النص 🔗
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Greetings and welcome to the United States Transhumanist Party Virtual
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Enlightenment Salon. My name is Jannati Stolier the second and
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I am the Chairman of the US Transhumanist Party. Here
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we hold conversations with some of the world's leading thinkers
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in longevity, science, technology, philosophy and politics. Like the philosophers
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of the Age of Enlightenment, we aim to connect every
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field of human endeavor and arrive at new insights to
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achieve longer lives, greater rationality, and the progress of our civilization.
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Aging is a natural process, but it's a process that
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you both our health and wealthy.
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We are lucky to have longevity researchers developing rejuvenation therapies.
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Welcome to Transvision twenty five.
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Good morning everyone, and a warm welcome to Transvision the
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Longevity Summit. Thank you also to the Mayor of Madrid
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who did this early announcement, and thank you for getting
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up earlier and joining us. So it's a bit of
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a last minute change, but always a positive one when
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we have the Mayor arriving. So what we'll do now
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is that kosem our wonderful host, will host a twenty
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minute presentation and then we'll resume with our original programming
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from ten. So just mingle network or speak to each
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other little and within five minutes, who say, we'll be
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back on stage. But a warm welcome, and it's going
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to be an amazing day, I'm sure of it.
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Okay, we had a fantastic day yesterday, so we were
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in all media, in all media, TVs, radios, newspapers, So
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we are very excited that we are carrying Longevity into
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the mainstream. We are taking Longevity into politics, institutions and everywhere.
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We are beginning the second day of our fantastic event
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with almost fifty speakers, half of them international, half of
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them Spanish, and also ten times more participants. We have
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four hundred and fifty people registered, some for yesterday, some
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for today, but again they are coming at ten at
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ten am, which is the official beginning time. We did
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this last year. It was a major success. We will
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do this again next year on October first, you know,
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is International Longevity Day. And my goal is to change
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the Spanish flag once again, because now the Spanish flag
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says plu sultra. Before it used to say non plus ultra.
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Remember this is the country far beyond far beyond, and
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I want to go from Plus Ultra today to Vita
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plus Ultra live far beyond. Actually, I was just talking
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to Steve Horbas. He told me just now that a
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third of the researchers in Alto Slams are Spanish. Isn't
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that incredible? A third of the researchers. So we are
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so proud of the Spanish researchers, even if they are
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not in Spain, because Madrid is our capital and the
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most longevous city in the European Union, and it is
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actually getting even more longevos overtaken maybe Japan, and that
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is why we have this meeting here, and we have
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been with different people in the last few years. We
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brought also Kuan Carlos is Pisua Belmonte, who was at
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Folk Institute. He was the deputy director and now he's
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in Altoslabs in southern California. We also had two years ago.
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This sometimes goes faster than my mind. I need neural
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link connection. We had a shan Ya Yamanaka also here
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in Spain at the Royal Academy of Medicine over Spain,
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where we gave him the Spanish equivalent of the Nobel
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Prize in Medicine in Spain, and last December we also
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had Peter Diamandis in Madrid and he spoke about what
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he's doing with Evolution Foundation and I am really excited
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because this will change the game. This is a game changer,
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the X Prize that should be awarded by the end
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of twenty thirty, with six hundred teams participating, all the
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way from startups, big pharma companies, all kinds of universities, hospitals, clinics.
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They are going for this prize. I was there with
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Peter who had studied with me at MIT when you're
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ahead of me, and he announced all the teams competing,
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over six hundred teams, including five Spanish teams and one
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Spanish team in the top forty forty teams, even though
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it's from Barcelona, that's part of Spain, so we are
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happy about our Catalan team as well. But anyway, this
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is a game changer. By the end of twenty thirty,
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I do expect to have biological recovenation with some therapists
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and as Peter Diamond has explained, the goal is between
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ten and twenty years of biological rejuvenation for people over fifty.
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Originally it was for people over sixty five and they
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lowered it to fifty. So all of us will benefit
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from these therapist coming up, so that you come also
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next year if you were not able to join our tours.
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So it will be two days before the conference again
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we will go to the most beautiful city in Spain, Segovia,
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the city of my mother, to see the roman Acuaduct
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and the beautiful, the most impressive castle in the planet,
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which is the al Castle, the Segovia, the inspiration for
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noin Svannstein built by Lodrig the second near Munich, Bavaria,
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and also the inspiration for the Disneyland Castle. So you
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have to come here and with me. As I said,
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we are enjoying this being in old media. We read
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the Madrid Longevity Declaration in the three most important political
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places here in Madrid, at the office of the President
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of the Community of Madrid, which is the State of Madrid,
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at the Congress of Madrid or of Spain, the Congress
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of Spain, and at the City Hall whose mayor we
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just were listening to the Mayor of Madrid. Today during
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lunchtime we will show to documentaries longevity hackers that is
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coming out now for Galla TV in all European languages.
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He's coming out in French, in Spanish, in Italian, in German,
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because the original documentary is in English, but now through
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Guaya TV, it will be in the major European languages.
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I appear there and I am happy to say it
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was recorded here in the College of Medical Doctors of Spain.
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But many other people we have all the way from
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Tony Robbins and Peter Diamandis, Aubrey de Gray, Liz Parish,
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all of these people working on longevity, Maria Blasco from
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Spain as well, who was director of the Cancer Research
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Institute at that time as well. This doesn't want to
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follow my instructions, Okay, well you know this is what
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we did. These pictures are not from yesterday, but you
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know what we did if you joined us. In fact,
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I do think I put a few pictures from now.
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Let me see, yeah, this is from yesterday. This was
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our audience in this beautiful place yesterday and me waving
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the flag of Vita plus Ultra. And if you look
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on the last picture to the ride, we had an
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intruder in the march. We had someone who was in
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that march that we wanted to eliminate the gream Reaper.
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So the green Reaper was with us, but we got
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rid of him, fortunately, and that is our goal to
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get rid of the grim Reaper forever. We count with
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the most important institutional support from the Royal Academy of Medicine.
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We had the president of the Academy speaking yesterday and
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talking about the death of death. He named personally my
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fantastic author David Good and myself. This is an honor,
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one of the most prestigious doctors in Spain talking about
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the death of death. He's an oncologist and he knows
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that there is already biological immortality and he's not afraid
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to talk about it. Anyway. We're in Madrid, so we
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have the support of course of Madriam. If you want
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to try this, we are doing some experiments, so please
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do try this. Get your phones out and try the slights.
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Because we are doing the poll. We want to show
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by the end of the day the results of the polls.
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There are like three questions online, so please answer those questions.
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It would be interesting to see what you
think. Take
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a picture, Take your phones out and take a picture.
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So again we are very proud to have a fantastic
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scientific committee beginning with George George himself that you listened
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to him yesterday, and then also a local organizing committee
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with top people including directors from this institution, the College
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of Medical Doctors. We had an incredible program yesterday and
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we are having a more incredible program today as you
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can look at the agenda. We are going to begin
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officially at ten with the keynote by Aubit the Gray.
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Aubit the Gray will be speaking at ten and then
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we have uh doctor Andrea Mayer, and I am so
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honored to have you in Madrid. Andrea, I love what
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you do. I love the things you say, even if
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sometimes you are even less less politically correct than me,
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but you are a leader in this movement, so I
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truly admire what you're doing. So one of my favorite
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talks with Aubrey is Andrea Mayer. So she's given the
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second keynote she will give be given also a keynote
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speech tomorrow at nine am for the Semal. Semal is
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the Spanish Society of Anti Agent and Longevity Medicine. She
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will be opening that event tomorrow, so and she will
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be speaking in English, of course, but there will be
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human translation. There will be human interpreterslated into Spanish, so
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that you know you can listen to her in Spanish
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instead of written subtitles made by artificial intelligence. We have
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a packed day with many great speakers, many great institutions,
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and during lunchtime we will show the two documentaries we
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are talking about Longevity Hackers, part of it, only part
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of it because it's too long. And also we will
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show the premiere of a new documentary for Spanish TV.
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It's not out yet, it will be public in a month.
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It will go in Public TV National Spanish TV, and
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it's called The Last Man to Die, The Last Man
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to Die. And some of
our speakers here also appear
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in that documentary, of course, overy the Gray Least Parish
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and some other faces that you will recognize. We will
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also have a special presentation during lunchtime about cryonics by
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Ben Best, who was president for a decade of the
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Cryonics Institute in Michigan. So we think also Plan B,
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as I call it cryonics, is Plan B is also important,
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so we just added that to the program. Then, before
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beginning the afternoon sessions, we will listen again to the
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Beatles and Charlie Kamm playing Yesterday that has been transformed
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into Tomorrow Tomorrow beautiful, beautiful adaptation using artificial intelligence with
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Paul McCartney singing Tomorrow and talking about immortality. So don't
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miss it out if you haven't seen it yesterday. This
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is the premiere official premiere of that video in Europe,
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so don't miss it. Then we have again fantastic, fantastic
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presentations in the afternoon, and we have a marvelous closing.
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By eight pm we will have actually another zoon presentation.
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Liz Parish, who has been in Spain four or five
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times already with us, couldn't be here this time in person,
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but she will be talking about gene therapies and her
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presentation is quite nice. She says, I am a genetically
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modified organism a GMO, and so you will be soon,
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so all of us will be genetically modified very soon.
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And that will be her presentation this afternoon. And at
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eight pm we have like the Vice Minister of Science
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of Spain. She will be closing for the Government of
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Spain the Vice Minister. We will also have the Science
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Counselor of Madrid, who is an immortalist by the way,
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so I like to bring immortalists here, so people who
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are open about living longer and longer, healthier and healthier,
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younger and younger. So anyway, Nino Quesada, who is a
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very good friend of mine and will be clothing together
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with the Vice Minister, and to make it interesting once again,
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we will have a flamenco dancer, just one song. But
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you need to experience Spanish music because Spain is the
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land of fiesta and siesta, so you need to understand, uh,
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the fiesta and the siesta part. And tomorrow also I
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want to invite you we are going to have another
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celebration at the Royal Academy of Medicine in the same
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place where two years ago we had sa Yamanica, where
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we gave him the equivalent of the Spanish Nobel Prize
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in Medicine. So Sheenja Jamenica was with us two years ago.
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Here in Madrid. We are collaborating with him in some activities. Actually,
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one of the doctors that got the award yesterday, for
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those who know or who are Spanish, Pedro Gijen. Pedro
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Gijen is working with shen Ja Jamenica and Juan Carlos
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is Pisua, so we are very happy to have had
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Shenja Jamenica. We will have a cocktail, a closing cocktail.
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If you are still in Madrid, join us at six pm.
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It is open, it is free and there will be
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a fantastic cocktail. So join us tomorrow at six pm
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at the Royal Academy. Is a beautiful place, not as
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beautiful as this, but it's beautiful. It's you know, also
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three hundred years old building anyway, So let me give
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you an additional presentation. Most of you know I studied
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in MITA. During my first working life, I was in energy.
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Now I am into a longevity and I only do
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longevity now because this is very exciting. When I graduated
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in mi T forty years ago, the biggest industry in
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the world was energy. Forty years ago, out of the
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top ten companies in forms, nine were energy companies Excellent, Mobile, Shell,
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British Petroleum, Texaco, Total, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. Today,
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nine out of the ten biggest companies informs are technology
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companies Amazon, Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Nvidia, et cetera, et cetera.
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In twenty years, the biggest companies will all be longevity companies.
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So I am happy you were here because this will
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be the biggest industry in the next twenty years, which,
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by the way, let me make a side joke. We
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have the biggest and exposition about fruits and vegetables in
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Madrid yesterday and today. That is why there are no hotels.
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I know some of you had to pay even a
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thousand euros to get in a hotel yesterday and today,
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and that is because of the largest fruit and vegetables
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fair in the world, which is held here in Madrid.
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Unfortunately it coincided this year, only this year, by very
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bad luck, coincided, so there are no hotel rooms and
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there are also no taxes. I know some people had
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to wait one hour to get uber or to get
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a taxi. Fortunately Madrid has a fantastic public transportation system
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and I take the subway myself, but anyway, there were
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no taxeses. The city has collapsed. But I'm very upset
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that it has collapsed because of fruits and vegetables. And
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I love fruits and vegetables. I eat fruits and vegetables.
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But this should be bigger. As Andrea was telling me,
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why is don't jevity not bigger. Why don't we have
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like the fruits and vegetables They brought in one hundred
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and twenty thousand people to Madrid, one hundred and twenty
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thousand people for fruits and vegetables. However, about longevity. In fact,
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Andrea Meyer was telling me that, you know, if you
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go to one of the big cancer conferences or Alzheimer's conference,
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says you have fifty thousand people, eighty thousand people. Why
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don't we have that amount of people here? Why we
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only register four hundred and fifty people in person and
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a similar number online. Why only that? Why not even
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one thousand? So I hope Andrea will give us the answer,
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because she's very direct and not always politically correct. So anyway, Oh,
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and I have a question for Aubrey. Aubrey, I will
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ask it because you are a great philosopher. Also, you
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have to give an explanation about immortality for dictators because
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I love your
brief, short answer, but you need to
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expand it because now that Puttin and s jin Pin
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have said that they want to be in mortal we
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need to give an answer. I have my own answer,
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I have seen yours. I like, so we have to
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expand on immortality of dictators. Anyway, this is a random talk.
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I still have thirteen minutes until we begin with our
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moderator and then our first keynote speaker of the day.
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I work with the Millennium Project, just like my co
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author David Gooon. I lead the group for Latin America
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and staying with another colleague in the Basque Country, and
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we work about the global challenges. I am pushing always
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for longevity, but we do studies about the future on
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many things, and we have presented many books. I was
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actually at the World Economic Forum that was presenting this
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of Latin American the year twenty thirty, and it was
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with the Nobel laureate Mario Vargazosa, who wanted to be immortal.
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Sadly he died. It is tragic when someone wants to
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be immortal in the flesh. He is, of course immortal
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through his writing, but as good as Goody Allen said
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very deep thought, I want to be immortal, not through
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my work. I want to be immortal by not dying. Okay.
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So I actually talked to Mario Vargaziosa a few weeks
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before he died, and I proposed cryonics to him because
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I do think in extreme cases, like in my mother's case.
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I don't know if you saw, my mother was in
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the march yesterday and he was marching very well. But
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she's ninety four. At age ninety four, you can do
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the curve. Statistics don't lie. So in that case we
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have plan B. And this is what I'm working on
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also plum B. And I propose that to Mario Aargas
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Josa and to one of the winners of last year award,
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and to the first winner of the award yesterday, the
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famous lawyer, Spanish lawyer Antonio Garriguez Walker. I proposed to
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him to take him into cryonics. And you know what
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he told me. This is an answer I have never heard.
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I have heard all excuses about not going into cryonics,
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and he gave me a very interesting one. He's remembered.
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This is the most important lawyer in Spain. His company
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sells over eight billion euros in legal services. And he
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told me, I cannot go into cryonics because I don't
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want anyone to have access to my brain where I'm
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not aware, because I have secrets of state in my brain,
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so that does have to go with me. So he
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cannot be cryonically Frosten. That's his explanation. Probably over has
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a better counter explanation, but that's what he told me,
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and I thought it was quite interesting. I never heard
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that that reason for not to be into cryonics anyway.
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So we lost a great mind, Mario Vargaziosa, and I
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hope we don't keep on losing great minds because they
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don't think about plum being And I am trying to
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get this moving, but it's not moving, so I just
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keep on trying and trying well. I was also with
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the US President a couple of times, first in person
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in Las Vegas and then on CNN talking about this.
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He's also interested in longevity, if you have any doubts
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about that anyway, this we need to fix this before
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Aubrey steaks, please, because this is not working. So we
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had the pleasure to listen to great Kers Ryan. I
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was with him together also into in a conference, the
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biggest technolog the conference in Europe which is called the
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Mobile World Congress, one hundred and twenty thousand people in
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Barcelona in our competition, and Rakers Will changed for the
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first time his date for longevity scale velocity, even though
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in his book that just came out last year. He
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still talks about twenty twenty nine to twenty thirty, but
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then in Barcelona in February this year he changed to
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twenty thirty two. This is the first time that I
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have seen him changing dates. Anyway, two dates is not
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too much of a change, but he changed his date
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in the bad side. You know, I would like to
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have changed to twenty twenty eight, not to twenty thirty two. Anyway,
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population is stabilizing and beginning to decline. It is a tragedy.
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It is a tragedy. But the economy keeps on growing exponentially.
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If you look at the vertical scale, this is an
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exponential curve of the GDP grow domestic product per country.
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There are already countries that have over one hundred thousand
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dollars of income per year per person. This is incredible
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because until the eighteenth century we were in what the
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famous British economist Maltus said, we were in the Maltution trap,
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and the income was only one thousand dollars per person
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per year. Now, in the richest countries we are over
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one hundred thousand dollars and this keeps on increasing exponentially,
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which I think is beautiful. The economics keeps on growing exponentially,
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even though if the population are going down. David and Aubrey,
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we need to fix the clicker before obre goes. You
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can see that even the Dow Jones, the Industrial Index
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of the New York Change is growing exponentially. With wars,
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without wars, with pandemics, with COVID, whatever, it grows exponentially.
