النص 🔗
WEBVTT
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Welcome, welcome, welcome, welcome, welcome.
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If you're watching on YouTube or Twitter, you'd like to chat, you can just chat now.
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It's so awesome how that works.
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Okay.
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It's a big day today.
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It is going to be a big day today.
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It's going to be a big stream.
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We have a lot to talk about and cover first and foremost.
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I mean, look, we've been pretty bullish.
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The pit.
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I'm just gonna keep it a stack.
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I I've been a I don't want to come here and be like, I've, you know, been the bull, the resident bull, because there have been people that have been more bullish than me.
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But I mean, I I'm pretty proud of how we've played this.
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I feel like we've filmed a stream every single day and repeated the same.
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There's nothing difficult about this spot.
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Fuck your rate hikes, fuck oil prices.
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There's nothing difficult about this spot.
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We've said it over and over and over again.
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And we've basically looked, there's been this level, which is 82k and some change that once broken invalidates the last four-year cycle, the last bear, the last leg down type of poster.
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And my proof of that is the res like the leader of the bears, Benjamin Cowan.
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Cohen Cowan just hit this.
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I was wrong, not gonna make excuses.
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I deserve to be dunked on.
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That is a crazy post from Mr.
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Ben because he, in my opinion, he sort of represented the Bears.
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Okay.
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Pump it so hard, Leia Halprin starts buying again.
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You got by the way, you I'm not saying this as a dunk.
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You've got to respect Ben.
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He's one of the best.
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He's one of the best, he's one of the sharpest.
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And I think he's traded Bitcoin over the last decade better than basically anyone.
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And so this is not a dunk post at all.
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This is more so a validation post, which is that there's basically this level that once broken, it could get wiki to the upside.
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It could get wiki, wick, wick, wick, wick, wiki to the upside.
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There's all this money that's sort of waiting for the guaranteed Q4 bottom, and their only invalidation to the guaranteed Q4 bottom is a rip above 82.
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And so all of a sudden we find ourselves in a fascinating spot.
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85250 on BTC.
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Zach is 1544.
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Venice, which I started buying on Friday at 26, has just candled and completely ripped.
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Even pump is up, ETH is broke 27.5, hyper liquid 95.
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ATH about hit 100.
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Souls 116.
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All of this while gold is down 0.3 and rates are down across the board.
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It's a wild, wild, wild stream.
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All right.
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Um, it was a I don't know.
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It was a pretty eventful weekend.
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First of all, football this weekend, amazing.
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LSU Old Miss was one of the greatest sports events ever.
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I'm just gonna be honest.
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I've uh maybe the most excited I've ever been for a sports event of all time.
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Quick recap if you don't know the lore.
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Lane Kiffin, legendary coach, he's the coach for Ole Miss.
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They have their best season in history.
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They get to the college football playoff, they win the first game.
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Due to the way recruiting works, if you wanted to switch schools and start recruiting, you basically have to leave in the middle of your season.
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He leaves Ole Miss in the college football semifinals.
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No, quarterfinals.
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In the college ball quarterfinals, he leaves the team to go to LSU and start recruiting.
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They lose.
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All the best players stay.
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LSU has an infinite budget.
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They're buying all these players, they're controversial, they're buying NFL players.
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Next season, this season, LSU goes to Ole Miss to play.
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70,000 people, sold-out crowd for three hours.
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They're chanting.
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Fuck Lane Kevin, fuck Lane Kevin.
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They have the biggest LSU Lane Kiffin, the biggest NIL budget in the history of college football.
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They have all this controversy.
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They have all these NFL players, and they go to Ole Miss against his old quarterback and his old running back, and they fucking lose.
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They lose.
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Beats him, bro.
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They're it was
Load full transcript
insane.
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They stormed the field.
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They got the goalpost in the lake.
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It was it was insane, bro.
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One of the fucking best sports events I've ever watched in my genuinely in my entire life.
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In my entire life.
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Okay, we had sort of a generational lineup this weekend of late stage capitalism top signals.
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I actually don't have that many takes on these moments other than just playing it.
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The first is John Summit DJ'd a rave in the New York Stock Exchange.
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Okay, I'm gonna be honest.
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On this one, this is kind of tough.
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This one's kind of tough.
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But this is the type of shit you see that the the morning before spy wicks down 40%, but this is tough.
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I I'm low-key, I was hating at first.
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I kind of was just salty, I wasn't there, but this is the type of shit you see on Friday night before Black Monday.
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Okay, that's number one.
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This one I don't think is that bad.
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Second is our beloved Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent.
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Scott, I am the house.
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Bessent.
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Scott, you listen to me.
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Bessent proudly welcomed Jake Paul to the Treasury Department today.
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Jake's path from content creator to entrepreneur and professional boxer is distinctly an American story.
