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I'll refer to this plan as operation bend over contractors.
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We're also getting way less efficient and way more confused because we're able to create so quickly.
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It's not a great software. It's one of those that, you know,
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the customers are their hostages kind of deal. And if you look at that,
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it's easy for a PE firm to come in and buy that kind of company out.
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Even the insurance industry gives me a credit back. They're worse than insurance.
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All right, guys, we're back here to review August.
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I feel like the year is going back by really fast. Maybe it feels fast because
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we're now documenting it month by month, which is less, it's not great. It's sad.
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I don't know how to speed up. It is sad. Now you're just getting older.
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That's why it's going fast. Maybe that's true too.
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To not blink. It's just, just don't blink. Don't blink. It goes by so fast.
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Someone said that, like, value this time with your young kids because it goes
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by so fast. So I'm like, I don't see that.
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Like every night I'm waking up with a different kid.
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I wouldn't mind just a little bit of fast forwarding. But Victor,
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welcome to the gang, man. You had a child. That's a big August story.
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Yeah, that is a big one. July story, sorry.
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No, August story. August, August, August. Yeah. Well done, man.
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Thank you. Yeah. First one, baby boy, exciting times. He's, he's great. He's great.
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Do you feel just the primal response in your body?
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Let's just give you the floor. You're a new dad. What's your,
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what's your first feeling as a new dad?
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You know, there's different stages of it. Stage one, when the baby first comes
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out and you're at the hospital, it's like, my God, this thing is so tiny.
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And now I'm responsible for it. It's awesome. And then I drive home and I was
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like, Oh, like, why is everyone driving so fast?
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I'm driving like 10 miles onto the speed limit and it's like slow down people,
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and then eventually he's held into a routine at home and i was like ah i mean
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this is fine this is fine but i'm like you steven i think like,
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maybe it's just me i'm a dad it's not much i can do
Load full transcript
today so i'm kind of hoping
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my kid grows up a little bit to where we can hang out and go do things and stuff
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like that so you know i'll give him 18 months and then we'll be best friends
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can do things i was told like first nine months like it's just kind of a you
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know it's just there but then once nine months hits like he's they start responding
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to you and and that i think i think it's a little bit earlier than that,
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it's six months five months well large was apparently a really good dad.
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Nothing to do with being good or bad it's just that first time where they actually
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like look at you and like recognize you and smile like yeah that's why i'm waiting for that yeah,
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there's also a study done that i found interesting which is in new dads
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your testosterone just drops and and the whole idea is like they want to like
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the idea is like for you to focus on your family like just go home and nest
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a little bit yeah i don't know,
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so so lean into that yeah now well i'll tell you this i've surprisingly been
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working out more than i did before yes so we'll say that.
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That's amazing You're bucking the trend.
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I mean, I just can't sleep. And so like, if I'm up, I might as well do something
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semi-productive. And I, I, I. That's fair.
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Well, now that we've lost all of the listeners who are bored by our stories,
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we've got some interesting stories from this last month. We've got a number
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of things. Let me go through them here.
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We've got the kind of AGC and an entity called the NCCER.
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I don't even know who that is. But they published a workforce survey.
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So the market is soft, but we are still kind of short on people.
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We know data centers are kind of eating the labor supply. There's more data
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that suggests that's still true.
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We've got Private Equity, a company named Command Alcon, bought the software
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that manages the kind of dispatch systems for a lot of America's concrete companies.
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We've got a person named Anirban Basu who did the math that some of the census data wasn't picking up.
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If you strip out the data centers and private non-residential,
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or sorry, strip out data centers and private
non-residential construction is
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down about 8% year over year, which I think we've all kind of felt.
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But this is maybe the first time that's kind of showing up in the data.
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And then we've got- Hey, I'll just say, you have not heard an Anirban presentation, you're missing out.
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Dude so great he makes this really dry topic,
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so interesting because he just he does the best slide decks I haven't seen him
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since AI came around so maybe he's throwing in some weird AI generated imagery
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now but anyway I kind of wish you mentioned him as a dinner guest if you haven't had,
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Anurbozu on for dinner that would he lives in my basement,
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right He's a good buddy.
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A few more stories. We've got Procore kind of rolling out some kind of vague
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reference to how they're going to charge for AI by the credit,
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but not really going into what that entails.
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And then outside the industry, we've got a number of bottles shipping almost
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weekly, it feels like. We've got Fable 5.1.
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OpenAI just shipped GPT-6 named Astra.
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And they've got all kinds of capabilities. And then AGC, they said there was
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an increase in cost in terms of inputs, but then another big acquisition,
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or not acquisition, but a funding check.
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SoftBank wrote a $200 million check to Gratis Robotics, which is pretty interesting.
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So that was a very poorly kind of read through overview of all the stories we're
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going to get into. I think one thing that would be interesting to start with
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would be kind of the workforce survey.
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So softer market, but still short on labor.
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I guess, Victor, do you want to kind of start with this one and just kind of
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give us an overview on kind of where we're at, what's entailed there?
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Yeah, the interesting thing about the softening of labor is,
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one, we all kind of know this is happening, right?
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Like, I shouldn't say that. In a lot of conversations we've had with various
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people, various leaders of different construction companies across the U.S.,
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outside of key data center and energy work, I think there's been a softening felt by contractors.
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I think across the board, it's probably been like 15, 20%, which is material.
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But this is coming off some pretty high highs over the past few years.
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The backlog was really large. And so for most of these companies,
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it's honestly a reversion to the mean. It's not that surprising.
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I think on the labor side, the one thing that's unique is that because the data
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center jobs are so, so massive, they're sucking up all of the talent.
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They're sucking up all these people and so even if you do have a job you're
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looking at a contractor or or a team of people that's going to be a little bit
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different than you would have a year ago two years ago three years ago,
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so i think that's also being felt and so you have these like micro pockets across
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the industry and then you have geography based softening as well and so,
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those three things are pretty unique the other thing too is like interest rates
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are still really high and so the types of products that are really sensitive
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to interest rates which are mostly commercial work residential a lot of that
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is going to be slowing down or really honestly at a pause until we see some sort of rate cut there.
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And then that gets into a larger economic picture and so like well what caused
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the rate cut how do we think about that in the future so until then you have
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a lot of things that are not sensitive to that which are data center work because
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the hyperscalers are willing to pay whatever it takes energy because they need
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it and we all know we need more energy in america
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and so you have you go down the list and of course health care because,
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meds and beds never runs out of business and so i think out of those four core
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areas i think you'll probably see some softening until we see a lot of movement
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on the on the interest rate side.
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So does this just mean that the kind of diversification issue for contractors
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is going to get even worse as people kind of lean into where there is work, which is data centers?
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Yes and no. I think if you think of concentration as what type of work are you
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taking on? I think, yeah, so that's naturally going to happen because it's just
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going to be fewer commercial jobs out there.
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However, I think
that as we've seen in other ways and other contractors of how
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they actually make money in their business lines, there's ways that you can
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make more profit, even if you're taking on lower top line revenue.
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And so I think you got to get smart about that. So you think about your costs,
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you think about your different levers within the business. So yes,
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you'll see less diversification on the front end of the top line of revenue,
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but you should, in theory, see more diversification of how contractors actually make more money.
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What I mean by that is like, instead of just charging a single fee for running
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the job, you'll probably see more insurance work. You'll probably see more self-perform work.
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You'll probably see a lot more of this other stuff that contractors do do.
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Yeah. So forcing to be a little bit more creative in terms of revenue generation.
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So as far as maybe you're building in the federal sector, are you seeing kind
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of federal spending? Obviously, federal deficit spending is a big part of like
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big input into the economy.
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Are you seeing any upward downward trend or is it pretty even?
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Continuing to see a lot of money spent over the Department of Defense,
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Department of War, however it wants to identify.
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Someone yesterday told me that right now what's actually sucking up a lot of
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the defense spending is the wall, which I think, believe it or not,
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is sort of flying under the radar.
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They're not really promoting it. They're not really talking about it.
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I haven't validated or verified that, but I did see yesterday on like,
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I think it was GovWin or GovTribe, where it was one of those spending metrics
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or diagrams. And it was a large single color under a single customer.
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And again, that's probably, don't remember that contract being let,
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don't know when it was warded or how it was turned back on, but probably in the cover of darkness.
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But all in all, I'm continuing to see a fair bit of spend.
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And but it's not your I'd say your typical.
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It's continuing to be health care. It's continuing to be power and infrastructure
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as well as security, skiffs, things like that.
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A lot of
the hardening around buildings specifically to.
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You know, communications, ICD-705, things like that, which all relate to high
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secure environments, you know, so sensitized, compartmentalized something, infrastructure.
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All right. Sponsor break. Lars, real quick. When was the last time you got a
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new set of drawings from an architect and they didn't cloud anything?
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Well, the one that cost me a couple hundred grand was back, I think, in 2017. So...
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Lesson learned there. Yeah. So, you know, what I like about what Trunk Tools
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is building is they're looking at tools to help kind of remove the mundane from the job site.
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And, you know, same as you, every time there was a bulletin or an addendum,
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I would go back to designers and ask them to at least highlight or give me a
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cover letter on the changes.
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And that was always like pulling like teeth, but Trunk Tools is now automating
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that. So you get a bulletin come in, it automatically highlights the changes.
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You don't have to do a thing.
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Well, it's also hitting RFIs, right? It's also hitting submittals.
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And when we think about standardizing ops, right, and providing that,
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you know, sort of resource to those field operators, what I see it as, you know,
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it's sort of like this, like, mentor within the company that structure standardizes,
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keeps it moving in the right direction, looks out for risk.
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And just this last week, I had a QC manager just pass along a submittal to an owner.
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Without doing a review because he was too busy and was wrong.
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And, you know, the classic owner statement is, did you even review this? Right.
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So this to me is carte blanche. We absolutely did.
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And think about getting that first pass before your, your, your,
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your, your, your field manager ever even actually has to do the first pass.
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Someone's doing it for him. So to me, it's about speed. It increases accuracy
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and helps standardize ops out in the field. Right.
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Yeah. And this is the kind of ai that we've we've talked about on the podcast
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really appreciating right which is looking at ways to elevate the craftsman
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at the heart of project delivery give me time back so i can be out in the field managing risk right,
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yeah 100 so all right if if you're a little curious check it out trunk tools.com forward slash podcast,
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and if you mention construction conversations you get a discount discount demos
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are free and we get and you guys get a discount so let's go
00:12:07.115 --> 00:12:12.655
so So Tyler, you're interacting with contractors from a data strategy and an
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AI implementation standpoint, as well as I think a couple owners.
