TRANSCRIPCIÓN 🔗
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You're not supposed to be grinding.
Grinding is for computers.
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You do run clod all night.
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It's not only do you think that's required
for the founder coming up today
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to build an amazing company.
Absolutely not.
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David Hanson is a tech
icon who proved that
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overcomplicating your software stack
is quite killing your company.
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While others waste fortunes chasing
trendy tools and bloated infrastructure
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building for actual ROI
or just following the hype.
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Tell me about the war
you guys had with Apple.
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I've made my due money, so fuck you Apple.
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But what it did give us
was 30,000 paying customers instantly.
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A $3 million a year business.
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Is that the fight where you banned
politics and 30% of your staff quit?
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Yeah. So?
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And so your take is,
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look, AI, is that next super cycle
that's already here?
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But we don't know what's going to happen
in two years.
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Five years?
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We don't know what's going to happen
in six months.
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I think this is what's extra
fascinating about the AI supercycle.
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Were either in or writing
or just on the cusp of that.
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If you had asked me six months ago
if you had asked me in, actually,
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I did an interview
in the beginning of December where
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we'd been working on this new product
called Fizzy Kanban Tool at 37
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signal, and we'd written virtually
all of it by hand.
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And I did it in the beginning of December,
which folks who had already gone
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fully AI built, and they were astonished
that we were still writing software
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all in hand by hand.
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And I was like,
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I don't think the ass good enough yet,
and I don't actually like the interaction
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mode that we had at the time,
which was just coming off autocomplete,
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like this whole notion that AI software
generation was the program
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was sitting at the editor, and then the
AI would guess the next sentences.
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I didn't like that from the get go.
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I thought
that was a terrible way of working.
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It was like
someone constantly interrupting you.
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I'm trying to finish a thought here
and you're constantly interrupting.
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I thought terrible.
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And then literally a week later, opus
was that one
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for eight dropped one of the major models
dropped right around there.
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We got harnesses, open code
and pi and even Codex and Claude.
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They all got good enough that suddenly,
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well,
we're not doing a lot of computing more.
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We're just giving you an issue.
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Hey, agent, can you do this?
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And then it goes off, spins its wheels,
and suddenly I saw code there
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at the end of the year.
That was completely different.
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Completely different from what I came
before and suddenly was code.
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I wanted to keep, code.
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I wanted to merge into my code
base, and I flipped like 180 degrees.
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I went from like, oh, this is new.
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This is different.
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Yes, it's AI, but it's not the AI.
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I knew five minutes ago, and now it feels
like we've been living in this world
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with agents since forever,
but it's really only been since December.
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That's barely six months.
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So trying to extrapolate six months
forward again of how the world is going to
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look is I think
most people should have some humility.
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Even if you're fully AI building,
you think everything's going to happen.
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Most folks,
even in the Act who are fully in on it,
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did not know that the terminal,
for example, was going to be this prime
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driver of the agent platform, that people
were going to suddenly rediscover
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the terminal. Like,
that's such a throwback.
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We'd have the terminal
since the dawn of computers, right?
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Like we thought that we all moved to GUIs,
and there's also GUIs, but
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so much of the current agent generation
activity is in the terminal.
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So we took this something really old.
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I mean, I didn't ever went away.
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All programs used the terminal,
but we reintroduced it to a much broader
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audience.
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And suddenly I got questions
from all sorts of non-technical people
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like, hey,
how do I set up this cloth thing?
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I need this, this terminal,
this is how I use it. Right?
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And this has all been happening
in such a short order.
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So we should have incredible humility
that we don't know what the end of 2016
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look like, let alone what things are going
to look like in two years.
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But does that worry you with writing code?
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Because what happens to developers
if this continues,
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if it continues at the pace
that it's continued
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or that it's been at the last six months
for the next six months? Yes.
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I think what gives me even more humility
on top of the newly
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I just talked about was I thought,
I wouldn't like this way of developing.
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I thought that I didn't
want to be a project manager for agents.
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I thought that that was sort of like being
a project manager for human programmers.
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I don't like that that much.
I like to get my fingers dirty.
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I like to do my own programing.
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I don't like to go through other people.
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And I thought like, oh, the mental model
for agents is sort of like that.
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And then it
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happened and I realized, no, it's
nothing like that at all.
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Because the way you interact with these
agents, yes, you give them a task,
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but then you're ready to review their work
in like seven minutes.
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It's not like they go off
and the feedback loop is two weeks,
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let alone two months, which usually is
with a group of human programmers.
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In a lot of cases, if they need to build
something substantial.
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You're talking about weeks of work
at the very least.
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Then in some cases, once of work,
when you're dealing with agents,
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in many cases
you're talking about minutes.
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Maybe if they're doing something wrong,
just it's hours. Right.
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So the change of the feedback changes
the interaction model.
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And suddenly I found
I actually really like this.
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If the agents are able to write code
that I appreciate and find
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is that of depleting.
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And that was a big part of my reservation
in the beginning.
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It's like, I like beautiful code.
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This is why I so lovingly handcrafted it
over multiple decades.
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And I prefer it.
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That motive of writing.
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I really wanted it to be beautiful.
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And then I saw the early agents
make something work,
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but in a really ugly way, and I thought,
I act no.
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I'm going to use it for something else.
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I'm going to use it for the learning
I'm going to use them for,
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I don't know, looking up error codes.
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I'm using them for figuring out new APIs.
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But then again,
you have this change in December.
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Suddenly the agents were writing code
that with a little bit of nudging,
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looked like my code.
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And then I realized that, my gosh,
if I can have this super fast
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loop, it's
more like an extension of myself.
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Like I get a bionic arm,
like I'm extending that arm,
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but suddenly I can crush 4,000 pounds
instead of whatever
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a human hand can crush
that actually feels more powerful.
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It feels more like I'm
turning into a superhuman, rather
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than I'm just giving up everything
to some smarter robots.
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Again, as you talked about in two years,
maybe humans will be the dumb element
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of the community
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already on some of the books,
but maybe they will be in all those loops,
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and maybe it will
then be totally different.
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But right now, today,
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I feel like this is the most exciting
time to be a programmer.
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You have the most capacity to do
the most work,
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to fulfill more of what you'd like
to see in the world, at a higher quality
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than you ever able to do
when you were writing everything by hand.
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So in short,
if a developer is not using AI,
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they are they
they are going to lose their job.
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I think.
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I don't know a lot of
programmers
actually already.
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I mean, we went
I went through that face. Right.
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So up until December last year
I was using AI, but I was using it
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for as a, as a tutor,
as a, as a lookup mechanism.
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I'm still writing the vast
majority of my code by hand.
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And then from December
4th, that totally flipped.
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Now I haven't started a single new piece
of code that didn't start
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as a prompt first.
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Occasionally I will find
that the agent isn't going into direction
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I want to go and I drop in on.
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I read some code, but everything
starts with a prompt now. So
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I haven't
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talked to a lot of people who haven't
gotten sucked into that loop already.
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Now, not everyone loves it.
That's very true.
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There's a class of programmer,
I think, who
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just like the mechanics
of turning requirements into working code,
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they didn't necessarily care
too much about the requirements.
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They didn't care so much about what
we were trying to accomplish.
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Like what was the outcome.
They just cared about.
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The mechanicals of human says
they want feature a
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I will put feature A together
and then I'll hand it over to the users.
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I don't really care either
end of it. Right.
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And some of those people are struggling
and they're struggling because it is clear
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that the agents are eating more
and more and more and more of that.
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And if you just really like
writing the code by hand,
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some of that is disappearing.
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And I can totally sympathize
with the sense of loss.
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Like, hey, I just had a job.
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A year ago that I love.
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Everything was great.
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I was running on this book by hand,
and people were paying
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these lavish sums of money
because I was the tight resource.
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All these people with all these ideas
had to go through me
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to get to work in software.
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And suddenly I'm becoming, if not
optional, less of the constraint resource.
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And maybe that doesn't
feel quite comfortable.
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And again, I also think it's fair to have
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some uncertainties about what the world
is going to look like in six months.
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What if this just continues on that bar?
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Is anyone going
to need any programmer at all?
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Or can the people with ideas
just ask their agents to do it,
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and the agents will be so good
that we don't need a human interview.
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But for me, I.
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I got started with program.
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I learned programing
not because I wanted to lovingly
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type out programs,
but because I wanted the programs.
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I wanted the outcomes.
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And then I spent a long time,
I mean, almost the whole career,
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just getting really good at the craft
and perhaps slightly convincing myself
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that that was what I liked.
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And now I have been returned
to the original premise.
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I just really like programs.
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I like to make computers do things.
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Agents make that so much easier.
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I can pursue
so many more ideas concurrently,
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and that's a really powerful feeling.
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for the people that don't know, which
I think most do, you built the framework
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that runs Shopify, GitHub, Airbnb, like
the modern infrastructure of the internet.
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Right.
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And you built a company
that's done tens of millions of dollars
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in profit over 25 years without a single
dollar of investor control.
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I want to go like level by level
for someone that's just getting started.
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You know,
take me to the first steps, right.
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Why did you choose to stay bootstrap?
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A lot of that came from my experience
at the earlier internet
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phase, mid 90s to early 2000.
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We had this incredible boom and bust cycle
where investors were throwing money
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after every harebrained idea,
maybe a little bit like what's going on
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right now, where anything that sounded
like internet in the late 90s
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just got funded to ridiculous sums,
regardless of whether there
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was an underlying premise that made sense,
regardless of whether there was
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a sustainable business
that could create profits,
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that could then repay those investors,
and eventually that part house fell apart
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and we got the donkey bust, and everything
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kind of was like a wasteland for a while.
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And I think that really set a mark
both on me and my business partner,
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Jason Free, that.
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It's a little bit
like the stories that we hear
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of an older generation
who lived through the depression.
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I still, all these decades later,
they're like butter.
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Butter. Like,
do you want some extra butter?
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Because they remember what it was like
not to have enough butter.
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And you're marked for life to some extent
by those early impressions you have of
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what was the economy like,
what was society like when you were
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coming up, and what would the crisis
and traumatic experience?
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So we went through that,
and then by the time I got involved
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working with Jason,
I had that very fresh in my mind.
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I did not want that.
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I saw what happened to a company that gets
funded to the moon and then suddenly
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collapses and people have to get laid off,
and it's not pleasant.
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It's actually a lot of human stories and
a lot of heartbreak and a lot of despair.
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And I thought, like, do you know what?
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00:12:04,765 --> 00:12:06,934
There's got to be a better way to do that.
231
00:12:06,934 --> 00:12:10,938
Maybe we can build a business
where we grow a little slower,
232
00:12:10,938 --> 00:12:14,942
certainly in terms of our expenses,
and we live within our means,
233
00:12:14,942 --> 00:12:18,237
but we still have great ambitions
about the imprint
234
00:12:18,237 --> 00:12:22,032
we want to make in the world
and the products we want to put out there.
235
00:12:22,116 --> 00:12:23,868
Can those things be combined,
236
00:12:23,868 --> 00:12:27,163
especially in software,
where it's not like we need
237
00:12:27,204 --> 00:12:29,623
hundreds of millions of dollars
to build big factories?
238
00:12:29,623 --> 00:12:31,375
And I mean, it's funny,
239
00:12:31,375 --> 00:12:34,378
we've actually returned that cycle now,
and we talked a lot about AI.
240
00:12:34,795 --> 00:12:36,547
They're not spending hundreds
of millions of dollars
241
00:12:36,547 --> 00:12:38,924
to spending hundreds
of billions of dollars
242
00:12:38,924 --> 00:12:41,844
literally building factories
with all these data center buildings.
243
00:12:41,844 --> 00:12:44,096
But when the internet got going
244
00:12:44,096 --> 00:12:48,058
again, it was all about software,
and therefore it was all about just
245
00:12:48,100 --> 00:12:52,062
could you have a couple of people sit down
and just write code
246
00:12:52,188 --> 00:12:55,900
that should not require this
enormous amount of investment?
247
00:12:55,900 --> 00:13:00,029
So I was actually just a little offended
by the business models at the time.
248
00:13:00,029 --> 00:13:04,366
This is the early mid 2000
where why do you need all this money?
249
00:13:04,617 --> 00:13:06,494
Why do you need all these people?
250
00:13:06,494 --> 00:13:09,246
I remember hallmark of success
251
00:13:09,246 --> 00:13:13,000
around those days was I got to get to 100,
I got to get to 100 people.
252
00:13:13,042 --> 00:13:16,295
And I always thought like,
what am I going to do with 100 people?
253
00:13:16,337 --> 00:13:20,174
Like I wrote Basecamp,
the product we're still selling today,
254
00:13:20,216 --> 00:13:22,176
22 years later that has generated
255
00:13:22,176 --> 00:13:25,387
hundreds of millions of dollars
in revenue over the years by myself.
256
00:13:25,930 --> 00:13:29,391
On the technical side,
Jason and Ryan would do the design side.
257
00:13:29,391 --> 00:13:30,726
I did all the technical stuff.
258
00:13:30,726 --> 00:13:33,771
I set it up and again,
this was the computers
259
00:13:33,813 --> 00:13:37,107
of 20 years ago,
like the technologies we had 20 years ago.
260
00:13:37,191 --> 00:13:39,026
Not nearly as productive
as what we have today.
261
00:13:39,026 --> 00:13:42,738
So if I was able to do that, then
why couldn't we take that further?
262
00:13:42,738 --> 00:13:44,073
Why did we need all this money?
263
00:13:44,073 --> 00:13:48,244
And then as things started taking off,
it was even more true.
264
00:13:48,285 --> 00:13:52,206
Hey, we have more money coming in
that we feel like
265
00:13:52,206 --> 00:13:55,918
we have to
or even can productively spend going out.
266
00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:57,711
Like, I don't want to have a huge company.
267
00:13:57,711 --> 00:14:00,714
I love working with small type teams.
268
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,676
I particularly like working on
269
00:14:03,676 --> 00:14:06,679
individual features,
which is 1 or 2 people like.
270
00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:10,349
The worst thing for me
is this idea that we're going to have
271
00:14:10,349 --> 00:14:14,311
a meeting of 12 people because we're all
working together, interesting.
272
00:14:14,311 --> 00:14:16,689
And we just all this communication
overhead,
273
00:14:16,689 --> 00:14:19,316
all this ping pong back and forth like,
no, no, no,
274
00:14:19,316 --> 00:14:22,570
let me just sit down most of the time
by myself in my little
room
275
00:14:22,570 --> 00:14:24,989
where I can close the door
and do the work.
276
00:14:24,989 --> 00:14:28,409
And then occasionally we'll meet
with like 2 or 3,
277
00:14:28,450 --> 00:14:31,662
four people
if it's really getting high. And
278
00:14:32,913 --> 00:14:34,832
that was the premise.
279
00:14:34,832 --> 00:14:36,834
And I thought, like,
hey, this is panning out.
280
00:14:36,834 --> 00:14:39,295
Like we're running this tiny company.
281
00:14:39,295 --> 00:14:42,131
At the time we were like at seven people.
282
00:14:42,131 --> 00:14:46,010
This is a little bit later in 2000,
we had four major products
283
00:14:46,010 --> 00:14:49,179
out there, seven people,
and we were launching a new product
284
00:14:49,179 --> 00:14:52,433
every year, and we still had base camp
that was taking off like a rocket ship.
285
00:14:52,975 --> 00:14:56,061
And I would just
look at all these other companies, like,
286
00:14:56,061 --> 00:14:57,688
what are you wasting all this money on?
287
00:14:57,688 --> 00:14:59,648
Why do you have all these people?
288
00:14:59,648 --> 00:15:03,360
Not just because it's unnecessary,
but also because I actually think it's
289
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:03,736
harmful.
290
00:15:03,736 --> 00:15:07,072
You're producing a bunch of software
that's overly complicated, that has way
291
00:15:07,072 --> 00:15:10,284
more features than way more bulk
than when most people need.
292
00:15:10,326 --> 00:15:12,828
Most people don't want something
super complicated.
293
00:15:12,828 --> 00:15:16,457
They want something they can just solve
whatever problem they have of them.
294
00:15:16,457 --> 00:15:20,210
As we were doing with Base Camp,
I now have too many people.
295
00:15:20,210 --> 00:15:22,504
I'm dropping things on the floor.
296
00:15:22,504 --> 00:15:23,797
Things are falling through the cracks.
297
00:15:23,797 --> 00:15:25,633
Email is no longer good enough, right?
298
00:15:25,633 --> 00:15:29,929
Anyone does private management over
email, which, by the way, is everyone.
299
00:15:29,929 --> 00:15:32,222
Every project almost today starts over.
300
00:15:32,222 --> 00:15:33,390
You want that's the initial.
301
00:15:33,390 --> 00:15:34,725
And then they realize, oh,
302
00:15:34,725 --> 00:15:37,645
by the time they have to add the third
or fourth person into it,
303
00:15:37,645 --> 00:15:38,854
it kind of falls apart. Right?
304
00:15:38,854 --> 00:15:43,901
So that was the premise behind Basecamp
first success product that we had,
305
00:15:43,901 --> 00:15:46,403
and just realized
that the most important thing
306
00:15:46,403 --> 00:15:49,031
we were selling in part, was a
we got to solve the problem.
307
00:15:49,031 --> 00:15:50,741
Like things are no longer falling off the
308
00:15:50,741 --> 00:15:53,994
cracks and people can get up to speed,
but then also it's got to be learned.
309
00:15:54,703 --> 00:15:59,333
Someone's got to be able
to invite a stranger to their
base camp
310
00:15:59,416 --> 00:16:03,629
without having to teach the 500 things,
without asking them to read the manual
311
00:16:03,629 --> 00:16:04,213
and so forth.
312
00:16:04,213 --> 00:16:07,549
And I always thought like,
that is very congruent with that.
313
00:16:07,549 --> 00:16:12,513
We have a small team that are constrained
that we can't actually do
314
00:16:12,513 --> 00:16:16,517
everything we want
because I don't trust us.
315
00:16:16,517 --> 00:16:18,018
I don't trust me.
316
00:16:18,018 --> 00:16:22,940
With a team of 100,
I think I would do way too much.
317
00:16:22,940 --> 00:16:26,235
I would have way too many ideas
that wouldn't have to get
318
00:16:26,235 --> 00:16:29,571
called down to just the essential ten.
319
00:16:29,697 --> 00:16:32,408
And I would start pursuing 50 ideas.
320
00:16:32,408 --> 00:16:36,370
70 ideas, in fact,
to reference your own discussion about AI,
321
00:16:36,412 --> 00:16:40,541
I think that's going to be
one of the new challenges that suddenly,
322
00:16:40,582 --> 00:16:44,878
if implementation is no longer
your bottleneck, you can do
323
00:16:45,087 --> 00:16:48,716
every day you have,
but if you do, is contingent.
324
00:16:49,174 --> 00:16:51,802
Every great design
325
00:16:51,802 --> 00:16:56,765
work, every great, even artist
has to kill their dollars, have to kill
326
00:16:56,807 --> 00:17:00,602
many of what they think
is their best ideas to arrive
327
00:17:00,602 --> 00:17:05,524
at something that's simple and pure
and has a coherent vision.
328
00:17:05,524 --> 00:17:09,862
If you allowed even the greatest artists
and the greatest designers, infinite
329
00:17:09,862 --> 00:17:11,155
resources, infinite
330
00:17:11,155 --> 00:17:15,034
teams, and infinite time,
they would also turn everything to shit.
331
00:17:15,117 --> 00:17:18,787
I mean, one of my great examples of
that is the Star Wars movies, right?
332
00:17:18,912 --> 00:17:20,581
The original trilogy.
333
00:17:20,581 --> 00:17:20,914
What?
334
00:17:20,914 --> 00:17:24,126
The first one came out
and it was 76 or something.
335
00:17:24,209 --> 00:17:28,005
Still one of the greatest
space odysseys of all time.
336
00:17:28,964 --> 00:17:29,339
They were
337
00:17:29,339 --> 00:17:32,551
doing things with like,
no computers, right?
338
00:17:32,593 --> 00:17:36,013
They were all just doing cardboard
elements.
339
00:17:36,180 --> 00:17:41,602
It's a much better movie
than what they were able to produce
340
00:17:41,602 --> 00:17:45,105
20 or 30 years later, with 100 times
the budget,
341
00:17:45,439 --> 00:17:48,859
tens of thousands of times
more resources where they could.
342
00:17:48,901 --> 00:17:50,986
Computer animation of shit. Right?
343
00:17:50,986 --> 00:17:54,156
There is just such a clarifying,
344
00:17:54,239 --> 00:17:58,952
liberating funnel by having the tricks.
345
00:17:58,994 --> 00:18:02,748
Like when you have these titles where
you got all this stuff going into it,
346
00:18:02,748 --> 00:18:05,793
and then it falls on its funnels
and funnels because it has to.
347
00:18:05,834 --> 00:18:07,628
And then defining the output
348
00:18:07,628 --> 00:18:11,924
is this beautiful, attractive,
coherent piece of software.
349
00:18:11,924 --> 00:18:14,468
And that's what I wanted to build.
350
00:18:14,468 --> 00:18:17,554
And that I feel, is
what we have built over the past 20 years
351
00:18:17,554 --> 00:18:21,683
by embracing those constraints, not trying
to liberate them as quickly as we could,
352
00:18:21,725 --> 00:18:25,062
not trying to think like, well,
if I have two programmers today,
353
00:18:25,062 --> 00:18:28,065
I could build ten times
as much as if I had 20 programmers,
354
00:18:28,065 --> 00:18:30,400
because first of all,
that's not how anything works.
355
00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:34,029
You do not go ten times as fast
by adding ten times as many people.
356
00:18:34,029 --> 00:18:39,243
In many cases, you like to go half a slot
because of the overhead,
357
00:18:39,243 --> 00:18:42,412
of communication, overhead, of
just trying to deal with all this stuff.
358
00:18:42,412 --> 00:18:44,790
So I think we're going to phase
a little bit of that again.
359
00:18:44,790 --> 00:18:50,087
Now that so many more people
suddenly have huge teams, huge capacities
360
00:18:50,087 --> 00:18:53,257
at the fingertips, and feel like it can do
whatever they want,
361
00:18:53,298 --> 00:18:56,135
and it's the worst curse
they could ever have.
362
00:18:56,135 --> 00:19:00,097
Like, you don't want unlimited time
and resources.
363
00:19:00,097 --> 00:19:01,765
You want constraints.
364
00:19:01,765 --> 00:19:04,685
guys, we've been so passionate
about finding the biggest geniuses,
365
00:19:04,685 --> 00:19:06,770
and this is just one of the many episodes.
366
00:19:06,770 --> 00:19:08,772
If you want to make sure you don't
miss the next one.
367
00:19:08,772 --> 00:19:10,065
Make sure to subscribe.
368
00:19:10,065 --> 00:19:11,984
All right, let's get back to the episode.
369
00:19:11,984 --> 00:19:15,112
for the person starting today,
do you think they can do what you've done?
370
00:19:15,112 --> 00:19:17,865
Can they stay bootstrapped?
How should they look for their idea?
371
00:19:17,865 --> 00:19:19,449
Should they solve one of their own
problems?
372
00:19:19,449 --> 00:19:22,578
First, is it possible
to recreate the type of success
373
00:19:22,578 --> 00:19:24,705
you've had in this new environment?
374
00:19:24,705 --> 00:19:29,668
Every major success is always a product
of its circumstances at the time.
375
00:19:29,668 --> 00:19:34,173
So can you do exactly what we did
in exactly the same way 25 years later?
376
00:19:34,214 --> 00:19:37,259
No. Does it mean that
there are no lessons to take away?
377
00:19:37,301 --> 00:19:37,885
Of course not.
378
00:19:37,885 --> 00:19:39,386
I think there are tons of lessons
to take away.
379
00:19:39,386 -->
00:19:43,682
And in many ways, a lot of what we did
has gotten so much easier, right?
380
00:19:43,724 --> 00:19:46,602
I remember I had an essay
381
00:19:48,020 --> 00:19:51,023
once, one time
called There's No Room for the idea Guy,
382
00:19:51,148 --> 00:19:55,360
because when implementation
was scarce resource
383
00:19:55,360 --> 00:19:59,573
and it was very expensive,
you kind of have to be an implementer
384
00:19:59,573 --> 00:20:00,616
to build a business.
385
00:20:00,616 --> 00:20:03,493
Either you had to be an incremental
or you had to be rich.
386
00:20:03,493 --> 00:20:06,455
You had to have a lot of money because you
have to pay other people to do it right.
387
00:20:06,455 --> 00:20:09,750
And I saw this archetype for a while
that hadn't either
388
00:20:09,791 --> 00:20:12,211
they didn't know how to build
and they didn't have any money.
389
00:20:12,211 --> 00:20:14,546
And I thought, like, do you know what?
390
00:20:14,546 --> 00:20:15,547
That's going to be tough.
391
00:20:15,547 --> 00:20:20,135
And in fact, not only is it going to be
tough, it's going to be a little scandal
392
00:20:20,260 --> 00:20:23,805
because you kind of sort of
have to bullshit your way into convincing
393
00:20:23,805 --> 00:20:29,061
some implementers to build it for free
or on a promissory note. And
394
00:20:30,395 --> 00:20:32,397
kudos to the folks who pulled that off.
395
00:20:32,397 --> 00:20:36,652
But I didn't think that was a generally
viable model that has changed now.
396
00:20:36,652 --> 00:20:41,281
I have absolutely already
seen people who just had great ideas
397
00:20:41,281 --> 00:20:46,787
and not alone be able to, with a $20
a month club
398
00:20:47,287 --> 00:20:51,208
subscription build, at the very least,
a prototype that can validate
399
00:20:51,208 --> 00:20:52,709
whether there's a business idea there.
400
00:20:52,709 --> 00:20:55,420
And then suddenly you have something,
you have a little bit of traction,
401
00:20:55,420 --> 00:20:57,881
you have a little bit of momentum,
you have something real.
402
00:20:57,881 --> 00:21:00,342
You don't just have a bunch
of fleeting ideas.