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This is fantastic. There is an exponential growth of the economy.
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There is also when the clicks. If it clicks, you
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can see that development is being faster and faster and faster.
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I am giving up on the clicker and I will
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say next, next, So the economy is growing exponentially. Next.
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And this began next.
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Next.
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Hello. After we left the Maltusian trap behind. In the
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eighteenth century, there was no economic growth. And this is
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what Maltus called, or was called the Maltus trap, no
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economic growth. But with the industrial revolution that began in Britain,
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the world economy grew one hundred percent. On the twentieth century,
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it grew four hundred percent in this twenty first century
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is probably going to grow two thousand, three thousand percent.
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I am so excited about the possibilities of the future.
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Where do I click? Okay, so talk to him just
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in case. He says, I can click anywhere. Let's see. Okay,
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it did work. So there is this exponential growth. Things
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are moving faster, getting cheaper and smaller and better. So
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this is what we call exponential change. And there is
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a big change between moving linearly or moving exponentially. If
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we move linearly, after thirty steps, we have walked thirty meters.
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But if we move exponentially and we double, and we double,
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and we double and we double. After thirty doublings, we
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have walked over a billion meters. I have gone around
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planet Earth twenty six times. This is difficult to understand
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because we think linearly. We are linear beings that grew
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up in a linear world. But technology is growing exponentially.
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Also longevity. This is so beautiful. Life respectancy is growing
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exponentially in this past century. You know, in the time
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of the Roman Empire, life respectancy in Madrid was twenty
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in the capital in Rome was twenty five years during
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the Roman Empire. Then it went from twenty in Spain
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to forty in the year nineteen hundred to eighty years
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in the year two thousand and Right now in Madrid
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is eighty six point one years of age. If you look,
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what is growing more most is the red part, which
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is education. This is important because it's education, innovation, creativity.
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This is why humanity is advancing, because we are not
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just animals that is sleep and work. We have education
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and this is the sector that keeps on growing. We
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have more and more education, innovation, and hopefully this will
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sober everything. But there are people against technology, like the
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00:29:06.200 --> 00:29:11.000
famous Ludaites in the United Kingdom. When the United Kingdom
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began the Doceral Revolution that changed the world, there were
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00:29:17.440
people who didn't like technology, who didn't like robots, who
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didn't like machines, and they destroyed the machines. Fortunately, the
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machines won. And because the machines want, we live in
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this advanced world. Because machines make humanity, all of humanity
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move forward in all areas. So I don't like the
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00:29:35.079 --> 00:29:37.759
Amish because they are in the eighteenth century or some
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other groups. Like where I was born in Venezuela, we
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have the Yanomami Indians. They don't want any technology, not
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technology for thousands of years. They don't even want to
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speak the modern languages. Of Spanish and Portuguese. They don't
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want anything from the outside world, and that is okay,
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that is okay, that's really what they want. And I'm
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pretty sure that before there were people who didn't want wales.
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You know, when the will was invented about five thousand
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years ago, probably there were people who did not want wills.
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You know, anything is possible, but to change that idea.
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Singularity University was born in two thousand and nine, and
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because I knew both Ray kers well for forty years
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and Peter diamandis from MIT, you know, I got involved
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as one of the founding faculty of Singularity University, where
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we have had every year Over the Gray because of
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course Over the Gray is the most famous public figure
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on these issues in the world, even though sadly he
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was called a charlatan by my alma matter. MIT Technology
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Review said that he was a charlatan in two thousand
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and five. What is beautiful is that they said for
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give us MIT Technology Review because they saw that what
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00:31:04.119 --> 00:31:08.720
Aubrey was saying was reality. But anyway, I like to
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talk about Kaka. This will be the last thing I
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will do. You know, the Kaka theory of evolution of technology.
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When I went to MIT, I used punch cards. Punch
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cards had one K. Basically there were different sizes, but
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normally was ten by one hundred. Ten by one hundred
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is a thousand. That was one k. I use one K. Fortunately,
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00:31:31.119 --> 00:31:35.359
it moved from mechanical memory into electromagnetic memory. But the
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first floppities of eight inches they were also one K.
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One k in Spanish, I explained one K plus one
439
00:31:43.119 --> 00:31:46.960
K in Spanish is one ca plus one ca is
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s equal to one kaka one caaka. This is how
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technology changes. I used kaka at MIT. At the Massachusetts
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00:31:55.559 --> 00:31:59.279
Institut of Technology, I used kaka, and from caaca we
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moved to floppy disc smaller of five hundred and twelve cacas.
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Then we moved into even a smaller floppy disk of
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one point four mega. And now I have a pen
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drive here with a time machine shape of one terabide
447
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one terabide. We have gone from kaka to terabyte in
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forty years, and this is not stopping anytime soon. As
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Ray Kurzfeld explained yesterday, this is not stopping anytime soon.
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This continues, this continues, and so we have moved from
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kaka to terabided and if you look at my pen
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drive of one terabide, in twenty years, this will be kaka.
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This will be kaka. One terabide will be kaka in
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twenty years. And this is now starting in biology because
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it's moving faster, faster biology than computer science. If you
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look at the incredible acceleration of biotechnology is moving much
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faster than KACA in and More's law, both in cost
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and in time. And with that beautiful thought about the
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Kaka theory of evolution, I want to call back our
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fantastic moderator, Sabina Gafka, please thank you.
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I'm a co founder of brain gim, which is at
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the intersection of a and longevity, and also the founding
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member of Superhuman Network, which is really about connecting science, investments, innovation,
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and culture and catapulting the evolution of longevity and also
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the advocacy of longevity. And I actually also went to
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Singularity University that Hossey spoke about. They have an executive
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program there outside of San Francisco. But enough about me.
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Yesterday we explore the science of aging from cellular models
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to translational therapies. We took, of course, longevity to the
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streets of Madrid and walking, and today we're going to
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go even deeper, really into the bold visions of the
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future of clinical realities and social and economic structures and
473
00:34:16.559 --> 00:34:19.239
see where we are at the moment and with these
474
00:34:19.400 --> 00:34:24.000
exponential times, where we're actually heading when it comes to longevity,
475
00:34:24.159 --> 00:34:27.760
and longevity of course steps into everything that has to
476
00:34:27.800 --> 00:34:31.079
do with our globe here, from our health to our infrastructures,
477
00:34:31.280 --> 00:34:33.920
because we also need to build the environments where we
478
00:34:33.960 --> 00:34:37.400
can thrive and have health. And with that, I think
479
00:34:37.440 --> 00:34:41.920
that's a perfect segue to introduce our first keynote of today,
480
00:34:42.239 --> 00:34:44.920
who really, as we've heard, is one of the most
481
00:34:45.039 --> 00:34:48.480
radical but also one of the most enlightened voices in
482
00:34:48.519 --> 00:34:51.480
this field. And for decades he's argued that the problem
483
00:34:51.960 --> 00:34:55.960
of aging is a problem that science can solve. And
484
00:34:56.000 --> 00:34:59.880
he is the architect of the concept lev longevity escape
485
00:35:00.039 --> 00:35:03.880
velocity that Ray of course spoke about yesterday and Hussein
486
00:35:03.960 --> 00:35:06.960
mentioned today, and that is the idea that the medical
487
00:35:07.320 --> 00:35:11.320
advances can one day twenty thirty through twenty thirty two,
488
00:35:11.400 --> 00:35:15.840
we'll see keep us biologically younger than we are chronologically.
489
00:35:16.480 --> 00:35:19.960
And he's Chief Science Officer of the leb Foundation, and
490
00:35:20.039 --> 00:35:26.719
he continues to push rejuvenation research from theory towards translation.
491
00:35:27.360 --> 00:35:30.760
Please give a round of applause to Dr Aubrey de Gray.
492
00:35:38.000 --> 00:35:41.400
We thank you so much, Sabiya, and thank you to
493
00:35:41.559 --> 00:35:45.000
Hodai and the other organizers for inviting me to get
494
00:35:45.119 --> 00:35:49.280
the first talk of today. Yeah. I mean, I've got
495
00:35:49.280 --> 00:35:52.400
a lot to say, and so it's probably rather good
496
00:35:52.480 --> 00:35:55.360
that I apparently have more than half an hour to
497
00:35:55.360 --> 00:36:01.239
say it because the program put the adjustments to the
498
00:36:01.239 --> 00:36:06.280
program caused by the mayor's schedule allowed an expansion of
499
00:36:06.280 --> 00:36:11.960
the program this morning. Yeah, as I mentioned that, I
500
00:36:12.119 --> 00:36:18.440
have a particular answer to the question won't dictators live forever?
501
00:36:18.559 --> 00:36:22.679
Which is one of the most common concerns that people
502
00:36:22.800 --> 00:36:23.920
raise when.
503
00:36:24.239 --> 00:36:25.360
We talk about.
504
00:36:26.599 --> 00:36:30.760
Doing something about aging. You know, when I give answers
505
00:36:30.800 --> 00:36:34.000
to these things, I've been doing it for a long time,
506
00:36:34.360 --> 00:36:38.239
and it gets very boring because nobody who raises these
507
00:36:38.280 --> 00:36:42.599
concerns actually wants to be reassured. They want to carry
508
00:36:42.639 --> 00:36:46.360
on thinking that aging is a blessing in disguise, so
509
00:36:46.400 --> 00:36:49.639
that they don't get their hopes up and get you know,
510
00:36:49.760 --> 00:36:54.000
emotionally invested in the idea that progress might happen in
511
00:36:54.079 --> 00:36:58.159
time for them. So I try to kind of be
512
00:36:58.199 --> 00:37:01.559
a bit humorous about these things, but at the same
513
00:37:01.599 --> 00:37:05.559
time I try to say what's true. So in the
514
00:37:05.599 --> 00:37:11.719
case of dictators living forever, my standard answer is that
515
00:37:12.320 --> 00:37:16.320
dictator is high on the league table of risky jobs.
516
00:37:16.920 --> 00:37:20.960
Not many dictators die of aging in the first place,
517
00:37:21.159 --> 00:37:26.880
and moreover, the ones that do tend to organize their
518
00:37:26.920 --> 00:37:33.199
own succession before they die, so they are effectively immortal anyway.
519
00:37:33.960 --> 00:37:36.199
But I don't usually give that answer when I come
520
00:37:36.239 --> 00:37:39.760
to Spain, because Spain is pretty much the only exception
521
00:37:40.360 --> 00:37:44.239
to this. Franco, of course, you know, did not organize
522
00:37:44.239 --> 00:37:48.840
his succession, and Spain, of course a democracy again, so
523
00:37:49.280 --> 00:37:52.800
it's a little bit of a weak argument when I
524
00:37:52.800 --> 00:37:56.440
come to Spain. Nevertheless, here we are all right. So
525
00:37:56.719 --> 00:37:58.639
since since the first talk of the day, I thought
526
00:37:58.760 --> 00:38:03.079
I should give a fairly general overview of where I
527
00:38:03.119 --> 00:38:09.159
think we stand in the process of developing medicines that
528
00:38:09.440 --> 00:38:15.679
will bring aging under comprehensive medical control. Of course, I
529
00:38:15.719 --> 00:38:19.159
will also talk about the specifics of what we do
530
00:38:19.440 --> 00:38:22.840
at LV Foundation, or I should also say, you know,
531
00:38:23.119 --> 00:38:26.280
I really ought to have made a different logo that
532
00:38:26.480 --> 00:38:30.400
had periods full stops after the letters, because we don't
533
00:38:30.400 --> 00:38:33.840
call it LEV foundation. We call it LEV foundation. It's
534
00:38:33.880 --> 00:38:42.320
an acronym for longevity escape velocity of course. Anyway, so yeah,
535
00:38:42.719 --> 00:38:46.360
let me start with a reference to the
last talk
536
00:38:46.679 --> 00:38:51.800
of yesterday. Rayk Oswell gave as always, a really excellent
537
00:38:52.159 --> 00:38:59.199
survey of the concept of exponential growth and accelerating change,
538
00:39:00.039 --> 00:39:03.159
and as as I just mentioned, he talked about his
539
00:39:03.360 --> 00:39:07.719
prediction of how soon we would reach longevity escape velocity,
540
00:39:08.880 --> 00:39:11.440
and this is something that he's been talking about for
541
00:39:11.480 --> 00:39:15.039
a while. He gave a particular year he likes to
542
00:39:15.079 --> 00:39:17.719
do that. He said, he reckons we will get there
543
00:39:17.760 --> 00:39:20.920
in twenty thirty two. I think that's a little bit
544
00:39:21.000 --> 00:39:24.519
over optimistic, only a little bit. I think that we
545
00:39:24.559 --> 00:39:28.280
will probably get there sometime in the second half of
546
00:39:28.320 --> 00:39:31.719
the twenty thirties, between maybe twenty thirty six and twenty
547
00:39:31.760 --> 00:39:36.159
thirty nine. So you know, that's not much of a difference.
548
00:39:36.719 --> 00:39:41.679
And of course our predictions are probabilistic, though I say
549
00:39:41.719 --> 00:39:43.920
that I think we have a fifty to fifty chance
550
00:39:44.320 --> 00:39:49.159
of getting there within twelve to fifteen years from now.
551
00:39:50.679 --> 00:39:51.719
But the main.
552
00:39:51.679 --> 00:39:55.639
Reason why I am a little bit more pessimistic in
553
00:39:55.760 --> 00:40:00.639
terms of time frames than Ray is actually something that
554
00:40:00.760 --> 00:40:05.199
was highlighted in the first question that was asked to
555
00:40:05.320 --> 00:40:07.920
Ray at the end of his talk edarn A, I'm
556
00:40:07.920 --> 00:40:12.280
not sure if he's here today, asked the question what
557
00:40:12.320 --> 00:40:16.079
are we actually short of right now? Do we need
558
00:40:16.199 --> 00:40:20.880
more intelligence or do we need more data? I believe
559
00:40:20.880 --> 00:40:24.599
we need more data, even more than we need more intelligence,
560
00:40:25.440 --> 00:40:29.760
and so the data that we need most, the data
561
00:40:29.800 --> 00:40:33.960
that's most important, is data that takes a long time
562
00:40:34.199 --> 00:40:40.039
to generate, because it's data on lifespan, on how long
563
00:40:40.840 --> 00:40:44.239
an organism can live when they are given this or
564
00:40:44.360 --> 00:40:48.800
that treatment. Now, the good news is that we don't
565
00:40:48.840 --> 00:40:54.280
necessarily have to work in terms of human lifespan. I
566
00:40:54.320 --> 00:40:57.960
believe it will be good enough to work with any
567
00:40:58.000 --> 00:41:01.480
other mammal like a mouse, for example, and mice only
568
00:41:01.519 --> 00:41:05.320
live maybe two and a half years, so it's not
569
00:41:05.360 --> 00:41:08.400
too bad. But we do have to work with mammals
570
00:41:08.760 --> 00:41:13.679
because we need to inspire humanity. So Jo just mentioned
571
00:41:14.159 --> 00:41:20.239
it is scandalous that there are one thousand times as
572
00:41:20.280 --> 00:41:25.559
many people in Madrid right now for a festival focused
573
00:41:25.599 --> 00:41:30.360
on fruits and vegetables as there are people at this meeting.
574
00:41:30.559 --> 00:41:35.800
It's ridiculous. So we need to change that, and the
575
00:41:35.840 --> 00:41:39.079
only way we will change, that is, by making real
576
00:41:39.159 --> 00:41:44.760
progress in animals that have legs and fur and so on.
577
00:41:45.559 --> 00:41:47.679
It won't be good enough to do it with fruit
578
00:41:47.719 --> 00:41:53.719
flies or nematode worms, all right, So that's why at
579
00:41:53.920 --> 00:41:57.760
LAV Foundation we work with mice. But I will get
580
00:41:57.760 --> 00:41:59.679
to that later. First of all, I want to talk
581
00:41:59.679 --> 00:42:02.039
about it few more things. Let's see if it's working. Okay,
582
00:42:02.079 --> 00:42:07.280
it's great. I'm going to start by giving you my
583
00:42:07.519 --> 00:42:11.320
favorite definition of aging. And I need to do this
584
00:42:11.880 --> 00:42:16.400
because everyone has their own definition of aging. It's appalling,
585
00:42:16.440 --> 00:42:20.760
you know. Aging has been the major, the number one
586
00:42:20.960 --> 00:42:26.400
preoccupation of humanity since the beginning of civilization, and yet
587
00:42:27.000 --> 00:42:30.280
we can't even decide on the way to define it.
588
00:42:30.280 --> 00:42:35.320
It's terrible. So this is my definition for me. Aging
589
00:42:35.840 --> 00:42:40.400
is the combination of two processes. A process on the
590
00:42:40.440 --> 00:42:44.840
left where metabolism creates damage, and that process starts even
591
00:42:44.880 --> 00:42:47.639
before we are born, it goes on throughout our whole life.