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Are you seeing any of this force people's hand in terms of how they try to maybe
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kind of codify some operational efficiencies to respond to these different external challenges?
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Like are people focusing more on the internal because that's a variable they can control?
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Yeah, they're focusing a lot on internal right now and a lot of internal development.
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What's interesting is that,
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people are trying so bloody hard,
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to create their know their processes in-house they're probably using things
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like claw creating skills they're doing a bunch of stuff with ai there's a massive
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mandate for people to start leveraging ai inside of these companies,
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but what's funny is that with all of these point solutions that are being created
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just within the claud ecosystem itself right so it's like i create a skill and
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then victor creates a skill and then lars creates a skill it's steven you create
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a skill everybody has a skill file,
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that does the same workflow so there's no like unification happening internally
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too so at the same time that there being a ton of innovation and trying to find
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this operational efficiency.
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We're also getting way less efficient as and way more confused because we're
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able to create so quickly
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right so we're able to create a new product so fast that we have five people
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internally across an organization of, you know, let's say a hundred
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that are each creating their own version of the same sort of thing.
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And then it just gets muddy. Then it becomes a political issue internally.
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So it's kind of a weird time because everybody's able to be that kind of creator,
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that craftman, a crafter of an automation.
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And there's this,
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There's a
lack of understanding and oversight in a lot of organizations to say,
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okay, great idea, but how do we make this scalable for the entire organization, not just for you?
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And so, yeah, there's a push for a lot of operational efficiency around a lot
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of this stuff. And I don't know, we'll see how it shakes out.
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But like Tyler talking, I can't just have it.
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Wow. To your last point, I'm curious, like whose responsibility is that to make that decision?
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It's the visionary leader in the organization. It's the CEO.
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It has to be. It's got to be the owners. It has to be.
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It has to be, but so often I'm seeing that stuff get delegated and then it atrophies.
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I was going to say, and then where does it go?
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And I see so often it dies. It dies. People make stupid decisions around that too.
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For every two people that like it, there's eight people that don't.
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But the two people and the owner is in this sort of like wishy-washy category.
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And so it's like, oh yeah, it sounds interesting. Go for it, right?
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And they're like they create this thing but all the other eight people are like
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yeah i'm not with that you know chuck says i don't do it i'm not doing you know it's always chuck,
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so laurage you're that it does how are you managing that they're okay story.
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No it's it's it's fired three people last week,
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no no no uh no hiring in fact in fact i'm i'm hiring an implementer type where as,
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so we're juxtaposed with the old way the new way and now i don't even know what
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you call this but it's a fuel,
00:15:40.913 --> 00:15:45.745
and the the rate of burn is insane it's just like we can go to zero to 100 in
00:15:45.745 --> 00:15:51.742
like that right so this change rate is just nuts so.
00:15:52.695 --> 00:15:55.289
In in in a specific instance it's like,
00:15:56.120 --> 00:16:02.455
I am purposely trying to be very mindful of like, how can I do this with as
00:16:02.455 --> 00:16:04.382
few people as possible in the office?
00:16:05.020 --> 00:16:07.690
Totally tip of the spear in the field.
00:16:08.441 --> 00:16:12.225
And that inherently is creating some challenges for how fast we're moving and
00:16:12.225 --> 00:16:16.235
winning work and executing work. Case in point is just like invoices.
00:16:16.798 --> 00:16:21.125
Literally, we're slow on paying stuff. Not because of cash.
00:16:21.896 --> 00:16:25.755
It's how it's coming in. And there's solutions out there. and I've dealt with
00:16:25.755 --> 00:16:30.214
Paperless and Sage and then Nexonia and all these other things.
00:16:30.533 --> 00:16:35.385
But at the end of the day, it's like, wait a minute, how can we do this in this
00:16:35.725 --> 00:16:38.125
future state where we have our own portal?
00:16:38.299 --> 00:16:44.205
How many bots can I have processed, come in, put in collaborative inbox, we're watching it move.
00:16:44.205 --> 00:16:48.865
It's already filtering out, putting into Paperless so that some structured approval
00:16:48.865 --> 00:16:52.065
workflow. So now I'm not creating software for nothing, right?
00:16:52.065 --> 00:16:54.692
To integrate with Sage and a payment plan.
00:16:54.977 --> 00:17:01.764
But yet, how can I move thousands of invoices a month through a very,
00:17:02.240 --> 00:17:07.155
call it small internal team with no human typing each invoice, right?
00:17:07.155 --> 00:17:13.485
So I'm right now, the old way is, but that's my job. That's what I do.
00:17:13.785 --> 00:17:16.050
It's like, time out. I know it's what you do.
00:17:17.240 --> 00:17:21.316
And you can handle it right now. But the moment I go win two more jobs and you
00:17:21.316 --> 00:17:23.753
handle it, no, we're going to have to hire someone. Exactly my point.
00:17:24.901 --> 00:17:30.956
That's my point. And it was like, oh, now granted, with all that we're dealing
00:17:30.956 --> 00:17:36.324
with from a growth standpoint, there's this like, well, is that the right priority?
00:17:36.905 --> 00:17:40.846
Problem is, even, and Tyler and Victor, I think to this collaborative thing,
00:17:40.846 --> 00:17:45.736
which is It's like, how many priorities can you possibly have right now when
00:17:45.736 --> 00:17:49.356
you can sort of tackle them all simultaneously?
00:17:49.582 --> 00:17:53.026
But are you actually getting anything done in this world of like,
00:17:53.026 --> 00:17:54.505
well, I can improve this, I can improve this.
00:17:54.963 --> 00:17:57.489
But are you actually solving it? Are you getting it better?
00:17:58.556 --> 00:18:03.066
What's happening right now, dude, is that I find myself almost acting as an
00:18:03.066 --> 00:18:07.857
intentional bottleneck to innovation in some of these. To slow things down.
00:18:08.710 --> 00:18:12.906
Because you have to slow down in order to speed up. In some organizations,
00:18:12.906 --> 00:18:14.736
it depends on it, on the organization.
00:18:14.736 --> 00:18:17.656
Sometimes they'll innovate themselves to absolute freaking confusion,
00:18:18.570 --> 00:18:22.865
right? And so that, a lot of times, you have to stand in there and say,
00:18:23.528 --> 00:18:26.906
well, slow down, understand the problems that we're trying to solve first,
00:18:26.906 --> 00:18:29.276
and then we can tackle this thing super fast.
00:18:29.729 --> 00:18:32.106
But we got to make sure that there's return on that investment,
00:18:32.106 --> 00:18:34.860
return on that time that we spend putting that thing in
place.
00:18:35.527 --> 00:18:40.506
But what you said, too, capacity being probably the biggest word that I'm hearing
00:18:40.506 --> 00:18:49.026
thrown around amongst founders of construction companies, I want more capacity for my people.
00:18:49.026 --> 00:18:51.320
I don't necessarily want to hire more people.
00:18:52.312 --> 00:18:56.128
I want to give capacity to the people that I already have. And then if I need
00:18:56.128 --> 00:18:57.758
to hire, then I can. Right.
00:18:58.575 --> 00:19:02.790
It sets me up. That's later on. Slowing down before you are right now.
00:19:03.893 --> 00:19:07.458
Sponsor break. If you spend any time running a project, you know the answer
00:19:07.458 --> 00:19:10.196
is almost always sitting in the contract document somewhere.
00:19:10.682 --> 00:19:16.348
Catch is that it's almost never in one document. It's split across the contract,
00:19:16.348 --> 00:19:19.948
the specs, and some flow down clause three layers deep that nobody connects
00:19:19.948 --> 00:19:21.747
until it's already cost money.
00:19:21.939 --> 00:19:25.808
That's the whole premise behind Document Crunch. That risk doesn't live inside
00:19:25.808 --> 00:19:28.539
any single document. It lives in the gaps between them.
00:19:28.760 --> 00:19:33.247
And most teams never look at all of them together until they're standing in a dispute.
00:19:33.944 --> 00:19:38.518
The average construction dispute in the U.S. now runs about $60 million,
00:19:39.209 --> 00:19:41.572
according to Arcadis. It's a lot of money.
00:19:41.978 --> 00:19:45.948
And the root cause they point to isn't fraud or bad intent. It's people not
00:19:45.948 --> 00:19:47.580
fully understanding what they agreed to.
00:19:47.789 --> 00:19:50.645
So Document Crunch builds a platform around closing that gap.
00:19:50.859 --> 00:19:56.473
Crunch.ai reads the documents, surfaces the risks, and it cites the exact page and clause that's big.
00:19:56.816 --> 00:20:00.658
So you're not just taking its word for it. Project Assist lets your team act
00:20:00.658 --> 00:20:03.898
on it, ask questions across the entire project document set,
00:20:03.898 --> 00:20:08.278
hand-draft your submitals, notices, and RFIs right from the chat window,
00:20:08.499 --> 00:20:11.518
and the whole thing runs on your own company standards.
00:20:11.518 --> 00:20:16.272
The office and the field are working off the same playbook for bid through closeout.
00:20:16.556 --> 00:20:21.558
No disconnects. It's live now across the U.S. and Canada. Go to documentcrunch.com
00:20:21.558 --> 00:20:24.921
forward slash construction conversations and book a demo.
00:20:25.918 --> 00:20:29.668
I think it's a good segue to talk about the models because I think what's also
00:20:29.668 --> 00:20:34.558
driving some of this is every time I sit down to do something with one of these
00:20:34.558 --> 00:20:37.714
models, the capabilities are increased.
00:20:37.882 --> 00:20:41.678
And not just a little bit, in some cases a lot. And so, you know,
00:20:41.678 --> 00:20:46.248
this week we got Fable 5.1. I've been playing with Fable 5 for quite a while
00:20:46.248 --> 00:20:50.665
and it's very good in some ways. and it's a little expensive than others.
00:20:51.429 --> 00:20:56.247
I think OpenAI's kind of Astra 6, that's not out yet, right, Victor?
00:20:57.937 --> 00:21:05.557
Not to the general public yeah just the some of the elite Victor do you have a copy of it I do not.
