TRANSKRIPT 🔗
WEBVTT
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But again, thanks Keith for all the trouble you've gone to with strategic background background.
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There is absolutely nothing out there that comes close to it.
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And I might actually talk about quickly how how I how I use it to accelerate my learning curve.
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I I did actually put it on the on the forum and under the homework section.
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And I don't use it just to play play one hand at a time.
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When I have an idea of what's going over a sequence or a history may that may that looks promising so I want to be able to flick through a whole bunch of shoes, real shoes, but I want to flick through it.
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So what I what I what I've done is I've I've copied to my box and screenshots basically every every completed toteboard strategic background behind it.
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Another hundred and usually usually if it's any good the averages are going to be fairly close.
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Then I split them up into lots of 500 and and so on.
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And so I've got thousands there, and anything I say is kind of backed up by that sort of research.
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Pretty much, I mean it sounds like a lot of work, but geez, it it is, I think, the best way of doing it.
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And then when I also when I'm testing my toteboard skills, and you and I suggest you all do this because basically you only need to get to plus four.
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You don't want to be playing every shoe, you know, spending three quarters of an hour on every shoe to see see how many how many you can score and whatever.
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You only need to get to plus four.
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Because once you get to plus four, you aren't going going below zero.
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And your aim is to get to plus four as quickly as possible.
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And and do it with just reading the tape board.
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Don't worry about keeping score.
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You just try to get to plus four.
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Yeah, but for practice only, you're just trying to get to plus four and to confirm I'm not losing that shoe.
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Because your first priority is not to lose the shoe, and your early your first bet is prompt is really your most important bit.
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You don't want to be coming at it from behind.
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You want to be playing from a position of strength.
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And recognize what for me, I I generally at least first shoe of the day, I'm starting with a half unit.
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And any anytime I'm below I'm zero or below, I'm betting half units.
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So, and my stop loss is minus two real units, so it's minus four half units, and that gives me a lot of room to move because I can I can you know I lose I could lose three or four shoes in a row, and and pick and I'm gonna pick that up in half a shoe, and that's where it all comes, that's where that's what we're looking at.
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You you want to lose as little as possible, and one of the ways you do that is don't make bad bets.
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And it's it and a lot of bad bets are really easy to recognize.
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We're gonna be talking about that after.
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And uh, yeah, if you if you can avoid, just learn to avoid those bad, bad bets, especially early in the shoe.
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Surprisingly, it's actually easier to read the shoe early, it's more consistent.
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I don't know why it should be.
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I know you haven't got as much history, but it is just so much so much easier to read the shoe early on.
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Sure, you have advantages later on, and we'll talk about that when we get there.
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Generally, I pretty much I expect to be betting less than half the hands in a shoe.
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And well, anyone that thinks they can bet a whole shoe, every hand is is really you're you're cruising for a bruising because it's just it's just just isn't going to happen.
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It simply can't be be done because there's way too many hands, right?
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Way too many hands that are a 50-50 proposition.
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And if I can't tell tell what it's got the bets the best bet is, well, seriously, not blowing my own trumpet.
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So if you want to bet more than half a shoe and throw your money away, yeah, go for it.
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But the only way you can do it is with negative progressions.
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And we all know what I think of negative progressions, what the top players here think of negative progressions.
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I mean, look, I'm gonna tell there's a few stories here, and I'm not I'm not gonna be out of line because I'm not gonna mention names.
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I've had you know you know I'm pretty aggressive about negative progressions.
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I hate them.
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And because one of the reasons is I've had some I've had some pretty heavy PMs and emails in the past from players that have lost some serious, serious money and and basically begging me to help.
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And you know, one one guy said he'd lost one and a half million in six months playing negative progressions.
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I'm not saying he played them correctly.
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Hey, here's a good here's a great idea.
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I know this is a bad bet, but I'm gonna make it anyway, because this negative progression says I have to make it, and that's the problem.
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The negative progression says you have to make it.
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Now there's a few other things we've got to recognise.
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Like generally, I flat bet, right?
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And I'll start at the half unit, then I'll flat bet, and I'll get to plus five, and then I might move to the one, two loop or even two, three loop, which funny enough doesn't improve mostly, they don't improve your PA, your player advantage that much.
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All they all it does really is allow you in most cases to make more units for that shoe, and and for me, I can I can really just raise my unit size and achieve exactly the same by flatbedding.
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And once once you once you've got a handle in this this game, you've probably noticed already winds seem to come in clumps, and that's what you want to tap into.
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That's what that that's that's what it's all about with the with the loops.
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That winds come in clumps, and with a bit of luck, your losses come in isolated.
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You just got to keep looking at the looking at the shoe, look, looking at the taupe board.
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Tope board's your friend, and you've got the best, the absolute best practice tool on on the net in strategic baccarat, and and you really need make use of it.