592
00:42:48.239 --> 00:42:51.119
And then a second process on the right, where damage
593
00:42:51.199 --> 00:42:55.840
creates pathologies sickness in later later in life. That process
594
00:42:55.840 --> 00:43:00.199
only begins in middle age. All right, So what do
595
00:43:00.239 --> 00:43:05.639
I mean by these two processes. Metabolism is the word
596
00:43:05.719 --> 00:43:11.159
that biologists use to encompass all of the things that
597
00:43:11.199 --> 00:43:13.679
the body does to keep us alive from one day
598
00:43:13.719 --> 00:43:18.679
to the next. And it's a really, really insanely complicated
599
00:43:18.960 --> 00:43:23.800
network of processes, very very hard to understand. We have
600
00:43:23.880 --> 00:43:27.360
a very poor understanding of it in fact. But here
601
00:43:27.360 --> 00:43:34.559
it is. Damage is the set of changes that the
602
00:43:35.440 --> 00:43:40.559
that occur throughout life as a result of metabolism. Now,
603
00:43:40.599 --> 00:43:44.480
this is something that's actually quite easy to understand because
604
00:43:45.280 --> 00:43:50.239
it's
not specific to living organisms. Any man made machine
605
00:43:50.760 --> 00:43:55.039
does damage to itself as a consequence of its normal operation.
606
00:43:56.039 --> 00:44:00.480
It like for a car, for example, creates rust. You know,
607
00:44:01.320 --> 00:44:03.559
if you use a car, it's going to rust. It's
608
00:44:03.599 --> 00:44:07.280
going to accumulate rust. And the key thing that I
609
00:44:07.400 --> 00:44:11.039
just said that matters the most is the word accumulate.
610
00:44:11.800 --> 00:44:15.639
Damage continues to accumulate. There is more and more of
611
00:44:15.679 --> 00:44:20.239
it as any machine gets older, and that is just
612
00:44:20.440 --> 00:44:26.840
as true for living machines as for non living machines. Now,
613
00:44:27.559 --> 00:44:30.760
of course, the question is why would I use the
614
00:44:30.800 --> 00:44:36.960
word damage to describe these changes that occur to the
615
00:44:37.000 --> 00:44:41.920
structure and composition of the body as a result of
616
00:44:41.960 --> 00:44:45.119
the body's normal operation, And of course the answer is
617
00:44:45.320 --> 00:44:48.760
the right hand process Here, the body is set up
618
00:44:48.920 --> 00:44:53.239
to tolerate a certain amount of these changes that happen
619
00:44:53.360 --> 00:44:56.840
as a result of being alive, but only a certain amount.
620
00:44:57.519 --> 00:45:01.320
Eventually there is more than that, and that's when the
621
00:45:01.360 --> 00:45:06.440
body's function starts to decline, both physical function and mental function.
622
00:45:07.079 --> 00:45:10.800
And that's what we call the pathologies of late life.
623
00:45:11.760 --> 00:45:14.519
So this is all you need to know in order
624
00:45:14.559 --> 00:45:20.400
to understand aging well enough to be able to think
625
00:45:20.480 --> 00:45:25.239
about how to fix it. Of course, it's important to
626
00:45:25.480 --> 00:45:29.239
understand as much as we can about the details of
627
00:45:29.920 --> 00:45:34.360
these processes and these concepts, but at the top level,
628
00:45:34.599 --> 00:45:38.199
this is enough to start thinking about how we might
629
00:45:39.239 --> 00:45:43.400
do something about aging. So first of all, what is
630
00:45:43.760 --> 00:45:48.039
doing something about aging? In terms of this definition, it's
631
00:45:48.119 --> 00:45:53.239
very simple. We want to separate metabolism from pathology. We
632
00:45:53.280 --> 00:45:57.400
want to allow people to continue living, in other words,
633
00:45:57.840 --> 00:46:03.000
performing metabolism without getting sick, in other words, without the
634
00:46:03.039 --> 00:46:07.519
pathologies emerging. So how would we do that, Well, first
635
00:46:07.599 --> 00:46:11.559
of all, let me talk about pathologies a little more.
636
00:46:13.880 --> 00:46:18.239
If we ask, if you ask anybody in what ways
637
00:46:18.280 --> 00:46:22.599
can people be sick? Then they will give an answer
638
00:46:22.679 --> 00:46:24.960
that looks a bit like what you see on this table.
639
00:46:25.599 --> 00:46:28.400
They will say, well, there are infections that's column one,
640
00:46:28.599 --> 00:46:35.000
things that come from outside. Then there are inherited diseases,
641
00:46:35.440 --> 00:46:38.599
things that a small number of us get as a
642
00:46:38.639 --> 00:46:44.800
result of having genetic different problems in genes that we
643
00:46:44.920 --> 00:46:48.440
inherit from our parents. That's column two. Then there's the
644
00:46:48.440 --> 00:46:56.360
big one, the age related diseases like Alzheimer's, almost all cancers, athereosploitis,
645
00:46:56.440 --> 00:46:59.159
all the things that we are so scared of that
646
00:46:59.239 --> 00:47:04.079
happen later in And then nearly everybody will say that
647
00:47:04.199 --> 00:47:08.599
this fourth category of ways to be sick, which is
648
00:47:08.639 --> 00:47:12.519
not a disease, people call it aging itself, and it
649
00:47:12.559 --> 00:47:16.440
is not even very well defined, things like frailty, things
650
00:47:16.480 --> 00:47:23.360
that consist of declining function without disease. That's what most
651
00:47:23.400 --> 00:47:27.880
people say. And there's a very big problem with that
652
00:47:28.000 --> 00:47:32.599
classification of ways to be sick. The problem is that
653
00:47:33.159 --> 00:47:38.280
the stuff in column three is called diseases and the
654
00:47:38.280 --> 00:47:41.880
stuff in column four is not, And that makes people
655
00:47:42.440 --> 00:47:47.440
believe that the things in column four are inevitable, that
656
00:47:47.480 --> 00:47:52.119
they are off limits to medicine. Even in principle, that
657
00:47:52.199 --> 00:47:55.599
won't do at all, because it's not true. Actually, the
658
00:47:55.679 --> 00:48:00.880
difference between column three and column four is purely semantic.
659
00:48:01.320 --> 00:48:04.599
It's just a matter of terminology. The things in column
660
00:48:04.639 --> 00:48:08.559
three are just the aspects of aging that we have
661
00:48:08.719 --> 00:48:12.639
chosen to give disease like names to, and the things
662
00:48:12.639 --> 00:48:14.159
in column four are the ones that we haven't.
663
00:48:14.199 --> 00:48:14.719
That's all.
664
00:48:15.440 --> 00:48:18.800
So that's really important because everybody knows that the things
665
00:48:18.840 --> 00:48:23.639
in column three are very much not off limits to medicine.
666
00:48:23.880 --> 00:48:25.760
We are spending a lot of money and a lot
667
00:48:25.760 --> 00:48:28.880
of time trying to develop cures for the things in
668
00:48:28.920 --> 00:48:33.000
column three. It hasn't worked, And fundamentally, the reason it
669
00:48:33.039 --> 00:48:39.679
hasn't worked is because we are mostly trying to apply
670
00:48:39.920 --> 00:48:43.519
the same kinds of medicines to column three that we
671
00:48:43.639 --> 00:48:47.119
have already applied to column
one. We are effectively treating
672
00:48:47.159 --> 00:48:49.960
the diseases of old age as if they were infections,
673
00:48:50.360 --> 00:48:54.079
and that's not likely to work. In fact, this is
674
00:48:54.480 --> 00:48:58.239
something that I can also illustrate with reference to my
675
00:48:58.440 --> 00:49:03.679
definition of aging. Remember that our goal is to separate
676
00:49:04.000 --> 00:49:08.880
metabolism from pathology. Well, we could, in principle do this
677
00:49:09.519 --> 00:49:14.719
by separating damage from pathology, and that's what geriatric medicine
678
00:49:14.880 --> 00:49:20.079
today is all about. We try to forget about danage
679
00:49:20.119 --> 00:49:24.599
and to attack the pathologies directly, as if they were infections,
680
00:49:25.079 --> 00:49:29.199
and lo and behold, it doesn't work. It's crazy because,
681
00:49:29.239 --> 00:49:33.480
of course the damage is continuing to accumulate, so anything
682
00:49:33.960 --> 00:49:40.000
that tries to address the consequences of damage is bound
683
00:49:40.239 --> 00:49:45.719
to get to become progressively less effective as time goes on. Now,
684
00:49:47.360 --> 00:49:49.800
I'm not the first person to notice this or to
685
00:49:49.840 --> 00:49:53.679
say this. More than a century ago a few people
686
00:49:53.760 --> 00:49:57.840
began to realize that attacking the pathologies of late life
687
00:49:57.960 --> 00:50:01.519
directly would never work, and they said, we need to
688
00:50:01.559 --> 00:50:06.920
be more preventative in order to separate metabolism from pathology.
689
00:50:07.039 --> 00:50:10.400
We should not try to separate damage from pathology, but
690
00:50:10.519 --> 00:50:15.519
instead we should try to separate metabolism from damage. Going
691
00:50:15.559 --> 00:50:20.079
back to the analogy with a car, this means basically
692
00:50:20.199 --> 00:50:24.440
making the body run more cleanly and create damage more
693
00:50:24.519 --> 00:50:27.840
slowly than it naturally does. And that's where the whole
694
00:50:27.840 --> 00:50:31.159
field of gerontology came from. We looked at the living
695
00:50:31.159 --> 00:50:34.559
world and we said, well, okay, some species live a
696
00:50:34.599 --> 00:50:39.559
lot longer than others. They somehow have better metabolism that
697
00:50:39.639 --> 00:50:42.920
runs more cleanly. So the idea was maybe we can
698
00:50:42.960 --> 00:50:48.400
emulate that if we study aging really well. But it
699
00:50:48.440 --> 00:50:52.239
also hasn't worked. The reason it hasn't worked is partly
700
00:50:52.440 --> 00:50:57.719
what I said earlier, that metabolism is an insanely complicated
701
00:50:57.840 --> 00:51:03.880
network of processes, but worse than that, it's it's a
702
00:51:03.960 --> 00:51:08.599
network of processes that creates damage as an intrinsic feature.
703
00:51:09.400 --> 00:51:15.000
The creation of damage is just inextricably intertwined with the
704
00:51:15.039 -->
00:51:17.679
things that we need metabolism to do to keep us alive.
705
00:51:18.119 --> 00:51:21.800
So that hasn't worked either. So that's why twenty five
706
00:51:21.880 --> 00:51:26.519
years ago I started to focus on a third way
707
00:51:26.800 --> 00:51:30.960
to separate metabolism from pathology, which is, of course, the
708
00:51:31.039 --> 00:51:36.519
maintenance approach. In the maintenance approach, we do not try
709
00:51:36.639 --> 00:51:43.239
to interfere with either of the two processes that comprise aging. Instead,
710
00:51:43.639 --> 00:51:47.440
we separate the processes from each other by going in
711
00:51:47.800 --> 00:51:53.280
and periodically removing some of the damage that metabolism has created.
712
00:51:54.239 --> 00:51:58.800
If we become good at that, then we can let
713
00:51:58.880 --> 00:52:02.840
metabolism create damage at the normal rate. We don't need
714
00:52:02.880 --> 00:52:07.119
to slow that down because by removing damage we can
715
00:52:07.159 --> 00:52:12.559
still prevent it from accumulating to the level that causes
716
00:52:12.599 --> 00:52:17.400
the right hand process that causes pathologies to emerge. Now,
717
00:52:18.280 --> 00:52:21.360
as I said, this is exactly what we already do
718
00:52:21.559 --> 00:52:26.320
successfully with simple man made machines. This car is more
719
00:52:26.360 --> 00:52:30.920
than one hundred years old, and it's working. It's working
720
00:52:31.159 --> 00:52:33.880
just as well as it was the day that it
721
00:52:34.000 --> 00:52:38.239
was built. Why not because it was designed to last
722
00:52:38.239 --> 00:52:41.880
one hundred years. It was probably designed to last ten years.
723
00:52:42.480 --> 00:52:47.880
But here it is preventative maintenance. If it is sufficiently comprehensive,
724
00:52:49.360 --> 00:52:49.920
just works.
725
00:52:50.119 --> 00:52:50.960
It just works.
726
00:52:51.440 --> 00:52:55.800
It completely transcends the idea of any kind of warranty
727
00:52:55.960 --> 00:53:00.679
period on the machine. Now, of course, in order to
728
00:53:00.760 --> 00:53:05.039
implement the maintenance approach, we do need to know some
729
00:53:05.239 --> 00:53:09.679
things about damage. We don't necessarily need to know very
730
00:53:09.760 --> 00:53:14.800
much about the mechanisms that cause damage to be created,
731
00:53:15.440 --> 00:53:17.960
but we do need to know what the damage is.
732
00:53:18.840 --> 00:53:25.599
So back in the year two thousand I created this
733
00:53:25.760 --> 00:53:29.199
classification of damage. This is the left hand side of
734
00:53:29.239 --> 00:53:35.199
this table. These are categories of change that happen in
735
00:53:35.320 --> 00:53:40.199
the body throughout life, and they all can kill you
736
00:53:40.519 --> 00:53:45.079
if they go too far. So for example, loss of cells,
737
00:53:45.559 --> 00:53:48.960
that is simply when cells die and they are not
738
00:53:49.239 --> 00:53:54.679
automatically replaced by the division of other cells, and of
739
00:53:54.719 --> 00:53:57.880
course that happens in various parts of the body. A
740
00:53:58.079 --> 00:54:03.280
very well understood one is Parkinson's disease. Which is caused
741
00:54:03.280 --> 00:54:07.760
by the loss of a particular type of neuron. All right,
742
00:54:07.880 --> 00:54:11.400
so we've got these seven categories. Now we have to
743
00:54:11.440 --> 00:54:14.360
describe how we would repair that, how we would do
744
00:54:14.480 --> 00:54:19.280
preventative maintenance. And it's fairly easy to do that, or
745
00:54:19.320 --> 00:54:21.199
at least I was able to do it twenty five
746
00:54:21.280 --> 00:54:26.719
years ago. In the case of cell loss, the answer is,
747
00:54:27.000 --> 00:54:30.639
of course stem cell therapy. We can put cells into
748
00:54:30.679 --> 00:54:34.920
the body that are of the right type to divide
749
00:54:35.239 --> 00:54:40.760
and transform into replacements for the cells that the body
750
00:54:40.840 --> 00:54:44.320
is not replacing on its own. Most of our cells,
751
00:54:44.760 --> 00:54:48.000
of course, do not need that, because when they die,
752
00:54:48.239 --> 00:54:52.400
the body does replace them by cell division. But some cells,
753
00:54:52.599 --> 00:54:55.679
especially in places like the brain, do not do that.
754
00:54:56.519 --> 00:55:02.719
So stem cell therapy is the naturalative. And indeed stem
755
00:55:02.760 --> 00:55:07.159
cell therapies are now in many like I think five
756
00:55:07.519 --> 00:55:11.840
clinical trials for Parkinson's disease, and everyone is very optimistic
757
00:55:12.000 --> 00:55:15.840
that we will really be able to eliminate Parkinson's disease
758
00:55:16.039 --> 00:55:19.199
in this way. I will not go through all the
759
00:55:19.239 --> 00:55:22.000
rest of these, but of course I can always answer
760
00:55:22.039 --> 00:55:28.599
questions later. So how's it going. Are we making progress? Well?
761
00:55:28.840 --> 00:55:32.599
Even twenty five years ago, stem cells were a very
762
00:55:32.679 --> 00:55:35.719
interesting idea. Lots of people were looking at them. There
763
00:55:35.760 --> 00:55:39.719
was plenty of research. So I have never actually worked
764
00:55:39.960 --> 00:55:43.519
on stem cells because other people were doing it. But
765
00:55:44.400 --> 00:55:46.280
most of the other in fact, really all of the
766
00:55:46.360 --> 00:55:50.079
other categories were at a much earlier stage of development.
767
00:55:50.719 --> 00:55:53.440
There were some of them, you know, I were my
768
00:55:53.480 --> 00:55:57.000
own ideas how to do the maintenance. Mostly it was
769
00:55:57.159 --> 00:56:02.000
ideas that were not being pursued within the biology of aging.
770
00:56:02.480 --> 00:56:07.239
They were being pursued for other reasons. But now, well,
771
00:56:07.320 --> 00:56:10.079
I mean it's not good. We still only have a
772
00:56:10.119 --> 00:56:13.079
few hundred people at this conference, but it's a lot
773
00:56:13.119 --> 00:56:17.159
better than it was. We have a few hundred companies now,
774
00:56:17.639 --> 00:56:21.360
startup companies that are pursuing these things. This is really
775
00:56:21.360 --> 00:56:26.880
good news. And you know, we also have alternative approaches.