00:21:07.357 --> 00:21:13.377
I do not maybe I do not but I think if like even you've got this model from
00:21:13.377 --> 00:21:19.917
the world lab Atlas the world model have you seen this Tyler sounds familiar it is so good,
00:21:20.645 --> 00:21:26.047
what is it it's a world model and it was built by I can't say her name but she
00:21:26.047 --> 00:21:32.170
was from open ai's founding team i believe and it gives you the ability to,
00:21:32.710 --> 00:21:38.267
provide snapshots like simple you know static images of an environment and it
00:21:38.267 --> 00:21:42.014
creates a 3d environment around that image,
00:21:42.577 --> 00:21:47.187
and so like i said this internally to my team like what does this do for our
00:21:47.187 --> 00:21:51.685
scan to bim deliverable like it should inform it in some degree obviously there's some some constraints.
00:21:52.501 --> 00:21:58.856
But people are creating like entire 3D worlds from a simple image and it's just
00:21:59.210 --> 00:22:01.127
simply incredible. Yeah.
00:22:01.527 --> 00:22:05.197
I mean, I think that this is one of those like there's so many there's so much
00:22:05.197 --> 00:22:06.467
to impact in the last month.
00:22:06.467 --> 00:22:09.987
This is one of those big things that, quite frankly, is should be larger,
00:22:09.987 --> 00:22:13.497
particularly in our industry. Steven, you mentioned like the BDC world,
00:22:13.497 --> 00:22:16.187
I think, is going to be felt by this tremendously. I think the other side is
00:22:16.187 --> 00:22:17.667
going to be pursuits and pre-con.
00:22:18.027 --> 00:22:20.257
Some of the things that you try to show an owner of like what is the building
00:22:20.257 --> 00:22:22.130
going to look like over time. This is going to be massive.
00:22:22.682 --> 00:22:26.157
The other thing that I think is underappreciated, under talked about,
00:22:26.157 --> 00:22:27.767
though, is like the negative side of this.
00:22:28.127 --> 00:22:32.017
So in the new models, in the new world, we have new capabilities coming out.
00:22:32.017 --> 00:22:35.817
But historically, what I've seen is a lot of people trying to apply the new
00:22:35.817 --> 00:22:39.011
way of working or the new model to the old way of working, rather,
00:22:39.499 --> 00:22:40.417
but not much is changing.
00:22:40.417 --> 00:22:44.117
And so like email stay the same, you know, document, all that stuff stays the same.
00:22:44.117 --> 00:22:47.777
But in this, like Atlas is a great example of why can't I be
able to take a
00:22:47.777 --> 00:22:51.907
couple of pictures on a job site and then stitch together a model and then send
00:22:51.907 --> 00:22:56.788
that over to a team that I want to or help that inform some other sort of like 3D rendering.
00:22:57.270 --> 00:23:02.717
The other thing that I think is personally scary about this is this could be
00:23:02.717 --> 00:23:05.557
fake. Like there's so much that could be faked with this. And I think about
00:23:05.557 --> 00:23:08.337
like progress reporting. I think about documents. As long as you talk about
00:23:08.337 --> 00:23:09.317
invoices, like you think about
00:23:09.317 --> 00:23:11.485
all these different things that like prove what happened in the field.
00:23:11.862 --> 00:23:15.507
I could fake an image way easier today than I could yesterday because of this
00:23:15.507 --> 00:23:20.957
stuff so I think this is one of those like super exciting super scary I shouldn't
00:23:20.957 --> 00:23:23.761
even say scary it's not scary it's just it's an unknown it's an unknown.
00:23:24.937 --> 00:23:28.177
Can I want to ask a question and I got to be careful of this because I almost
00:23:28.177 --> 00:23:33.944
feel like this is an entirely different you know session but open source models,
00:23:34.610 --> 00:23:36.682
versus closed I'm not going to be able to do that.
00:23:37.385 --> 00:23:41.971
Specifically relating to controlling what you just described.
00:23:42.617 --> 00:23:49.592
And when we think about truth, security, do you think it's going to head in
00:23:49.592 --> 00:23:52.287
this open world, source models?
00:23:52.881 --> 00:24:02.492
And if so, how do we, as a collective species or call it industry,
00:24:02.492 --> 00:24:05.406
control the truth around what you just talked about?
00:24:06.117 --> 00:24:09.372
Is that the way to do it? I don't know. Yeah, I think truth is something I've
00:24:09.372 --> 00:24:10.652
honestly wrestled with so much.
00:24:11.372 --> 00:24:14.032
I don't even know that universal truth really exists in this industry outside
00:24:14.032 --> 00:24:17.132
of what actually happened on a project. And so it's so hard to even...
00:24:17.312 --> 00:24:19.382
I'll give you an example. I will answer your question, Lars.
00:24:19.382 --> 00:24:25.540
But you know if a piece of concrete failed a slump test. You know if the steel beam was installed.
00:24:25.767 --> 00:24:28.992
However, when someone goes and submits a pay application, they may submit what
00:24:28.992 --> 00:24:30.660
happened plus the materials I've already ordered.
00:24:30.985 --> 00:24:33.982
You look at a schedule, it may say what's shown up. You look at all these different
00:24:33.982 --> 00:24:38.212
things versus what is truth And it's not always been clear to me.
00:24:38.212 --> 00:24:40.872
You ask three people how far along a project you are. It's not always clear.
00:24:41.156 --> 00:24:42.683
So I think that's part one.
00:24:43.164 --> 00:24:45.932
And I think if
you apply that now with all these new models and all this AI
00:24:45.932 --> 00:24:47.882
that everyone's talking about, it's only going to get more blurry.
00:24:47.882 --> 00:24:52.683
And so you think about like OpenAI, Anthropik, Grok, whatever against like open source models.
00:24:53.008 --> 00:24:56.452
To me, it's honestly, it's a nothing burger. I think the open source models
00:24:56.452 --> 00:24:59.692
are, at least for construction, these are great tools for people that have the
00:24:59.692 --> 00:25:01.896
requisite teams that should go build the solutions they need.
00:25:02.157 --> 00:25:05.733
And I'm not convinced a lot of contractors can or quite frankly should be doing this.
00:25:06.081 --> 00:25:09.682
And so to me it's like it exists it's out there but it'd be like everyone wants
00:25:09.682 --> 00:25:13.002
to run a race like just go to the car dealership and buy a car like no one wants
00:25:13.002 --> 00:25:15.862
to build a car like that's not the skill set of what the general contractors
00:25:15.862 --> 00:25:17.232
are doing like just go buy a car.
00:25:18.273 --> 00:25:25.216
Yeah, I mean, I think a lot of it's, there's a view of the world that I think
00:25:25.576 --> 00:25:28.345
open source is good for many reasons.
00:25:28.472 --> 00:25:34.860
Oh, for sure. In that it, you know, can drive a more open variety of kind of innovation.
00:25:34.860 --> 00:25:40.090
That said, I do think the prevalence of open source models has more to do with
00:25:40.090 --> 00:25:42.860
kind of the trade war with China than anything else, right?
00:25:42.860 --> 00:25:48.370
Like they're kind of throwing open source models to kind of defund a key pillar
00:25:48.370 --> 00:25:50.110
of our current economic growth.
00:25:50.110 --> 00:25:55.530
So, but I think to your point, like if it's competition and we,
00:25:55.530 --> 00:26:00.527
in theory, believe in that in the West. And so, yeah, respond accordingly,
00:26:00.632 --> 00:26:02.176
Anthropic and OpenAI, right?
00:26:03.230 --> 00:26:04.629
I also think those guys are stand-by again.
00:26:06.110 --> 00:26:10.440
Do you think I hope you would be able to keep up with an Anthropic or an OpenAI
00:26:10.440 --> 00:26:11.775
though? Six months behind.
00:26:12.383 --> 00:26:14.350
And that's kind of what I was thinking. Yeah, it's like, okay,
00:26:14.670 --> 00:26:21.690
fine. Didn't Kimmy K3 like kind of do that? I mean, maybe it like met Fable
00:26:21.690 --> 00:26:25.160
5's benchmarks like three weeks after it was released.
00:26:25.982 --> 00:26:28.270
But we normally do this on the first story or the second.
00:26:29.530 --> 00:26:31.885
We're off topic, but this is interesting.
00:26:34.644 --> 00:26:38.100
Go ahead, Lars. I was going to say where I think it's going to get real interesting
00:26:38.100 --> 00:26:42.142
is government regulation and government oversight around open source to control,
00:26:42.774 --> 00:26:51.450
whatever concept of truth is left and
because when so much can be manipulated then how,
00:26:52.155 --> 00:26:58.075
is is there an element of control that they're going to try to manage you know or inject,
00:26:59.097 --> 00:27:01.810
i think that's true i think part of that though is also like the competition
00:27:01.810 --> 00:27:04.750
aspect that steven mentioned right like i think the fact that there's going
00:27:04.750 --> 00:27:08.990
to be multiple parties and across multiple countries trying to go for this thing
00:27:09.370 --> 00:27:11.137
should keep people a little bit more honest.
00:27:12.050 --> 00:27:13.430
We'll see if that plays out. I agree with you.
00:27:14.370 --> 00:27:16.749
The other thing I wanted to mention was.
00:27:18.587 --> 00:27:23.117
On the open source side, I think that, Stephen, you mentioned KimiKate 3.
00:27:23.518 --> 00:27:26.506
The cost of, like, frontier intelligence is increasing. You started the pod
00:27:26.506 --> 00:27:29.793
saying, like, it's getting more expensive if you use Fable for certain tasks versus others.
00:27:30.071 --> 00:27:32.496
But, like, the general intelligence of, like, using Sonnet or something that
00:27:32.496 --> 00:27:36.496
was, like, GPT-4 or 5 is way cheaper, way cheaper today than it was,
00:27:36.496 --> 00:27:40.076
you know, a year ago. So the cost of, like, baseline intelligence is getting
00:27:40.076 --> 00:27:42.853
cheaper. The cost of frontier intelligence is getting more expensive.
00:27:43.224 --> 00:27:45.476
And so to the open source question, it's like, well, if you just have to wait
00:27:45.476 --> 00:27:48.706
six months to get what was Frontier today, like maybe that's worth it for your
00:27:48.706 --> 00:27:51.386
use case. I don't know. It depends on what kind of application you have underneath it.