403
00:21:00,342 --> 00:21:03,220
And that means that now
404
00:21:03,220 --> 00:21:07,182
this domain of entrepreneurship is open
to a whole new class of people, people
405
00:21:07,182 --> 00:21:10,936
who aren't equal members
and don't have a lot of money.
406
00:21:11,603 --> 00:21:17,317
That's actually a class of people
who did not have the opportunity to build
407
00:21:17,442 --> 00:21:21,321
without kind
of also being great bullshit artists.
408
00:21:21,321 --> 00:21:25,450
And I think there's a sort of a dark
try out there if you're really good
409
00:21:25,450 --> 00:21:27,703
at portioning other people
into working for free for you.
410
00:21:27,703 --> 00:21:29,830
I don't know if that's
what I want to build
411
00:21:29,830 --> 00:21:33,750
the next generation of businesses,
but you can be someone with great ideas
412
00:21:33,792 --> 00:21:36,545
who just don't have these two properties,
and suddenly now
413
00:21:36,545 --> 00:21:37,754
you're able to build something.
414
00:21:37,754 --> 00:21:39,798
So I think it's actually opening up.
415
00:21:39,798 --> 00:21:44,469
But what it also means is, of course, that
if we're making it much easier
416
00:21:44,469 --> 00:21:45,637
for someone to get started,
417
00:21:45,637 --> 00:21:47,848
a lot more people will get started,
and that means
418
00:21:47,848 --> 00:21:49,558
things become a lot more competitive.
419
00:21:49,558 --> 00:21:53,353
It perhaps does mean that
the quality of the idea matters
420
00:21:53,353 --> 00:21:57,316
a lot more, and finding the right angle
on how to protect that idea,
421
00:21:57,316 --> 00:22:00,444
since you don't just get ten clones
tomorrow.
422
00:22:00,569 --> 00:22:03,989
As we talked about before, we started
finding a way to get distribution,
423
00:22:03,989 --> 00:22:07,701
finding a way to have the angle
for attention, which is what
424
00:22:07,743 --> 00:22:11,955
so much of the modern
marketing world is around today.
425
00:22:11,997 --> 00:22:15,167
It's not just build something great,
426
00:22:15,208 --> 00:22:19,296
they'll come like that was never true,
but has never been less true.
427
00:22:19,296 --> 00:22:24,134
And therefore you need an angle on
how do you get people to care
428
00:22:24,801 --> 00:22:28,263
to a greater extent than what was true
25 years ago?
429
00:22:28,263 --> 00:22:31,683
If 25 years ago
you build something that was just
430
00:22:31,725 --> 00:22:35,520
a really nice piece of software,
you had far more of a chance.
431
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:39,399
You just get up and you discovered
because it just wasn't that much software.
432
00:22:39,441 --> 00:22:45,322
People had more time and mental capacity
to try something out.
433
00:22:45,364 --> 00:22:47,908
I think today that it's a lot less true.
434
00:22:47,908 --> 00:22:53,789
I've seen even quite pedigreed teams
launch something into the market,
435
00:22:53,789 --> 00:22:57,417
and you see this one blip
and then just crickets.
436
00:22:57,501 --> 00:22:59,461
And that's kind of terrifying.
437
00:22:59,461 --> 00:23:01,213
But it's also kind of liberating, right?
438
00:23:01,213 --> 00:23:04,007
Then it is getting democratized.
439
00:23:04,007 --> 00:23:07,386
More people have access to it, but
it's harder than ever to break through.
440
00:23:07,594 --> 00:23:12,015
So it's a bit of like, well,
a monkey pause, like, oh, I'd love that.
441
00:23:12,015 --> 00:23:14,142
Entrepreneurship
was easier. Okay, here it is
442
00:23:15,143 --> 00:23:15,727
easier.
443
00:23:15,727 --> 00:23:18,146
Well, welcome to a competitive space.
444
00:23:18,146 --> 00:23:21,149
That's 100 exports than what
it was 20 years ago.
445
00:23:22,067 --> 00:23:23,110
Pick your poison. Right.
446
00:23:23,110 --> 00:23:27,280
So would you
say that makes distribution
at this stage, at this
447
00:23:27,322 --> 00:23:31,076
where we're at so much more important
than than it used to be.
448
00:23:31,076 --> 00:23:35,330
And maybe you can have a mediocre product
with amazing distribution
449
00:23:35,330 --> 00:23:38,333
and have success,
but it can't be vice versa.
450
00:23:38,333 --> 00:23:40,043
No, I think that's probably true.
451
00:23:40,043 --> 00:23:43,338
I think you actually, it's
probably getting competitive enough
452
00:23:43,338 --> 00:23:48,260
that to really break through, you have to
have both amazing distribution and right.
453
00:23:48,427 --> 00:23:50,929
But I do think if you're going
to pick one over the other,
454
00:23:50,929 --> 00:23:54,015
having great distribution
gives you a higher chance
455
00:23:54,015 --> 00:23:57,352
of having at least a moderate,
successful business.
456
00:23:57,436 --> 00:24:01,231
You're not going to have a moderate,
successful business by having shit
457
00:24:01,231 --> 00:24:06,236
distribution and just some okay, software,
that window has closed.
458
00:24:06,445 --> 00:24:10,907
If I'm not mistaken, you did take a single
minority investment from Jeff Bezos.
459
00:24:11,199 --> 00:24:12,492
We sold secondaries.
460
00:24:12,492 --> 00:24:15,704
So we never took money into the business
because we didn't need it.
461
00:24:15,704 --> 00:24:19,708
By the time Jeff Bezos was interested
in 37 signals,
462
00:24:19,708 --> 00:24:24,212
we were already making enough money
and then some to pay all our expenses
463
00:24:24,212 --> 00:24:27,382
and all our growth ambitions
and whoever we want to hire.
464
00:24:27,382 --> 00:24:30,302
And it was funny because at the time,
465
00:24:30,302 --> 00:24:32,554
we were already kind
466
00:24:32,554 --> 00:24:35,724
of adversarial
to the whole venture capital idea,
467
00:24:35,765 --> 00:24:41,646
because we had just seen how poorly
could have gone and did go into busting.
468
00:24:41,646 --> 00:24:45,275
So even though when based on launch,
we had a lot of traction,
469
00:24:45,275 --> 00:24:46,860
we started getting a bunch of interest.
470
00:24:46,860 --> 00:24:50,822
I remember the count being something
like 40 odd beaks reached out like, hey,
471
00:24:50,822 --> 00:24:52,240
do you want investment? You want this?
472
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,076
And we basically just slammed the door
and no.
473
00:24:55,076 --> 00:24:57,954
And then Jeff Bezos reaches out
474
00:24:57,954 --> 00:25:01,166
and you're like,
okay, let's just see what he has to say.
475
00:25:02,125 --> 00:25:03,752
I mean, actually distribution, right.
476
00:25:03,752 --> 00:25:06,463
Like your reputation
is a form of distribution.
477
00:25:06,463 --> 00:25:09,841
Your reputation is a form of a key
conversations
478
00:25:09,841 --> 00:25:12,886
that people would not have had with anyone
else.
479
00:25:12,886 --> 00:25:14,221
They'll have with you.
480
00:25:14,221 --> 00:25:16,223
If you have a reputation,
they'll open the door
481
00:25:16,223 --> 00:25:19,434
for you and Jeff already at that
time to get it right.
482
00:25:19,476 --> 00:25:22,020
Like even if anyone is also still
losing a ton of money.
483
00:25:22,020 --> 00:25:25,273
At the time, it was clear that he had
built something special, and the Jason
484
00:25:25,273 --> 00:25:29,277
and I, at the very least
would have an interesting conversation
485
00:25:29,277 --> 00:25:33,782
versus and I hope I don't offend
any of my more recent VC friends.
486
00:25:33,823 --> 00:25:34,533
Like all of these,
487
00:25:34,533 --> 00:25:39,621
these are just not that interesting
as entrepreneurial counterparts, right?
488
00:25:39,663 --> 00:25:41,915
Like some of them will build
great businesses and then companies.
489
00:25:41,915 --> 00:25:43,583
These are more interesting,
the kind of people
490
00:25:43,583 --> 00:25:46,545
who just came up through like, well,
I like to deploy capital
491
00:25:46,628 --> 00:25:50,590
to know what I'm not that interested in
that conversation in that direction.
492
00:25:50,799 --> 00:25:52,676
Jeff. Okay. You build something.
493
00:25:52,676 --> 00:25:56,555
You took something from nothing
but a shitty banner on the wall
494
00:25:56,555 --> 00:25:59,015
that said Amazon and turned over table.
495
00:25:59,015 --> 00:26:00,976
And you build something critical.
496
00:26:00,976 --> 00:26:02,060
Okay, we'll hear you out.
497
00:26:02,060 --> 00:26:08,191
And and then it turned out that Jeff was
also irrational in a very irrational way.
498
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,318
Like we were like,
we don't need your money.
499
00:26:10,318 --> 00:26:12,862
And to make it go away.
500
00:26:12,862 --> 00:26:16,992
Here's a ludicrous term sheet
that makes no financial sense.
501
00:26:17,033 --> 00:26:19,202
Like, okay, fine,
if you want to give us literally
502
00:26:19,202 --> 00:26:22,247
just millions
and millions of dollars for no control,
503
00:26:22,247 --> 00:26:26,376
no timeline, no guaranteed exit, fine.
504
00:26:26,376 --> 00:26:26,918
We'll take it.
505
00:26:26,918 --> 00:26:28,378
But you're not going to do that, are you?
506
00:26:28,378 --> 00:26:31,089
And then he's like, okay, like fuck.
507
00:26:32,257 --> 00:26:33,091
And I remember it.
508
00:26:33,091 --> 00:26:36,177
It was it was funny because like,
normally you go to pieces
509
00:26:36,177 --> 00:26:39,306
in this pitch deck and you go through
all of these metrics in case.
510
00:26:39,306 --> 00:26:41,016
And I was like,
we're not doing any of those.
511
00:26:41,016 --> 00:26:43,310
We will just write one piece of paper
down.
512
00:26:43,310 --> 00:26:46,479
Here's the three key metrics
about where the business is going
513
00:26:46,479 --> 00:26:47,606
and where we are right now.
514
00:26:47,606 --> 00:26:50,859
And here's the stupid number
that we're asking you to pay
515
00:26:50,984 --> 00:26:52,986
and slide it
across the table.
516
00:26:52,986 --> 00:26:56,072
And he's like, basically, actually
517
00:26:56,114 --> 00:26:56,740
what happened
518
00:26:56,740 --> 00:26:58,867
first was slightly across the table,
just t
519
00:26:58,867 --> 00:27:00,785
and we got some real feedback
to the right.
520
00:27:00,785 --> 00:27:01,870
Okay.
521
00:27:01,870 --> 00:27:04,414
I mean no, like that's ridiculous.
522
00:27:04,414 --> 00:27:07,751
But of course
I mean they Jeff just to get this thing.
523
00:27:07,751 --> 00:27:10,712
So when he got Ahold of it
he was like no you know what? Yeah.
524
00:27:10,712 --> 00:27:15,925
It doesn't make any sense right now
at this nascent space, at this nascent
525
00:27:15,925 --> 00:27:19,596
time, they don't have the revenues
to validate what they're asking for.
526
00:27:19,638 --> 00:27:22,349
It is a little bit stupid,
but I'm still going to take a bet on it.
527
00:27:22,349 --> 00:27:25,810
Like he saw something in in us
and what we were doing.
528
00:27:25,810 --> 00:27:29,773
We had written Getting Real,
the first book that we published
529
00:27:29,773 --> 00:27:33,151
at the time, and he had read that,
he just saw something
530
00:27:33,151 --> 00:27:36,988
in just the two of us that was beyond
the fundamentals of the business.
531
00:27:36,988 --> 00:27:39,115
And he gave us our stupid number, which,
532
00:27:39,115 --> 00:27:41,201
I mean, in hindsight,
wasn't that stupid at all.
533
00:27:41,201 --> 00:27:42,577
It was just stupid for the time.
534
00:27:42,577 --> 00:27:46,623
It was stupid for the traction
we had in the moment.
535
00:27:46,623 --> 00:27:50,502
And then over the next,
what is it going to be about 20 years,
536
00:27:50,543 --> 00:27:52,545
almost 20 year anniversary?
537
00:27:52,545 --> 00:27:55,674
Actually, I think this year
we should actually celebrate
538
00:27:55,674 --> 00:27:59,719
that he's gotten his money back
many times over.
539
00:27:59,761 --> 00:28:02,555
His stake is worth a ton more than what
he bought it for.
540
00:28:02,555 --> 00:28:04,557
It was a fantastic investment.
541
00:28:04,557 --> 00:28:09,771
I wish that I actually had that level
of rational irrationality sometimes.
542
00:28:09,771 --> 00:28:11,064
Like, I don't actually think I have that.
543
00:28:11,064 --> 00:28:14,150
And I also think that's why
I run into singles, not Amazon.
544
00:28:14,192 --> 00:28:14,609
Right?
545
00:28:14,609 --> 00:28:19,781
Jeff just has this incredible capacity
to see really far out
546
00:28:19,781 --> 00:28:23,868
and make some bets
that don't actually pencil out
547
00:28:23,868 --> 00:28:27,789
on the math side of things, yet
still somehow succeed.
548
00:28:27,789 --> 00:28:30,500
So that was how it
happened to Jason. And I got
549
00:28:31,584 --> 00:28:33,420
to take some money off the table,
550
00:28:33,420 --> 00:28:36,631
which meant that we were now
551
00:28:36,631 --> 00:28:42,011
completely immune to even quite lavish
proposals from BKS about
552
00:28:42,011 --> 00:28:45,682
putting a ton of money into the business,
because we were like, do you know what?
553
00:28:45,724 --> 00:28:50,353
We've already taken enough off
that if this thing blows up next year.
554
00:28:50,395 --> 00:28:52,147
Im not going to regret anything.
555
00:28:52,147 --> 00:28:54,566
Versus
the thing is, when you're getting started
556
00:28:54,566 --> 00:28:57,569
and neither Jason or I were rich,
like we did not have like,
557
00:28:57,569 --> 00:28:58,653
a cushion to fall back on.
558
00:28:58,653 --> 00:29:02,365
If this thing didn't work, then
we'll go back to working for someone else.
559
00:29:03,491 --> 00:29:07,537
It's going to be tempting
if someone comes waving a check.
560
00:29:07,579 --> 00:29:09,497
Do you want to see me into your business?
561
00:29:09,497 --> 00:29:11,166
Like it feels like it's
562
00:29:11,166 --> 00:29:13,835
sort of your money,
even though it's totally not right.
563
00:29:13,835 --> 00:29:15,754
Like, I suppose these days,
564
00:29:15,754 --> 00:29:17,922
taking money off the table
I ask some of these funding worlds
565
00:29:17,922 --> 00:29:19,132
is something that happens all the time.
566
00:29:19,132 --> 00:29:21,009
At the time that was not really been on.
567
00:29:21,009 --> 00:29:23,887
Like you could see a large check,
but it would all go into the business.
568
00:29:23,887 --> 00:29:28,641
And then you basically had taken
on a promise to pay the back,
569
00:29:28,683 --> 00:29:30,059
like you were going to productively deploy
570
00:29:30,059 --> 00:29:31,311
that and you're going to hire
a bunch of people,
571
00:29:31,311 --> 00:29:32,645
you're going to spend
a bunch of marketing,
572
00:29:32,645 --> 00:29:34,355
and then hopefully
it was going to work out.
573
00:29:34,355 --> 00:29:37,525
And if it didn't, you were left
with Butkus.
574
00:29:37,901 --> 00:29:41,905
You were just as badly off
as if you're just failed on your own.
575
00:29:41,905 --> 00:29:46,326
In fact, you were part of your worse off
because you would have tasted real money,
576
00:29:46,534 --> 00:29:49,537
and then it would just like,
have gone away like bubbles.
577
00:29:49,579 --> 00:29:51,873
So that was not the model we wanted.
578
00:29:51,873 --> 00:29:54,834
We wanted the model where
if the money we took in was some to keep
579
00:29:54,834 --> 00:30:00,006
and we wanted to give up zero control,
and somehow we found exactly the person
580
00:30:00,006 --> 00:30:04,844
who were lined with that crazy triangle
of what we wanted,
581
00:30:04,844 --> 00:30:08,848
what he was interested in,
and what the baseness was able to deliver.
582
00:30:08,848 --> 00:30:13,728
And it's been the most happy investor
583
00:30:13,728 --> 00:30:16,940
and bestie relationship
I could possibly imagine.
584
00:30:16,940 --> 00:30:20,944
All we did with Jeff
was we had some wonderful conversations
585
00:30:20,944 --> 00:30:23,947
with
him over the years where we took
586
00:30:24,030 --> 00:30:27,242
problems, challenges,
interesting dilemmas of the business
587
00:30:27,242 --> 00:30:30,245
to him about once a year,
and we had a great conversation about it,
588
00:30:30,245 --> 00:30:33,665
and most of the time his advice was,
you know what to do.
589
00:30:33,706 --> 00:30:37,877
He should just do it right,
giving us the confidence
590
00:30:37,919 --> 00:30:40,338
that someone in his position
would say, like,
591
00:30:40,338 --> 00:30:43,341
hey, whatever you're doing is actually
looks good.
592
00:30:43,341 --> 00:30:44,175
Keep rolling.
593
00:30:44,175 --> 00:30:46,928
I'm like, all right,
let's do that. And turned out very well.
594
00:30:46,928 --> 00:30:49,055
do you think
are the things he saw in you guys?
595
00:30:49,055 --> 00:30:51,933
I think he saw some.
596
00:30:54,018 --> 00:30:55,311
He saw some ripples.
597
00:30:55,311 --> 00:30:59,816
He saw some people who were not part
of the usual scene he was in.
598
00:30:59,858 --> 00:31:05,488
He saw a brash company out of Chicago, of
all places, especially in the early 2000.
599
00:31:05,530 --> 00:31:08,533
Chicago had nothing in terms of a tech
scene.
600
00:31:08,533 --> 00:31:11,911
It later
got something like Groupon and others
601
00:31:11,911 --> 00:31:16,833
came in the late O's,
but at the time there was nothing.
602
00:31:16,833 --> 00:31:20,336
He was like, what are these people
who actually believe they know better?
603
00:31:20,461 --> 00:31:23,339
They're in in backwater country
604
00:31:23,339 --> 00:31:27,552
as far as tech goes, and
they're building everything by themselves.
605
00:31:27,552 --> 00:31:29,012
They're not wanting to raise VC.
606
00:31:29,012 --> 00:31:32,765
I think there was just a curiosity
there, like a long shot
607
00:31:32,807 --> 00:31:37,687
maybe, but also just
a promise of a different shot
608
00:31:37,729 --> 00:31:39,564
compared to all the other shots
he was looking at.
609
00:31:39,564 --> 00:31:40,732
And he took some of those too.
610
00:31:40,732 --> 00:31:43,651
It wasn't like we were the only company
then he did this model with.
611
00:31:43,651 --> 00:31:44,694
But I actually do think
612
00:31:44,694 --> 00:31:47,989
after we were talking to his team,
I don't know, 10 or 12 years ago
613
00:31:48,031 --> 00:31:51,284
that we were one of the ones
that fared the best, even though we had
614
00:31:51,284 --> 00:31:57,373
none of the traditional shape of like,
oh, this is an obvious deal to me, right?
615
00:31:57,415 --> 00:32:01,377
And I think that's a wise way of investing
616
00:32:01,377 --> 00:32:04,881
that putting your eggs
on, on, on some long shots.
617
00:32:04,923 --> 00:32:05,173
Right.
618
00:32:05,173 --> 00:32:08,092
Like if you see some shape
there, there's some promise here.
619
00:32:08,092 --> 00:32:11,054
It's like, I think this thing is going
to flame out to be tackle
620
00:32:11,054 --> 00:32:12,138
or it's going to go somewhere.
621
00:32:12,138 --> 00:32:14,223
In some ways
it's a very DC way of thinking, right?
622
00:32:14,223 --> 00:32:17,685
Like leases are very much up like,
well, right.
623
00:32:18,061 --> 00:32:19,729
Well they look mostly at the grandeur.
Right.
624
00:32:19,729 --> 00:32:21,356
Like it's just going to be $1
billion business.
625
00:32:21,356 --> 00:32:23,149
That wasn't what Jefferson
before it was like.
626
00:32:23,149 --> 00:32:27,195
But these motherfuckers crazy enough
to just continue to push
627
00:32:27,195 --> 00:32:28,363
in the way that they are.
628
00:32:28,363 --> 00:32:31,032
And let's see where that plays out.
629
00:32:31,032 --> 00:32:32,283
I think perhaps part of it,
630
00:32:32,283 --> 00:32:35,078
I mean, for him, even though for us
it was a stupid valuation,
631
00:32:35,078 --> 00:32:38,247
it was very meaningful amount of money
that we suddenly went from,
632
00:32:38,247 --> 00:32:41,501
hey, here's almost nothing in your bank
account to here's millions.
633
00:32:41,584 --> 00:32:43,127
Like, that's very meaningful for him.
634
00:32:43,127 --> 00:32:44,754
He was cushioning change, right.
635
00:32:44,754 --> 00:32:48,466
So at that stage you can do it
just for the laughs.
636
00:32:48,633 --> 00:32:51,552
How does a founder
that's just getting started
637
00:32:51,552 --> 00:32:54,973
decide to raise versus not?
638
00:32:55,181 --> 00:32:56,683
What are the variables?
639
00:32:56,683 --> 00:32:59,644
For me, a lot of it is does the business
640
00:33:00,019 --> 00:33:03,648
require capital to build out things?
641
00:33:03,690 --> 00:33:08,319
Does it require capital to build factories
or produce inventory,
642
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:12,365
or any of the other traditional avenues
that acquire a lot of some capital?
643
00:33:13,491 --> 00:33:14,325
I'm far more
644
00:33:14,325 --> 00:33:18,204
skeptical when it comes to,
do we just need to pay a bunch of people,
645
00:33:18,413 --> 00:33:21,958
because then I feel a
what's just been happening,
646
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:25,211
as we've talked about with agents,
is changing that dramatically.
647
00:33:25,336 --> 00:33:28,506
Certainly
in terms of that early validation stage.
648
00:33:28,548 --> 00:33:29,590
Right.
649
00:33:29,590 --> 00:33:33,302
It makes a lot less sense now,
in my opinion, to raise a bunch of money,
650
00:33:33,553 --> 00:33:38,850
to pay a bunch of salaries to see if
there's something there you could get to.
651
00:33:38,891 --> 00:33:42,645
Is there something there lot, lot cheaper?
652
00:33:42,687 --> 00:33:45,064
And I mean, we already been very cheap
653
00:33:45,064 --> 00:33:48,651
20 years ago, before the ratings,
before all sorts of things.
654
00:33:48,651 --> 00:33:52,363
It is Tripoli doubly true today
655
00:33:52,363 --> 00:33:57,160
that you can find out
whether that idea you have has legs.
656
00:33:57,201 --> 00:34:00,163
If your ideas in software again
as you talked about the problem
657
00:34:00,163 --> 00:34:04,167
is something everyone else
and that maybe is kind of difficult now.
658
00:34:04,167 --> 00:34:08,171
And maybe that's also why the investor
sentiments have changed somewhat.
659
00:34:08,463 --> 00:34:11,215
We just went from literally
660
00:34:11,215 --> 00:34:15,887
the high watermark
in the history of software, I think 2001.
661
00:34:15,887 --> 00:34:18,890
That was when the highest valuations
ever granted to pure
662
00:34:18,890 --> 00:34:22,935
software companies had ever been achieved,
and probably ever will.
663
00:34:23,227 --> 00:34:23,561
Right?
664
00:34:23,561 --> 00:34:27,106
Like, it is so fascinating
to look at the graph of when BC started
665
00:34:27,106 --> 00:34:30,902
investing in software, especially from
the internet based 90s forward.
666
00:34:30,985 --> 00:34:36,866
Then you read the Senate in 2021
where the valuation to truly bonkers
667
00:34:36,866 --> 00:34:39,869
because everyone thinks
SaaS is magic, right?
668
00:34:39,869 --> 00:34:42,205
Like it's magic or was magic.
669
00:34:42,205 --> 00:34:45,208
You could take these monthly
670
00:34:45,208 --> 00:34:48,586
revenue streams and you just plot them out
and you could think it's a machine.
671
00:34:48,586 --> 00:34:52,715
If I put in X amount of money
into my marketing thing,
672
00:34:52,715 --> 00:34:56,135
I can look at my LTV and my cat.
673
00:34:56,135 --> 00:34:59,764
And if those ratios are right,
I can extrapolate that this is just going
674
00:34:59,764 --> 00:35:05,603
to continue over the next ten years,
15 years, 20 years that music is stuck.
675
00:35:05,645 --> 00:35:09,065
No one is making 15 year projections
676
00:35:09,065 --> 00:35:12,944
on what kind of recurring revenue
a SaaS company can get today.
677
00:35:12,944 --> 00:35:14,529
That makes no sense, right?
678
00:35:14,529 --> 00:35:18,282
Because this AI joker has been plagued,
and we don't even know
679
00:35:18,282 --> 00:35:19,742
what the world is going
to look like in six months.
680
00:35:19,742 --> 00:35:23,955
So suddenly, if you cannot extrapolate
all the way out there,
681
00:35:23,996 --> 00:35:27,500
the investment
thesis is a whole lot more shaky.
682
00:35:27,500 --> 00:35:33,172
And therefore I also think raising money
now is a pure software play.
683
00:35:33,214 --> 00:35:33,881
I hate that word.
684
00:35:33,881 --> 00:35:39,887
I mean, is it in a way is probably
one of the worst times to do it?
685
00:35:39,929 --> 00:35:43,141
Maybe as bad as it was in that first
com bust,
686
00:35:43,141 --> 00:35:47,645
because you're going to get shitty
multiples, you're going to get
687
00:35:47,645 --> 00:35:52,400
some very tough questions
about how your business is defendable.