776
00:56:27.480 --> 00:56:33.320
We heard a bit yesterday about partial reprogramming, which is
777
00:56:33.440 --> 00:56:38.480
in some cases a very promising way to address cell
778
00:56:38.559 --> 00:56:44.199
loss that's easier in some ways in some cases than
779
00:56:44.360 --> 00:56:49.199
stem cell therapies. It probably won't work to help Parkinson's disease,
780
00:56:49.800 --> 00:56:52.599
but in other cases it may very well help, and
781
00:56:53.480 --> 00:56:55.960
that's really good news. And in fact, all of the
782
00:56:56.000 --> 00:57:04.639
other categories now have multi different ways potentially to be repaired.
783
00:57:05.880 --> 00:57:10.079
So this idea has now become very widely accepted. As
784
00:57:10.280 --> 00:57:15.320
they mentioned, when I first put it forward, it was
785
00:57:15.400 --> 00:57:18.480
quite controversial. A lot of people thought that it was unscientific.
786
00:57:19.000 --> 00:57:23.760
But thirteen years later a group of very eminent scientists,
787
00:57:23.840 --> 00:57:27.960
including Maria Blasco who was here yesterday, put out a
788
00:57:28.000 --> 00:57:31.519
paper called The Hallmarks of Aging, which has become by
789
00:57:31.599 --> 00:57:35.159
far the most highly cited paper in the whole of
790
00:57:35.199 --> 00:57:38.679
the biology of aging this century. And it's basically the
791
00:57:38.679 --> 00:57:41.079
same idea that I had put forward a decade earlier.
792
00:57:41.480 --> 00:57:45.800
So it's very gratifying that this is a concept that
793
00:57:46.320 --> 00:57:53.599
has now become mainstream now. Capedro de modal Haize yesterday
794
00:57:53.880 --> 00:57:57.920
talked about the need to understand aging better, to have
795
00:57:58.519 --> 00:58:03.800
a better theoretical work for aging in order to make progress,
796
00:58:04.280 --> 00:58:08.000
and I agree with Pedro about many things, but I
797
00:58:08.000 --> 00:58:12.239
don't agree with him about that. I think that actually
798
00:58:12.360 --> 00:58:17.400
we already understand aging well enough to be able to
799
00:58:17.480 --> 00:58:22.760
make progress in fixing it. And I often use the
800
00:58:25.119 --> 00:58:31.079
precursor the example of the immune system. The immune system
801
00:58:31.320 --> 00:58:35.119
is a really complicated part of the human body, or
802
00:58:35.159 --> 00:58:39.480
indeed the body of mouse, and we still don't really
803
00:58:39.559 --> 00:58:43.599
understand the immune system very well. In fact, my wife
804
00:58:43.679 --> 00:58:48.039
Natalie Coles gave the talk yesterday about Maria Brannias, who
805
00:58:48.199
--> 00:58:51.199
was the oldest person in the world. When Natalie drew
806
00:58:51.239 --> 00:58:55.280
her blood, there was a particular finding that Natalie highlighted
807
00:58:55.719 --> 00:59:00.599
which we completely don't understand, a very very large population
808
00:59:00.920 --> 00:59:06.199
of a type of white blood cell that is normally
809
00:59:06.320 --> 00:59:09.119
very rare. There were huge numbers of this particular type
810
00:59:09.119 --> 00:59:13.800
of white blood cell in Maria Brownias's blood.
811
00:59:14.159 --> 00:59:16.880
We have no idea what so our understanding is.
812
00:59:16.920 --> 00:59:21.199
Very port but our understanding of the immune system two
813
00:59:21.360 --> 00:59:25.360
hundred years ago was a tiny fraction of what it
814
00:59:25.440 --> 00:59:29.519
is today. We understood very, very nearly nothing about the
815
00:59:29.559 --> 00:59:33.719
immune system. Why do I mention that because two hundred
816
00:59:33.800 --> 00:59:38.679
years ago, a few people took the tiny amount that
817
00:59:38.719 --> 00:59:43.400
they did understand about the immune system, and they thought
818
00:59:43.400 --> 00:59:51.559
about it and developed ideas for addressing infectious diseases using
819
00:59:51.920 --> 00:59:57.840
what they knew, and it worked. Edward Jenner and Louis
820
00:59:57.840 --> 01:00:04.920
Pasteur saved millions and millions and millions of lives just
821
01:00:05.039 --> 01:00:12.440
by inventing really simple elementary medicines like vaccines, or even
822
01:00:12.519 --> 01:00:17.920
just the concept that hygiene is a good idea. Millions
823
01:00:17.920 --> 01:00:23.079
of lives. Despite knowing almost nothing about the nature of
824
01:00:23.119 --> 01:00:27.199
infections and the nature of how the body combats infections,
825
01:00:28.119 --> 01:00:31.119
I believe that we can do the same thing with aging.
826
01:00:32.079 --> 01:00:37.440
We must always remember that the body is on our side.
827
01:00:37.480 --> 01:00:40.559
The body is not fighting us, trying to kill us.
828
01:00:40.880 --> 01:00:44.199
The body is trying to keep us alive. It just
829
01:00:44.599 --> 01:00:48.320
doesn't have all the tools that it needs to keep
830
01:00:48.400 --> 01:00:54.360
us alive forever. So our job as medical researchers and
831
01:00:54.440 --> 01:00:58.639
as medics is simply to give the body a few
832
01:00:58.679 --> 01:01:03.239
more tools, few more things that it can use to
833
01:01:03.400 --> 01:01:08.719
augment what it already has. And those extra tools can
834
01:01:08.760 --> 01:01:15.400
be really primitive in some cases. How do we know that, Well,
835
01:01:15.519 --> 01:01:19.760
the main thing we know is that in mice we
836
01:01:19.920 --> 01:01:26.800
can already extend lifespan quite a bit by various techniques.
837
01:01:27.480 --> 01:01:31.920
There's one technique that is not really relevant to our
838
01:01:32.000 --> 01:01:36.039
work to extend the healthy lives of human beings, and
839
01:01:36.119 --> 01:01:39.039
that is something called calorie restriction. Most of you have
840
01:01:39.079 --> 01:01:42.199
heard of it. It works really pretty well in mice.
841
01:01:43.000 --> 01:01:44.719
You can get them to live quite a bit longer
842
01:01:45.119 --> 01:01:47.840
if you don't give them as much food as they
843
01:01:47.840 --> 01:01:52.960
would like, but it works progressively less well in longer
844
01:01:53.039 --> 01:01:56.519
lived species, and we understand why that is true. It's
845
01:01:56.559 --> 01:02:00.159
really a product of evolution. We just have a weaker
846
01:02:00.039 --> 01:02:05.599
ability to respond to calorie restriction than short lived organisms do.
847
01:02:06.440 --> 01:02:10.280
So I think there is actually too much attention given
848
01:02:10.480 --> 01:02:15.440
to calori restriction and to drugs that emulate calorie restriction.
849
01:02:16.280 --> 01:02:19.519
But we have plenty of other ways now to extend
850
01:02:19.559 --> 01:02:25.039
mouse lifespan. And what's most important is that some of
851
01:02:25.079 --> 01:02:30.320
those ways work well even if you start them in
852
01:02:30.440 --> 01:02:34.280
middle age. Mice normally live about two and a half years.
853
01:02:35.039 --> 01:02:38.960
We're interested in things that work even when you don't
854
01:02:39.039 --> 01:02:42.039
start doing them until the mice are already one and
855
01:02:42.119 --> 01:02:44.800
a half years old, and we've got a lot of
856
01:02:44.840 --> 01:02:50.000
them now, so I believe that we can potentially get
857
01:02:50.320 --> 01:02:54.119
a big increase in lifespan, much more than we can
858
01:02:54.159 --> 01:02:57.920
get with calorie restriction, just by using things that we
859
01:02:58.039 --> 01:03:04.119
already have in our tool. Now I'm talking about mice
860
01:03:04.239 --> 01:03:09.840
rather a lot, right, Why, Well, I don't care about mice.
861
01:03:10.760 --> 01:03:15.440
I know you nobody care about mice. But the thing is,
862
01:03:16.119 --> 01:03:19.039
we do care about mice as a means to an end.
863
01:03:20.039 --> 01:03:25.039
If we really can once we really can make a
864
01:03:25.239 --> 01:03:29.639
huge difference to how long mice live people will believe
865
01:03:30.199 --> 01:03:34.800
the world will believe that soon we will be able
866
01:03:34.840 --> 01:03:38.639
to do the same thing for human beings. We just
867
01:03:38.719 --> 01:03:42.159
need to get there. I've mentioned already most of what
868
01:03:42.199 --> 01:03:46.039
he's on this side, that calory restriction does not work
869
01:03:46.079 --> 01:03:50.480
so well in long lived species. Also, it doesn't work
870
01:03:50.519 --> 01:03:54.199
so well when you start late in life. So you know,
871
01:03:54.599 --> 01:03:59.079
we're making no progress making those approaches work better, and
872
01:03:59.119 --> 01:04:02.840
we will not because it's an evolved response.
But with
873
01:04:03.159 --> 01:04:07.119
damage repair, with the maintenance approach, we have the potential
874
01:04:07.199 --> 01:04:12.360
to go further. So what am I doing about this? Well,
875
01:04:12.400 --> 01:04:17.679
at LAV Foundation, we are trying to do exactly what
876
01:04:17.760 --> 01:04:23.920
I have described. We are taking interventions treatments that other
877
01:04:24.039 --> 01:04:29.599
people have already shown to work in mice starting late
878
01:04:29.639 --> 01:04:32.920
in life, and we are putting them together in the
879
01:04:32.960 --> 01:04:37.559
same mice at the same time. That is the way
880
01:04:37.599 --> 01:04:42.039
that we think we will get bigger results. We think
881
01:04:42.159 --> 01:04:45.440
that we should be able to get an additive effect.
882
01:04:46.480 --> 01:04:49.599
So in the first experiment that we did of this nature,
883
01:04:49.679 --> 01:04:53.400
which started nearly three years ago it ended about six
884
01:04:53.440 --> 01:04:58.840
months ago, we took four treatments. I have them listed here.
885
01:05:00.079 --> 01:05:04.920
One is actually not a maintenance thing, a damage repair thing.
886
01:05:05.639 --> 01:05:09.639
It is a color restriction mimetic. That's to say, it's
887
01:05:09.639 --> 01:05:15.320
a drug which causes which causes the body to think
888
01:05:15.360 --> 01:05:19.360
that it's not getting enough food. And it works pretty well,
889
01:05:19.559 --> 01:05:21.320
but as I say, it will not work so well
890
01:05:21.360 --> 01:05:24.760
in humans. The other three are types of damage repair.
891
01:05:26.159 --> 01:05:31.039
One of them is to give these old mice some
892
01:05:31.679 --> 01:05:36.639
new blood stem cells from young mice. Another one is
893
01:05:36.920 --> 01:05:43.639
to give mice an additional amount of telomerase using gene therapy.
894
01:05:44.039 --> 01:05:47.079
This was inspired actually by some of the work of
895
01:05:47.320 --> 01:05:51.519
doctor Blasco who spoke yesterday. And the third one, which
896
01:05:51.599 --> 01:05:56.599
was also discussed yesterday, was is to give it a synolytic,
897
01:05:57.039 --> 01:06:00.280
a drug that specifically culls off a type of well
898
01:06:00.320 --> 01:06:03.119
that we accumulate during life, and it seems to be
899
01:06:03.119 --> 01:06:06.920
bad for us, and we use this thing called galactose
900
01:06:07.000 --> 01:06:11.280
conjugated livero clacks. Let's say we started when the mice
901
01:06:11.320 --> 01:06:15.039
were already one and a half years old, and well,
902
01:06:15.079 --> 01:06:21.440
it went pretty well well back and again. So in
903
01:06:21.679 --> 01:06:26.679
the female mice, we had ten treatment groups, a group
904
01:06:26.719 --> 01:06:30.480
that was getting all four of these treatments, a group
905
01:06:30.519 --> 01:06:34.159
that was not getting any of them, and eight groups
906
01:06:34.199 --> 01:06:39.960
that were getting some subset of the treatments, and the
907
01:06:40.000 --> 01:06:48.119
result was quite encouraging. The group that we're getting all
908
01:06:48.159 --> 01:06:51.920
of the treatments is denoted by the red line here
909
01:06:51.960 --> 01:06:55.480
the thick red line, and as you can see, they
910
01:06:55.480 --> 01:06:58.920
were doing better than anybody else. On the axis is
911
01:06:58.920 --> 01:07:01.360
the age of the mice, and on the y axis
912
01:07:01.559 --> 01:07:05.079
is the proportion of the mice that we're alive up
913
01:07:05.159 --> 01:07:08.639
to a given age. This is called a Kaplan Meier curve.
914
01:07:09.960 --> 01:07:12.599
And the thick blue line is the control mice that
915
01:07:12.679 --> 01:07:15.880
we're getting none of the treatments, and as you can see,
916
01:07:16.000 --> 01:07:19.519
the mice that were getting some subset of the treatments
917
01:07:19.800 --> 01:07:22.440
were somewhere in the middle. So that's what we hoped for.
918
01:07:22.599 --> 01:07:26.760
We got an additive effect, but we did not do
919
01:07:27.000 --> 01:07:31.519
any better than what calorie restriction can do or indeed
920
01:07:31.519 --> 01:07:34.719
wrap of mice in on its own, which is what
921
01:07:34.760 --> 01:07:37.639
we want to do. We want to get ideally two
922
01:07:37.760 --> 01:07:41.719
or three times as big an effect as we can
923
01:07:42.280 --> 01:07:49.159
with the In this experiment, the male mice, it was
924
01:07:49.239 --> 01:07:53.239
more complicated but basically the same concept, and we made
925
01:07:53.280 --> 01:07:58.480
it many many things about the health of these mice,
926
01:07:59.480 --> 01:08:05.239
like how their memory and their physical agility, their strength,
927
01:08:06.440 --> 01:08:12.679
their hearing, their eyesight, The curvature of the spine is
928
01:08:12.679 --> 01:08:15.480
something that has studied in mist because it changes with age,
929
01:08:15.920 --> 01:08:19.640
so lots of things, and we still have to analyze
930
01:08:19.680 --> 01:08:22.239
a lot of the data that we obtained in this way.
931
01:08:23.000 --> 01:08:25.439
I always like to emphasize that I don't really work
932
01:08:25.479 --> 01:08:29.800
on longevity. I work on health. Longevity is a side
933
01:08:29.840 --> 01:08:33.920
effect of health, and that's why it's important to work
934
01:08:33.960 --> 01:08:36.600
on health. We want to keep people alive for as
935
01:08:36.640 --> 01:08:39.399
long as possible, but the way we will do it
936
01:08:39.439 --> 01:08:43.000
is by keeping them healthy as long as possible. And
937
01:08:43.119 --> 01:08:47.479
of course this is not a new concept. Another thing
938
01:08:47.520 --> 01:08:50.560
that came up yesterday, which a couple of people mentioned,
939
01:08:51.159 --> 01:08:55.600
is that the goal of our work is to add
940
01:08:55.880 --> 01:09:01.279
life to years, not just to add years to life.
941
01:09:01.960 --> 01:09:05.600
I want to highlight that. A lot of
people attempted
942
01:09:05.680 --> 01:09:10.680
to omit, to leave out the word just in that sentence.
943
01:09:11.119 --> 01:09:14.560
People will say the goal is to add life to years,
944
01:09:14.600 --> 01:09:18.319
not years to life, and that's a very very different statement.
945
01:09:19.000 --> 01:09:22.199
It kind of says that adding years to life would
946
01:09:22.239 --> 01:09:26.279
be a bad thing, even if the extra years were
947
01:09:26.359 --> 01:09:31.399
healthy years, and I believe that is nonsense. The longevity
948
01:09:31.520 --> 01:09:37.319
side effect of adding life to years is something that
949
01:09:37.359 --> 01:09:45.079
we must celebrate and not apologize for So what should
950
01:09:45.079 --> 01:09:48.760
we do next? And I said, we were very happy
951
01:09:49.039 --> 01:09:55.960
that our first study combining interventions in life was a
952
01:09:56.079 --> 01:10:00.800
demonstration of the concept. It proved that we could get
953
01:10:01.000 --> 01:10:05.479
an additive effect when we combine things, but we did
954
01:10:05.479 --> 01:10:09.079
not get the effect size that we were hoping for.
955
01:10:10.159 --> 01:10:12.760
So in the next study that we want to do,
956
01:10:13.319 --> 01:10:18.000
which is described in detail at the website at the
957
01:10:18.000 --> 01:10:22.760
top of this slide, we are going to use more interventions.
958
01:10:23.359 --> 01:10:27.319
We are probably going to have eight interventions instead of
959
01:10:27.359 --> 01:10:31.159
only four. That means that the experiment will be even bigger.