00:27:52.390 --> 00:27:56.496
Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think what it is doing, to your point, is,
00:27:57.504 --> 00:28:02.986
it's making it a bit more complicated in terms of thinking through the architecture
00:28:02.986 --> 00:28:08.662
of what you're building and aligning kind of the model, the default model to the use case. Yeah.
00:28:10.018 --> 00:28:15.745
But let's move on to this next story. So I think the details of this are maybe
00:28:15.745 --> 00:28:16.715
a little less important.
00:28:16.715 --> 00:28:21.175
We've got Francisco Partners kind of buying a majority stake in Command Alcon.
00:28:21.175 --> 00:28:25.445
Command Alcon is essentially the technology used for dispatch,
00:28:25.445 --> 00:28:30.638
ticketing, logistics, and QC for concrete asphalts and aggregates.
00:28:32.000 --> 00:28:38.695
I think the question to the group is, is this just like an allocation kind of play,
00:28:39.575 --> 00:28:46.505
for a PE firm, or is this hinting at a trend which increasingly we're seeing,
00:28:46.505 --> 00:28:51.899
which is other sectors attempting to get upside exposure to construction?
00:28:52.520 --> 00:28:56.585
You know, we talk a lot about M&A activities in our industry,
00:28:56.585 --> 00:29:02.587
mainly in the tech category, but now we're seeing it at kind of all layers of our industry.
00:29:02.889 --> 00:29:09.803
And so, I don't know, Victor, do you see this as a larger play and an indicator of more to come?
00:29:10.751 --> 00:29:14.765
Yes but one of the things about command.con for for those in those types of
00:29:14.765 --> 00:29:17.265
markets at least from what i've heard is like it's not a great software it's
00:29:17.265 --> 00:29:20.245
one of those that you know the customers are their hostages kind of deal and
00:29:20.245 --> 00:29:24.268
if you look at that it's easier for a pe firm to come in and buy that kind of company out
00:29:24.686 --> 00:29:27.915
you can cut a bunch of people out of the mix you know streamline the business
00:29:27.915 --> 00:29:30.895
increase price and now for a pe firm you could flip that around for three to
00:29:30.895 --> 00:29:33.780
five x so i think that playbook is relatively straightforward for them
00:29:34.199 --> 00:29:37.535
so they won't lose so they won't churn a bunch because if you're if you're a
00:29:37.535 --> 00:29:40.415
dispatcher for concrete there's not that many options for ready mix company
00:29:40.415 --> 00:29:43.565
to go buy software that does what command alcon does same for aggregate same
00:29:43.565 --> 00:29:44.592
for any of these companies so
00:29:44.883 --> 00:29:48.735
i think yes but but only within the confines of what specifically command outcome
00:29:48.735 --> 00:29:50.201
provides to those types of companies.
00:29:51.874 --> 00:29:57.250
I mean, what would it take to build? I mean, I guess the question I have, too, is also,
00:29:57.994 --> 00:30:01.604
as we just stopped talking about all the different capabilities of these new
00:30:01.604 --> 00:30:10.194
models, is it going to take more time for a bad incumbent to just be outright replaced?
00:30:10.194 --> 00:30:14.481
Like, why do these things need to change hands? Why doesn't someone in that
00:30:14.603 --> 00:30:17.974
kind of subsegment of the industry just build net new? Obviously,
00:30:17.974 --> 00:30:19.374
there's customer relationships.
00:30:20.031 --> 00:30:23.420
There's the network effect. There's all those factors, but it does feel like,
00:30:24.017 --> 00:30:27.344
if it's going to happen, Tyler, isn't it like, can't someone just go build it?
00:30:28.502 --> 00:30:32.333
It's really interesting because I won't say who, but I mean,
00:30:32.333 --> 00:30:35.223
I was talking to some people the other day and there's some acquisitions that
00:30:35.223 --> 00:30:40.039
just happened and we're talking about, you know, is the company that got acquired,
00:30:40.289 --> 00:30:41.473
are they even profitable?
00:30:41.853 --> 00:30:46.878
You know, and they're like, oh, the company wasn't profitable,
00:30:47.011 --> 00:30:50.370
but it's sold for a lot of flipping money.
00:30:51.459 --> 00:30:54.403
And I'm looking at how much, you
know, if it was a hundred million dollars,
00:30:54.403 --> 00:30:59.353
let's say that this company was acquired for the company that bought them,
00:30:59.353 --> 00:31:01.692
why couldn't they've just gone out and built the dang thing,
00:31:02.151 --> 00:31:05.646
right? For a hundred million dollars, you can get a lot done for that. I'm sorry.
00:31:06.139 --> 00:31:09.645
And especially considering what this specific thing did.
00:31:10.208 --> 00:31:16.393
And so, yeah, there's stuff in the tea that's getting swirled around right now
00:31:16.393 --> 00:31:17.923
that I'm just not sure about.
00:31:17.923 --> 00:31:20.070
And this is something I was talking to my dad about. I'm like,
00:31:20.453 --> 00:31:24.523
maybe this is the reason why I'm just not sitting in the CEO seat at one of
00:31:24.523 --> 00:31:28.253
these large companies because I can't see around the corners like this and make
00:31:28.253 --> 00:31:31.257
sense of buying a company that,
00:31:31.915 --> 00:31:33.581
isn't profitable.
00:31:33.709 --> 00:31:37.854
I mean, it doesn't have, and, and, oh my gosh, yeah, sorry.
00:31:38.388 --> 00:31:41.441
The multiple that it was bought for was just absolutely insane.
00:31:42.104 --> 00:31:48.096
So I just, as a business owner, I'm like, I cannot wrap my head around spending,
00:31:48.329 --> 00:31:52.154
you know, a hundred million dollars on something that's doing 4 million in revenue.
00:31:52.613 --> 00:31:56.757
Well, I'm going to do a perplexity search on who got sold for a hundred million dollars.
00:32:00.653 --> 00:32:04.140
I mean, I think that also plays into some of these fundraising that we've seen.
00:32:07.691 --> 00:32:10.235
I was going to say, I think that also plays into some of these fundraisers that
00:32:10.235 --> 00:32:15.105
we've seen of like people raising astronomical rounds and like insane valuations.
00:32:15.105 --> 00:32:19.755
Like, well, what if you raise at that number, you're severely limiting your
00:32:19.755 --> 00:32:23.315
exit opportunity. Like you almost had to IPO or exit to mega PE firm because
00:32:23.315 --> 00:32:26.555
like a hundred million dollars, while a lot of money to a lot of large companies,
00:32:26.555 --> 00:32:29.627
that's, that's doable. You could pay that off because you could chart the path forward.
00:32:30.206 --> 00:32:33.275
Billions of dollars. It's a totally different conversation. You know what I
00:32:33.275 --> 00:32:35.815
mean? And So it's, it's, it's changing the game on the field,
00:32:35.815 --> 00:32:38.865
changing the game in the field massively. Yeah. Yeah.
00:32:39.625 --> 00:32:44.645
I think it's a good segue to talk about the Gravis Robotics seed from SoftBank.
00:32:45.025 --> 00:32:49.425
I think, you know, I almost had Ryan on the podcast last year and we're going
00:32:49.425 --> 00:32:52.165
to do kind of a joint episode with something from Granite.
00:32:52.165 --> 00:32:58.955
But I mean, obviously it seems like the leaps in frontier intelligence is informing
00:32:58.955 --> 00:33:02.778
a leap in what's capable in terms of the hardware side of the industry. Yeah.
00:33:04.145 --> 00:33:08.465
And so I'm hearing about all of these incredible things that robots are going
00:33:08.465 --> 00:33:13.862
to be able to do, even at the site level, and whether that's field AI,
00:33:14.059 --> 00:33:15.835
I just, I haven't seen any of it yet.
00:33:15.835 --> 00:33:20.950
And obviously, I'm not on the day-to-day of a job site, but is it happening, Tyler?
00:33:22.045 --> 00:33:26.745
Same thing it's the same thing we just talked about 200 million dollars I'm
00:33:26.745 --> 00:33:31.735
not saying it's them it's the same thing 200 million dollars for a company that
00:33:31.735 --> 00:33:33.438
hadn't even figured out how to make money,
00:33:34.341 --> 00:33:37.580
Well, I mean, I think that's like. Lars, please help me.
00:33:37.871 --> 00:33:42.898
Help me. Lars, are you getting your hair done? What's going on? Where's your camera?
00:33:43.637 --> 00:33:47.927
Is my camera off? Yeah, dude. I can see. I can see him. Oh, really?
00:33:48.205 --> 00:33:49.895
Okay. As long as you guys can see him.
00:33:52.173 --> 00:33:57.613
I'm getting my hair done. It's speculation, guys. It's just speculation.
00:33:57.613 --> 00:34:00.063
So there's a couple things, Tyler, that you said earlier. Like.
00:34:02.364 --> 00:34:05.233
Why would I just go buy it versus, why would I buy versus build,
00:34:05.233 --> 00:34:06.828
right? Build versus buy, buy versus build.
00:34:07.605 --> 00:34:10.253
You know, it's interesting how reluctant
00:34:10.253 --> 00:34:16.645
companies are to change something internally if they're a consumer.
00:34:17.015 --> 00:34:21.503
I'm not going to change the platform I'm on because it took 10 years for us
00:34:21.503 --> 00:34:22.683
to finally figure it out.
00:34:22.683 --> 00:34:28.363
And it's just, I don't want to leave it, right? How many companies aren't satisfied
00:34:28.363 --> 00:34:32.745
with certain, call it, products they use, but they make them work?
00:34:33.168 --> 00:34:37.193
And it's easier to make them work than to ask them to deal with more change
00:34:37.193 --> 00:34:42.083
in the organization. So that is something that, you know, from a human capital
00:34:42.083 --> 00:34:47.076
standpoint, internal, we'll call it like a thousand foot below inside of a company.
00:34:48.043 --> 00:34:50.923
That's some of the sentiment that's going on, right? It takes a very visionary
00:34:50.923 --> 00:34:58.993
leader to create a very elastic organization where the people are innovating at all levels, right?
00:34:58.993 --> 00:35:04.213
At all levels, rather than just doing their sort of methodical plowing of the
00:35:04.213 --> 00:35:06.359
field and trench digging every day, right?
00:35:06.962 --> 00:35:10.132
But relating to Gravis Robotics and stuff like that, I mean...