688
00:35:52,817 --> 00:35:55,153
And there was sort of always there, right?
689
00:35:55,153 --> 00:35:56,195
Like you would always ask like, well,
690
00:35:56,195 --> 00:35:59,615
couldn't someone
else couldn't Microsoft
this would be cut into other days.
691
00:35:59,657 --> 00:36:04,328
Couldn't Microsoft just turn Base Camp
into a feature of whatever office
692
00:36:04,829 --> 00:36:08,040
and like, yeah, maybe sort of in theory,
but they wouldn't
693
00:36:08,124 --> 00:36:10,251
because they accompany like that.
694
00:36:10,251 --> 00:36:13,254
Couldn't create software
like we were making
695
00:36:13,254 --> 00:36:18,217
because Base Camp was a product of what,
seven, ten, 20 people can create.
696
00:36:18,259 --> 00:36:21,470
Not a product
of what 50,000 people can create, right?
697
00:36:21,512 --> 00:36:26,267
But now it's a lot easier for a lot more
people to be able to take a shot at that.
698
00:36:26,309 --> 00:36:29,478
Whether they succeed or not, you're going
to have more competition on it.
699
00:36:29,478 --> 00:36:32,899
So I think the pure software
thing is in for a rough ride,
700
00:36:32,899 --> 00:36:37,320
and obviously it's not even in for a rough
ride, is in a rough ride.
701
00:36:37,361 --> 00:36:40,489
Like everything
I'm hearing from valuations being branded
702
00:36:40,489 --> 00:36:45,578
to existing companies and what they need
to show has just gotten up so much or so.
703
00:36:45,620 --> 00:36:47,705
In some ways, I think that's a blessing.
704
00:36:47,705 --> 00:36:51,792
It means that the easy money
is no longer available, and therefore
705
00:36:51,792 --> 00:36:53,127
you have to figure out another path.
706
00:36:53,127 --> 00:36:56,130
And some ways, again, this is our story.
707
00:36:56,339 --> 00:36:59,592
Even if we wanted to raise
a bunch of VC capital
708
00:36:59,634 --> 00:37:04,055
back in whatever, 2005,
it wasn't going to happen in Chicago.
709
00:37:04,096 --> 00:37:07,058
We were going to have to move to
Silicon Valley.
710
00:37:07,058 --> 00:37:09,810
Like I didn't want
to move to second ballot. So
711
00:37:10,978 --> 00:37:11,646
maybe some
712
00:37:11,646 --> 00:37:15,399
of that was the year
you fall in love with your circumstances.
713
00:37:15,399 --> 00:37:16,609
And I think that's actually a good thing.
714
00:37:16,609 --> 00:37:20,529
Fall in love with the fact that, like, no,
you can't just raise an SEC
715
00:37:20,571 --> 00:37:21,489
funding anymore
716
00:37:21,489 --> 00:37:25,993
on the same terms that people are doing in
21, you gotta you gotta do it yourself.
717
00:37:25,993 --> 00:37:29,080
Now, good news is using them.
718
00:37:29,330 --> 00:37:33,042
And what's your roadmap
for the software company owner out there
719
00:37:33,042 --> 00:37:36,337
that's going through some struggles, maybe
not just in terms of valuation, in terms
720
00:37:36,337 --> 00:37:39,382
of the competitiveness, the distribution.
721
00:37:39,590 --> 00:37:43,803
You know, they're in a tougher market
than they were three years ago.
722
00:37:43,803 --> 00:37:46,138
Five years ago. What are you guys doing?
723
00:37:46,138 --> 00:37:50,393
I have
already come to terms
with all the outcomes.
724
00:37:50,393 --> 00:37:53,396
And I say that in a way of
725
00:37:54,105 --> 00:37:56,274
we've been so fortunate,
726
00:37:56,274 --> 00:37:59,986
especially with Base Camp,
to have a software product.
727
00:38:00,027 --> 00:38:03,864
We launched in February of 2004,
728
00:38:05,449 --> 00:38:06,033
the same
729
00:38:06,033 --> 00:38:08,995
day or the day after Facebook launched.
730
00:38:09,036 --> 00:38:12,164
This is an eternity in software.
731
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:18,754
We've gotten all that we could ever expect
to get out of that business.
732
00:38:19,088 --> 00:38:23,467
So therefore everything we're getting from
this day forth is all gravy.
733
00:38:23,467 --> 00:38:27,471
And if it ends tomorrow,
I will look back on that ride
734
00:38:27,471 --> 00:38:31,309
with nothing but immense gratitude that a
we were at the right place
735
00:38:31,309 --> 00:38:32,560
at the right time.
736
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,020
We built the right team.
737
00:38:34,020 --> 00:38:37,231
We had an incredible run, both
738
00:38:37,231 --> 00:38:40,651
economically, spiritually, professionally.
739
00:38:40,693 --> 00:38:45,072
Craftsmanship lead to build that over 20
plus years.
740
00:38:45,072 --> 00:38:48,701
So if it's all going to end
by the end of the year because AGI
741
00:38:48,743 --> 00:38:52,830
is going to eat it all,
I won't have any regrets.
742
00:38:52,913 --> 00:38:57,126
Now, I understand that perspective
743
00:38:57,168 --> 00:39:01,797
is a little more difficult to have
if you haven't yet gotten yours.
744
00:39:01,964 --> 00:39:03,257
So he.
745
00:39:03,257 --> 00:39:08,679
But it's also an historically
evergreen perspective.
746
00:39:08,721 --> 00:39:10,639
This is what the Stoics were all about.
747
00:39:10,639 --> 00:39:12,641
What is inside of your control?
748
00:39:12,641 --> 00:39:14,852
That's
what you should focus your energy on.
749
00:39:14,852 --> 00:39:15,895
What could you do?
750
00:39:15,895 --> 00:39:18,439
Well, I continue to do all that I can do.
751
00:39:18,439 --> 00:39:20,441
I show up, I build the best software.
752
00:39:20,441 --> 00:39:25,446
I know how I try my darndest
to be interesting and to share
753
00:39:25,446 --> 00:39:30,034
and therefore earn some attention
and attention economy.
754
00:39:30,034 --> 00:39:33,037
And therefore,
hopefully there are some people who maybe
755
00:39:33,037 --> 00:39:35,456
watch this show go like check it out,
watch base camp.
756
00:39:35,456 --> 00:39:36,707
I am here at this camp.
757
00:39:36,707 --> 00:39:38,876
Let me see. Oh,
make this something I need them.
758
00:39:38,876 --> 00:39:39,919
Maybe it's not something I need,
759
00:39:39,919 --> 00:39:43,047
but I know someone who could need it,
so I'm going to recommend it.
760
00:39:43,714 --> 00:39:45,591
That's what I can control.
761
00:39:45,591 --> 00:39:46,926
So that's what I'm going to focus on.
762
00:39:46,926 --> 00:39:50,679
Can I control whether API is going to hit
by the end of the year?
763
00:39:50,679 --> 00:39:53,474
And base camp
and the rest of the SaaS world
764
00:39:53,474 --> 00:39:56,477
is going to just get swept away
in this tsunami.
765
00:39:56,477 --> 00:40:02,316
No, I can't, so I am going to choose
not to worry about it all the time.
766
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:06,112
I'm going to do a little bit
of negative visualization
767
00:40:06,112 --> 00:40:08,406
where I imagine that's going to happen,
768
00:40:08,406 --> 00:40:12,410
and not even just by the end of the year,
but like three months, it's over.
769
00:40:12,535 --> 00:40:13,369
All right,
770
00:40:15,079 --> 00:40:16,664
Mick, peace with that.
771
00:40:16,664 --> 00:40:18,082
Because what else are you going to do?
772
00:40:18,082 --> 00:40:19,834
What are you going to go resentful.
773
00:40:19,834 --> 00:40:23,838
What are you going to take a baseball bat
and start smashing data centers?
774
00:40:24,588 --> 00:40:26,132
That's not going to work.
775
00:40:26,132 --> 00:40:30,719
I mean, people try many times throughout
history, we have this great moniker
776
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:34,723
now for diluted movement,
and it's happening right now.
777
00:40:35,391 --> 00:40:38,769
Data centers are tremendously unpopular
in a lot of places
778
00:40:38,769 --> 00:40:42,064
because they've become the symbol for it's
going to take our jobs.
779
00:40:42,106 --> 00:40:44,191
It's going to take what I have right now.
780
00:40:44,191 --> 00:40:46,902
Well, yes.
781
00:40:46,902 --> 00:40:52,992
And that is individually tragic
and societally absolutely necessary.
782
00:40:53,576 --> 00:40:57,246
Productivity gains are
what leads to prosperity.
783
00:40:57,329 --> 00:40:59,874
Productivity gains are the same.
784
00:40:59,874 --> 00:41:05,463
Person is able to do much more, or we need
fewer people to do the same job.
785
00:41:05,463 --> 00:41:10,050
Now, the hope and the trust that all
786
00:41:11,302 --> 00:41:13,637
sort of optimistic people
787
00:41:13,637 --> 00:41:17,933
and comedies take on this is that, yes,
some of those going to happen.
788
00:41:17,933 --> 00:41:20,519
We're going to need fewer people
to perhaps make software.
789
00:41:20,519 --> 00:41:23,689
But one of two things
that's going to happen, either
790
00:41:23,689 --> 00:41:26,859
it's going to take a lot fewer people
to make that software, and therefore
791
00:41:26,901 --> 00:41:28,402
the price of software
is going to come down,
792
00:41:28,402 --> 00:41:31,155
and therefore the demand for software
is going to go way up.
793
00:41:31,155 --> 00:41:36,952
So we're now going to have actually more
people writing software, directing agents
794
00:41:36,952 --> 00:41:39,079
to create software,
because the price is going to come
795
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:41,290
so much down
and therefore dimensional go up.
796
00:41:41,290 --> 00:41:44,960
That was the theory around ATM machines
when they were introduced.
797
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:45,127
Right?
798
00:41:45,127 --> 00:41:48,088
Like a lot of people thought
bank tellers were going to be out of a job
799
00:41:48,088 --> 00:41:50,633
because the ATM machine
is going to take them all.
800
00:41:50,633 --> 00:41:54,470
Know what happened was the price of
opening a branch then fell tremendously.
801
00:41:54,512 --> 00:41:55,763
It became cheaper to open a branch.
802
00:41:55,763 --> 00:41:59,350
So banks opened a bunch of branches,
and we had more people working in retail
803
00:41:59,391 --> 00:42:00,267
banking than ever.
804
00:42:00,267 --> 00:42:02,770
After the advent of the GM.
805
00:42:02,770 --> 00:42:07,358
Or you look at the industrial
or the agricultural revolution,
806
00:42:07,358 --> 00:42:12,571
which had like 97% of the economy
was dedicated to farming.
807
00:42:12,655 --> 00:42:15,658
Like 97% of people were out there
808
00:42:15,699 --> 00:42:19,078
driving a plow and a horse.
809
00:42:19,286 --> 00:42:22,957
And I sure think at the time when they saw
the first tractor roll around,
810
00:42:22,957 --> 00:42:26,961
they thought, fuck, that's,
that's my job there.
811
00:42:27,169 --> 00:42:28,587
Do we want to go back?
812
00:42:28,587 --> 00:42:29,296
Do you want to?
813
00:42:29,296 --> 00:42:32,341
I mean, some people have a romantic notion
of what it's like to be a farmer,
814
00:42:32,341 --> 00:42:35,344
including, surprisingly, a lot of software
developers who were like, well,
815
00:42:35,386 --> 00:42:36,095
you know what?
816
00:42:36,095 --> 00:42:37,012
I'm done with this shit.
817
00:42:37,012 --> 00:42:39,932
I'm going to be a goat herder. Okay.
818
00:42:39,932 --> 00:42:40,766
And then if you try
819
00:42:40,766 --> 00:42:43,644
and realize that a lot harder
to be a farmer than you think,
820
00:42:43,644 --> 00:42:46,647
you're sitting inside
and you push little chair and conditioned
821
00:42:46,647 --> 00:42:50,776
room and and hitting your little keys
is actually quite the job.
822
00:42:50,776 --> 00:42:53,112
Now there's some stuff there.
823
00:42:53,112 --> 00:42:56,574
And maybe human happiness is not in
just getting the most cushy job
824
00:42:56,574 --> 00:42:57,366
you can possibly get.
825
00:42:57,366 --> 00:42:59,660
But I do think there's
some very romantic notions
826
00:42:59,660 --> 00:43:02,871
about going back
that don't pan out a societal level.
827
00:43:02,871 --> 00:43:03,789
We don't want to go back.
828
00:43:03,789 --> 00:43:07,334
We actually want the prosperity
that comes from productivity.
829
00:43:07,334 --> 00:43:09,295
And productivity
830
00:43:09,295 --> 00:43:12,840
inevitably means either
fewer people doing the same work,
831
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:14,800
or the same number of people
doing more work.
832
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:18,929
What about those people watching out there
that are 35 years old, 45 years old,
833
00:43:18,929
--> 00:43:21,223
55 years old,
that they don't know how to use
834
00:43:21,223 --> 00:43:25,019
cloud code, they don't know how to prompt,
and their job ends up going away.
835
00:43:25,019 --> 00:43:30,357
And they feel like, you know,
they're looking at AI like, this is crap.
836
00:43:30,357 --> 00:43:32,401
This is taking over.
This is taking over the world.
837
00:43:32,401 --> 00:43:33,569
It's taking my job.
838
00:43:33,569 --> 00:43:36,030
The rich are getting richer from AI.
839
00:43:36,030 --> 00:43:41,452
The poor guinea poor were more
by polarized in the US than we've ever.
840
00:43:41,452 --> 00:43:42,536
Been in the class.
841
00:43:42,536 --> 00:43:46,415
And there's a lot of nightmare scenarios
you could imagine in that.
842
00:43:46,415 --> 00:43:49,543
And I also think you could have imagined
those things in the prior
843
00:43:49,543 --> 00:43:54,715
to that doesn't mean it can't happen,
and I completely sympathize with it.
844
00:43:54,715 --> 00:43:58,093
I actually think a lot of the current
political discontent
845
00:43:58,469 --> 00:44:01,680
we've seen broadly, not just in the US,
but in Europe as well, has come from
846
00:44:01,722 --> 00:44:04,975
a very elitist, glib response
847
00:44:04,975 --> 00:44:08,354
to free trade that when all the
848
00:44:10,022 --> 00:44:13,067
happened in the US and
Europe and everything got shipped to Asia,
849
00:44:13,275 --> 00:44:17,363
people just went like,
well, you get a cheaper iPhone.
850
00:44:17,571 --> 00:44:19,114
And they were like, well,
851
00:44:19,114 --> 00:44:22,117
I mean, okay, but I don't have a job
and I can't pay for a house.
852
00:44:22,117 --> 00:44:23,410
And again, to the kids, to college.
853
00:44:23,410 --> 00:44:25,954
So what good is that done? Right?
854
00:44:25,954 --> 00:44:31,210
Even though the economy as a whole did
a lot better, there are individuals in it.
855
00:44:31,251 --> 00:44:32,044
We did a lot worse.
856
00:44:32,044 --> 00:44:36,507
Now I and some of that is just had
and always has been inevitable.
857
00:44:36,548 --> 00:44:39,093
You can have some transitions
and some people are going to be worse off
858
00:44:39,093 --> 00:44:42,971
and some people are going to be
better off, but it is still to have a
859
00:44:43,972 --> 00:44:46,767
well-functioning society.
860
00:44:46,767 --> 00:44:49,812
You need to lift all boats,
and most people
861
00:44:49,853 --> 00:44:53,607
in most situations
have to see the things are getting better.
862
00:44:53,649 --> 00:44:57,695
Otherwise it's not going to be stable
and you can end up in a situation
863
00:44:57,695 --> 00:45:02,491
where the economy is getting better
in terms of the global aggregate.
864
00:45:02,491 --> 00:45:07,371
And too many people feel like, well,
it didn't pan out that way for me.
865
00:45:07,371 --> 00:45:10,916
And then you don't
get a stable society, right?
866
00:45:10,958 --> 00:45:14,253
And then suddenly even the people
who
have all the money in the world
867
00:45:14,336 --> 00:45:18,340
can't live in a nice place
because the rest of the
868
00:45:18,841 --> 00:45:21,343
civilization literally falling apart.
869
00:45:21,343 --> 00:45:22,594
So I do think that's a threat.
870
00:45:22,594 --> 00:45:23,887
I think it's worth taking serious.
871
00:45:23,887 --> 00:45:27,766
But I also think you have to divorce your
872
00:45:27,808 --> 00:45:30,853
insides from, okay,
so what are we going to do?
873
00:45:31,019 --> 00:45:31,437
Right?
874
00:45:31,437 --> 00:45:35,858
First of all, what can you do
if we tomorrow in the United States said,
875
00:45:35,941 --> 00:45:39,778
do you know what the threat
that AI is going to take a bunch of jobs,
876
00:45:39,820 --> 00:45:42,531
it's just too great. Let's just not do it.
877
00:45:42,531 --> 00:45:47,286
We're just going to stop AI tomorrow, and
then Americans won't have access to AI.
878
00:45:47,369 --> 00:45:50,122
They will be forbidden
from using new technologies.
879
00:45:50,122 --> 00:45:53,333
And let's
see how long we make it as a cocoon.
880
00:45:53,333 --> 00:45:54,293
What do you think is going to happen?
881
00:45:54,293 --> 00:45:55,961
Is it
the rest of the world is going to go like,
882
00:45:55,961 --> 00:45:58,464
oh, the American said we shouldn't do AI.
883
00:45:58,464 --> 00:46:00,507
Like China is just going to go like,
yeah, yeah.
884
00:46:00,507 --> 00:46:01,592
All right, fair play.
885
00:46:01,592 --> 00:46:02,968
Let's just put it all aside.
886
00:46:02,968 --> 00:46:04,845
No, it never happens like that.
887
00:46:04,845 --> 00:46:06,305
It has never happened like that.
888
00:46:06,305 --> 00:46:07,848
So that is the
889
00:46:08,891 --> 00:46:09,725
motion to
890
00:46:09,725 --> 00:46:13,270
propels history forward is no single
nation
891
00:46:13,270 --> 00:46:16,982
really just gets to say let's hit
pause on progress.
892
00:46:17,024 --> 00:46:19,401
Progress is going to happen.
Whether you like it or not.
893
00:46:19,401 --> 00:46:22,237
We have an obligation
to create as societies at all.
894
00:46:22,237 --> 00:46:24,740
Try to nudge it, steer it.
895
00:46:24,740 --> 00:46:27,743
We don't get to put it in reverse.
896
00:46:27,868 --> 00:46:33,999
And that's a hard reality to accept
897
00:46:33,999 --> 00:46:38,170
because it feels like we could
it feels like, hey, this is democracy.
898
00:46:38,212 --> 00:46:41,256
We just vote for people who want to ban AI
899
00:46:42,090 --> 00:46:46,053
or ban other forms of technologies
that include progress.
900
00:46:46,053 --> 00:46:47,846
And by the way, this happens all the time.
901
00:46:47,846 --> 00:46:51,433
Like there are all these interests
who line up and say, for example,
902
00:46:51,642 --> 00:46:56,688
Waymo shouldn't drive in New York
because there's a lot of cabbies who paid
903
00:46:56,688 --> 00:46:59,858
a bunch of money for their medallions
to drive a yellow cab.
904
00:46:59,858 --> 00:47:04,780
And if Waymo comes in and undercuts them
with a driverless car,
905
00:47:05,447 --> 00:47:07,032
well, what's going to happen to them?
906
00:47:07,032 --> 00:47:09,827
You could sort of
imagine that there were a bunch of
907
00:47:11,662 --> 00:47:15,332
horse drawn carriages back in, whatever,
908
00:47:15,332 --> 00:47:19,294
1910 who went like,
hey, this Henry Ford guy.
909
00:47:19,336 --> 00:47:24,007
Whoa, slow down with the mob of T,
dude, like, this is going to fast.
910
00:47:24,049 --> 00:47:25,676
Like, this is my living.
911
00:47:25,676 --> 00:47:29,555
I live by taking care of these horses
and the right people around
912
00:47:29,555 --> 00:47:31,098
in my little carriage here.
913
00:47:31,098 --> 00:47:33,976
And we don't need these
stinking model teams.
914
00:47:33,976 --> 00:47:35,185
Right again.
915
00:47:35,185 --> 00:47:36,019
Do you want to go back?
916
00:47:36,019 --> 00:47:36,812
Could you go back?
917
00:47:36,812 --> 00:47:38,981
Is that how anything works?
918
00:47:38,981 --> 00:47:43,402
How is it panned for any economy
in the world, for any country in the world
919
00:47:43,443 --> 00:47:47,239
who just said, like,
I don't know about you.
920
00:47:47,573 --> 00:47:49,032
I don't know about progress.
921
00:47:49,032 --> 00:47:50,534
I don't know about technology.
922
00:47:50,534 --> 00:47:55,122
Have they lived prosperous,
happy lives ever after? No.
923
00:47:55,163 --> 00:48:00,544
So some of this is coming
to the acceptance that we, as powerful
924
00:48:00,544 --> 00:48:03,839
as we feel collectively, actually have
925
00:48:03,839 --> 00:48:06,842
a surprisingly limited amount of influence
926
00:48:07,009 --> 00:48:11,847
on world history and how it progresses
and what happens with technology.
927
00:48:11,847 --> 00:48:14,641
It's going to happen
whether we like it or not.
928
00:48:14,641 --> 00:48:19,271
Now, therefore,
I personally choose to like it
929
00:48:19,313 --> 00:48:20,564
because this is going to happen
regardless.
930
00:48:20,564 --> 00:48:23,483
I can either feel miserable every day
and dread.
931
00:48:23,483 --> 00:48:27,321
Then AI is going to eat my company
and it's going to eat this,
932
00:48:27,321 --> 00:48:29,448
that and the other thing. Or I can go,
do you know what?
933
00:48:29,448 --> 00:48:31,283
I don't know what's going to happen.
934
00:48:31,283 --> 00:48:34,286
So I choose to believe
this is going to be amazing.
935
00:48:34,328 --> 00:48:38,081
I choose to believe that we're going
to get a new age of abundance,
936
00:48:38,081 --> 00:48:42,127
in the same way that every technology
revolution has granted mankind
937
00:48:42,169 --> 00:48:45,464
as a whole, in aggregate,
since time immemorial.
938
00:48:46,006 --> 00:48:49,426
Maybe I'll be disappointed,
but if I will be, then I can save
939
00:48:49,593 --> 00:48:50,761
this appointment for that day.
940
00:48:50,761 --> 00:48:52,304
I don't need to
nurture it
941
00:48:52,304 --> 00:48:54,640
every single day going along,
because I often think it has
942
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:59,227
this stall defying ability
to just paralyze you.
943
00:48:59,227 --> 00:49:03,315
So you sit around fretting all day about
what's going to happen in the future,
944
00:49:03,357 --> 00:49:05,359
a future you don't control.
945
00:49:05,359 --> 00:49:07,819
You're just going to be miserable
and useless.
946
00:49:07,819 --> 00:49:11,239
That is not a recipe
for neither happiness or prosperity.
947
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:16,870
So might as well put on those rose
colored glasses and make the best of it.
948
00:49:16,912 --> 00:49:18,121
Get involved.
949
00:49:18,121 --> 00:49:23,669
I mean, I had that little moment
actually with AI when I thought AI,
950
00:49:23,794 --> 00:49:27,631
the program was clearly saw
it was taking off and I saw this mode.
951
00:49:27,631 --> 00:49:30,842
I didn't like this auto complete mode,
the early stages of AI,
952
00:49:30,842 --> 00:49:34,805
and I felt like, shit,
maybe I should be a potato farmer.
953
00:49:34,888 --> 00:49:36,306
Like maybe I'm done with this shit.
954
00:49:36,306 --> 00:49:37,516
Like, if this is what my industry
955
00:49:37,516 --> 00:49:40,727
is going to turn into,
I don't know if I want to be part of it.
956
00:49:40,727 --> 00:49:43,063
And then thankfully,
I snapped out of heaven.
957
00:49:43,063 --> 00:49:47,901
Also, the mode of operation changed
and I saw what you ages with people like,
958
00:49:47,901 --> 00:49:48,318
do you know what?
959
00:49:48,318 --> 00:49:53,865
I'm just going to lean that I am going
to make the best of what I've been given
960
00:49:53,865 --> 00:49:55,534
because I don't have a choice
that the way.
961
00:49:55,534 --> 00:49:58,996
So choose to be miserable,
choose to be happy.
962
00:49:59,204 --> 00:50:01,415
This is literally within your control.
963
00:50:01,415 --> 00:50:01,748
Yeah.
964
00:50:01,748 --> 00:50:04,042
Look, I agree with you on some things,
but I do want to push back,
965
00:50:04,042 --> 00:50:08,088
so I so I live my life
with an insane level of optimism.
966
00:50:08,088 --> 00:50:10,048
So I'm in a similar way
967
00:50:10,048 --> 00:50:11,925
not going to think about,
oh my God, this is going to end the world.
968
00:50:11,925 --> 00:50:14,803
All these jobs. I'm
pushing forward with optimism.
969
00:50:14,803 --> 00:50:20,267
But the but the the pushback
is unlike some of these other references.
970
00:50:20,267 --> 00:50:21,560
Right. Where. Yep.
971
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:23,270
The model T came along okay.
972
00:50:23,270 --> 00:50:26,606
Horse and carriage is gone
or self-driving is here.
973
00:50:26,648 --> 00:50:31,945
Taxis in New York are gone from the people
that I spoke to, specifically
974
00:50:31,987 --> 00:50:35,032
Romanian Polski and a couple other people
even here more recently,
975
00:50:35,032 --> 00:50:39,119
their worry
isn't that AI
is going to help,
976
00:50:39,244 --> 00:50:42,664
or AI is going to put us in a position
where we're losing all our jobs.