960
01:10:31.720 --> 01:10:35.319
The first one used one thousand mice and the second
961
01:10:35.399 --> 01:10:39.520
one will use two thousand mice. All of the interventions
962
01:10:39.560 --> 01:10:44.039
that we will test will be genuine damage repair maintenance,
963
01:10:44.720 --> 01:10:48.359
and they have all been shown to extend life individually,
964
01:10:48.880 --> 01:10:51.159
so we are optimistic that we can get a much
965
01:10:51.159 --> 01:10:54.840
bigger effect when we put them together. Nobody else is
966
01:10:54.920 --> 01:11:01.279
doing this kind of experiment, and that's terrible. We desperately
967
01:11:01.359 --> 01:11:04.920
need a lot of experiments like this because we need
968
01:11:04.960 --> 01:11:09.039
to test things like different doses of each of the interventions.
969
01:11:09.279 --> 01:11:12.720
We can't do that with one study. Even this study,
970
01:11:12.760 --> 01:11:15.359
as I described it here, is going to cost about
971
01:11:15.399 --> 01:11:20.359
six million dollars. Jeff Bezos just gave a few years
972
01:11:20.359 --> 01:11:25.960
ago three billion dollars to a new company, Alta Labs,
973
01:11:26.479 --> 01:11:30.920
to investigate aging. Mahu Khan, who spoke at the beginning
974
01:11:30.960 --> 01:11:38.000
of yesterday's session, leads a group called Evolution in Saudi Arabia,
975
01:11:38.439 --> 01:11:43.520
which is
funded to the tune of one billion dollars
976
01:11:43.600 --> 01:11:48.039
per year for twenty years, and they are not doing
977
01:11:48.039 --> 01:11:51.000
this kind of experiment either. You know, it's got to
978
01:11:51.039 --> 01:11:55.359
be done. It's the quickest way to bring human aging
979
01:11:55.680 --> 01:12:04.439
under proper comprehensive medical control. So, as I said, we
980
01:12:04.760 --> 01:12:08.560
are using more interventions next time because we think it's
981
01:12:08.600 --> 01:12:12.159
got a better chance of giving a big result. But
982
01:12:12.279 --> 01:12:15.720
I want to highlight something that really comes back again
983
01:12:15.840 --> 01:12:20.720
to what rayk Oswell said last night. Progress is accelerating.
984
01:12:20.840 --> 01:12:26.399
It's still fatty slow, but it's really accelerating. In the
985
01:12:26.479 --> 01:12:30.159
time three years ago when we were designing the first study,
986
01:12:30.800 --> 01:12:35.399
we had hardly any choice. The interventions that we used
987
01:12:35.560 --> 01:12:38.760
in our first study were really the only ones that
988
01:12:38.920 --> 01:12:42.359
had been shown to work when you start late in
989
01:12:42.399 --> 01:12:47.399
life in terms of extending mouse lifespan. But in those
990
01:12:47.439 --> 01:12:51.560
three years while we were doing that study. Lots more
991
01:12:52.600 --> 01:12:55.840
have been published, lots of new studies that really seem
992
01:12:55.880 --> 01:12:59.960
to work, and we think it's going to continue to accelerate.
993
01:13:00.600 --> 01:13:05.199
So we are really desperate to get going in doing
994
01:13:05.680 --> 01:13:10.159
this experiment. For those of you who want more details
995
01:13:10.439 --> 01:13:15.199
of the studies that have inspired the inclusion of these
996
01:13:15.319 --> 01:13:20.159
various interventions, please take a photo of this side, because
997
01:13:19.880 --> 01:13:26.399
these numbers are the identifiers in PubMed, the big medical
998
01:13:26.479 --> 01:13:32.399
database that reported all of these things. So very important
999
01:13:32.439 --> 01:13:36.800
to understand that these are recent and they are success stories.
1000
01:13:38.279 --> 01:13:41.199
I'm going to end by talking about some of the
1001
01:13:41.239 --> 01:13:44.720
support that is being given to this work by the
1002
01:13:44.800 --> 01:13:49.199
cryptocurrency community. In the crypto community, there is a lot
1003
01:13:49.359 --> 01:13:52.880
of interest in this work. I often speak at cryptoconferences
1004
01:13:52.920 --> 01:13:57.079
and I'm the only non crypto speaker. The reason I'm
1005
01:13:57.079 --> 01:13:59.720
there is just because there's a big fan base, if
1006
01:13:59.720 --> 01:14:03.600
you like. And some of those fans got together over
1007
01:14:03.600 --> 01:14:08.880
the past several months and they created a token, a
1008
01:14:08.880 --> 01:14:13.359
cryptocurrency token that's called
aubray a U B R A
1009
01:14:13.600 --> 01:14:17.119
I and it's of course, you know, based on me
1010
01:14:17.319 --> 01:14:20.439
and our work, and you can buy it and if
1011
01:14:20.479 --> 01:14:23.920
you do, you will be helping our work. Yeah, we
1012
01:14:23.920 --> 01:14:28.239
we get the transaction fees. You know, we may indue
1013
01:14:28.279 --> 01:14:31.520
course just self some tokens to get some more money.
1014
01:14:31.840 --> 01:14:35.199
So this is good news. The guy Mark there, as
1015
01:14:35.239 --> 01:14:38.960
I'm mentioning there is actually Mark Bernagher who is the
1016
01:14:38.960 --> 01:14:42.199
co founder of another conference series that happens each year,
1017
01:14:42.239 --> 01:14:47.840
and he started in Switzerland and he made his fortune
1018
01:14:47.960 --> 01:14:51.640
in the cryptocurrency world. So that's a great case of
1019
01:14:51.800 --> 01:14:56.239
leading by example. And there's also an AI agent, a
1020
01:14:56.359 --> 01:15:01.000
chat pot that you can you can convert with on
1021
01:15:01.239 --> 01:15:05.920
Twitter on x It's also called Aubrey. Don't forget the
1022
01:15:06.079 --> 01:15:12.000
underscore at the end of the of the r L. Yeah,
1023
01:15:12.079 --> 01:15:17.680
I mean, it's it's pretty amazing. It is modeled on me. Again,
1024
01:15:18.319 --> 01:15:22.239
it is. It gives sensible answers to basically any question.
1025
01:15:22.800 --> 01:15:25.159
I mean, maybe not exactly what I would say, but
1026
01:15:25.199 --> 01:15:30.680
pretty close. And unlike me, it doesn't sleep. It's it
1027
01:15:30.760 --> 01:15:33.880
has much more bandwidth than Little Meat. So that's very
1028
01:15:33.960 --> 01:15:37.159
very good news. And there's even a version of it,
1029
01:15:38.439 --> 01:15:41.000
an audio version. You can talk to it and it
1030
01:15:41.079 --> 01:15:47.520
sounds like me. It's terrifying. And they've done wonderful graphics
1031
01:15:47.520 --> 01:15:53.840
as well. There we go here. You know, you know,
1032
01:15:54.079 --> 01:15:59.239
I don't know what to say, you know, it's pretty incredible,
1033
01:15:59.640 --> 01:16:03.479
so happy about this. So I will just end by
1034
01:16:03.560 --> 01:16:07.399
talking about advocacy. You know, there are many really powerful
1035
01:16:07.439 --> 01:16:10.039
advocates for longevity here. Of course, Hoaseiah is one of
1036
01:16:10.119 --> 01:16:12.960
the most important, and I've been, you know, doing a
1037
01:16:13.000 --> 01:16:15.520
lot of advocacy for the past twenty years as well
1038
01:16:15.560 --> 01:16:19.239
as overseeing a lot of the science. We need a
1039
01:16:19.239 --> 01:16:21.680
war on aging. And when I say that, I do
1040
01:16:21.760 --> 01:16:24.720
not mean something like the war on cancer that happened
1041
01:16:24.760 --> 01:16:29.239
fifty years ago in America. That was very significant in
1042
01:16:29.319 --> 01:16:33.239
terms of the increase in funding for cancer research, but
1043
01:16:33.399 --> 01:16:36.359
in that surul numbers in dollar terms, it was tiny.
1044
01:16:36.840 --> 01:16:40.800
It was imperceptible to the American public. We need a
1045
01:16:40.840 --> 01:16:47.159
war that is on the scale of COVID five years ago.
1046
01:16:48.119 --> 01:16:52.720
Humanity was faced with a new challenge, and humanity faced
1047
01:16:52.720 --> 01:16:57.399
that challenge and took it on and COVID was defeated.
1048
01:16:58.520 --> 01:17:01.920
Think about what happened then. Everything that we thought we
1049
01:17:02.000 --> 01:17:08.760
knew about institutional bureaucracy and regulatory inertia and so on
1050
01:17:09.319 --> 01:17:13.159
just was thrown out of the window. Governments just ignored
1051
01:17:13.239 --> 01:17:16.119
all of the rules that they had created because they
1052
01:17:16.199 --> 01:17:20.479
knew that the priority was to save lives, and yes,
1053
01:17:20.800 --> 01:17:23.920
it was dangerous, and I think we can now say
1054
01:17:24.079 --> 01:17:27.479
that probably quite a lot of people died as a
1055
01:17:27.520 --> 01:17:33.399
result of the haste with which vaccines were developed and distributed,
1056
01:17:33.840 --> 01:17:36.119
and a lot of people are still sick as a
1057
01:17:36.119 --> 01:17:39.159
result of those vaccines. But when I say a lot,
1058
01:17:39.800 --> 01:17:43.920
it's actually a tiny, tiny fraction of the number of
1059
01:17:44.000 --> 01:17:48.119
people whose lives were saved by those vaccines as a
1060
01:17:48.159 --> 01:17:54.840
result of the vaccines being distributed really fast. It was
1061
01:17:54.920 --> 01:17:57.680
less than a year from the time COVID emerged to
1062
01:17:57.800 --> 01:18:03.640
the time that vaccines had been developed distributed globally. Before COVID,
1063
01:18:04.159 --> 01:18:07.880
the quickest that that had ever been done was more
1064
01:18:07.920 --> 01:18:12.600
than ten years. So that is a lesson for humanity.
1065
01:18:13.159 --> 01:18:18.199
When we actually want to fix something, we can and
1066
01:18:18.800 --> 01:18:21.640
a medical thing, and now that we've done it once,
1067
01:18:22.239 --> 01:18:25.760
we can do it again. The problem, of course, is
1068
01:18:25.800 --> 01:18:29.399
that COVID was a new problem, and aging is a
1069
01:18:29.520 --> 01:18:33.000
very very old problem which we have put out of
1070
01:18:33.039 --> 01:18:37.439
our minds. So what we need to do is make
1071
01:18:37.600 --> 01:18:42.640
the public care about aging. When the public care, governments
1072
01:18:42.640 --> 01:18:46.239
will care and everything will just happen. So we need
1073
01:18:46.279 --> 01:18:50.800
to get influences. Joe Rogan, Oprah Winfrey, people like that
1074
01:18:51.479 --> 01:18:55.279
to be up there saying now's the time to have
1075
01:18:55.319 --> 01:18:57.920
a war on aging. And I believe that that will
1076
01:18:57.960 --> 01:19:03.079
happen when the subject matter experts are able to come
1077
01:19:03.119 --> 01:19:06.399
out and say, yes, we have made we have made
1078
01:19:06.479 --> 01:19:11.840
so much progress in mice that now we can actually predict,
1079
01:19:12.800 --> 01:19:17.039
not as precisely as RAID does, but somewhat we can
1080
01:19:17.079 --> 01:19:21.840
predict how soon we will have a chance of bringing
1081
01:19:22.159 --> 01:19:27.359
human aging under medical control. Once the subject matter experts
1082
01:19:27.399 --> 01:19:31.680
in this field find it possible to predict timeframes, which
1083
01:19:31.720 --> 01:19:35.840
I've been doing for twenty years, then I believe the
1084
01:19:35.880 --> 01:19:39.000
war and aging will start. So I will stop there.
1085
01:19:39.520 --> 01:19:42.640
Thank you very much for your attention. Of course, we
1086
01:19:42.680 --> 01:19:46.000
can only do this work because of the money that
1087
01:19:46.479 --> 01:19:49.840
is donated to LED Foundation, so I've put the qr
1088
01:19:49.920 --> 01:19:53.640
cod up there for anyone who wants to help. We
1089
01:19:53.680 --> 01:19:57.239
wrote a review last year which describes the science of
1090
01:19:58.039 --> 01:20:02.199
our work in more detail. That's in the middle, and
1091
01:20:02.560 --> 01:20:05.600
I will be happy to that questions if anyone wants,
1092
01:20:05.720 --> 01:20:07.520
or I'll be here for the whole of today and
1093
01:20:07.560 --> 01:20:11.199
tomorrow actually at SML, so I will enjoy talking to
1094
01:20:11.199 --> 01:20:19.920
all of you. Thank you, I'll give.
1095
01:20:20.359 --> 01:20:21.680
Yeah, thank you.
1096
01:20:21.760 --> 01:20:25.800
Aubrey always giving us such a great perspective of where we.
1097
01:20:25.760 --> 01:20:28.760
Aren't aging auregy. Just hopefully we have some questions for you.
1098
01:20:29.960 --> 01:20:30.800
Let's start with that.
1099
01:20:31.199 --> 01:20:34.279
Any questions in the audience sees the moment. We have
1100
01:20:34.479 --> 01:20:39.520
one from Steve Hobart here Epigelic.
1101
01:20:39.039 --> 01:20:45.960
Cos Yeah, Aubrey, wonderful presentation. I really applaud you for
1102
01:20:46.039 --> 01:20:48.399
your effort in the mouth study. I think it's very
1103
01:20:48.520 --> 01:20:52.960
valuable for the whole field. I had a technical question.
1104
01:20:53.119 --> 01:20:57.199
You probably are very aware of this paper by caba
1105
01:20:57.279 --> 01:21:01.560
Line about the nine hundred day rule in the control
1106
01:21:01.680 --> 01:21:04.680
the median survival should be nine hundred days. I very
1107
01:21:04.720 --> 01:21:07.880
carefully looked at the Kavlin myograph. I didn't quite see it,
1108
01:21:07.920 --> 01:21:09.600
but maybe you could comment on it.
1109
01:21:09.720 --> 01:21:11.880
Yeah, so this is a very important thing. A lot
1110
01:21:12.039 --> 01:21:16.079
of the work that is published in this field and
1111
01:21:16.159 --> 01:21:19.439
that gets you know, general audience headlines and so on,
1112
01:21:20.039 --> 01:21:23.239
really isn't actually as significant as people say it is.
1113
01:21:23.600 --> 01:21:27.479
And the reason it isn't so significant is because the
1114
01:21:27.640 --> 01:21:31.920
comparison that is being shown is between mice that get
1115
01:21:32.039 --> 01:21:35.279
some treatment and mice that don't. But the mice that
1116
01:21:35.479 --> 01:21:38.840
don't get the treatment don't live very long that they're
1117
01:21:38.880 --> 01:21:43.000
impaired in some way. Maybe they only live to let's
1118
01:21:43.039 --> 01:21:45.279
say two years instead of two and a half years.
1119
01:21:45.520 --> 01:21:48.920
That doesn't sound very different. But if the amount of
1120
01:21:49.119 --> 01:21:52.520
life extension that you're getting is only let's say three months,
1121
01:21:53.119 --> 01:21:57.279
then that means that your treated mice are still living
1122
01:21:57.359 --> 01:22:02.119
less long than normal treated mice in somebody else's lab,
1123
01:22:02.520 --> 01:22:06.279
and that's not good. So it's very important to use
1124
01:22:06.880 --> 01:22:11.680
long lived controls, and that determines first of all, which
1125
01:22:11.760 --> 01:22:15.520
strain of mice you use. We use a strain called
1126
01:22:15.520 --> 01:22:19.079
Black six, which is actually used by most longevity researchers,
1127
01:22:19.560 --> 01:22:21.640
and they lived about two and a half years nine
1128
01:22:21.720 --> 01:22:27.479
hundred days on average, So that's what we are aiming for,
1129
01:22:27.880 --> 01:22:32.079
and actually in our next experiment we plan to give
1130
01:22:32.199 --> 01:22:36.000
all of our mice a calorie restriction mimetic wrap of micin,
1131
01:22:36.399 --> 01:22:39.720
which will probably mean that the mice live on average
1132
01:22:40.079 --> 01:22:45.479
to nearly one thousand days without any other treatments. In
1133
01:22:45.520 --> 01:22:48.760
our first study, we didn't quite get to nine hundred days.
1134
01:22:48.960 --> 01:22:51.680
We got to about eight hundred and fifty days, so
1135
01:22:51.960 --> 01:22:54.159
that's not quite where we'd like to be, but it's
1136
01:22:54.239 --> 01:22:57.479
close enough that someone like Matt Cablin would probably not
1137
01:22:57.520 --> 01:23:00.600
well has not complained doctors.
1138
01:23:00.640 --> 01:23:02.399
Great, thank you so much for the talk.
1139
01:23:03.840 --> 01:23:06.000
I think you have a unique gift for clarity and
1140
01:23:06.079 --> 01:23:10.119
bringing people together. I wanted to ask your opinion on
1141
01:23:10.479 --> 01:23:13.359
the topic. So, as you said, the immune system has
1142
01:23:13.359 --> 01:23:17.880
been manipulated with elementary medicines such as vaccines, even when
1143
01:23:17.920 --> 01:23:23.640
the knowledge of it was reductive at least now, for instance,
1144
01:23:23.680 --> 01:23:27.560
companies like Omniscope are part of the foray into deeply
1145
01:23:27.800 --> 01:23:31.319
understanding that system. And you said we need a war
1146
01:23:31.359 --> 01:23:35.399
and aging similar to COVID, and COVID arguably was a
1147
01:23:35.640 --> 01:23:40.840
public health intervention to reprogram the human immune system en mass.
