TRANSCRIPCIÓN 🔗
WEBVTT
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We won't hide. It's gonna be deep, analyze each part
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From the underdogs.
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To the champions standing tall The fury, let your instincts
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rise Feel the adrenaline rush, it's time to defy.
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Die hard M & A, ready for the thrill Get
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ready for the madness Let's make that bankroll spill Let
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your instincts rise. Feel the adrenaline rush. It's time to defy.
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Dive on in the name. Ready for the thrill. Get
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ready for the madness. Let's make that bankroll spill.
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Happy Friday evening degenerates. Welcome back to the undefeated post
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weigh-in show UFC 334 edition. It is big fight week
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and big fight week would not be completed without the
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undefeated post weigh-in show. We have done everything throughout the week.
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Every single piece of content that you could ever ask for.
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First thing on Monday, we bring on a guest, somebody
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much smarter and better than me at gambling. We talk
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about these fights. We give you the X's and the O's.
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We go over the totals. We go over the props.
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We even got somebody from across the counter to give
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us some of the sharp action for this big card.
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But now, now we need to kick back. We got
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to watch the weigh-ins. We got to watch the face-offs
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and use every little bit of info we possibly can
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gather for this show. It's the best damn betting show
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of your MMA week. And that is why it is unbeatable. defeated.
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Never a bad read. Never a bad bet. Not on
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Friday night. Not on this show. What's up, everybody? Welcome in.
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Appreciate you being here. Hope you guys are having a
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wonderful Friday and hopefully that rolls straight on into a
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wonderful Saturday where we all can cash some tickets bill
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what is going on yelling team ho get in the
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chat here uh what is going on hindman zach how
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are we.
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Doing good luck top who ria what's going on welcome
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into the chat everybody we got an awesome fight card
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we're gonna run over this bad boy one final time
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and uh hopefully hopefully we can find an angle to
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find you some cash this week at ufc 334 let's
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freaking go.
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Let's get into it. First fight of the night. We
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have Evan Elder. He's taking on Samuel Sanchez. A little
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bit of a tongue twister there for some reason for
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me to start the evening. I got to get warmed
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up here, apparently. We have moved around the bout order
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for this card several times, and it's pissing me off.
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This is an awesome fight to kick off the night,
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you guys. So as you can see from the face-off here,
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Sam Sanchez has a decent bit of a size advantage.
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on Evan elder. Now size is not everything. At least,
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you know, that's what I tell myself when I look
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at myself in the mirror, uh, as we know with fighting, uh,
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it does not necessarily mean the end all be all right,
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but it's always a little war heartwarming for me, you know, not,
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not when we're talking, um, you know, lanky, tall, skinny,
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where it's like, they can kick the shit out of
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your legs, Randy Brown type bigger, you know what I mean?
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But when you're, When you're full built, you're thick, you're muscled,
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and you're still larger than your opponent, like my boy
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Sam Sanchez, that's the kind of bigger I'm looking for
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when it comes to an MMA fight. This is a full-grown,
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filled-out beefcake, and he's got some size on his opponent.
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That means something. That means something to me. This is
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one of the pick-em fights on the card. We actually
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have several very close lines this week, several very bettable lines.
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lines this week. So that makes it fun for gambling
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for a big pay-per-view card. You know, usually you're parlaying
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up three different legs to get somewhere close to even money.
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And that's just never leave a bad taste in your mouth. Uh,
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so Evan elder, you know, two, three fights in the
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UFC so far. And I've said this before, I'm still
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not exactly sure who or what he is. He's very well-rounded.
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He's got some good grappling when he gets on top
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of people. He's very dangerous with both his submissions and
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his ground and pound. He's only 29. So technically, he's
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a younger fighter who still could be very much improving.
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And his last win was over Gage Young. And that's
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turned into a pretty decent win. Gage Young has done
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way better than I expected in the UFC so far.
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I thought maybe he was going to end up being
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a bit of a throwaway. Even though I'm a fan
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of the guy, I wasn't sold he was going to
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be ready at the UFC level. So I count that
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as a decent win there for Evan Elder. Sam Sanchez.
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He's new to the UFC, got his Dana White's Contender
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Series contract, and then I guess broke his arm or
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something like that. So he had to take a decent
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bit of time off to recover from that. And now
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he is making his comeback. He is young. And I've
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told you guys this before, when these young kids get
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breaks like this. Now, I know he was off because,
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you know, an injury, but it ended up taking a
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year for him to recover at just 23 years old.
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Those are growth years, guys, like a 23, 24, 25, like,
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If you're taking a year off at 37, that's bad.
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That's probably a bad thing. Maybe you'll come back a
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little healthier, but that just means you're old and you're
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busted up and your body is falling apart. When you're 23, 24,
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you take a year off. That whole time, you know
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they're developing. You know they're chomping at the bit to
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get back in there. You know what I mean? He's
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got fast hands. As you can see, he's very big.
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He's strong. He hits hard. He's athletic. Like, I like
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this kid, you guys. I like this kid a lot. Now,
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here's where things get interesting. You know, I got to
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switch caps here for you guys for a second. Got
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to switch hats here for
you on this one because
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there's a reason. There's a reason that I bet on
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this kid coming into this fight. Something I've noticed with
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these recent Dana White's Contender Series kids is the ones
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who are real. you know, Anthony Wint, Bilal Hassan, like
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these guys that the UFC is like, oh, we got one, boys.
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They get turned around super quick, okay? And Sam, Sam
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got his UFC contract in September of 2025. Well, he
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was booked for his UFC debut in March of 2026.
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They were ready to get this kid in there pretty
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quickly on a big stage against Taufik Mosayev, who is
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a notable name, somebody who is respectable in the UFC game.
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That kind of turnaround, that kind of, hey, we want
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to get you in there quick, that kind of, hey,
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we want to get you a name. I'm like, they
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like this kid. UFC likes this kid. So not only
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do I like this kid, not only do I like
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the kid's skill set, the UFC also appears to, to
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have wanted to throw him into the deep end against
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somebody who he may or may not be able to
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beat and get a notch on his belt very quickly
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at a very, very young age. I like Sam Sanchez.
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So I did go ahead and lay minus 120. It
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looks like this is ping pong back and forth a
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little bit. You can get minus 115. Like DraftKings right
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now has minus 118 on Sam Sanchez. So it's not
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like I beat some crazy line move, but we're splitting hairs.
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You know, minus 120, minus 118. I'm not going to
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cry about something like that. It's a coin flip. I
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believe in this kid. I like this kid. That's my
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first play of the night, and that's the one that
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I'm on. What's up, everybody? Welcome into the chat here. Alan,
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what is up? Says, even Toporio wants Hokie to win,
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even though he might not admit it. He's a fan, honestly.
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I mean, you might be right. You might be right.
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Something about that. How about that? What is up? And yes,
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Super Green Samurai, this side of the chat, likes Plessie.
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That was an all-timer, man. That line from Josh Hokett
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was absolutely an all-timer. Absolutely insane. Dixon, my man, what
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is up? Josh says, long-time podcast listener, first-time live viewer,
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what is up, my man? Appreciate you being here live.
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He says, podcast keep me company on 12 hour shifts
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and long drives home from work mad love from toronto
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my man i have so many people that listen to
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the show and chime in like yourself from canada i
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freaking love it i absolutely love it uh my my
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frozen brothers up there up north i'm glad i could
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help out thank you for tuning in Glad you could
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make a live show, my friend. I appreciate you listening
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and tuning in, and I'm glad I can get you
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through those tough days. I know how those days go,
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and especially as an MMA fan, I'm not going to
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get all sappy on you guys or anything like that,
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but actually... When I first started the podcast, you know,
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one of the reasons why I started the podcast, first
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and foremost, it was therapy. I couldn't shut up about MMA.
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Nobody wanted to listen to me anymore. So I needed
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to talk to somebody. But the other thing was I
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never felt like there was enough MMA for me to
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listen to. You know what I mean? I'm going about
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my day. I'm going about my week. And it was like, Damn, man,
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there's like two podcasts. And then when you had like
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a break from like someone would drop something on Tuesday
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and then nobody else was doing anything until like Thursday
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or Friday. There was like I straight up have like two,
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three days of my week where I don't have shit
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to listen to about my favorite sport. So that was
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one of the reasons why I actually started doing the podcast.
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So I'm very, very happy to hear that I can
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help you get through your work week that way, my man.
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That means an absolute ton to me. Let me get this.
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queued up here and of course anthony what is going
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on what is going on super green samurai liking josh
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that's what's up colby my man says gonna watch tomorrow
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but popping in to say you're the man appreciate you
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buddy appreciate you maybe you'll hear the shout out tomorrow
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morning uh and of course dixon just king of the
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chat always here the man see curse my man what
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is up all right let's get after it everybody next
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up we have got alatang hayley Coming in here on
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short notice, taking on Juan Diaz. One of two weight misses,
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ladies and gentlemen. Juan Diaz did not make weight for
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this fight. He came in at 136.4. Alitang Haley did
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make 135.6. I guess they gave him 0.6 instead of 0.5.
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Not sure why they're being super, giving that extra little
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bit of credit there about it. I don't know. Usually
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they cut it off at 0.5. They probably just round
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down or round up at that point. You're splitting hairs.
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Juan Diaz, guys, I love this kid. I absolutely love
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Juan Diaz, 16, six and one training with my boy,
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Brandon Moreno, my absolute favorite fighter on the roster right now.
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He's training at Intram gym. You know, they're doing some
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good things. They've got a lot of good prospects. They've
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got that mean streak in them. They've got that. that
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Mexican warrior spirit that we love so much as fans
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and as gamblers. Those are guys you know will go
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out there and fight for your money. If you're putting
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a bet on somebody on the weekend, you want to
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know that they're going to fight tooth and nail for
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you and they're not going to fold the towel and quit.
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You know what I mean? These guys from Intram, you
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know they're going for it. Each and every one of
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them is in there going for it. Now, this kid
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won on Dana White's Contender Series in October. 2025, makes
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his UFC debut against Malcolm Wellmaker,
and absolutely nobody thought
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he was going to be Jack in that fight. Wellmaker
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was still all the rage. They thought he was the
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next big thing. Of course, we all know that's actually
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Peyton Talbot, right? But everybody was excited about Malcolm Wellmaker. Hey,
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I was too. I was too. But this kid rocks
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in there as a plus 200 underdog, smokes him, chokes
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him out in the second round, shows just how well-rounded
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he is. He's got fast hands. He's very aggressive. He's
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very athletic. He's got good boxing. He got chin checked.
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He can take a shot too. And obviously he can grapple.
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It's like this kid is the total package. And now
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we know. It's like your opportunity to get him at
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a good price tag was his UFC debut. Those days
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are gone already. Now, Alatang Haley. I like Alatang Haley,
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you guys. He's tough. He's gritty. He wants to get
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in there and throw down. But he's got these stubby
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little arms. He's always at a reach disadvantage, and that
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causes problems. He's very physically strong, but he refuses to
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use his wrestling chops. And if he does, it's like
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fainting a takedown or mixing in one or two takedowns
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to open the hands of that. He doesn't like grapple.
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He doesn't want to grapple. He wants to get in
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there and throw down. And his power hasn't really been
234
00:14:20.289 --> 00:14:22.980
there at the UFC level. Now, it seems like his
235
00:14:23.039 --> 00:14:25.419
defense has improved because he used to get knocked out. Like,
236
00:14:25.460 --> 00:14:28.539
on the regional scene, he's got, like, three KOs pre-UFC.
237
00:14:28.899 --> 00:14:31.259
He hasn't been knocked out in the UFC at all.
238
00:14:31.610 --> 00:14:35.730
And then he does have a couple of guys that, like, he, like,
239
00:14:35.750 --> 00:14:39.590
knocked out Kevin Krum. Like, Kevin is notoriously chinny and
240
00:14:39.629 --> 00:14:42.009
was not really UFC level in the first place. Guys
241
00:14:42.029 --> 00:14:44.769
that are half decent, he's not knocking them out. But he's, like,
242
00:14:44.830 --> 00:14:47.779
alternating wins and losses, going to decision with guys like
243
00:14:47.820 --> 00:14:51.950
Gutierrez and Blackshear. So he's in every fight. And frankly,
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00:14:51.970 --> 00:14:54.490
that's guys, that's why we circled him last week. Okay.
245
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Or not last week, his last fight, pardon me. He
246
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fought John Castaneda and we got in on the live line.
247
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It was on this very show that we talked about
248
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it that week where we said, look, John Castaneda fights
249
00:15:08.340 --> 00:15:12.200
close in every single fight, every single fight he's in.
250
00:15:12.240 --> 00:15:14.990
He's one of those guys that just does not distance
251
00:15:15.029 --> 00:15:18.690
himself from his opponents. So there might be an opportunity there.
252
00:15:18.950 --> 00:15:22.149
to get like a stupid line on Alitang Haley live.
253
00:15:22.570 --> 00:15:24.710
And sure enough, we got it. It was plus 400.
254
00:15:24.710 --> 00:15:29.129
It was a one-to-one fight. Pretty obviously. Like you could,
255
00:15:29.379 --> 00:15:32.259
there were some people that thought it was 2-0 Castaneda,
256
00:15:32.279 --> 00:15:34.679
but I'm like, man, I'm pretty sure this thing's one-to-one.
257
00:15:35.059 --> 00:15:37.139
We got plus 400 and sure enough, the split went
258
00:15:37.259 --> 00:15:39.539
our way. You got to get lucky sometimes gambling. You
259
00:15:39.559 --> 00:15:42.330
catch some of those bounces, you know, one judge sees
260
00:15:42.379 --> 00:15:45.470
it the other way and we feel bad about ourselves and,
261
00:15:45.549 --> 00:15:47.230
you know, we have a value loser that we got
262
00:15:47.250 --> 00:15:49.149
to kind of lick our wounds on, but We got
263
00:15:49.190 --> 00:15:52.029
the bounce, so we cashed the ticket at plus 400. Guys,
264
00:15:52.070 --> 00:15:54.669
that ain't happening in this fight. Like, look at the
265
00:15:54.710 --> 00:15:58.850
size difference. This kid is younger. This kid is hungrier.
266
00:15:59.389 --> 00:16:03.789
He's bigger. And you've got Alitang Haley, who we don't
267
00:16:03.889 --> 00:16:06.029
really know what's going on with him at this point.
268
00:16:06.049 --> 00:16:07.730
You know, he was a fight-ready guy. He's not at
269
00:16:07.769 --> 00:16:10.070
fight-ready anymore. I think he went to the MMA lab
270
00:16:10.110 --> 00:16:12.169
at this point, but he's just kind of jumping in
271
00:16:12.240 --> 00:16:15.860
here on short notice, taking this opportunity. I think that
272
00:16:15.919 --> 00:16:17.899
Juan Diaz is going to beat the brakes off of
273
00:16:18.019 --> 00:16:22.559
Alitang Haley I want to say that Juan Diaz finds
274
00:16:22.620 --> 00:16:25.179
his way to a KO. The thing is, I don't
275
00:16:25.220 --> 00:16:28.139
want to sell myself down the river on that. The
276
00:16:28.159 --> 00:16:31.500
decision prop is minus 120 for Juan Diaz. The money
277
00:16:31.570 --> 00:16:36.679
line is minus 400, and the KO prop is plus 330.
278
00:16:36.679 --> 00:16:38.960
So if it's plus 330 on DraftKings, you can probably
279
00:16:39.039 -->
00:16:42.279
find it plus 350 or plus 375, something like that
280
00:16:42.320 --> 00:16:44.299
at some of the other books. I will warn you guys.
281
00:16:44.679 --> 00:16:48.279
One thing not everybody realizes, and I see people online
282
00:16:48.320 --> 00:16:51.720
get caught with this like all the time. If you're
283
00:16:51.740 --> 00:16:54.940
looking at like FanDuel, the prop numbers are usually just
284
00:16:54.980 --> 00:16:57.679
a little bit better over at FanDuel, right? But there's
285
00:16:57.720 --> 00:17:01.320
a reason for that. The KO prop specifically. On books
286
00:17:01.379 --> 00:17:05.769
like BetMGM and DraftKings, the KO includes the DQ. So
287
00:17:05.849 --> 00:17:09.349
if you get like an eye poke disqualification, you actually
288
00:17:09.390 --> 00:17:12.299
will cash your TKO ticket if you're betting on sites
289
00:17:12.359 --> 00:17:16.990
like BetMGM or DraftKings. But on FanDuel... The reason they're
290
00:17:17.049 --> 00:17:20.190
giving you that extra dollar, extra $ 2 on that KO
291
00:17:20.230 --> 00:17:23.569
prop is because they take the DQ off. The DQ
292
00:17:23.609 --> 00:17:27.460
becomes a push. So if there's a disqualification, you don't
293
00:17:27.539 --> 00:17:31.160
get your KO ticket. I will take, you know, and
294
00:17:31.200 --> 00:17:33.579
I know DQs don't happen all that often in the UFC, right?
295
00:17:33.619 --> 00:17:35.710
They don't happen all that often. But I'm the type
296
00:17:35.750 --> 00:17:37.930
of guy that I'm like, look, if we're talking... We've
297
00:17:37.970 --> 00:17:41.000
got a knockout prop, and it's plus 350 here, and
298
00:17:41.019 --> 00:17:45.160
it includes the DQ. Or I can get plus 380 there,
299
00:17:45.519 --> 00:17:48.180
and it doesn't have the DQ. We're splitting hairs. I've
300
00:17:48.200 --> 00:17:50.119
said splitting hairs like three times tonight. Why am I
301
00:17:50.160 --> 00:17:52.160
stuck on splitting hairs? I don't know what's going on.
302
00:17:52.160 --> 00:17:53.759
Do you guys ever do that? You get like a
303
00:17:53.940 --> 00:17:56.779
phrase or something that just kind of like burrows its
304
00:17:56.819 --> 00:17:59.099
way into your brain, and you can't stop saying it.
305
00:18:00.269 --> 00:18:02.329
I've been in the same situation three times already on
306
00:18:02.349 --> 00:18:04.970
this podcast, and I couldn't come up with something else
307
00:18:05.009 --> 00:18:07.150
to say other than splitting hairs. So I just keep
308
00:18:07.309 --> 00:18:09.650
using that phrase. I don't know why I'm stuck on
309
00:18:09.690 --> 00:18:14.430
splitting hairs tonight. I apologize. I'm better than that. So
310
00:18:15.299 --> 00:18:19.359
I don't know. Anyway, I always will take the lines
311
00:18:19.880 --> 00:18:22.960
on like the DQ. I want the DQ. I always
312
00:18:23.000 --> 00:18:25.420
want the DQ. Now, if we're talking, you're getting like
313
00:18:25.460 --> 00:18:28.180
a 15 to one versus an 11 to one different story, right?
314
00:18:28.220 --> 00:18:30.940
Like there's some meat on the bone. You can say, okay,
315
00:18:30.960 --> 00:18:33.049
I'm going to risk it on this one. I don't
316
00:18:33.190 --> 00:18:36.059
want to, you know, I'm not going to jump at shadows, right?
317
00:18:36.099 --> 00:18:39.079
I'm not going to get scared of this phantom disqualification.
318
00:18:39.599 --> 00:18:41.420
We'll go ahead and take the extra juice on this
319
00:18:41.500 --> 00:18:45.319
line here. So I would love to confidently like take
320
00:18:45.380 --> 00:18:48.180
my spear and just stab it into the ground and
321
00:18:48.710 --> 00:18:51.170
plant my flag and be like, guys, Juan Diaz, it's
322
00:18:51.210 --> 00:18:54.849
Juan Diaz by knockout. And like, I think that's what happens.
323
00:18:54.990 --> 00:18:57.869
I do. I think that's what happens. I think those
324
00:18:57.970 --> 00:19:00.890
chin issues kind of come back to call. I think
325
00:19:00.930 --> 00:19:04.170
the short notice nature of this fight takes its toll
326
00:19:04.210 --> 00:19:07.109
maybe on someone like Alex Angeli, who normally he's in
327
00:19:07.150 --> 00:19:09.170
really good shape. I know he trains a lot, so
328
00:19:09.710 --> 00:19:11.859
I'm not worried about him having a tough weight cut
329
00:19:11.900 --> 00:19:14.579
or rolling off the couch or anything like that. But
330
00:19:14.740 --> 00:19:17.259
when you're trained and you're prepped and you're ready for
331
00:19:17.299 --> 00:19:19.700
a fight versus when you're just kind of jumping in there,
332
00:19:20.200 --> 00:19:22.220
that's the kind of thing that I'm like, man, he
333
00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:25.299
could get tired. He really could. He could get tired
334
00:19:25.339 --> 00:19:28.519
deep into this fight, and if he slows down, That's
335
00:19:28.559 --> 00:19:31.779
when somebody like Diaz will turn up and I can
336
00:19:31.799 --> 00:19:34.369
see him getting like around two round three KO. I'm
337
00:19:34.440 --> 00:19:37.029
probably going to play it safe. Like I'm probably going
338
00:19:37.049 --> 00:19:40.089
to like parlay up Diaz. I think he's winning this fight.
339
00:19:40.309 --> 00:19:41.750
I don't think there will be a question as to
340
00:19:41.789 --> 00:19:43.750
who won it at the end of this fight. And
341
00:19:43.970 --> 00:19:46.710
I would love to see him put another stamp on
342
00:19:46.750 --> 00:19:49.890
his second UFC fight and go ahead and get that win.
343
00:19:50.619 --> 00:19:53.619
What is up, rude boy? Good to see you. Dixon
344
00:19:53.640 --> 00:19:58.079
Siders says, Glenn, I think you're splitting hairs. Yeah, yeah, exactly.
345
00:19:58.160 --> 00:20:02.539
But well played, my friend. Well played. Next up, we
346
00:20:02.559 --> 00:20:06.220
have Macy Chasson, and she takes on Bea Mesquita. 134.8
347
00:20:06.220 --> 00:20:12.289
for macy 135.8 for bea mesquita and there's a decent
348
00:20:12.329 --> 00:20:15.349
size advantage here as you guys can tell uh macy
349
00:20:15.390 --> 00:20:19.250
shes on somebody who has struggled historically at this weight
350
00:20:19.289 --> 00:20:22.910
class she's missed several times she's also had to use
351
00:20:22.950 --> 00:20:25.279
the box of shame several times like it's been a
352
00:20:25.299 --> 00:20:27.960
problem for her making weight at this weight class she
353
00:20:27.980 --> 00:20:30.160
a big girl you know she was she was part
354
00:20:30.279 --> 00:20:34.579
of the uh clearing out of 145 pounds, right? There
355
00:20:34.599 --> 00:20:36.900
were multiple women who they were like, all right, guys,
356
00:20:36.920 --> 00:20:39.039
like we're just, we're canning this division. If you want
357
00:20:39.059 --> 00:20:40.339
to stick around in the UFC, you got to get
358
00:20:40.380 --> 00:20:42.450
down a weight class. And she's been one who's really
359
00:20:42.490 --> 00:20:45.650
struggled with it herself. She's on a three fight losing streak.