00:35:11.144 --> 00:35:20.344
Guys, we have self-driving
cars. It's here, right? Like, it's happening. And with what will be...
00:35:21.064 --> 00:35:25.164
So, I actually think it'll be... Like, building a highway, like,
00:35:25.164 --> 00:35:27.444
that'll just be robots out there.
00:35:27.444 --> 00:35:30.814
Like, that can be more easier. Where I think it's going to be more challenging
00:35:30.814 --> 00:35:32.974
is in an existing environment, right?
00:35:32.974 --> 00:35:40.624
Not new, existing, unpredictable, where, you know, these environmental stimuli
00:35:40.624 --> 00:35:44.274
are going to somehow have to be processed on the fly rather than here's the
00:35:44.274 --> 00:35:47.273
model, you know exactly where you are in this model.
00:35:47.860 --> 00:35:52.304
And, you know, I'm going to tell you on a personal side, I'm having my investment
00:35:52.304 --> 00:35:55.145
team, I'm like robotics.
00:35:56.738 --> 00:36:01.314
AI is one thing, robots. And Elon's talking about it. A lot of these other guys
00:36:01.314 --> 00:36:04.147
are talking about it. You can see it in the defense world, Andrel.
00:36:05.084 --> 00:36:09.884
Like, it's all robots. And you layer the AI on top of the robots.
00:36:09.884 --> 00:36:15.534
Now we have it because before we didn't really have that sort of like wait how's
00:36:15.534 --> 00:36:16.744
a robot going to actually do it,
00:36:18.264 --> 00:36:23.824
now it's doing it you can ship a humanoid to yourself like right now so here's
00:36:23.824 --> 00:36:26.964
a question actually it doesn't get shipped to you it.
00:36:28.784 --> 00:36:31.664
Takes a train ride it's like I'm going to go see Tyler.
00:36:36.764 --> 00:36:40.995
Where's my gun so the question is is would you guys feel comfortable,
00:36:41.993 --> 00:36:46.093
with a robot in your house. No. I mean, we already do.
00:36:46.513 --> 00:36:48.763
Let's be honest. I think a humanoid, no, I think that's creepy.
00:36:48.763 --> 00:36:50.793
But, like, I have a Roomba. Like, that's not that crazy.
00:36:51.213 --> 00:36:54.463
I think other people have, like, different types of... They're not really robots
00:36:54.463 --> 00:36:57.213
in the sense that they're doing things for you, but your refrigerator,
00:36:57.213 --> 00:36:58.853
your microwave, your TV...
00:36:59.713 --> 00:37:04.203
Would you feel better about it if it didn't look like a human?
00:37:04.203 --> 00:37:05.243
Like, if it looks like...
00:37:05.313 --> 00:37:11.523
100%. What if I connected your fridge with arms and legs, connected to the internet
00:37:11.523 --> 00:37:15.443
and gave it like Kimmy K3. Like, I think that changes the game.
00:37:15.443 --> 00:37:16.613
Yeah, of course, of course.
00:37:17.733 --> 00:37:23.313
Mobility plus intelligence. That's a different thing than my oven.
00:37:24.089 --> 00:37:29.793
Yeah, I think humanoids are in the home a bridge too far, quite frankly. I would never buy one.
00:37:30.093 --> 00:37:34.443
But I think like general purpose tools are interesting. I think within the home,
00:37:34.443 --> 00:37:38.741
I would only specific task things that I can't.
00:37:38.875 --> 00:37:42.863
Again like a Roomba is not that a lot of people have them that's not that crazy
00:37:42.863 --> 00:37:46.163
people have like lawnmower robots like that's not that crazy but when you start
00:37:46.163 --> 00:37:49.253
thinking about like how fast can they go how tall are they how big are they
00:37:49.253 --> 00:37:52.573
how heavy are they like that's when it starts to get a little scary I'm,
00:37:54.073 --> 00:37:59.139
like if I get time back if I get time back I'm interested I'm interested.
00:38:00.922 --> 00:38:03.546
What about like folding clothes or doing dishes or any of these?
00:38:03.546 --> 00:38:05.635
Do you like folding clothes or doing dishes?
00:38:06.187 --> 00:38:09.356
I don't mind them. As far as like chores go, I don't mind them.
00:38:09.356 --> 00:38:11.096
I mean, would you rather be doing something?
00:38:11.536 --> 00:38:16.986
Of course. Of course I would. So, so this is where like, I want a robot to do
00:38:16.986 --> 00:38:19.476
those things that I don't like to do 100%.
00:38:19.636 --> 00:38:24.687
Well, of course that's the selling point, right? Yeah. But I'm uncomfortable.
00:38:26.882 --> 00:38:34.266
With like being under surveillance by whatever or whatever subscription I'm
00:38:34.266 --> 00:38:36.599
paying to someone to fold my laundry.
00:38:37.376 --> 00:38:39.726
The second you're late for your payment and that thing goes haywire in your
00:38:39.726 --> 00:38:43.816
house like you're cooked. You know what I mean? Like you can't have that situation
00:38:43.816 --> 00:38:45.676
happen. I don't know what to do now.
00:38:48.296 --> 00:38:53.194
I mean I will say It then goes sabotages the laundry it's already folded.
00:38:53.374 --> 00:38:55.986
Exactly. You haven't paid me. Third back in the washing machine.
00:38:55.986 --> 00:38:58.210
Yeah, it's like, where's my clothes, bro?
00:38:58.877 --> 00:39:03.347
Burns all of your clothes because you didn't upgrade it to the newest version.
00:39:04.356 --> 00:39:09.218
So I think there are kind of two different lanes if we get back to Gravis specifically.
00:39:09.834 --> 00:39:14.867
Like, I mean, that's civil. So I think that stuff makes pretty good sense because,
00:39:15.454 --> 00:39:19.626
you just have to be spatially aware of what's going on and coding what needs
00:39:19.626 --> 00:39:21.206
to happen to the earthwork.
00:39:21.607 --> 00:39:25.846
Not that difficult. Now, if we start moving through the actual construction
00:39:25.846 --> 00:39:29.014
process and we start looking at robotics as it moves through,
00:39:29.560 --> 00:39:32.766
humanoids start to get really interesting, yeah, but also, like,
00:39:32.766 --> 00:39:35.620
we've seen people try this stuff with, like,
00:39:36.172 --> 00:39:38.627
I'm gonna call Hilti out just for fun, J-Bot.
00:39:38.854 --> 00:39:41.290
If we look at J-Bot, or we look at
even Dusty.
00:39:42.444 --> 00:39:46.726
There's setup that has to occur with each one of those platforms, right?
00:39:47.039 --> 00:39:52.274
And sometimes the setup doesn't merit deploying it out on site.
00:39:52.274 --> 00:39:57.764
So when we went out to race JBOD back in the day, this was, I mean,
00:39:58.330 --> 00:40:01.844
2019 when Eddie and I did this, maybe a little late, maybe it was 2020.
00:40:01.844 --> 00:40:02.586
I don't know. It doesn't matter.
00:40:03.317 --> 00:40:06.277
We went out and we raced it to see who could win.
00:40:06.853 --> 00:40:12.871
But the thing that is not shown on camera is the hour and a half that it took
00:40:13.134 --> 00:40:18.045
them on the phone to get the freaking thing oriented with the total station,
00:40:18.867 --> 00:40:23.164
and so oh this isn't aligned we got to get this file right like back and forth
00:40:23.164 --> 00:40:27.199
back and forth back and forth meanwhile eddie can just go zip zip zip zip zip
00:40:27.389 --> 00:40:30.547
move now if it's 40 000 holes,
00:40:31.277 --> 00:40:34.487
starts to make a little bit more sense i'll give you that,
00:40:35.178 --> 00:40:39.284
but then there's the there's the modeling aspect of it the model fidelity right
00:40:39.284 --> 00:40:40.914
now the 3d models that are being
00:40:40.914 --> 00:40:46.647
produced do not have builder grade accuracy in them in a lot of cases,
00:40:47.464 --> 00:40:51.544
because the tooling there doesn't allow us to get that specific because revit's
00:40:51.544 --> 00:40:59.844
a pig and it sucks yeah that's the headline you do it yeah i do think i mean it's.
00:41:01.135 --> 00:41:06.874
The money from i mean softbank SoftBank, I mean, infamously throws money around a little bit, right?
00:41:06.874 --> 00:41:10.484
And, you know, they're not a sponsor, so we can say all kinds of things about
00:41:10.484 --> 00:41:14.844
SoftBank. But like, they're notorious for all... I'm sorry.
00:41:16.784 --> 00:41:20.204
For all the people on the sponsor list that are waiting, we'll get to you.
00:41:20.204 --> 00:41:21.954
Don't worry. The list is long. Forgive us.
00:41:22.184 --> 00:41:26.128
SoftBank, if you're listening, we will take your money and we will stop saying these things.
00:41:27.104 --> 00:41:32.754
But, like, I mean, you know, they've made some investments that we'll say were
00:41:32.754 --> 00:41:36.726
pretty ambitious. But I do think, I mean, Gravis has a real product.
00:41:37.684 --> 00:41:42.734
They're obviously banking on continued kind of increase in frontier intelligence,
00:41:42.734 --> 00:41:45.372
which is happening. So I think it's interesting.
00:41:45.964 --> 00:41:47.549
I've got a little bit of a different take on this.
00:41:48.764 --> 00:41:52.514
I think $200 million is actually not that much money in the grand scheme.
00:41:52.514 --> 00:41:56.669
It's, again, large ticket number. But for what we're talking about in robotics, it's not that crazy.
00:41:57.197 --> 00:42:00.444
I do think the valuation of it is pretty expensive though. So there's a little
00:42:00.444 --> 00:42:01.214
bit of a disconnect there.
00:42:01.214 --> 00:42:05.284
So I think when you think about construction robotics, particularly on the civil
00:42:05.284 --> 00:42:06.594
side, you have two flavors.
00:42:06.594 --> 00:42:10.534
You have, could you buy a fully autonomous unit from a manufacturer or from
00:42:10.534 --> 00:42:15.284
a provider? Or can you buy hardware and software combined to retrofit your existing
00:42:15.284 --> 00:42:17.344
fleet? Those are really the two options you have.