977
00:50:42,706 --> 00:50:44,875
They're worried
that if we don't put guardrails,
978
00:50:44,875 --> 00:50:47,753
you have a couple companies, 3
to 5 companies, right?
979
00:50:47,753 --> 00:50:50,464
You have anthropic,
you have Google, right?
980
00:50:50,464 --> 00:50:54,259
You have OpenAI
that are building something that
981
00:50:55,469 --> 00:50:57,596
will be powerful enough
982
00:50:57,596 --> 00:51:01,183
to kill all of humanity, right?
983
00:51:01,641 --> 00:51:05,312
Henry's model
T Ford was going to displace a lot of jobs
984
00:51:05,312 --> 00:51:06,188
and things were going to happen.
985
00:51:06,188 --> 00:51:07,606
There's a technological
986
00:51:07,606 --> 00:51:11,109
there's an industrial revolution coming,
but there wasn't a chance
987
00:51:11,109 --> 00:51:12,611
that was going to kill all of humanity.
988
00:51:12,611 --> 00:51:16,990
We're in a position today
where we're still in control.
989
00:51:16,990 --> 00:51:19,826
We haven't reached from what we know.
990
00:51:19,826 --> 00:51:22,370
We haven't reached
artificial superintelligence.
991
00:51:22,370 --> 00:51:27,042
And yes, I'm not going to sit here
and live my life and just stress
992
00:51:27,042 --> 00:51:28,168
and worry about that all day.
993
00:51:28,168 --> 00:51:31,922
But but if I think
that could be a possible outcome.
994
00:51:32,089 --> 00:51:33,632
I have children.
995
00:51:33,632 --> 00:51:34,800
You as well. Right?
996
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,220
So, you know, thinking about there
existence
997
00:51:38,220 --> 00:51:41,348
in their life and,
you know, you're probably just like me.
998
00:51:41,389 --> 00:51:43,433
Like your family
is one of the most important,
999
00:51:43,433 --> 00:51:45,727
the most important thing in your life.
1000
00:51:45,727 --> 00:51:49,064
You know, I don't want to stress about it,
and I don't want to worry about it.
1001
00:51:49,064 --> 00:51:52,109
But at the same time,
if I just act like it's
1002
00:51:52,109 --> 00:51:55,112
not there and put those glasses on,
1003
00:51:55,237 --> 00:51:59,574
I think I'm doing myself, my family,
potentially the world a disservice.
1004
00:51:59,991 --> 00:52:03,078
If you believe
that you have the power to change it,
1005
00:52:03,662 --> 00:52:05,872
if you don't have the power to change it.
1006
00:52:05,872 --> 00:52:09,626
I don't know what the service you're doing
by not fretting about it all the time.
1007
00:52:09,668 --> 00:52:14,798
Now, the other thing I'd say
is, through most of recorded history,
1008
00:52:14,798 --> 00:52:17,926
we have had a doomsday story
to tell each other,
1009
00:52:17,926 --> 00:52:22,430
and in the early ages that was limited to
just what religion was.
1010
00:52:22,472 --> 00:52:26,434
I was like, well, there was going to be
a judgment day, and it's going to come
1011
00:52:26,476 --> 00:52:30,230
and it's going to be terrible
for all people.
1012
00:52:30,230 --> 00:52:31,523
It's going to watch this in this way.
1013
00:52:31,523 --> 00:52:32,774
And then whenever
1014
00:52:32,774 --> 00:52:36,653
maybe there's a blessed few
that gets this ticket to a higher plane.
1015
00:52:36,653 --> 00:52:40,407
And then in more modern days,
we've had with the nuclear bomb,
1016
00:52:40,448 --> 00:52:43,869
like when that got amended
and you had decades
1017
00:52:43,869 --> 00:52:48,790
where people lived their lives in fear
that like the Soviet Union
1018
00:52:48,874 --> 00:52:52,586
or United States
just going to get into this conflict.
1019
00:52:52,836 --> 00:52:56,464
And we had the Cuban
Missile Crisis and got close.
1020
00:52:57,591 --> 00:53:00,218
Oh, if all those people, for all that time
1021
00:53:00,218 --> 00:53:03,221
just setting out,
worrying about like, well,
1022
00:53:04,014 --> 00:53:07,434
there's there's two crazy guys,
the American president and,
1023
00:53:07,434 --> 00:53:10,729
and the leader of the Communist Party
in Soviet Union.
1024
00:53:10,770 --> 00:53:12,689
They have the finger on the button.
1025
00:53:12,689 --> 00:53:14,524
They just need to push them all over.
1026
00:53:14,524 --> 00:53:18,069
I mean, that was in many ways
that get more immediate threat, right?
1027
00:53:18,278 --> 00:53:23,366
It just required one misstep
from one individual, actually.
1028
00:53:23,366 --> 00:53:26,119
And in the end of the world. Right.
1029
00:53:26,119 --> 00:53:29,497
What we have right now with AI is
we have a fear
1030
00:53:29,831 --> 00:53:32,500
that requires a fair
amount of extrapolation.
1031
00:53:32,500 --> 00:53:36,004
I'm not saying it's not a scenario
you should worry about.
1032
00:53:36,004 --> 00:53:39,341
I'm certainly not saying that the people
working on the AI shouldn't
1033
00:53:39,341 --> 00:53:42,594
be taking it seriously,
but I'm also saying
1034
00:53:42,677 --> 00:53:48,767
it is less immediate end of the world
stuff than the nuclear threat was.
1035
00:53:48,808 --> 00:53:52,687
Then we look at more modern faces
and we've had the climate movement, right,
1036
00:53:52,771 --> 00:53:56,524
like al Gore
20 years ago, went like the polar bears
1037
00:53:56,524 --> 00:54:00,153
are all going to be gone
by the time we sit and record this.
1038
00:54:00,195 --> 00:54:04,115
Well, they weren't I'm not saying again
that there is no climate change.
1039
00:54:04,199 --> 00:54:05,867
I'm saying
perhaps there's a little more doubt
1040
00:54:05,867 --> 00:54:09,412
now about what sources of that
what's our influence on then?
1041
00:54:09,454 --> 00:54:15,502
Can you actually change it by switching
everything to to renewable sources?
1042
00:54:15,502 --> 00:54:17,379
I think there's
a lot of uncertainty there.
1043
00:54:17,379 --> 00:54:21,091
But there's a lot of people, especially
in Europe, or spend a lot of time
1044
00:54:21,258 --> 00:54:23,677
who've let that grip
their entire personality,
1045
00:54:23,677 --> 00:54:27,264
who've let that dictate whether they
should even bring children into the world.
1046
00:54:27,264 --> 00:54:28,932
Why should you bring children
into this world?
1047
00:54:28,932 --> 00:54:32,185
Because the climate is going to end
in 20 years, right?
1048
00:54:32,227 --> 00:54:35,230
Like it's
going to be an uninhabitable planet,
1049
00:54:35,313 --> 00:54:38,233
which first of all, it's just not true.
1050
00:54:38,233 --> 00:54:43,029
Second of all,
even if it was to whatever definition of
1051
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:46,950
of of reality that could be, it's
not a way to live like
1052
00:54:46,950 --> 00:54:47,659
what you're going to waste
1053
00:54:47,659 --> 00:54:51,830
the last few decades just sitting around
covering in the corner.
1054
00:54:51,830 --> 00:54:54,457
No, it's not a way to to live.
1055
00:54:54,457 --> 00:54:58,003
So I fall back to this story. Principle.
1056
00:54:58,044 --> 00:55:00,005
What do I have control over?
1057
00:55:00,005 --> 00:55:03,550
Like maybe you have some control
over the largest things you can vote,
1058
00:55:03,550 --> 00:55:08,013
and there's a tiny bit of a sliver
of something you don't get to stop.
1059
00:55:08,013 --> 00:55:12,100
Whether AI technology is going to continue
to be delivered anymore.
1060
00:55:12,183 --> 00:55:13,685
Then I don't know.
1061
00:55:13,685 --> 00:55:17,981
Some person in a French cafe in Paris
got to stop the United States from
1062
00:55:18,356 --> 00:55:21,026
or developing the nuclear weapon, right?
1063
00:55:21,026 --> 00:55:22,736
We just don't have that much agency.
1064
00:55:22,736 --> 00:55:26,531
And there's a great liberation
in that realization.
1065
00:55:26,573 --> 00:55:31,286
You don't get to control of the world,
these locomotives of progress,
1066
00:55:31,286 --> 00:55:32,203
they're going to turn.
1067
00:55:32,203 --> 00:55:39,878
You don't have very many of any real
examples of this kind of progress.
1068
00:55:39,878 --> 00:55:41,463
Just halting.
1069
00:55:41,463 --> 00:55:45,717
Now we actually in the negative content
of a little bit of an indication of it,
1070
00:55:45,759 --> 00:55:49,387
like what we did with nuclear power
plants, the Western world
1071
00:55:49,429 --> 00:55:54,559
basically went, here's this insane,
amazing technology that is basically
1072
00:55:54,559 --> 00:55:59,147
producing the most environmentally
friendly form of electricity.
1073
00:55:59,147 --> 00:56:00,982
It's all baseload.
1074
00:56:00,982 --> 00:56:03,568
It's all coming from splitting
goddamn atom.
1075
00:56:03,568 --> 00:56:07,447
And what it produces is the size of a soda
can in terms of nuclear
1076
00:56:07,447 --> 00:56:10,450
waste per person, per lifetime of energy.
1077
00:56:10,492 --> 00:56:13,370
It's an incredible technology to have.
1078
00:56:13,370 --> 00:56:14,871
And we just went like
1079
00:56:14,871 --> 00:56:19,250
and no, let's like not build
more of those power plants, right?
1080
00:56:19,334 --> 00:56:23,838
Absolutely insane
hysteria led us to that conclusion
1081
00:56:23,922 --> 00:56:26,925
of a Chernobyl.
1082
00:56:27,384 --> 00:56:31,221
Why they killed
then issued a small number of people.
1083
00:56:31,262 --> 00:56:35,642
I mean, air pollution kills
more individuals on, I don't know, weekly
1084
00:56:35,642 --> 00:56:41,564
basis probably than what Ginobili indirect
effects killed even though that garnered
1085
00:56:41,564 --> 00:56:44,984
so much attention and really steered
the conversation about nuclear.
1086
00:56:45,026 --> 00:56:45,985
Right. So
1087
00:56:47,070 --> 00:56:49,322
that's an example of us slowing down
right now.
1088
00:56:49,322 --> 00:56:52,325
We're kind of realizing,
okay, that was a big mistake.
1089
00:56:53,118 --> 00:56:56,329
What a wonderful
land of abundance of energy.
1090
00:56:56,329 --> 00:57:00,166
All this fretting we have right now
over data centers and like how they're
1091
00:57:00,166 --> 00:57:02,252
going to get their energy
and what we're doing.
1092
00:57:02,252 --> 00:57:05,630
None of that would have been there
if we just kept the pedal on the metal
1093
00:57:05,630 --> 00:57:10,135
and built as many nuclear power plants
as, say, France did it in the 80s.
1094
00:57:10,385 --> 00:57:14,764
They more than half of France's
new or power
1095
00:57:14,764 --> 00:57:18,643
generation capacity today,
which is built in the 80s from nuclear.
1096
00:57:18,726 --> 00:57:19,102
Right.
1097
00:57:19,102 --> 00:57:22,814
And absolutely amazing decade
of just true progress.
1098
00:57:22,814 --> 00:57:25,984
We got we got to realize that
that's what we want to be.
1099
00:57:26,025 --> 00:57:27,819
We want to be on the side of progress.
1100
00:57:27,819 --> 00:57:31,698
We want to, yes,
have a mind to the potential dangers
1101
00:57:31,698 --> 00:57:34,826
that they're in,
but we don't get to sub in any way.
1102
00:57:34,826 --> 00:57:38,621
And if someone's going to have this
super capacity, the super technology,
1103
00:57:38,663 --> 00:57:39,956
it should be us.
1104
00:57:39,956 --> 00:57:43,084
And I mean that collectively
as certainly as the West.
1105
00:57:43,084 --> 00:57:47,338
And therefore I'm, I'm all in a
1106
00:57:47,755 --> 00:57:52,343
like again, you could be all in and said
realize that there are some dangers.
1107
00:57:52,385 --> 00:57:55,680
I mean, you could take another example
of just normalized.
1108
00:57:55,722 --> 00:57:58,892
In the United States, 42,000
1109
00:57:58,892 --> 00:58:02,520
people die every year from cars.
1110
00:58:03,354 --> 00:58:05,523
We could stop all of that.
1111
00:58:05,523 --> 00:58:07,817
If you set the speed limit
to five kilometers
1112
00:58:07,817 --> 00:58:11,696
an hour for every car in America,
people would die from a car.
1113
00:58:11,696 --> 00:58:14,324
Accidents. Would you not to do that?
1114
00:58:14,324 --> 00:58:17,327
We choose to go like,
you know what, 42,000?
1115
00:58:17,911 --> 00:58:19,245
It's worth it.
1116
00:58:19,245 --> 00:58:22,999
It's worth being able to get the word
get through all days,
1117
00:58:22,999 --> 00:58:26,461
being able to ship goods back and forth,
to be able to live a civilized life.
1118
00:58:26,711 --> 00:58:28,463
It's worth some trade off.
1119
00:58:28,463 --> 00:58:30,757
And I think that that's what's often
1120
00:58:30,757 --> 00:58:34,636
missing in that discussion is like
everything is a fucking trade off.
1121
00:58:34,636 --> 00:58:39,432
And yes,
we don't allow cars to drive 100 miles
1122
00:58:39,432 --> 00:58:43,144
an hour on residential roads,
even though they could get slightly faster
1123
00:58:43,144 --> 00:58:45,980
to where they were going, because like,
that doesn't seem worth it. Right?
1124
00:58:45,980 --> 00:58:48,983
But we don't go like, well,
we can't have cars,
1125
00:58:49,025 --> 00:58:52,779
we can't have transportation because
people get killed in traffic accidents.
1126
00:58:52,779 --> 00:58:56,741
And therefore with AI, we also just
can't go like, well, there's a risk here.
1127
00:58:56,741 --> 00:58:59,244
This could go wrong.
Let's put it back in the box.
1128
00:58:59,244 --> 00:59:04,332
This is the most exciting technology
that I've literally seen in my lifetime.
1129
00:59:04,415 --> 00:59:08,753
Like the most exciting thing
we've made a machine do.
1130
00:59:09,128 --> 00:59:11,798
I am astonished
1131
00:59:11,798 --> 00:59:14,968
on a daily basis
that we've made computers do this.
1132
00:59:14,968 --> 00:59:16,052
And I love computers.
1133
00:59:16,052 --> 00:59:18,179
I got into the viewers
because I love these damages.
1134
00:59:18,179 --> 00:59:20,598
I love what you were able to make them do.
1135
00:59:20,598 --> 00:59:21,683
Now I'm seeing what
1136
00:59:21,683 --> 00:59:25,562
they're able to make themselves do
and I'm just constantly marveling at it.
1137
00:59:25,770 --> 00:59:26,938
Let's talk a bit about that.
1138
00:59:26,938 --> 00:59:28,314
So what they can do
1139
00:59:28,314 --> 00:59:31,317
is let's go back to that founder
that's just getting started, right.
1140
00:59:31,317 --> 00:59:34,779
Do you think, you know,
I think you've talked about,
1141
00:59:34,862 --> 00:59:38,032
you know, your workweeks while even
while you're bootstrapping,
1142
00:59:38,241 --> 00:59:41,578
I think every founder watching
has been told
1143
00:59:41,619 --> 00:59:45,540
like they need to like work
all day and night work these 16 hour days.
1144
00:59:45,540 --> 00:59:49,252
I actually had a founder on recently,
and I think he was putting in just crazy
1145
00:59:49,294 --> 00:59:52,922
18, 20 hour day,
like he's putting in crazy amount of time.
1146
00:59:52,922 --> 00:59:54,340
Do you think that's required
1147
00:59:54,340 --> 00:59:57,468
from the founder coming
up today
to build an amazing company?
1148
00:59:57,510 --> 00:59:58,511
Absolutely not.
1149
00:59:58,511 --> 01:00:01,764
Now I'm actually moderating Slide Down.
1150
01:00:01,764 --> 01:00:05,101
I think this delusional belief
1151
01:00:05,184 --> 01:00:08,104
that you putting in
1152
01:00:08,104 --> 01:00:11,024
all these excess hours
is actually going to affect
1153
01:00:11,024 --> 01:00:15,194
the outcome of your endeavor,
has some qualities to it.
1154
01:00:15,194 --> 01:00:16,738
I think it's wrong.
1155
01:00:16,738 --> 01:00:19,741
I don't actually think it works
in almost all cases.
1156
01:00:19,741 --> 01:00:24,454
When you look at all
the science on your mental capacity,
1157
01:00:24,454 --> 01:00:28,583
when you're under slept
or just singularly focused on something,
1158
01:00:28,583 --> 01:00:32,170
most people can't do that
productively for very long, though.
1159
01:00:32,211 --> 01:00:36,424
There are a handful of outliers,
and I will give Elon Musk a free pass
1160
01:00:36,424 --> 01:00:37,425
and a few others.
1161
01:00:37,425 --> 01:00:43,640
But for the vast majority of mere mortals,
you're not going to go further.
1162
01:00:43,640 --> 01:00:49,437
You're not going to go better by doing
the 120 hour bullshit.
1163
01:00:49,479 --> 01:00:53,149
Now, as I said,
there's something redeeming about leaving
1164
01:00:53,149 --> 01:00:53,983
that you could, right?
1165
01:00:53,983 --> 01:00:56,653
Because it actually is affecting
your own agency.
1166
01:00:56,653 --> 01:00:59,614
It's a faith in your own worth.
1167
01:00:59,614 --> 01:01:03,159
If I put in another two hours,
I'm going to get that much closer to it.
1168
01:01:03,159 --> 01:01:05,161
But I also think
1169
01:01:05,161 --> 01:01:08,539
you need to look at these things
in like what actually works, right?
1170
01:01:08,665 --> 01:01:10,667
Are you having better ideas?
Are you being more productive?
1171
01:01:10,667 --> 01:01:12,960
Especially now given the discussion?
1172
01:01:12,960 --> 01:01:15,213
We've had a lot
about these aged things, right?
1173
01:01:15,213 --> 01:01:20,551
And we have computers
who could do a lot of the grind for you
1174
01:01:21,302 --> 01:01:24,055
when you're there to add to huge
1175
01:01:24,055 --> 01:01:28,351
degree is whatever is beyond that, right?
1176
01:01:28,393 --> 01:01:30,228
You're not supposed to be grinding.
1177
01:01:30,228 --> 01:01:31,729
Grinding is for agents.
1178
01:01:31,729 --> 01:01:35,858
Grinding is for human or not
for for humans, grinding is for computers.
1179
01:01:35,900 --> 01:01:38,695
They don't care.
You can run clawed all night.
1180
01:01:38,695 --> 01:01:40,863
As long as you pay the token
bill, it's not going to.
1181
01:01:40,863 --> 01:01:42,281
It's not going to pitch and moan.
1182
01:01:42,281 --> 01:01:42,824
In fact,
1183
01:01:42,824 --> 01:01:47,203
anthropic is going to love you even more
if you run a 24 over seven, right?
1184
01:01:47,245 --> 01:01:49,664
That's not how humans work.
1185
01:01:49,664 --> 01:01:52,458
So I think you have to
look at what actually works.
1186
01:01:52,458 --> 01:01:55,795
And what works in part is to get proper
sleep
1187
01:01:55,837 --> 01:02:00,466
is to be well rested is to be informed
1188
01:02:00,466 --> 01:02:03,886
by more than just the tunnel
vision of what's in front of you.
1189
01:02:03,886 --> 01:02:07,849
I find this goes, in fact, history.
1190
01:02:08,224 --> 01:02:11,477
People who get great ideas on simple walks
1191
01:02:11,519 --> 01:02:14,522
in the shower, away from the grind,
1192
01:02:14,522 --> 01:02:19,777
right where you gain
those insights that route around
1193
01:02:19,944 --> 01:02:23,990
two months of drudgery because you should
just have a better idea.
1194
01:02:24,031 --> 01:02:26,576
That's what's going to make or break.
1195
01:02:26,576 --> 01:02:30,538
Now, I'm not saying that there aren't
phases and moments
1196
01:02:30,538 --> 01:02:31,789
where you push a lot more.
1197
01:02:31,789 --> 01:02:34,208
Of course,
there's I've certainly done that.
1198
01:02:34,208 --> 01:02:38,963
But what I like to look at is the moving
average, the long term moving average.
1199
01:02:39,672 --> 01:02:43,509
My moving average over the past
25 years has been 40 hours a week.
1200
01:02:43,509 --> 01:02:45,762
And some of those weeks have been 80.
1201
01:02:45,762 --> 01:02:48,347
Yes, but a handful of them,
it's a little bit less.
1202
01:02:48,347 --> 01:02:50,349
But the moving average is 40.
1203
01:02:50,349 --> 01:02:53,352
And I think it's actually
a good place to be.
1204
01:02:53,352 --> 01:02:58,065
And I think you can wind yourself up
thinking that
1205
01:02:58,065 --> 01:03:02,111
unless I spend 80 hours a week,
I'm guaranteed a failure.
1206
01:03:02,153 --> 01:03:04,489
That's not just not how
anything works at all.
1207
01:03:04,489 --> 01:03:06,199
Everything has got them. Powerwall.
1208
01:03:06,199 --> 01:03:09,786
The first ten hours
you spend on your business every week
1209
01:03:09,786 --> 01:03:15,374
matter infinitely more than whatever
the ten hours from 80 to 90,
1210
01:03:15,416 --> 01:03:18,711
right when we got going over base camp.
1211
01:03:19,337 --> 01:03:21,172
This is the reason I use this democracies.
1212
01:03:21,172 --> 01:03:27,011
I had ten hours a week
because I was in school.
1213
01:03:27,011 --> 01:03:28,763
I had other clients ten hours a week.
1214
01:03:28,763 --> 01:03:30,807
That was what I was dedicated
to, base camp.
1215
01:03:30,807 --> 01:03:33,059
I've never been so productive in my life.
1216
01:03:33,059 --> 01:03:38,189
It was the most productive hours I have
ever witnessed from my own two hands,
1217
01:03:38,231 --> 01:03:39,816
because there was no time to waste.
1218
01:03:39,816 --> 01:03:44,153
The problem with the 80 hour
delusion is you start thinking
1219
01:03:44,153 --> 01:03:50,576
that every bit of
the moment
is, or movement is momentum.
1220
01:03:50,618 --> 01:03:51,744
No it's not.
1221
01:03:51,744 --> 01:03:55,706
You're going to waste the vast
majority of those areas on bullshit,
1222
01:03:56,457 --> 01:03:59,794
because that's just sort of that's
just what we do as humans.
1223
01:03:59,794 --> 01:04:04,090
The more we have available, the less value
there is at the end of that tale.
1224
01:04:04,131 --> 01:04:04,423
Right?
1225
01:04:04,423 --> 01:04:09,011
So then I also think, okay,
you're going to give this a shot.
1226
01:04:09,053 --> 01:04:10,721
You want this to succeed.
Of course you do.
1227
01:04:10,721 --> 01:04:12,056
This is why you started it.
1228
01:04:12,056 --> 01:04:16,269
But you should also have to drill into
is like most of these fail
1229
01:04:17,144 --> 01:04:20,147
and most people fail repeatedly.
1230
01:04:20,147 --> 01:04:22,942
And life is not that long.
1231
01:04:22,942 --> 01:04:27,738
If you grind incessantly from your 20s
through your 30s through 40s
1232
01:04:27,780 --> 01:04:31,951
and you've just done a batting average,
you're going to fail.
1233
01:04:32,118 --> 01:04:36,038
You're going to end on the other side,
and you're not going to be living there.
1234
01:04:36,289 --> 01:04:38,207
You're not going to build a new car.
1235
01:04:38,207 --> 01:04:39,876
You might have some base hits.
1236
01:04:39,876 --> 01:04:41,752
That's the best.
Most people can go for it.
1237
01:04:41,752 --> 01:04:42,503
They should, of course,
1238
01:04:42,503 --> 01:04:46,132
ink for more, but then they should
also set up for the downside.
1239
01:04:46,173 --> 01:04:49,176
Okay, if I spend 80 hours a week
1240
01:04:49,176 --> 01:04:52,513
for decades on end, or even just a decade,
1241
01:04:53,222 --> 01:04:56,267
what's left for the rest of life, right?
1242
01:04:56,309 --> 01:04:59,520
Am I going to be left
with this terminal regret
1243
01:04:59,687 --> 01:05:02,607
if I spend ten years of my life
pursuing this business,
1244
01:05:02,607 --> 01:05:06,235
pouring in everything and then some,
and then it doesn't work.
1245
01:05:06,235 --> 01:05:07,737
I don't get the payoff.
1246
01:05:07,737 --> 01:05:10,281
There's not a pot of gold
at the end of the rainbow.
1247
01:05:11,449 --> 01:05:11,908
Do I have
1248
01:05:11,908 --> 01:05:15,703
anything to fall back on, or do
I just have this one leg of the stool?
1249
01:05:15,703 --> 01:05:17,622
That was business.
1250
01:05:17,622 --> 01:05:22,168
I think this is the great American
pollution that you have to choose.
1251
01:05:22,168 --> 01:05:26,464
Either you're putting it all in a business
and then you sacrifice your family,
1252
01:05:26,464 --> 01:05:32,303
your friends, your health, your hobbies,
your everything else in life.
1253
01:05:32,803 --> 01:05:34,388
Oh, you're not serious.
1254
01:05:34,388 --> 01:05:37,141
This is one of the critiques
we got right from the early days,
1255
01:05:37,141 --> 01:05:39,226
and we were running a lifestyle business
1256
01:05:39,226 --> 01:05:43,022
because we were not putting it all in on
black woman 12 right.
1257
01:05:43,064 --> 01:05:43,898
And I always thought
1258
01:05:43,898 --> 01:05:48,736
that was such a curious accusation
because I thought of it as a compliment.