1148
01:23:41.520 --> 01:23:43.840
Since the immune system is one of the whole marks
1149
01:23:43.840 --> 01:23:48.039
of aging. Do you see in the future immune system
1150
01:23:48.359 --> 01:23:53.079
reprogramming as a part of geroscience, as was featured in
1151
01:23:53.119 --> 01:23:54.800
your tables of interventions.
1152
01:23:54.960 --> 01:23:55.600
I'm curious to.
1153
01:23:55.600 --> 01:24:00.119
See how far you think we can push that to
1154
01:24:00.520 --> 01:24:03.880
advance health span now that we have an immensely deeper
1155
01:24:03.960 --> 01:24:06.159
understanding all the way to cellular therapies.
1156
01:24:06.359 --> 01:24:10.359
Right, great question. So absolutely, we need to rejuvenate the
1157
01:24:10.359 --> 01:24:13.800
immune system, just as we need to rejuvenate every other
1158
01:24:13.880 --> 01:24:18.920
system in the body. The immune system has an extraordinarily
1159
01:24:19.079 --> 01:24:24.319
pervasive role in keeping us alive and keeping us healthy,
1160
01:24:24.600 --> 01:24:29.319
not only eliminating infections or so eliminating almost all of
1161
01:24:29.399 --> 01:24:34.600
the incipient cancers that we would otherwise get. But I
1162
01:24:34.600 --> 01:24:37.800
would like to emphasize that what we are doing in
1163
01:24:37.800 --> 01:24:40.239
this field, what Ominoscope is doing, what other people are doing,
1164
01:24:40.479 --> 01:24:45.119
is not really an attempt to understand the immune system better.
1165
01:24:45.760 --> 01:24:50.680
It's a way of characterizing describing the immune system. But
1166
01:24:50.840 --> 01:24:54.279
whether that leads to more understanding remains to be seen.
1167
01:24:54.520 --> 01:24:58.680
And that's okay. If we can rejuvenate the immune system,
1168
01:24:58.960 --> 01:25:01.000
put it back into the state that it was at
1169
01:25:01.039 --> 01:25:04.840
a younger age, then we don't really need to understand
1170
01:25:04.960 --> 01:25:08.760
why that system works better than an old immune system.
1171
01:25:09.039 --> 01:25:13.840
Another great, really important example, which actually Steve Forbath was
1172
01:25:13.880 --> 01:25:18.439
involved with a couple of years ago, is to rejuvenate
1173
01:25:18.920 --> 01:25:22.880
a very important component of the immune system called the thymus.
1174
01:25:23.039 --> 01:25:26.920
This is an organ that creates a big subset of
1175
01:25:26.960 --> 01:25:32.159
our white blood cells called tea cells, and it's atrophies
1176
01:25:32.319 --> 01:25:36.439
really early in life, like in early adulthood. We get
1177
01:25:36.479 --> 01:25:39.520
away with that. It's kind of evolution allows it to
1178
01:25:39.640 --> 01:25:43.880
atrophy because
by the time at agrophies, it has already
1179
01:25:43.920 --> 01:25:49.000
created a population of T cells. That keeps us pretty
1180
01:25:49.039 --> 01:25:53.359
healthy for decades after that, so we kind of don't
1181
01:25:53.359 --> 01:25:55.840
need to make anymore. But of course, now that we
1182
01:25:55.880 --> 01:25:57.920
are living so long, we do need to make more.
1183
01:25:58.279 --> 01:26:03.399
So rejuvenating the thyma is an absolutely essential part. But again,
1184
01:26:03.800 --> 01:26:07.439
we don't really understand everything about how the thymus works.
1185
01:26:07.800 --> 01:26:09.399
We understand a hell of a lot more than we
1186
01:26:09.439 --> 01:26:11.479
did two hundred years ago, but there's plenty that we
1187
01:26:11.520 --> 01:26:13.760
don't understand, and that's fine.
1188
01:26:14.720 --> 01:26:15.640
Just a brief question.
1189
01:26:15.720 --> 01:26:17.680
Then then we have ten It's good to have time
1190
01:26:17.720 --> 01:26:20.720
and frames to make the change. It's also good to
1191
01:26:20.760 --> 01:26:24.000
have orders of magnitude. How big do you think we
1192
01:26:24.000 --> 01:26:26.800
should use a mice to fight aging?
1193
01:26:26.880 --> 01:26:27.359
Right now?
1194
01:26:27.479 --> 01:26:27.960
How many?
1195
01:26:28.239 --> 01:26:29.399
How bigger should it be?
1196
01:26:29.720 --> 01:26:31.960
Right? So this is a really important question. One of
1197
01:26:32.000 --> 01:26:34.800
the concepts that I introduced many years ago is the
1198
01:26:34.840 --> 01:26:38.399
concept of longevity escape velocity, which we mentioned earlier, and
1199
01:26:38.439 --> 01:26:42.800
the idea here is that if we can postpone the
1200
01:26:42.920 --> 01:26:46.239
health problems of late life, so that means column three
1201
01:26:46.279 --> 01:26:49.520
and column four in that table I put up, if
1202
01:26:49.560 --> 01:26:53.600
we can postpone those things by twenty years, then we're
1203
01:26:53.600 --> 01:26:56.479
basically done. We've done the hard part of being aging
1204
01:26:56.560 --> 01:27:02.159
under comprehensive medical control because basically, in twenty years we
1205
01:27:02.359 --> 01:27:05.840
can be very sure that we will improve those treatments
1206
01:27:06.279 --> 01:27:09.199
so that we can give the same people who are
1207
01:27:09.239 --> 01:27:13.760
twenty years older some new rejuvenation that will give them
1208
01:27:13.760 --> 01:27:17.319
another twenty years and so on. So it's the reason
1209
01:27:17.359 --> 01:27:19.560
I use the tern escape velocity is because it's a
1210
01:27:19.560 --> 01:27:23.680
bit like gravitational escape velocity. If you fire something up
1211
01:27:23.720 --> 01:27:26.680
into the sky at a slow speed, it comes back down,
1212
01:27:27.119 --> 01:27:29.960
but there is a certain speed above which it doesn't
1213
01:27:29.960 --> 01:27:33.840
come back down, So that's kind of similar. Now, it
1214
01:27:33.880 --> 01:27:38.039
turns out if you think about that, that longevity escape
1215
01:27:38.079 --> 01:27:43.640
velocity is easier to achieve for long lived species than
1216
01:27:43.680 --> 01:27:47.319
it is for short lived species. That's the other way
1217
01:27:47.319 --> 01:27:50.920
around from everything we normally think about in the biology
1218
01:27:50.960 --> 01:27:55.239
of aging. Normally, long lived species are harder to help,
1219
01:27:55.560 --> 01:27:57.760
but in the case of longevity escape velocity, you know,
1220
01:27:57.960 --> 01:28:00.880
it's touch and go. Whether we will ever reach LV
1221
01:28:01.479 --> 01:28:05.239
with cats or dogs, I am certain that we will
1222
01:28:05.279 --> 01:28:08.800
never achieve it with mice because even if you double
1223
01:28:08.840 --> 01:28:12.159
the life span of mice, you will not have enough
1224
01:28:12.199 --> 01:28:14.640
time to figure out what to do next to double
1225
01:28:14.680 --> 01:28:17.720
the same mice as a lifespan again. All right, so
1226
01:28:17.800 --> 01:28:21.439
what do we need to achieve? Well, I have defined,
1227
01:28:21.720 --> 01:28:26.039
maybe rather arbitrarily, a threshold which I call robust Mouse
1228
01:28:26.119 --> 01:28:31.960
rejuvenation RMR, and that threshold is to take middle aged mice,
1229
01:28:32.039 --> 01:28:34.159
as I mentioned, mice that are already one and a
1230
01:28:34.239 --> 01:28:39.199
half years old, and to give them an extra year
1231
01:28:39.520 --> 01:28:43.119
of life, an extra twelve months, so that they on
1232
01:28:43.159 --> 01:28:45.680
average live to three and a half instead of two
1233
01:28:45.720 --> 01:28:49.119
and a half years. Now, why did I chuse that threshold,
1234
01:28:49.560 --> 01:28:54.920
Because what we can currently do is four months. We
1235
01:28:54.960 --> 01:28:57.680
can take mice that are one and a half years
1236
01:28:57.720 --> 01:29:00.439
old normally live to nine hundred days. We can get
1237
01:29:00.479 --> 01:29:03.680
them out to slightly over one thousand days, maybe twelve
1238
01:29:03.760 --> 01:29:07.000
hundred maybe sorry, maybe one thousand and thirty or one
1239
01:29:07.039 --> 01:29:10.359
thousand and fifty if you're lucky. Now, the thing is,
1240
01:29:10.399 --> 01:29:14.119
we could do that half a century ago. We've made
1241
01:29:14.239 --> 01:29:18.319
no progress. Jeff Pedro mentioned this yesterday. You know, we
1242
01:29:18.439 --> 01:29:21.640
have it's pitif how much we have failed to do.
1243
01:29:22.319 --> 01:29:24.680
So that means if we can get twelve months, that's
1244
01:29:24.720 --> 01:29:28.159
three times the effect size. That would be really dramatic.
1245
01:29:28.399 --> 01:29:31.239
It wouldn't be longevity escape velocity, but it would be
1246
01:29:31.319 --> 01:29:35.640
dramatic enough for people for all the subject matter experts
1247
01:29:35.680 --> 01:29:37.359
to go out there saying, yes, we are in a
1248
01:29:37.399 -->
01:29:40.800
different world. So that's my threshold. I think, thank you.
1249
01:29:40.800 --> 01:29:43.319
For that thorough answer. Thank you, doctor Augum.
1250
01:29:43.520 --> 01:29:43.960
Thank you.
1251
01:29:47.039 --> 01:29:49.720
So now is the time for my coauthor to give
1252
01:29:49.800 --> 01:29:53.960
up a fantastic presentation. Okay, if there is another picture
1253
01:29:54.199 --> 01:30:02.279
like this, a fantastic presentation about their longevity. So welcome David.
1254
01:30:02.439 --> 01:30:03.479
Thank you so much.
1255
01:30:10.640 --> 01:30:13.840
So I will talk about the death of death later,
1256
01:30:14.439 --> 01:30:17.560
but I will start by building on the very interesting
1257
01:30:17.600 --> 01:30:23.600
and valuable presentations of both Dylan and Angel. I will
1258
01:30:23.640 --> 01:30:26.920
talk about the longevity dividend, but I'll talk about a
1259
01:30:27.000 --> 01:30:31.119
problem with the longevity dividend, which i'll call the longevity
1260
01:30:31.279 --> 01:30:34.840
dividend paradox, and I'll also talk about how we can
1261
01:30:35.159 --> 01:30:39.560
solve that paradox and take full advantage of the dividend.
1262
01:30:40.199 --> 01:30:45.640
I'll start with our frightening chart. Various people are frightened
1263
01:30:45.840 --> 01:30:50.319
by this chart. On the x axis is increasing age,
1264
01:30:50.399 --> 01:30:55.319
and on the vertical axis is the annual cost of
1265
01:30:55.600 --> 01:30:59.359
somebody of that age to their health service. This is
1266
01:30:59.399 --> 01:31:02.880
based on searched on the UK, but I'm fairly sure
1267
01:31:02.920 --> 01:31:06.000
it would be similar throughout the world. So a ten
1268
01:31:06.079 --> 01:31:09.640
year old, for example, costs a little bit less than
1269
01:31:09.840 --> 01:31:13.239
one thousand British pounds on average to the health service.
1270
01:31:14.800 --> 01:31:18.199
Sixty year old costs about two thousand, and sundry in
1271
01:31:18.199 --> 01:31:22.039
their mid eighties cost five thousand. And in case you're
1272
01:31:22.079 --> 01:31:26.439
wondering what the strange little bump is, can you guess
1273
01:31:27.239 --> 01:31:31.319
that's for women of a child bearing age that need
1274
01:31:31.680 --> 01:31:35.399
services in connections with their pregnancy and childbirth. But the
1275
01:31:35.439 --> 01:31:39.319
biggest finding in this chart is, of course, it's older
1276
01:31:39.359 --> 01:31:43.399
people who cost the health service more, and that's because
1277
01:31:43.640 --> 01:31:49.760
these older people have more infirmities, multiple things wrong. There
1278
01:31:49.840 --> 01:31:53.079
is a famous statistic from the US looking at medicare,
1279
01:31:53.520 --> 01:31:57.600
which points out that twenty eight percent of medicare is
1280
01:31:57.640 --> 01:31:59.159
spent on people.
1281
01:31:58.920 --> 01:32:00.840
In the last year of their lives.
1282
01:32:01.960 --> 01:32:04.359
Now
what frightens people as they imagine what's going to
1283
01:32:04.399 --> 01:32:08.800
happen if people live even longer, and they're worried that
1284
01:32:08.880 --> 01:32:11.880
this chart is going to keep on going up and up,
1285
01:32:12.439 --> 01:32:15.560
with more costs with more old people, and even more
1286
01:32:15.600 --> 01:32:18.520
costs with even more old people, which is why some
1287
01:32:18.600 --> 01:32:23.079
politicians in unguarded moments say I wish these old folk
1288
01:32:23.159 --> 01:32:28.359
would hurry up and die, not when the journalists are listening.
1289
01:32:28.119 --> 01:32:31.800
But they are afraid. And I think it's true.
1290
01:32:31.960 --> 01:32:34.960
If we had a continuation of normal aging, it would
1291
01:32:35.000 --> 01:32:37.960
be more expensive. But the idea of the longevity dividend
1292
01:32:38.039 --> 01:32:45.039
is that superageous actually don't cost more. And if more
1293
01:32:45.079 --> 01:32:48.199
people can be treated so that they are super ages,
1294
01:32:48.720 --> 01:32:52.079
this graph will move down and to the right. It
1295
01:32:52.119 --> 01:32:56.119
will move down at all ages, including early middle age,
1296
01:32:56.439 --> 01:32:57.960
and it will certainly move down.
1297
01:32:58.039 --> 01:32:58.720
At the top.
1298
01:32:59.680 --> 01:33:03.479
What I mean by superages, there is an actual definition
1299
01:33:03.520 --> 01:33:07.760
of the term. This is a picture of four famous superages,
1300
01:33:07.920 --> 01:33:10.439
their Can siblings.
1301
01:33:10.520 --> 01:33:11.239
On the left.
1302
01:33:11.399 --> 01:33:14.439
Helen, the oldest of the four, was nine years old.
1303
01:33:14.479 --> 01:33:17.600
On the right. They regrouped more than ninety years later.
1304
01:33:18.199 --> 01:33:20.840
All four of them lived beyond one hundred, and they
1305
01:33:20.840 --> 01:33:25.680
were remarkably healthy right through their lives, with little need
1306
01:33:25.720 --> 01:33:29.840
for health care. Two of them actually lived until nearly
1307
01:33:29.840 --> 01:33:32.960
one hundred and nine, and Irving Can was working two
1308
01:33:33.039 --> 01:33:36.680
days a week with pleasure right up into this one
1309
01:33:36.760 --> 01:33:42.199
hundred and ninth year. A superager is defined as somebody
1310
01:33:42.239 --> 01:33:47.840
who doesn't have cardiovascular disease or cancer, or diabetes or
1311
01:33:47.880 --> 01:33:51.479
cognitive decline by the age of ninety five, which is
1312
01:33:51.479 --> 01:33:55.119
why they don't cost the health service so much. Another example,
1313
01:33:57.119 --> 01:33:58.600
another example.
1314
01:33:59.600 --> 01:34:00.399
Is this lady.
1315
01:34:01.479 --> 01:34:05.079
Her name is Ethel Caterum from Surrey. She actually lives
1316
01:34:05.079 --> 01:34:07.439
about twenty miles from where I do. She's one hundred
1317
01:34:07.439 --> 01:34:09.479
and sixteen years old.
1318
01:34:10.039 --> 01:34:11.239
She is actually now.
1319
01:34:11.119 --> 01:34:14.119
The oldest woman in the world, and she is the
1320
01:34:14.199 --> 01:34:18.039
oldest British person ever. And she might look a little
1321
01:34:18.119 --> 01:34:21.039
bit stiff here, but if you look at the sky
1322
01:34:21.239 --> 01:34:25.359
News video of her talking with King Charles, she's full
1323
01:34:25.399 --> 01:34:28.960
of life and vitality, and she's cheekily talking about well,
1324
01:34:29.000 --> 01:34:32.600
fifty years ago, all the pretty women in Europe wanted
1325
01:34:32.600 --> 01:34:35.720
to marry you, didn't they. And he laughed at that,
1326
01:34:36.119 --> 01:34:38.840
and he needed some light relief because the two previous
1327
01:34:38.920 --> 01:34:42.680
days King Charles had to babysit Donald Trump, which.