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Honestly, Jake Paul, you gotta get the guy.
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Jake Paul's like one of the best venture capitalists in the last decade.
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I don't know if everyone's aware of this, but he might be the best venture capitalist of the last decade, Jake Paul, just for the record.
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So it's a little bit akin to having Mark Andreessen visit the Treasury, and from that perspective, it's not that big of a deal.
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However, it being Jake Paul makes you think maybe yields are or too are too low.
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Okay, that's the second one that we saw.
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The third one, and this okay, so we went uh 10.7 million views, 9.9 million views.
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This one has 46.8 million views, also came out this weekend.
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We just got the pleasure and the privilege of getting a tour of the Pentagon, and uh what a what a cool experience.
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We see all the men and women here who are serving this great nation.
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I don't think there is any greater commitment to sacrifice than those who are willing to live, die, and fight for their country.
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So I think it's you guys who etch your names in history as you fight for and allow us in this country to have that freedom where we can as a guy who maybe needs to let the hair go, he needs to let it go.
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I'm not gonna lie.
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Prosper and be happy and be the great nation that we are.
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So a deep personal thank you from myself, my brother, and uh all of our fellow Americans.
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Each one of you matters.
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Take this moment and be proud of yourselves for what you do.
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This is the greatest country in the world.
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They do live in PR.
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Truly, we are blessed to be born here or come here, and we should never take that for granted.
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That's what God created us for is to lift each other up in the hard moments, to be there for each other in the hard moments, and to come together as a This is 47 million views.
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Collective and fight for good.
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That's why this country was formed.
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We should never forget that.
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Jake Paul, Logan Paul, and Pete Heggseth is a unbelievable link.
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Um, yeah.
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So that is what was all over my timeline this weekend.
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I'm gonna be honest, I don't have any takes on it.
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The one thing I'll say though about Jake Paul is I fuck with the return of the like patriotic influencer.
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I like it.
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He's like a real like I'm now he doesn't even live, he lives in in PR, but he's a real like Erican influencer.
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Okay, he is, he's a real like rock the flag influencer, you know?
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Like come out to the boxing match with a flag around his shoulders and lose to Anthony Joshua.
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But here's what I will say is you watch this, Besson and Jake Paul linking with Logan Paul in the Department of War, linking with John's summit in the New York Stock Exchange, followed by the committee hearing with Scott Bessent with five hecklers, and every senator is like 87 years old, and not a single one of them knows what Bitcoin is and has no idea what is going on.
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They can't speak, they are not articulate, and they are ancient humans.
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Nothing against the elderly.
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I just I don't have any problem with the elderly.
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I love the elderly.
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I just have a problem with our country being run by the
elderly.
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And you see the culmination of these things all over the last week, and then you look at the Bitcoin chart, and it's up 5% on the daily, and you say to yourself, yeah, that makes sense.
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I get it.
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I get it.
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I get why you would want to own Bitcoin.
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I get why you would want to own book, why you would own Bitcoin.
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Why you would why you would look around at the at the board with fresh eyes, and you would say to yourself, 5% of my portfolio belongs in in Bitcoin.
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It does.
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You just I just you look at the board, you look at what's what's going on, you look at yield prices, you look at who's in charge, you look at who's popular, and you say, Yeah, you know what?
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I get it.
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So as a guy who has no Bitcoin, I understand why you have it, and you should understand why I hold Zcash as leverage Bitcoin as a hedge against capitalism in America.
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So, anyways, those are my top signal segments.
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Okay, one other thing that happened this weekend that was super viral until we talk about the market, which I have a lot to talk about.
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Is there was a post that came out from the Corgi Cafe, which by the way, I don't exactly know what's going on there, but I usually have a decent radar for something is fucking off.
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And I was pretty early to this one for the record on the Corgi Cafe.
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But by the way, 80 85 4.
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This postman's super viral.
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Okay, wrote out a list of who I'm looking for.
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X, work your magic, non-negotiable 35 to 42, healthy, masculine, smart, funny, lighthearted, provider/slash protector mentality, post economic parentheses, still hardworking, must be kind, generous, thoughtful, no kids yet, decidedly wants kids on the healing path.
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Serious history of serious commitment, ex-therapists, books, and retreats.
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Um, can meet anywhere, but will not date unless live in the same city, fit and sober because you care about your health.
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Strongly preferred, no previous marriages, no engagements, works in tech.
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Okay, this was the important topic of the day on this topic right here, post-economic.
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Because by the way, this is me except for the 35.
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I brought up this debate of post-economic.
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Okay, somebody asked, somebody quoted and said, What does post-economic mean?
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And it was followed by a flurry of commentary
on what it means to be post-economic.
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And it was led by one city adjacent tweet.
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City Sweeting launches an OnlyFans competitor.