360
00:20:45.990 --> 00:20:48.910
She lost to Yana Santos, Katelyn Vieira, and most recently
361
00:20:49.390 --> 00:20:52.950
Aileen Perez. I have been kind of critical of Macy
362
00:20:52.970 --> 00:20:55.789
Chason because I always make an argument for her. You know,
363
00:20:55.849 --> 00:20:58.839
she was one of my fly under the radar type
364
00:20:58.880 --> 00:21:00.440
of fighters. She was one of the ones that I
365
00:21:00.480 --> 00:21:03.200
was like, hey, she's in these fights. I cashed a
366
00:21:03.220 --> 00:21:06.849
ticket on the Norma Dumont split decision back in 2022, which,
367
00:21:07.269 --> 00:21:09.410
crazy enough, that was Oliveira versus Gaethje. It was here
368
00:21:09.430 --> 00:21:12.869
in Phoenix, actually. I was live at that fight. I've
369
00:21:12.950 --> 00:21:15.789
always found a way to argue for Macy. I respect
370
00:21:15.849 --> 00:21:20.089
how she fights. I respect the skill set that she's got. But, man, recently,
371
00:21:20.190 --> 00:21:22.950
it doesn't feel like her heart's in it, man. Her
372
00:21:22.990 --> 00:21:25.789
last couple of fights, she's going to her back way
373
00:21:25.829 --> 00:21:28.609
more instead of doing the intelligent thing, getting on top
374
00:21:28.630 --> 00:21:31.349
of her opponents. She's a whole lot less aggressive. Like
375
00:21:31.470 --> 00:21:33.880
it just, you can kind of see the fire fading away,
376
00:21:33.960 --> 00:21:36.319
I feel like. And then on this one, I said
377
00:21:36.660 --> 00:21:39.339
on Monday, I did like my, you know, Instagram stalking
378
00:21:39.359 --> 00:21:42.039
and stuff like that. And you can see that she's
379
00:21:42.099 --> 00:21:44.859
just kind of doing like personals. She's doing like one-on-ones.
380
00:21:44.940 --> 00:21:46.779
She's in like a hole in the wall type of gym.
381
00:21:47.960 --> 00:21:50.220
Not training at a camp, not getting in there with
382
00:21:50.289 --> 00:21:52.490
like high levels training
partners. And like, don't get me wrong.
383
00:21:52.529 --> 00:21:55.829
I'm sure she is like bringing in training partners that
384
00:21:55.869 --> 00:21:57.829
are respectable and, you know, stuff like that. So I'm
385
00:21:57.869 --> 00:22:00.579
sure it happens in, They're just not necessarily posting it
386
00:22:00.619 --> 00:22:03.680
on Facebook, that kind of thing. But I'm having a
387
00:22:03.700 --> 00:22:06.019
hard time seeing her being at the level that she's
388
00:22:06.059 --> 00:22:09.220
always been at. Now, Bia, she's a big favorite in
389
00:22:09.259 --> 00:22:12.000
this spot, minus 265. And as much as I do
390
00:22:12.059 --> 00:22:14.079
think she's going to win this fight, she's not without
391
00:22:14.099 --> 00:22:17.869
her question marks. 8-0, undefeated, 35 years old. She's a
392
00:22:17.869 --> 00:22:20.569
little too old to be considered like an up-and-coming prospect.
393
00:22:20.829 --> 00:22:23.349
But she does train at ATT. She trains with Kayla Harrison.
394
00:22:23.390 --> 00:22:26.410
And frankly, guys, she fights like Kayla Harrison. She has
395
00:22:26.470 --> 00:22:30.839
got seven of her eight wins inside the distance one
396
00:22:31.319 --> 00:22:34.200
by KO. She has six wins by sub. She is
397
00:22:34.259 --> 00:22:38.839
an incredible grappler. She's a very strong wrestler. And once
398
00:22:38.880 --> 00:22:40.299
she gets you down on the ground, she is a
399
00:22:40.519 --> 00:22:44.660
very slick jujitsu player. But the thing is she's like Hamza.
400
00:22:44.680 --> 00:22:47.049
When he first got to the UFC, when she gets
401
00:22:47.089 --> 00:22:50.609
you down on the ground, she looks to smash. She
402
00:22:50.670 --> 00:22:54.130
wants elbows. She wants punches. She is just trying to
403
00:22:54.210 --> 00:22:57.660
slam her opponent's head through the canvas of And if
404
00:22:57.819 --> 00:23:00.339
she can make you turn your back, then she snatches
405
00:23:00.400 --> 00:23:03.240
the neck. She's very quick. She's got a very good
406
00:23:03.279 --> 00:23:05.720
rear naked choke. She's got a very tight squeeze. She's
407
00:23:05.779 --> 00:23:10.220
very physical. The size difference here comes from the muscle, right?
408
00:23:10.309 --> 00:23:12.829
She's so short. She's very stocky. She's got a big,
409
00:23:12.869 --> 00:23:15.569
strong back on her. She's very physical for women's MMA.
410
00:23:16.009 --> 00:23:18.269
And so it comes with a cost, you know, and
411
00:23:18.289 --> 00:23:22.109
that cost obviously is her height at this weight class.
412
00:23:23.029 --> 00:23:24.630
I do think Bay is going to end up winning
413
00:23:24.670 --> 00:23:26.750
this fight, you guys. I feel like that's the point, right?
414
00:23:26.769 --> 00:23:29.279
The UFC is putting her on a card with her
415
00:23:29.319 --> 00:23:32.500
training partner where realistically there's a chance that they go
416
00:23:32.579 --> 00:23:35.599
to an O. They're from the same gym. They're training together.
417
00:23:35.619 --> 00:23:38.359
They're peaking at the same time. And they both like
418
00:23:38.400 --> 00:23:41.720
to finish fights. And Macy is a notable enough name.
419
00:23:41.759 --> 00:23:43.900
It's going to look real good on her resume. And
420
00:23:43.920 --> 00:23:46.670
it also lets her dip her toe into that top 10, right?
421
00:23:46.730 --> 00:23:49.549
It's also giving her kind of a softball or as
422
00:23:49.650 --> 00:23:52.089
softball as you can get at this stage. to get
423
00:23:52.150 --> 00:23:54.769
her ranked, to get her moving up in the world,
424
00:23:56.410 --> 00:23:58.779
see whether or not she's serious. Because in her last fight,
425
00:23:58.930 --> 00:24:01.079
she got wobbled badly on the feet. And that's the
426
00:24:01.099 --> 00:24:03.319
thing everyone keeps pointing at, is that, man, she wants
427
00:24:03.359 --> 00:24:05.599
to go out there and strike. She's trying to be
428
00:24:05.640 --> 00:24:08.000
a mixed martial artist, but she sucks on the feet.
429
00:24:08.099 --> 00:24:09.839
She sucks standing, and it looks like she's not all
430
00:24:09.859 --> 00:24:12.460
that durable. The thing is, she's got that wrestling in
431
00:24:12.480 --> 00:24:15.569
her back pocket. She can always level change. She can
432
00:24:15.809 --> 00:24:17.970
always turn the tide of a fight. She got bonked
433
00:24:18.049 --> 00:24:20.329
on the feet in her last fight, and she said, oh, shit,
434
00:24:20.369 --> 00:24:22.460
enough of this. and level changed and got it to
435
00:24:22.509 --> 00:24:25.029
the ground, and it was over shortly thereafter. And that's
436
00:24:25.069 --> 00:24:26.849
the kind of thing that I feel like, even against
437
00:24:26.890 --> 00:24:30.569
Macy Chaisson, she can probably pull off. So as much
438
00:24:30.630 --> 00:24:35.009
as it's greasy, as much as it's nasty, I still
439
00:24:35.049 --> 00:24:36.970
got to pick Bia, you guys. I still got to
440
00:24:37.009 --> 00:24:39.690
pick Bia. The thing I like, I want to take
441
00:24:39.730 --> 00:24:42.069
a little sprinkle on that knockout prop, you guys. She's
442
00:24:42.089 --> 00:24:45.609
got one KO to her resume, but she is looking
443
00:24:45.730 --> 00:24:50.619
for it in every single fight. I know Macy is
444
00:24:50.680 --> 00:24:53.740
very difficult to put away. So I do think the
445
00:24:53.799 --> 00:24:57.759
most likely method of victory is the submission at minus 120.
446
00:24:57.759 --> 00:25:00.359
But again, that's her escape hatch. That's not the thing
447
00:25:00.400 --> 00:25:02.380
she's looking for. That's not what she's going in there
448
00:25:02.420 --> 00:25:05.769
to do. She wants to get a TKO and she
449
00:25:05.809 --> 00:25:07.710
just ends up having to settle for the sub more
450
00:25:07.789 --> 00:25:10.400
often than not. So. If you're going to make a
451
00:25:10.430 --> 00:25:13.500
larger investment, I would say bet the sub prop. But
452
00:25:13.519 --> 00:25:15.400
if you're looking to get crazy and you want to
453
00:25:15.420 --> 00:25:18.099
sprinkle something with some long odds, hopefully set you up
454
00:25:18.119 --> 00:25:20.339
for the rest of the night, a little taste of
455
00:25:20.380 --> 00:25:23.019
that TKO, right? That's probably what I'm going to do.
456
00:25:23.079 --> 00:25:26.210
I think I'll have a little taste of that TKO. Dixon,
457
00:25:26.230 --> 00:25:29.230
my man says, Clint, I'm absolutely terrified. Bill might not
458
00:25:29.269 --> 00:25:31.289
be able to get Macy down because of the massive
459
00:25:31.390 --> 00:25:33.950
size difference. Please tell me it's going to be okay.
460
00:25:34.609 --> 00:25:36.410
I do think it's going to be okay. Dixon. I
461
00:25:36.450 --> 00:25:39.799
do think it's going to be okay. Macy, uh, while
462
00:25:39.839 --> 00:25:43.240
she is a pretty good grappler, she's not the best
463
00:25:43.420 --> 00:25:49.299
wrestler in the world. And she also, uh, She also
464
00:25:49.359 --> 00:25:51.059
pulls guard. I don't know if you guys noticed that.
465
00:25:51.079 --> 00:25:53.119
And like her last couple of fights, she's been just
466
00:25:53.400 --> 00:25:55.970
willing to go down to the ground more often than not.
467
00:25:56.589 --> 00:25:58.390
She has a here. I'm looking this up for you
468
00:25:58.430 --> 00:26:00.430
right on the fly here at Dixon. She's got a
469
00:26:00.410 --> 00:26:06.589
62% takedown defense rating, 62. And the UFC knows exactly
470
00:26:07.089 --> 00:26:10.259
what they're doing. Okay. Ketlin Vieira. She don't shoot takedowns.
471
00:26:10.720 --> 00:26:13.140
Yana Santos. She don't shoot takedowns.
472
00:26:13.359 --> 00:26:13.579
Right.
473
00:26:13.700 --> 00:26:18.890
Myra Bueno Silva. She don't shoot takedowns. Piani Canzada. She's
474
00:26:18.930 --> 00:26:22.750
not good. She got a takedown. In Chason's last fight
475
00:26:22.849 --> 00:26:25.750
against Aileen Perez, who, by the way, even though she's
476
00:26:25.789 --> 00:26:27.670
like a beefcake, and I know everybody loves that she
477
00:26:27.710 --> 00:26:30.789
shakes her ass, like, let's be real, she's not like
478
00:26:30.829 --> 00:26:35.410
a hardcore American wrestler. She got six takedowns. Six out
479
00:26:35.450 --> 00:26:39.619
of ten takedowns. Like, this girl knows how to wrestle
480
00:26:39.700 --> 00:26:45.220
her ass off, Dixon. She's a real wrestling threat, training
481
00:26:45.279 --> 00:26:48.910
at ATT of all places. She can wrestle here, buddy.
482
00:26:49.170 --> 00:26:52.259
She'll be all right. I think she can get the takedowns.
483
00:26:53.970 --> 00:26:59.059
Next up, Jared Gordon taking on Melky Costa. 155 and
484
00:26:59.099 --> 00:27:02.980
a half, roughly, for both men in this fight. I'm
485
00:27:03.079 --> 00:27:05.779
not going to get into the. 6 and. 7 bullshit.
486
00:27:06.160 --> 00:27:08.259
And they both hit 155 and a half. Close enough.
487
00:27:08.920 --> 00:27:12.339
We have got Melky making his move back up to
488
00:27:12.339 --> 00:27:16.069
155 pounds. And, guys, it makes me just all kinds
489
00:27:16.109 --> 00:27:18.890
of queasy inside. He's coming into this thing hot. Like,
490
00:27:18.910 --> 00:27:21.339
you listen to his interviews, and he's like, Jared, I'm sorry. Like,
491
00:27:21.380 --> 00:27:22.900
I'm going to hurt you. I'm going to finish you. Like,
492
00:27:23.200 --> 00:27:26.319
he is spouting all kinds of talk coming into this fight.
493
00:27:26.619 --> 00:27:28.380
And I kind of get it. You know, he's got
494
00:27:28.400 --> 00:27:31.180
a ton of experience, 26 and 8, which is just
495
00:27:31.220 --> 00:27:34.059
a ridiculous amount of fights at 30 years old. But
496
00:27:34.079 --> 00:27:36.799
he's got nine knockouts. He's got eight subs. Like, this
497
00:27:36.819 --> 00:27:40.880
guy is a very violent finisher. But I've been talking
498
00:27:40.900 --> 00:27:42.809
about this all week, you guys. I can't figure him out.
499
00:27:43.250 --> 00:27:45.190
I can't figure him out. So you lose to a
500
00:27:45.210 --> 00:27:47.730
guy like Steve Garcia, who's chinny as fuck, by the way,
501
00:27:48.269 --> 00:27:50.319
you lose to a guy like Arnold Allen, who everybody
502
00:27:50.339 --> 00:27:52.519
thought was shot. Obviously he still got it. I'm not
503
00:27:52.559 --> 00:27:54.380
saying like he is shot or he shouldn't have won
504
00:27:54.400 --> 00:27:56.500
that fight or blah, blah, blah. But like, you know,
505
00:27:57.119 --> 00:27:58.740
it's kind of a bad look in this stage of
506
00:27:58.779 --> 00:28:00.480
the game to be losing to Arnold Allen. All the
507
00:28:00.519 --> 00:28:03.289
guys who are real threats in the weight class are
508
00:28:03.390 --> 00:28:06.430
beating Arnold Allen. And after losing to Arnold Allen, you're
509
00:28:06.470 --> 00:28:09.069
switching weight classes. Like it just kind of feels weird
510
00:28:09.130 --> 00:28:11.609
to me. He became the first guy to ever finish
511
00:28:11.670 --> 00:28:14.359
Danny gay. And it feels like a bit of a
512
00:28:14.460 --> 00:28:17.660
fluke with that, like, spinning heel kick. And even though
513
00:28:17.700 --> 00:28:20.339
he did Morgan Charrier dirty and, like, took him out, like,
514
00:28:20.579 --> 00:28:23.279
he took that dude off his feet. Like, he completely
515
00:28:23.380 --> 00:28:27.720
destroyed Morgan Charrier. But he couldn't knock out Julian Arosa.
516
00:28:28.400 --> 00:28:31.299
He went 15 minutes striking with Julian Arosa, who doesn't
517
00:28:31.359 --> 00:28:34.079
move his head, who's got the smallest little pea head
518
00:28:34.119 --> 00:28:37.359
you've ever seen in your life. He couldn't knock that
519
00:28:37.400 --> 00:28:40.640
guy out. He just retired. He was right around the
520
00:28:40.680 --> 00:28:42.740
corner from retirement. Can't get that guy out of there.
521
00:28:43.309 --> 00:28:46.230
just weird. It's just weird.
Like sometimes he goes in
522
00:28:46.250 --> 00:28:47.730
there and he's able to get the damn thing done.
523
00:28:47.750 --> 00:28:50.089
And then other times, I don't know if it's a
524
00:28:50.109 --> 00:28:52.089
mentality thing. I don't know if it's a game plan thing,
525
00:28:52.109 --> 00:28:54.190
but like, it's just weird that sometimes he can land
526
00:28:54.230 --> 00:28:57.569
like these crushing kicks that you're like, Oh fuck. And
527
00:28:57.589 --> 00:29:00.210
then other times he's just, it's almost like he doesn't
528
00:29:00.299 --> 00:29:02.490
got it. Like his opponents aren't phased by it, which
529
00:29:02.650 --> 00:29:03.910
I don't, I don't know what to do about that.
530
00:29:04.450 --> 00:29:07.279
Jared Gordon is 38 years old. And even though he
531
00:29:07.319 --> 00:29:09.299
has been in the UFC for a very long time,
532
00:29:09.359 --> 00:29:12.880
he's turned from decision machine to knockout artist. You know,
533
00:29:12.900 --> 00:29:14.759
you look at his last two wins, Mark Madsen and
534
00:29:14.779 --> 00:29:19.240
Tiago Moises. Smoked those dudes. Absolutely smoked those dudes. Comes forward,
535
00:29:19.279 --> 00:29:22.690
heavy boxing pressure, attacks the body, gets in the pocket, rolls,
536
00:29:23.009 --> 00:29:26.130
hits hard. He's a little beefcake. He's a little muscle shark.
537
00:29:26.529 --> 00:29:28.650
But he's fallen on kind of hard times, right? Like
538
00:29:28.670 --> 00:29:32.710
he lost to Rafa Garcia and Jim Miller in back-to-back fights.
539
00:29:33.170 --> 00:29:35.970
The Rafa Garcia one, yes, yes, yes. The car accident.
540
00:29:35.990 --> 00:29:38.250
So not entirely his fault. Like the floor fell out
541
00:29:38.309 --> 00:29:41.099
on his durability in that fight. And a cardio freak
542
00:29:41.420 --> 00:29:44.220
who is apparently a stronger bully wrestler than him and
543
00:29:44.259 --> 00:29:46.680
Rafa was able to TKO him in the third round.
544
00:29:46.980 --> 00:29:51.019
But Jim Miller, that's the one that's like, you know,
545
00:29:51.460 --> 00:29:53.539
we'll talk about Jim Miller a little bit later. All
546
00:29:53.579 --> 00:29:56.039
respect to Jim Miller, dude, doing this thing, doing the
547
00:29:56.059 --> 00:29:58.769
damn thing as old as he is. Can't say a
548
00:29:58.789 --> 00:30:02.059
bad thing about him. But for Jared Gordon, that's the
549
00:30:02.200 --> 00:30:04.380
spot where you're like, buddy, you shouldn't be losing to
550
00:30:04.420 --> 00:30:08.779
Jim Miller. You know, like if you're still if you're
551
00:30:08.799 --> 00:30:11.619
still around, if you're still something, you shouldn't be losing
552
00:30:11.640 --> 00:30:15.190
to Jim Miller at this stage. But he's 38 years old, man.
553
00:30:15.210 --> 00:30:17.029
What are you going to do? You know, he joined
554
00:30:17.670 --> 00:30:20.549
he joined Team Violence. And ever since then, it's been
555
00:30:20.589 --> 00:30:22.650
live and die by the sword
for a guy like
556
00:30:22.690 --> 00:30:25.920
Jared Gordon. And that's not how he used to fight. Um, yeah.
557
00:30:25.940 --> 00:30:28.500
Super green samurai says Melky filled out. He did a
558
00:30:28.619 --> 00:30:30.519
little bit, but I mean like, just look at the
559
00:30:30.720 --> 00:30:33.700
thickness difference here. Like, I feel like there is a
560
00:30:33.940 --> 00:30:39.940
frame difference here. Jared is not that much shorter than Melky.
561
00:30:40.259 --> 00:30:43.539
Like I, I know the shoulders, the shoulders are different.
562
00:30:43.559 --> 00:30:47.200
Like Melky's taller than him, but like, look how round
563
00:30:47.279 --> 00:30:50.380
the shoulders are. Look how broad he is from his
564
00:30:50.440 --> 00:30:54.700
back to his chest. Like Jared Gordon is a thick dude.
565
00:30:55.210 --> 00:30:58.630
compared to Melky Costa. And then when you look at
566
00:30:58.789 --> 00:31:01.930
what Melky Costa, I still can't say his full name.
567
00:31:01.950 --> 00:31:05.049
I'm just going to stick with Melky. Look at what
568
00:31:05.150 --> 00:31:10.250
Melky Costa's run looked like. Again, the Steve Garcia fight
569
00:31:10.269 --> 00:31:11.890
was the one that made him change weight classes in
570
00:31:11.910 --> 00:31:16.390
the first place. That was at 155. Tiago Moises, who
571
00:31:16.589 --> 00:31:20.569
at this point is like a throwaway, handled him and
572
00:31:20.609 --> 00:31:22.799
choked him out in the second round. That was at
573
00:31:22.799 --> 00:31:26.109
155 guys. He's two and he's one and two. He's
574
00:31:26.569 --> 00:31:28.690
one and two. No, no, no, no. The Austin lingo
575
00:31:28.710 --> 00:31:31.210
fight was at one 45. Holy shit. I thought, I
576
00:31:31.250 --> 00:31:33.809
thought he went three fights in a row at one 55.
577
00:31:33.809 --> 00:31:37.089
I did not realize that the lingo fight was actually
578
00:31:37.130 --> 00:31:40.980
down at one 45. Okay. So he's officially Owen two
579
00:31:41.240 --> 00:31:43.579
at 155 pounds in the UFC. You guys, he has
580
00:31:43.720 --> 00:31:46.099
yet to win a UFC fight at 155 pounds. I just,
581
00:31:46.180 --> 00:31:52.509
all of this to say, Yes, the UFC is absolutely
582
00:31:52.589 --> 00:31:56.089
setting up Melky Costa to knock out old man Jared
583
00:31:56.130 --> 00:32:00.039
Gordon to get a decent name on his resume to
584
00:32:00.079 --> 00:32:03.279
make him, you know, get him that much more hyped up,
585
00:32:03.339 --> 00:32:08.779
bring him along. But, like, I cannot get the fluke
586
00:32:08.900 --> 00:32:11.220
Andre Feely fight out of my head, you guys. I
587
00:32:11.279 --> 00:32:14.079
can't get the fact that Andre Feely at 145 pounds,
588
00:32:14.119 --> 00:32:17.480
string bean, old ass Andre Feely, was able to just, like,
589
00:32:17.539 --> 00:32:19.599
out-hustle him and take him down, put him on his back.
590
00:32:21.519 --> 00:32:23.420
You're crazy if you don't think Jared Gordon can do
591
00:32:23.480 --> 00:32:27.319
that to him. Jared Gordon can absolutely wrestle this kid.
592
00:32:27.359 --> 00:32:29.789
If Tiago Moises can school you on the floor, so
593
00:32:29.809 --> 00:32:32.650
can Jared Gordon. If Andre Feely can take you down
594
00:32:32.990 --> 00:32:34.710
and put you in bad positions and make you fish
595
00:32:34.730 --> 00:32:39.200
for guillotines, so can Jared Gordon. And that's where I'm like, fuck, man.
596
00:32:40.349 --> 00:32:43.410
Jared Gordon might be shot, but he still has that
597
00:32:43.450 --> 00:32:45.990
wrestling in his back pocket. And I don't think Milky's
598
00:32:46.009 --> 00:32:48.470
going to sit up into a guillotine. That doesn't work,
599
00:32:48.549 --> 00:32:52.750
by the way. You catch white belts with that shit.
