:37:22.060 --> 01:37:23.880 but tie like clipped him big and hurt him and 1854 01:37:23.920 --> 01:37:26.479 dropped him. And he didn't look great the way he 1855 01:37:26.500 --> 01:37:29.069 was moving in that fight until the finish. Like, So 1856 01:37:29.350 --> 01:37:32.569 it's a big body. He's a little older. He's got 1857 01:37:32.590 --> 01:37:35.529 all that muscle. It's got attacks for the way he moves, 1858 01:37:35.569 --> 01:37:39.520 the way he flows, the footwork. I think Josh can 1859 01:37:39.579 --> 01:37:43.000 cardio cook this guy, but I also am like, man, 1860 01:37:43.220 --> 01:37:45.420 they're pricing this like he's just going to knock him 1861 01:37:45.479 --> 01:37:48.760 out early. And I did originally say the under three 1862 01:37:48.800 --> 01:37:52.460 and a half was the look here for me. But 1863 01:37:52.479 --> 01:37:55.289 the more I think about it, The more like, man, 1864 01:37:55.670 --> 01:37:58.989 if Hokit really is winning this fight, if he actually 1865 01:37:59.069 --> 01:38:00.340 is going to come out here and do

the damn thing, 1866 01:38:01.489 --> 01:38:05.279 it's going to be pace and pressure. Gon, who is 1867 01:38:05.340 --> 01:38:09.060 not chinny, is going to be, you know, matadoring him, 1868 01:38:10.380 --> 01:38:14.159 or it's going to be grappling. And if Hokit grapples, 1869 01:38:15.439 --> 01:38:19.119 it's a much bigger man. I don't think he's going 1870 01:38:19.140 --> 01:38:21.039 to be free to just do whatever he wants. You know, 1871 01:38:21.479 --> 01:38:24.460 snatch a neck, posture up in ground and pound like 1872 01:38:25.300 --> 01:38:26.800 That's going to take some effort. It's going to take 1873 01:38:26.819 --> 01:38:28.180 some effort to hold this guy down. It's going to 1874 01:38:28.199 --> 01:38:29.699 take some effort to pin him up against the fence. 1875 01:38:30.439 --> 01:38:31.880 Like the more I think about it, I'm like, man, 1876 01:38:31.899 --> 01:38:34.460 this fight might actually go a little bit longer than 1877 01:38:34.500 --> 01:38:39.159 some people are expecting. And I kind of feel like 1878 01:38:39.199 --> 01:38:43.350 Hokit by decision is crazy. As that sounds at plus 1879 01:38:43.369 --> 01:38:48.939 six 50 is on the table. Um, I just, I, 1880 01:38:49.189 --> 01:38:51.149 this is going to come down to Hokit's chin because 1881 01:38:51.289 --> 01:38:53.369 early in this fight, if Hokit does what he does 1882 01:38:53.590 --> 01:38:55.329 and what he's done in his last couple of fights, right? 1883 01:38:55.369 --> 01:38:57.300 If he does what we've seen him do in his 1884 01:38:57.340 --> 01:39:00.539 last two, three fights, he's just going to stumble forward 1885 01:39:00.699 --> 01:39:03.079 and swing and put his dick on the table and 1886 01:39:03.119 --> 01:39:06.859 hope it's bigger than Cyril Gans. And Cyril don't play 1887 01:39:06.880 --> 01:39:09.800 that game. Cyril's going to use his footwork. He's going 1888 01:39:09.819 --> 01:39:12.239 to cut angles. He's going to throw a little uppercuts 1889 01:39:12.279 --> 01:39:14.689 and hooks and, you know, stiff jab to like keep 1890 01:39:14.710 --> 01:39:16.930 the distance and control the pace and the range and 1891 01:39:17.640 --> 01:39:20.500 That's how he knocked out Alex Pereira, is he just 1892 01:39:20.579 --> 01:39:22.729 stuck a jab in his face. And every time Alex 1893 01:39:22.739 --> 01:39:24.930 tried to get in there, he was fast enough and 1894 01:39:24.970 --> 01:39:28.869 quick enough to disrupt the game and punch him in 1895 01:39:28.890 --> 01:39:32.430 the mouth. Can Hokit come back from that? Hokit can 1896 01:39:32.470 --> 01:39:36.109 survive in a brawl. He's got a chin. He'll outlast 1897 01:39:36.170 --> 01:39:39.840 you if you're both just slugging down. But if it's accurate, 1898 01:39:40.020 --> 01:39:44.300 if it's quick, if it's preventing your forward momentum, those 1899 01:39:44.319 --> 01:39:47.399 are the shots that really hurt. Can he eat those? 