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She's instantly the world's richest woman.
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J.
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Cal, what the fuck are you doing?
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Followed by a bunch of discussions about Drake Steak, LeBron Polymarket, Tom Brady fan duel, and this base 16Z tweet.
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By the way, shout out Polymarket, that I think sums it up pretty well.
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Post economic is jumbo shrimp.
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Billionaires are taking money for gambling ads or spending on EA propaganda.
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The foundational ethic is now economic at any scale.
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I don't know if it's always been the case.
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This is what I've been trying to figure out.
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If this has always been a societal case where it no matter how much money you have, like if you're a billionaire, you are still taking the deal, like no matter what.
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Like you are you're still going for it no matter what.
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But I am totally on board with this take that in 2026, post-economic is just like not a thing.
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And the only way to be post-economic is to just stop and opt out.
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Because you look at Drake, you look at Drake streaming slots on kick, and then you think to yourself, like, yeah, there is no, there's no, there's no number for any for any of these people.
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They're actually there, there's just no number.
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And so I I don't know.
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I I have I I've been unable to find any cultural commentary on this.
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Either way, you say actually today has got to be historically lower number than the past.
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I was unable to find any cultural commentary on this, but it feels like right now it is the most in your face it has ever been.
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And there is just no, there's no, there's no end, there's no stop.
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So, anyways, expect a basic scene Z article on post-economic, and I guess you gotta get there now to get married.
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You gotta show down OF.
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OF is vehemently topped in the US, by the way.
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100,000 OF is done.
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It's topped.
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Get for I think I think turbo perma top on gambling streams and OF.
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It's topped.
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Gambling streams are super topped slot streams.
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It's not gonna be this rapid crash downfall, but they are super, super, super, super, super, super topped.
00:13:14.720 --> 00:13:17.679
So stock market open opens in 15 seconds.
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As always, stock market open is powered by Phantom Wall.
00:13:20.080 --> 00:13:21.600
It's powered by 50% you see during this segment.
00:13:21.679 --> 00:13:24.399
Anything you want to trade, buy, sell, make money, and lose money on.
00:13:24.480 --> 00:13:28.320
If you can trade it, you can trade it on Phantom.
00:13:28.399 --> 00:13:30.879
It is Monday 9 30 a.m.
00:13:31.200 --> 00:13:34.399
and the stock market is official.
00:13:35.519 --> 00:13:41.600
Oh let's go, let's go, let's have a good day.
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Let's have a good day.
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Let's have a good fucking day.
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First and foremost, SPX opens up 0.6 percentage points.
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What's good, big lefty?
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NASDAQ 100 opens up 0.72%.
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Oh my god, where's hood?
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Oh my god, oh my god, oh my god, oh my god, oh my god, oh my god, oh my god, hood, hood, hood.
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Wow, five percent for hood.
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Um, photonic CTF up two, neo clouds are up one, spy point six five, Q's up one, soxel up seven, IGV up one, mag's up one, DRM up three, and the IBB up 0.45, Bitcoin in the open 85, putting in the green candle, Zek 1544.
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I'm very curious about Bitcoin ETF inflows today.
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Should be pretty good, pretty good.
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VVD almost 33, ETH 27, lighter's up five, pumps up four, per data is up two, silver up 0.37, yields are all down, led by the 10 year down 0.74.
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ETF inflows like end of day.
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Gold is down on the daily 0.4.
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That's nuts.
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Crypto stocks, circle's up eight, bmnr is up seven, coinbase is up five, hood is up four, ibkr two, crypto, crypto, crypto, crypto.
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There's one more crypto stock.
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What is it?
00:14:56.639 --> 00:14:57.039
What is it?
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Is there?
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Oh, MSTR is where's MSTR?
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Fuck.
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Wow.
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Nine percent.
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Nine percent for MSTR.
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Look at this chart.
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How is the chart actually?
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Ugh.
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You know, MSTR above 194 and it starts to get pretty nasty.
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All right, where's meta?
00:15:18.240 --> 00:15:19.440
Oh my god, is meta ripping?
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I want I've been saying I want to buy meta so bad.
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Oh my god.
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700.
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Ow.
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I've been fucking screaming about meta.
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I didn't buy any, I bought Venice instead.
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It just traded well.
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Look at this.
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Look at this.
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Oh my lord.
00:15:31.440 --> 00:15:31.919
D nap.
00:15:32.320 --> 00:15:34.080
Oh, I love meta so much.
00:15:34.159 --> 00:15:35.200
I've been screaming it.
00:15:35.440 --> 00:15:36.720
I've been screaming it.
00:15:36.879 --> 00:15:37.840
I've been screaming it.
00:15:37.919 --> 00:15:38.720
I've been screaming it.
00:15:38.799 --> 00:15:42.240
Arms up eight, Intel's up eight, red wire's up eight.