1259
01:05:48,945 --> 01:05:52,406
I have a lifestyle and I have a business
that sounds great.
1260
01:05:52,531 --> 01:05:54,742
I get to have both at the same time.
1261
01:05:54,742 --> 01:05:55,743
Wonderful.
1262
01:05:55,743 --> 01:06:01,332
I get to apply my intellect and my talents
towards the business about 40 hours
1263
01:06:01,332 --> 01:06:04,710
a week, and then there's time
left over to be a whole human.
1264
01:06:05,086 --> 01:06:07,046
That sounds like pretty sweet. Deal to me.
1265
01:06:07,046 --> 01:06:09,966
Like I'm not willing to trade that
1266
01:06:09,966 --> 01:06:13,344
much of my human time.
1267
01:06:13,386 --> 01:06:14,929
And not that work isn't human.
1268
01:06:14,929 --> 01:06:18,224
I think it's actually deeply human,
and I think most people really need work.
1269
01:06:18,224 --> 01:06:21,811
And I think this is one of the greatest
challenges of the utopia
1270
01:06:21,811 --> 01:06:26,107
that can be imagined by AI, that we get
such abundance that humans just aren't
1271
01:06:26,148 --> 01:06:26,941
needed for anything.
1272
01:06:26,941 --> 01:06:29,485
And we think we're all going to be artists
and painters.
1273
01:06:29,485 --> 01:06:31,445
No you're not.
You're just going to be depressed.
1274
01:06:31,445 --> 01:06:33,781
This is what we see
when people lose their jobs, right?
1275
01:06:33,781 --> 01:06:36,742
And go for long term.
Most people need work.
1276
01:06:36,742 --> 01:06:38,494
They need to be able to employ
their talents
1277
01:06:38,494 --> 01:06:41,747
towards a goal together with other people
to feel good about themselves
1278
01:06:41,789 --> 01:06:43,499
and to feel happy.
1279
01:06:43,499 --> 01:06:45,334
But, but, but you can.
1280
01:06:45,334 --> 01:06:50,172
Do that 40 hours a week and get all of
that meeting and satisfaction.
1281
01:06:50,172 --> 01:06:50,756
In life.
1282
01:06:50,756 --> 01:06:53,759
And then you can also raise a family.
1283
01:06:53,843 --> 01:06:55,469
You can also have friends.
1284
01:06:55,469 --> 01:06:57,096
You can also have hobbies.
1285
01:06:57,096 --> 01:07:00,099
And if you manage to combine
those two things.
1286
01:07:00,224 --> 01:07:02,184
That's a slice of happiness right there.
1287
01:07:02,184 --> 01:07:03,811
And this.
1288
01:07:03,811 --> 01:07:07,648
Economy that is either
one of the author is just so bunk.
1289
01:07:07,648 --> 01:07:10,109
And I wish that
1290
01:07:11,527 --> 01:07:13,904
there were more examples, I suppose,
1291
01:07:13,904 --> 01:07:17,700
or there was more pull on that end
that the examples we do have,
1292
01:07:17,742 --> 01:07:21,495
and I'm putting my
own example for of it
panning out
1293
01:07:21,787 --> 01:07:24,582
would be appealing.
1294
01:07:24,582 --> 01:07:29,003
Again, I love the fact that,
especially in the United States, we have
1295
01:07:29,045 --> 01:07:34,675
single obsessed individuals like Elon,
who's the productivity, for example, here,
1296
01:07:34,717 --> 01:07:38,429
which is lives and breathes the business
in the dirt
1297
01:07:38,554 --> 01:07:42,850
business, the businesses
and getting humanity and Martians.
1298
01:07:42,850 --> 01:07:45,853
What wonderful. How inspiring.
1299
01:07:46,103 --> 01:07:50,858
That's not something
tens of millions of people have neither
1300
01:07:50,900 --> 01:07:54,987
talents, the temperament
or the good fortune to pursue.
1301
01:07:55,279 --> 01:07:58,365
Most people have to come to terms
with something
1302
01:07:58,365 --> 01:08:01,368
a little more modest in their ambition.
1303
01:08:01,744 --> 01:08:06,582
Build a great business that serves
tens of thousands of customers,
1304
01:08:06,749 --> 01:08:09,752
a few hundred thousand of customers,
not necessarily billions.
1305
01:08:10,211 --> 01:08:12,963
That turns out to be a moderate success.
1306
01:08:12,963 --> 01:08:16,926
That affords
you a nice lifestyle, but not,
1307
01:08:17,426 --> 01:08:21,972
I don't know, five planes
and your own personal rocket to Mars.
1308
01:08:23,057 --> 01:08:27,228
I sort of aspire that,
like, we can have both of these things.
1309
01:08:27,228 --> 01:08:28,521
We can have the appreciation
1310
01:08:28,521 --> 01:08:32,691
for the outlying success,
the trillionaire, and applaud
1311
01:08:32,691 --> 01:08:36,987
that as a great achievement for mankind
and also go like, you know what?
1312
01:08:37,029 --> 01:08:39,532
Most people. Are not going to get that
they should.
1313
01:08:39,532 --> 01:08:43,536
Be happy with far less,
but maybe that's not possible.
1314
01:08:43,619 --> 01:08:47,206
I've also come to that
sort of realization
1315
01:08:47,206 --> 01:08:50,668
that Europe, to some extent
have been pursuing the like.
1316
01:08:50,709 --> 01:08:56,507
What if everyone just has
a moderate degree of ambition, or moderate
1317
01:08:56,590 --> 01:08:59,927
for European standards would be very low
for American standards, right?
1318
01:08:59,969 --> 01:09:03,389
And if you look at the long run experiment
there, it's not panning out that well.
1319
01:09:03,389 --> 01:09:04,473
For me it is.
1320
01:09:04,473 --> 01:09:06,934
It's not going down
great. The VPN economy.
1321
01:09:06,934 --> 01:09:09,145
So I could also be wrong.
1322
01:09:09,145 --> 01:09:12,773
But I certainly think at a personal level
I would not try.
1323
01:09:12,857 --> 01:09:14,024
I would not trade.
1324
01:09:14,024 --> 01:09:17,319
Having spent two plus decades
1325
01:09:17,319 --> 01:09:20,489
building Basecamp as a lifestyle business
1326
01:09:20,990 --> 01:09:24,994
while making hundreds of millions
of dollars in revenues
and getting to keep
1327
01:09:25,035 --> 01:09:28,080
a surprisingly large
chunk of that while enjoying life
1328
01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:31,375
and having a family like,
I don't want to give that up, right?
1329
01:09:31,375 --> 01:09:35,921
And I don't want to have any guilt
over that either.
1330
01:09:35,963 --> 01:09:38,841
This is what the accusation lifestyle
business is off the ground.
1331
01:09:38,841 --> 01:09:41,802
Like you aren't applying yourself enough.
1332
01:09:41,802 --> 01:09:44,096
Like if you were more ambitious,
you could do more.
1333
01:09:44,096 --> 01:09:45,598
Okay, I don't need more.
1334
01:09:45,598 --> 01:09:47,516
I have more than plenty.
1335
01:09:47,516 --> 01:09:50,519
Finding what your personal enough is,
1336
01:09:50,603 --> 01:09:56,525
I think is an incredible gift
as a personal insight to a rival.
1337
01:09:56,525 --> 01:09:58,194
And we all have different levels.
1338
01:09:58,194 --> 01:10:03,199
Like my enough was certainly not just
I'm going to have a 95 and I'm going
1339
01:10:03,199 --> 01:10:06,368
to do some good work just individually
inside a company work for someone else.
1340
01:10:06,368 --> 01:10:07,661
That was not enough for me.
1341
01:10:07,661 --> 01:10:09,872
I went like I went around my own business.
1342
01:10:09,872 --> 01:10:12,791
I want to, I like cars,
I want to be able to buy some cool ones.
1343
01:10:12,791 --> 01:10:13,918
I want to go racing.
1344
01:10:13,918 --> 01:10:16,128
I want to have some comforts.
1345
01:10:16,128 --> 01:10:18,547
That material success support me.
1346
01:10:18,547 --> 01:10:20,216
Okay, I got those things.
1347
01:10:20,216 --> 01:10:22,885
I didn't become a billion in the process.
That's okay.
1348
01:10:22,885 --> 01:10:24,428
What's your number for Fu money?
1349
01:10:24,428 --> 01:10:27,514
Because, you know, I've heard
I think it was Adam Robinson on LinkedIn.
1350
01:10:27,556 --> 01:10:31,268
Say getting a software company,
getting a SaaS company to 10 million.
1351
01:10:31,268 --> 01:10:33,479
Bootstrap is like the new Fu money.
1352
01:10:33,479 --> 01:10:35,606
Back in the day,
it was. Let's raise a bunch of money.
1353
01:10:35,606 --> 01:10:37,566
I want the unicorn
with $1 billion evaluation.
1354
01:10:37,566 --> 01:10:38,609
And now it's like,
1355
01:10:38,609 --> 01:10:42,947
if I can bootstrap to ten mill
and I can have good margins, that.
1356
01:10:42,947 --> 01:10:48,869
You are already in the pantheon
of of most wealthy, most capable
1357
01:10:48,911 --> 01:10:52,248
humans who have ever lived on this planet
in the history of the human rights.
1358
01:10:52,289 --> 01:10:55,125
Right. Like we should all
be so fortunate to get there.
1359
01:10:56,210 --> 01:10:57,044
Yeah, it's a good question.
1360
01:10:57,044 --> 01:10:58,212
And it has evolved over time.
1361
01:10:58,212 --> 01:11:02,716
I used to naively think about it
back in games, $1 million I like.
1362
01:11:02,841 --> 01:11:04,051
I am dating myself here
1363
01:11:04,051 --> 01:11:05,970
like $1 million is not fucking money
1364
01:11:05,970 --> 01:11:08,097
for very many people
in very many circumstances.
1365
01:11:08,097 --> 01:11:10,140
But I don't know what it is.
1366
01:11:10,140 --> 01:11:14,061
A lot of it is also on like what is
the lifestyle you're happy with, right?
1367
01:11:14,103 --> 01:11:19,316
Like if you're conception of I've made
it is a private jet.
1368
01:11:19,358 --> 01:11:21,860
Yeah. No ten mil can't even cut right.
1369
01:11:21,860 --> 01:11:22,987
You need a little bit more than that.
1370
01:11:22,987 --> 01:11:27,449
But if you can abstain
for that tremendous luxury,
1371
01:11:27,491 --> 01:11:31,203
it is to have a private plane, and,
I don't know, a handful of millions is.
1372
01:11:31,203 --> 01:11:32,079
Probably where. It's at.
1373
01:11:32,079 --> 01:11:36,792
Like, as long as you get to live
in a place where you're happy and
1374
01:11:36,792 --> 01:11:41,547
how is your content with
and have all that paid off, you could.
1375
01:11:41,547 --> 01:11:43,340
Get. Away with surprisingly little.
1376
01:11:43,340 --> 01:11:43,882
I mean, there's been
1377
01:11:43,882 --> 01:11:47,177
this whole fire movement with
I don't even know what the pattern
1378
01:11:47,177 --> 01:11:50,681
stands for, but like retiring urban
white people, like they set this number.
1379
01:11:50,806 --> 01:11:52,641
They work
really hard to get to these number.
1380
01:11:52,641 --> 01:11:54,727
And then they go, like,
now I don't have to do anything.
1381
01:11:54,727 --> 01:11:57,146
Not I think there's actually
a little bit of a dilution of that.
1382
01:11:57,146 --> 01:12:01,567
As we touched on briefly, I don't think
most people are happy to talk about
1383
01:12:01,608 --> 01:12:04,611
some of the most miserable people
I've ever met, of people who retired
1384
01:12:04,611 --> 01:12:08,907
or are you and some, through
the great fortune of selling their company
1385
01:12:09,074 --> 01:12:12,745
before they had a better idea
and they just thought, well,
1386
01:12:12,745 --> 01:12:16,332
I made this one company and it went great
and someone wanted to buy it.
1387
01:12:16,332 --> 01:12:18,834
I'll just make another one
when this one is sold.
1388
01:12:18,834 --> 01:12:21,337
And they realize,
oh shit, it's not that easy.
1389
01:12:21,337 --> 01:12:25,090
And not only in terms of success
that's hard enough to
1390
01:12:25,132 --> 01:12:27,426
make another successful business,
but to find something
1391
01:12:27,426 --> 01:12:30,512
that you're actually passionate
about the second time around.
1392
01:12:31,305 --> 01:12:34,224
Difficult. Quite difficult. And I am.
1393
01:12:34,224 --> 01:12:36,727
Personally,
I didn't want to say I'm afraid of it.
1394
01:12:36,727 --> 01:12:38,020
I'm realistic about it.
1395
01:12:38,020 --> 01:12:40,397
I am very realistic about the fact
that base camp
1396
01:12:40,397 --> 01:12:43,984
is probably the best business idea
I've ever had,
1397
01:12:43,984 --> 01:12:47,780
and I will not have another one
that is anywhere near as good.
1398
01:12:47,905 --> 01:12:50,616
And it requires some humility
because I think most founders,
1399
01:12:50,616 --> 01:12:52,326
they have a high symptoms of self.
1400
01:12:52,326 --> 01:12:52,743
That's why
1401
01:12:52,743 --> 01:12:54,995
they put themselves forward and they think
they're better than other people.
1402
01:12:54,995 --> 01:12:57,664
That's just that's what it takes to build
something, right?
1403
01:12:57,664 --> 01:13:01,001
You got to believe that I'm better
at whatever this niche is.
1404
01:13:01,001 --> 01:13:04,671
I have some insight here
and that's why I'm worth it to pursue it.
1405
01:13:04,671 --> 01:13:08,050
But that can also tip over
into that delusion thing like, well,
1406
01:13:08,050 --> 01:13:10,677
I have infinite number of great
because no you don't.
1407
01:13:10,677 --> 01:13:11,512
Most people don't.
1408
01:13:11,512 --> 01:13:16,475
Most people would be so lucky
to have one great idea in their lifetime
1409
01:13:16,475 --> 01:13:20,187
as it pertains to business
that can take it to our success.
1410
01:13:20,187 --> 01:13:25,317
So yeah, I will say though, when you find
whatever that number is
1411
01:13:25,317 --> 01:13:31,240
and when you reach it,
you also got to be careful about the
1412
01:13:32,241 --> 01:13:33,325
transformation you
1413
01:13:33,325 --> 01:13:36,328
expect your life to
have not actually occurring.
1414
01:13:36,453 --> 01:13:39,331
This was one of the things
I had a little bit when Jeff
1415
01:13:39,331 --> 01:13:40,582
did the secondaries with us.
1416
01:13:40,582 --> 01:13:44,545
I went from having a bank account
with not a lot in it.
1417
01:13:44,670 --> 01:13:48,090
Just suddenly there were millions
and I thought that life
1418
01:13:48,090 --> 01:13:51,802
is just going to be magical actually,
afterwards,
1419
01:13:51,844 --> 01:13:55,305
that somehow like everything
which is going to be pink
1420
01:13:55,305 --> 01:13:59,226
all the time, like rose colored, just
it wasn't right now
1421
01:13:59,268 --> 01:14:03,981
I also understand that lesson, or
that piece of advice or even observation,
1422
01:14:04,189 --> 01:14:07,734
is actually a piece of insight
that cannot transfer to another human.
1423
01:14:08,110 --> 01:14:10,571
No one believes you, literally no one.
1424
01:14:10,571 --> 01:14:12,865
And I know this because I didn't believe
any of the fucking shit
1425
01:14:12,865 --> 01:14:14,700
tried to tell me
before it happened to me. Right?
1426
01:14:14,700 --> 01:14:17,536
And then I've seen I've tried
to share this article and they're like,
1427
01:14:17,536 --> 01:14:19,121
yeah, that's easy for you to say.
You got yours.
1428
01:14:19,121 --> 01:14:21,665
And it also is doesn't mean it's not true.
1429
01:14:21,665 --> 01:14:25,085
It does not mean it's not true
that if you look at the
1430
01:14:25,335 --> 01:14:29,673
so people who achieve that,
they achieve the goal they like,
1431
01:14:29,715 --> 01:14:33,177
they sell the business
or they get a home run or something else,
1432
01:14:33,177 --> 01:14:35,888
and then they think that
all the problems go away.
1433
01:14:35,888 --> 01:14:40,893
And then it's Monday
and like all the demons
1434
01:14:40,893 --> 01:14:44,730
or whatever, that everyone, Ted,
they're still there.
1435
01:14:44,730 --> 01:14:45,856
And like,
1436
01:14:47,274 --> 01:14:49,610
it's not actually
bliss that doesn't need is not better.
1437
01:14:49,610 --> 01:14:54,448
I might rather be unhappy and lovely
than than poor and unhappy,
1438
01:14:54,448 --> 01:15:00,746
but there is some sort of insight into
if you pin all your hopes
1439
01:15:00,746 --> 01:15:05,209
and dreams on all your mental state,
issues are going to be solved.
1440
01:15:05,209 --> 01:15:07,836
When you reach that number,
the fuck you know.
1441
01:15:07,836 --> 01:15:09,129
You're probably going to do this
1442
01:15:09,129 --> 01:15:11,215
because almost everyone
who who's ever gotten there has.
1443
01:15:11,215 --> 01:15:13,884
Now, that being said,
1444
01:15:13,884 --> 01:15:17,304
didn't you fuck you as a mental state?
1445
01:15:17,304 --> 01:15:21,308
I think it's actually an incredible drive
and really actually helped me
1446
01:15:21,850 --> 01:15:23,185
make better decisions.
1447
01:15:23,185 --> 01:15:25,312
Like for example,
not take the Cup fantasy money,
1448
01:15:25,312 --> 01:15:26,772
because if I take someone else's money
1449
01:15:26,772 --> 01:15:30,275
and I owed them in that sense,
I can't very well tell them to fuck off
1450
01:15:30,275 --> 01:15:34,279
if I think their immediate
full of bad ideas. But
1451
01:15:36,281 --> 01:15:37,366
I mean, not that I would,
1452
01:15:37,366 --> 01:15:40,577
but I actually can't tell Jeff to fuck off
if I think he's an idiot
1453
01:15:40,577 --> 01:15:43,038
with bad ideas, right? Like
we don't have that kind of relationship.
1454
01:15:43,038 --> 01:15:49,169
He's not bought that part of me
and neither has anyone else.
1455
01:15:49,211 --> 01:15:54,258
So therefore I get to show up to work
and mostly
1456
01:15:54,258 --> 01:15:58,095
just spent my time on things
I find interesting.
1457
01:15:58,136 --> 01:15:58,554
Worth it.
1458
01:15:58,554 --> 01:16:02,474
Suing and see where the chips may land
without a whole lot of
1459
01:16:02,933 --> 01:16:05,435
of like what someone's going to say.
Think about that.
1460
01:16:05,435 --> 01:16:08,021
Or what's my boss going to like?
1461
01:16:08,021 --> 01:16:11,316
The price of independence
for the kind of people
1462
01:16:11,316 --> 01:16:14,653
who are motivated by
that is actually priceless, right?
1463
01:16:14,695 --> 01:16:18,907
There's no amount of money
that I would sell that for.
1464
01:16:18,907 --> 01:16:22,035
And
this is something we've occasionally
1465
01:16:22,661 --> 01:16:26,039
garnered disbelief with
when I say I would not trade my business
1466
01:16:26,039 --> 01:16:30,377
for almost any other business
if it required me to have someone above,
1467
01:16:30,460 --> 01:16:33,505
and even that someone above me
would just be the public markets.
1468
01:16:33,505 --> 01:16:34,756
I know
1469
01:16:35,841 --> 01:16:36,049
there are
1470
01:16:36,049 --> 01:16:39,886
number of people who run public companies,
and the constraints
1471
01:16:39,886 --> 01:16:45,642
on their independence and ability
to say what they think is quite severe.
1472
01:16:45,642 --> 01:16:47,853
And it's such a curious thing.
1473
01:16:47,853 --> 01:16:49,521
You actually think like,
if you get to that level
1474
01:16:49,521 --> 01:16:51,398
and you have that power to know,
1475
01:16:51,398 --> 01:16:55,235
in some ways you're more constrained
because you have more dependance.
1476
01:16:55,402 --> 01:16:58,363
You have on your investors,
the public market investors
1477
01:16:58,363 --> 01:17:02,743
and regulators and many, many,
many more employees.
1478
01:17:02,743 --> 01:17:04,661
And you have all these obligations.
1479
01:17:04,661 --> 01:17:06,747
And it actually means that you're you're
1480
01:17:06,747 --> 01:17:09,625
less free
in a lot of ways that I really cherish
1481
01:17:09,625 --> 01:17:12,794
now you get other things in return,
and you have to have
1482
01:17:12,794 --> 01:17:16,006
a larger impact on the world, which like,
totally see the motivation for that.
1483
01:17:16,006 --> 01:17:20,844
But independence is something
you have a hard time pricing
1484
01:17:20,886 --> 01:17:26,475
until you lose it, and then suddenly
you realize, fuck, I shouldn't solve that.
1485
01:17:26,642 --> 01:17:28,101
Let me ask you.
1486
01:17:28,101 --> 01:17:32,189
You talked about having passion
in what you do.
1487
01:17:32,564 --> 01:17:36,109
Do you think passion is required
in your industry
1488
01:17:36,109 --> 01:17:39,112
or in what you're doing for a founder
when they're getting started?
1489
01:17:39,112 --> 01:17:43,075
Maybe they're just passionate
about money or cars or something else,
1490
01:17:43,075 --> 01:17:44,618
and this is a vehicle to
1491
01:17:44,618 --> 01:17:47,663
get them something else they're passionate
about in their personal life.
1492
01:17:47,704 --> 01:17:51,833
Is it possible to build an amazing company
that you're not necessarily
1493
01:17:51,833 --> 01:17:53,001
passionate about?
1494
01:17:53,001 --> 01:17:55,545
I think so, but I also think it's harder.
1495
01:17:55,545 --> 01:18:00,759
But I will also say
when I got interested in computers,
1496
01:18:00,759 --> 01:18:03,762
I was interested in the viewers
because I love the video games,
1497
01:18:04,221 --> 01:18:07,724
and now I've ended up doing collaboration
software
1498
01:18:07,724 --> 01:18:09,810
for small to medium sized businesses.
1499
01:18:09,810 --> 01:18:13,021
If you were to pitch that idea
to my 18 year old self,
1500
01:18:13,063 --> 01:18:15,941
I would have gone like that
sounds boring as fuck.
1501
01:18:15,941 --> 01:18:16,858
No way.
1502
01:18:16,858 --> 01:18:21,113
I want to make productivity software
like Jesus.
1503
01:18:21,405 --> 01:18:25,117
I mean, that's one step away
from being an accountant in my 18 year
1504
01:18:25,158 --> 01:18:27,077
old mental image.
1505
01:18:27,077 --> 01:18:28,412
I want to make video games.
1506
01:18:28,412 --> 01:18:32,124
I want to make fucking explosions
and rocket launchers and all that stuff.
1507
01:18:32,165 --> 01:18:35,001
Right?
And then line is a way of surprising you.
1508
01:18:35,001 --> 01:18:39,131
I found out that I really like creating
productivity software.
1509
01:18:39,172 --> 01:18:43,385
I really like just writing Ruby code,
and I actually don't play
1510
01:18:43,385 --> 01:18:44,428
that many video games anymore.
1511
01:18:44,428 --> 01:18:45,345
I still play some,
1512
01:18:45,345 --> 01:18:47,806
but not nearly as many as I did
when I was 18
1513
01:18:47,806 --> 01:18:50,517
and I no longer
have any interest in making it.
1514
01:18:50,517 --> 01:18:55,731
And that is to say that sometimes,
like the passion follows, the effort
1515
01:18:55,939 --> 01:18:59,776
like you may start until endeavor
and you're not all that set about
1516
01:18:59,776 --> 01:19:02,821
something, but then you get deeper into it
and you realize most
1517
01:19:02,821 --> 01:19:06,366
domains are actually interesting
if you scratch deep enough,
1518
01:19:06,825 --> 01:19:10,287
and then if you're trying
to get good at it and trying to make it
1519
01:19:10,287 --> 01:19:13,874
something, it just becomes easier to,
if not fall in love with it.
1520
01:19:13,874 --> 01:19:15,625
That's a little overly romantic.
1521
01:19:15,625 --> 01:19:17,335
Get excited about it.
1522
01:19:17,335 --> 01:19:20,338
I do think it's difficult
to sustain momentum
1523
01:19:20,338 --> 01:19:23,300
if you don't get excited
about your business at some point.
1524
01:19:23,300 --> 01:19:28,180
It does not have to be on day one,
but if you're going to try to make it
1525
01:19:28,180 --> 01:19:31,892
7 to 10 years,
which is what many businesses take
1526
01:19:31,892 --> 01:19:34,895
before they really start
to hit their stride, right?
1527
01:19:34,936 --> 01:19:38,398
I think it could be a bit of a slog
if you don't have any interest in it.
1528
01:19:38,398 --> 01:19:41,526
Now, that doesn't mean
you have to love all aspects of it, right?
1529
01:19:41,568 --> 01:19:45,363
And some people really do just love
the aspect of like, it's working.
1530
01:19:45,864 --> 01:19:49,117
Like, I don't miss any love
making the thing, but I love seeing happy
1531
01:19:49,117 --> 01:19:50,368
customers.
1532
01:19:50,368 --> 01:19:54,289
I love seeing a growing business.
1533
01:19:54,289 --> 01:19:56,249
I love taking care of our employees.
1534
01:19:56,249 --> 01:19:58,794
Like there's got to be something
in the equation
1535
01:19:58,794 --> 01:20:02,130
that I think you get excited about,
and that fire should up to me,
1536
01:20:02,506 --> 01:20:07,302
that's beyond just I like the rewards
that come out with them now.