600
00:32:52.769 --> 00:32:56.019
You catch guys on their first day of jiu-jitsu class
601
00:32:56.059 --> 00:32:58.059
that don't know what they're doing with that shit. You
602
00:32:58.210 --> 00:33:01.220
don't catch UFC fighters. I will die on the hill
603
00:33:01.720 --> 00:33:03.880
that that Andre Feely fight was one that he threw
604
00:33:04.000 --> 00:33:07.839
because that choke does not happen. That choke just simply
605
00:33:07.920 --> 00:33:13.450
does not happen. I can't. lay minus 400 on Melky Costa. Now,
606
00:33:14.049 --> 00:33:18.710
plus 125 for a knockout prop on Melky? That's a
607
00:33:18.779 --> 00:33:21.240
little more speak in my language. Bank on the fact
608
00:33:21.279 --> 00:33:25.099
that he's supposed to win this fight. He's younger. He's longer.
609
00:33:25.440 --> 00:33:27.759
He likes to kick. Like, you want to use all
610
00:33:27.779 --> 00:33:29.920
of those talking points and be like, yeah, I think
611
00:33:29.960 --> 00:33:32.150
he's going to knock him out? Okay, I'll give you that.
612
00:33:32.829 --> 00:33:35.309
I'll give you that. And at least we're getting a
613
00:33:35.450 --> 00:33:38.809
plus number at that point, right? So Melky Costa by
614
00:33:38.849 --> 00:33:42.490
knockout is plus 125. Milky by decision, which that'd be
615
00:33:42.549 --> 00:33:46.869
greasy as shit, is plus 250. Jared Gordon by decision
616
00:33:46.930 --> 00:33:52.119
is plus 550. Now, did any of you guys listen
617
00:33:52.150 --> 00:33:54.839
to my prop show earlier this week? Am I crazy?
618
00:33:56.500 --> 00:34:01.859
Wasn't that plus 650? When I did Clint's Hot Props
619
00:34:02.960 --> 00:34:06.599
just a day or so ago, wasn't Jared Gordon by
620
00:34:06.640 --> 00:34:14.389
decision plus 650? interesting i'm gonna have to run my
621
00:34:14.449 --> 00:34:17.210
own show back i'm gonna have to run my own
622
00:34:17.329 --> 00:34:19.889
show back and see what that number was because i
623
00:34:19.949 --> 00:34:23.130
quoted it on that show and if it dropped a
624
00:34:23.190 --> 00:34:27.659
whole dollar from jared gordon plus 650 to plus 550
625
00:34:27.659 --> 00:34:35.460
that's that's interesting that's
interesting uh Timothy, my man, milky
626
00:34:35.599 --> 00:34:38.960
sub after dropping Jared on the feet. What a call.
627
00:34:39.119 --> 00:34:42.320
The club and sub. My man, appreciate the donation. Thank
628
00:34:42.340 --> 00:34:46.190
you very much for being here. And Dixon agreeing with
629
00:34:46.230 --> 00:34:49.010
me that the fight was fixed and that he threw it. Yeah, yeah,
630
00:34:49.070 --> 00:34:51.969
I get that. I get that. Oh, that's interesting. Dixon
631
00:34:52.030 --> 00:34:57.159
shouting out most takedowns on DraftKings. Gordon is plus 275
632
00:34:57.159 --> 00:34:59.340
to have the most takedowns in the fight. I do
633
00:34:59.380 --> 00:35:02.280
think that's actually really interesting because why wouldn't Jared Gordon
634
00:35:02.300 --> 00:35:04.679
grapple in this fight? I feel like that's his best
635
00:35:04.800 --> 00:35:06.960
path to victory here is to put Melky on his back.
636
00:35:07.659 --> 00:35:09.360
And I don't know that Melky is going to like
637
00:35:10.590 --> 00:35:12.530
have a pissing contest and like make a point to
638
00:35:12.550 --> 00:35:14.710
take him back the other way. Like I think he's
639
00:35:14.730 --> 00:35:15.989
going to try and stay on the feet and kick him,
640
00:35:16.230 --> 00:35:19.630
you know, uh, go, go saying that Gordon's washed. He's
641
00:35:19.650 --> 00:35:20.989
been finished in four of his last seven.
642
00:35:21.010 --> 00:35:21.190
Yeah.
643
00:35:21.510 --> 00:35:23.550
And that's the, that's the threat here, right? That's the
644
00:35:23.590 --> 00:35:26.639
question mark. Um, I have never been sold on Melky
645
00:35:26.659 --> 00:35:29.320
being like a contender, uh, or like this next big thing.
646
00:35:29.559 --> 00:35:32.239
I think he's fine, but he's not a guy that
647
00:35:32.489 --> 00:35:34.150
I think is going to make waves. You know, you're
648
00:35:34.190 --> 00:35:37.289
not losing to Tiago Moises. You're not losing to Steve
649
00:35:37.309 --> 00:35:41.469
Garcia if you're a challenger, right? So I just don't
650
00:35:41.489 --> 00:35:43.389
think he's that good. You know, he's okay. Don't get
651
00:35:43.409 --> 00:35:45.949
me wrong. I'm not saying he's terrible or anything, but
652
00:35:46.050 --> 00:35:48.559
is a washed version of Jared Gordon able to out-wrestle
653
00:35:48.900 --> 00:35:52.980
Melky Costa? He might be. He might be. Johnny Boy saying,
654
00:35:53.000 --> 00:35:55.659
I think Hokid's taking the L. We'll see. We'll see.
655
00:35:55.780 --> 00:35:57.980
That's such a good fight. We'll get there. We'll get there.
656
00:35:58.820 --> 00:36:02.300
All right, everybody. Weird spot. Like I could see myself
657
00:36:02.449 --> 00:36:06.309
biting on plus 550 Jared Gordon by decision for like
658
00:36:06.349 --> 00:36:09.690
a long shot, crazy, crazy sprinkle. I have to pick Melky.
659
00:36:09.750 --> 00:36:11.630
I have to pick Melky KO, but that's kind of
660
00:36:11.670 --> 00:36:15.869
all predicated on Jared Gordon being shot, right? Weird fight.
661
00:36:16.150 --> 00:36:19.920
I don't like the number. Next up, you've got Dante
662
00:36:20.219 --> 00:36:27.019
Johnson taking on Cesar Almeida. This is an interesting 190-pound
663
00:36:27.260 --> 00:36:31.389
catch weight. here on this one. Shout out my man,
664
00:36:31.429 --> 00:36:33.630
Timothy in the chat says, I feel like this is
665
00:36:33.690 --> 00:36:35.269
going to be one of those cards with a ton
666
00:36:35.309 --> 00:36:39.079
of finishes. I'm predicting eight to 10 finishes, just something
667
00:36:39.099 --> 00:36:41.380
in the air this week. Timothy, thank you so much
668
00:36:41.599 --> 00:36:44.420
for chiming in. Thank you for the donation. I agree
669
00:36:44.460 --> 00:36:46.440
with you. I agree with you. You know, a lot
670
00:36:46.460 --> 00:36:49.590
of these cards, when you get a step up in competition,
671
00:36:49.659 --> 00:36:52.170
when these fights go to a slightly higher level, you
672
00:36:52.210 --> 00:36:54.829
actually end up seeing more decisions, right? Because these people
673
00:36:54.869 --> 00:36:58.510
have defense. They know how to survive submissions. They know
674
00:36:58.570 --> 00:37:02.170
how to breathe through tough spots. They know how to survive,
675
00:37:02.230 --> 00:37:05.090
find their happy place, and then get back into a fight.
676
00:37:05.510 --> 00:37:07.909
When you get these lower level fights or like the
677
00:37:07.969 --> 00:37:10.530
one we're about to talk about where there's like staggered
678
00:37:12.070 --> 00:37:15.570
skill sets, that's where you find those finishes. One guy
679
00:37:15.659 --> 00:37:18.219
doesn't know how to kickbox as well as the other.
680
00:37:18.360 --> 00:37:21.019
That becomes a problem. One guy cannot grapple as well
681
00:37:21.059 --> 00:37:23.559
as the other. That also becomes a problem. I think
682
00:37:23.599 --> 00:37:25.900
you have a very, very good read on this, and
683
00:37:25.940 --> 00:37:27.360
I'm with you, man. I think we're going to get
684
00:37:27.400 --> 00:37:29.550
a lot of finishes. Eight to ten is crazy. I
685
00:37:29.550 --> 00:37:31.289
don't know if we'll get that many, but the UFC
686
00:37:31.349 --> 00:37:39.500
very specifically has been matchmaking. For finishes. It's been much
687
00:37:39.559 --> 00:37:51.510
more of a thing. One second. UFC 334. Okay, I'm
688
00:37:51.530 --> 00:37:55.210
trying to find something here real quick here. Okay, so
689
00:37:55.530 --> 00:37:57.389
this one caught me off guard a little bit, you guys.
690
00:37:57.949 --> 00:37:59.989
We have a catch weight. I didn't realize this was
691
00:38:00.010 --> 00:38:05.239
going to be a catchweight. Dante Johnson, 189. Cesar Almeida, 189.5
692
00:38:05.239 --> 00:38:11.019
for a 190-pound catchweight. And I just pulled this up. Apparently,
693
00:38:12.039 --> 00:38:18.920
Almeida is the one who asked for a catchweight. I
694
00:38:19.059 -->
00:38:26.699
didn't realize this. Wow. Okay. So Cesar Almeida was having
695
00:38:26.840 --> 00:38:31.250
a tough time making weight, and apparently his team has
696
00:38:31.429 --> 00:38:35.780
asked for a catchweight coming into this fight. Interesting. Interesting.
697
00:38:36.500 --> 00:38:38.059
You got to wonder if getting a little bit older
698
00:38:38.079 --> 00:38:41.579
ain't taking some kind of a toll, you know? Coming
699
00:38:41.619 --> 00:38:44.960
off a first knockout, finished loss of his career, obviously
700
00:38:45.039 --> 00:38:52.030
kind of a decent-sized dude, getting a little older. Interesting. Interesting. Timothy,
701
00:38:52.130 --> 00:38:54.630
my man, this is minus 150. Fight ends by KO.
702
00:38:54.829 --> 00:38:56.809
I just might need to hammer. I don't mind it.
703
00:38:57.230 --> 00:39:01.940
I don't mind it. It is interesting. Dixon agreeing with
704
00:39:01.960 --> 00:39:04.059
me here that Cesar asking for a catchweight the day
705
00:39:04.099 --> 00:39:07.320
before is suspect for real, for freaking real. Honestly, guys,
706
00:39:07.380 --> 00:39:09.059
I think that explains a lot of the line move here.
707
00:39:09.079 --> 00:39:12.280
So let me get into this. Dante Johnson, right? Team
708
00:39:12.300 --> 00:39:14.679
Spectation Sports. We like this guy. We're cheering for this guy.
709
00:39:14.719 --> 00:39:16.090
We want him to do well. We want him to
710
00:39:16.119 --> 00:39:19.090
be good. All that kind of stuff. He is a
711
00:39:19.679 --> 00:39:22.340
freak of nature like look look at his chest look
712
00:39:22.360 --> 00:39:25.489
at his shoulders if he turns sideways he's like twice
713
00:39:25.530 --> 00:39:28.809
as wide he's short he's stocky he's built like a
714
00:39:28.889 --> 00:39:32.909
tank uh he's very physical he's very strong but the
715
00:39:32.949 --> 00:39:36.300
thing is i'm not sure how good he is at
716
00:39:36.760 --> 00:39:42.440
anything like like literally nothing he can wrestle He's not great. Like,
717
00:39:42.619 --> 00:39:46.780
he can strike. He's not great. He just went out
718
00:39:46.800 --> 00:39:49.010
to Thailand for this camp. I love that. He's working
719
00:39:49.070 --> 00:39:51.550
on his striking. That's good. He's investing in himself. He's
720
00:39:51.570 --> 00:39:56.110
investing into his future as an MMA fighter. His jiu-jitsu scrambles.
721
00:39:56.150 --> 00:39:58.769
His submission defense checked out against Cody Brundage. But, like,
722
00:39:59.309 --> 00:40:02.710
it seems like he's not quite there yet. Like, he's
723
00:40:02.730 --> 00:40:05.690
got a lot of upside, but we still don't really
724
00:40:05.750 --> 00:40:09.070
know what he is. What he does have is just raw,
725
00:40:09.190 --> 00:40:12.260
unfiltered performance. This guy loves to strike. He's got that
726
00:40:12.320 --> 00:40:14.260
big old back with all that muscle, and he puts
727
00:40:14.340 --> 00:40:17.980
it into everything. When he hits people, they fall down.
728
00:40:18.059 --> 00:40:20.199
He's got a lot of round one KOs, but he's
729
00:40:20.219 --> 00:40:23.400
a little wild. He swings crazy, and that's the thing
730
00:40:23.420 --> 00:40:25.090
that kind of worries me about him in this fight
731
00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:29.610
because Cesar Almeida is a battle-tested world-class kickboxer. This guy
732
00:40:29.809 --> 00:40:34.130
is very, very, very good at striking, and the majority
733
00:40:34.150 --> 00:40:35.809
of people in the UFC that have needed to beat
734
00:40:35.869 --> 00:40:38.710
him have needed to wrestle to take him down. Did
735
00:40:38.829 --> 00:40:42.489
Johnson go to ATT for this camp? Did he call
736
00:40:42.570 --> 00:40:45.170
up the MMA lab? Did he hang out with Ben
737
00:40:45.269 --> 00:40:48.460
Askren or Daniel Cormier? No, he went to Thailand. So
738
00:40:48.500 --> 00:40:50.300
I'm like, man, this kid's coming in here thinking he's
739
00:40:50.320 --> 00:40:52.940
going to strike with a world class kickboxer. That scares
740
00:40:52.960 --> 00:40:55.139
the ever living piss out of me. Now, even though
741
00:40:55.159 --> 00:40:58.260
he's at a slight size disadvantage here, I'll bet you
742
00:40:58.280 --> 00:41:00.530
if they turned and faced frontward on the camera, like
743
00:41:00.630 --> 00:41:03.530
I think he's probably wider than Cesar Almeida. So he's
744
00:41:03.570 --> 00:41:05.840
probably still stronger. He's got that big old back on him.
745
00:41:06.269 --> 00:41:08.389
I do think he can kind of bully Cesar Almeida,
746
00:41:08.409 --> 00:41:11.070
but Almeida's footwork is something that I think is probably
747
00:41:11.110 --> 00:41:13.789
going to give him problems. Now, to the betting line,
748
00:41:13.829 --> 00:41:16.460
because this is the part that I think really makes
749
00:41:16.500 --> 00:41:19.719
things interesting. He was a decent-sized favorite throughout the week,
750
00:41:20.079 --> 00:41:22.139
but money has been coming in on Cesar Almeida, and
751
00:41:22.179 --> 00:41:24.159
I've been seeing it online. I see a lot of
752
00:41:24.239 --> 00:41:26.960
love for Cesar Almeida. He feels like a very, very
753
00:41:27.079 --> 00:41:29.389
public dog to me here this week. I see a
754
00:41:29.650 --> 00:41:31.550
lot of people seeing the same things that I am,
755
00:41:31.590 --> 00:41:34.719
that he might struggle with the striking problems In this fight,
756
00:41:34.760 --> 00:41:36.989
and Cesar will have the advantage there, even coming off
757
00:41:37.030 --> 00:41:42.590
the KO loss. Pardon me. Getting too excited. Talking too fast.
758
00:41:43.309 --> 00:41:46.750
Need to hydrate a little bit. So there's been a
759
00:41:46.989 --> 00:41:51.250
U-shaped line move here. Money came in on Dante. Bet
760
00:41:51.269 --> 00:41:53.809
him up. Money came in on Cesar. Bet him down.
761
00:41:53.929 --> 00:41:56.070
And now as we're getting closer to fight time, the
762
00:41:56.090 -->
00:41:58.539
money's coming back in on Dante. He's gone from minus
763
00:41:58.539 --> 00:42:01.380
170 up to minus 185 again. So he's steaming away
764
00:42:01.460 --> 00:42:04.050
again as the favorite here. And that's That's the move
765
00:42:04.070 --> 00:42:06.929
that lets me know that the people who have the
766
00:42:06.969 --> 00:42:09.050
money are the people that have the knowledge, the books
767
00:42:09.090 --> 00:42:14.500
who respect certain betters. Dante Johnson is the side here
768
00:42:14.840 --> 00:42:18.500
probably that you want to be on, right? That U-shaped
769
00:42:18.539 --> 00:42:20.880
line movement is something I pay very, very close attention to.
770
00:42:21.260 --> 00:42:22.980
I just don't know if I want to lay minus
771
00:42:22.980 --> 00:42:24.960
200 on it because I don't know what Dante Johnson's
772
00:42:25.000 --> 00:42:26.820
plan is. I don't know if he's going to wrestle.
773
00:42:27.500 --> 00:42:29.469
I don't know if he's going to strike. I feel
774
00:42:29.510 --> 00:42:32.309
like he finds a way to win this fight. but
775
00:42:32.349 --> 00:42:34.809
I don't know if I want to be laying minus
776
00:42:34.809 --> 00:42:38.530
185 to see him figure it out. Now asking for
777
00:42:38.610 --> 00:42:41.550
a catch weight, we're finding out the day before the
778
00:42:41.650 --> 00:42:46.639
fight that has me wondering, well, why did he miss weight?
779
00:42:47.059 --> 00:42:51.199
A lifelong professional martial artist who, to my knowledge, I
780
00:42:51.219 --> 00:42:54.860
don't think we've ever had weight problems with Caesar. Have we?
781
00:42:54.900 --> 00:42:56.539
Let me, let me pull this up here real quick.
782
00:42:56.579 --> 00:43:00.260
I don't think he's ever, missed in the UFC. I
783
00:43:00.300 --> 00:43:04.099
will correct myself if that is not the case. Nope.
784
00:43:04.659 --> 00:43:07.179
So in his entire MMA career, he has not flagged
785
00:43:07.199 --> 00:43:09.360
for any type of weight issues. And now coming into
786
00:43:09.380 --> 00:43:10.960
this fight, all of a sudden he needs to catch weight.
787
00:43:10.980 --> 00:43:14.449
Does he have a bum ankle? Could he not do
788
00:43:14.489 --> 00:43:17.250
his cardio? Like, you know what I mean? Something's going
789
00:43:17.309 --> 00:43:20.210
on there. The line move going back to Dante Johnson
790
00:43:20.389 --> 00:43:22.989
and finding out that Cesar requested a catch weight, those
791
00:43:23.070 --> 00:43:26.269
two things are putting me firmly on the Johnson side
792
00:43:26.309 --> 00:43:29.389
of things. It just kind of connecting dots here live
793
00:43:29.489 --> 00:43:32.130
on the show for you guys. I thought it was
794
00:43:32.170 --> 00:43:34.849
kind of dogger past betting earlier on in the week,
795
00:43:35.190 --> 00:43:37.929
but we are looking at a younger guy who the
796
00:43:38.030 --> 00:43:42.849
UFC likes, who is undefeated, who they're trying to build.
797
00:43:43.389 --> 00:43:45.369
And then an older guy who just got knocked out
798
00:43:45.449 --> 00:43:48.349
there in the feeding him to the youth phase of
799
00:43:48.409 --> 00:43:52.090
his career. So the UFC definitely wants Dante Johnson to
800
00:43:52.110 --> 00:43:54.710
win this fight. My whole thing is I'm just struggling
801
00:43:54.750 --> 00:43:58.090
to figure out how, right? Does he go in there
802
00:43:58.130 --> 00:43:59.869
and do the same thing that Damian Pinas did and
803
00:43:59.889 --> 00:44:04.489
just nuke Cesar Almeida? I don't think he does. Just
804
00:44:04.530 --> 00:44:06.969
because I'm not sure he's that smooth of a striker,
805
00:44:07.070 --> 00:44:08.329
I don't know that he'd be able to catch him
806
00:44:08.610 --> 00:44:11.010
the way that Damian Pinas did. I think he has
807
00:44:11.030 --> 00:44:13.429
to grapple. And then if he does grapple, does he
808
00:44:13.510 --> 00:44:19.489
wear out? Cesar Almeida or TKO him? That's the thing.
809
00:44:19.539 --> 00:44:21.960
I'm not sure how this plays out. It's a weird
810
00:44:22.039 --> 00:44:25.179
one because I guess I have to go Dante Johnson
811
00:44:25.199 --> 00:44:28.139
by KO. I am not confident in this pick at all,
812
00:44:28.280 --> 00:44:30.280
as you guys can tell. If anything, I would be
813
00:44:30.380 --> 00:44:34.980
fading the old man needing the extra weight. And I'd
814
00:44:35.059 --> 00:44:37.690
be tailing a line move. If I was going to
815
00:44:37.730 --> 00:44:40.030
do anything on Dante Johnson, those are the things pushing
816
00:44:40.070 --> 00:44:42.250
me to that side. So otherwise, I'm just going to
817
00:44:42.530 --> 00:44:44.650
rely on the youth. This is probably not a fight
818
00:44:44.690 --> 00:44:46.949
that I want to have a whole lot of investment
819
00:44:47.030 --> 00:44:49.429
in unless somebody gets a hold of my ear and
820
00:44:49.469 --> 00:44:52.780
tells me something that I really need to know. Perp show.
821
00:44:52.860 --> 00:44:56.139
What is up, my man? Saying Johnson's my current favorite fighter.
822
00:44:57.030 --> 00:44:59.929
Two-way action on the KO here is these two just
823
00:45:00.130 --> 00:45:02.050
a no-brainer. I agree with you, Timothy. I think that's
824
00:45:02.090 --> 00:45:05.710
a good bet. Vaneezy, Ryan in the chat. What's going on, buddy?
825
00:45:05.989 --> 00:45:08.789
He says, read my article. Love you, man. I'll check
826
00:45:08.829 --> 00:45:11.230
it out, my friend. I'll check it out. Gonna be
827
00:45:11.369 --> 00:45:14.769
a good fight this week. He says, Johnson KO won
828
00:45:14.789 --> 00:45:19.900
his round plus 550. Really? Okay. All right. All right.
829
00:45:19.960 --> 00:45:22.920
Dave Johnson says, Dante should win, but He's just so
830
00:45:22.980 --> 00:45:27.699
untrustworthy family connection there. Dave Dante, both Johnson. No, I'm kidding. Um,
831
00:45:28.059 --> 00:45:30.380
meet what's going on. Meet rocket. Welcome into the show.
832
00:45:30.400 --> 00:45:33.030
This is in fact live, my friend, by the way,
833
00:45:33.090 --> 00:45:34.969
you should be able to tell, I don't know if
834
00:45:34.989 --> 00:45:37.349
you guys can see this. Does it say live up
835
00:45:37.389 --> 00:45:39.289
here for you? It says live up here for me.
836
00:45:39.389 --> 00:45:41.989
I can see a little, little thing here that says live. Um,
837
00:45:42.050 --> 00:45:43.889
but if you're, if you're tuning in on YouTube, it
838
00:45:43.929 --> 00:45:46.050
should also actually tell you if I'm live or if
839
00:45:46.139 --> 00:45:52.090
it's a prerecorded thing, but it's definitely live, my man. Um, Yes. Dixon.