00:15:42.639 --> 00:15:43.600
Hype 95.
00:15:43.679 --> 00:15:44.799
Is this real life lol?
00:15:45.039 --> 00:15:46.879
Flood, my bye.
00:15:48.399 --> 00:15:50.799
Meta 697.
00:15:51.120 --> 00:15:51.679
Why meta?
00:15:52.000 --> 00:15:55.360
Because they just released Muse and it is fucking incredible, bro.
00:15:55.440 --> 00:15:56.240
It is so good.
00:15:56.480 --> 00:15:58.399
Flood, race you to eight figs, by the way.
00:15:58.559 --> 00:16:00.159
Race you to eight figs, my boy.
00:16:00.240 --> 00:16:02.000
On the public perps account, dude.
00:16:02.080 --> 00:16:02.879
It's so good.
00:16:03.120 --> 00:16:03.919
It's just so good.
00:16:04.240 --> 00:16:05.120
Did he gift, by the way?
00:16:05.200 --> 00:16:06.240
I can't see anymore.
00:16:06.399 --> 00:16:07.120
No, he didn't.
00:16:07.279 --> 00:16:07.759
Sorry.
00:16:07.919 --> 00:16:08.960
Um, it's so good.
00:16:09.120 --> 00:16:10.399
Meta's up, wow, look at that.
00:16:10.480 --> 00:16:11.679
It's about to hit 700.
00:16:11.840 --> 00:16:14.320
Highest it's been since February.
00:16:14.480 --> 00:16:15.440
Have you used Moose?
00:16:15.679 --> 00:16:20.080
I used Instinct, and I just took a guess that they're basically the same.
00:16:20.240 --> 00:16:22.000
I'll talk about it in a couple minutes.
00:16:22.159 --> 00:16:23.360
Um, let's keep going though.
00:16:23.519 --> 00:16:26.080
Meta officially hit$700.
00:16:26.639 --> 00:16:40.320
AMD's up five, Rocket Line's up six, ASH is up five, Dell's two, Bloom two, Micron back above a thousand, BlackBerry up three, Tesla's up three, Cerebras is up four, SpaceX 155, IBM's up 1.5, Amazon's up one.
00:16:40.720 --> 00:16:41.679
What's red even?
00:16:41.759 --> 00:16:46.240
Apple's down 0.5, Broadcom is down one, Nvidia's up 0.2.
00:16:46.639 --> 00:16:50.159
I am so excited for the new iPhone, by the way.
00:16:50.240 --> 00:16:51.279
I don't even know what to say.
00:16:51.440 --> 00:16:52.960
I'm so excited for the new iPhone.
00:16:53.120 --> 00:16:54.159
Checking back in.
00:16:54.399 --> 00:16:56.720
Zach is 1545.
00:16:57.440 --> 00:17:00.480
Bitcoin holding 85 on the open.
00:17:00.559 --> 00:17:02.000
No, uh, the duo, brother.
00:17:02.080 --> 00:17:03.200
I'm not buying the regular iPhone.
00:17:03.360 --> 00:17:05.680
MS TR 10.10.
00:17:05.759 --> 00:17:07.359
Circle losing it a little bit.
00:17:07.519 --> 00:17:09.200
Let's check in on altcoin.
00:17:09.279 --> 00:17:10.640
Oh, oh, I forgot Warren Oil.
00:17:10.720 --> 00:17:11.039
My bad.
00:17:11.119 --> 00:17:12.400
Brent is 101.
00:17:12.640 --> 00:17:13.519
Never a long.
00:17:13.759 --> 00:17:14.640
Down 2.5.
00:17:14.720 --> 00:17:17.680
Crude's down 3.5.
00:17:18.319 --> 00:17:19.680
Um defense.
00:17:19.759 --> 00:17:21.680
Pounders up 0.3, Raytheon's up 0.25.
00:17:21.839 --> 00:17:22.559
Northrop down.
00:17:22.720 --> 00:17:24.000
Lockheed down.
00:17:24.240 --> 00:17:24.880
Beautiful.
00:17:25.039 --> 00:17:25.440
Beautiful.
00:17:25.680 --> 00:17:27.119
Spy now up 0.63.
00:17:27.359 --> 00:17:28.480
NASDAQ up 0.72.
00:17:28.640 --> 00:17:29.440
Q's still up one.
00:17:29.599 --> 00:17:30.799
Socks will 5.5.
00:17:31.200 --> 00:17:33.519
Losing it a little bit, but pretty good open.
00:17:33.680 --> 00:17:34.640
Pretty strong open.
00:17:34.720 --> 00:17:35.759
Led by really meta.
00:17:36.319 --> 00:17:37.039
All coins.
00:17:37.279 --> 00:17:38.400
This is a problem.
