# Nate Cohn
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nate cohn is an American journalist who works as a domestic correspondent for The Upshot at The New York Times. His reporting focuses on elections, public opinion, and demographics in the United States.
== Education ==
Raised in Auburn, Washington, Cohn graduated from Whitman College in 2010, where he majored in politics and was on the debate team that won the 2010 National Parliamentary Debate Association Championship.
The Eight-Point Ballot the Race-Raters Won't Call a Wave, Trump's Worst-Ever Inflation Mark, and Why New Hampshire Is Republicans' Lifeline
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
The summer polls did not fade after Labor Day. They grew. Democrats’ lea…
Thirty-Three Percent, a Wave That Polls Loudest in Red States, and the Twenty Seats Between the Models and the Race-Raters
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
Two national polls this week put Donald Trump’s approval at 33 percent, …
Midterm Surprise: Democrats Are Surging in Red America
A new set of polls from The New York Times finds that Democratic candidates are doing remarkably well in the Republican-leaning states that they need to win to gain control of the U.S. Senate in next month’s midterm elections.
They are doing less well in the blue states that, in theory, should be e…
Kansas Joins the Senate Map, Twenty-Seven Years of Polling Error, and the Republicans Who Doubt Their Vote Matters
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
Four weeks before the midterms, three race-rating shops changed Senate r…
Two Points or Four: The Polling Miss That Will Decide the Senate, While Candidate Quality Cuts Both Ways in Texas and Michigan
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
Eleven days before the midterms, the analysts stopped arguing about dire…
Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm
“If the election goes roughly as the polls say it will go, then in some ways it would mark the end of the Trump era,” Nate Silver told me.
The midterms are a week away, and it looks entirely possible that Democrats will win not just the House, but also the Senate. Democrats are polling competitivel…
A House Decided, a Senate Up a Steep Hill, and a Dead Heat in South Carolina
Political Digest is a weekly audio synthesis of more than 50 sources of data-based political analysis: pollsters, race-raters, data journalists, and focus groups from across the ideological spectrum. New episodes every Friday.
With the midterms days away, the analysts this week effectively stopped …
A Guide to Election Night 2026
After two years of campaigning, the 2026 midterm election is now in the hands of the American voters.
As the ballot counting begins, Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times, offers a guide for how to understand the results.
Guest: Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The…
A Landslide Victory for Democrats
On Tuesday night, the blue wave that polls predicted landed with extraordinary force across the United States as Democrats flipped control of both the House and the Senate.
Nate Cohn, Lisa Lerer and Shane Goldmacher of The New York Times discuss an extraordinary shift in power and a new era of Amer…
The Six Lessons of the 2026 Midterms
Ten years after Donald Trump stunned the world by winning the 2016 election, his political movement may be approaching its end. Tuesday’s midterms delivered a historic rebuke to the Republican Party, with Democrats making astonishing gains in states Trump carried comfortably just two years ago. So …
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