# Andrew Scobell

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Andrew Scobell on China’s Aggression in the South China Sea

In asserting its claims in the South China Sea, Beijing “recognizes that international law is not on its side,” says USIP’s Andrew Scobell. Instead, China has resorted to gray-zone provocations against the Philippines and others that “are deliberate, on China’s part, to keep [the situation] below t…

Remembering Henry Kissinger: the last of the great architects of Chinese American relations. Talking with Dr. Andrew Scobell

Henry Kissinger's passing seemed to be covered more effusively and positively in China rather than the US where the coverage was muted and low key. China lamented that passing of a Great Man who reminded the Chinese public of the golden era of the bilateral relationship in the 1970s and 80s. In tod…

Andrew Scobell on Taiwan’s Elections

The United States and China are watching closely as Taiwan prepares for elections on January 13. But while the stakes are high, USIP’s Andrew Scobell says there is a relative consensus among candidates regarding Taiwan’s foreign policy: “Whoever wins the election, we’re likely to see much more cont…

Andrew Scobell on the China-Philippines Agreement in South China Sea

China and the Philippines recently struck a secretive deal to deescalate confrontations over the Second Thomas Shoal, “one of the tensest flashpoints in the western Pacific,” says USIP’s Andrew Scobell. “Nobody wants to see it escalate to war,” but the “the ambiguity [of the deal] … allows both sid…

Conversations on Strategy Podcast – Ep 52 – Andrew Scobell and Larry Kuznar – Exploring Strategic Culture

This episode delves into the concept of strategic culture and how it influences international relations, military strategy, and deterrence, particularly between the United States, China, and Russia. Dr. Scobell and Dr. Kuznar share insights from their extensive research and highlight the nuances of…

Andrew Scobell on China’s Approach to Conflict

As the U.S. prepares for “continued stormy weather” in its relations with China, it’s important to remember that while Beijing’s escalatory actions remain below the threshold of outright conflict, Chinese leaders “think about war and peace as being on a continuum,” says USIP’s Andrew Scobell.

Bursting China's Balloon

China's decision to fly a surveillance balloon over the United States led Secretary of State Antony Blinken to postpone his trip to Beijing at a time when U.S.-China relations are at a historic low point. But neither the balloon incident nor other recent controversies, such as Covid or the trade wa…

The Quad

China's wave of military exercises over Taiwan, which is raising the possibility of armed conflict, is overshadowing the development of the Biden administration's soft power approach to confronting China's coercive economic measures in the Indo-Pacific. In late September the White House hosted the …

Why China–North Korea Ties Are Warming Again

In the 1950s, Mao Zedong described the relationship between China and North Korea as “as close as lips and teeth.” Over subsequent decades, the relationship has ebbed and flowed, alternating between close alignment and periods of strain. In recent months, China-NK ties appear to be warming once aga…

Chinese Summit Diplomacy, with Dr Andrew Scobell

China’s rapid burst of high‑level diplomacy — hosting President Trump and President Putin before Xi Jinping’s rare trip to Pyongyang — offered a revealing window into Beijing’s strategic priorities. In the lead-up to the expected meeting between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump, we look back at earlier …