00:17:38.640 --> 00:17:43.599
Uh the biggest gainer is kinetic, followed by suey, plasma, and say.
00:17:44.160 --> 00:17:44.799
Please stop.
00:17:45.519 --> 00:17:46.799
Please, please, please stop.
00:17:46.960 --> 00:17:47.519
Please stop.
00:17:47.680 --> 00:17:48.240
Wait, this.
00:17:48.799 --> 00:17:50.880
Please close your suey longs, brother.
00:17:51.119 --> 00:17:52.240
Please close.
00:17:52.480 --> 00:17:54.240
Please close plasma longs.
00:17:54.400 --> 00:17:54.880
Please.
00:17:55.039 --> 00:17:56.720
Please close say longs.
00:17:57.200 --> 00:17:58.720
Close your towel longs.
00:17:59.359 --> 00:18:00.079
Please.
00:18:00.559 --> 00:18:01.839
Uh's up 12.
00:18:02.000 --> 00:18:02.480
So beautiful.
00:18:02.640 --> 00:18:03.519
Farcoin's up eight.
00:18:03.599 --> 00:18:04.400
Doge is up seven.
00:18:04.480 --> 00:18:05.359
Ave's up seven.
00:18:05.599 --> 00:18:06.880
Air chain's up seven.
00:18:07.119 --> 00:18:08.160
Share your wall again.
00:18:08.240 --> 00:18:08.880
Can't, brother.
00:18:08.960 --> 00:18:09.440
That was it.
00:18:09.599 --> 00:18:10.559
Penguin's up five.
00:18:10.640 --> 00:18:11.359
Grass up four.
00:18:11.440 --> 00:18:12.000
Pump up four.
00:18:12.079 --> 00:18:13.440
Monet up 3.5.
00:18:13.920 --> 00:18:16.000
Uh Gito's up two.
00:18:16.240 --> 00:18:17.359
Jupiter's up 1.8.
00:18:17.519 --> 00:18:18.720
Nier is flat.
00:18:18.960 --> 00:18:21.599
And Pancake is red.
00:18:21.920 --> 00:18:23.279
I have to add Avax.
00:18:23.359 --> 00:18:23.839
My bad.
00:18:24.079 --> 00:18:26.160
Avax isn't even on the fucking list, bro.
00:18:26.240 --> 00:18:26.960
It's red.
00:18:27.119 --> 00:18:27.519
Classic.
00:18:27.680 --> 00:18:28.720
Publicly flaunting your wallet.
00:18:29.279 --> 00:18:29.440
Karma.
00:18:29.599 --> 00:18:30.079
No, no, no.
00:18:30.319 --> 00:18:33.039
Publicly updating my positions, brother, which I've done since day one.
00:18:33.119 --> 00:18:35.920
I was doing it when it was minus 250k in my purpose account.
00:18:36.079 --> 00:18:37.519
Publicly updating my positions.
00:18:37.680 --> 00:18:38.480
Is what I'm doing.
00:18:38.559 --> 00:18:39.440
On that bullshit.
00:18:39.599 --> 00:18:40.559
The run is coming.
00:18:40.799 --> 00:18:41.519
Let me long.
00:18:42.000 --> 00:18:44.240
Sue say injective and sonic.
00:18:44.319 --> 00:18:44.880
Oh my god.
00:18:45.039 --> 00:18:46.000
I forgot about Sonic.
00:18:46.079 --> 00:18:47.440
I don't even have injective either.
00:18:47.519 --> 00:18:48.240
He must be new here.
00:18:48.319 --> 00:18:48.799
I know.
00:18:49.039 --> 00:18:52.240
I posted every trade I've done publicly for the last like two years.
00:18:52.559 --> 00:18:53.599
Injective, bro.
00:18:53.759 --> 00:18:55.119
Let's ease off the poor cope.
00:18:55.279 --> 00:18:56.640
It's fucking nuts.
00:18:56.880 --> 00:18:57.920
Alright, on-chain.
00:18:58.000 --> 00:18:58.640
What do we got?
00:18:58.799 --> 00:19:00.079
Poor cope is insane.
00:19:00.240 --> 00:19:02.319
Alright, FWA, by the way, looks nuts.
00:19:02.480 --> 00:19:03.119
Big lefty.
00:19:03.279 --> 00:19:04.240
We run in the back.
00:19:04.480 --> 00:19:07.039
18 mil neat 35.
00:19:07.519 --> 00:19:09.680
Marscoin 104.
00:19:10.000 --> 00:19:12.160
Zcat 115.
00:19:12.319 --> 00:19:13.200
Like this is the problem.
00:19:13.279 --> 00:19:14.000
It should just flatten.
00:19:14.160 --> 00:19:16.079
Zcash is just like ripping out.
