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Hello everyone and welcome back to CX Today.
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My name is Francesca Roche.
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I'm a technology journalist today discussing the growing tension between faster refund expectations and returns fraud in UK retail.
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Now, as retailers continue to compete on convenience, time to refund has become a critical performance metric that directly impacts customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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However, accelerating refunds can create opportunities for fraudsters to exploit return processes before products have been properly inspected or verified.
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In today's discussion, we'll be exploring how retailers can balance speed, customer experience, and fraud prevention whilst protecting profitability across a returns journey.
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Today I'm joined by Paul Gardiner, the VP of Product at Atris Retail, to discuss how retailers can improve time to refund without increasing their exposure to counterfeit returns and other forms of returns fraud.
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But before we get into the discussion today, Paul, how are you doing?
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I'm doing well, thank you.
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How are you doing?
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Great, thank you.
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Lovely to meet you.
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Um now, firstly, as refund expectations continue to prioritize speed across UK retail, return processes are now being optimised around time rather than risk.
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Paul, how are retailers balancing fast refunds with stronger fraud prevention at the point of return?
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Yeah, sure.
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I think the best retailers are they've stopped treating speed and security as a trade-off.
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Uh they're solving these two problems at the same time.
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You don't need to slow everyone down, you need to identify the small percentage of uh people who warrant scrutiny and then get out of the way of everyone else.
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Um, it's a small percentage of people, but it represents uh uh that you're trying to stop, but it's it represents a lot of um of loss.
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Um, you know, we've got a um a 2026 uh total retail loss benchmark report.
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Um and it's it's focused on the US, but out of that$700 billion worth of returns, um,$100 billion of that is preventable loss.
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Um uh and when we say preventable loss, we mean fraud and abuse that if you had controls in place, uh you could prevent it, whilst most importantly, rewarding still and providing a good experience for your customers.
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Um, so not putting something in place that would uh add friction to your loyal customers.
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And we're seeing the best retailers um adopting approaches uh and you know, and uh that will do exactly that.
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Um, so it's no longer a trade-off, uh, it's not something you need to do one or the other or um focus on one area at all.
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Um you just need to know your customers individually uh and you need to move away from policies, really.
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And it's all about instant uh tailored decisions, and that instant part is the key part there, really.
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So uh your good customers getting an instant decision that they can continue, and the bad actors getting an instant block from um uh uh from uh you know abuse.
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Um you get your time uh based uh metric there, but you also get your security-based metric there.
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Absolutely, I think that's quite interesting there that even one in seven customer experiences doesn't necessarily have to suffer.
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Um, and especially as we sort of progress, forward controls will become more sophisticated.
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We're gonna see that number lower and lower, which is more exciting.
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Um, and as returns fraud grow in both scale and complexity, financial losses are often spread across systems that lack clear end-to-end visibility.
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Can you explain the biggest gaps in visibility that allow fraudulent returns to go undetected across channels?
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Yeah, I think um the biggest gap uh really comes with uh identity, understanding your customers across the all the channels that they interact with you, um, and then making the uh informed decisions based on that.
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I think that's probably the biggest gap.
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Because if you talk about different channels and um you may know your customer well uh on the e-com side, but do you know what they're doing in store if you're a multi-channel retailer?
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And uh is your decision then based on all of all of that?
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And that also helps you on the uh bad actor side as well.
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You know, you can identify immediately a signal there that this person potentially has not interacted with your business in any channel at all, uh, and uh evaluate the risk based on that as well.
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And I think then that leads on to the next uh gap, which is consistency, making the same decision in every single channel.
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A bad actor will very quickly clearly uh and quickly realize that um something you've got in place online might not be something uh that's going to prevent them if they go in store.
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Uh it might not be something that's gonna prevent them if they uh call up your call center
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and try to social engineer their way uh around your controls.
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So it's being able to um plug those two gaps really, good decisions about individuals and um consistency in every single channel, the same controls in every single place.
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Um there's a third one though, um uh that's a big gap as well, which is kind of actionable insights, uh being able to react as well.
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Uh so you've got what you you know you think is a really good control in place, you've got the consistency in place, but uh knowing how those controls are performing, uh, how quickly can you identify trends that are happening in your returns data and other business decisions that might have impacted the performance of your returns?
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And how quickly then can you can adapt your controls uh to what you're seeing?
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Absolutely.
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I think um obviously, as visibility becomes more of an important capability, it's also it's becoming a lot easier to use.
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We're noticing customers leaving a lot more fingerprints on the journey more than ever.