1537
01:20:07,385 --> 01:20:08,804
I mean, I'm just talking to myself here
1538
01:20:08,804 --> 01:20:13,099
and I could totally imagine that there are
I mean, should do most.
1539
01:20:13,141 --> 01:20:17,646
Did most people through time
love going to work, but did they do it
1540
01:20:17,646 --> 01:20:19,356
because they wanted to provide
for their family?
1541
01:20:19,356 --> 01:20:21,817
Well, they probably did it because
they want to provide for their family.
1542
01:20:21,817 --> 01:20:25,195
That doesn't also mean
that the work was meaningful to them,
1543
01:20:25,195 --> 01:20:29,282
and it also does not mean that
they might have had delusions about like,
1544
01:20:29,324 --> 01:20:30,659
oh man, I quit.
1545
01:20:30,659 --> 01:20:35,664
If I could, if I won the lottery,
I quit my job in a heartbeat.
1546
01:20:35,664 --> 01:20:37,707
And I'd just like, I don't know, right.
1547
01:20:37,707 --> 01:20:39,209
Jet skis all day.
1548
01:20:39,209 --> 01:20:43,255
And you do that
for about six months and odds
1549
01:20:43,255 --> 01:20:48,385
and I'm talking like, statistically
in terms of lottery winners are that like,
1550
01:20:48,510 --> 01:20:52,138
you're fucking hooked on drugs
and partying and cooking.
1551
01:20:52,180 --> 01:20:56,309
You realize that like, shit, that's
actually maybe not the greatest thing.
1552
01:20:56,309 --> 01:20:59,563
And in a lot of cases, you're
actually bankrupt in 24 hours, right?
1553
01:20:59,604 --> 01:21:02,607
So that is to say,
a lot of people don't know what they want,
1554
01:21:02,691 --> 01:21:05,193
and they don't know what gives them
deep sources of meaning.
1555
01:21:05,193 --> 01:21:09,614
So it's worth
looking at history and wisdom,
1556
01:21:09,948 --> 01:21:12,701
accumulated experience over time
and realized,
1557
01:21:12,701 --> 01:21:17,372
you know what turns out
that work is probably important for me.
1558
01:21:17,455 --> 01:21:20,125
I should not be so quick to wish it away.
1559
01:21:20,125 --> 01:21:23,503
I should try and find something
that align somewhat with my talents
1560
01:21:23,503 --> 01:21:25,255
and with my interests.
1561
01:21:25,255 --> 01:21:27,549
But I can develop over time too.
1562
01:21:27,549 --> 01:21:32,846
I got started with programing quite late,
and I wasn't all that good at it
1563
01:21:32,971 --> 01:21:35,432
when I got going with it,
but I stuck with it
1564
01:21:35,432 --> 01:21:38,977
and I found my angle on it
and then suddenly I didn't get good at it.
1565
01:21:39,019 --> 01:21:41,730
And that happens a lot.
1566
01:21:41,730 --> 01:21:44,941
If you spend time and talent
and investment
into something
1567
01:21:44,983 --> 01:21:46,151
that you can go from, like,
1568
01:21:46,151 --> 01:21:48,820
I don't know shit about this to something,
I know a lot about this.
1569
01:21:48,820 --> 01:21:50,030
And you know what?
1570
01:21:50,030 --> 01:21:52,574
Things become more fun
when you're competent,
1571
01:21:52,574 --> 01:21:54,743
the better you become at something.
1572
01:21:54,743 --> 01:21:59,414
Even though you did not have an intrinsic
motivation for that mission at the start.
1573
01:21:59,497 --> 01:22:00,999
Before funding becomes.
1574
01:22:00,999 --> 01:22:04,961
I've learned a lot of things in running
a business over the last 25 years
1575
01:22:04,961 --> 01:22:10,592
that I didn't think I'd appreciate,
like cost management, right?
1576
01:22:10,634 --> 01:22:12,260
Like, it turns out I love it.
1577
01:22:12,260 --> 01:22:14,554
I love going through expense reports.
1578
01:22:14,554 --> 01:22:17,307
I love finding like I'm
spending a little too much on this.
1579
01:22:17,307 --> 01:22:19,267
I love the optimization game that comes
1580
01:22:19,267 --> 01:22:23,229
from having a well-oiled business
that feels proportionate to its mission.
1581
01:22:23,271 --> 01:22:25,857
Not just proportionate like efficient.
1582
01:22:25,857 --> 01:22:27,067
That in itself.
1583
01:22:28,234 --> 01:22:28,818
You'd ask me
1584
01:22:28,818 --> 01:22:31,905
again, as an 18 year old, would you like
to optimize your expense report?
1585
01:22:31,905 --> 01:22:34,532
I'd be like, you're having a fucking mind?
No I don't.
1586
01:22:34,532 --> 01:22:35,784
And then you do it.
1587
01:22:35,784 --> 01:22:37,619
And suddenly there it is.
1588
01:22:37,619 --> 01:22:39,537
Passion. Let's talk about that.
1589
01:22:39,537 --> 01:22:44,709
Because if I'm not mistaken,
your whole company cut off the cloud. Yes.
1590
01:22:44,709 --> 01:22:48,838
And you cut, like, $3.2
million a year off of your bill.
1591
01:22:48,880 --> 01:22:49,547
You saved a bunch.
1592
01:22:49,547 --> 01:22:52,008
You saved millions of dollars. Yes.
1593
01:22:52,008 --> 01:22:55,220
And everyone told you, I think, like,
look, the cloud that's non-negotiable.
1594
01:22:55,220 --> 01:22:56,096
It's the cloud.
1595
01:22:56,096 --> 01:22:58,682
And so teach the decision.
1596
01:22:58,682 --> 01:22:59,557
Should founders
1597
01:22:59,557 --> 01:23:01,559
be looking at building
their own infrastructure
1598
01:23:01,559 --> 01:23:03,269
instead of running in certain cases?
1599
01:23:03,269 --> 01:23:05,563
They should certainly do the math.
1600
01:23:05,563 --> 01:23:06,898
They should always do the math.
1601
01:23:06,898 --> 01:23:08,358
And the math is actually very simple.
1602
01:23:08,358 --> 01:23:10,235
You say cloud
and then sound very technical.
1603
01:23:10,235 --> 01:23:13,238
It's really
should you rent or should you buy
1604
01:23:13,363 --> 01:23:17,033
if you need a thing all the time,
every day, as part of the course
1605
01:23:17,033 --> 01:23:20,870
of running your business, and you can
imagine doing that for years to come.
1606
01:23:20,870 --> 01:23:22,372
You should buy it.
1607
01:23:22,372 --> 01:23:26,334
Of course, it's going to be more expensive
to rent a car from Hertz.
1608
01:23:26,376 --> 01:23:30,088
If you need a car 340 days
out of the year,
1609
01:23:30,380 --> 01:23:32,674
you should buy that thing or lease it,
or do something
1610
01:23:32,674 --> 01:23:34,926
where you have more of a
stake of an ownership in it.
1611
01:23:34,926 --> 01:23:39,431
Because of course, if someone else has
to buy for you and then rent it to you,
1612
01:23:39,472 --> 01:23:42,517
they want to get paid
and you have to pay that right.
1613
01:23:42,517 --> 01:23:46,271
But when it comes to computers, people
kind of forgot that somehow.
1614
01:23:46,271 --> 01:23:48,064
And part of that was convenience.
1615
01:23:48,064 --> 01:23:51,443
The cloud has some real conveniences
to it, but not as many as people think.
1616
01:23:51,443 --> 01:23:56,531
And when I sat down and went through
those damned expense reports, something
1617
01:23:56,531 --> 01:24:00,785
stood out that suddenly,
when we were spending on the cloud,
1618
01:24:01,036 --> 01:24:05,415
was the second largest expense
we had in the business, after payroll,
1619
01:24:05,415 --> 01:24:09,085
and it was just growing
at an unnatural pace
1620
01:24:09,085 --> 01:24:12,422
that was not proportionate
to the growth of the business.
1621
01:24:12,422 --> 01:24:16,009
As such, that's always a good like,
what's the ratio, right?
1622
01:24:16,051 --> 01:24:18,136
Like if you start your business
and you're spending is over
1623
01:24:18,136 --> 01:24:21,848
time, ratios should typically go down
as you see on your business,
1624
01:24:21,848 --> 01:24:25,810
whatever you expenses are,
you should reach some economies of scale.
1625
01:24:25,810 --> 01:24:29,731
And that usually means I'm spending
less on X now because I have a lot
1626
01:24:29,731 --> 01:24:30,690
more customers, right?
1627
01:24:30,690 --> 01:24:32,192
That wasn't happening in the cloud.
1628
01:24:32,192 --> 01:24:34,986
I was looking at our spend
and comparing it
1629
01:24:34,986 --> 01:24:38,031
to what it was like when we were running
more of our own infrastructure
1630
01:24:38,073 --> 01:24:41,951
years in advance or prior and going
like, what?
1631
01:24:42,410 --> 01:24:45,371
Aren't the people supposed to be faster
and cheaper all the time?
1632
01:24:45,371 --> 01:24:48,083
Why is these prices going up
and what a getting for it?
1633
01:24:48,083 --> 01:24:49,000
And then it got into it,
1634
01:24:49,000 --> 01:24:53,797
and I realize that part of
it was a massive theory in the industry,
1635
01:24:53,838 --> 01:24:58,551
where we had collectively convinced
ourselves that running your own computer
1636
01:24:58,551 --> 01:25:02,764
was somehow now an alien, foreign,
difficult task,
1637
01:25:02,847 --> 01:25:06,226
regardless of the fact that literally
every business that you know of
1638
01:25:06,267 --> 01:25:10,021
that has been built
their brand on the internet since,
1639
01:25:10,063 --> 01:25:14,067
I don't know, prior to 2015,
they ran their own computers.
1640
01:25:14,109 --> 01:25:15,068
They owned their own computers.
1641
01:25:15,068 --> 01:25:17,070
Like, this is not ancient history.
1642
01:25:17,070 --> 01:25:20,073
We're not reexamining the pyramids
and going about.
1643
01:25:20,156 --> 01:25:21,324
They built these things.
1644
01:25:21,324 --> 01:25:22,575
No, they bought computers.
1645
01:25:22,575 --> 01:25:25,954
They plucked in power,
they plugged in internet, and voila,
1646
01:25:25,995 --> 01:25:28,998
they had servers to run their software on.
1647
01:25:29,332 --> 01:25:32,377
Somehow the industry,
1648
01:25:32,710 --> 01:25:36,673
not somehow through an amazing
marketing campaign,
1649
01:25:36,714 --> 01:25:41,219
PsyOps, even the hyperscalers and Amazon
in particular,
1650
01:25:41,302 --> 01:25:45,265
convince people
that running your own, owning
1651
01:25:45,390 --> 01:25:49,686
your own computers was actually
this exotic act that made no sense.
1652
01:25:49,686 --> 01:25:52,689
I started running the numbers,
and the numbers made no sense.
1653
01:25:53,273 --> 01:25:55,358
I cannot get into add up.
1654
01:25:55,358 --> 01:26:00,446
We are not getting anywhere close to
the efficiency gains that were promised.
1655
01:26:00,655 --> 01:26:03,199
We can't suddenly,
because we're in the cloud,
1656
01:26:03,199 --> 01:26:07,620
get away with a team
that's a 10th at the side, half the side.
1657
01:26:07,704 --> 01:26:11,583
We couldn't even get rid of one person
on our team going to the cloud.
1658
01:26:11,875 --> 01:26:15,587
And the fact that was proved by the fact
that when we moved out of the cloud,
1659
01:26:16,004 --> 01:26:17,172
we hired them.
1660
01:26:17,172 --> 01:26:19,048
The team stayed exactly the same.
1661
01:26:19,048 --> 01:26:22,177
The team that runs our servers
as they did when we were in the cloud.
1662
01:26:23,136 --> 01:26:26,139
But we we made millions of dollars.
1663
01:26:26,181 --> 01:26:28,016
I actually say made,
and that's what I mean.
1664
01:26:28,016 --> 01:26:30,143
We say, but it needs to be made
1665
01:26:30,143 --> 01:26:33,980
because every dollar
you get to cut off the expense line
1666
01:26:34,022 --> 01:26:37,442
actually goes to the bottom line,
which is quite different from revenue.
1667
01:26:37,483 --> 01:26:37,859
Right?
1668
01:26:37,859 --> 01:26:38,693
You think like, well,
1669
01:26:38,693 --> 01:26:41,696
if I can roll my business $1 million,
how much do I get to keep?
1670
01:26:41,696 --> 01:26:44,699
Well, you got cogs, you got these,
you've got that, you've got margins.
1671
01:26:44,699 --> 01:26:47,660
And maybe there's only,
I don't know, 200 grand left at the end.
1672
01:26:47,660 -->
01:26:49,162
That's even amazing margins. Right.
1673
01:26:49,162 --> 01:26:52,373
You have turned and said Martin, you
get to keep 200 grand out of the million.
1674
01:26:52,415 --> 01:26:56,586
You save $1 million off your expenses.
1675
01:26:56,586 --> 01:26:58,504
You get to keep 100% of that,
1676
01:26:58,504 --> 01:27:01,841
at least if it's a clean cut and you're
not just replacing it with something else.
1677
01:27:01,841 --> 01:27:03,426
And that's basically what happened.
1678
01:27:03,426 --> 01:27:06,888
We have a cloud budget of 3.2 million
or something,
1679
01:27:06,930 --> 01:27:10,725
that we cut down to
about 800,000 on a yearly basis.
1680
01:27:10,767 --> 01:27:14,520
Suddenly there were more than $2 million
1681
01:27:14,520 --> 01:27:18,107
straight to the bottom line
freed up into business.
1682
01:27:18,107 --> 01:27:20,401
And I also think
what's fascinating with that
1683
01:27:21,569 --> 01:27:23,863
journey, if I recall it
1684
01:27:23,863 --> 01:27:27,075
for us,
was that it seems so obvious in hindsight
1685
01:27:27,075 --> 01:27:30,620
that this was the right thing to do,
but the motivation is missing a lot
1686
01:27:30,620 --> 01:27:33,957
of businesses run by professional managers
because they're not actually renewing
1687
01:27:34,415 --> 01:27:37,710
or are rewarded on
what flows to the bottom line.
1688
01:27:37,752 --> 01:27:38,795
They're rewarded on what
1689
01:27:38,795 --> 01:27:42,006
your multiple lists
and what you're multiple is in many ways,
1690
01:27:42,048 --> 01:27:45,093
or in many cases, is a symptom
of what you're revenue and worship.
1691
01:27:45,093 --> 01:27:47,929
Roughly. Who cares if you're making money?
1692
01:27:47,929 --> 01:27:51,015
Well, I care because if I owned
a business, I get to keep the money.
1693
01:27:51,015 --> 01:27:54,852
We don't trend and I get to cure it,
but the other one is in the business
1694
01:27:54,852 --> 01:27:55,853
and even the employees.
1695
01:27:55,853 --> 01:27:59,023
We have a 10% profit share plan
that 13 singles.
1696
01:27:59,065 --> 01:28:01,901
So everyone got to participate in that.
1697
01:28:01,901 --> 01:28:04,904
And of course,
Jason and I are primarily in the business,
1698
01:28:04,904 --> 01:28:06,155
got to participate even more of that.
1699
01:28:06,155 --> 01:28:08,366
And I'm like, okay, this makes sense.
1700
01:28:08,366 --> 01:28:11,828
Like, I know how hard I had to run.
1701
01:28:11,869 --> 01:28:13,621
I'd say the marketing side of things.
1702
01:28:13,621 --> 01:28:18,167
Two if we say $1 million,
how much revenue
1703
01:28:18,209 --> 01:28:21,212
would I have to produce to sort of
get the similar amount to key?
1704
01:28:21,254 --> 01:28:22,630
I don't know, 5 million?
1705
01:28:22,630 --> 01:28:24,257
Holy shit. That's a lot of work.
1706
01:28:24,257 --> 01:28:28,094
It was way less work
for us to get out of the cloud and saying,
1707
01:28:28,177 --> 01:28:31,931
let's just
say the million dollars
than it was to try to attract 5 million
1708
01:28:31,931 --> 01:28:32,682
more in business.
1709
01:28:32,682 --> 01:28:36,394
Now, I don't think this is particularly
the American mindset.
1710
01:28:36,436 --> 01:28:39,439
Certainly in entrepreneurial circles, it's
almost like it's taboo
1711
01:28:39,480 --> 01:28:43,693
to talk about costs because it
almost again means you're unambitious.
1712
01:28:43,943 --> 01:28:46,612
Why do you care about costs?
Growing business?
1713
01:28:46,612 --> 01:28:51,367
Just find twice as many customers,
then you don't even have to bother
1714
01:28:51,367 --> 01:28:53,494
about expenses. It's
going to be a trickle.
1715
01:28:53,494 --> 01:28:54,370
And I actually I mean,
1716
01:28:54,370 --> 01:28:57,665
I appreciate that actually,
as a sort of entrepreneurial spirit.
1717
01:28:57,665 --> 01:28:59,751
There's some real pro-growth to it.
1718
01:28:59,751 --> 01:29:03,129
But I also think, like,
you didn't have to get me to like, it's
1719
01:29:03,129 --> 01:29:07,592
not either or you can have some people
who are responsible for making
1720
01:29:07,592 --> 01:29:09,302
sure your costs are kept in check
1721
01:29:09,302 --> 01:29:12,055
and get out of goddamn cloud,
if that makes a sense.
1722
01:29:12,055 --> 01:29:15,558
Why do you have other people building
new things and attracting new customers?
1723
01:29:15,558 --> 01:29:17,185
And then you get to have both of them.
1724
01:29:17,185 --> 01:29:19,562
Can we have our cake and eat two?
Yes we can.
1725
01:29:19,562 --> 01:29:22,565
That's so funny because so
one of my first software companies,
1726
01:29:22,565 --> 01:29:26,986
we started me and my wife from our garage,
and at the time
1727
01:29:27,070 --> 01:29:29,155
we were choosing,
okay, do we have our own server,
1728
01:29:29,155 --> 01:29:30,990
which I think it was like
500 bucks or something.
1729
01:29:30,990 --> 01:29:32,408
Or do I go to the cloud?
1730
01:29:32,408 --> 01:29:36,371
And this was probably when cloud was just
first starting maybe 2016, 2017.
1731
01:29:36,371 --> 01:29:39,540
And I think it was like $200 a month
to rent it in the cloud.
1732
01:29:39,540 --> 01:29:41,417
And I'm like, well, we'll just buy it.
1733
01:29:41,417 --> 01:29:42,919
We'll just plug it in in the garage.
1734
01:29:42,919 --> 01:29:45,838
And we did that for the first
however, you know, years.
1735
01:29:45,838 --> 01:29:48,716
And it was like we just didn't
have the budget for it at the time.
1736
01:29:48,716 --> 01:29:49,258
And it was.
1737
01:29:49,258 --> 01:29:50,259
And that's how we got started.
1738
01:29:50,259 --> 01:29:53,346
The only downside was I think there was a
power outage one time and I was like, oh.
1739
01:29:54,138 --> 01:29:55,598
Is in the cloud all the time.
1740
01:29:55,598 --> 01:29:56,766
There you go. Right.
1741
01:29:56,766 --> 01:29:58,893
So I love that story.
1742
01:29:58,893 --> 01:30:00,812
And it's actually something
I've been trying
1743
01:30:00,812 --> 01:30:04,107
to build some tooling around
bringing back the closet computer.
1744
01:30:04,148 --> 01:30:06,609
When I got started with the internet,
like every company
1745
01:30:06,609 --> 01:30:09,862
had, the closet computer, the companies
I was working at back in Copenhagen
1746
01:30:09,862 --> 01:30:10,822
in the late 90s,
1747
01:30:10,822 --> 01:30:14,992
they all have a server rack in the office,
and that would serve things.
1748
01:30:14,992 --> 01:30:17,578
And there's actually a real connection.
1749
01:30:17,578 --> 01:30:22,333
You get to your material when it's
not just the cloud, like hardware is cool.
1750
01:30:22,542 --> 01:30:24,919
So, you know, blinking and ice is cool.
1751
01:30:24,919 --> 01:30:26,462
It's nice to be connected to it.
1752
01:30:26,462 --> 01:30:27,839
And then even nicer
1753
01:30:27,839 --> 01:30:31,509
if it also makes economic sense,
which of course it does in so many cases.
1754
01:30:31,509 --> 01:30:33,928
So I think the cloud business
1755
01:30:33,928 --> 01:30:37,640
has been really successful
and actually admired what they pulled off.
1756
01:30:37,682 --> 01:30:41,227
But I also think a lot of businesses
have wasted
1757
01:30:41,227 --> 01:30:44,772
a lot of money on something
where they didn't get to return on it.
1758
01:30:45,064 --> 01:30:48,067
you launched a company called once where
1759
01:30:48,401 --> 01:30:51,404
instead of recurring revenue,
which is what we all got into
1760
01:30:51,404 --> 01:30:55,366
software for,
you just Pay once was part of that
1761
01:30:55,366 --> 01:30:58,911
because you see software
becoming a commodity.
1762
01:30:58,911 --> 01:31:02,165
And and it's a race to the bottom
in terms of price.
1763
01:31:02,165 --> 01:31:06,002
Or tell me about It actually wasn't
it predated the agent stuff
1764
01:31:06,002 --> 01:31:08,880
and it didn't work.
1765
01:31:08,880 --> 01:31:10,089
Oh, okay. So
1766
01:31:11,549 --> 01:31:14,760
our analysis was there is a
1767
01:31:16,220 --> 01:31:18,181
large number of software
1768
01:31:18,181 --> 01:31:22,852
categories that should be commodities
where you don't need
1769
01:31:22,852 --> 01:31:26,814
the best, you just need something
and it shouldn't be overly expensive.
1770
01:31:26,939 --> 01:31:31,652
The one we started with was a slack
competitor called campfire,
1771
01:31:31,652 --> 01:31:35,531
which is ironic because we had a SaaS
1772
01:31:36,365 --> 01:31:40,870
chat for our call
campfire years and years before slack,
1773
01:31:40,870 --> 01:31:45,833
and now we're sort of full circle
to like slack as the dominant major
1774
01:31:45,875 --> 01:31:49,295
chat service that people use,
and so people
1775
01:31:49,295 --> 01:31:52,632
spending unbelievable sums on them.
1776
01:31:52,965 --> 01:31:53,966
Not at all
1777
01:31:53,966 --> 01:31:58,387
uncommon that a medium sized companies
are spending tens of
thousands of dollars
1778
01:31:58,429 --> 01:32:01,432
a year. And I just felt like
1779
01:32:01,474 --> 01:32:05,102
the magic is not there
for that kind of spend.
1780
01:32:05,520 --> 01:32:07,897
This thing is a commodity.
1781
01:32:07,897 --> 01:32:09,398
It should have commodity prices.
1782
01:32:09,398 --> 01:32:11,025
And some of the things we are.
1783
01:32:11,025 --> 01:32:13,402
The parallels I looked at was drugs.
1784
01:32:13,402 --> 01:32:17,198
So with drugs
you get a patent, you develop something
1785
01:32:17,198 --> 01:32:19,158
that's very expensive
to develop a new drug.
1786
01:32:19,158 --> 01:32:20,743
Of course, well over $1 billion.
1787
01:32:20,743 --> 01:32:25,122
So you get a moment of exclusivity
to get you to recoup that.
1788
01:32:25,122 --> 01:32:27,625
And then when that's out,
the generic is come in.
1789
01:32:27,625 --> 01:32:29,835
Because once the compounds are known
1790
01:32:29,835 --> 01:32:33,422
for whatever the drug is, someone else
can make it and cost not thing.
1791
01:32:33,506 --> 01:32:35,258
It should be thinner, it should be.
1792
01:32:35,258 --> 01:32:37,343
And actually
this is how we progress, right?
1793
01:32:37,343 --> 01:32:38,970
If this is how things get cheaper
1794
01:32:38,970 --> 01:32:42,682
over time that pioneers come up
with the first version,
1795
01:32:42,682 --> 01:32:45,434
they make a lot of money
to reward them for the risk they took.
1796
01:32:45,434 --> 01:32:47,478
And then over time,
1797
01:32:47,478 --> 01:32:51,399
generics competition wanted that out
and it comes cheaper and cheaper.
1798
01:32:51,732 --> 01:32:54,026
Why is that not happening to software?
1799
01:32:54,026 --> 01:32:56,279
Why do we not have more generic software?
1800
01:32:56,279 --> 01:33:01,409
Why is the cost of SaaS is not going down
in some of these categories
1801
01:33:01,409 --> 01:33:07,123
that have matured and are no longer
at the leading edge of new development?
1802
01:33:08,124 --> 01:33:09,333
That was the thesis.
1803
01:33:09,333 --> 01:33:13,045
So we put out once and said,
you know what, we'll sell them.
1804
01:33:13,129 --> 01:33:14,755
She said, she's slack in a box.
1805
01:33:14,755 --> 01:33:18,009
Go run it on your machine
and it'll just be a one time fee.
1806
01:33:18,009 --> 01:33:19,302
And in many cases
1807
01:33:19,302 --> 01:33:23,222
you'll be able to save thousands,
not tens of thousands of dollars doing so.
1808
01:33:23,431 --> 01:33:25,474
And it didn't work.
1809
01:33:25,474 --> 01:33:27,143
The market wasn't ready for it.
1810
01:33:27,143 --> 01:33:28,060
They didn't want it.
1811
01:33:28,060 --> 01:33:32,023
They maybe didn't want the obligation
of running their own computers anymore.
1812
01:33:32,064 --> 01:33:33,482
Maybe this is part of that discussion.
1813
01:33:33,482 --> 01:33:37,737
We just talked about that
the cloud PsyOps has been so successful
1814
01:33:37,737 --> 01:33:39,739
that has convinced everyone
that running your own computer
1815
01:33:39,739 --> 01:33:42,408
is the scariest thing in the world,
which is complete bullshit.
1816
01:33:42,408 --> 01:33:44,285
But there's also something good to it.