00:19:16.480 --> 00:19:18.160
Where does Thrego get his suits from?
00:19:18.319 --> 00:19:20.880
Wouldn't you like whatn't you like to know, huh?
00:19:20.960 --> 00:19:22.160
My hyperliquid green.
00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:24.640
Wouldn't you like to know where I get my suits from?
00:19:26.240 --> 00:19:27.920
Wouldn't you like to know?
00:19:28.559 --> 00:19:30.799
Stonk is ATH.
00:19:30.880 --> 00:19:32.480
I sold it, but looks sick.
00:19:32.960 --> 00:19:34.559
Um, it actually does look sick.
00:19:34.640 --> 00:19:36.000
Uh I can't lie.
00:19:36.160 --> 00:19:37.839
Shout out to Asian shout out, shout out to Razmer.
00:19:38.160 --> 00:19:39.200
Big Raz on this one.
00:19:39.359 --> 00:19:40.880
AI coin 260.
00:19:41.359 --> 00:19:43.680
Lao is 110.
00:19:44.240 --> 00:19:44.960
Handsome.
00:19:45.680 --> 00:19:47.759
The fabled bull pattern is playing out pretty well.
00:19:48.400 --> 00:19:48.799
By the way.
00:19:49.279 --> 00:19:50.400
Why did you close your hype long?
00:19:50.480 --> 00:19:50.880
Who's that to?
00:19:50.960 --> 00:19:51.279
Look at this.
00:19:51.359 --> 00:19:51.759
The fabled bull.
00:19:52.240 --> 00:19:53.200
Bull pattern looks decent.
00:19:53.519 --> 00:19:54.160
Cash cat.
00:19:54.559 --> 00:19:56.079
Check Chris Camilla tweet.
00:20:06.319 --> 00:20:07.440
Oh, it's so good.
00:20:07.680 --> 00:20:08.480
Am I late?
00:20:08.799 --> 00:20:09.519
Oh my god.
00:20:09.680 --> 00:20:10.240
Am I late?
00:20:10.319 --> 00:20:11.519
I can't believe I didn't long it.
00:20:11.599 --> 00:20:14.160
I actually can this is gonna drive me fucking nuts.
00:20:14.400 --> 00:20:15.279
Am I late?
00:20:15.519 --> 00:20:16.319
Oh my god.
00:20:16.400 --> 00:20:17.359
This is gonna drive me in.
00:20:17.759 --> 00:20:19.279
This is just gonna drive me nuts.
00:20:19.519 --> 00:20:22.000
This is going to drive me fucking nuts.
00:20:22.240 --> 00:20:23.039
This coin.
00:20:23.200 --> 00:20:24.079
Oh my god.
00:20:24.240 --> 00:20:26.000
This is going to drive me insane.
00:20:26.079 --> 00:20:28.160
And I have to just like rage by it.
00:20:28.559 --> 00:20:30.079
This is gonna drive me nuts.
00:20:30.400 --> 00:20:32.000
Oh my god, dude.
00:20:32.160 --> 00:20:33.440
It's gonna drive me nuts.
00:20:33.599 --> 00:20:35.279
Cash count 184.
00:20:35.440 --> 00:20:36.480
What else matters?
00:20:36.559 --> 00:20:39.920
Do we care about boner 51?
00:20:40.240 --> 00:20:41.359
Not bad.
00:20:41.839 --> 00:20:44.480
Index is 32.
00:20:44.799 --> 00:20:45.279
What else?
00:20:45.359 --> 00:20:46.319
Anything else we care about?
00:20:46.559 --> 00:20:47.119
Useless.
00:20:47.599 --> 00:20:48.559
280.
00:20:48.720 --> 00:20:51.039
Uh I am was it I'm I'm B.
00:20:51.200 --> 00:20:51.920
I am D.
00:20:52.000 --> 00:20:52.559
What's the coin?
00:20:52.640 --> 00:20:53.359
I don't even know.
00:20:53.519 --> 00:20:54.480
Oh, this?
00:20:54.880 --> 00:20:55.200
Oh.
00:20:55.519 --> 00:20:58.240
Is this the uh Adam coin or no?
00:20:58.400 --> 00:20:59.200
That's nuts.
00:20:59.359 --> 00:21:05.440
All right, like a week ago, I heard about um like a week ago, I heard about instinct for the first time.
00:21:05.680 --> 00:21:06.720
Okay, I'm gonna be honest.
00:21:06.799 --> 00:21:13.279
I heard about instinct for the first time, and I haven't been like I had an open claw, I still use open claw, I was pretty fired up about it.
00:21:13.519 --> 00:21:19.759
And I haven't really been on top of the ball of these like agent harness type of things because I don't know.
00:21:19.839 --> 00:21:23.440
Uh Bible claw is like good, but it's not that to be fair, it's not that useful.