1900 01:39:48.460 --> 01:39:53.159 For this entire fight. Everything in my brain says that 1901 01:39:53.199 --> 01:39:55.140 Cyril Ghosn is going to win this fight, you guys. 1902 01:39:55.560 --> 01:39:57.840 Everything in my head says that Cyril Ghosn wins this 1903 01:39:57.880 --> 01:40:00.539 fight and it's by knockout. That's plus 110. That way 1904 01:40:00.560 --> 01:40:03.659 you don't have to lay the big price tag. That 1905 01:40:03.699 --> 01:40:08.300 makes so much sense to me. But then the hairs 1906 01:40:08.359 --> 01:40:12.399 on the back of my neck say that Josh Hokett 1907 01:40:12.500 --> 01:40:15.560 finds a way to win this fight. It's one of 1908 01:40:15.600 --> 01:40:17.960 those things where it's like this man talked himself into 1909 01:40:18.000 --> 01:40:21.579 this position. He's a crazy man. He's a complete wild card. 1910 01:40:21.960 --> 01:40:25.060 You can't expect to predict or know what he's going 1911 01:40:25.090 --> 01:40:29.529 to say or do. That's out the window. And because 1912 01:40:29.569 --> 01:40:31.989 of that, because of his youth, because of his speed, 1913 01:40:32.130 --> 01:40:35.770 because of his ability to push, I'm like, God bless him. 1914 01:40:35.810 --> 01:40:37.340 I feel like he finds a way to win this fight. 1915 01:40:38.279 --> 01:40:40.600 So right now, I don't have any action on the 1916 01:40:40.640 --> 01:40:43.800 main event. I am frozen by analysis, and I also 1917 01:40:44.119 --> 01:40:47.300 kind of just want to watch this fucking thing. It's 1918 01:40:47.340 --> 01:40:49.159 another one where if it's going to be that weird, 1919 01:40:49.279 --> 01:40:53.090 I might steer into the chaos and look at things 1920 01:40:53.239 --> 01:40:58.229 like the overs. Look at things like the decision prop 1921 01:40:58.510 --> 01:41:01.229 for Josh Hokett. The crazy stuff that I can just 1922 01:41:01.270 --> 01:41:05.989 have a small exposure to and pray. Do you want 1923 01:41:06.010 --> 01:41:10.210 to look at takedown props? Josh Hokiet under one and 1924 01:41:10.229 --> 01:41:13.210 a half takedowns is minus 125. So the bookies are 1925 01:41:13.270 --> 01:41:15.390 lining this as though he is not going to shoot 1926 01:41:15.430 --> 01:41:18.890 takedowns in this fight. And based on the way we've 1927 01:41:18.949 --> 01:41:22.770 seen this guy fight over his last couple, seems kind 1928 01:41:22.789 --> 01:41:25.529 of plausible because as much as we know he can wrestle, 1929 01:41:26.210 --> 01:41:27.630 we have yet to see him actually go out there 1930 01:41:27.649 --> 01:41:30.149 and do it. Now he might talk like an idiot 1931 01:41:30.189 --> 01:41:32.239 on the microphone, but when you get this guy away 1932 01:41:32.279 --> 01:41:35.079 from the shtick, when people talk to him about MMA 1933 01:41:35.100 --> 01:41:36.960 and stuff like that, you can tell he's actually got 1934 01:41:36.979 --> 01:41:38.850 a brain in his head. I actually think he's a 1935 01:41:38.869 --> 01:41:41.210 whole lot smarter than he's giving off