840
00:45:52.250 --> 00:45:54.030
I did see you as men in prison. Thank God
841
00:45:54.070 --> 00:45:55.829
for that. I mean, that's the kind of shit, man,
842
00:45:56.130 --> 00:45:58.010
they need to be cracking down on that kind of thing. I,
843
00:45:58.360 --> 00:46:03.639
I can't stand the gang begging thug life bullshit. Catch,
844
00:46:03.840 --> 00:46:06.619
catch a guy sleeping, jump on him with six year buddies.
845
00:46:06.659 --> 00:46:08.780
Like that's the kind of shit that I'm like, bury
846
00:46:08.800 --> 00:46:11.400
them out back. Like that's, we do not need any
847
00:46:11.440 --> 00:46:13.159
more of that shit. There's way too much of that
848
00:46:13.199 --> 00:46:16.119
kind of shit going on in the world. And, um,
849
00:46:16.989 --> 00:46:18.510
I can't stand it. You know, it's like, I know
850
00:46:18.550 --> 00:46:20.769
these guys are basically caged animals. I know a lot
851
00:46:20.789 --> 00:46:23.369
of MMA fighters have that type of mentality. And that's the,
852
00:46:23.730 --> 00:46:25.809
that's the side of the sport that I really can't stand.
853
00:46:25.889 --> 00:46:27.650
You know what I mean? I'm like, you get paid
854
00:46:28.110 --> 00:46:31.090
to fight, like just go, go cash a check, right?
855
00:46:31.190 --> 00:46:33.730
Get in the cage. Let us turn the cameras on.
856
00:46:33.769 --> 00:46:35.309
That's what you're trained to do. That's when you get
857
00:46:35.349 --> 00:46:37.889
to do it. Jumping Marab. Now, the only thing is
858
00:46:38.250 --> 00:46:41.449
I can't say like poor Marab, because you got to
859
00:46:41.650 --> 00:46:46.510
understand he did start it because he slapped the Nurmagomedov's kid.
860
00:46:46.989 --> 00:46:49.599
When he was like talking to him. So that's the thing, man.
861
00:46:49.619 --> 00:46:52.699
There's no innocent party in this. Like Merab shouldn't have
862
00:46:52.840 --> 00:46:56.000
touched the other dude. Right. He said something. Merab didn't
863
00:46:56.039 --> 00:46:57.480
like it. And he slapped the shit out of him
864
00:46:57.500 --> 00:46:59.880
that like people want to do like, oh, it's face
865
00:46:59.920 --> 00:47:02.690
to face. That's different. It's like, well, I mean, yes.
866
00:47:02.869 --> 00:47:04.929
Like what? I agree with you. Like one on one
867
00:47:05.010 --> 00:47:07.130
face to face. That is different. But at the same time.
868
00:47:07.780 --> 00:47:09.559
you don't get to just go slap people. So like
869
00:47:09.579 --> 00:47:12.019
keep your fucking hands to yourself. So like, I get
870
00:47:12.239 --> 00:47:14.800
why Usman was like, you slapped my boy. I will
871
00:47:14.820 --> 00:47:16.880
come slap you back. Like I get all that. But
872
00:47:16.940 --> 00:47:20.139
when you're also two weight classes larger and you've got
873
00:47:20.219 --> 00:47:22.280
six buddies behind you to jump a guy that's half
874
00:47:22.320 --> 00:47:25.429
your size, like that's bullshit. Like that's not the same thing.
875
00:47:25.469 --> 00:47:27.269
I don't know. The whole thing's fucked up. Merab shouldn't
876
00:47:27.289 --> 00:47:30.050
have slapped him. And then obviously Usman shouldn't have retaliated.
877
00:47:30.090 --> 00:47:32.230
That's those, that's the kind of situation where you're like,
878
00:47:32.550 --> 00:47:36.090
you're both wrong. I am glad Usman and his boys
879
00:47:36.130 --> 00:47:38.940
went to jail though. Cause people, people shouldn't be doing that.
880
00:47:39.000 --> 00:47:41.079
But yeah, it's, there, there is no, that's the thing.
881
00:47:41.139 --> 00:47:43.619
Everyone wants to take a side on this kind of thing.
882
00:47:43.940 --> 00:47:45.940
And we all need to open up our brains and go,
883
00:47:45.960 --> 00:47:49.230
you know, Marab was partially at fault too. Usman is
884
00:47:49.289 --> 00:47:52.590
not correct in jumping him. That's bad. He should not
885
00:47:52.630 --> 00:47:54.710
have done that. He deserves to go to prison for that.
886
00:47:54.829 --> 00:47:58.170
But also Marab is not entirely innocent. So, you know,
887
00:47:58.570 --> 00:48:00.789
you just, you gotta kind of be like, you both
888
00:48:00.829 --> 00:48:04.840
kind of fucked up on this one. Super green samurai
889
00:48:04.860 --> 00:48:08.130
saying Johnson's path to victory is ground and pound. uh,
890
00:48:08.349 --> 00:48:10.130
Caesar's too slick on the feet. And I think I
891
00:48:10.170 --> 00:48:12.449
agree with that. I think I agree with that. Uh,
892
00:48:12.510 --> 00:48:15.130
meat rocket. Yes. Dante Johnson is pretty good. It's just
893
00:48:15.150 --> 00:48:18.050
that he's still developing. That's my thing. Um, these developing
894
00:48:18.090 --> 00:48:22.559
guys catch the elderly. That's MMA. That's what happens. So, uh,
895
00:48:22.639 --> 00:48:26.639
definitely going to, um, side with Dante Johnson here on
896
00:48:26.679 --> 00:48:28.599
this one, that rude boy saying shout out to my
897
00:48:28.639 --> 00:48:31.980
Rob's boy. Yeah, that dude, uh, that little wrestle boxer
898
00:48:32.019 --> 00:48:34.860
kid throwing hands. He looked, he looked real. I know
899
00:48:34.900 --> 00:48:36.920
Dana pretended like he didn't know who he was, but,
900
00:48:37.369 --> 00:48:38.909
I'll bet you we'll see him on the next season
901
00:48:38.949 --> 00:48:42.789
of Dana White's Contender Series. Next up here, we have
902
00:48:42.889 --> 00:48:46.949
got Jim Aitzenmiller taking on Terrence T-Rex McKinney. And it's
903
00:48:46.989 --> 00:48:50.530
our second weight miss of the night. Jim Miller came
904
00:48:50.550 --> 00:48:54.369
in at 155, T-Rex 160.2. So, man, we've got a
905
00:48:54.570 --> 00:48:56.710
big weight miss here. I mean, we're talking four, four
906
00:48:56.730 --> 00:48:59.989
and a half pounds. I already was looking the way
907
00:49:00.010 --> 00:49:03.170
of Terrence McKinney on this one, you guys. I will never,
908
00:49:03.289 --> 00:49:05.719
I will never lay this kind of price tag. on
909
00:49:05.739 --> 00:49:08.940
a guy like Terrence McKinney. He's minus 205. I've got
910
00:49:08.960 --> 00:49:11.800
to pick him to win because he's younger, he's taller,
911
00:49:11.920 --> 00:49:16.070
he's longer, he's faster, he's more explosive. right? Like all
912
00:49:16.090 --> 00:49:19.210
of these things, like that's the reason I am picking
913
00:49:19.269 --> 00:49:23.590
Terrence McKinney. But at the same time, he wilts. He
914
00:49:23.639 --> 00:49:28.159
just completely gases. And it's not even gases. It's heart.
915
00:49:28.219 --> 00:49:29.760
You know what I mean? Like he doesn't have the
916
00:49:29.880 --> 00:49:33.179
heart to continue. He is one of the best hammers
917
00:49:33.199 --> 00:49:36.000
we've ever seen in the UFC. He's also maybe the
918
00:49:36.059 --> 00:49:39.750
worst nail we have ever seen. in the UFC. Now,
919
00:49:39.969 --> 00:49:43.070
what I did get is my buddy Jay, if you
920
00:49:43.090 --> 00:49:46.530
guys know on Twitter, the legend Jay himself, really good, better,
921
00:49:46.630 --> 00:49:50.170
high stakes, dude throws crazy stuff out there. Um, I
922
00:49:50.230 --> 00:49:52.210
saw him post the same game parlay. And again, I'm
923
00:49:52.230 --> 00:49:53.969
going to tip my cap to my guy, Jay, because
924
00:49:54.449 --> 00:49:57.039
I've always told you guys, my plays are my own.
925
00:49:57.400 --> 00:50:00.780
My brain work is my own, right? I win or
926
00:50:00.920 --> 00:50:03.519
lose on the back of my own analysis or my
927
00:50:03.599 --> 00:50:06.699
own shortcomings, uh, or the things that I, you know,
928
00:50:06.900 --> 00:50:09.469
miss or the bear traps I step in. It's all me.
929
00:50:10.139 --> 00:50:12.530
If I tail somebody, I'm man enough to tell you
930
00:50:12.570 --> 00:50:15.110
guys I'm tailing Jay on this play. You guys, it's
931
00:50:15.150 --> 00:50:19.929
the same game parlay Terrence McKinney, winning method by KO
932
00:50:20.349 --> 00:50:23.730
and under half a round. So you're basically betting on
933
00:50:23.769 --> 00:50:26.369
Terrence McKinney to win by knockout in the first two
934
00:50:26.389 --> 00:50:30.010
and a half minutes of this fight. No sub has
935
00:50:30.030 --> 00:50:33.409
to be a KO under half a round, not one
936
00:50:33.429 --> 00:50:36.489
and a half rounds, half a round. So I think
937
00:50:36.530 --> 00:50:39.889
that Terrence is going to come out the exact same
938
00:50:40.030 --> 00:50:43.880
way that he did against Kyle Nelson. And that's the thing.
939
00:50:44.550 --> 00:50:48.769
I think that works here, okay? Kyle Nelson got completely
940
00:50:48.849 --> 00:50:53.889
blown away in that fight. 24 seconds. Terrence just jumped
941
00:50:53.989 --> 00:50:56.610
on him and kept swinging. The ref had to pull
942
00:50:56.650 --> 00:50:59.429
him off. Jim Miller is 43 years old, you guys.
943
00:50:59.889 --> 00:51:02.039
I love Jim Miller as much as you guys do.
944
00:51:02.519 --> 00:51:04.539
I honestly would like to see him get his hand
945
00:51:04.599 --> 00:51:07.679
raised in this fight. That'd be fucking awesome. But I
946
00:51:07.780 --> 00:51:10.840
don't think he can handle the onslaught that's going to
947
00:51:10.900 --> 00:51:14.280
hit him from a guy like Terrence McKinney. You look
948
00:51:14.320 --> 00:51:17.539
back at his recent run, he was willing to get
949
00:51:17.579 --> 00:51:20.369
in there life and death with Jared Gordon. Now, maybe
950
00:51:20.530 --> 00:51:22.369
that's enough of a sign to say that, you know what,
951
00:51:22.409 --> 00:51:24.230
he can roll and counter and crack a guy like
952
00:51:24.269 --> 00:51:26.630
Terrence and put him away. He did it to Jared Gordon.
953
00:51:26.650 --> 00:51:29.510
Why can't he do it to Terrence? That's fair. Totally
954
00:51:29.590 --> 00:51:31.469
on the table. But then you look at the other
955
00:51:31.510 --> 00:51:33.699
guys he's beating, and it's like, well, Damon Jackson, that
956
00:51:33.719 --> 00:51:35.800
guy's losing on the regional scene now just a year
957
00:51:35.820 --> 00:51:38.880
or two later. Chase Hooper. He's kind of been fraud
958
00:51:38.920 --> 00:51:41.050
checked in the UFC as much as I love the guy.
959
00:51:41.429 --> 00:51:44.170
Bobby Green, that fight could have been stopped at any
960
00:51:44.409 --> 00:51:47.429
point in time. And Bobby was playing with him. Bobby
961
00:51:47.469 --> 00:51:50.219
wasn't looking to put him away. If Bobby had wanted
962
00:51:50.260 --> 00:51:52.920
to put him away, he absolutely could have, right? And
963
00:51:52.940 --> 00:51:55.960
that's going back two years. So now Jim is 43
964
00:51:55.960 --> 00:51:59.769
years old. He's older. He's taken more damage. And he
965
00:51:59.849 --> 00:52:01.829
really has been a kind of killer be killed guy
966
00:52:01.869 --> 00:52:04.639
in the first round. I respect the hell out of Jim.
967
00:52:05.219 --> 00:52:07.000
I just feel like we are reaching the end of
968
00:52:07.019 --> 00:52:09.780
the rope. You know, I can't keep going down this
969
00:52:09.860 --> 00:52:13.940
road with Jim Miller. Now, if Jim does win this fight,
970
00:52:14.199 --> 00:52:17.860
obviously it's because he manages to survive the early pressure
971
00:52:18.250 --> 00:52:22.309
from Terrence McKinney. And then he clubbing subs him or
972
00:52:22.369 --> 00:52:24.750
he just hits him with something coming back the other way.
973
00:52:24.969 --> 00:52:27.280
You know what I mean? Um, minus 200 on a
974
00:52:27.300 --> 00:52:30.139
guy like Terrence, who's basically a coin flip and falls
975
00:52:30.199 --> 00:52:32.960
apart after four minutes. You don't want to be laying
976
00:52:32.980 --> 00:52:35.500
minus 200 on that guy. Am I picking him to win? Yes. Yes,
977
00:52:35.559 --> 00:52:38.679
I am. Uh, him to win by knockout. Let's see
978
00:52:38.840 --> 00:52:42.840
exact method. KO is interesting to me. I know Jim
979
00:52:42.860 --> 00:52:45.210
has got a nasty submission threat, but the way Terrence,
980
00:52:45.309 --> 00:52:48.289
we've seen him like slump and fold over multiple times
981
00:52:48.349 --> 00:52:50.989
over the course of his career. Um, I think the
982
00:52:51.030 --> 00:52:53.389
KO is super live. Jim can just pound on him
983
00:52:53.429 --> 00:52:56.590
with his, with his hands. Um, And I don't think
984
00:52:56.639 --> 00:52:58.280
that Terrence is going to be dumb enough to go
985
00:52:58.320 --> 00:53:00.719
for a submission on a guy like Jim Miller. Like,
986
00:53:00.780 --> 00:53:04.800
why would you engage with a black belt the level
987
00:53:04.840 --> 00:53:08.300
of Jim fucking Miller? You don't. So I think Terrence
988
00:53:08.340 --> 00:53:11.110
McKinney by knockout is the move. By the way, watching
989
00:53:11.150 --> 00:53:14.690
these numbers, that went down from plus 125 to plus 120.
990
00:53:14.690 --> 00:53:18.489
So a very, very small move on this Terrence knockout prop.
991
00:53:18.909 --> 00:53:21.920
Jim Miller's KO prop is plus 700 and that is sexy.
992
00:53:22.300 --> 00:53:24.300
I would like to sprinkle a little bit of that
993
00:53:24.380 --> 00:53:26.420
if you're on the Jim Miller side of things. But
994
00:53:26.639 --> 00:53:30.039
with that same game parlay, I might look at this
995
00:53:30.159 --> 00:53:33.610
fight in spike KO because at minus 125, like I
996
00:53:33.639 --> 00:53:36.710
don't think I'm fading a Terrence McKinney sub in this
997
00:53:36.750 --> 00:53:39.650
fight because I don't see Terrence McKinney going for a sub.
998
00:53:39.730 --> 00:53:41.889
Obviously he can, but I just, I don't think that's
999
00:53:41.909 --> 00:53:44.090
going to be his path here. You are fading the
1000
00:53:44.110 --> 00:53:46.420
club and sub from Jim Miller. Absolutely. If Jim wins
1001
00:53:46.460 --> 00:53:49.880
this fight, the sub is absolutely live. And frankly, that's
1002
00:53:49.900 --> 00:53:52.400
his favorite prop that if he wins it, it's plus
1003
00:53:52.400 --> 00:53:55.760
300 for him to win by sub. But I think again, I,
1004
00:53:55.800 --> 00:54:00.019
we have enough evidence that when Terrence falters, um, he's
1005
00:54:00.079 --> 00:54:04.019
not necessarily level changing, right? He's not giving you his
1006
00:54:04.099 --> 00:54:07.960
neck for the opportunity. He's just kind of slumping, right?
1007
00:54:08.079 --> 00:54:11.719
He he's getting sparked body shot from Bobby green folded
1008
00:54:11.760 --> 00:54:14.539
him right now, the, the Anaconda choke from Chris Duncan
1009
00:54:14.599 --> 00:54:16.500
like that, you know, that kind of ruins my argument, but,
1010
00:54:16.800 --> 00:54:19.880
You know, the Esteban Rivivic's head kick. He just fell over.
1011
00:54:19.980 --> 00:54:22.639
You know what I mean? I think he can just
1012
00:54:22.679 --> 00:54:26.880
get straight up chopped in this fight. The Ismail Bonfim fight,
1013
00:54:26.900 --> 00:54:29.030
where he just wilted and covered up against the fence.
1014
00:54:30.860 --> 00:54:33.590
Fight ends by KO at minus 125. I think that's interesting.
1015
00:54:33.690 --> 00:54:35.829
That way you don't have to pick a side. You
1016
00:54:35.869 --> 00:54:37.650
don't have to take the under one and a half.
1017
00:54:38.210 --> 00:54:40.710
It's a bettable number. And then all you're doing is
1018
00:54:40.809 --> 00:54:44.690
fading the grappling. I kind of like that. I am
1019
00:54:44.750 --> 00:54:48.739
picking Terrence. but I think this fight is over quickly. Go,
1020
00:54:48.780 --> 00:54:50.590
go Flamingo. I like that look. He said, I got
1021
00:54:50.690 --> 00:54:53.250
either fighter to win in the first two minutes of
1022
00:54:53.309 --> 00:54:56.050
round one at plus 500. That's fun. I actually liked
1023
00:54:56.110 --> 00:55:00.050
that plus 200. I'm sorry. Plus 500 for either fighter
1024
00:55:00.510 --> 00:55:02.869
in the first two minutes. That's sexy, man. That's a
1025
00:55:02.909 --> 00:55:06.849
good bet. I like that. Um, AB what's up says
1026
00:55:07.889 --> 00:55:12.199
the Blanco Memorial dog of the week is Kevin Holland.
1027
00:55:12.219 --> 00:55:14.820
And I will say, I love that pick my guy.
1028
00:55:14.900 --> 00:55:17.679
I love that pick. Good luck. on the blanco memorial
1029
00:55:17.699 --> 00:55:20.239
dog of the week uh timothy my man thank you
1030
00:55:20.280 --> 00:55:23.130
very much again for sharing the love says it's going
1031
00:55:23.150 --> 00:55:26.710
to end quickly either way under half a round i
1032
00:55:26.730 --> 00:55:29.409
like that i like that and yeah meet uh we're
1033
00:55:29.429 --> 00:55:32.289
with you meet rocket i think everybody thinks uh it
1034
00:55:32.309 --> 00:55:34.110
would be great to watch jim miller win a fight
1035
00:55:34.159 --> 00:55:36.739
like this it would be awesome um as long as
1036
00:55:36.760 --> 00:55:38.500
he can keep it together and keep doing the damn
1037
00:55:38.519 --> 00:55:40.619
thing like we'll just keep cheering for him jim miller's
1038
00:55:40.699 --> 00:55:42.989
awesome He's a legend of the game, and these guys
1039
00:55:43.050 --> 00:55:44.929
phase out, and we miss them when they're gone. So
1040
00:55:44.989 --> 00:55:47.019
if he can keep stacking a
couple wins here and there,
1041
00:55:47.719 --> 00:55:51.619
I'm all for it. Next up, we have got Drew Dober,
1042
00:55:51.639 --> 00:55:55.380
and he's taking on Chris Duncan. 155.5 for both guys here.
1043
00:55:55.760 --> 00:55:59.550
Great face-off. We brought back the blue face paint for
1044
00:55:59.590 --> 00:56:03.010
Chris Duncan. You'll love to see it. Drew Dober, the
1045
00:56:03.050 --> 00:56:06.309
Crimson Chin himself. Shout-out my boy LiamPixFights for that nickname.
1046
00:56:06.389 --> 00:56:10.699
It suits him perfectly. Um, according to the sharp action report,
1047
00:56:10.719 --> 00:56:13.519
my guy, Andrew Babakidis, you guys, Chris Duncan is taking
1048
00:56:13.559 --> 00:56:15.590
a whole lot of sharp money on this one. Now
1049
00:56:16.139 --> 00:56:20.750
I picked Drew Dover as my link Memorial dog of
1050
00:56:20.849 --> 00:56:23.610
the week. We announced that, uh, early on the Monday
1051
00:56:23.650 --> 00:56:25.449
podcast that he was the dog of the week, but
1052
00:56:25.550 --> 00:56:29.469
I waited because I knew, I knew that I was
1053
00:56:29.510 --> 00:56:30.909
going to be on a bit of an Island here
1054
00:56:30.969 --> 00:56:32.800
on this one. I knew that people were going to
1055
00:56:32.820 --> 00:56:35.449
be coming in on Chris Duncan. Cause I, realistically, he
1056
00:56:35.469 --> 00:56:37.519
went on this run, you know, four fights in a row,
1057
00:56:37.539 --> 00:56:38.820
just kind of chopping people up.
1058
00:56:38.880 --> 00:56:39.079
Right.
1059
00:56:39.400 --> 00:56:41.539
And then he ran into Hanata Moikano, a guy who's
1060
00:56:41.559 --> 00:56:43.579
a much better grappler than him, a big step up
1061
00:56:43.619 --> 00:56:46.619
in competition, a former training partner, like, you know, all
1062
00:56:46.659 --> 00:56:48.820
that kind of stuff, just bad news bears, bad, bad
1063
00:56:48.920 --> 00:56:52.280
for a guy like Chris Duncan. So he loses that fight. Right. Um,
1064
00:56:52.460 --> 00:56:54.199
I think everybody's going to bet on him to bounce
1065
00:56:54.239 --> 00:56:55.699
back and kind of just pick up right where he
1066
00:56:55.719 --> 00:56:59.199
left off. The thing is, I think Drew Dober has
1067
00:56:59.239 --> 00:57:02.730
a better resume than than Duncan, and Duncan is a
1068
00:57:02.769 --> 00:57:05.789
guy who we've seen hurt really badly on the feet before,
1069
00:57:06.210 --> 00:57:07.869
and he kind of panics if he can't get his
1070
00:57:07.909 --> 00:57:11.469
wrestling going, and he is willing to firefight if it
1071
00:57:11.530 --> 00:57:13.929
turns into a striking match, and I think all of
1072
00:57:14.010 --> 00:57:17.090
those things favor Drew Dober. Dober's a guy who is
1073
00:57:17.289 --> 00:57:19.530
able to sprawl and brawl. He does have a decent
1074
00:57:19.590 --> 00:57:23.309
get-up game, and yes, he can get tagged. His durability
1075
00:57:23.349 --> 00:57:26.230
does seem to be fading a little bit, but if
1076
00:57:26.269 --> 00:57:28.360
these guys are going to throw down, obviously, I still
1077
00:57:28.380 --> 00:57:30.829
have to favor Dober. I still have to favor Dober
1078
00:57:30.869 --> 00:57:33.210
at this stage of their careers. He's coming off of
1079
00:57:33.230 --> 00:57:35.769
a couple of knockouts. And in the Michael Johnson fight, frankly,
1080
00:57:36.309 --> 00:57:38.409
he showed he still got it as far as I'm concerned.