1328
01:34:42.520 --> 01:34:44.199
Is a real ordeal for him.
1329
01:34:44.760 --> 01:34:48.319
Now, this woman Edith Caterum, she has no public record
1330
01:34:48.600 --> 01:34:52.680
of any major disease. She was a COVID survivor, but
1331
01:34:53.359 --> 01:34:56.279
despite her great age, she has not cost the health
1332
01:34:56.319 --> 01:35:00.760
service extra money. Another super age that I like a
1333
01:35:00.760 --> 01:35:05.199
lot is this gentleman. His name is Leonard Barnett Baden.
1334
01:35:05.319 --> 01:35:08.680
He was the UK chess champion in nineteen fifty four.
1335
01:35:09.439 --> 01:35:14.600
He is also the chess correspondent for the Guardian newslet paper.
1336
01:35:15.159 --> 01:35:21.159
He has been writing columns every week since September nineteen
1337
01:35:21.199 --> 01:35:24.760
fifty five. He has never missed a deadline. He is
1338
01:35:24.920 --> 01:35:31.159
now ninety six years old and no break and his
1339
01:35:31.439 --> 01:35:36.159
articles are still in high demand by top class chess
1340
01:35:36.199 --> 01:35:41.560
players because they are full of insight and intelligence. Ninety
1341
01:35:41.600 --> 01:35:44.600
six years old. Now you may think these are just
1342
01:35:44.800 --> 01:35:50.199
individual statistical anomalies, but thankfully is some statistics. If you
1343
01:35:50.239 --> 01:35:52.399
go back to the UK and look at how much
1344
01:35:52.479 --> 01:35:55.880
does somebody cost the NHS and the last year of
1345
01:35:55.920 --> 01:35:59.960
their life, if you go beyond eighty, actually it comes
1346
01:36:00.159 --> 01:36:02.880
down so somebody who lives to more than one hundred
1347
01:36:03.079 --> 01:36:06.279
doesn't cost so much in the last year of their life.
1348
01:36:07.039 --> 01:36:11.000
And the figures in Japan are even more striking. Now
1349
01:36:11.039 --> 01:36:12.960
sometimes when you see a graph like this, you might
1350
01:36:13.039 --> 01:36:16.600
wonder has the zero been missed out? But no, this
1351
01:36:16.760 --> 01:36:20.479
is an accurate graph. The people who die over the
1352
01:36:20.520 --> 01:36:24.600
age of one hundred and
five costs only seventy percent. Sorry,
1353
01:36:24.720 --> 01:36:27.359
they cost seventy percent less in that final year of
1354
01:36:27.399 --> 01:36:32.239
their life than people dying between seventy five and seventy nine.
1355
01:36:32.840 --> 01:36:35.680
I've only managed to find figures for two countries, and
1356
01:36:35.720 --> 01:36:38.119
there's a bit of difference there. So if anybody's looking
1357
01:36:38.159 --> 01:36:41.600
for a project for their university studies or as a
1358
01:36:41.640 --> 01:36:44.960
citizen scientist, I invite you to dig out more such
1359
01:36:45.119 --> 01:36:49.680
data and explore it. But this is the longevityate dividend.
1360
01:36:50.399 --> 01:36:53.359
This is the principle that if you remain healthy for
1361
01:36:53.439 --> 01:36:58.159
longer like these superages do, it has major economic benefits.
1362
01:36:58.520 --> 01:37:01.439
What kinds of benefits? Of course, they are less cost
1363
01:37:01.680 --> 01:37:04.479
for the health service. There are less cost for your
1364
01:37:04.520 --> 01:37:07.520
family members. They don't have to take time off work
1365
01:37:07.560 --> 01:37:09.800
and cut into their career to look after you when
1366
01:37:09.880 --> 01:37:11.399
you get old and frail.
1367
01:37:11.720 --> 01:37:12.800
Even more than that.
1368
01:37:12.840 --> 01:37:17.000
They are contributing to the economy as producers like Irvin
1369
01:37:17.159 --> 01:37:21.119
Can doing his investment trading on behalf of his clients
1370
01:37:21.199 --> 01:37:23.640
right up until nearly one hundred and nine years old,
1371
01:37:24.079 --> 01:37:28.279
and as consumers as well. So people talk about their
1372
01:37:28.520 --> 01:37:32.159
silver economy or even their silver tsunami.
1373
01:37:32.279 --> 01:37:35.119
What happened there? Silver tsunami.
1374
01:37:37.039 --> 01:37:39.239
Isn't This isn't the final version of my slides for
1375
01:37:39.279 --> 01:37:43.359
some reason. Sorry, Now can we quantify this in terms
1376
01:37:43.399 --> 01:37:46.239
of how much money could be saved? And this is
1377
01:37:46.399 --> 01:37:52.000
the basic calculation behind The longevity dividend was first done
1378
01:37:52.039 --> 01:37:56.600
by these two economists from the Universe from University of Chicago.
1379
01:37:57.079 --> 01:38:02.000
They calculated that between nineteen seventy and two thousand, the
1380
01:38:02.680 --> 01:38:06.560
increased longevity, the fact that people remained active in contributing
1381
01:38:06.600 --> 01:38:11.119
to the economy at longer older age, contributed ninety five
1382
01:38:11.359 --> 01:38:15.279
trillion dollars over that period. Now, it did cost some
1383
01:38:15.319 --> 01:38:17.880
more money because people who previously would have died in
1384
01:38:17.960 --> 01:38:21.720
middle aged they cost some money in health services to
1385
01:38:21.840 --> 01:38:25.880
keep them alive. And these economists estimated that that costs
1386
01:38:26.159 --> 01:38:28.880
thirty four trillion, in which case there was a massive
1387
01:38:28.960 --> 01:38:33.479
sixty one trillion saving. And other economists such as William
1388
01:38:33.520 --> 01:38:35.680
Nordhouse has and his own calculations.
1389
01:38:35.720 --> 01:38:37.880
He says that maybe.
1390
01:38:37.840 --> 01:38:42.960
Forty percent of the growth in general national product is
1391
01:38:43.039 --> 01:38:45.640
due to people living longer and being active in the
1392
01:38:45.680 --> 01:38:50.039
economy longer. So that all happened without anybody sitting down
1393
01:38:50.079 --> 01:38:52.920
and saying, let's make it happen. That all happened without
1394
01:38:52.920 --> 01:38:55.159
people sitting down and said, hey, this is a good thing,
1395
01:38:55.560 --> 01:38:56.920
let's try and have more of it.
1396
01:38:57.520 --> 01:38:59.640
And the first people to say let's.
1397
01:38:59.439 --> 01:39:02.039
Have more of it, they wrote this article in The
1398
01:39:02.119 --> 01:39:08.479
Scientist in two thousand and six four Distinguished Gerontologists for
1399
01:39:08.800 --> 01:39:14.239
Distinguished Gerontologists Jael Shansky and others, and they basically argued,
1400
01:39:14.680 --> 01:39:19.399
it is economically sensible, that is financially wise, for society
1401
01:39:19.479 --> 01:39:24.920
to prioritize research not just into diseases of aging, not
1402
01:39:25.079 --> 01:39:28.239
just into individual aspects of aging, but aging as a
1403
01:39:28.239 --> 01:39:32.159
common root cause which can be addressed. They didn't use
1404
01:39:32.199 --> 01:39:36.319
the word then, but neuroscience was invented shortly afterwards to
1405
01:39:36.439 --> 01:39:39.880
capture this notion, and they wrote it up in more detailed.
1406
01:39:39.880 --> 01:39:43.119
They said, here's how much money is being spent already.
1407
01:39:43.560 --> 01:39:45.159
It's pitifully small.
1408
01:39:45.840 --> 01:39:48.640
Yes, there is budget going into diseases, but it's almost
1409
01:39:48.680 --> 01:39:52.600
always into trying to cure diseases after they've developed, and
1410
01:39:52.640 --> 01:39:57.159
there's very little going into actual aging like such, very
1411
01:39:57.199 --> 01:40:00.279
little going into what we call neuroscience. They said, please, please,
1412
01:40:00.680 --> 01:40:04.560
members of the US Congress, don't just give us thirty
1413
01:40:05.000 --> 01:40:09.359
five million, give us more like one billion to research
1414
01:40:09.399 --> 01:40:11.840
into this. And if you do this, we expect that
1415
01:40:11.960 --> 01:40:14.920
over a period of time we will delay slow down
1416
01:40:14.960 --> 01:40:18.760
aging by about seven years, so that these costs aren't
1417
01:40:19.000 --> 01:40:20.920
coming soon and we'll have more time.
1418
01:40:21.760 --> 01:40:22.279
So did the.
1419
01:40:22.279 --> 01:40:27.399
US Congress listen did politicians around Europe and the
US say.
1420
01:40:27.279 --> 01:40:33.479
Yeah, great idea. No they did not. Now in some
1421
01:40:33.520 --> 01:40:34.920
countries it's a little bit better.
1422
01:40:35.000 --> 01:40:38.319
Saudi Arabia have put some money into this recently, Singapore
1423
01:40:38.399 --> 01:40:40.079
has put some money into this recently.
1424
01:40:40.560 --> 01:40:41.479
But it's still.
1425
01:40:41.319 --> 01:40:45.319
Only a fraction of what a sensible economic argument would
1426
01:40:45.319 --> 01:40:46.560
say should be done.
1427
01:40:46.680 --> 01:40:49.079
And that is the longevity dividend.
1428
01:40:48.760 --> 01:40:52.520
Paradox that although there's a strong economic argument, and you
1429
01:40:52.600 --> 01:40:56.399
heard it also from Dylan, politicians aren't acting on it.
1430
01:40:56.880 --> 01:41:00.720
And the question is why not? And I'm going to
1431
01:41:00.760 --> 01:41:04.399
offer you four reasons which people tell me when I
1432
01:41:04.439 --> 01:41:07.279
talk to them. I'll put them all on this chart,
1433
01:41:07.560 --> 01:41:10.800
and then I'll spend the rest of my presentations analyzing
1434
01:41:10.840 --> 01:41:13.680
these four answers and what, if necessary, can be done
1435
01:41:13.720 --> 01:41:16.199
about them. The first is some people say, this kind
1436
01:41:16.239 --> 01:41:19.000
of thing isn't what governments should do. You know, it
1437
01:41:19.039 --> 01:41:22.520
should be left to vcs and the marvels of the
1438
01:41:22.560 --> 01:41:24.840
free market. There's no need for government to come along
1439
01:41:25.119 --> 01:41:26.600
and put money into this kind.
1440
01:41:26.479 --> 01:41:30.279
Of preventative measures. Other people say, well, there is a paradox,
1441
01:41:30.359 --> 01:41:32.520
but it's a paradox in human nature.
1442
01:41:33.079 --> 01:41:37.520
We humans don't like doing unpleasant things to prevent diseases.
1443
01:41:37.840 --> 01:41:38.880
We just want to keep on.
1444
01:41:40.399 --> 01:41:43.680
Eating ice cream, keeping them on being lazy, and then
1445
01:41:43.720 --> 01:41:47.279
eventually we will stomp up and pay for the cure.
1446
01:41:48.000 --> 01:41:50.159
And this is tied to the argument we often hear
1447
01:41:50.239 --> 01:41:53.039
that big farmer would make no money out of prevention.
1448
01:41:53.239 --> 01:41:55.359
Big farmer just want to make people sick so they
1449
01:41:55.359 --> 01:41:56.720
can treat them when they're sick.
1450
01:41:57.399 --> 01:41:59.920
That's a second argument. I wonder if you would put
1451
01:42:00.039 --> 01:42:02.039
your money on either of these two arguments.
1452
01:42:02.359 --> 01:42:06.760
Argument three is that there's no consensus, and while the
1453
01:42:06.800 --> 01:42:10.600
money should actually be spent, there's so many different things.
1454
01:42:10.640 --> 01:42:12.600
If you ask ever be in this room what you'd
1455
01:42:12.640 --> 01:42:15.239
like government to spend money on, we might all say, yeah,
1456
01:42:15.279 --> 01:42:18.319
spend money on researching longevity. And they'd say what, and
1457
01:42:18.359 --> 01:42:22.520
we'd give them about sixty different answers. So there's a confusion,
1458
01:42:23.279 --> 01:42:26.279
and the final answer is that people say, well, yeah,
1459
01:42:26.319 --> 01:42:29.600
I like your argument. I would like to take the
1460
01:42:29.640 --> 01:42:33.000
advantage of these trillions, but frankly.
1461
01:42:32.680 --> 01:42:33.520
I don't believe it.
1462
01:42:33.960 --> 01:42:36.159
I don't believe that there would be these benefits, but
1463
01:42:36.199 --> 01:42:38.520
I don't believe that you have any idea how to
1464
01:42:38.720 --> 01:42:42.640
make people live significantly longer and healthier. And we had
1465
01:42:42.680 --> 01:42:46.319
it from angle angles take away from ardds. Yeah, we're
1466
01:42:46.359 --> 01:42:48.800
all still going to die. We had it from the
1467
01:42:48.840 --> 01:42:52.119
Longevity Biotech Fellowship that was meeting recently in Valencia.
1468
01:42:52.760 --> 01:42:54.439
There is no proven solution.
1469
01:42:55.359 --> 01:42:58.920
So people say, yeah, it doesn't matter how many zeros
1470
01:42:59.000 --> 01:43:01.800
go after the go in front of the decimal point.
1471
01:43:01.840 --> 01:43:06.039
Whether it's hundreds of millions, hundreds of billions, or trillions
1472
01:43:06.119 --> 01:43:08.199
or tens of trillions, it doesn't matter.
1473
01:43:08.000 --> 01:43:09.399
Because you don't know how to achieve it.
1474
01:43:10.920 --> 01:43:13.199
So it's of these four arguments, would you think is
1475
01:43:13.239 --> 01:43:14.479
the most significant.
1476
01:43:15.199 --> 01:43:19.000
Let's look at argument one. This is complete nonsense.
1477
01:43:19.159 --> 01:43:25.600
Governments do get involved in actions to prevent ill health,
1478
01:43:26.600 --> 01:43:28.239
to prevent accidents.
1479
01:43:28.600 --> 01:43:30.319
For example, they got.
1480
01:43:30.159 --> 01:43:33.159
Involved and they told the car industry in the middle
1481
01:43:33.199 --> 01:43:36.279
of the last century, you should take safety more seriously.
1482
01:43:36.760 --> 01:43:38.840
And the car industry executive said, we don't like to
1483
01:43:38.880 --> 01:43:42.520
talk about safety because people want to buy into the
1484
01:43:42.880 --> 01:43:46.920
fantasy of speed. And eventually the government put through enough
1485
01:43:47.039 --> 01:43:52.399
laws to mandate safety seat belts and crumple zones and
1486
01:43:52.520 --> 01:43:55.159
cars and to mean that when they did have accidents
1487
01:43:55.560 --> 01:44:00.159
there were much less casualties. Far too many people still
1488
01:44:00.199 --> 01:44:02.760
die from that, but it's much less than used to be,
1489
01:44:03.119 --> 01:44:06.239
and there are plenty other examples. Governments got involved in
1490
01:44:06.840 --> 01:44:09.760
banning lead in petrol, which had a
big impact on
1491
01:44:09.840 --> 01:44:14.359
criminality and also on IQ, reducing criminality boosting IQ.
1492
01:44:14.960 --> 01:44:18.159
There was the anti smoking campaign. Why do people live longer.
1493
01:44:17.880 --> 01:44:22.359
Now in twenty twenty five than in nineteen sixty five.
1494
01:44:22.399 --> 01:44:25.000
A lot of it's due to the campaign against smoking.
1495
01:44:25.319 --> 01:44:27.720
A lot of it earlier in the last century was
1496
01:44:27.760 --> 01:44:31.560
due to sanitizing drinking water, insisting in all drinking water
1497
01:44:31.640 --> 01:44:35.199
needed to be properly cleaned before being sent back into
1498
01:44:35.239 --> 01:44:40.920
the system, promoting vaccinations. Many people said, Ooh, it's so unnatural, ooh,
1499
01:44:40.960 --> 01:44:44.960
it's against God's law, and then they accepted the vaccinations
1500
01:44:45.039 --> 01:44:49.760
and it cut again the illness. And earlier there was
1501
01:44:49.920 --> 01:44:53.560
the ensuring that milk was pasteurized rather than coming straight
1502
01:44:53.560 --> 01:44:56.239
from the cow and causing lots of childhood diseases.
1503
01:44:56.880 --> 01:44:59.039
I guess government also get involved.
1504
01:44:59.159 --> 01:45:03.239
In funding rect search into individual diseases, research which no
1505
01:45:04.199 --> 01:45:07.680
private corporation is going to do because it's too far
1506
01:45:07.720 --> 01:45:11.359
away from any commercial returns. This is called a public
1507
01:45:11.399 --> 01:45:14.520
good in the language of economics. So governments do all that,
1508
01:45:14.640 --> 01:45:19.199
but they don't fund guroscience, accept ad a pittance.