00:21:23.519 --> 00:21:24.400
It's good at a couple things.
00:21:24.480 --> 00:21:26.000
I don't really use it that much, not that useful.
00:21:26.079 --> 00:21:30.000
And so somebody was telling me about instinct a couple days ago, uh, maybe a week and a half ago.
00:21:30.160 --> 00:21:39.599
Sent me invite code, I downloaded it, and it's basically your agent that you can connect to anything natively through your phone and you talk to it via text.
00:21:39.839 --> 00:21:46.000
And so I did one thing with it that was just like I don't know, I ordered this like product online two weeks ago or something.
00:21:46.079 --> 00:21:47.279
I ordered some product, right?
00:21:47.440 --> 00:21:48.240
And it never came.
00:21:48.400 --> 00:21:52.000
And I couldn't find the email because I forgot the name of the company.
00:21:52.079 --> 00:21:54.799
So I couldn't find the email to even see if I had ordered it.
00:21:54.960 --> 00:21:58.720
And so I messaged my instinct and I was like, yo, can you I order this thing?
00:21:58.799 --> 00:21:59.839
I forgot I don't even know what it's called.
00:22:00.240 --> 00:22:01.359
I forget the company name.
00:22:01.599 --> 00:22:03.759
Can you go find it and like deal with it?
00:22:03.839 --> 00:22:04.640
And it goes, okay.
00:22:04.799 --> 00:22:07.599
So in 30 seconds it comes back to me and it's like, okay, found it.
00:22:07.759 --> 00:22:08.720
They printed the label.
00:22:08.880 --> 00:22:09.519
You did buy it.
00:22:09.599 --> 00:22:10.240
You did pay for it.
00:22:10.319 --> 00:22:11.039
Here's your order number.
00:22:11.119 --> 00:22:15.119
They printed the label, they sent it to the to the U USPS, but it never got picked up.
00:22:15.200 --> 00:22:17.200
It's like stuck at USPS in this location.
00:22:17.279 --> 00:22:18.240
And it's been like two weeks.
00:22:18.319 --> 00:22:19.119
It's been too long.
00:22:19.359 --> 00:22:23.839
Would you like me to draft a complaint email to get you a refund and remind them to send it?
00:22:24.000 --> 00:22:24.880
And I'm like, yes.
00:22:25.039 --> 00:22:31.039
So in 30 seconds it comes back and it's like, um, subject order number 1797666.
00:22:31.119 --> 00:22:32.480
And then it wrote the whole message.
00:22:32.640 --> 00:22:33.599
Like, here's the problem.
00:22:33.680 --> 00:22:34.880
I ordered this product on this date.
00:22:34.960 --> 00:22:36.400
It's stuck here at this location.
00:22:36.640 --> 00:22:41.519
Your refund policy since it takes this many days, please ship it and give me a refund.
00:22:42.799 --> 00:22:43.519
Like send it back.
00:22:43.759 --> 00:22:45.519
Would you like me to send the email?
00:22:45.839 --> 00:22:47.680
And I was like, yes, send the email.
00:22:47.759 --> 00:22:49.920
And it sent the email and then the product came.
00:22:50.079 --> 00:22:54.000
And this might, I don't know, you might disagree with me, but it it felt magical.
00:22:54.160 --> 00:23:03.680
The reason it felt magical is that responding to messages, filtering emails, and calendar sorting is maybe one of the more friction parts of my life.
00:23:03.920 --> 00:23:05.759
And email is really hard.
00:23:05.920 --> 00:23:16.960
And I was just thinking about it that that whole interaction, then that email to complain, to get the order number, to complain, to ask for a refund and to ask for them to resend it.
00:23:20.240 --> 00:23:23.200
That email would have taken me like 10 minutes to write, 15 minutes to write.
00:23:23.279 --> 00:23:25.039
That is not an easy email to write.
00:23:25.200 --> 00:23:26.000
It's just not.
00:23:26.079 --> 00:23:28.960
Like a lot of people look at this and you your brain kind of freezes.
00:23:29.039 --> 00:23:31.200
You're like, this is this is a hard email to write.
00:23:31.279 --> 00:23:31.680
I'm sorry.
00:23:31.759 --> 00:23:33.119
This is a difficult email to write.
00:23:33.279 --> 00:23:35.680
And it's just like it just one-shotted it.
00:23:35.920 --> 00:23:39.920
And immediately after using that, I was like, okay, I get it.
00:23:42.160 --> 00:23:43.920
I obviously get it.
00:23:44.079 --> 00:23:44.960
Obviously get it.
00:23:45.039 --> 00:23:51.359
It's like capability of whatever open claw we've had before, but native to your phone and to your life.
00:23:51.519 --> 00:23:58.079
Like it on it, connect to Google, connect to calendar, connect to my email, connect to my Instagram, connect to my Twitter.