1081
00:57:38.469 --> 00:57:41.760
He literally fractured the skull of Michael Johnson in that fight.
1082
00:57:42.460 --> 00:57:45.059
You're at a speed disadvantage. You're at a reach disadvantage.
1083
00:57:45.099 --> 00:57:47.400
And he still figured out the spacing and the timing.
1084
00:57:47.480 --> 00:57:49.280
He figured out the counters. He got in and he
1085
00:57:49.440 --> 00:57:51.239
put the guy out in the second round. So I'm like,
1086
00:57:51.639 --> 00:57:54.559
that's perfect. That's the Drew Dober I'm looking for here. Now,
1087
00:57:54.739 --> 00:57:57.440
I got plus 155. I was feeling real smart because
1088
00:57:57.460 --> 00:57:59.980
it felt like the market had peaked. On Drew Dober,
1089
00:58:00.059 --> 00:58:02.480
he was coming back down to about plus 150 or so.
1090
00:58:02.780 --> 00:58:04.719
And now it's going back the other way. It's still
1091
00:58:04.760 --> 00:58:08.280
taking more Chris Duncan money. He's back up at plus
1092
00:58:08.280 --> 00:58:10.889
155 again. So that number does seem to be available
1093
00:58:10.949 --> 00:58:12.449
if you want a piece of it on Drew Dober.
1094
00:58:12.769 --> 00:58:15.269
But I think he's the better striker. And I think
1095
00:58:15.309 --> 00:58:19.489
he'll be able to nullify the grappling of Chris Duncan.
1096
00:58:19.809 --> 00:58:21.690
If he's not able to do that, this is going
1097
00:58:21.710 --> 00:58:23.570
to look like a really bad day, you guys. That's
1098
00:58:23.590 --> 00:58:26.429
the thing. if he's not able to nullify the grappling
1099
00:58:26.449 --> 00:58:29.630
of Chris Duncan, this in hindsight will look very poor.
1100
00:58:30.010 --> 00:58:34.190
But again, I just keep going back to like the
1101
00:58:34.250 --> 00:58:37.429
barn burners he had, you know, his second Dana White's
1102
00:58:37.469 --> 00:58:40.519
contender series fight with Charlie Campbell, where he was on
1103
00:58:40.699 --> 00:58:43.139
shaky legs and like running for his life and then
1104
00:58:43.480 --> 00:58:46.460
bit down and swung for the fences and almost kind
1105
00:58:46.480 --> 00:58:48.380
of got lucky. Right. That he landed on that one.
1106
00:58:48.860 --> 00:58:52.659
I'm not the most impressed with his current resume, right? Okie,
1107
00:58:53.489 --> 00:58:56.579
Dropped weight class, not looking good. Vucinic, fraud checked, out
1108
00:58:56.599 --> 00:59:00.059
of the UFC. Rebecki, a guy who kind of has
1109
00:59:00.079 --> 00:59:01.840
to win in the first round or two if he's
1110
00:59:01.860 --> 00:59:05.230
going to, and a guy who needs the grappling advantage again.
1111
00:59:05.510 --> 00:59:07.849
That's the good win in this run, in my opinion.
1112
00:59:08.349 --> 00:59:10.179
And then Terrence McKinney, who, like we talked about, if
1113
00:59:10.199 --> 00:59:11.719
he doesn't win in the first two, three minutes, he
1114
00:59:11.760 --> 00:59:14.699
quits and he's done. So I think he's got three
1115
00:59:14.840 --> 00:59:18.719
and a half frauds in his four-fight win streak. That's
1116
00:59:18.820 --> 00:59:21.579
who he's been thriving on. And when he gets big
1117
00:59:21.619 --> 00:59:25.500
step-ups in competition, he can't win. Hanato subbed him in
1118
00:59:25.519 --> 00:59:29.559
the second round, made him look easy. Manuel Torres... Punched
1119
00:59:29.579 --> 00:59:30.820
him in the mouth and choked him out in the
1120
00:59:30.840 --> 00:59:32.730
first round. And now Drew Dober is not on the
1121
00:59:32.750 --> 00:59:34.489
level of either of those guys at this point in
1122
00:59:34.530 --> 00:59:36.710
his life. But this guy also got knocked out by
1123
00:59:36.750 --> 00:59:40.590
Slava Claus. So, I mean, like, I think Drew Dober
1124
00:59:40.630 --> 00:59:42.320
can knock him out, you guys. I think at any
1125
00:59:42.360 --> 00:59:44.539
point in time, Drew can land the right punch and
1126
00:59:44.559 --> 00:59:47.599
put this dude down. So he is my pick. I'm
1127
00:59:47.639 --> 00:59:49.639
picking him by knockout. He's the dog of the week.
1128
00:59:50.340 --> 00:59:52.380
We're going to town, baby. One more time. Let's go
1129
00:59:52.420 --> 00:59:55.079
to war with Drew Dover. D, what is up, buddy?
1130
00:59:55.099 --> 00:59:57.599
Appreciate you being here. Glad you could make the show.
1131
00:59:57.760 --> 00:59:59.559
I hope you are well. I hope you had an
1132
00:59:59.599 --> 01:00:02.780
amazing week. And looking forward to these fights, my guy.
1133
01:00:02.820 --> 01:00:05.340
It's going to be a fun card. Next up, we
1134
01:00:05.360 --> 01:00:09.090
can all dry our tears here because it is the
1135
01:00:09.250 --> 01:00:13.210
end of the line. Steven Wonderboy Thompson taking on Charles Radke.
1136
01:00:13.820 --> 01:00:18.380
Thompson is hanging up the gloves. This is his retirement fight.
1137
01:00:18.500 --> 01:00:21.280
It is documented. It is on record. It is over.
1138
01:00:21.360 --> 01:00:24.159
This is the last dance. And Stephen Thompson has been
1139
01:00:24.300 --> 01:00:27.460
sitting at about minus 155 basically all week. And I
1140
01:00:27.480 --> 01:00:30.780
got to tell you guys, I see everybody betting Wonderboy.
1141
01:00:31.159 --> 01:00:33.840
I see everybody on their mother clicking Wonderboy here in
1142
01:00:33.880 --> 01:00:38.389
this spot. The thing is, he's old as shit. And
1143
01:00:38.409 --> 01:00:41.829
while he does still got it striking... He's one in
1144
01:00:41.989 --> 01:00:43.869
four in his last five fights, one in five in
1145
01:00:43.909 --> 01:00:47.320
his last six, something like that. He's 43 years old
1146
01:00:48.280 --> 01:00:52.619
and he has never been able to stop the grappling.
1147
01:00:53.219 --> 01:00:56.320
Now I will say, I actually thought he beat Gabriel
1148
01:00:56.340 --> 01:00:59.539
Bonfim in his last fight. Um, I picked him that
1149
01:00:59.579 --> 01:01:02.780
night and I, I think I live bet him that night. Um,
1150
01:01:03.480 --> 01:01:06.900
I also think on, uh, Gabriel Bonfim is still like a, a,
1151
01:01:07.949 --> 01:01:11.429
a slinking fraud right he's still a snake hiding in
1152
01:01:11.449 --> 01:01:13.090
the grass like he's not as good as people think
1153
01:01:13.110 --> 01:01:16.730
he is and uh i think wonder boy is actually
1154
01:01:16.750 --> 01:01:18.730
the one who kind of proved me right on that
1155
01:01:18.840 --> 01:01:21.280
the judges gave bomb fiend the decision he did not
1156
01:01:21.539 --> 01:01:24.639
win that fight um he had to bail out for
1157
01:01:24.659 --> 01:01:27.519
the grappling diving on legs doing everything he can to
1158
01:01:27.559 --> 01:01:31.019
survive and uh didn't do any damage at all barely
1159
01:01:31.059 --> 01:01:33.460
got enough control i mean i i just don't agree
1160
01:01:33.480 --> 01:01:37.090
with that decision whatsoever Now, Charles Radke is a decent
1161
01:01:37.130 --> 01:01:42.030
step down in competition, but Charles Radke is a decent grappler.
1162
01:01:42.170 --> 01:01:44.289
And I say decent because it's not like he's nothing
1163
01:01:44.309 --> 01:01:46.969
to write home about, but he's good enough. He trains
1164
01:01:47.070 --> 01:01:51.260
with Bilal Muhammad. Bilal, back in 2021, actually fought and
1165
01:01:51.320 --> 01:01:54.800
beat Stephen Wonderboy Thompson. And that is going to be
1166
01:01:54.980 --> 01:01:59.559
extremely beneficial to have that kind of a teammate in
1167
01:01:59.599 --> 01:02:02.570
your corner, ready to go, telling you the tricks, telling
1168
01:02:02.610 --> 01:02:04.570
you what works. knowing what you need to do to
1169
01:02:04.610 --> 01:02:07.210
get the win. This is somebody who they've prepared for
1170
01:02:07.250 --> 01:02:10.269
and trained for, who's on a three-fight losing streak, who's
1171
01:02:10.309 --> 01:02:13.320
won one fight in the last five years, who is
1172
01:02:13.320 --> 01:02:15.139
43 years old, who is hanging it up. I mean,
1173
01:02:16.599 --> 01:02:19.960
I know Wonderboy can outstrike this guy. I know Wonderboy
1174
01:02:20.019 --> 01:02:23.179
still has some sting in those kicks, right? I know
1175
01:02:23.239 --> 01:02:25.400
Charles Radke has been knocked out three times over the
1176
01:02:25.440 --> 01:02:27.159
course of his career. But the guys that have knocked
1177
01:02:27.179 --> 01:02:29.909
him out in the UFC are Mike Malott and Prime
1178
01:02:29.929 --> 01:02:34.179
Carlos Protez. I don't think wonder boy falls in that
1179
01:02:34.219
--> 01:02:37.699
category still, you know? I do think that he's going
1180
01:02:37.739 --> 01:02:39.969
to grapple in this fight. And I've mentioned this on
1181
01:02:40.170 --> 01:02:43.150
every single show this week. I will apologize to you guys.
1182
01:02:43.510 --> 01:02:44.949
I try to keep it fresh on the Friday show.
1183
01:02:45.150 --> 01:02:46.929
You know that. So for those of you who watch
1184
01:02:46.969 --> 01:02:49.289
my Monday show and then tune back in on Friday,
1185
01:02:49.610 --> 01:02:51.849
I don't want you guys to just hear a rehash
1186
01:02:52.070 --> 01:02:54.610
of the same show you already heard. You know what
1187
01:02:54.630 --> 01:02:56.190
I mean? Like I try to kick it up. I
1188
01:02:56.210 --> 01:02:59.130
try to make it a little more entertaining. Obviously we're
1189
01:02:59.170 --> 01:03:00.880
playing with the chat and, you know, pulling up your
1190
01:03:00.889 --> 01:03:02.679
guys' comments and all that kind of stuff. So it's
1191
01:03:02.719 --> 01:03:04.360
got a different vibe to it, but I, I don't
1192
01:03:04.400 --> 01:03:07.019
want to give the exact same breakdown to you guys
1193
01:03:07.340 --> 01:03:10.500
multiple times throughout the week because, you know, it's boring
1194
01:03:10.539 --> 01:03:11.880
and you want to hear something new. You want to
1195
01:03:11.900 --> 01:03:15.440
hear something fun. But this thing just this bears repeating.
1196
01:03:16.820 --> 01:03:20.929
In an interview, Charles Radke sat down and they were like, hey,
1197
01:03:20.949 --> 01:03:22.929
are you going to go out there and strike with Wonderboy?
1198
01:03:23.090 --> 01:03:27.030
And his response was, if you guys don't want to
1199
01:03:27.070 --> 01:03:32.059
see grappling, go watch boxing. He's grappling, you guys. You
1200
01:03:32.099 --> 01:03:35.150
look at his Instagram, you can see him drilling takedowns.
1201
01:03:35.550 --> 01:03:38.130
He's coming into this fight knowing exactly who he's fighting,
1202
01:03:38.150 --> 01:03:40.590
knowing exactly what he's dealing with. And you look at
1203
01:03:40.630 --> 01:03:43.690
his last two fights and what did he do? He
1204
01:03:43.710 --> 01:03:46.409
went out there and fucking grappled. Daniel Frunze, he put
1205
01:03:46.449 --> 01:03:48.400
that dude on his ass and he dragged him into
1206
01:03:48.420 --> 01:03:50.340
the deep waters and then he choked him out. He
1207
01:03:50.380 --> 01:03:52.940
went out there and he wrestled against Francisco Prado. He
1208
01:03:52.960 --> 01:03:54.500
did what he had to do to get those wins.
1209
01:03:54.559 --> 01:03:57.159
He's a changed man. He's got a different approach on life.
1210
01:03:57.570 --> 01:04:00.269
And you know what? I have always said it is
1211
01:04:00.469 --> 01:04:04.469
fade the retiring fighters or pass, right? The young dog
1212
01:04:04.489 --> 01:04:07.880
will eat the old dog every opportunity at MMA. It
1213
01:04:07.889 --> 01:04:09.940
doesn't always work out. Some of these guys recently have
1214
01:04:09.960 --> 01:04:12.280
been pulling off the wins, but they've also been match
1215
01:04:12.320 --> 01:04:15.320
made very, very friendly by the UFC. I don't think
1216
01:04:15.360 --> 01:04:18.000
this is friendly matchmaking. You've got a guy who is
1217
01:04:18.039 --> 01:04:20.789
a good wrestler and a good grappler, which has been
1218
01:04:20.849 --> 01:04:25.579
the absolute kryptonite. of somebody like Steven Thompson, his entire career,
1219
01:04:25.900 --> 01:04:28.739
they're not giving him somebody who they know will go
1220
01:04:28.900 --> 01:04:31.539
brawl and just go stand in front of him the
1221
01:04:31.559 --> 01:04:33.900
way Kevin Holland did. They're giving him a guy who's
1222
01:04:34.000 --> 01:04:37.559
got a win condition, who is more than capable of wrestling.
1223
01:04:38.079 --> 01:04:40.820
And I think he's going to use it. So I
1224
01:04:40.840 --> 01:04:42.619
got to go dogger pass again. And this is starting
1225
01:04:42.639 --> 01:04:45.159
to get scary. You guys, because I legitimately have picked
1226
01:04:45.619 --> 01:04:48.119
almost every single dog on this card. Like when we
1227
01:04:48.199 --> 01:04:51.650
run down this thing, It seriously is like 50-50. I've
1228
01:04:51.730 --> 01:04:54.690
picked almost half the dogs, and I'm willing to put
1229
01:04:54.750 --> 01:04:57.090
my money on those dogs. It's one of those ones
1230
01:04:57.139 --> 01:05:00.179
where if I have six underdog bets, I better hit
1231
01:05:00.199 --> 01:05:02.760
four of them. If I hit three of them, I win, right?
1232
01:05:02.780 --> 01:05:05.280
If I go three and three with all underdog plays,
1233
01:05:05.599 --> 01:05:07.940
I'll manage a profit with that kind of a strategy.
1234
01:05:07.980 --> 01:05:10.739
But so many of these dogs are alive this week.
1235
01:05:11.119 --> 01:05:15.139
It's almost scaring me. Timothy, my man, says, Round 1 KO.
1236
01:05:16.659 --> 01:05:19.920
like Robbie retirement fight. Oh yeah. See, that would be big.
1237
01:05:19.960 --> 01:05:21.380
That would be big. I don't know if I'm betting
1238
01:05:21.400 --> 01:05:23.719
this one. That's the thing. Like I it's dog or pass.
1239
01:05:24.199 --> 01:05:25.800
I don't know if I'm betting it. I want to
1240
01:05:25.820 --> 01:05:27.909
look at the takedown props right now while we are
1241
01:05:27.949 --> 01:05:31.570
talking about this, because Charles Radke, I do fully expect
1242
01:05:31.949 --> 01:05:33.730
he's going to come out here and grapple. And I
1243
01:05:33.769 --> 01:05:35.969
don't know if the books have adjusted to the fact
1244
01:05:35.989 --> 01:05:40.889
that that's a thing he's willing to do. Um, takedowns
1245
01:05:41.090 --> 01:05:44.349
over under Charles Radke over one and a half takedowns
1246
01:05:44.389 --> 01:05:47.590
is minus one 35. I like that. I like that.
1247
01:05:48.250 --> 01:05:50.849
I mean, this could be like a takedown
ladder setup
1248
01:05:50.889 --> 01:05:52.710
if you guys like to do that kind of thing.
1249
01:05:53.630 --> 01:05:56.230
I don't think Charles Radke is going to be able
1250
01:05:56.250 --> 01:06:00.519
to TKO or submit somebody like Wonderboy. And even if
1251
01:06:00.559 --> 01:06:04.280
he loses the fight, if we only need two takedowns
1252
01:06:04.880 --> 01:06:08.280
before he loses the fight, I like that bet. Over
1253
01:06:08.400 --> 01:06:10.519
one and a half takedowns for Charles Radke at minus
1254
01:06:10.519 --> 01:06:12.840
135 actually might end up making my card now that
1255
01:06:12.860 --> 01:06:15.150
we found that. D, what is up? Says, I watched
1256
01:06:15.170 --> 01:06:17.949
your boy JJ last night. I admit, didn't hate what
1257
01:06:18.030 --> 01:06:19.750
i saw despite him throwing that pick at the end
1258
01:06:20.070 --> 01:06:23.070
my man i'm telling you jj is he's 23 years
1259
01:06:23.150 --> 01:06:27.409
old dude he's 23 years old like he is a
1260
01:06:27.630 --> 01:06:30.849
very good quarterback um or at least he's got the
1261
01:06:30.889 --> 01:06:35.050
potential to be a very good quarterback uh i think
1262
01:06:35.090 --> 01:06:38.820
that wasn't necessarily his fault i feel like some of
1263
01:06:38.840 --> 01:06:41.179
that was on the play calling with harbaugh because they
1264
01:06:41.199 --> 01:06:43.280
could have they could have chunked their way down the
1265
01:06:43.300 --> 01:06:46.869
field and gotten into field goal range rather than going
1266
01:06:46.929 --> 01:06:49.909
for like going for it all there at the end. Um,
1267
01:06:50.429 --> 01:06:52.710
and I feel like neighbors, I love Malik neighbors. I've
1268
01:06:52.730 --> 01:06:54.809
got them in my dynasty for fantasy. So I'm a
1269
01:06:54.909 --> 01:06:58.369
big fan of neighbors. I really honestly feel like he
1270
01:06:59.699 --> 01:07:01.980
didn't really do JJ any favors. He dropped that big
1271
01:07:02.019 --> 01:07:04.239
ball that would have made a huge difference in the fight.
1272
01:07:04.739 --> 01:07:07.199
And then, uh, at the end, he didn't really fight
1273
01:07:07.219 --> 01:07:10.039
for that one that got intercepted either. So tough, uh,
1274
01:07:10.630 --> 01:07:12.849
Tough look, man. Tough look. But, yeah, I think JJ
1275
01:07:12.929 --> 01:07:15.929
is starting to wake a couple people up. Next up,
1276
01:07:15.969 --> 01:07:18.949
you guys, we've got a very serious fight to talk about.
1277
01:07:19.530 --> 01:07:23.489
It is Bilal Hassan season, and, oh, my God. You guys,
1278
01:07:24.090 --> 01:07:26.860
he did something we have never seen before at these face-offs.
1279
01:07:27.360 --> 01:07:33.150
Bilal Hassan came out here, and he straight-up dick-mogged Luis Gurule.
1280
01:07:33.530 --> 01:07:37.130
This man pulls up. Gurule is ready to face off
1281
01:07:37.210 --> 01:07:41.940
and stare down, and this man drops his drawers. I mean,
1282
01:07:42.280 --> 01:07:47.239
he
put his nuts on the table quite literally. We
1283
01:07:47.300 --> 01:07:50.800
like to talk about whipping them out and measuring dicks,
1284
01:07:50.980 --> 01:07:55.650
and this man took that to heart. He said, you
1285
01:07:55.710 --> 01:08:02.670
want both of these nuts? This is a power move
1286
01:08:03.070 --> 01:08:06.630
if I've ever seen one. We're going to fight. You
1287
01:08:06.650 --> 01:08:10.510
want to throw hands? And he says, check out my Johnson.
1288
01:08:12.909 --> 01:08:17.130
I cannot believe this kid uh he is taller he
1289
01:08:17.229 --> 01:08:21.390
is longer Luis Gurule obviously a little bit thicker uh
1290
01:08:22.090 --> 01:08:24.449
let me say they this this face off got nice
1291
01:08:24.529 --> 01:08:26.529
and intense and look at Dana's face he was like
1292
01:08:26.600 --> 01:08:31.460
the fuck like Josh Hogan has infected everybody at this
1293
01:08:31.500 --> 01:08:35.729
stage you guys shit's gonna get wild now um You know,
1294
01:08:35.750 --> 01:08:38.930
I have a hard time with these young kids that
1295
01:08:39.090 --> 01:08:41.979
are on these rocket ships, right? I think Bilal Hassan
1296
01:08:42.020 --> 01:08:43.579
is winning this fight as much as you guys do.
1297
01:08:43.899 --> 01:08:46.220
But he's an 11-1 favorite. That makes it kind of
1298
01:08:46.300 --> 01:08:49.199
impossible to bet on him. And then his knockout prop
1299
01:08:49.439 --> 01:08:52.819
at flyweight, mind you, 125 pounds, where KOs are really
1300
01:08:52.890 --> 01:08:55.590
not a thing that happen as much, he is minus
1301
01:08:55.590 --> 01:08:59.869
400 to win by knockout. This is all just pure insanity.
1302
01:09:00.500 --> 01:09:03.630
to me. You guys, you have to get extremely creative
1303
01:09:04.069 --> 01:09:07.210
if you want to bet on this fight. Now, while
1304
01:09:07.270 --> 01:09:10.869
Bilal Hassan is all the hotness and he's got all
1305
01:09:10.909 --> 01:09:14.029
these KOs and stuff like that, this is a legitimate
1306
01:09:14.050 --> 01:09:16.529
step up in competition for him. Gurule, as much as
1307
01:09:16.630 --> 01:09:18.800
I don't think much of him, is a tough dude,
1308
01:09:19.020 --> 01:09:23.819
is a UFC level athlete, can grapple, can strike. Like
1309
01:09:23.859 --> 01:09:25.779
he's got all the stuff that you need to have
1310
01:09:25.800 --> 01:09:30.039
at this level, but he's not winning at the UFC level, right?
1311
01:09:30.079 --> 01:09:31.880
He goes out there and bangs it out. The fact
1312
01:09:31.899 --> 01:09:34.579
that he went to decision with a guy like Alden Correa, though,
1313
01:09:34.979 --> 01:09:38.399
shows to me he's pretty durable. You know, Ray Tetsurio
1314
01:09:38.439 --> 01:09:40.300
was able to out hustle him on the mat and
1315
01:09:40.439 --> 01:09:42.960
Bilal Hassan for everything he is, is not Ray Tetsurio.