1817
01:33:44,285 --> 01:33:46,912
There is a convenience to it,
and there's a convenience to SaaS.
1818
01:33:46,912 --> 01:33:50,041
That's
why SaaS is now the predominant software
1819
01:33:50,041 --> 01:33:54,086
business model and has been for decades,
including for our business.
1820
01:33:54,086 --> 01:33:56,422
This is how we made all our money
on base camp.
1821
01:33:56,422 --> 01:33:57,548
It was through SaaS.
1822
01:33:57,548 --> 01:34:00,468
Does a lot of people realize
that if I could just sign up for software
1823
01:34:00,468 --> 01:34:04,263
in my browser and don't have to install
in, I think that's really nice.
1824
01:34:04,263 --> 01:34:05,931
But we thought like, you know what?
1825
01:34:05,931 --> 01:34:09,435
It is nice, but maybe it's not so nice
if you want to spend tens of thousands
1826
01:34:09,435 --> 01:34:13,773
of dollars on a commodity
piece of software, but as of yet, it is.
1827
01:34:13,814 --> 01:34:17,068
And this is one of the other things,
because we were on the other side of it.
1828
01:34:17,151 --> 01:34:18,778
Let's take the slack example again.
1829
01:34:18,778 --> 01:34:22,031
We had essentially a version
of slack in 2005.
1830
01:34:22,198 --> 01:34:25,201
We can't find market wasn't ready.
1831
01:34:25,284 --> 01:34:27,328
They didn't want to chat.
1832
01:34:27,328 --> 01:34:29,997
They wanted to talk to the phone.
1833
01:34:29,997 --> 01:34:31,999
They wanted to call people
into the conference room.
1834
01:34:31,999 --> 01:34:36,629
And it wasn't until slacking off,
first of all, the great product,
1835
01:34:37,171 --> 01:34:38,756
but at the right time
1836
01:34:38,756 --> 01:34:43,135
that things switched over
and suddenly it became like a stable.
1837
01:34:43,386 --> 01:34:46,931
And that's what a lot of businesses like.
1838
01:34:46,972 --> 01:34:50,976
I mean, there's a lot of these saying
it's better to be to be lucky
1839
01:34:50,976 --> 01:34:53,062
than to be good.
There's something to that.
1840
01:34:53,062 --> 01:34:56,565
There's better to be at the right time,
at the right moment than to be amazing.
1841
01:34:56,565 --> 01:35:00,194
And I say that
with all of our own success,
1842
01:35:00,444 --> 01:35:05,157
we were at the right time
with a good enough product with Basecamp,
1843
01:35:05,241 --> 01:35:08,119
that it worked out
great and basically was great example too,
1844
01:35:08,119 --> 01:35:12,081
because we were too early to the market
with campfire, the market was ready
1845
01:35:12,081 --> 01:35:15,084
and they didn't want to buy
something like that at that time.
1846
01:35:15,376 --> 01:35:19,672
But we were also too early with base
camp, in the sense
1847
01:35:19,672 --> 01:35:22,383
that competitors
hadn't realized
that selling productivity
1848
01:35:22,383 --> 01:35:24,135
software
online was a very profitable business.
1849
01:35:24,135 --> 01:35:25,594
So we got to have the entire market,
1850
01:35:25,594 --> 01:35:29,515
even though it was relatively small
to ourselves for a decade.
1851
01:35:29,557 --> 01:35:34,145
I kept being amazed that we did
not have more competition for Basecamp.
1852
01:35:34,186 --> 01:35:35,396
Like I knew our numbers.
1853
01:35:35,396 --> 01:35:37,481
And this is, by the way,
one of the things I credit
1854
01:35:37,481 --> 01:35:41,861
the American style of the LLC
to have private numbers.
1855
01:35:41,902 --> 01:35:45,364
For the longest time,
people would underestimate our business
1856
01:35:45,364 --> 01:35:48,367
by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude.
1857
01:35:48,367 --> 01:35:51,495
They think like you're running a lifestyle
business, which means you're making,
1858
01:35:51,495 --> 01:35:54,915
I don't know what happened million in year
and just breaking it.
1859
01:35:54,915 --> 01:35:57,710
It just absolutely killing it. Right.
1860
01:35:57,710 --> 01:36:01,922
And I was like, fuck,
if this gets out of how much money
1861
01:36:01,964 --> 01:36:05,926
can be made in the history, like, man,
we're going to have a hard time, right?
1862
01:36:05,968 --> 01:36:08,095
And I just kept marveling at that.
1863
01:36:08,095 --> 01:36:10,639
And did some people write? All of us.
1864
01:36:10,639 --> 01:36:12,475
Nothing's going to stay a secret forever.
1865
01:36:12,475 --> 01:36:15,478
But our secrets stayed hidden
1866
01:36:15,519 --> 01:36:18,647
for a shockingly long period of time.
1867
01:36:18,647 --> 01:36:20,399
And and now it's a bit harder.
1868
01:36:20,399 --> 01:36:22,109
And that's okay too.
1869
01:36:22,109 --> 01:36:26,071
But yeah, once didn't work yet.
1870
01:36:26,113 --> 01:36:28,699
I think that's always
really important to say.
1871
01:36:28,699 --> 01:36:31,952
It didn't work yet,
because the history of business
1872
01:36:31,994 --> 01:36:36,165
is full of these case studies
where people go like, well, we tried that.
1873
01:36:36,165 --> 01:36:37,208
It didn't work.
1874
01:36:37,208 --> 01:36:38,709
Well, what did you try?
1875
01:36:38,709 --> 01:36:40,377
Well, we could have said that. Right?
1876
01:36:40,377 --> 01:36:43,172
Like slack, we tried slag.
It didn't work. Well. Yeah.
1877
01:36:43,172 --> 01:36:47,343
With that product in 2005,
if you try it out with the same product
1878
01:36:47,343 --> 01:36:50,179
or a slightly different problem in 2012,
suddenly it works. Amazing.
1879
01:36:50,179 --> 01:36:52,223
And it's a huge category, right?
1880
01:36:52,223 --> 01:36:55,226
So you got to be really careful
about what the lesson should take away
1881
01:36:55,226 --> 01:36:59,730
from history, including business history,
what works and what doesn't work.
1882
01:36:59,772 --> 01:37:04,860
I often take people who feel like, well,
I mean, I have this idea
1883
01:37:04,860 --> 01:37:07,029
I want to build this thing, but like,
there's a lot of competition.
1884
01:37:07,029 --> 01:37:10,032
Like, okay,
that doesn't mean you can't succeed.
1885
01:37:10,157 --> 01:37:13,452
It doesn't mean that you spin on it isn't
the one that's going to break through.
1886
01:37:13,494 --> 01:37:16,330
Happens all the goddamn time.
1887
01:37:16,330 --> 01:37:20,584
Tell me about the war
you guys had with Apple over their cut.
1888
01:37:20,709 --> 01:37:22,920
Yeah, that was that was a good one.
1889
01:37:22,920 --> 01:37:30,344
In fact, now, in retrospect, it was one of
the single best, not one of them.
1890
01:37:30,469 --> 01:37:33,722
It was the single best launch campaign
1891
01:37:33,722 --> 01:37:36,725
we've ever, ever had for new product.
1892
01:37:36,809 --> 01:37:42,106
We launched
hey, Come our email service back in 2020.
1893
01:37:42,147 --> 01:37:46,402
And we knew that to make that service
successful, we needed mobile apps.
1894
01:37:46,443 --> 01:37:46,986
Of course we did.
1895
01:37:46,986 --> 01:37:48,737
We had mobile apps for base camps.
1896
01:37:48,737 --> 01:37:53,742
Since the app stores came out,
you need to be on mobile but Tripoli.
1897
01:37:53,742 --> 01:37:56,871
So if you're targeting consumers
with emails, right.
1898
01:37:56,912 --> 01:37:57,997
So we build these mobile apps
1899
01:37:57,997 --> 01:38:02,918
and we submitted them as we monitor
and we got them proved.
1900
01:38:02,960 --> 01:38:05,087
And then like two days after ourselves,
1901
01:38:05,087 --> 01:38:07,131
Apple came back and said like,
oh, sorry, many mistake.
1902
01:38:07,131 --> 01:38:08,382
You shouldn't have been approved.
1903
01:38:08,382 --> 01:38:12,803
You don't get to do this
unless we take 30% of your business
1904
01:38:12,845 --> 01:38:14,346
because you need to have customers
1905
01:38:14,346 --> 01:38:18,309
sign up through the App Store
using our payment system.
1906
01:38:18,309 --> 01:38:19,018
You can't just have
1907
01:38:19,018 --> 01:38:22,730
to sign up in your website
that then we don't get our cut.
1908
01:38:22,771 --> 01:38:24,023
Like, I was not going to work, right.
1909
01:38:24,023 --> 01:38:25,274
And they charged pressures.
1910
01:38:25,274 --> 01:38:29,028
And it turned out to into this struggle
and the big struggle
1911
01:38:29,028 --> 01:38:32,615
to have an absolute worst time for Apple
and the absolute best timing for us,
1912
01:38:32,615 --> 01:38:36,493
which was like two weeks before WWT,
which is Apple's great
1913
01:38:36,493 --> 01:38:38,454
developer conference,
where you have all the media
1914
01:38:38,454 --> 01:38:42,416
attention on it in the build up to it,
and you have this great little David
1915
01:38:42,416 --> 01:38:45,669
with Goliath story that I think
1916
01:38:45,669 --> 01:38:49,131
a lot of developers, actually
millions of developers, can resonate with.
1917
01:38:49,214 -->
01:38:52,134
Like anyone who tried to submit
1918
01:38:52,134 --> 01:38:55,638
mobile app
to especially the iOS app Store knows what
1919
01:38:55,638 --> 01:39:01,101
a heroine that could be
and how sort of just random.
1920
01:39:01,226 --> 01:39:03,062
Like you submit something
1921
01:39:03,062 --> 01:39:05,522
and it'll go right through,
and then the next thing it's an update
1922
01:39:05,522 --> 01:39:08,734
and won't because there's different
little bureaucrat
1923
01:39:08,776 --> 01:39:10,527
sitting and reviewing your stuff.
1924
01:39:10,527 --> 01:39:15,658
And we just didn't do what everyone else
did, which was to bow our heads.
1925
01:39:15,658 --> 01:39:17,826
It okay, fine, we'll pay you
whatever you want,
1926
01:39:17,826 --> 01:39:21,747
because Africa's has a bit of a monopoly
in that regard, or at least
1927
01:39:21,747 --> 01:39:23,332
a duopoly shared with Google there.
1928
01:39:23,332 --> 01:39:25,834
So we had a huge fight.
1929
01:39:25,834 --> 01:39:28,796
It went on for several weeks,
and in the end we got
1930
01:39:28,796 --> 01:39:31,173
the best thing that we ever, ever gotten,
which was sort of a truce.
1931
01:39:31,173 --> 01:39:33,133
We didn't pay half of 30%.
1932
01:39:33,133 --> 01:39:36,011
They got some bullshit concessions
to save face
1933
01:39:36,011 --> 01:39:39,306
with some demo sign up nonsense.
1934
01:39:39,306 --> 01:39:43,811
But what it did give us
was essentially a $20 million launch date.
1935
01:39:43,894 --> 01:39:48,065
We could not have bought that
amount of publicity, that amount of focus,
1936
01:39:48,107 --> 01:39:52,653
and we signed up over 30,000
paying customers
1937
01:39:52,653 --> 01:39:55,990
to come in less than two weeks.
1938
01:39:56,782 --> 01:40:00,494
I mean, these are customers, painters,
100 bucks a year.
1939
01:40:00,661 --> 01:40:04,790
Like it was instantly a $3 million
a year business.
1940
01:40:05,040 --> 01:40:06,917
I never had a launch like that.
1941
01:40:06,917 --> 01:40:10,254
It took years and years
to get to that level.
1942
01:40:10,295 --> 01:40:14,258
It was just an incredible high stakes
1943
01:40:15,509 --> 01:40:19,013
encounter where the other outcome,
they kill a business.
1944
01:40:19,013 --> 01:40:22,349
If we just stood firm and everyone
said, well, fine,
1945
01:40:22,349 --> 01:40:24,601
then you don't get to be in the App Store
and keep you out.
1946
01:40:24,601 --> 01:40:26,145
We would have been dead right?
1947
01:40:26,145 --> 01:40:29,815
Like 80% of that business was people
1948
01:40:29,815 --> 01:40:33,277
who had an Apple product
because people have products with them.
1949
01:40:33,277 --> 01:40:37,698
Attendees pay more for software
and 80% of them were buying.
1950
01:40:37,740 --> 01:40:41,410
Hey, so if we had not had an iPhone app,
we would have been dead.
1951
01:40:41,660 --> 01:40:44,663
But in that case,
1952
01:40:44,830 --> 01:40:47,750
we just said, you know what?
1953
01:40:47,750 --> 01:40:49,084
Come with me.
1954
01:40:49,084 --> 01:40:50,794
We're not going to benefit any of them.
1955
01:40:50,794 --> 01:40:53,338
We are going to stick to our principles.
1956
01:40:53,338 --> 01:40:54,840
This is bullshit.
1957
01:40:54,840 --> 01:40:58,010
You do not get to take 30%
1958
01:40:58,010 --> 01:41:01,138
or force us to route
all our customer signups
1959
01:41:01,138 --> 01:41:05,267
through your little tollbooth here,
when we're bringing our own customers.
1960
01:41:05,309 --> 01:41:07,144
We're not asking Apple for free publicity.
1961
01:41:07,144 --> 01:41:09,521
I'm not asking you
to features on the App Store.
1962
01:41:09,521 --> 01:41:11,440
None of that stuff.
We would sign up our own customers.
1963
01:41:11,440 --> 01:41:12,775
We'll get our own attention.
1964
01:41:12,775 --> 01:41:15,486
We'll send them up in the app
on our website,
1965
01:41:15,486 --> 01:41:17,613
and then we'll just say
we have an accompanying app
1966
01:41:17,613 --> 01:41:19,156
you can download and log in
1967
01:41:19,156 --> 01:41:22,242
with your credentials,
which has been kosher for Basecamp
1968
01:41:22,242 --> 01:41:24,119
since we were beginning
for tons of other apps.
1969
01:41:24,119 --> 01:41:27,289
And Apple themselves in a pretzel trying
1970
01:41:27,289 --> 01:41:31,168
to explain why
it wasn't kosher in this case.
1971
01:41:31,168 --> 01:41:35,214
And of course, it could be because
the whole case has just so many distances.
1972
01:41:35,214 --> 01:41:38,634
So we ended up with this fortune,
this outcome.
1973
01:41:38,675 --> 01:41:40,719
We've got this incredible launch campaign.
1974
01:41:40,719 --> 01:41:43,764
We've got 30,000 paying customers
that we would not have gotten
1975
01:41:43,764 --> 01:41:47,142
otherwise,
at least in that amount of time. And
1976
01:41:48,102 --> 01:41:50,854
we got out of the dragon's mouth
alive without them.
1977
01:41:50,854 --> 01:41:53,732
And it was a public fight. On what?
Twitter.
1978
01:41:53,732 --> 01:41:54,775
Mostly on Twitter.
1979
01:41:54,775 --> 01:41:55,275
Yeah.
1980
01:41:55,275 --> 01:41:58,320
I mean, Twitter
has actually been the focal point
1981
01:41:58,320 --> 01:42:03,117
for all the great balance
I've had in my career, almost.
1982
01:42:03,158 --> 01:42:04,118
We've had other things.
1983
01:42:04,118 --> 01:42:08,580
We've had the great woke nonsense blow up.
1984
01:42:08,580 --> 01:42:12,668
We had actually, just a year later,
there was a huge fight.
1985
01:42:12,668 --> 01:42:14,128
It was all driven on Twitter.
1986
01:42:14,128 --> 01:42:18,715
Every great fight
since 2008 has been Twitter.
1987
01:42:18,841 --> 01:42:22,427
Is that the is that the fight
where you banned politics
1988
01:42:22,594 --> 01:42:24,888
and 30% of your staff quit?
1989
01:42:24,888 --> 01:42:26,473
What actually happened there? Yeah.
1990
01:42:26,473 --> 01:42:29,935
So, we got boiled like a frog over
1991
01:42:30,727 --> 01:42:35,983
70 short number of years, I'd say,
were the mood among certain
1992
01:42:37,234 --> 01:42:39,862
parts of the company or subset, really
1993
01:42:39,862 --> 01:42:44,408
a minority of employees
just thought that, like, politics
1994
01:42:44,408 --> 01:42:48,787
should have a much, much bigger
role at work, whether or not even whether,
1995
01:42:48,829 --> 01:42:52,166
despite the fact that these politics
had nothing to do with our business,
1996
01:42:52,166 --> 01:42:56,128
we sell parking management software
and now need another system, like
1997
01:42:56,170 --> 01:42:59,339
there are some politics
related to that privacy, for example,
1998
01:42:59,339 --> 01:43:02,009
or App Store policy.
1999
01:43:02,009 --> 01:43:04,178
It's like,
all right, fine, let's engage in that.
2000
01:43:04,178 --> 01:43:07,347
Like, do we have any stake
in, I don't know, gracefully
2001
01:43:07,764 --> 01:43:12,186
in the United States
or Foreign Wars or whatever?
2002
01:43:12,227 --> 01:43:13,812
Absolutely not.
2003
01:43:13,812 --> 01:43:16,190
But we got sucked into the same
2004
01:43:17,274 --> 01:43:20,277
force to NATO that was swallowing up
2005
01:43:20,402 --> 01:43:24,448
companies much larger than ours
into nonsensical proclamations
2006
01:43:24,448 --> 01:43:31,121
and statements and flags and growling
tweets and all these other bullshit
2007
01:43:31,163 --> 01:43:36,376
that just dominated the tech industry,
doing those awful woke years.
2008
01:43:36,376 --> 01:43:38,795
And Jason and I,
2009
01:43:38,795 --> 01:43:42,174
at the peak of it, perhaps we picked out
the time and poorly said.
2010
01:43:42,174 --> 01:43:42,841
Do you know what?
2011
01:43:42,841 --> 01:43:44,176
This is insufferable.
2012
01:43:44,176 --> 01:43:46,970
I actually don't want to work
at my own company.
2013
01:43:46,970 --> 01:43:52,392
If this is going to continue like it
is, I don't want to constantly be engaging
2014
01:43:52,392 --> 01:43:56,188
in these fraught discussions
about politics where we're trying to do
2015
01:43:56,230 --> 01:43:59,441
work right, like we're trying to ship
new features and bug fixes.
2016
01:43:59,441 --> 01:44:00,025
To pester
2017
01:44:00,025 --> 01:44:04,863
like that is not the same space where we
then also discuss societal politics.
2018
01:44:04,905 --> 01:44:09,701
Now, as crazy as that sounds in 2026,
that was a very controversial statement
2019
01:44:09,743 --> 01:44:14,748
in 2021,
not least within a minority of employees.
2020
01:44:14,748 --> 01:44:16,708
And then broadly with Twitter.
2021
01:44:16,708 --> 01:44:19,920
This was before Elon liberated Twitter.
2022
01:44:19,920 --> 01:44:22,547
I will use that word specifically.
2023
01:44:22,547 --> 01:44:27,719
This was when it was just a woke Gemini
governing that platform,
2024
01:44:27,761 --> 01:44:33,350
and we had the most intensive
2025
01:44:33,642 --> 01:44:36,395
scrutiny of the company has ever had over
2026
01:44:36,395 --> 01:44:40,148
anything over a two week period
2027
01:44:40,190 --> 01:44:43,860
where a lot of employees
just cracked on it.
2028
01:44:43,860 --> 01:44:48,532
There was a hardcore small subset of
just ideologically committed
2029
01:44:48,532 --> 01:44:51,535
to all this nonsense, and like
they were always going to be a problem.
2030
01:44:51,535 --> 01:44:55,414
But then there was a much larger group
of people who simply couldn't or wouldn't
2031
01:44:55,455 --> 01:44:58,417
take the pressure that came
with the public scrutiny
2032
01:44:58,417 --> 01:45:01,044
that that little minority
was able to spark.
2033
01:45:01,044 --> 01:45:04,339
And just and I still went like,
you know what?
2034
01:45:04,923 --> 01:45:06,300
Fuck it.
2035
01:45:06,300 --> 01:45:08,051
We're going to pull the bandage off here.
2036
01:45:08,051 --> 01:45:10,220
We're not going to continue
down the path as we are,
2037
01:45:10,220 --> 01:45:12,055
even if that's going to be
highly unpopular.
2038
01:45:12,055 --> 01:45:15,767
Much the same reasoning, actually,
as with The Hague Apple,
2039
01:45:16,184 --> 01:45:19,354
which is like,
you know what? This is worth
2040
01:45:20,397 --> 01:45:21,606
the gamble.
2041
01:45:21,606 --> 01:45:25,444
Because if we don't take the gamble,
if we don't take a stand.
2042
01:45:25,485 --> 01:45:28,488
I don't want to work at the company
that comes out on the other side.
2043
01:45:28,530 --> 01:45:30,282
This was true in both instances.
2044
01:45:30,282 --> 01:45:33,368
I do not want to run a company
that's growling before
2045
01:45:33,368 --> 01:45:36,455
a monopolist behemoth
to be able to be in an app store.
2046
01:45:36,455 --> 01:45:37,706
So we get paid for the third person?
2047
01:45:37,706 --> 01:45:38,749
No fucking way.
2048
01:45:38,749 --> 01:45:40,292
I'd rather farm those potatoes.
2049
01:45:40,292 --> 01:45:42,753
Then, at least in my little head,
I probably wouldn't
2050
01:45:42,753 --> 01:45:46,131
want funding actual potatoes,
but it's a useful metaphor to half truths.
2051
01:45:46,131 --> 01:45:46,965
South of Ufa.
2052
01:45:46,965 --> 01:45:48,925
I could do something else.
2053
01:45:48,925 --> 01:45:50,510
I am not stuck here.
2054
01:45:50,510 --> 01:45:53,138
Oh, and by the way,
I've made my fucking money.
2055
01:45:53,138 --> 01:45:58,143
So fuck you apple fuck you woke insanity.
2056
01:45:58,185 --> 01:46:01,104
We're not going
to stand for any of it. And
2057
01:46:02,814 --> 01:46:03,273
if we
2058
01:46:03,273 --> 01:46:06,735
perish
in the fight, it shall be with a smile.
2059
01:46:06,735 --> 01:46:08,445
And we think we didn't.
2060
01:46:08,445 --> 01:46:11,239
And now we get back upon
both of those instances,
2061
01:46:11,239 --> 01:46:13,450
like within actually a relatively short
period of time.
2062
01:46:13,450 --> 01:46:16,203
I think it happened
within like a year of each other,
2063
01:46:16,203 -->
01:46:21,458
as two of the most proud moments
I have in my 30 year career.
2064
01:46:22,125 --> 01:46:26,129
When I think back in my little
rocking chair when I'm 80 and I like,
2065
01:46:26,171 --> 01:46:27,881
what am I most proud of?
2066
01:46:27,881 --> 01:46:32,135
I will remember 2020, in the fight
with Apple,
2067
01:46:32,135 --> 01:46:35,931
and I remember 2021
and the fight with the Wilkins attitude.
2068
01:46:36,056 --> 01:46:37,766
Let's talk about racing.
2069
01:46:37,766 --> 01:46:39,351
So you're a car guy? Yeah.
2070
01:46:39,351 --> 01:46:42,187
Yes. What are what are you
what is what is your thing?
2071
01:46:42,187 --> 01:46:44,231
Porsche. McLaren, what are you
what are you into?
2072
01:46:44,231 --> 01:46:45,482
All of it. Okay.
2073
01:46:46,608 --> 01:46:47,275
Streetcars.
2074
01:46:47,275 --> 01:46:48,944
I love all of it.
2075
01:46:48,944 --> 01:46:55,450
My first taste of that good life
in cars was actually,
2076
01:46:55,492 --> 01:46:59,704
I think literally the week
after the wire from Jeff
2077
01:46:59,996 --> 01:47:03,166
had hit my account,
I bought a yellow Lamborghini Gallardo.
2078
01:47:03,708 --> 01:47:05,877
Okay. Yeah.
2079
01:47:05,877 --> 01:47:08,547
It's sort of.
It's always it's such a shame.
2080
01:47:08,547 --> 01:47:11,383
But it's also,
I think, a cashier for a great reason.
2081
01:47:11,383 --> 01:47:16,930
Like there's almost nothing
more satisfying as a celebration,
2082
01:47:16,930 --> 01:47:20,642
at least as a guy who's into cars
to just be able to buy something.
2083
01:47:20,684 --> 01:47:24,396
A rage is like a yellow
fucking Lamborghini right now.
2084
01:47:24,396 --> 01:47:28,316
At this point, it's almost
like a stereotype of tips on the fact
2085
01:47:28,316 --> 01:47:32,571
that being a little much like Lamborghini
has been associated with crypto
2086
01:47:32,571 --> 01:47:32,988
quite a lot.
2087
01:47:32,988 --> 01:47:36,158
But I'm like, fuck it, no, straight
Lamborghini is exactly that kind of fuck
2088
01:47:36,199 --> 01:47:37,075
you bring, right?
2089
01:47:37,075 --> 01:47:41,121
Like the origin store of that company
was fruit your Lamborghini going to
2090
01:47:41,121 --> 01:47:44,207
Ferrari and say like, hey,
could you improve your clutch a little?
2091
01:47:44,207 --> 01:47:45,876
And Ferrari saying, fuck you?
2092
01:47:45,876 --> 01:47:48,170
And Farouk was saying, no, fuck you.
2093
01:47:48,170 --> 01:47:50,130
I would make my own goddamn company.
2094
01:47:50,130 --> 01:47:52,883
I may make tractors today,
but I will make the mirror.
2095
01:47:52,883 --> 01:47:53,967
I'll make the cookies.
2096
01:47:53,967 --> 01:47:56,970
I'll make the coolest goddamn supercars
2097
01:47:56,970 --> 01:48:01,516
that will adorn bedroom
posters in years to come.