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So I think um, yeah, it's less of an expectation and more of a standard at this point because it's so easy for to notice.
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Um, and as policy-based returns processes and high value product categories create uneven risk exposure, fraud is increasingly driven by behaviour rather than single transactions.
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Paul, can you tell us where are the current return policies most vulnerable and how are fraud patterns evolving around them?
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Yeah, sure.
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I think um I think the policy is the key word here, really.
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We often say this policies are essentially a menu or a playbook.
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Um, the worst actors will uh learn them and they'll operate operate inside them then.
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Uh you're up against professionals who who will do their research, you know, that's that's what you're often up against.
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Um, even an opportunistic uh abuser is going to be enabled by a fixed policy.
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Um uh they'll they'll have made decisions on where they're shopping and where they're returning based on that sometimes.
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Um yeah, and um your good customers are going to get caught up in all of these restrictions that you're trying to do um with uh fixed policies.
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So I think that's the key part to take away, really, is that is that policies and rules are a major part of the problem.
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Um you know, you can um uh build a policy uh that would uh that gives your um good customers uh that speed that you're after, that that you know it's gonna let them
through, but that's just gonna have holes in it all over the place.
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Um so that's where retailers are are understanding this, realizing uh that the decision needs to be dynamic, um, that the uh it needs to be pattern-based, it needs to be behavioural based, um, it needs to be you know individual event-based decisions rather than uh policies.
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Absolutely, I think um organizations need to be aware constantly that the their policies are creating unintended vulnerabilities.
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So we need to make sure that they are regularly reviewed.
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And as retailers look to reduce fraud without damaging customer experience, more attention is shifting towards risk-based decisioning at the point of return.
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What practical approaches can help reduce risk controls without slowing down legitimate customers?
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Yeah, and I think if you're if you're already trying to solve this, you've probably already started measuring that um uh cost of friction to good customers.
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And I think um I, you know, it shouldn't be any surprise that there is quite a cost of that.
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Um, it's real, it's often ignored uh when trying to think about how to deal with returns.
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But what is that impact?
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And again, in our benchmark report, we've got something like um 72% of uh shoppers uh said that they went somewhere else when they had a negative return experience.
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So, whatever you do, it needs to be invisible to them.
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That's where your capability needs to focus as much as it does need to focus on preventing uh abuse and fraud.
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Um, it needs to benefit them uh and be a positive experience for them.
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So, yeah, any individual uh uh intervention should match the individual's risk.
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Uh, a flat policy here, you know, it misses the bad stuff and it frustrates the good people.
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Um, so that's the kind of focus that of whatever it is that you're going to do and as a capability uh that you're going to introduce, that's that's where you should be looking.
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Um, you know, as a retailer, you have um so much data on your customers.
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Um, use it to make the right decisions.
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Um the approach that we talk about is constantly build up a picture of your customers, every interaction they do with uh your business, every purchase they make, every return they make, every call to the call center that they've made.
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Um you constantly build up that picture.
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Um and then apply decision intelligence to that.
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Um uh that's where you know machine learning comes into play here.
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It can do the thing that humans can't do around linking um identities together and interactions together, but it also can then use those tailored uh models um to make uh incredibly accurate decisions um uh based on all of this brought together and the event that's happening right now.
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What is it they're returning?
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Where are they returning it?
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Is this normal, is this not normal for that individual person?
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Absolutely.
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I think um yeah, the key here is obviously maintaining that smooth experience, as I kind of mentioned before, that um customers are leaving all the the fingerprints um more often now.
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So creating that smooth experience is becoming easy.
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There's another part as there's another part as well.
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It's really good to take the human out of any friction as well.
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We often talk about this part as well.
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Give your employees the confidence um that uh the controls are correct uh and that the decision is final, almost make it like a credit card decision uh when you pay uh so that the employee is not there in the firing line for potentially uh an abuser or a bad actor.
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Um uh and because that will also uh enable you know ways around.
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They'll use social engineering, they'll use confrontation.
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Um, you've got an individual then trying uh individual employee trying to help them uh to or to resolve the situation.
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So as good as your controls are, you need that uh support from your employees and that understanding that this is the policy, this is this has uh the decision has been made.
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The escalation now is not me.
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Um here's how you can escalate it and have a really clear escalation path for someone to uh you know go and uh contact uh the person that would give them the informed uh information about why.
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Uh all of that needs to be in place as well.
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So it's not just about the control, it's about thinking how does this fit into the overall customer experience.
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Um, you know, you you may well be making a 99% accurate decision with these systems, but there is a chance that um someone needs to be able to escalate it.