1316
01:09:42.979 --> 01:09:46.300
My boy Ray is taking this place over by storm. Um,
1317
01:09:46.359 --> 01:09:49.199
there's different levels there. Right. And, and that dude's a grappler.
1318
01:09:49.510 --> 01:09:51.850
He got caught by Odey Osborne, but it took him
1319
01:09:51.869 --> 01:09:55.069
to round two and Odey is a big hitter. So
1320
01:09:55.430 --> 01:09:57.310
this is going to be like death by a thousand
1321
01:09:57.369 --> 01:10:01.529
cuts with Bilal Hassan speed, as opposed to the big
1322
01:10:01.680 --> 01:10:05.010
one hitter quitter punch. If, Luis Grule is able to
1323
01:10:05.050 --> 01:10:07.029
get in on some grappling. I feel like this fight
1324
01:10:07.069 --> 01:10:11.229
really could extend. I'm kind of, the only thing I
1325
01:10:11.270 --> 01:10:12.569
can think to bet in this fight, you guys, the
1326
01:10:12.630 --> 01:10:15.050
only thing I can think to bet is the over
1327
01:10:15.229 --> 01:10:18.750
one and a half. Because Luis Grule has had two
1328
01:10:18.810 --> 01:10:21.189
fights in the UFC where he's lost inside the distance.
1329
01:10:21.569 --> 01:10:23.810
The knockout came just over one and a half to
1330
01:10:23.869 --> 01:10:26.560
Odey Osborne. And the sub was on the ground and
1331
01:10:26.600 --> 01:10:29.819
not something I'm expecting Bilal Hassan to be able to replicate.
1332
01:10:30.319 --> 01:10:34.159
Bilal does have one submission win on his resume. The
1333
01:10:34.180 --> 01:10:37.060
10-1 for Bilal by sub actually sounds a little bit
1334
01:10:37.100 --> 01:10:38.939
fun if you want to think maybe, well, club and
1335
01:10:38.960 --> 01:10:41.420
sub or, you know, Luis Gurley gets rocked and shoots
1336
01:10:41.439 --> 01:10:43.460
a bad takedown, that kind of thing. I think you
1337
01:10:43.479 --> 01:10:45.470
could make that argument, but please, for the love of God,
1338
01:10:45.550 --> 01:10:48.659
don't touch this minus 400 KO prop that's just asking
1339
01:10:49.359 --> 01:10:52.390
to be a parlay buster. Don't do that. You'd have
1340
01:10:52.430 --> 01:10:54.270
to pick a total, in my opinion, to play this
1341
01:10:54.310 --> 01:10:57.210
thing if you want to do something like that. If
1342
01:10:57.229 --> 01:10:59.310
you wanted to do, like, I don't know, even a
1343
01:10:59.329 --> 01:11:01.779
same-game parlay is not really going to help you. with this,
1344
01:11:01.960 --> 01:11:05.460
these kinds of numbers. Cause it's, it's insane. Um, you
1345
01:11:05.479 --> 01:11:07.600
have to bet the sub, you have to bet the decision,
1346
01:11:07.640 --> 01:11:11.579
which sounds gross. Um, I betting the over one and
1347
01:11:11.600 --> 01:11:13.500
a half, or maybe like if we can find like
1348
01:11:13.520 --> 01:11:16.880
a fight starts round two, that's the kind of thing
1349
01:11:16.920 --> 01:11:19.180
that I would look at for this fight. If you
1350
01:11:19.239 --> 01:11:21.659
want to have action, I think this is the type
1351
01:11:21.689 --> 01:11:24.989
of fight where they have essentially priced us out of
1352
01:11:25.050 -->
01:11:30.609
having action. You do not need to bet this fight. Um,
1353
01:11:31.210 --> 01:11:33.569
Bilal Hassan to win in round two is plus 300.
1354
01:11:33.569 --> 01:11:37.210
Bilal Hassan to win round one is plus 100. So
1355
01:11:37.369 --> 01:11:39.029
if you want to say, hey, like, let's just just
1356
01:11:39.090 --> 01:11:41.470
get me out of that first round. Round two is
1357
01:11:41.529 --> 01:11:44.250
plus 300. Round three is plus 750. That would be
1358
01:11:44.289 --> 01:11:45.949
a fun way, I think, to take a look at it.
1359
01:11:46.189 --> 01:11:49.399
Fight to start round two is even money. I don't
1360
01:11:49.420 --> 01:11:53.539
mind that. Then you don't need the half round. You know,
1361
01:11:53.800 --> 01:11:55.520
he could finish this thing at the beginning of round two.
1362
01:11:55.939 --> 01:11:58.119
It is shaded ever so slightly minus 120 to the nose.
1363
01:11:59.399 --> 01:12:02.720
So they do apparently line this as though he's going
1364
01:12:02.760 --> 01:12:05.739
to win by round one KO. This is the kind
1365
01:12:05.779 --> 01:12:07.460
of thing that I'm like, man, I just, I gotta,
1366
01:12:07.720 --> 01:12:10.819
I gotta see it, you know? And I don't even
1367
01:12:10.859 --> 01:12:14.010
like Luis Gurule. This sounds like I'm making an angle
1368
01:12:14.069 --> 01:12:16.229
somehow for Gurule to hang around in this fight. And
1369
01:12:16.250 --> 01:12:19.229
I'm really not. I just, he's tough, you know? And,
1370
01:12:19.350 --> 01:12:22.750
and these young kids who have one, maybe two fights
1371
01:12:22.829 --> 01:12:25.920
under their belt, I don't believe they're going to be
1372
01:12:25.979 --> 01:12:29.869
winning in 60 seconds. That's all, you know? We'll see.
1373
01:12:30.829 --> 01:12:33.090
We'll see what happens. Rude Boy gets it. Yeah, not
1374
01:12:33.130 --> 01:12:38.270
a playable fight. Not a playable fight. Yeah, yeah. The
1375
01:12:38.289 --> 01:12:42.170
play calling, questionable. But at least people are starting to see.
1376
01:12:42.789 --> 01:12:45.630
I am a salty Minnesota Vikings fan. Thank God we
1377
01:12:45.670 --> 01:12:48.729
went out there and got Kirk Cousins. Otherwise, there would
1378
01:12:48.770 --> 01:12:50.729
be a whole bunch of us in a Minnesota bar
1379
01:12:50.750 --> 01:12:54.250
hanging from the ceilings with our belts. We needed a
1380
01:12:54.289 --> 01:12:57.979
quarterback desperately. And giving away somebody like JJ after seeing
1381
01:12:58.029 --> 01:13:01.270
what he's doing over in New York, we're all just like,
1382
01:13:01.310 --> 01:13:03.909
the fuck, dude, the fuck. And especially me. There's people
1383
01:13:03.949 --> 01:13:06.510
who are like haters of J.J. McCarthy that are like, ah, whatever,
1384
01:13:06.550 --> 01:13:08.520
we're better off without him. And I'm like, no, you
1385
01:13:08.609 --> 01:13:12.760
fucking idiots. He's a 23-year-old quarterback. Like, we could have
1386
01:13:12.779 --> 01:13:15.399
helped him develop. We could have shifted the offense so
1387
01:13:15.420 --> 01:13:18.039
that it fit his skill set. We could have managed
1388
01:13:18.079 --> 01:13:20.619
to work with him. And with Kyler and Wentz, like,
1389
01:13:20.680 --> 01:13:22.640
my God, we had a 23-year-old kid we could have
1390
01:13:22.680 --> 01:13:24.090
just thrown in there and he could have been our
1391
01:13:24.119 --> 01:13:26.949
franchise quarterback. But we traded him for a fifth round.
1392
01:13:27.010 --> 01:13:30.159
Thank God for Kirk Cousins. It's a mess, man. The
1393
01:13:30.199 --> 01:13:33.180
Vikings organization in shambles. Thank God for that defense and
1394
01:13:33.199 --> 01:13:40.239
Brian Flores. Next up, you guys, we have got Uros Medic,
1395
01:13:40.319 --> 01:13:44.810
and he takes on Kevin Holland. 171 for Medic, 170
1396
01:13:44.810 --> 01:13:48.310
for Kevin Holland. Kevin Holland, the ever so slightly larger
1397
01:13:48.350 --> 01:13:51.670
man here. They size up pretty well, actually, which is
1398
01:13:51.710 --> 01:13:54.239
kind of interesting because Holland moonlights at 185 and comes
1399
01:13:54.300 --> 01:13:57.229
down to 170 where his true weight class is. and
1400
01:13:57.239 --> 01:14:00.130
then Uros is a guy coming up from 155. Kind
1401
01:14:00.149 --> 01:14:02.109
of hard to believe he ever made 155. It's kind
1402
01:14:02.189 --> 01:14:05.829
of nuts. This is a really tough fight to call,
1403
01:14:05.869 --> 01:14:08.989
you guys, because I've never been an Uros believer. I
1404
01:14:09.010 --> 01:14:11.590
have never, ever, ever in my life been an Uros believer.
1405
01:14:11.989 --> 01:14:14.399
He is chinny, and I know he's got that left hand.
1406
01:14:14.840 --> 01:14:17.640
He is fast. He is aggressive. He's got great killer instinct,
1407
01:14:18.100 --> 01:14:20.979
but I don't think he can take a shot coming
1408
01:14:21.020 --> 01:14:23.899
back the other way. We've seen him get knocked out
1409
01:14:23.979 --> 01:14:26.819
just once, but he's been submitted twice. So that's been
1410
01:14:26.859 --> 01:14:28.619
a problem for him. And we've seen him get wobbled
1411
01:14:28.659 --> 01:14:30.399
more than once. That's the big thing for me is
1412
01:14:30.439 --> 01:14:32.859
that even though he hasn't like gone out, some of
1413
01:14:32.880 --> 01:14:35.390
these have been like barn burners where he almost did,
1414
01:14:35.430 --> 01:14:37.770
where you've seen him wobble. Um, and now that he's
1415
01:14:37.810 --> 01:14:40.329
hyper aggressive, the last four of his fights in a row,
1416
01:14:40.369 --> 01:14:42.890
all coming by round one KO, some of these in
1417
01:14:42.890 --> 01:14:46.310
30 seconds, like I think he's a guy that's going
1418
01:14:46.329 --> 01:14:49.510
to be over aggressive again. Like he's gotten a taste
1419
01:14:49.909 --> 01:14:53.250
for winning these quick fights. You know, Kevin Holland, uh,
1420
01:14:53.310 --> 01:14:55.810
for
all of his flaws has been really durable, man.
1421
01:14:56.170 --> 01:14:58.630
I looked back at his resume, and I know– so
1422
01:14:58.670 --> 01:15:00.920
my biggest thing, I lost that D-Rod fight, right? We
1423
01:15:00.960 --> 01:15:03.319
lost the anchor, and that was my own fault. We
1424
01:15:03.359 --> 01:15:05.260
talked about it. You should never lay chalk on Kevin Holland.
1425
01:15:05.279 --> 01:15:07.319
You should never parlay Kevin Holland. I was an idiot
1426
01:15:07.340 --> 01:15:10.829
that night. But he should always beat D-Rod. That's kind
1427
01:15:10.869 --> 01:15:12.970
of the thing. That's the thing that's most frustrating about
1428
01:15:13.010 --> 01:15:15.689
Kevin Holland is that he should always, 10 out of
1429
01:15:15.689 --> 01:15:19.300
10– beat this version of Daniel Rodriguez. And he just
1430
01:15:19.319 --> 01:15:21.300
didn't show up that night or he took his opponent
1431
01:15:21.340 --> 01:15:23.779
lightly or whatever. He got clipped and he got hurt
1432
01:15:23.819 --> 01:15:25.970
in that fight, but he didn't go out. He didn't
1433
01:15:26.010 --> 01:15:28.670
go away. You look at the knockouts. It's the rib
1434
01:15:28.729 --> 01:15:32.770
injury against Roman. The leads a, a 185 pound monster
1435
01:15:33.029 --> 01:15:37.489
who used to fight at 205 pounds and a grappler,
1436
01:15:37.529 --> 01:15:41.229
something that Kevin Holland, we know historically can not handle
1437
01:15:41.609 --> 01:15:44.250
pops his rib out. That's the TKO loss. Then the
1438
01:15:44.310 --> 01:15:49.319
other one, Steven Thompson, the fight where Kevin refused to
1439
01:15:49.340 --> 01:15:55.090
grapple the BJJ black belt refused to wrestle the striker
1440
01:15:55.149 --> 01:15:57.750
who is 10 times levels higher than him. And he
1441
01:15:57.789 --> 01:16:01.510
got his ass whooped. Now in that fight, not only
1442
01:16:01.569 --> 01:16:05.510
did he actually not get TKO, but his corner through
1443
01:16:05.529 --> 01:16:09.109
the towel. And he broke his arm in that fight
1444
01:16:10.050 --> 01:16:12.829
and he fought through it. His corner had to save him,
1445
01:16:13.149 --> 01:16:17.970
but he was not unconscious. We have never, ever, not once,
1446
01:16:18.729 --> 01:16:21.550
seen Kevin Holland staring up at the ceiling, you guys.
1447
01:16:22.449 --> 01:16:26.930
Not a single time. This dude is stupid durable. Has
1448
01:16:26.970 --> 01:16:30.810
he been hurt before? Yes. Has he been wobbled before? Yes.
1449
01:16:31.229 --> 01:16:34.390
He has never been knocked out clean cold. And we've
1450
01:16:34.430 --> 01:16:36.789
seen him submitted. Guys can get him on the ground
1451
01:16:36.810 --> 01:16:39.609
and they can take full advantage of him grappling. But
1452
01:16:39.630 --> 01:16:41.930
that's not something Eros Medic is going to do. Now,
1453
01:16:42.390 --> 01:16:44.430
the final piece of the puzzle here for me, you guys,
1454
01:16:44.729 --> 01:16:49.920
is that
I think Kevin won the mental battle in
1455
01:16:49.939 --> 01:16:53.920
a big way against arrows because when they were doing
1456
01:16:53.960 --> 01:16:57.949
the presser arrows tried to kind of get involved a
1457
01:16:57.970 --> 01:16:59.930
little bit, you know, hope it was running the show.
1458
01:17:00.470 --> 01:17:03.149
And then the ladies were like doing their back and
1459
01:17:03.189 --> 01:17:05.229
forth war about being the goat and all that shit.
1460
01:17:06.029 --> 01:17:07.949
And it was all fine and dandy. Right. But arrows
1461
01:17:08.140 --> 01:17:11.359
tried to chime in and get going. And Kevin verbally
1462
01:17:11.479 --> 01:17:14.510
bitch slapped him. I mean, it was, It was sad
1463
01:17:14.590 --> 01:17:17.270
because it was like, oh man, you were not ready.
1464
01:17:17.350 --> 01:17:18.850
You thought you were going to open your mouth and
1465
01:17:18.869 --> 01:17:20.489
say something and it was going to go great and
1466
01:17:20.529 --> 01:17:22.810
it didn't. And then you didn't have a plan B
1467
01:17:22.850 --> 01:17:25.489
for when Kevin started talking. Mind you, this is big
1468
01:17:25.529 --> 01:17:28.739
mouth we're talking about. Well, Kevin called him on it.
1469
01:17:28.789 --> 01:17:30.789
He was like, oh, so like now you're just done?
1470
01:17:30.869 --> 01:17:32.569
Like you're not going to talk now? You wanted to talk.
1471
01:17:32.609 --> 01:17:34.220
You were a big man. You wanted to talk. You
1472
01:17:34.239 --> 01:17:36.060
wanted to say something. You're not talking now. And he
1473
01:17:36.079 --> 01:17:38.000
was like, you do what I tell you to do.
1474
01:17:38.260 --> 01:17:41.100
And then at this exact face off, a day later,
1475
01:17:42.079 --> 01:17:46.970
Kevin's like telling him, how to Kevin's like, you go,
1476
01:17:47.069 --> 01:17:50.029
you go over there. And he's like nodding and just
1477
01:17:50.069 --> 01:17:51.930
like does what he's told. It's like, fuck dude. I've
1478
01:17:52.050 --> 01:17:56.430
never seen a bigger cooking on a MMA card in
1479
01:17:56.449 --> 01:17:59.729
my entire life. It's insane that Earl's just kind of
1480
01:17:59.770 --> 01:18:02.380
stepped in line. Kevin is like, you want to be
1481
01:18:02.439 --> 01:18:05.699
me when you grow up? And it's like, fuck, apparently
1482
01:18:05.760 --> 01:18:09.279
he does. He's doing whatever daddy tells him. I haven't
1483
01:18:09.319 --> 01:18:12.649
seen anything like it. So I actually, and I'm not
1484
01:18:12.750 --> 01:18:15.369
joking here, you guys. I think there is a legitimate
1485
01:18:15.489 --> 01:18:19.449
big mental advantage right now for Kevin Holland in this fight.
1486
01:18:19.750 --> 01:18:22.970
And honestly, when Uros throws that big left hand at
1487
01:18:23.010 --> 01:18:26.170
him and Kevin smiles and laughs at him, I think
1488
01:18:26.189 --> 01:18:29.170
it's going to break him. I think the first time
1489
01:18:29.930 --> 01:18:32.810
Kevin looks at this dude and goes, yeah, is that
1490
01:18:32.970 --> 01:18:36.000
all you've got? I don't think Uros is going to
1491
01:18:36.060 --> 01:18:39.579
handle that very well. Um, I think Kevin Holland wins
1492
01:18:39.600 --> 01:18:41.529
this fight. You guys, I don't think our host is
1493
01:18:41.569 --> 01:18:43.350
going to become the first person to ever knock out
1494
01:18:43.369 --> 01:18:46.050
Kevin Holland. I just don't, I just don't believe that.
1495
01:18:46.510 --> 01:18:49.060
So I didn't think he was going to be the
1496
01:18:49.100 --> 01:18:52.100
first person. to make Jeff Neal look like that either though.
1497
01:18:52.140 --> 01:18:55.899
That's the thing. Gilbert Urbina sucks. Muslim Salikov, old as shit.
1498
01:18:55.979 --> 01:18:59.289
Daniel Rodriguez, old as shit. Jeff Neal is the one
1499
01:18:59.310 --> 01:19:00.810
where I'm like, Oh fuck. That was the one that
1500
01:19:00.829 --> 01:19:03.270
kind of turned my head. Right. Um, Jeff Neal seems
1501
01:19:03.310 --> 01:19:04.810
to be on kind of the decline a little bit,
1502
01:19:05.130 --> 01:19:06.729
but like you go back to like the Puna Haley
1503
01:19:06.750 --> 01:19:11.560
Soriano fight, Puna rocked this dude's shit. I don't understand
1504
01:19:11.659 --> 01:19:13.739
why Kevin Holland can't do that. Holland's got a reach
1505
01:19:13.779 --> 01:19:17.399
advantage on him. He's got that ridiculous wingspan. He is fast.
1506
01:19:17.479 --> 01:19:19.149
He's probably one of the few people that can match
1507
01:19:19.189 --> 01:19:22.109
the speed here for someone like Eros Medich. And then
1508
01:19:22.170 --> 01:19:25.649
simply based on the durability, if Eros hits him and
1509
01:19:25.689 --> 01:19:27.930
they end up in a clinch or in a scramble,
1510
01:19:28.289 --> 01:19:30.979
Holland's going to choke his ass out. If Holland is
1511
01:19:31.079 --> 01:19:34.579
able to roll and counter with one big shot, Eros
1512
01:19:34.640 --> 01:19:37.399
is going to be in trouble. So I can't do
1513
01:19:37.460 --> 01:19:40.850
this minus 150 on Eros. Here's the thing. I never
1514
01:19:41.029 --> 01:19:43.050
am a chalk on a roast guy. And I say
1515
01:19:43.069 --> 01:19:47.109
the same thing about Kevin Holland. I'm never laying chalk again.
1516
01:19:47.140 --> 01:19:48.640
I already did it once. It didn't work out well.
1517
01:19:48.949 --> 01:19:51.279
I'm never laying chalk on Kevin Holland. I only want
1518
01:19:51.300 --> 01:19:54.359
plus money on Kevin Holland. Well, there you go. We
1519
01:19:54.399 --> 01:19:56.920
got plus money on Kevin Holland. Also, it's my boy's
1520
01:19:56.939 --> 01:19:58.380
dog of the week. If you didn't, if you guys
1521
01:19:58.399 --> 01:20:00.760
weren't live for the show earlier, it's a, it's our
1522
01:20:00.779 --> 01:20:03.060
boy's dog of the week here as well. So, um,
1523
01:20:03.260 --> 01:20:06.659
you know, a little extra incentive there. for Blanco, the
1524
01:20:06.680 -->
01:20:09.859
Blanco Memorial dog of the week. Um, so I, I
1525
01:20:09.939 --> 01:20:11.739
actually think this is another dog or pass fight guys.
1526
01:20:11.840 --> 01:20:14.399
I think it's another violent fight. Um, the under one
1527
01:20:14.430 --> 01:20:16.670
and a half minus one 55. I think it sets
1528
01:20:16.750 --> 01:20:20.529
up very well for violence because, uh, Uros is on
1529
01:20:20.569 --> 01:20:23.810
this round one KO streak of his Holland is the
1530
01:20:23.829 --> 01:20:26.569
type of guy who can extend fights. But again, I
1531
01:20:26.729 --> 01:20:29.149
don't think that Uros is going to fight well against
1532
01:20:29.210 --> 01:20:31.689
a guy like Kevin in an extended fight. So I
1533
01:20:31.729 --> 01:20:34.350
think if it does extend, that's even more for the
1534
01:20:34.449 --> 01:20:38.300
Holland side of things. Shout out my man Timothy with
1535
01:20:38.319 --> 01:20:42.520
the $ 1. 99 donut. Says Holland by sub. Yeah, I don't
1536
01:20:42.539 --> 01:20:45.579
mind that. That was plus $ 4. 50. Let's see if this
1537
01:20:45.619 --> 01:20:48.399
bad boy has moved on us at all or not.
1538
01:20:49.640 --> 01:20:53.090
It was plus $ 4. 50. It is still plus $ 4. 50. Yeah,
1539
01:20:53.130 --> 01:20:56.319
I think the club and sub... Angle is always there
1540
01:20:56.380 --> 01:20:59.720
with Kevin Holland. But I'm actually thinking KO. This is
1541
01:20:59.760 --> 01:21:02.560
another one where I think I'll fade the submission because
1542
01:21:02.640 --> 01:21:04.640
Kevin's been kind of having this up or down thing.
1543
01:21:05.140 --> 01:21:07.140
And I know you take a win however you can
1544
01:21:07.159 --> 01:21:10.159
get it right. But Kevin seems to want that KO.
