# Kelvin Davidson

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Why movers are holding back & Q2 GDP rebounds: Will the RBNZ hike in Oct?

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! National sales volumes have dropped for the eighth consecutive month - down nearly 12% year-on-year in August. But when you look past market share percentages to raw buyer transactions, a clear driver emerges: relocating owner-occupiers (move…

First-time buyers upending the market

Now it's time to chat about the property market and how things are changing for first-time buyers. A great Stuff piece by Janika ter Ellen today has outlined a curious trend - how first time buyers are skipping those traditional "starter homes" and leaping up the property ladder. Data from Cotality…

8 falls in a row & Labour's tax call: Will property investors return?

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! August residential sales plunged nearly 12% year-on-year, marking the eighth consecutive month of annual transaction drops across Aotearoa New Zealand. With sales drifting and listings climbing, the market remains locked in an extended holdin…

Kelvin Davidson: Cotality Chief Property Economist on Treasury slashing the house price growth forecast

Housing is set to be a buyer's market for a while longer.   The Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update shows housing price growth will peak at 3% by March 2028, down slightly from 3.2% in the budget update.   Cotality Chief Property Economist Kelvin Davidson told Mike Hosking the further out you…

Kelvin Davidson: Cotality Chief Property Economist on Treasury slashing the house price growth forecast

Housing is set to be a buyer's market for a while longer.   The Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update shows housing price growth will peak at 3% by March 2028, down slightly from 3.2% in the budget update.   Cotality Chief Property Economist Kelvin Davidson told Mike Hosking the further out you…

NZ house prices remain flat as buyers retain the upper hand

New Zealand’s housing market has taken another step backwards.  Property values have now fallen for six months in a row, with the national median value dropping below the previous cycle low.  And while buyers have more choice and bargaining power, there’s still little sign of a sharp rebound - wi…

Unlocking the Wānaka Property Market

What’s really happening in the Wānaka property market, and what do you need to know before making your next move? Jack catches up with Mark Hemming from Loan Market Agile ahead of Wānaka Property Market Unlocked, a free event designed to give locals a clearer picture of where the market is heading…

Why property values are sliding & the 10-year reality

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! National property values dipped another 0.3% in September, extending the softer winter trend across Aotearoa New Zealand. But is the market collapsing, or simply grinding through a long-planned transition? This week on the New Zealand Propert…

Building costs hit 3-year high & the one-year rate switch

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! Residential building costs have surged to their highest annual growth rate in three years, rising 4.8% over the last year. But with existing house prices flat to falling and listings at abundant levels, can the construction sector continue to…