00:42:17.762 --> 00:42:20.354
And so you've seen a bifurcation of the kinds of companies out there,
00:42:20.354 --> 00:42:23.794
right? Ready Robotics, Race Robotics, Build Robotics, Bedrock,
00:42:23.794 --> 00:42:24.849
like you go down the list.
00:42:25.453 --> 00:42:27.544
And so for a company like Kiewit that already has, you know,
00:42:27.544 --> 00:42:30.554
three, four or five billion dollars worth of equipment, it makes much more sense
00:42:30.554 --> 00:42:34.394
to go and buy retrofit equipment to do that to your existing fleet than it does
00:42:34.394 --> 00:42:38.298
to go spend billions of dollars to go retrofit and rebuy everything you have.
00:42:38.844 --> 00:42:41.404
And so that in that world, then, yeah, Gravis makes more sense.
00:42:41.404 --> 00:42:44.574
So like the valuation is expensive, but spending two hundred million dollars
00:42:44.574 --> 00:42:48.184
to go build enough of these units to then go ship to all the civil contractors across the country.
00:42:48.631 --> 00:42:51.214
That's not that crazy to think about. I agree with you, Tyler,
00:42:51.214 --> 00:42:54.994
like net new buildings on Greenfield sites. it's pretty easy.
00:42:54.994 --> 00:42:59.364
But when you get into existing utilities and strikes, that is really freaking hard.
00:42:59.924 --> 00:43:03.399
That is unsolved. Rod Radar, God bless them, it's such a hard problem to solve.
00:43:03.649 --> 00:43:05.054
You can't really get there yet.
00:43:05.437 --> 00:43:08.014
But I think if you're doing data centers, if you're doing energy,
00:43:08.014 --> 00:43:10.654
a lot of these are greenfield, they're out in the middle of nowhere type projects.
00:43:10.654 --> 00:43:12.229
And so it's much easier to see that happen.
00:43:12.565 --> 00:43:16.269
And then again, from the capital expenditure side, from a GC or civil contractor,
00:43:16.553 --> 00:43:20.924
it's much easier to make a decision to spend tens of thousands of dollars to
00:43:20.924 --> 00:43:24.285
buy one of these units than it would be to go buy a new Komatsu piece of equipment.
00:43:25.329 --> 00:43:29.529
Yeah, I think that's fair. I think though, with any kind of piece of technology,
00:43:29.529 --> 00:43:35.499
like the concept is, is a component of the valuation, but so is traction and
00:43:35.499 --> 00:43:37.692
like real world kind of implementation.
00:43:38.122 --> 00:43:42.849
And I think that's where there's like a devoid of, of info on,
00:43:42.849 --> 00:43:45.709
on how, how this is actually being done. That's why they're expensive.
00:43:45.709 --> 00:43:47.129
It's unclear. It's unclear.
00:43:47.569 --> 00:43:49.929
I don't think like a lot of these companies have their revenues that they,
00:43:50.529 --> 00:43:52.750
they're aspirational, but they're not there yet.
00:43:53.348 --> 00:43:57.959
Yeah no i mean like lars said i mean it's speculative it's it's speculative
00:43:57.959 --> 00:44:02.769
investing at this point it's r&d it's r&d gravis makes sense like if i'm an
00:44:02.769 --> 00:44:04.407
investor i'm looking at gravis i'm going yeah okay,
00:44:05.069 --> 00:44:08.899
i can see how that would track but some of these other robotics platforms that
00:44:08.899 --> 00:44:11.805
we see coming out in the construction space i just don't.
00:44:12.489 --> 00:44:15.239
They haven't found their product market fit yet they haven't figured out how
00:44:15.239 --> 00:44:19.787
to integrate themselves into the job sites so well so that they become indispensable,
00:44:20.310 --> 00:44:25.129
i mean i shoot like working in steel you look at robotics that are actually
00:44:25.129 --> 00:44:30.729
in the steel fabrication shops i've had to model steel to run through and fix
00:44:30.729 --> 00:44:34.236
the nc files because the robot couldn't read it right,
00:44:34.772 --> 00:44:37.442
and so i've had to drive robotics through 3d i'm,
00:44:38.056 --> 00:44:43.279
like if we can't even get freaking steel right good luck out in a job site that
00:44:43.279 --> 00:44:48.239
is very unpredictable with crap all over the floor and people that don't want
00:44:48.239 --> 00:44:52.610
the robot out there because they're scared of it taking their jobs so it's a harder,
00:44:53.174 --> 00:44:56.779
you know it's a harder task to get this implemented in the field than i think
00:44:56.779 --> 00:45:00.982
we give credit so it's yeah something like gravis i can see it.
00:45:01.780 --> 00:45:06.479
As we go down more into the actual like bricks and sticks of things that's where
00:45:06.479 --> 00:45:09.483
it starts to get really complex on the robotics end.
00:45:10.405 --> 00:45:14.545
Well, from hardware to software, let's talk about Procore's kind of AI strategy.
00:45:14.545 --> 00:45:19.335
So I think in July, we talked about the kind of digital coworker and some of
00:45:19.335 --> 00:45:21.005
the agents that they were starting to roll out.
00:45:21.385 --> 00:45:25.683
They've put together kind of a more kind of defined package.
00:45:26.083 --> 00:45:30.625
And let me look at that. It says there's one kind of tier, which is started
00:45:30.625 --> 00:45:33.655
with flat rate, six months, capped at three projects, five agents.
00:45:33.655 --> 00:45:38.750
And then there's like pro and enterprise, 12-month terms, credit usage-based pricing.
00:45:39.430 --> 00:45:44.075
So i guess how should how should the industry kind of view this obviously everyone's
00:45:44.075 --> 00:45:48.305
kind of skeptical of of procor's pricing methodology historically and so,
00:45:48.785 --> 00:45:53.005
as they roll out a big component of their ai strategy they're leaving out the
00:45:53.005 --> 00:45:58.345
price of how they're going to charge people's use of these agents that are getting
00:45:58.345 --> 00:46:01.339
integrated into every you know level of their platform um.
00:46:03.104 --> 00:46:09.064
How on top on top of a percentage model that was already that was already sort
00:46:09.064 --> 00:46:14.584
of like wait is is there is the real value here if if we're just talking rfis
00:46:14.584 --> 00:46:17.871
and submittals guys is it real value right,
00:46:18.486 --> 00:46:23.914
dude seriously so lars we've talked about you know this idea of like what does
00:46:23.914 --> 00:46:25.314
owning the data look like,
00:46:25.904 --> 00:46:32.724
as as an owner on the construction side and development side would this be prohibited
00:46:32.724 --> 00:46:38.144
for you like say you were kind of neutral i went i know you're not but if you were would you,
00:46:38.724 --> 00:46:41.784
would you be like okay i'm just gonna try this for a few months and go through
00:46:41.784 --> 00:46:45.154
the pains of change management only to find out that it's way more expensive
00:46:45.154 --> 00:46:48.540
than you want it to be or is this prohibitive i think,
00:46:49.213 --> 00:46:56.080
i think having having fallen many times and stubbed toes and knees and lost some teeth,
00:46:57.144 --> 00:47:01.764
you you're like yeah no this is this is just an overreach this is this this
00:47:01.764 --> 00:47:07.864
is another I think, unreasonable grasp at something that I'm just, I don't see the value.
00:47:07.864 --> 00:47:11.394
The value is existing over here. This is a bolt on, you know,
00:47:11.394 --> 00:47:14.391
for some other stuff. Yeah, I guess it's convenient that maybe some of this,
00:47:14.646 --> 00:47:17.839
we'll call it data, has already been uploaded to the platform.
00:47:18.001 --> 00:47:21.693
But then it's like, wait a minute, why am I even giving them that stuff?
00:47:23.024 --> 00:47:26.161
Maybe I should take a different approach, which is how do I not give them this?
00:47:26.649 --> 00:47:32.036
And again, what value are they bringing to my organization at what cost,
00:47:32.622 --> 00:47:35.654
right so i don't know if that i don't know if that answered your question but,
00:47:36.153 --> 00:47:41.749
you know i'm immediately very speculative like like like or concerned about like,
00:47:42.473 --> 00:47:46.654
why aren't you our customers just not being loud enough about around your the
00:47:46.654 --> 00:47:50.374
pricing pain or is there just that much am i the only one that just,
00:47:50.994 --> 00:47:55.494
maybe he's like am i getting the value for which i'm paying for a year am i
00:47:55.494 -->
00:48:00.324
the only one feeling that and then wait you're now going to charge more on top Yep.
00:48:01.518 --> 00:48:05.628
I thought Sass was dead, right? I thought Sass was dying. And now they're like
00:48:05.628 --> 00:48:07.713
doubling down and charging more.
00:48:09.258 --> 00:48:12.897
Come on, guys. But don't worry. We're going to send you all the goods in the mail.
00:48:13.778 --> 00:48:18.378
And we're going to have a racing team. And we're going to spend all the money,
00:48:18.718 --> 00:48:22.262
right? We're going to spend all your money on us.
00:48:23.998 --> 00:48:27.768
I strongly, strongly, strongly disagree. Wait, Victor, before you provide your
00:48:27.768 --> 00:48:33.230
perspective, let's try and construct like what would Chris Lengiza say?
00:48:33.415 --> 00:48:36.978
What's like Procore's perspective on this and then we can all provide like then
00:48:36.978 --> 00:48:38.919
I want to hear your actual take.
00:48:39.064 --> 00:48:43.598
I have a bow tie do I have a bow tie somewhere? Yes so Tyler you're going to
00:48:43.598 --> 00:48:49.558
be Chris for the next minute and a half give me your explanation don't do something I can't actually.
00:48:52.958 --> 00:49:01.058
So go Victor Well, yeah, Victor, do you want to try and craft Procore perspective?
00:49:01.058 --> 00:49:04.038
I'll try to steal a minute from Procore, and then I'll give my own personal.
00:49:04.038 --> 00:49:06.938
I think this is actually one of the best things Procore, and smartest things
00:49:06.938 --> 00:49:09.128
Procore's done in a bit. I think this is sneaky sharp.
00:49:09.696 --> 00:49:12.541
I agree. Are you acting as Procore? Is this your take?
00:49:13.158 --> 00:49:16.368
I'll let you decide by the end of this. I think, Lars, to what you're saying,
00:49:16.368 --> 00:49:19.568
a lot of the industry definitely has been upset at Procore, their pricing model.