in a lot 1936 01:41:41.229 --> 01:41:44.430 of these interviews. So I think he knows. He should know. 1937 01:41:45.250 --> 01:41:46.890 And I hope he comes out and grapples. It would 1938 01:41:46.909 --> 01:41:49.229 be real fun to see Josh Hokett win this title tomorrow. 1939 01:41:49.979 --> 01:41:53.460 He's plus 190 as the underdog. Gosh dang, man. This 1940 01:41:53.479 --> 01:41:55.220 will be a live bet spot. I think this is 1941 01:41:55.260 --> 01:41:57.020 a spot you can watch and bet live because you'll 1942 01:41:57.039 --> 01:41:59.479 be able to see if Hokett isn't going to be 1943 01:41:59.500 --> 01:42:01.479 able to do what he wants to do. If Cyril's controlling, 1944 01:42:01.500 --> 01:42:03.579 you'll be able to tell. And then if Josh is 1945 01:42:03.619 --> 01:42:05.819 able to start kind of getting to Cyril Gaughan, if 1946 01:42:05.859 --> 01:42:08.399 he's able to start breaking him, you'll be able to 1947 01:42:08.439 --> 01:42:10.920 see that too. So there should be an opportunity to 1948 01:42:10.960 --> 01:42:14.920 jump in live. If you have access to that, um, talk, man, 1949 01:42:15.220 --> 01:42:16.479 I got to go with the brain. You guys, I 1950 01:42:16.520 --> 01:42:17.720 got to go with the brain. The hairs on the 1951 01:42:17.760 --> 01:42:19.239 back of my neck are saying that Josh Hoke, it 1952 01:42:19.279 --> 01:42:20.659 finds a way to win this fight, but I got 1953 01:42:20.689 --> 01:42:22.350 to go with the X's and O's. I'm going to 1954 01:42:22.359 --> 01:42:25.390 pick Cyril gone as the winner in the main event. 1955 01:42:25.710 --> 01:42:28.149 Thank you all so much for joining me for a 1956 01:42:28.289 --> 01:42:31.250 late night undefeated post lane show. We went a little 1957 01:42:31.270 --> 01:42:34.149 late tonight, but big fight week, big pay-per-view. We had 1958 01:42:34.170 --> 01:42:34.989 a lot to talk about. 1959 01:42:35.329 --> 01:42:38.630 All good. uh going to start one more time i've 1960 01:42:38.649 --> 01:42:42.189 got action on samuel sanchez love that kid uh feeling 1961 01:42:42.220 --> 01:42:45.579 good about it juan diaz i like his favorite minus 1962 01:42:45.600 --> 01:42:47.439 five and a half on the spread i actually think 1963 01:42:47.479 --> 01:42:48.880 might be a way to play that if you want 1964 01:42:48.920 --> 01:42:51.260 to i think he dominates the fight with alatang hayley 1965 01:42:51.859 --> 01:42:54.640 um hopefully he finishes but i'm not entirely certain he'll 1966 01:42:54.659 --> 01:42:57.819 find that ko i like beatrice mosquita except i'm a 1967 01:42:57.859 --> 01:43:00.199 little bit worried about the size discrepancy i'm a little 1968 01:43:00.220 --> 01:43:06.119 bit worried about the striking defense minus 265. 1969 01:43:04.220 --> 01:43:05.779 It's a little rich for my blood. I want to 1970 01:43:05.819 --> 01:43:07.989 see her win. I think she does. I might sprinkle 1971 01:43:08.029 --> 01:43:10.250 that TKO, but I don't know if I love a 1972 01:43:10.270 --> 01:43:14.069 parlay at minus 260. Melky Costa. I, for the life 1973 01:43:14.109 --> 01:43:16.270 of me, can't pick this kid. I can't trust him 1974 01:43:16.649 --> 01:43:18.939 at minus 400, moving up a weight class. Oh, and 1975 01:43:18.989 --> 01:43:23.000 two at 155. That just screams. Can't touch that. Even 1976 01:43:23.039 --> 01:43:27.319 if Jared Gooden is completely Jared Gordon, I apologize. Getting tired. 