1545
01:21:10.439 --> 01:21:12.859
He doesn't want to grapple. He doesn't want to mess
1546
01:21:12.920 --> 01:21:14.779
with the ground. So if he has a chance to
1547
01:21:14.819 --> 01:21:16.979
knock this dude out, I think he's going to. And
1548
01:21:17.460 --> 01:21:19.020
I think that Uros is the kind of guy that
1549
01:21:19.039 --> 01:21:21.760
you can knockout. And I also don't think Oros is
1550
01:21:21.800 --> 01:21:23.960
the kind of guy that's shooting for a takedown. So
1551
01:21:24.000 --> 01:21:26.060
if he ends up getting wobbled by Kevin, I don't
1552
01:21:26.079 --> 01:21:28.310
think he's diving on legs. I think he's falling backwards.
1553
01:21:28.550 --> 01:21:30.369
You know what I mean? So I do think that
1554
01:21:30.409 --> 01:21:32.649
Kevin will follow up with big shots or something like that.
1555
01:21:32.989 --> 01:21:36.710
And Tim clarifies Holland by Darce calling my shot. I
1556
01:21:36.750 --> 01:21:38.250
hope you're getting a good number on that one, man.
1557
01:21:38.930 --> 01:21:41.229
I know the books have gotten sharp to these guys
1558
01:21:41.270 --> 01:21:44.359
and their favored types of subs. So I don't think
1559
01:21:45.270 --> 01:21:47.260
you're going to get
like a sexy price tag on that,
1560
01:21:47.270 --> 01:21:49.100
but you should still be getting like 16 to one
1561
01:21:49.140 --> 01:21:52.619
or something. Calling an exact sub like that is always
1562
01:21:52.739 --> 01:21:56.779
just glorious. I used to love, I would spam those things, man.
1563
01:21:57.020 --> 01:21:58.829
We haven't seen as many subs in the UFC anymore.
1564
01:21:58.869 --> 01:22:00.649
So I kind of backed off them. And then it's
1565
01:22:00.689 --> 01:22:02.829
also pretty tough because most of these things at the
1566
01:22:02.909 --> 01:22:04.810
UFC level are just going to be rare naked chokes.
1567
01:22:04.829 --> 01:22:07.149
You don't get a lot of, variety with these subs
1568
01:22:07.189 --> 01:22:11.489
anymore these days, unfortunately. AB, my man, says, love, appreciate
1569
01:22:11.529 --> 01:22:14.850
you supporting Blanco. That's what is up. Yeah, man, shout out.
1570
01:22:14.880 --> 01:22:17.819
Appreciate you. Much love to you and Blanco. Good luck
1571
01:22:17.859 --> 01:22:20.539
on your dog of the week this week. Moyes says,
1572
01:22:20.680 --> 01:22:24.300
Uros throws a kick and gets his knee popped. Holland
1573
01:22:24.479 --> 01:22:29.149
flew Quinn. Moyes We're bookmarking that. We're bookmarking that. We
1574
01:22:29.189 --> 01:22:34.489
are remembering this moment because I swear if this legitimately
1575
01:22:34.569 --> 01:22:37.189
is like a fluke and Holland gets a win because
1576
01:22:38.109 --> 01:22:42.779
Ross pops his knee, where do we bet that? Where
1577
01:22:42.840 --> 01:22:44.920
do we bet that? I don't think we can bet
1578
01:22:45.579 --> 01:22:48.579
your knee popping out. They need a fluke win prop
1579
01:22:48.619 --> 01:22:52.149
bet somewhere. Next up, you guys, Kyle Brallow taking on
1580
01:22:52.210 --> 01:22:56.930
Yusri Belkarui. And Yusri is a big, big dude. You
1581
01:22:56.970 --> 01:22:59.270
guys look at this size up. I mean, Dana had
1582
01:22:59.289 --> 01:23:01.350
to get between him because he was he was putting
1583
01:23:01.369 --> 01:23:05.279
the gun to the forehead of Kyle here in this spot.
1584
01:23:05.420 --> 01:23:07.920
And I mean, this is an intense fight. You guys,
1585
01:23:07.939 --> 01:23:11.460
this is a really intense fight. So. Glover Teixeira is
1586
01:23:11.539 --> 01:23:14.399
training these kickboxers in the way of martial arts and
1587
01:23:14.420 --> 01:23:17.819
they can grapple now and they can, um, wrestle now.
1588
01:23:17.960 --> 01:23:20.520
And Yusri Belgorui is doing the same thing that Alex
1589
01:23:20.560 --> 01:23:22.920
Pereira did making his transition over here to MMA. And
1590
01:23:22.960 --> 01:23:27.640
so far it's going pretty well. Um, Kyle is just, man,
1591
01:23:27.800 --> 01:23:30.520
he is, he is the whitest Brazilian I've ever met.
1592
01:23:30.560 --> 01:23:34.229
Just getting absolutely plastered and spray painted with all these
1593
01:23:34.270 --> 01:23:36.529
Japanese symbols
on them. You know, one of those is,
1594
01:23:36.970 --> 01:23:38.569
One of those has got to be something weird like
1595
01:23:38.630 --> 01:23:40.850
Duckwater or Small Dick or something like that. I don't know.
1596
01:23:42.590 --> 01:23:45.609
But he's got them all over the place now. Yusri
1597
01:23:45.649 --> 01:23:47.800
being bigger and longer, I think, is a big deal
1598
01:23:47.840 --> 01:23:50.590
in this fight. And Kaio, I've already said it. I'm like, hey,
1599
01:23:50.600 --> 01:23:52.739
Kaio's not that great of a wrestler, right? He's got good,
1600
01:23:52.840 --> 01:23:55.199
strong top control. He's a decent jiu-jitsu player, but he's
1601
01:23:55.220 --> 01:23:59.250
not a good wrestler. He's not even planning on grappling,
1602
01:23:59.289 --> 01:24:01.760
it doesn't sound like. Man, on the mic, he's like,
1603
01:24:02.420 --> 01:24:04.500
why do you think I'm grappling? He's like, I'm going
1604
01:24:04.520 --> 01:24:06.699
to wrestle. I'm going to strike this guy. I'm going
1605
01:24:06.720 --> 01:24:08.539
to come out here and outstrike this guy. I'm like, bitch,
1606
01:24:08.619 --> 01:24:12.939
you see how big he is? World-class striker with big power.
1607
01:24:13.000 --> 01:24:18.550
You're going to volunteer to strike this guy? I just think, man,
1608
01:24:19.210 --> 01:24:22.350
so many people I know are betting on the Kaio
1609
01:24:22.390 --> 01:24:24.840
side of things here, and I just don't get it.
1610
01:24:24.850 --> 01:24:27.819
I don't get it. Like, he was running for his
1611
01:24:28.050 --> 01:24:31.329
life against Jared Cannoneer. I thought Jared won that fight.
1612
01:24:31.770 --> 01:24:36.270
You know, damage is the number one criteria in MMA betting,
1613
01:24:36.390 --> 01:24:39.310
or at least it's supposed to be. And Kyle's face
1614
01:24:39.409 --> 01:24:43.460
was all busted up. He was swollen. He was cut.
1615
01:24:43.520 --> 01:24:45.880
He was bleeding. Jared didn't have a scratch on him.
1616
01:24:46.439 --> 01:24:48.579
He was running for his life at the end of
1617
01:24:49.239 --> 01:24:52.840
that fight. Now, granted, that was a five-round main event.
1618
01:24:53.260 --> 01:24:55.239
We know Jared Cannoneer is built for the deep rounds.
1619
01:24:55.340 --> 01:24:57.579
This is a three-round fight. But, like, we have just
1620
01:24:57.619 --> 01:25:00.479
seen that Kaio does not take damage well. We've seen
1621
01:25:00.960 --> 01:25:04.779
his face swells up. We've seen he gets hurt. Yusri's
1622
01:25:04.819 --> 01:25:07.979
hurting people. Now, this is a massive step up in
1623
01:25:08.000 --> 01:25:12.819
competition for Yusri Belgarui. However, I will say, for this
1624
01:25:12.859 --> 01:25:17.250
man being, you know, second career, right, lifelong kickboxer turned
1625
01:25:17.270 --> 01:25:22.020
MMA fighter, is this really a step up? because this
1626
01:25:22.079 --> 01:25:25.479
guy has fought the likes of Alex Pereira and Israel
1627
01:25:25.579
--> 01:25:31.000
Adesanya that like, he's absolutely fought higher levels than this kickboxing.
1628
01:25:31.399 --> 01:25:34.149
So yes, it's a step up in MMA. It's not
1629
01:25:34.189 --> 01:25:36.869
a step up in this guy. Experience wise, he's fought
1630
01:25:36.890 --> 01:25:39.869
better people than Kyle standing. And Kyle is a decision machine.
1631
01:25:40.369 --> 01:25:43.029
You know, um, you streets going out and knocking everybody out.
1632
01:25:43.050 --> 01:25:45.149
He's on a three fight win streak off contender series,
1633
01:25:45.329 --> 01:25:48.949
all three by KO. Yes. That go of is a
1634
01:25:48.970 --> 01:25:51.850
bit of a gasser. We found that outright man, sir. Yes.
1635
01:25:52.229 --> 01:25:54.850
Turns out maybe he's a little bit of a fraud Santos.
1636
01:25:55.109 --> 01:25:58.100
He's nothing to write home about. This is a massive
1637
01:25:58.140 --> 01:26:02.039
step up in competition in the world of MMA. But
1638
01:26:02.079 --> 01:26:04.479
if this is going to be a striking fight, if
1639
01:26:04.520 --> 01:26:07.279
this is going to be a 15 minute kickboxing match,
1640
01:26:07.359 --> 01:26:10.300
because Kyle is not coming out here with this singlet on,
1641
01:26:11.260 --> 01:26:13.979
I'm taking the kickboxer. I just, I don't, I don't
1642
01:26:14.119 --> 01:26:17.039
get it. I don't get this line, you know? Um,
1643
01:26:18.550 --> 01:26:21.310
I know Abus has been looking good recently, but like
1644
01:26:21.489 --> 01:26:24.670
Abus and Nasruddin, those are the good wins that Kaio has.
1645
01:26:25.010 --> 01:26:26.890
I guess you could count the Reiner to Ritter one
1646
01:26:27.829 --> 01:26:30.869
as a good win, but Reiner basically wasn't able to
1647
01:26:30.890 --> 01:26:33.350
track him down. And then, of course, in a kickboxing fight,
1648
01:26:33.369 --> 01:26:36.069
Kaio is going to outstrike you. Reiner is not that
1649
01:26:36.109 --> 01:26:38.050
good of a striker, so that one is kind of
1650
01:26:38.109 --> 01:26:42.739
just it is what it is. I don't love Kaio's wins, right?
1651
01:26:43.000 --> 01:26:45.100
I don't love him running for his life to squeeze
1652
01:26:45.159 --> 01:26:49.310
out a victory over Jared Cannoneer. I just don't believe
1653
01:26:49.590 --> 01:26:51.489
I don't believe I don't know. This is one where
1654
01:26:51.510 --> 01:26:53.409
I feel like I'm missing something, guys. I will be
1655
01:26:53.470 --> 01:26:57.489
completely honest with you. I feel like I'm missing something
1656
01:26:57.850 --> 01:27:00.890
because Kyle being this big a favorite doesn't make any sense.
1657
01:27:01.350 --> 01:27:06.020
And all the sharps piling in on Kyle doesn't make
1658
01:27:06.520 --> 01:27:09.199
any sense. I think if this is a kickboxing fight,
1659
01:27:09.220 --> 01:27:12.060
you three is a better kickboxer and he hits harder.
1660
01:27:13.550 --> 01:27:17.109
So I dogger pass dogger pass. I have not bet
1661
01:27:17.149 --> 01:27:21.149
you three bugger yet. I haven't yet. I'm very tempted to,
1662
01:27:21.689 --> 01:27:23.840
I might get there. I'm a, and like I said, this,
1663
01:27:23.979 --> 01:27:27.060
this week, you guys, it might be a full dog
1664
01:27:27.100 --> 01:27:29.180
week for me where I'm like, Hey, we're just going
1665
01:27:29.199 --> 01:27:32.939
to bet all of the dogs and hope we get
1666
01:27:33.060 --> 01:27:37.319
more of them than not. Right. Understanding. This is the
1667
01:27:37.359 --> 01:27:39.340
kind of card where like, you have to go in understanding.
1668
01:27:39.619 --> 01:27:42.430
You're not going to sweep. right? You, we always want
1669
01:27:42.449 --> 01:27:45.449
to sweep. We always want to hit all of our bets, right?
1670
01:27:45.489 --> 01:27:47.890
That's the plan. But this could be a week where
1671
01:27:47.909 --> 01:27:50.329
it's like, you know what? If we bet six underdogs
1672
01:27:50.369 --> 01:27:52.409
and we go three and three, that's profit. And we're
1673
01:27:52.449 --> 01:27:55.630
okay with that. That might be the move this week
1674
01:27:55.689 --> 01:27:58.590
because these little plus one 30 plus one 25 plus
1675
01:27:58.670 --> 01:28:02.109
one 40 dogs. Like I just can't get to the favorites.
1676
01:28:02.729 --> 01:28:05.289
I can't, you know, usually you're like, Hey, this favorite
1677
01:28:05.310 --> 01:28:07.010
is like minus one 40 and they should be like
1678
01:28:07.069 --> 01:28:09.710
minus two 50. I don't feel that way this week.
1679
01:28:10.250 --> 01:28:12.989
at all. I'm like, this favorite is minus 160, and
1680
01:28:13.140 --> 01:28:15.600
I feel like this should be a coin flip, or
1681
01:28:15.640 --> 01:28:20.319
maybe they even shouldn't be favored. So, yeah, it's a
1682
01:28:20.399 --> 01:28:24.079
heebie-jeebies type of week for me, because I'm teetering on
1683
01:28:24.140 --> 01:28:25.439
the verge of doing something stupid.
1684
01:28:27.939 --> 01:28:28.319
Oh, man.
1685
01:28:28.739 --> 01:28:31.569
Hey, what is up, Hendrix? Thank you very much. Just
1686
01:28:31.590 --> 01:28:35.210
started watching the stream three weeks ago. Very helpful. Thanks. Hey,
1687
01:28:35.250 --> 01:28:38.510
appreciate you, man. I will tell you, I've been hot recently.
1688
01:28:38.609 --> 01:28:40.619
I'm on a heater. I'm on a heater. the first
1689
01:28:40.760 --> 01:28:44.119
half of this year. I basically just dug a hole
1690
01:28:44.180 --> 01:28:47.229
and buried myself. And for the last four months or so,
1691
01:28:47.289 --> 01:28:49.850
I've been digging my way out of it. So I'm
1692
01:28:49.899 --> 01:28:54.779
not a professional. Swings are very normal here. I swing
1693
01:28:54.819 --> 01:28:57.680
from the rafters. I get crazy ideas, and I'm willing
1694
01:28:57.720 --> 01:29:00.899
to bet them. So don't take my word as law.
1695
01:29:00.979 --> 01:29:03.460
I'm glad I'm able to help you out. That is
1696
01:29:03.500 --> 01:29:06.239
the goal. I try to
both entertain and then also
1697
01:29:06.319 --> 01:29:08.920
present the information, make sure you've got all the info
1698
01:29:08.939 --> 01:29:11.060
that you need to know. I will tell you what
1699
01:29:11.159 --> 01:29:13.609
I'm betting. I'm not trying to convince you to do anything,
1700
01:29:13.930 --> 01:29:16.750
but I'm glad to hear– that I've been helpful for
1701
01:29:16.770 --> 01:29:18.489
the last couple of times since you've watched the show.
1702
01:29:18.529 --> 01:29:20.390
I just want to make sure there's not an expectation
1703
01:29:20.409 --> 01:29:22.979
of like, this guy's always right. Cause that's definitely not
1704
01:29:23.020 --> 01:29:27.380
the case. All right, guys, co main event of the
1705
01:29:27.560 --> 01:29:31.220
evening goat status on the line, Kayla Harrison, taking on
1706
01:29:31.699 --> 01:29:36.770
Amanda Nunez Kayla with one of the scariest weight cuts
1707
01:29:37.149 --> 01:29:40.449
of all time. We don't see anybody struggle the way
1708
01:29:40.489 --> 01:29:44.189
she does on the scale, but as per usual, They
1709
01:29:44.210 --> 01:29:48.829
juiced her up backstage. She's fine. She rehydrates. She survived.
1710
01:29:49.189 --> 01:29:51.720
I will say this is probably the best weight cut
1711
01:29:51.800 --> 01:29:54.560
I think I've ever seen her have. She did look okay,
1712
01:29:54.859 --> 01:29:57.640
at least as far as she's concerned on the scales today.
1713
01:29:58.180 --> 01:30:01.979
She is slightly the larger woman here, a little bit bigger, obviously,
1714
01:30:02.000 --> 01:30:04.189
a little more physical, lots more muscle on the frame.
1715
01:30:04.550 --> 01:30:07.109
But the big story here, you guys, is this line move.
1716
01:30:07.529 --> 01:30:12.060
It's crashing. Nunez was like plus 190, plus 200 a
1717
01:30:12.659 --> 01:30:15.909
couple of weeks ago. And now she's plus 140. Like
1718
01:30:16.050 --> 01:30:20.029
it's just a flood on the Nunez side of things.
1719
01:30:21.050 --> 01:30:23.449
Kayla Harrison coming off that neck surgery. This fight was
1720
01:30:23.489 --> 01:30:28.550
originally scheduled for January. And then that didn't happen. And
1721
01:30:29.029 --> 01:30:32.489
I feel like that favors Nunez, right? Nunez coming out
1722
01:30:32.529 --> 01:30:36.250
of retirement, doing essentially almost a full camp to get
1723
01:30:36.270 --> 01:30:38.840
ready for this fight. and then having to hit the
1724
01:30:38.880 --> 01:30:41.000
reset button. And now you've got a whole year to
1725
01:30:41.039 --> 01:30:44.550
train and prep for this fighter. Um, the other thing is, again,
1726
01:30:44.659 --> 01:30:47.510
I'm going to go with like the, uh, the interviews angle,
1727
01:30:47.909 --> 01:30:49.689
you know, when these two are talking about this fight,
1728
01:30:49.789 --> 01:30:52.510
Kayla Harrison is all, Oh, I hope I can. Oh,
1729
01:30:53.010 --> 01:30:55.710
I think I'm going to be champion. Oh, I pray that,
1730
01:30:55.770 --> 01:30:57.489
you know, God will smile on me in the cage
1731
01:30:57.529 --> 01:30:59.149
and like, not that there's anything wrong with that, but like,
1732
01:30:59.510 --> 01:31:02.850
Everything is wishing and hoping. And when they ask Nunez, Hey,
1733
01:31:02.989 --> 01:31:05.010
who do you, you know, what's going to happen? She's like, guys,
1734
01:31:05.029 --> 01:31:07.050
I'm winning. You know, you know, you know, I'm winning.
1735
01:31:07.270 --> 01:31:11.449
Like she, the, the sheer confidence of Nunez, uh, these
1736
01:31:11.489 --> 01:31:14.050
two have trained before they were both at ATT for
1737
01:31:14.090 --> 01:31:16.569
a time. And I, again, I'm repeating myself here. I
1738
01:31:16.609 --> 01:31:18.909
talked about this on the sharp action report, but you guys,
1739
01:31:18.949 --> 01:31:21.689
I always say with the training partners, one partner thinks
1740
01:31:21.750 --> 01:31:24.819
the other partner knows. And I feel like that really
1741
01:31:24.880 --> 01:31:27.100
tells the story with the way these two are responding
1742
01:31:27.119 --> 01:31:31.489
to the questions, right? because Kayla thinks she can beat
1743
01:31:31.590 --> 01:31:34.680
Amanda Nunez, and Amanda's like, no, I'm winning this fight.
1744
01:31:34.810 --> 01:31:40.000
So she knows she's beating Kayla Harrison on Saturday. Another underdog,
1745
01:31:40.420 --> 01:31:43.000
I bet her already. I got two units on Amanda Nunez.
1746
01:31:43.319 --> 01:31:45.399
I got plus 150. I wish I had gotten the
1747
01:31:45.420 --> 01:31:48.279
plus 185 or so, but I did click at the
1748
01:31:48.319 --> 01:31:51.500
plus 150 mark. I just think the neck injury, the
1749
01:31:51.560 --> 01:31:54.409
weight cut, the fact that it's all over after this,
1750
01:31:54.470 --> 01:31:56.619
she never has to make this weight ever again. And
1751
01:31:56.659 --> 01:31:59.319
we've seen Kayla Harrison in a couple of extended fights before,
1752
01:31:59.340 --> 01:32:01.760
and it does not get pretty. So if she doesn't
1753
01:32:02.539 --> 01:32:05.380
choke Amanda out in the first round of this fight,
1754
01:32:05.699 --> 01:32:08.149
I think Amanda starts to punch her way back into it.
1755
01:32:08.479 --> 01:32:11.239
And frankly, I don't know how Harrison is going to
1756
01:32:11.279 --> 01:32:15.079
handle big bomb-style punches coming back at her. If Amanda
1757
01:32:15.100 --> 01:32:18.239
Nunez is anything at all like the Amanda we knew
1758
01:32:18.279 --> 01:32:20.899
when she was retired, she'll pick up as this fight
1759
01:32:20.939 --> 01:32:24.590
goes deep. And she'll start landing on Kayla Harrison. And
1760
01:32:24.609 --> 01:32:27.069
I just, I don't think Kayla Harrison can survive in
1761
01:32:27.090 --> 01:32:29.449
a fight where she's not able to get the grappling going.
1762
01:32:29.529 --> 01:32:33.140
So I fully expect takedowns probably early in this fight.
1763
01:32:33.449 --> 01:32:36.399
But the reason
I bet the money line on Amanda
1764
01:32:36.420 --> 01:32:40.819
Nunez is that Chris Cyborg fight. You can't even count
1765
01:32:41.000 --> 01:32:43.500
out the fact that Nunez might just spark her with
1766
01:32:43.520 --> 01:32:47.720
the first punch. It could just be over in five seconds.
1767
01:32:48.220 --> 01:32:50.729
Nunez could just rip her face off with one big
1768
01:32:50.779 --> 01:32:52.470
right hand. And that could be the end of it.
1769
01:32:52.470 --> 01:32:55.109
Because again, that neck injury, even if she was able
1770
01:32:55.149 --> 01:32:57.390
to maybe take those kinds of shots before, if she's
1771
01:32:57.430 --> 01:32:59.899
not fully healthy, if she's not all the way recovered
1772
01:32:59.939 --> 01:33:01.760
and she gets hit with a bad shot right off
1773
01:33:01.779 --> 01:33:04.939
the bat and she feels that shock, that zip go
1774
01:33:04.960 --> 01:33:08.819
down her spine because she is not completely recovered or
1775
01:33:08.859 --> 01:33:11.260
may never be the same after whatever this injury was,
1776
01:33:12.279 --> 01:33:13.989
you can't count that out. This is a fist fight, guys.
1777
01:33:14.189 --> 01:33:16.329
You know what I mean? So I like Nunez, whether
1778
01:33:16.369 --> 01:33:20.050
it's early, whether it's late, I think Amanda is and
1779
01:33:20.090 --> 01:33:23.560
always has been the WMMA goat. And I think she's
1780
01:33:23.600 --> 01:33:25.220
coming correct for that. You know, this is a fight
1781
01:33:25.239 --> 01:33:27.270
that people are saying she's taking a paycheck here, you know,
1782
01:33:27.770 --> 01:33:30.289
but we haven't seen her this happy in a long time.