2098
01:48:01,516 --> 01:48:03,727
And he did that. So I love all of that.
2099
01:48:03,727 --> 01:48:07,939
And I love buying that yellow line again
as soon as the money was there to do it.
2100
01:48:07,939 --> 01:48:09,649
But I was actually quite late to cars.
2101
01:48:09,649 --> 01:48:12,277
I didn't get my driver's license
until I was 25.
2102
01:48:12,277 --> 01:48:15,530
I grew up in Copenhagen, Denmark,
and had neither the money
2103
01:48:15,530 --> 01:48:18,950
nor the inclination to drive a whatever
2104
01:48:18,992 --> 01:48:21,995
old beat up to yoga, which was
what was filled the street at that time.
2105
01:48:21,995 --> 01:48:24,789
I didn't care
anything for cars of that pedestrian.
2106
01:48:24,789 --> 01:48:27,834
I cared for supercars, loved those.
2107
01:48:27,918 --> 01:48:32,547
And when I had that opportunity
to to to buy my own,
2108
01:48:32,589 --> 01:48:35,592
I got, I got on to and then I of course,
I got sucked into it.
2109
01:48:35,592 --> 01:48:40,639
A few years later, I went to a racetrack
about an hour away from Chicago.
2110
01:48:40,680 --> 01:48:44,100
A friend of mine dragged me down a friend,
by the way I met through these cars.
2111
01:48:44,142 --> 01:48:48,230
I mean, this is the other thing, these
these cars, like so many other hobbies
2112
01:48:48,230 --> 01:48:51,358
of that kind, whether it's watches
or it's it's video games.
2113
01:48:51,358 --> 01:48:52,776
There's just a community.
2114
01:48:52,776 --> 01:48:55,111
You get to know
people who are into the same thing as you.
2115
01:48:55,111 --> 01:48:58,073
And I got to know
some people who were also into super cars,
2116
01:48:58,073 --> 01:49:02,953
and one of them took me down to Joliet,
and then I got to sit in a race car,
2117
01:49:02,953 --> 01:49:06,873
and I got to driver of this car,
and I just went like, Holy smokes,
2118
01:49:07,457 --> 01:49:08,625
this is what I'm going to do.
2119
01:49:08,625 --> 01:49:10,418
This is what I want my hobby to be.
2120
01:49:10,418 --> 01:49:13,421
I want to see how far can I push this.
2121
01:49:13,463 --> 01:49:15,423
And I spent a few years training.
2122
01:49:15,423 --> 01:49:16,258
I'm getting good at it.
2123
01:49:16,258 --> 01:49:20,554
And then I got into competitive racing
in like 2009
2124
01:49:20,679 --> 01:49:23,598
or something, the first thing,
and then really 2010.
2125
01:49:23,598 --> 01:49:26,726
And in 2012,
I was on the grid up to 24 hours old mom,
2126
01:49:26,768 --> 01:49:28,353
which was always over my goal.
2127
01:49:28,353 --> 01:49:30,230
And in two years after that, I won.
2128
01:49:30,230 --> 01:49:35,402
So I just really steered all my efforts
and kind of single.
2129
01:49:35,402 --> 01:49:38,905
And he got a bit obsessed on the hobby
side, like for quite a number of years,
2130
01:49:38,905 --> 01:49:42,450
like that was it
that was doing the business.
2131
01:49:43,034 --> 01:49:44,411
I had some friends I've spending time with
2132
01:49:44,411 --> 01:49:47,831
and everything racing,
and that was kind of the the extent of it.
2133
01:49:47,831 --> 01:49:52,836
But I just, I love
cars,
like there is just such a unique
2134
01:49:52,836 --> 01:49:56,464
blend of thrill, danger,
2135
01:49:56,756 --> 01:50:01,094
art history, engineering, design.
2136
01:50:01,469 --> 01:50:03,722
There was just so much to it.
2137
01:50:03,722 --> 01:50:08,810
And I find that especially Italian cars
was the thing for me.
2138
01:50:08,852 --> 01:50:09,603
Like, you're like,
2139
01:50:09,603 --> 01:50:13,440
he needs your Ferraris and then later
your Pagani and that kind of stuff.
2140
01:50:13,982 --> 01:50:16,276
The Italians just they have that right.
2141
01:50:16,276 --> 01:50:20,780
Like they had that gut instinct of like,
it's not just the sum of its parts.
2142
01:50:20,822 --> 01:50:22,991
Like I also like German cars,
but they're very different
2143
01:50:22,991 --> 01:50:23,617
and they're very much
2144
01:50:23,617 --> 01:50:27,621
sort of like methodical engineering, like
maybe the engine is in the wrong place.
2145
01:50:27,621 --> 01:50:32,208
And then I got to make it work
and the Italians a little bit more flair.
2146
01:50:32,208 --> 01:50:33,918
I was certainly attracted
to that Italian thing
2147
01:50:33,918 --> 01:50:37,047
and that look for buoyant
something to the colors even.
2148
01:50:37,130 --> 01:50:37,839
Right?
2149
01:50:37,839 --> 01:50:40,300
I mean, this is even more illusionary
today.
2150
01:50:40,300 --> 01:50:44,804
We have this great grain of the world,
like the most common colors.
2151
01:50:44,804 --> 01:50:47,432
I think like 80% of the cars
on the road in the U.S.
2152
01:50:47,432 --> 01:50:48,683
today are white.
2153
01:50:48,683 --> 01:50:51,686
Gray are black with travesty.
2154
01:50:51,728 --> 01:50:53,104
Where's the fucking red?
2155
01:50:53,104 --> 01:50:54,939
Where's the green? Where the yellow?
2156
01:50:54,939 --> 01:50:58,652
And there are actually a few red cars,
2157
01:50:58,777 --> 01:51:02,530
but there's almost no yellow
cause you count on your daily commute.
2158
01:51:02,530 --> 01:51:04,908
The number of these yellow cards
you see, you see almost none.
2159
01:51:04,908 --> 01:51:06,951
So of course,
my first one has to be yellow.
2160
01:51:06,951 --> 01:51:07,994
Right?
2161
01:51:07,994 --> 01:51:12,040
And I think that that
is a great motivating factor
2162
01:51:12,040 --> 01:51:15,168
to, like you talked earlier about
starting a business for another purpose.
2163
01:51:15,168 --> 01:51:19,089
And just like you like the business
like those kinds of rewards are great
2164
01:51:19,089 --> 01:51:20,256
carrots and great drivers.
2165
01:51:20,256 --> 01:51:25,970
And it legitimately
was one of the contributing factors of
2166
01:51:25,970 --> 01:51:30,058
I don't just want this to work,
I want to be it to be a success
2167
01:51:30,100 --> 01:51:32,060
because I'd like to buy a yellow
Lamborghini.
2168
01:51:32,060 --> 01:51:35,063
It's a great fucking reason to
2169
01:51:35,647 --> 01:51:38,566
I don't want to say grind
like that's the word that actually like
2170
01:51:38,566 --> 01:51:40,485
the token predicting
your head goes like, oh,
2171
01:51:40,485 --> 01:51:42,821
you should work with how you should grind.
Just to give you an idea.
2172
01:51:42,821 --> 01:51:45,031
I don't think that's actually how it goes.
But you should.
2173
01:51:45,031 --> 01:51:46,241
You should work hard.
2174
01:51:46,241 --> 01:51:48,368
You should work well. You should work
dedicated.
2175
01:51:48,368 --> 01:51:49,744
You should try to become really good,
2176
01:51:49,744 --> 01:51:53,206
try to become very competent,
and then you try to be a success.
2177
01:51:53,623 --> 01:51:56,459
And then some of the spoils
can be a yellow Lamborghini
2178
01:51:56,459 --> 01:52:00,380
or a red Ferrari or a gray Porsche
or whatever is your flavor.
2179
01:52:00,380 --> 01:52:04,342
But it is a great parent,
and I make absolutely no bones
2180
01:52:04,342 --> 01:52:08,138
or reservations or policies for it,
which is something that sort of sometimes
2181
01:52:08,138 --> 01:52:11,808
I've gotten a little bit of like,
well, you post your cars or whatever.
2182
01:52:11,808 --> 01:52:12,767
I don't post them that much.
2183
01:52:12,767 --> 01:52:16,062
But for a while I was on Instagram
and I'm like, I posted a lot of it
2184
01:52:16,062 --> 01:52:19,858
and I would get some of that,
like these, like it's too much, right?
2185
01:52:20,191 --> 01:52:23,236
Normally from European and then go
like, well, this is one of the reasons
2186
01:52:23,236 --> 01:52:26,948
I'm in America
did because here you can actually
2187
01:52:26,990 --> 01:52:30,744
you can flaunt it
in a way that can feel positive,
2188
01:52:30,785 --> 01:52:34,914
where it's not just like bragging,
even though it also is that right.
2189
01:52:34,956 --> 01:52:37,500
But there's also some element of that.
But it's more than that.
2190
01:52:37,500 --> 01:52:41,254
It's a collective celebration that I think
the American entrepreneur scene
2191
01:52:41,254 --> 01:52:45,049
does better than any of them is like,
I'm really happy for you.
2192
01:52:45,592 --> 01:52:48,887
Oh my God, you did so well
that you would buy Yellow Line bikini.
2193
01:52:50,138 --> 01:52:50,805
Bravo!
2194
01:52:50,805 --> 01:52:51,556
Good for you.
2195
01:52:51,556 --> 01:52:54,809
Versus the stereotype
and reality of European
2196
01:52:54,851 --> 01:52:56,644
entrepreneurs and broader society.
2197
01:52:56,644 --> 01:52:58,354
Is not that right?
2198
01:52:58,354 --> 01:53:01,065
You're like, well,
that's just a show off or whatever.
2199
01:53:01,065 --> 01:53:02,233
Like, fuck that.
2200
01:53:02,233 --> 01:53:04,194
This is one of the best things
about America.
2201
01:53:04,194 --> 01:53:07,989
Just this celebration of success
and it's fruits
2202
01:53:08,323 --> 01:53:12,494
is a legitimate thing to do,
and you get to share it broadly.
2203
01:53:12,494 --> 01:53:13,787
And it's wonderful.
2204
01:53:13,787 --> 01:53:16,372
And for me, cars
is probably the number one thing.
2205
01:53:16,372 --> 01:53:19,000
For that. Okay,
so you're a Ferrari and a Lamborghini guy.
2206
01:53:19,000 --> 01:53:21,377
And let's talk about that for one second,
which is.
2207
01:53:21,377 --> 01:53:23,546
My favorite car in the world
is actually a okay, okay.
2208
01:53:23,546 --> 01:53:28,760
So I got to commission a Pagani Sonda,
which is my favorite car of all time.
2209
01:53:28,802 --> 01:53:30,678
Beautiful back in 2010.
2210
01:53:30,678 --> 01:53:35,016
Those are crazy story on a sidekick
mission and blah blah, blah.
2211
01:53:35,016 --> 01:53:36,851
But I mean, I love all of it.
2212
01:53:36,851 --> 01:53:40,104
But for me, the one car
that was always for me after
2213
01:53:40,104 --> 01:53:43,316
I watched it on Top Gear, actually,
before I even had my driver's license.
2214
01:53:43,441 --> 01:53:47,654
I think Top Gear didn't necessarily
the Sonda F back in 2004.
2215
01:53:47,654 --> 01:53:50,114
I want to say
I watched that on this window.
2216
01:53:50,114 --> 01:53:51,032
Oh my god,
2217
01:53:51,032 --> 01:53:54,536
if I ever make it all the way,
this is the car I want more than anything.
2218
01:53:54,661 --> 01:53:55,954
What do you think of where they're going,
though?
2219
01:53:55,954 --> 01:53:58,998
You look at Ferrari with the Sf90,
the Lamborghini with the revolt,
2220
01:53:58,998 --> 01:54:00,583
and then even Ferrari
with their new release.
2221
01:54:00,583 --> 01:54:03,127
That looks like an Apple product.
What do you think?
2222
01:54:03,127 --> 01:54:04,337
What do you what do you think?
2223
01:54:04,337 --> 01:54:04,796
You know,
2224
01:54:04,796 --> 01:54:05,129
what are your
2225
01:54:05,129 --> 01:54:05,797
what is your take on that
2226
01:54:05,797 --> 01:54:07,715
when they're going with the hybrid now
all electric,
2227
01:54:07,715 --> 01:54:09,634
do you think it takes
a soul out of the vehicle?
2228
01:54:09,634 --> 01:54:12,637
So the funny thing is
I just got a model Y, a new model Y.
2229
01:54:12,679 --> 01:54:15,765
I've had Teslas for a long time,
but the model Y managed
2230
01:54:15,765 --> 01:54:18,768
to blow my mind because it's a family car.
2231
01:54:18,768 --> 01:54:20,103
It seats seven three.
2232
01:54:20,103 --> 01:54:24,774
We got it was because it's practical
and seven and it drives itself no more.
2233
01:54:24,774 --> 01:54:26,985
It's so fucking fun to drive.
2234
01:54:26,985 --> 01:54:28,903
I'm like, I didn't even buy it for that.
2235
01:54:28,903 --> 01:54:32,073
But electric cars are fun candy.
2236
01:54:32,156 --> 01:54:33,324
They're not all fun.
2237
01:54:33,324 --> 01:54:35,952
Like, I had a model X before that.
2238
01:54:35,952 --> 01:54:37,954
It did a lot of things and had cool doors.
2239
01:54:37,954 --> 01:54:40,748
Fun to drive, if not one of the attitudes
ever to play to it, right?
2240
01:54:40,748 --> 01:54:42,166
But there's
something about electric
2241
01:54:42,166 --> 01:54:46,212
that I don't think it's inherently bad,
like the instant torque is amazing,
2242
01:54:46,379 --> 01:54:49,382
but I also do think it is a
2243
01:54:50,216 --> 01:54:53,720
graying of the car, in the sense
that the driving
2244
01:54:53,720 --> 01:54:56,806
characteristics of electric cars
have a tendency to be very uniform
2245
01:54:56,806 --> 01:55:02,520
in a way where there's just more variety
with gasoline powered cars like,
2246
01:55:02,562 --> 01:55:06,524
oh, there's a ten and sound this way
and feels this way versus a B 12 versus
2247
01:55:06,566 --> 01:55:10,153
a B flat, six versus
a turbo versus all these things.
2248
01:55:10,153 --> 01:55:10,528
Right.
2249
01:55:10,528 --> 01:55:13,781
So I also have all of those cars
and I love him and I love both of them.
2250
01:55:13,781 --> 01:55:18,453
But I do think we're we're at a fork
where electric cars are
2251
01:55:18,453 --> 01:55:22,957
not only so good at all the daily stuff,
there's a really fucking fast.
2252
01:55:22,999 --> 01:55:25,501
Like the fastest cars
in the world are electric cars.
2253
01:55:25,501 --> 01:55:31,257
So that's taking a little bit of the top
trumps out of the sort of supercars.
2254
01:55:31,633 --> 01:55:33,593
So why did the supercars have left?
2255
01:55:33,593 --> 01:55:37,138
Well, they have the feeling,
I think Supercars is going
2256
01:55:37,138 --> 01:55:40,892
to turn into the panicle watches
and they are half mechanical watches.
2257
01:55:40,892 --> 01:55:42,810
I mean, you're wearing one
now. I'm wearing one.
2258
01:55:42,810 --> 01:55:46,648
They're not actually great at keeping time
like a $19
2259
01:55:46,648 --> 01:55:49,692
Casio F 91.
2260
01:55:49,692 --> 01:55:52,654
I think it is that famous watch time.
2261
01:55:52,654 --> 01:55:56,074
Much better than even the best Rolex
that you can buy.
2262
01:55:56,282 --> 01:55:59,786
Yet most people would still like a roll
or a lot of people anyone cares about.
2263
01:55:59,786 --> 01:56:03,748
Watches still certainly at the very least
appreciates a Rolex for what it is.
2264
01:56:03,790 --> 01:56:07,251
It's this intricate piece of engineering
2265
01:56:07,627 --> 01:56:12,840
that takes 300 parts, even though it's
worse on something, right?
2266
01:56:12,882 --> 01:56:14,467
That's where the cars are all going.
2267
01:56:14,467 --> 01:56:17,345
And you're seeing that now
with the rest of mod scene.
2268
01:56:17,345 --> 01:56:20,264
I had singer for a while.
It was great project.
2269
01:56:20,264 --> 01:56:24,978
When we take these older raw cars
and we bring them a little bit up today,
2270
01:56:24,978 --> 01:56:28,731
but still keep some of the old llamas,
and then we accept that like
2271
01:56:28,982 --> 01:56:31,776
a model Wiseman out of accelerated, it's
going to have to drive it.
2272
01:56:31,776 --> 01:56:32,944
It just is.
2273
01:56:32,944 --> 01:56:34,779
And it's a better
view of the car.
2274
01:56:34,779 --> 01:56:36,447
Right. So I think we're
2275
01:56:37,490 --> 01:56:39,158
some of these cars built
2276
01:56:39,158 --> 01:56:42,328
in particular some of the middle stuff
2277
01:56:43,121 --> 01:56:47,458
where the supercars are still trying
to chase the absolute
2278
01:56:47,458 --> 01:56:50,837
acceleration numbers, for example,
like that game is kind of lost, right?
2279
01:56:50,878 --> 01:56:52,547
Like you're not going to beat the planet.
2280
01:56:52,547 --> 01:56:55,550
Model S is just going to accelerate faster
than it for a mile.
2281
01:56:55,591 --> 01:56:58,594
Then virtually anything
that you can produce, right.
2282
01:56:58,636 --> 01:56:59,637
So you got to give that up.
2283
01:56:59,637 --> 01:57:03,057
And then you've got to focus on
what do people want to step.
2284
01:57:03,099 --> 01:57:05,309
They actually want the opposite, right.
2285
01:57:05,309 --> 01:57:06,811
Like the model Y is amazing.
2286
01:57:06,811 --> 01:57:11,274
And part because it's so quiet
and relaxing and fucking drives
2287
01:57:11,274 --> 01:57:12,525
itself amazing.
2288
01:57:12,525 --> 01:57:15,278
And then when I don't want that,
I want it's
2289
01:57:15,278 --> 01:57:18,865
I want it raw, I wanted loud,
I want it uncomfortable.
2290
01:57:18,865 --> 01:57:22,326
I wanted all of those instance into it.
2291
01:57:22,326 --> 01:57:22,493
Right.
2292
01:57:22,493 --> 01:57:23,911
So I think a little bit of that
is happening.
2293
01:57:23,911 --> 01:57:26,998
I think there's a fair
amount of mainstream cars.
2294
01:57:27,248 --> 01:57:29,625
I also love that like that
are a little bit trapping now.
2295
01:57:29,625 --> 01:57:30,209
Right?
2296
01:57:30,209 --> 01:57:33,671
We're both trying to be easy
daily drivable.
2297
01:57:33,671 --> 01:57:36,591
And then we're also trying to be fun.
2298
01:57:36,591 --> 01:57:37,216
Right? Right.
2299
01:57:37,216 --> 01:57:38,760
And we're getting a little bit squeezed.
2300
01:57:38,760 --> 01:57:41,512
I think some of the modern stuff
is having that problem.
2301
01:57:41,512 --> 01:57:42,764
And you can see them wait.
2302
01:57:42,764 --> 01:57:45,767
In particular, many modern supercars
2303
01:57:45,767 --> 01:57:49,479
weighs more than a minibus would have made
it way a decade ago, right.
2304
01:57:49,479 --> 01:57:50,438
They're just getting really heavy
2305
01:57:50,438 --> 01:57:53,775
because they're trying to compete
with electric by adding electric motors
2306
01:57:53,775 --> 01:57:57,153
to their combustion engines,
and that's a hard game to play.
2307
01:57:57,153 --> 01:58:01,199
I think this bifurcation is going
to happen, and it's one of the reasons why
2308
01:58:01,324 --> 01:58:02,658
the majority of cars that I have
2309
01:58:02,658 --> 01:58:05,620
that are not so driver
stuff is actually older stuff.
2310
01:58:05,620 --> 01:58:11,417
Manual cars, manual transmission,
like man made a huge comeback
for a while.
2311
01:58:11,459 --> 01:58:13,795
The manufacturing commission
is about to die.
2312
01:58:13,795 --> 01:58:19,425
Then Porsche actually should be credited
with releasing this one special version
2313
01:58:19,425 --> 01:58:23,805
of what is called the one of the 911
special, the had manual.
2314
01:58:23,805 --> 01:58:27,809
It was like going to be the last record,
and demand was just over the top.
2315
01:58:27,850 --> 01:58:32,396
Like suddenly, after a decade plus
of having automatic gearbox as a paddle
2316
01:58:32,396 --> 01:58:35,858
shifters, everyone wanted the manual
because they want to be part of the loop.
2317
01:58:35,900 --> 01:58:37,026
Yes, it was slower,
2318
01:58:37,026 --> 01:58:40,530
it was not going to be as efficient,
but it required a human in the loop.
2319
01:58:40,530 --> 01:58:42,782
And we want to be we want to feel needed.
2320
01:58:42,782 --> 01:58:45,910
I think this is actually something you
feel with the mechanical watch as well.
2321
01:58:45,952 --> 01:58:47,620
You got to wind it, right.
2322
01:58:47,620 --> 01:58:50,039
It doesn't just have a battery
that goes for ten years.
2323
01:58:50,039 --> 01:58:51,499
It needs you.
2324
01:58:51,499 --> 01:58:54,877
And as so many parts of our existence
2325
01:58:55,086 --> 01:58:57,547
kind of seems like
it doesn't need us anymore, right?
2326
01:58:57,547 --> 01:58:59,048
We've talked a lot about agents.
2327
01:58:59,048 --> 01:59:00,925
Maybe they don't need us
that much anymore.
2328
01:59:00,925 --> 01:59:03,553
We got to find our worth somewhere else.
2329
01:59:03,553 --> 01:59:06,764
And some of that would be like, well,
at least my mechanical watch still
2330
01:59:06,806 --> 01:59:08,766
leads my winding. At least my
2331
01:59:09,934 --> 01:59:12,562
performance car still needs
2332
01:59:12,562 --> 01:59:16,816
my leg plugging in and changing it here,
so it's fun to see those two things.
2333
01:59:16,816 --> 01:59:20,903
But, yeah, I, I love cars and I,
2334
01:59:21,154 --> 01:59:24,824
I hope we can continue to enjoy them
and they don't end up
2335
01:59:24,866 --> 01:59:30,329
all being sort of commoditized
in the way that EVs a little bit is doing,
2336
01:59:30,371 --> 01:59:34,250
where they all just insist in the same,
but they all feel the same.
2337
01:59:35,001 --> 01:59:37,587
There's such great variety
in the combustion engine.
2338
01:59:37,587 --> 01:59:38,671
All right, David, last one.
2339
01:59:38,671 --> 01:59:43,384
So the founder listening right now
right there a founder of
2340
01:59:43,467 --> 01:59:44,844
they're just looking
to start a company. Right.
2341
01:59:44,844 --> 01:59:46,387
They haven't started yet.
2342
01:59:46,387 --> 01:59:48,639
Hundreds of millions of dollars
in revenue.
2343
01:59:48,639 --> 01:59:49,932
Single best piece of advice
2344
01:59:49,932 --> 01:59:52,351
you have to give everyone
just one last piece of advice.
2345
01:59:52,351 --> 01:59:56,480
What is If you haven't
already read The Guide to the Good Life,
2346
01:59:56,647 --> 01:59:59,609
it's the introductory text to stoicism.
2347
02:00:00,193 --> 02:00:05,031
A lot of the ways of viewing the world
that I've talked about in this interview
2348
02:00:05,072 --> 02:00:08,826
are straight out of stoicism,
from negative visualization to splitting
2349
02:00:08,993 --> 02:00:10,328
the things that are within your control
2350
02:00:10,328 --> 02:00:14,874
and outside your control,
leveling up your mental fortitude.
2351
02:00:14,957 --> 02:00:19,795
Just that you're better able
to deal with the waves that come your way
2352
02:00:20,046 --> 02:00:24,550
is a thing, an incredible investment,
and it's only going to get more relevant.
2353
02:00:24,592 --> 02:00:26,677
You're only going to have more stresses
2354
02:00:26,677 --> 02:00:30,890
to deal with and to better
you quit yourself to cope with that.
2355
02:00:30,973 --> 02:00:32,808
The higher
you can go, the further you can go
2356
02:00:32,808 --> 02:00:34,769
and the more fun
you can have along the way.
2357
02:00:34,769 --> 02:00:39,607
I look back upon all the times
where I really stressed
2358
02:00:39,774 --> 02:00:46,822
about this, that idea of the thing,
and 97% of it was a complete waste, right?
2359
02:00:46,864 --> 02:00:50,201
Just needless torching of myself for this.
2360
02:00:50,201 --> 02:00:54,580
And I am not a person
who's otherwise anxiously temperamental,
2361
02:00:54,747 --> 02:00:56,290
and I still did a bunch of that.
2362
02:00:56,290 --> 02:01:00,670
And what really helped me move on
from a lot of it was to internalize
2363
02:01:00,670 --> 02:01:04,340
some of these stoic principles
and practices more than anything, right?
2364
02:01:04,382 --> 02:01:06,133
Like they're actually sort of
2365
02:01:06,133 --> 02:01:10,554
tools, mental tools
that you apply to your view of the world,
2366
02:01:10,554 --> 02:01:15,726
and you can just make the same situation
a lot easier to deal with.
2367
02:01:15,726 --> 02:01:19,981
And I think, who wouldn't
benefit from that?
2368
02:01:19,981 --> 02:01:23,859
Everyone, but particularly
the people who willfully put themselves
2369
02:01:23,859 --> 02:01:27,488
in stressful,
high stakes situations like entrepreneurs.
2370
02:01:27,488 --> 02:01:29,907
David, thank you so much for coming
on, Dakota Genius.
2371
02:01:29,907 --> 02:01:30,574
Thank you.