00:49:19.568 --> 00:49:21.633
I think it made sense for Procore as they were growing.
00:49:22.103 --> 00:49:26.683
But I think there's a lot of heartburn right now. I think that's totally... felt and heard.
00:49:27.672 --> 00:49:32.292
But if I was at Procore, let me paint the picture. I think you know the base
00:49:32.292 --> 00:49:35.292
floor and you know the ceiling roughly of what people are willing to spend for
00:49:35.292 --> 00:49:37.292
your product. And it's a percentage that you've already been charging.
00:49:37.292 --> 00:49:40.282
You can slightly increase it every year, but there's no meaningful increase
00:49:40.282 --> 00:49:41.972
to that. People are going to churn. They're going to go to Autodesk.
00:49:42.012 --> 00:49:44.332
They're going to go to these other companies. So you know roughly what the max
00:49:44.332 --> 00:49:45.272
is that someone's going to pay.
00:49:45.921 --> 00:49:49.522
With the data grade acquisition, you're starting to try and get to this world
00:49:49.522 --> 00:49:53.671
where you're doing less reliant. You're less reliant on what a core,
00:49:54.135 --> 00:49:56.362
what a contractor is actually doing in the top line revenue.
00:49:56.362 --> 00:50:00.393
You're trying to get closer and closer to verified actions of what your software could do.
00:50:00.811 --> 00:50:05.722
And the idea being, if you could use an agent to go complete an RFI for you,
00:50:05.722 --> 00:50:07.201
I could charge for that. I could charge.
00:50:07.839 --> 00:50:11.572
Continue down the path. They bought DroneDeploy. And the idea behind the DroneDeploy
00:50:11.572 --> 00:50:13.462
thing is less about the data that they already have.
00:50:13.462 --> 00:50:16.302
But if you're still going with like, okay, if I need an agent to go do something
00:50:16.302 --> 00:50:20.312
on my behalf, and now I have the data and the insights and the visual confirmation
00:50:20.312 --> 00:50:24.482
from a project site, it is much easier for me to verify what happened in the RFI.
00:50:24.482 --> 00:50:27.372
It's much easier to generate the submittal and do all this other stuff the Pay
00:50:27.372 --> 00:50:29.127
application within the Procore application.
00:50:29.824 --> 00:50:33.734
All the way from start to finish. Like if I'm Procore, it's starting to make
00:50:33.734 --> 00:50:36.884
more sense why I would buy those companies together in a world where I know
00:50:36.884 --> 00:50:39.644
the max of what someone's willing to pay. Here are the components of why they
00:50:39.644 --> 00:50:41.608
use the software and now I can use agents to do it.
00:50:42.242 --> 00:50:44.727
That's the, from the product side, that's how I would think about it.
00:50:45.348 --> 00:50:48.512
From the pricing side, this is really, really complicated.
00:50:48.842 --> 00:50:52.664
This is like, if you're Procore, this is almost a burn the boats moment,
00:50:52.664 --> 00:50:56.004
quite frankly, because if you've been entirely relying on your contractors to
00:50:56.004 --> 00:50:59.114
grow their business in order for you to grow your business, you're in a sticky
00:50:59.114 --> 00:51:03.063
position, especially if revenues go down and you have some softening in other markets,
00:51:03.563 --> 00:51:05.824
against a time where people are getting pretty frustrated with how much you're
00:51:05.824 --> 00:51:08.874
charging so you have to figure out a new way to create value and you have to
00:51:08.874 --> 00:51:11.713
create a new way to actually capture that value and they're trying to do that here,
00:51:12.160 --> 00:51:15.734
so against the backdrop of the products of how they're doing using agents and
00:51:15.734 --> 00:51:18.414
the verification of the field now they're trying to create a way that they could
00:51:18.414 --> 00:51:20.484
charge you for those actions it actually allows you
00:51:20.924 --> 00:51:24.524
in theory as a contractor to eventually stop buying the full modules the way
00:51:24.524 --> 00:51:27.614
that they break up all their products suites into modules you don't in
In the
00:51:27.614 --> 00:51:28.834
future, you won't have to buy all of them.
00:51:28.834 --> 00:51:31.165
You just need to buy the ones, the actions that you need.
00:51:31.485 --> 00:51:34.039
You could buy submittals. You could buy RFIs. You don't need to buy finance.
00:51:34.393 --> 00:51:36.364
Like the fact that if you buy finance from Procore- Hold on, has that come out yet?
00:51:36.904 --> 00:51:40.194
Has that come out? They don't. I think that's, again, if I'm at Procore,
00:51:40.194 --> 00:51:43.054
this is a future I'm trying to build. This is what I'm trying to get to so that
00:51:43.054 --> 00:51:45.110
I could charge just for what you actually need.
00:51:45.510 --> 00:51:48.558
Because in that world, it is much cheaper for me. It is a higher margin product
00:51:48.976 --> 00:51:50.711
and it's easier to plan for.
00:51:51.048 --> 00:51:54.474
Now, at the contractor level, it's totally different because as a contractor,
00:51:54.474 --> 00:51:56.864
you have no way to actually forecast that. You have no idea how much you're
00:51:56.864 --> 00:51:58.894
actually going to spend. So I disagree with that.
00:51:59.224 --> 00:52:06.221
Oh, why? Because I believe in a consumption-based model, I can predict exactly...
00:52:06.913 --> 00:52:09.761
What my actions are at bid time.
00:52:10.973 --> 00:52:16.334
I can assume based on historicals with this customer and designer, X number of RFIs.
00:52:16.712 --> 00:52:21.263
I can predict how many subcontractors, how long the project's going to go on
00:52:21.263 --> 00:52:23.533
for, how many days on site people will be there.
00:52:24.493 --> 00:52:28.543
100%, that's predictable to me. And I'm a fan of consumption-based models.
00:52:28.543 --> 00:52:33.389
That's what my platform's based off of because I can predict at time of bid
00:52:33.604 --> 00:52:36.773
how much my software will cost on this project.
00:52:37.553 --> 00:52:41.313
But I don't even think we're arguing about the price methodology,
00:52:41.313 --> 00:52:45.993
because I can understand token variability is a huge variable in this kind of
00:52:45.993 --> 00:52:52.173
product. And so I can respect the fact that there's a need to do some metering.
00:52:53.313 --> 00:52:56.153
Steven, I think you said it eloquently, or maybe it was Tyler.
00:52:56.153 --> 00:52:58.012
It certainly wasn't me. Probably me.
00:52:58.314 --> 00:53:04.561
But it was like this Procore was built on the back of contractors,
00:53:05.273 --> 00:53:10.093
bludgeoning them on like, no, this is what this means. No, this is what I need.
00:53:10.093 --> 00:53:12.367
No, this is how this works.
00:53:13.516 --> 00:53:21.183
And I just think, like, why are they constantly, well, we know what the max
00:53:21.183 --> 00:53:22.205
people are willing to pay.
00:53:22.846 --> 00:53:26.032
Where's the value prop in that? This is already a tight industry.
00:53:26.549 --> 00:53:30.733
And by the way, if I predict my revenue is $80 million and I give you a check
00:53:30.733 --> 00:53:33.973
for my $80 million because you've asked, right? And that's what my pricing is
00:53:33.973 --> 00:53:37.799
based off. But guess what? I only do $60 million. Victor, do they give me a credit back?
00:53:38.498 --> 00:53:41.627
No. Yeah. And that right there is wrong.
00:53:42.306 --> 00:53:47.780
And that is what I don't appreciate. Even the insurance industry gives me a credit back.
00:53:48.549 --> 00:53:49.855
They're worse than insurance.
00:53:51.039 --> 00:53:54.933
That's how you really feel, Lars. It's not me. give us your take and then we're
00:53:54.933 --> 00:53:57.795
going to move on to our last story before we go Tyler where's your go.
00:53:59.262 --> 00:54:04.340
All right, so I would say the biggest hiccup in all of this,
00:54:04.526 --> 00:54:08.541
I'll refer to this plan to charging per use.
00:54:08.981 --> 00:54:15.496
I'll refer to this plan as Operation Bendover Contractors who idea,
00:54:16.355 --> 00:54:21.202
that I can release an AI tool out to a thousand people,
00:54:21.864 --> 00:54:25.260
and they can just go prompt effing
00:54:25.591 --> 00:54:32.916
crazy on this thing and the CFO gets a bill for $150,000 at the end of the month,
00:54:33.224 --> 00:54:37.624
how long do you think that product is going to last in an organization
00:54:37.949 --> 00:54:43.492
if you cannot track a cleaner return on the investment?
00:54:43.492 --> 00:54:48.445
And that's the problem that I have with this, is the return on investment is
00:54:48.584 --> 00:54:51.246
not calculated clearly.
00:54:51.890 --> 00:54:57.666
So I'm fine if you tell me I put $150,000 in here, I get $15 million out.
00:54:58.142 --> 00:55:03.522
Woo, I'm great. But nobody has been able to do that eloquently.
00:55:03.522 --> 00:55:06.182
And that's where I was going to give you some props, Lars, for what you guys
00:55:06.182 --> 00:55:11.177
have built, is because within your own system, I can look...
00:55:12.576 --> 00:55:19.256
Email comes in, it does this, it sends this, boom, ROI, clear.
00:55:19.256 --> 00:55:24.819
But people sitting there and treating this thing like, where did I put blah, blah, blah?
00:55:25.976 --> 00:55:33.388
You can't predict that, Victor. $150,000 a free month and also beyond that, it's variable.
00:55:33.852 --> 00:55:38.712
The API costs are going to go, so as soon as I become reliant on this thing,
00:55:39.281 --> 00:55:46.652
and then open AI or anthropic, starts charging the actual cost of compute plus their problem,
00:55:47.320 --> 00:55:50.060
then what then it's going to be 500 grand a month,
00:55:50.960 --> 00:55:56.840
on what planet is that okay for any other software that's where it's gone kind of haywire for me is,
00:55:57.461 --> 00:56:01.936
ai as people are just turning their turning their brains off and saying like
00:56:01.936 --> 00:56:08.107
well it's ai it's amazing it's all the bull crap it comes back to return on investment every time.
00:56:08.571
--> 00:56:13.466
Don't get that mixed up. And when I ran a poll on LinkedIn, I was like,
00:56:13.466 --> 00:56:16.663
hey, you know, what's the biggest holdup for buying new technology?