1783
01:33:30.390 --> 01:33:34.710
She's smiling in every single interview. She's smiling on the scale.
1784
01:33:34.770 --> 01:33:39.289
Like it really looks like she's enjoying the moment as
1785
01:33:39.329 --> 01:33:44.109
a whole and she's confident. She's comfortable. These are all
1786
01:33:44.170 --> 01:33:45.850
things I want to bet on. These are all things
1787
01:33:45.899 --> 01:33:47.899
I want my money on the Nunez side. So yeah,
1788
01:33:48.399 --> 01:33:52.119
Amanda Nunez, GOAT of women's MMA all time. Is it
1789
01:33:52.159 --> 01:33:56.300
technically and new, right? Because Kayla's the champion right now.
1790
01:33:57.619 --> 01:33:59.800
But as far as I'm concerned, it's and still because
1791
01:33:59.840 --> 01:34:03.199
she retired on top. She never lost that belt. Timothy,
1792
01:34:04.119 --> 01:34:06.260
shout out to you, my friend. Thank you once again
1793
01:34:06.300 --> 01:34:08.979
for sharing the love. Says neck injury plus the bad
1794
01:34:09.039 --> 01:34:12.020
weight cut. Nunez brutal KO. I'm hoping so, man. I
1795
01:34:12.060 --> 01:34:15.550
am hoping so. Abs of freaking loot. All right, guys,
1796
01:34:15.590 --> 01:34:17.930
main event of the evening, the moment you have all
1797
01:34:17.989 --> 01:34:22.470
been waiting for. Cyril Ghosn taking on
Josh Hokett. 242
1798
01:34:22.470 --> 01:34:26.479
pounds for Cyril Ghosn, 231 for Josh. You can see
1799
01:34:26.520 --> 01:34:30.779
the obvious size discrepancy, and that's been something I've been
1800
01:34:30.819 --> 01:34:35.119
saying for a while, man. Hokett is– I mean, he's big. Like,
1801
01:34:35.159 --> 01:34:38.939
don't get me wrong, but he's got some– weight, it
1802
01:34:38.979 --> 01:34:41.340
looks like he could lose and he's not the most
1803
01:34:41.399 --> 01:34:43.939
jacked guy you've ever seen. Like, I feel like he
1804
01:34:43.960 --> 01:34:47.680
could make 205. I don't know. You know, Daniel Cormier
1805
01:34:47.720 --> 01:34:50.090
is a guy that like looking back in history is like,
1806
01:34:50.149 --> 01:34:53.689
he looks small at 205, but he was sawing his
1807
01:34:53.710 --> 01:34:55.529
leg off to get down there. You know, he had
1808
01:34:55.550 --> 01:34:56.770
to go up to heavyweight at the end of his
1809
01:34:56.829 --> 01:34:59.710
career because just the way his body's built, maybe hook it.
1810
01:34:59.750 --> 01:35:02.189
Couldn't make 205, but just looking at him, I'm like, man,
1811
01:35:02.229 --> 01:35:04.760
I feel like, I feel like he can make 205.
1812
01:35:04.760 --> 01:35:08.779
He's short. Um, uh, He's lit the world on fire
1813
01:35:08.840 --> 01:35:12.479
the way he talks, the gimmick, the way he's acting,
1814
01:35:12.779 --> 01:35:14.399
all this stuff. You either love him, you hate him,
1815
01:35:14.430 --> 01:35:16.729
you're tuning in to watch him fight either way. The
1816
01:35:16.750 --> 01:35:18.869
thing I like about Josh Hokett is once that cage
1817
01:35:18.909 --> 01:35:23.090
door closes, he's deadly serious. All the goofball shit goes
1818
01:35:23.130 --> 01:35:25.989
out the window. And he really is a guy who
1819
01:35:26.050 --> 01:35:28.970
brings the intensity once the cage door is closed. And
1820
01:35:28.989 --> 01:35:31.829
that's something that I don't know Cyril Ghosn is going
1821
01:35:31.909 --> 01:35:34.850
to deal with very well because Hokett will be in
1822
01:35:34.989 --> 01:35:39.390
his face nonstop. And I know Gon has been doing
1823
01:35:39.430 --> 01:35:42.069
his very best to patch up that wrestling issue, but
1824
01:35:42.090 --> 01:35:44.829
that's basically been the thing that's plagued him his entire career,
1825
01:35:45.250 --> 01:35:46.930
is people being able to just kind of take him
1826
01:35:46.970 --> 01:35:50.340
down at will, whether it's Jon Jones or Francis Ngannou
1827
01:35:50.399 --> 01:35:55.479
or Alexander Volkov recently. Everybody can take this guy down. Now,
1828
01:35:55.579 --> 01:35:58.760
I don't know what Hokit's plan is. That's my thing.
1829
01:35:59.340 --> 01:36:02.060
The weirdest thing about this fight, you guys, and I
1830
01:36:02.100 --> 01:36:06.180
said this on my last show, is everything in my brain...
1831
01:36:06.970 --> 01:36:11.449
says that Cyril Ghosn wins this fight. Better footwork, more experience,
1832
01:36:12.739 --> 01:36:16.180
bigger pop in his hands. Like, you know, the fight
1833
01:36:16.300 --> 01:36:21.420
with Curtis Blades. Josh Hokit hit him with everything in
1834
01:36:21.439 --> 01:36:24.960
the kitchen sink. Blades is not necessarily a chinny guy
1835
01:36:25.000 --> 01:36:27.100
by any means, but all the big hitters at heavyweight
1836
01:36:27.119 --> 01:36:29.640
have knocked him out. Well, they went a full 15 minutes.
1837
01:36:29.680 --> 01:36:32.199
Hokit threw everything he had at him, tried to cardio
1838
01:36:32.239 --> 01:36:35.180
death that guy, and Blades made it to the final bell. Yes,
1839
01:36:35.220 --> 01:36:36.939
he got Derek Lewis out of there, but you look
1840
01:36:36.979 --> 01:36:39.899
at the guys he's beating and it's like Max and
1841
01:36:39.960 --> 01:36:44.140
Menez doesn't really belong in the UFC, right? Sparked him
1842
01:36:44.199 --> 01:36:48.550
out of there in that first round. Denzel Freeman, bad gasser. Bad, bad,
1843
01:36:48.569 --> 01:36:54.550
bad gasser. Derek Lewis, bad gasser. Quitter, right? So he's
1844
01:36:54.590 --> 01:36:58.550
cooking these guys who don't have good cardio. That's the
1845
01:36:58.569 --> 01:37:02.689
big thing. Cyril gone has got pretty good cardio, man.
1846
01:37:02.770 --> 01:37:05.130
I mean, it's not the best, you know, there, there
1847
01:37:05.170 --> 01:37:08.310
have been times, right. I felt like he was like,
1848
01:37:08.350 --> 01:37:10.840
his mouth was hanging open a little bit against Alex Pereira.
1849
01:37:11.479 --> 01:37:14.899
I feel like things got sketchy against Alexander Volkov. I
1850
01:37:14.920 --> 01:37:16.579
thought Volkov won that fight, but he was able to
1851
01:37:16.600 --> 01:37:19.420
get the full 15 minutes to tie to a Vasa
1852
01:37:19.439 --> 01:37:22.039
fight that ended in round three. He found his opening,
1853
01:37:22.060 --> 01:37:23.880
but tie like clipped him big and hurt him and
1854
01:37:23.920 --> 01:37:26.479
dropped him. And he didn't look great the way he
1855
01:37:26.500 --> 01:37:29.069
was moving in that fight until the finish. Like, So
1856
01:37:29.350 --> 01:37:32.569
it's a big body. He's a little older. He's got
1857
01:37:32.590 --> 01:37:35.529
all that muscle. It's got attacks for the way he moves,
1858
01:37:35.569 --> 01:37:39.520
the way he flows, the footwork. I think Josh can
1859
01:37:39.579 --> 01:37:43.000
cardio cook this guy, but I also am like, man,
1860
01:37:43.220 --> 01:37:45.420
they're pricing this like he's just going to knock him
1861
01:37:45.479 --> 01:37:48.760
out early. And I did originally say the under three
1862
01:37:48.800 --> 01:37:52.460
and a half was the look here for me. But
1863
01:37:52.479 --> 01:37:55.289
the more I think about it, The more like, man,
1864
01:37:55.670 --> 01:37:58.989
if Hokit really is winning this fight, if he actually
1865
01:37:59.069 --> 01:38:00.340
is going to come out here and do
the damn thing,
1866
01:38:01.489 --> 01:38:05.279
it's going to be pace and pressure. Gon, who is
1867
01:38:05.340 --> 01:38:09.060
not chinny, is going to be, you know, matadoring him,
1868
01:38:10.380 --> 01:38:14.159
or it's going to be grappling. And if Hokit grapples,
1869
01:38:15.439 --> 01:38:19.119
it's a much bigger man. I don't think he's going
1870
01:38:19.140 --> 01:38:21.039
to be free to just do whatever he wants. You know,
1871
01:38:21.479 --> 01:38:24.460
snatch a neck, posture up in ground and pound like
1872
01:38:25.300 --> 01:38:26.800
That's going to take some effort. It's going to take
1873
01:38:26.819 --> 01:38:28.180
some effort to hold this guy down. It's going to
1874
01:38:28.199 --> 01:38:29.699
take some effort to pin him up against the fence.
1875
01:38:30.439 --> 01:38:31.880
Like the more I think about it, I'm like, man,
1876
01:38:31.899 --> 01:38:34.460
this fight might actually go a little bit longer than
1877
01:38:34.500 --> 01:38:39.159
some people are expecting. And I kind of feel like
1878
01:38:39.199 --> 01:38:43.350
Hokit by decision is crazy. As that sounds at plus
1879
01:38:43.369 --> 01:38:48.939
six 50 is on the table. Um, I just, I,
1880
01:38:49.189 --> 01:38:51.149
this is going to come down to Hokit's chin because
1881
01:38:51.289 --> 01:38:53.369
early in this fight, if Hokit does what he does
1882
01:38:53.590 --> 01:38:55.329
and what he's done in his last couple of fights, right?
1883
01:38:55.369 --> 01:38:57.300
If he does what we've seen him do in his
1884
01:38:57.340 --> 01:39:00.539
last two, three fights, he's just going to stumble forward
1885
01:39:00.699 --> 01:39:03.079
and swing and put his dick on the table and
1886
01:39:03.119 --> 01:39:06.859
hope it's bigger than Cyril Gans. And Cyril don't play
1887
01:39:06.880 --> 01:39:09.800
that game. Cyril's going to use his footwork. He's going
1888
01:39:09.819 --> 01:39:12.239
to cut angles. He's going to throw a little uppercuts
1889
01:39:12.279 --> 01:39:14.689
and hooks and, you know, stiff jab to like keep
1890
01:39:14.710 --> 01:39:16.930
the distance and control the pace and the range and
1891
01:39:17.640 --> 01:39:20.500
That's how he knocked out Alex Pereira, is he just
1892
01:39:20.579 --> 01:39:22.729
stuck a jab in his face. And every time Alex
1893
01:39:22.739 --> 01:39:24.930
tried to get in there, he was fast enough and
1894
01:39:24.970 --> 01:39:28.869
quick enough to disrupt the game and punch him in
1895
01:39:28.890 --> 01:39:32.430
the mouth. Can Hokit come back from that? Hokit can
1896
01:39:32.470 --> 01:39:36.109
survive in a brawl. He's got a chin. He'll outlast
1897
01:39:36.170 --> 01:39:39.840
you if you're both just slugging down. But if it's accurate,
1898
01:39:40.020 --> 01:39:44.300
if it's quick, if it's preventing your forward momentum, those
1899
01:39:44.319 --> 01:39:47.399
are the shots that really hurt. Can he eat those?
1900
01:39:48.460 --> 01:39:53.159
For this entire fight. Everything in my brain says that
1901
01:39:53.199 --> 01:39:55.140
Cyril Ghosn is going to win this fight, you guys.
1902
01:39:55.560 --> 01:39:57.840
Everything in my head says that Cyril Ghosn wins this
1903
01:39:57.880 --> 01:40:00.539
fight and it's by knockout. That's plus 110. That way
1904
01:40:00.560 --> 01:40:03.659
you don't have to lay the big price tag. That
1905
01:40:03.699 --> 01:40:08.300
makes so much sense to me. But then the hairs
1906
01:40:08.359 --> 01:40:12.399
on the back of my neck say that Josh Hokett
1907
01:40:12.500 --> 01:40:15.560
finds a way to win this fight. It's one of
1908
01:40:15.600 --> 01:40:17.960
those things where it's like this man talked himself into
1909
01:40:18.000 --> 01:40:21.579
this position. He's a crazy man. He's a complete wild card.
1910
01:40:21.960 --> 01:40:25.060
You can't expect to predict or know what he's going
1911
01:40:25.090 --> 01:40:29.529
to say or do. That's out the window. And because
1912
01:40:29.569 --> 01:40:31.989
of that, because of his youth, because of his speed,
1913
01:40:32.130 --> 01:40:35.770
because of his ability to push, I'm like, God bless him.
1914
01:40:35.810 --> 01:40:37.340
I feel like he finds a way to win this fight.
1915
01:40:38.279 --> 01:40:40.600
So right now, I don't have any action on the
1916
01:40:40.640 --> 01:40:43.800
main event. I am frozen by analysis, and I also
1917
01:40:44.119 --> 01:40:47.300
kind of just want to watch this fucking thing. It's
1918
01:40:47.340 --> 01:40:49.159
another one where if it's going to be that weird,
1919
01:40:49.279 --> 01:40:53.090
I might steer into the chaos and look at things
1920
01:40:53.239 --> 01:40:58.229
like the overs. Look at things like the decision prop
1921
01:40:58.510 --> 01:41:01.229
for Josh Hokett. The crazy stuff that I can just
1922
01:41:01.270 --> 01:41:05.989
have a small exposure to and pray. Do you want
1923
01:41:06.010 --> 01:41:10.210
to look at takedown props? Josh Hokiet under one and
1924
01:41:10.229 --> 01:41:13.210
a half takedowns is minus 125. So the bookies are
1925
01:41:13.270 --> 01:41:15.390
lining this as though he is not going to shoot
1926
01:41:15.430 --> 01:41:18.890
takedowns in this fight. And based on the way we've
1927
01:41:18.949 --> 01:41:22.770
seen this guy fight over his last couple, seems kind
1928
01:41:22.789 --> 01:41:25.529
of plausible because as much as we know he can wrestle,
1929
01:41:26.210 --> 01:41:27.630
we have yet to see him actually go out there
1930
01:41:27.649 --> 01:41:30.149
and do it. Now he might talk like an idiot
1931
01:41:30.189 --> 01:41:32.239
on the microphone, but when you get this guy away
1932
01:41:32.279 --> 01:41:35.079
from the shtick, when people talk to him about MMA
1933
01:41:35.100 --> 01:41:36.960
and stuff like that, you can tell he's actually got
1934
01:41:36.979 --> 01:41:38.850
a brain in his head. I actually think he's a
1935
01:41:38.869 --> 01:41:41.210
whole lot smarter than he's giving off
in a lot
1936
01:41:41.229 --> 01:41:44.430
of these interviews. So I think he knows. He should know.
1937
01:41:45.250 --> 01:41:46.890
And I hope he comes out and grapples. It would
1938
01:41:46.909 --> 01:41:49.229
be real fun to see Josh Hokett win this title tomorrow.
1939
01:41:49.979 --> 01:41:53.460
He's plus 190 as the underdog. Gosh dang, man. This
1940
01:41:53.479 --> 01:41:55.220
will be a live bet spot. I think this is
1941
01:41:55.260 --> 01:41:57.020
a spot you can watch and bet live because you'll
1942
01:41:57.039 --> 01:41:59.479
be able to see if Hokett isn't going to be
1943
01:41:59.500 --> 01:42:01.479
able to do what he wants to do. If Cyril's controlling,
1944
01:42:01.500 --> 01:42:03.579
you'll be able to tell. And then if Josh is
1945
01:42:03.619 --> 01:42:05.819
able to start kind of getting to Cyril Gaughan, if
1946
01:42:05.859 --> 01:42:08.399
he's able to start breaking him, you'll be able to
1947
01:42:08.439 --> 01:42:10.920
see that too. So there should be an opportunity to
1948
01:42:10.960 --> 01:42:14.920
jump in live. If you have access to that, um, talk, man,
1949
01:42:15.220 --> 01:42:16.479
I got to go with the brain. You guys, I
1950
01:42:16.520 --> 01:42:17.720
got to go with the brain. The hairs on the
1951
01:42:17.760 --> 01:42:19.239
back of my neck are saying that Josh Hoke, it
1952
01:42:19.279 --> 01:42:20.659
finds a way to win this fight, but I got
1953
01:42:20.689 --> 01:42:22.350
to go with the X's and O's. I'm going to
1954
01:42:22.359 --> 01:42:25.390
pick Cyril gone as the winner in the main event.
1955
01:42:25.710 --> 01:42:28.149
Thank you all so much for joining me for a
1956
01:42:28.289 --> 01:42:31.250
late night undefeated post lane show. We went a little
1957
01:42:31.270 --> 01:42:34.149
late tonight, but big fight week, big pay-per-view. We had
1958
01:42:34.170 --> 01:42:34.989
a lot to talk about.
1959
01:42:35.329 --> 01:42:38.630
All good. uh going to start one more time i've
1960
01:42:38.649 --> 01:42:42.189
got action on samuel sanchez love that kid uh feeling
1961
01:42:42.220 --> 01:42:45.579
good about it juan diaz i like his favorite minus
1962
01:42:45.600 --> 01:42:47.439
five and a half on the spread i actually think
1963
01:42:47.479 --> 01:42:48.880
might be a way to play that if you want
1964
01:42:48.920 --> 01:42:51.260
to i think he dominates the fight with alatang hayley
1965
01:42:51.859 --> 01:42:54.640
um hopefully he finishes but i'm not entirely certain he'll
1966
01:42:54.659 --> 01:42:57.819
find that ko i like beatrice mosquita except i'm a
1967
01:42:57.859 --> 01:43:00.199
little bit worried about the size discrepancy i'm a little
1968
01:43:00.220 --> 01:43:06.119
bit worried about the striking defense minus 265.
1969
01:43:04.220 --> 01:43:05.779
It's a little rich for my blood. I want to
1970
01:43:05.819 --> 01:43:07.989
see her win. I think she does. I might sprinkle
1971
01:43:08.029 --> 01:43:10.250
that TKO, but I don't know if I love a
1972
01:43:10.270 --> 01:43:14.069
parlay at minus 260. Melky Costa. I, for the life
1973
01:43:14.109 --> 01:43:16.270
of me, can't pick this kid. I can't trust him
1974
01:43:16.649 --> 01:43:18.939
at minus 400, moving up a weight class. Oh, and
1975
01:43:18.989 --> 01:43:23.000
two at 155. That just screams. Can't touch that. Even
1976
01:43:23.039 --> 01:43:27.319
if Jared Gooden is completely Jared Gordon, I apologize. Getting tired.
1977
01:43:27.699 --> 01:43:29.939
Even if Jared Gordon is completely cooked at this point,
1978
01:43:30.590 --> 01:43:32.210
it's still not a fight that I think is a
1979
01:43:32.250 --> 01:43:36.380
great matchup for Melky. And the over seems interesting because
1980
01:43:36.479 --> 01:43:39.470
Jared might be able to wrestle there. Dante Johnson, we're
1981
01:43:39.479 --> 01:43:43.010
picking him. I don't like it. Cesar Almeida asking for
1982
01:43:43.029 --> 01:43:46.770
the weight move, the U-shaped line movement. It all screams
1983
01:43:46.829 --> 01:43:49.630
Dante Johnson, even though I can't quite put my finger
1984
01:43:49.689 --> 01:43:52.909
on how he manages to win. Terrence McKinney, round one,
1985
01:43:52.970 --> 01:43:55.630
expecting it to be over early. Under one and a half,
1986
01:43:55.710 --> 01:43:58.850
goes without saying. If Jim Miller wins this fight, he's
1987
01:43:58.890 --> 01:44:02.529
going to break Terrence McKinney himself. Drew Dover, dog of
1988
01:44:02.649 --> 01:44:06.420
the week. Dogger pass Charles Radke fading the retirement of
1989
01:44:06.460 --> 01:44:08.859
Stephen Thompson, but I get it. I get it. If
1990
01:44:08.880 --> 01:44:11.890
you want to bet Thompson, it makes sense. Bilal Hassan
1991
01:44:11.930 --> 01:44:15.050
should school Luis Grule, but I don't think it's going
1992
01:44:15.069 --> 01:44:17.630
to come quite as fast as everybody's expecting it to.
1993
01:44:17.670 --> 01:44:20.470
So I lean over in that fight, believe it or not. Um,
1994
01:44:20.609 --> 01:44:24.310
Kevin Holland, I actually think is a sneaky underdog against
1995
01:44:24.409 --> 01:44:28.510
Eros Medich. Just relying on that durability. I want whoever
1996
01:44:28.590 --> 01:44:30.510
is plus money, not a whole lot of confidence in
1997
01:44:30.550 --> 01:44:34.869
that one. Usri Belgarui. I've never believed in Kayo. I
1998
01:44:34.890 --> 01:44:37.989
think usually he's the better striker. Um, plus money, I
1999
01:44:38.029 --> 01:44:40.659
think is good money for some, something's holding me back.
2000
01:44:40.680 --> 01:44:42.640
I don't know why some reason something's holding me back,
2001
01:44:42.699 --> 01:44:46.000
but I'm tempted. on you, Sri Belgarui. I've already got
2002
01:44:46.039 --> 01:44:49.439
Amanda Nunez in pocket. She is the GOAT, and then
2003
01:44:49.560 --> 01:44:52.189
I'm picking Cyril Kahn, but I'm probably not betting the
2004
01:44:52.229 --> 01:44:55.390
main event. That was a lot of info. There is
2005
01:44:55.430 --> 01:44:58.850
your recap. Thank you all so much for joining me
2006
01:44:59.289 --> 01:45:01.609
on the Undefeated Post weigh-in show. You guys be good.
2007
01:45:01.630 --> 01:45:03.430
I will post my final card first thing in the
2008
01:45:03.449 --> 01:45:06.390
morning with all of my plays. If you're insane enough
2009
01:45:06.810 --> 01:45:10.079
to tail, please make your own gambling decisions. Always gamble
2010
01:45:10.119 --> 01:45:13.420
safely and responsibly. Hope you guys have a wonderful day tomorrow.
2011
01:45:13.460 --> 01:45:15.699
Hope the show helped. Please do me a favor. Hit
2012
01:45:15.739 --> 01:45:17.899
that like button as you leave and get subscribed because
2013
01:45:17.939 --> 01:45:21.850
we're here doing this shit every single week, watching these
2014
01:45:21.930 --> 01:45:24.489
UFC fights, hoping to make a penny or two. Love
2015
01:45:24.510 --> 01:45:26.939
you guys. Kick some ass. Let's roll.