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But don't put that in the hands of the employee that potentially that's right there in front of them.
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Yeah, absolutely.
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I wondered where you were going with that point, actually, when you said no
employees, but um absolutely, I think also the key to customer experience is also ensuring the satisfaction of your employees.
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That's a very key point, especially in those um high-risk sensitive situations.
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And as AI and data-driven tools become more embedded in retail operations, return fraud detection is moving toward predictive models.
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How can behavioral signals and machine learning be used effectively to identify suspicious return activity earlier?
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Yeah, I've spoken about it a bit there, and I think um a lot of people talk about scores.
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We don't talk about scores.
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We talk about behavioural signals, we talk about uh lifetime value, very important.
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Um, and then we talk about um that identity uh network, that linking of things together.
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That's something that machine learning is incredibly good at looking through all of your data in real time, um, and building up a uh a constant, accurate picture of risk.
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Um, and the decision isn't made there and then you wouldn't that's what scoring would be, where you would uh constantly be um making decisions about that person.
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This is more about collecting a good picture, an overall profile of every one of your uh customers and every one of their interactions, and then the decision you use machine learning then to uh okay, what's happening right now?
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What is what is the person uh trying to return?
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What is the value of that item?
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Is this something they would normally buy?
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Is this um uh the location they would normally return?
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Yeah, all of those things, or if if if it's online, how many uh different um products uh are involved in this interaction?
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Lots there's lots of velocity, all of those things.
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Um and then yeah, make that extremely accurate decision that machine learning can give you based on all of the different models it's got.
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Um and you have to think about again that good customer scenario here.
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Um if we talk about someone potentially um returning something online and they've already done uh the last two things that they bought, um, they've already uh returned those as well.
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That flat policy approach that we uh spoke about earlier, that potentially would say, nope, you're done.
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Um you've this is your third return now.
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Um uh and it could be based still on uh value of uh of that person.
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We know that retailers do this, but it could be based only on that channel.
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So the focus really needs to be on what else do you know about this consumer outside of just their purchases and returns on your website?
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Can you leverage uh if you're a multi-channel retailer, can you leverage everything you know about them in store?
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Has your machine learning picked up on this is the same person as the uh someone that shopped in store, maybe looking at their payment card usage, their loyalty card numbers that they've used in store and saying these are the same people, this person's actually high value here.
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Yes, they've returned the three things that they've uh bought online, but um actually uh that they're very low risk and you should still proceed with this, and then vice versa.
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You know, they could be um you could you could have that very clear now informed uh uh perspective of that person that um this is the first time they've returned something online, but actually we know they've been returning a lot of things in store.
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Um uh and they've been potentially wardrobing in store, buying things, returning them the next day, probably probably uh after um wearing them or bracketing, um, those kinds of uh behavioural things that you might not see in the channel that you're focused on.
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Machine learning picks up on this very, very quickly.
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It connects all those dots that uh a human can't do and gives you a really, really good risk profile, then.
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That's great.
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That's a really uh fascinating example of how AI um can move from reactive detention to that proactive prevention.
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So thank you very much.
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And before we end our discussion today, as returns management becomes more central to profitability and operational operational strategy, organizations are rethinking how data fraud teams and logistic functions work together.
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So looking ahead, what changes in structure or capability are needed to make returns management more proactive and strategic?
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Yeah, I think um returns basically needs a seat at the table.
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I think that's uh that's the way I would say this.
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Um whenever there's a policy being written, whenever promotions are being planned, whenever a new channel uh or a new partnership is happening, uh, all of those things, there needs to be uh decisions-based and discussions around how does this impact returns?
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Uh, how can we predict what the uh what that impact is going to be from a uh returns perspective?
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How does it impact the controls that we've got in place, those kinds of things.
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Uh retailers that treat returns as a feedback loop, you know, on product quality, on customer intent, on abuse vectors, uh they perform differently to businesses um that treat returns as a cleanup operation, as a as a as a as a byproduct.
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There's a big distinction between treating returns as uh as a signal, essentially.
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Um, you know, the data's already there.
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Um the question is um, are you set up to use it?
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Absolutely.
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I think um it's it'll be great to see how more organizations use returns management um as a more integrated part of the overall retail strategy.
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Um now, unfortunately, that is all we have time for today, but I would like to thank Paul for being here.
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It's been really insightful to get an idea of how retailers can balance faster refund times with effective fraud prevention strategies.
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So, thank you so much for joining me, Paul.
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Thank you for having me.
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Appreciate it.
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And from all of us at CX Today, thanks for watching.
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Goodbye.