00:56:17.081 --> 00:56:21.546
Everybody's answering return on investment. It's not clear. And especially for
00:56:21.546 --> 00:56:27.118
AI right now, it's still developing. I'm not saying that there isn't ROI to be hot. There is.
00:56:27.530 --> 00:56:31.977
But for stuff like this, that's bullcrap. It's nonsense. It's ridiculous.
00:56:33.776 --> 00:56:38.353
We will leave an opportunity for Procore to respond and see how they come back.
00:56:39.690 --> 00:56:47.016
Last story, 97% of drones on our job sites are from DJI.
00:56:47.442 --> 00:56:52.149
And then we've got those kind of doubling in cost because of some tariff announcements.
00:56:53.284 --> 00:57:00.226
How quickly do you think this translates into increased ProCore slash drone deploy bills monthly?
00:57:00.795 --> 00:57:02.584
Immediately? God.
00:57:03.884 --> 00:57:08.854
Yeah. I mean, I'm the opinion of, like, get them out of the site.
00:57:08.854 --> 00:57:12.654
Like, we should be using more American-made drones. I think that just makes more sense.
00:57:12.654 --> 00:57:15.794
I think the question of, like, what happens to the data is a whole other separate
00:57:15.794 --> 00:57:21.904
topic. About the pricing, it's another thing. But I just don't trust the ulterior
00:57:21.904 --> 00:57:25.904
motive, the genuine motive of some of these companies when we know that they're linked to the CCP.
00:57:26.704 --> 00:57:29.124
Again, this probably isn't a construction tech podcast at this point,
00:57:29.124 --> 00:57:33.484
but I would just get them out. Yeah. Well said. American.
00:57:34.850 --> 00:57:36.986
Well, that's the opportunity, right? That's the opportunity.
00:57:37.259 --> 00:57:40.040
Yeah. That is the opportunity. Opportunity there.
00:57:41.930 --> 00:57:47.664
Well, August was a doozy. Any hot takes you want to finish out the episode with?
00:57:47.878 --> 00:57:50.485
Lars, go first. What's your thoughts for September?
00:57:52.146 --> 00:57:55.767
Gosh, I wasn't prepared for this. Tyler, go. Go. No.
00:57:58.404 --> 00:58:03.024
You can't make me a plot. I was thinking. Victor's the smartest one out of all of us.
00:58:04.044 --> 00:58:08.622
Victor's going to come with a thesis. He's like, well, actually, I'd like to.
00:58:10.480 --> 00:58:14.444
Yeah, I don't know that I have a hot take. I would double down on something
00:58:14.444 --> 00:58:17.994
I said last time. I think Clear Story is one of the better companies in this
00:58:17.994 --> 00:58:20.662
space and underappreciated of their product surface.
00:58:21.097 --> 00:58:24.814
I'm a little bit surprised of how much the product direction that a lot of construction
00:58:24.814 --> 00:58:28.164
tech companies have gone down and what they haven't built. I think there's still so much to do.
00:58:28.624 --> 00:58:32.074
I think we need better alignment, though, between solutions and customers.
00:58:32.074 --> 00:58:35.344
I think that's probably the biggest hindrance of people adopting more construction
00:58:35.344 --> 00:58:39.274
tech is it's expensive and it's hard to see the value. And I think we need better
00:58:39.274 --> 00:58:40.217
alignment between those two.
00:58:40.855 --> 00:58:45.424
So can I ask this question just real quickly, because I've been thinking about this yesterday. I.
00:58:46.803 --> 00:58:52.703
Wrappers are kind of useless, but harnesses are really valuable as it relates to these models.
00:58:53.063 --> 00:58:57.423
And we know that with Perplexity, we know that with Cursor, a few others.
00:58:57.922 --> 00:59:02.853
And I had this thought of like, well, isn't that what every construction tech
00:59:02.853 --> 00:59:04.256
company should be trying to build?
00:59:04.407 --> 00:59:09.563
Is like some really contextually aware harness for our industry?
00:59:09.563 --> 00:59:12.511
And yet, in theory, we're kind of failing at that.
00:59:13.483 --> 00:59:17.549
And they're trying to be almost everything else other than an effective harness.
00:59:18.141 --> 00:59:21.553
Well, I mean, a wrapper is basically just a harness because of me,
00:59:21.553 --> 00:59:23.369
our heart is seeing other LLMs, right?
00:59:23.678 --> 00:59:28.183
So this would be... Well, I mean, maybe it's nomenclature, but I view a wrapper
00:59:28.583 --> 00:59:33.414
as less than, but yeah, potentially, right?
00:59:34.234 --> 00:59:37.083
Yeah, I would agree with that. But I think that the challenge,
00:59:37.083 --> 00:59:40.073
like if you look at Accursion, the underlying thing that they did is code, right?
00:59:40.073 --> 00:59:43.623
You look at perplexity, it's different. And so I don't know what that thing
00:59:43.623 --> 00:59:45.820
is in construction. If you're going to say it's submittals and RFIs,
00:59:46.134 --> 00:59:50.493
you could do that, but that's not the most value return task for a contractor.
00:59:50.493 --> 00:59:53.533
So I don't know that it's worth it to build a really nice harness for that.
00:59:53.533 --> 00:59:54.863
It would have to be something bigger and better.
00:59:55.203 --> 00:59:59.483
And so then I would start asking, well, what is that? Well, what are those things?
00:59:59.483 --> 01:00:02.829
And again, it comes back to financials, probably. It comes back to pay apps and accounting.
01:00:03.282 --> 01:00:05.403
So I go back to what I just said. I think ClearStore is probably one of the
01:00:05.403 --> 01:00:08.587
sneaky best companies out there. I think Shepard is really good in insurance.
01:00:08.971 --> 01:00:11.123
There's a lot of harnesses that could be built around what they do.
01:00:11.123 --> 01:00:18.093
So I'll pause. If you think about it, like coding is to the digital world that
01:00:18.093 --> 01:00:20.252
designing is to the physical world.
01:00:20.548 --> 01:00:28.884
So
like the analog of cursor for our industry is a harness that designs. Anyways.
01:00:29.852 --> 01:00:34.292
Guys, this has been fun. Victor, you had one more thought. No, no.
01:00:34.972 --> 01:00:37.952
I think that the harnessing on the design piece, it's interesting,
01:00:37.952 --> 01:00:40.722
but like a lot of people don't love some of the Autodesk products too,
01:00:40.722 --> 01:00:42.438
because like they're built in a different generation.
01:00:42.816 --> 01:00:46.912
And as we saw with the latest release from Astra and this Fable 1,
01:00:46.912 --> 01:00:50.542
I think that there's a lot to be said about like what is possible with using
01:00:50.542 --> 01:00:52.642
Blender and using your own 2D design.
01:00:52.642 --> 01:00:55.942
And so if you're thinking about truly designing a building, I think that's one aspect.
01:00:55.942 --> 01:00:58.812
But remember, at the end of the day, owners don't want designs they want buildings
01:00:58.812 --> 01:01:00.722
they need usability of the structure itself,
01:01:01.204 --> 01:01:03.482
and so we get caught up in all this technology but at the end of the day like
01:01:03.482 --> 01:01:07.002
that's what we're here for is what we got to deliver yeah i i will give you
01:01:07.002 --> 01:01:12.454
my hot take i finally figured it out steven i figured what it is it said,
01:01:13.290 --> 01:01:14.693
to death with reddit,
01:01:18.292 --> 01:01:20.968
hey you uh you walked those needles this weekend tyler,
01:01:23.632 --> 01:01:27.202
i guess without context that could seem like a lot of different things Just
01:01:27.202 --> 01:01:31.412
for clarity, Tyler was giving blood and might have fainted and doesn't have
01:01:31.412 --> 01:01:34.123
a drug problem. Lars, anything else for you?
01:01:34.698 --> 01:01:38.064
I appreciate this. I mean, I think hot take, it's, you know,
01:01:39.492 --> 01:01:45.888
so many good thoughts here as founder, as, you know, tech construction,
01:01:46.167 --> 01:01:47.747
another growing construction company.
01:01:49.272 --> 01:01:54.909
The amount of human capital it's taking to just implement basic tech solutions, it's just insane.
01:01:55.217 --> 01:01:57.487
It's just nuts. And I think.
01:01:59.793 --> 01:02:05.882
That's the opportunity because so many of these older solutions are just layering
01:02:05.882 --> 01:02:11.496
in. And I think this is the thing, Victor, not to go back to Procore, but I'm going to do it.
01:02:12.512 --> 01:02:15.212
I watched the videos on it. I'm like, this is good stuff, right?
01:02:16.682 --> 01:02:24.442
But we're bolting on like new stuff onto like old stuff, you know?
01:02:24.782 --> 01:02:29.675
And like, like, how can we make this easier? Right.
01:02:30.053 --> 01:02:35.052
And like, that's the thing. And unfortunately, I think it's going to come down
01:02:35.052 --> 01:02:40.623
to individuals in company ops who lean forward and go and create,
01:02:41.321 --> 01:02:45.925
with a, with a, with a company culture that allows them to create and innovate
01:02:46.041 --> 01:02:48.595
and, and, and, and adapt quickly.
01:02:48.850 --> 01:02:52.182
And I think those are the companies that are, that are going to somehow just
01:02:52.182 --> 01:02:55.321
like, where did they come from? Right.
01:02:55.962 --> 01:02:59.200
Who are, who are those guys? It's those innovators, right?
01:03:00.311 --> 01:03:04.630
In the words of my brother, it's like people are putting lipstick on a pig yeah,
01:03:05.152 --> 01:03:10.402
and charging you more oh yeah yeah hard to disagree i think some of this stuff
01:03:10.402 --> 01:03:12.772
should just work out of the box and it should be nice and it should be easy
01:03:12.772 --> 01:03:14.549
and it's just not sometimes,
01:03:15.782 --> 01:03:20.632
in in defense of you know we'll call it on the software side guys i don't it
01:03:20.632 --> 01:03:24.583
is hard holy smokes it is hard,
01:03:25.029 --> 01:03:28.512
so i i respect it but i but i'll also say it's never been easier than right
01:03:28.512 --> 01:03:33.142
now wow have you tried tripling your cost or price and.
01:03:35.328 --> 01:03:39.082
I don't know just an idea just see you.