1977 01:43:27.699 --> 01:43:29.939 Even if Jared Gordon is completely cooked at this point, 1978 01:43:30.590 --> 01:43:32.210 it's still not a fight that I think is a 1979 01:43:32.250 --> 01:43:36.380 great matchup for Melky. And the over seems interesting because 1980 01:43:36.479 --> 01:43:39.470 Jared might be able to wrestle there. Dante Johnson, we're 1981 01:43:39.479 --> 01:43:43.010 picking him. I don't like it. Cesar Almeida asking for 1982 01:43:43.029 --> 01:43:46.770 the weight move, the U-shaped line movement. It all screams 1983 01:43:46.829 --> 01:43:49.630 Dante Johnson, even though I can't quite put my finger 1984 01:43:49.689 --> 01:43:52.909 on how he manages to win. Terrence McKinney, round one, 1985 01:43:52.970 --> 01:43:55.630 expecting it to be over early. Under one and a half, 1986 01:43:55.710 --> 01:43:58.850 goes without saying. If Jim Miller wins this fight, he's 1987 01:43:58.890 --> 01:44:02.529 going to break Terrence McKinney himself. Drew Dover, dog of 1988 01:44:02.649 --> 01:44:06.420 the week. Dogger pass Charles Radke fading the retirement of 1989 01:44:06.460 --> 01:44:08.859 Stephen Thompson, but I get it. I get it. If 1990 01:44:08.880 --> 01:44:11.890 you want to bet Thompson, it makes sense. Bilal Hassan 1991 01:44:11.930 --> 01:44:15.050 should school Luis Grule, but I don't think it's going 1992 01:44:15.069 --> 01:44:17.630 to come quite as fast as everybody's expecting it to. 1993 01:44:17.670 --> 01:44:20.470 So I lean over in that fight, believe it or not. Um, 1994 01:44:20.609 --> 01:44:24.310 Kevin Holland, I actually think is a sneaky underdog against 1995 01:44:24.409 --> 01:44:28.510 Eros Medich. Just relying on that durability. I want whoever 1996 01:44:28.590 --> 01:44:30.510 is plus money, not a whole lot of confidence in 1997 01:44:30.550 --> 01:44:34.869 that one. Usri Belgarui. I've never believed in Kayo. I 1998 01:44:34.890 --> 01:44:37.989 think usually he's the better striker. Um, plus money, I 1999 01:44:38.029 --> 01:44:40.659 think is good money for some, something's holding me back. 2000 01:44:40.680 --> 01:44:42.640 I don't know why some reason something's holding me back, 2001 01:44:42.699 --> 01:44:46.000 but I'm tempted. on you, Sri Belgarui. I've already got 2002 01:44:46.039 --> 01:44:49.439 Amanda Nunez in pocket. She is the GOAT, and then 2003 01:44:49.560 --> 01:44:52.189 I'm picking Cyril Kahn, but I'm probably not betting the 2004 01:44:52.229 --> 01:44:55.390 main event. That was a lot of info. There is 2005 01:44:55.430 --> 01:44:58.850 your recap. Thank you all so much for joining me 2006 01:44:59.289 --> 01:45:01.609 on the Undefeated Post weigh-in show. You guys be good. 2007 01:45:01.630 --> 01:45:03.430 I will post my final card first thing in the 2008 01:45:03.449 --> 01:45:06.390 morning with all of my plays. If you're insane enough 2009 01:45:06.810 --> 01:45:10.079 to tail, please make your own gambling decisions. Always gamble 2010 01:45:10.119 --> 01:45:13.420 safely and responsibly. Hope you guys have a wonderful day tomorrow. 2011 01:45:13.460 --> 01:45:15.699 Hope the show helped. Please do me a favor. Hit 2012 01:45:15.739 --> 01:45:17.899 that like button as you leave and get subscribed because 2013 01:45:17.939 --> 01:45:21.850 we're here doing this shit every single week, watching these 2014 01:45:21.930 --> 01:45:24.489 UFC fights, hoping to make a penny or two. Love 2015 01:45:24.510 --> 01:45:26.939 you guys. Kick some ass. Let's roll.