# Oliver Stuenkel
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oliver stuenkel is a German-Brazilian political scientist, writer and Associate Professor at FGV's School of International Relations in São Paulo, Brazil. In addition to several books written on emerging powers and global politics — such as BRICS and the Future of Global Order (2015) and Post-Western World (2016), he is a columnist for EL PAÍS and Americas Quarterly and a frequent commentator in the national and international media on topics related to Brazilian politics and foreign policy, US-China relations and political risk. His articles have appeared in the New York Times, the Financial Times, the Global Times, among others.
Did the Bolsonaro Trial Really Save Brazil's Democracy?
Brazil’s Supreme Court has just convicted former president Jair Bolsonaro of attempting a coup to nullify his 2022 election loss. The country’s judicial system and Justice Alexandre de Moraes, a polarizing figure whom the co-conspirators had sought to assassinate, acted boldly, sentencing Bolsonaro…
How Milei’s Surprise Win in Argentina Defied the Market
Ed Elson speaks with Oliver Stuenkel, Associate Professor at FGV’s School of International Relations in Brazil, to break down the results of the election in Argentina. Then Robert Armstrong, US financial commentator for the Financial Times and author of the Unhedged newsletter, returns to the show …
Is Trump Angling for Regime Change in Venezuela?
As the United States points its biggest warship at Venezuela, what is the White House trying to achieve in Caracas? How does it fit into the Trump administration’s broader Latin America policy? And how is the region responding? Host Ravi Agrawal sits down with scholar Oliver Stuenkel for answers.
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Does Trump Understand America's Real Interests in Venezuela?
President Trump campaigned on peace. Yet, for months, he expanded America’s military presence in the Caribbean to its largest since the Cold War. Just days into 2026, Trump had Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro captured and taken to a New York prison. Trump claims the United States will “run the …
Ian Bremmer on One Year of Trump 2.0
What is driving U.S. President Donald Trump’s foreign policy in his second term? Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer says it is the “law of the jungle ... it’s always been about power.” Bremmer sits down with Ravi Agrawal to share his assessment of Trump 2.0 and what the coming months could look li…
Alexander Gabuev on Russia, China, and BRICS
In the second episode of the ReCentered podcast, Alexander Gabuev, the Director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and an expert in Russian foreign policy, joins host Nico Luchsinger to discuss how Moscow and Beijing view the current conversations around the emergence of a new world order. In th…
How Milei’s Surprise Win in Argentina Defied the Market
Ed Elson speaks with Oliver Stuenkel, Associate Professor at FGV’s School of International Relations in Brazil, to break down the results of the election in Argentina. Then Robert Armstrong, US financial commentator for the Financial Times and author of the Unhedged newsletter, returns to the show …
Is Trump Really Planning to Invade Cuba?
After the United States ousted Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro in January and then took out Iran’s senior leadership in the following months, U.S. President Donald Trump set his sights on Cuba, claiming that he would have the “honor of taking” the island. Michael Bustamante, a leading historian of Cuban…
What are the implications of right-wing populism across Latin America?
Promising to crack down on crime and promoting strong ties with President Trump - right-wing populists are winning elections across Latin America. Is this a passing phase coming out of voters' economic and safety concerns or a lasting shift? And will this tie the region more to the United States?
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What would a Bolsonaro victory in Brazil mean for the world?
Flávio Bolsonaro took a clear lead in the first round of Brazil’s presidential election, and is the favourite to assume power after a run-off against the incumbent, Lula Ignacio da Silva, later this month. Will Flávio, who is the son of imprisoned former president Jair Bolsonaro, follow his father’…
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