1509
01:45:19.760 --> 01:45:20.840
So that's not the answer.
1510
01:45:21.520 --> 01:45:24.039
So let's come to the second possible solution that we
1511
01:45:24.239 --> 01:45:28.319
humans and industry isn't interested in prevention.
1512
01:45:29.720 --> 01:45:30.920
That's bollocks as well.
1513
01:45:31.600 --> 01:45:35.199
Prevention is big business and it's a common lifestyle choice.
1514
01:45:35.239 --> 01:45:40.279
Think about lipidour I have some in my traveling bag
1515
01:45:40.319 --> 01:45:44.000
with me. It's a stat in which laws cholesterol why
1516
01:45:44.119 --> 01:45:49.319
to prevent heart disease and strokes. It's been incredibly successful
1517
01:45:49.479 --> 01:45:53.760
in boosting longevity. It's also being commercially successful for PISA.
1518
01:45:53.880 --> 01:45:58.600
Phisa's lifetime revenue for this is in the hundreds of billions.
1519
01:46:00.000 --> 01:46:02.960
Would certainly like more preventative to treat drugs like this.
1520
01:46:03.479 --> 01:46:07.039
We could talk about fossomax, which is a preventative drug
1521
01:46:07.159 --> 01:46:10.800
to help people who might otherwise have the brittle bones.
1522
01:46:11.680 --> 01:46:17.159
And there are sorry that one's for migrain and there's
1523
01:46:17.199 --> 01:46:20.720
a one to prevent people having brittle bones. And we
1524
01:46:20.960 --> 01:46:24.479
do spend money on prevention. We spend money to go
1525
01:46:24.560 --> 01:46:27.840
to suffer the indignity of having our teeth hygienically cleaned
1526
01:46:27.840 --> 01:46:30.399
and all being told off that we're not cleaning them properly.
1527
01:46:30.800 --> 01:46:33.720
But we endure that because it does help prevent gum
1528
01:46:33.800 --> 01:46:37.479
disease and brain disease. So that's not the answer either.
1529
01:46:38.479 --> 01:46:41.239
So to come up to date, I say people would
1530
01:46:41.399 --> 01:46:45.680
choose health span extension treatments once they are available, rather
1531
01:46:45.720 --> 01:46:48.640
than just being a nice point on a PowerPoint slide,
1532
01:46:49.000 --> 01:46:54.439
and once they're positive, results are evident. So where have
1533
01:46:54.520 --> 01:46:58.800
we reached. I've ruled out these first two solutions, but
1534
01:46:58.920 --> 01:47:02.720
I do think three and for are completely true and
1535
01:47:02.840 --> 01:47:07.119
completely relevant. There is a huge confusion in the longevity
1536
01:47:07.119 --> 01:47:11.840
community about what we would like government to prioritize. And
1537
01:47:11.880 --> 01:47:15.000
I'm going to borrow here from an analysis by Phil
1538
01:47:15.159 --> 01:47:19.520
Newman of Longevity Technology, who says there are ten levels
1539
01:47:19.760 --> 01:47:23.239
in which people talk about longevity. I added an eleventh.
1540
01:47:22.720 --> 01:47:23.399
At the bottom.
1541
01:47:23.960 --> 01:47:26.640
So sometimes when people say we should support longevity, they're
1542
01:47:26.640 --> 01:47:30.880
talking about changing our attitudes towards the elderly, providing mobility,
1543
01:47:30.960 --> 01:47:34.039
scooters and so on. Sometimes it's what we heard in
1544
01:47:34.079 --> 01:47:37.600
the last talk from Angel, the kind of wisdom of
1545
01:47:37.640 --> 01:47:41.159
the ancients, the wisdom of our grandmothers. More recently, there
1546
01:47:41.199 --> 01:47:45.880
are consumer diagnostics, wearable devices that give us more insight
1547
01:47:46.000 --> 01:47:48.680
and that can be very useful. There are also whole
1548
01:47:48.760 --> 01:47:53.279
kinds of longevity supplements which there's more all the time.
1549
01:47:53.600 --> 01:47:56.680
And then further up the stack. This is increasingly important
1550
01:47:56.720 --> 01:48:00.239
and increasing the big business there is a professionalization of
1551
01:48:00.279 --> 01:48:02.479
longevity clinical services.
1552
01:48:03.239 --> 01:48:04.880
And then higher up the stack again.
1553
01:48:04.680 --> 01:48:07.039
You get to what people like Peter or Atia in
1554
01:48:07.119 --> 01:48:10.319
his book Outlive and Eric Topple in his recent book
1555
01:48:10.439 --> 01:48:14.840
Super Ages both talk about, which is treating individual diseases
1556
01:48:14.880 --> 01:48:19.439
of
aging, early detection and prevention of individual diseases of aging,
1557
01:48:19.800 --> 01:48:24.279
and stopping or reversing aging in specific organs or tissues.
1558
01:48:25.039 --> 01:48:29.319
That's interesting absolutely. Then you get to level eight, which
1559
01:48:29.479 --> 01:48:34.439
is the systemic, systematic reversal of aging throughout the whole body,
1560
01:48:34.760 --> 01:48:38.039
in which people become younger again. And I'm not going
1561
01:48:38.119 --> 01:48:40.720
to talk much here about level nine or level ten.
1562
01:48:40.800 --> 01:48:43.520
That's something for another day. And the reason I stopped
1563
01:48:43.520 --> 01:48:46.720
there is I'm now going to be more controversial. It
1564
01:48:46.800 --> 01:48:48.880
is the most controversial thing. I'm going to say we
1565
01:48:48.920 --> 01:48:53.640
should all be concentrating on level eight. Why because that's
1566
01:48:53.760 --> 01:48:55.840
when we're going to have by far the biggest bang
1567
01:48:55.880 --> 01:49:00.199
for the buck. Trying to solve aging in a lower
1568
01:49:00.279 --> 01:49:03.520
levels is only going to produce modest increments. But if
1569
01:49:03.520 --> 01:49:07.399
we do this, we're going to get beyond dual science,
1570
01:49:07.479 --> 01:49:09.560
which is slowing down aging. We're going to go to
1571
01:49:09.680 --> 01:49:13.399
duroscience plus, which is reversing aging. One might even call
1572
01:49:13.479 --> 01:49:17.640
it young jevity rather than longevity, and I might change
1573
01:49:17.680 --> 01:49:20.479
the title of my talk from the Young Jevity Dividend,
1574
01:49:20.560 --> 01:49:24.439
so from the longevity dividend to the young Jevity dividend.
1575
01:49:26.800 --> 01:49:30.199
But where are we there is now the question of evidence,
1576
01:49:30.760 --> 01:49:34.199
and we have a sad situation of what has sometimes
1577
01:49:34.199 --> 01:49:38.199
been called the vicious cycle of unchanging minds. The people
1578
01:49:38.199 --> 01:49:42.640
who control funding, whether it's inside governments, whether it's large
1579
01:49:42.640 --> 01:49:45.039
philanthropic funds, they say, well, I'm.
1580
01:49:44.920 --> 01:49:48.159
Not sure where I should invest because they're.
1581
01:49:47.960 --> 01:49:51.159
Not getting particular pressure from the public to invest in
1582
01:49:51.279 --> 01:49:55.279
specific areas. The public, in turn, aren't getting pressure from
1583
01:49:55.359 --> 01:49:59.439
their thought leaders. The people who've got huge YouTube following,
1584
01:49:59.640 --> 01:50:02.880
or the people who host very popular talk shows. They're
1585
01:50:02.920 --> 01:50:05.520
not giving specific advice, and there in turn are not
1586
01:50:05.680 --> 01:50:11.039
getting clear advice from the actual longevity scientists. If some
1587
01:50:11.079 --> 01:50:14.560
of these podcast leaders were to attend the Longevity Biotech Fellowship,
1588
01:50:14.920 --> 01:50:17.439
they'll come back and say, well, there's nothing happening here,
1589
01:50:17.479 --> 01:50:19.680
is there. Let's go and spend your money. I don't
1590
01:50:19.720 --> 01:50:23.119
know in the developing new flavors of ice cream, or
1591
01:50:23.159 --> 01:50:27.920
developing new vapes for this big business, or finding cleverer
1592
01:50:27.920 --> 01:50:29.720
ways to make people click on ads.
1593
01:50:30.159 --> 01:50:31.800
That's where there's productivity.
1594
01:50:32.079 --> 01:50:35.000
And why aren't the community us here and why aren't
1595
01:50:35.000 --> 01:50:38.479
we more unified? It's because we haven't yet got clear
1596
01:50:38.520 --> 01:50:41.079
evidence that we can point to. And why isn't the
1597
01:50:41.159 --> 01:50:43.000
clear evidence who we can point to. It's because the
1598
01:50:43.039 --> 01:50:47.199
most promising scientific experiments have been starved of funding. And
1599
01:50:47.239 --> 01:50:51.600
you go round this cycle. But we can drive the
1600
01:50:51.600 --> 01:50:54.960
whole cycle in reverse. We can make it the virtuous
1601
01:50:54.960 --> 01:50:59.359
cycle of mind changing if there is sufficient catalyst funding
1602
01:51:00.039 --> 01:51:03.319
and apply it in a particular area that will produce
1603
01:51:03.520 --> 01:51:07.439
quick results. And basically it has to be mice because
1604
01:51:07.479 --> 01:51:11.399
you can demonstrate not just biomarkers are changing, because the
1605
01:51:11.439 --> 01:51:14.560
public are right to be skeptical about biomarkers, because you
1606
01:51:14.600 --> 01:51:18.039
can measure all kinds of biomarkers and get contradictory answers,
1607
01:51:18.359 --> 01:51:20.560
and you can get people who claim their biomarkers have
1608
01:51:20.600 --> 01:51:24.000
gone down because in some aspects they're becoming younger, but
1609
01:51:24.319 --> 01:51:28.119
yet other aspects they're becoming more frail and prone to death.
1610
01:51:28.520 --> 01:51:31.399
So we've got to demonstrate that you can actually keep
1611
01:51:32.239 --> 01:51:35.680
something like a human, a mammal, a mouse, long and
1612
01:51:35.920 --> 01:51:38.520
alive and healthy for much longer than before. And with
1613
01:51:38.720 --> 01:51:42.039
this happens, more of the rest of the longevity community
1614
01:51:42.279 --> 01:51:44.359
are going to get off their skepticism. They're not going
1615
01:51:44.399 --> 01:51:46.960
to be afraid to say, actually, it's happening, and it
1616
01:51:47.000 --> 01:51:50.279
could happen quickly. That's going to change their minds of
1617
01:51:50.399 --> 01:51:54.760
the strong influencers and society, the people with large YouTube followings.
1618
01:51:55.199 --> 01:51:57.920
That in turn is going to cause members of the
1619
01:51:57.960 --> 01:52:01.239
general public to suddenly say, yeah, we had a war
1620
01:52:01.279 --> 01:52:06.199
against COVID, we need a war against aging. It is
1621
01:52:06.479 --> 01:52:10.920
abominable that my parents, my grandparents are getting old and weak.
1622
01:52:11.560 --> 01:52:13.439
We should be doing more to support them.
1623
01:52:13.479 --> 01:52:15.760
There are things we can do to support them, and
1624
01:52:15.800 --> 01:52:18.680
that's gonna make politicians wake up, and that's gonna drive
1625
01:52:18.800 --> 01:52:23.800
more funds around this cycle. Now, you may say this
1626
01:52:23.840 --> 01:52:26.600
looks a bit simple. You may say this looks a
1627
01:52:26.640 --> 01:52:31.199
bit naive, and I agree. So I have a larger
1628
01:52:31.279 --> 01:52:33.920
version of this chart which would take me twenty minutes
1629
01:52:33.960 --> 01:52:36.520
to explain. But don't worry, I'm not gonna walk you
1630
01:52:36.560 --> 01:52:40.159
through it. But basically, it builds in phases there's a
1631
01:52:40.239 --> 01:52:43.720
kind of a longevity escape velocity aspect to this too.
1632
01:52:43.800 --> 01:52:46.359
You get to a certain velocity and that brings in
1633
01:52:46.399 --> 01:52:50.439
more funding, which builds even higher the points I will
1634
01:52:50.640 --> 01:52:54.960
address at the very bottom there. Robust must rejuvenation two
1635
01:52:55.760 --> 01:52:58.159
is the experiment I think will make the big difference,
1636
01:52:58.359 --> 01:53:01.199
And when we go round that cycle times we will
1637
01:53:01.239 --> 01:53:05.000
get not just mouse rejuvenated, we will get humans rejuvenated,
1638
01:53:05.079 --> 01:53:06.479
robust human rejuvenation.
1639
01:53:07.159 --> 01:53:09.439
We will get the longevity escape velocity.
1640
01:53:09.560 --> 01:53:15.439
We will get aging solved for everybody with a huge
1641
01:53:15.479 --> 01:53:19.920
economic benefit, perhaps by twenty forty or perhaps by twenty
1642
01:53:19.960 --> 01:53:23.079
thirty five. But there still is an Achilles here Hill.
1643
01:53:23.560 --> 01:53:26.960
We need to get this thing started, and until recently
1644
01:53:27.520 --> 01:53:29.840
that would have been the end of my talk, but
1645
01:53:29.960 --> 01:53:31.920
I do need to tell you that in the last
1646
01:53:31.920 --> 01:53:36.000
few months LVF, the Longevity Escape Velocity, has now got
1647
01:53:36.039 --> 01:53:40.840
funding to keep us going due to remarkable actions by
1648
01:53:40.880 --> 01:53:44.239
the decentralized science community. Aubrey de Great talked a bit
1649
01:53:44.239 --> 01:53:46.520
about this this morning, but it's such an important piece
1650
01:53:46.520 --> 01:53:48.680
of news I just want to talk you through it again.
1651
01:53:49.039 --> 01:53:51.800
There's an agent which is called Aubry.
1652
01:53:52.479 --> 01:53:56.159
It's built on AI by a combination of LVF and
1653
01:53:56.239 --> 01:54:00.560
two of the most significant and important organized in the
1654
01:54:00.600 --> 01:54:04.159
decentralized science space, Vita Dow and bio Protocol.
1655
01:54:04.439 --> 01:54:05.840
It's been specially.
1656
01:54:05.399 --> 01:54:11.920
Trained on Aubrey Degrade's insights, his podcast appearances, his YouTube appearances,
1657
01:54:12.279 --> 01:54:16.439
his books and publications, and it is tied very importantly
1658
01:54:16.520 --> 01:54:20.800
to decentralized science funding, such that when people buy or
1659
01:54:20.960 --> 01:54:24.079
sell these tokens. First of all, we've already had half
1660
01:54:24.119 --> 01:54:28.640
a million allocated to us which have got our pilots running,
1661
01:54:28.640 --> 01:54:31.920
and every time there's an exchange there is zero point
1662
01:54:32.000 --> 01:54:35.720
seven percent which is allocated for extensions. Why do people
1663
01:54:35.800 --> 01:54:39.359
buy these tokens in part because it gives them access
1664
01:54:39.560 --> 01:54:42.960
to their agent at a deeper level. It allows them
1665
01:54:42.960 --> 01:54:46.239
to take part in conversations about the future of this project.
1666
01:54:46.560 --> 01:54:50.640
It shows their support for LVF, and it also shows
1667
01:54:50.840 --> 01:54:54.159
that they are want to being involved in creating Young
1668
01:54:54.239 --> 01:54:55.079
Jevity science.
1669
01:54:55.720 --> 01:54:58.199
So that's my talk. It is the.
1670
01:54:58.199 --> 01:55:03.079
Young Jevity dividend is within grasp via support for RMR two.
1671
01:55:03.760 --> 01:55:05.960
And if you're still not convinced, I can point you
1672
01:55:06.000 --> 01:55:08.720
to an article I wrote in the mind Plex magazine
1673
01:55:08.720 --> 01:55:10.600
recently which goes to the.
1674
01:55:10.520 --> 01:55:14.560
Whole lot in more detail. And that article is called
1675
01:55:14.560 --> 01:55:18.520
ten Ways to help Accelerate the End of Aging. Thank
1676
01:55:18.560 --> 01:55:19.159
you very much.
1677
01:55:24.720 --> 01:55:29.800
I forgot to say I like to joke about David
1678
01:55:29.880 --> 01:55:35.199
and you saw this fantastic presentation, really beautiful that he
1679
01:55:35.439 --> 01:55:40.520
studied in Cambridge, England. I studied in Cambridge, Massachusetts. But
1680
01:55:40.720 --> 01:55:43.600
also look at our ties. He has the tie with
1681
01:55:43.640 --> 01:55:45.840
the book in the Spanish and you have the tie
1682
01:55:45.840 --> 01:55:48.840
with the book in English, so we have different ties
1683
01:55:48.880 --> 01:55:52.479
for different audiences. So we are very proud to be
1684
01:55:52.520 --> 01:56:03.119
promoting this internationally.