00:23:58.240 --> 00:24:01.119
Just connect to everything with the same capabilities you had before.
00:24:01.200 --> 00:24:02.720
And it's just like it's GG.
00:24:02.880 --> 00:24:04.400
If I use it, I'm like, I get it.
00:24:04.640 --> 00:24:08.480
Zuck has actually launched a new app store for agents today, and meta's perfectly placed to crush it.
00:24:08.559 --> 00:24:10.720
You're looking at a multi-trillion dollar opportunity if they pull it off.
00:24:10.799 --> 00:24:16.160
Instead of apps, agents get a quick with connectors, i.e., plugins to any app, service, or software tool.
00:24:16.240 --> 00:24:17.039
This is what I want.
00:24:17.200 --> 00:24:28.799
Like plug into my notion, plug into my notion, plug into my Google Calendar, plug into my Instagram, plug into my eBay, plug into my Xbox Live or whatever, plug into my Steam, plug into everything.
00:24:29.039 --> 00:24:33.200
Suddenly your agent goes from a useless chatbot to an action-oriented helper that gets shit done for you.
00:24:33.279 --> 00:24:36.240
But here's even better Meta's collected all the data about you.
00:24:36.319 --> 00:24:43.440
They know what you want, when you want it, which means they know exactly which connectors to listen to marketplace, how much to charge because they know what customers will pay.
00:24:43.519 --> 00:24:44.799
It's a master class.
00:24:45.359 --> 00:24:54.640
Muse isn't just some generic agent, it's sitting on a treasured trove of data, and meta can build a trillion dollar business opportunity on top of it.
00:24:54.880 --> 00:25:02.799
Plug in everything, plug everything in, plug in everything to connect to my Notion trove mentioned, connect to my Twitter, connect to my group chats.
00:25:02.960 --> 00:25:03.359
It's funny.
00:25:03.519 --> 00:25:09.279
Meta went from having my Instagram and WhatsApp data to now having access to my email, calendar, DoorDash, Amazon, and pretty much everything.
00:25:09.440 --> 00:25:14.720
The last 24 hours it bought me socks, ordered my Whole Foods groceries, booked a cleaning service, and got me a burger for dinner.
00:25:14.960 --> 00:25:20.400
Meta's last disclosed North American Facebook ARPU is around$227 a year, largely from ads.
00:25:20.559 --> 00:25:26.319
I expect it can push that
number significantly higher now that it understands not only what I look at, but what I need, what I buy, what I'm planning to do.
00:25:26.480 --> 00:25:30.960
Also, the much bigger opportunity might be becoming the aggregation layer between me and the entire internet.
00:25:31.279 --> 00:25:38.400
If meta can take even a tiny percentage of the commerce it facilitates, or the money it saves me, this can become enormous.
00:25:38.559 --> 00:25:41.839
It already saved me$200 by canceling subscriptions and services I no longer need it.
00:25:41.920 --> 00:25:44.079
This feels much bigger than better ad targeting.
00:25:44.160 --> 00:25:46.400
Ads are useful, but giving me money back is even better.
00:25:46.640 --> 00:25:50.559
One additional thought the agent is increasingly making the decisions for me.
00:25:50.720 --> 00:25:52.319
I knew nothing about that burger place.
00:25:52.559 --> 00:25:56.880
The agent researched it, told me which burger I should order, and just said okay, without giving it much more thought.
00:25:57.119 --> 00:26:01.200
Agents are becoming decision makers for both business to consumer, business to business, increasingly.
00:26:01.279 --> 00:26:04.079
Every business will be selling not just to humans but to their agents.
00:26:04.240 --> 00:26:04.559
Okay.
00:26:04.799 --> 00:26:14.720
The thing about it is like most people are beyond willing to just give Meta and your agent whatever access to everything because they're gonna make your life significantly easier.
00:26:14.960 --> 00:26:19.920
Like, I am willing to give it everything, it can connect to everything, it can connect to emails.
00:26:20.240 --> 00:26:22.240
I would like to let it connect to my telegram.
00:26:22.400 --> 00:26:24.960
I would like to let it connect to my phone, iMessage.
00:26:25.039 --> 00:26:26.960
I would like to let I would like to let it connect to everything.
00:26:27.119 --> 00:26:28.880
My hyperliquid API.
00:26:29.119 --> 00:26:30.880
Now there's a good side and a bad side of this.
00:26:31.039 --> 00:26:36.799
The good side for them is meta ads might become the most profitable business in the history of the world.
00:26:36.960 --> 00:26:42.799
Like in the history of the world, it's going to give you the most targeted ad campaigns ever.
00:26:42.960 --> 00:26:45.839
Like it knows exactly what you want, dude.
00:26:46.319 --> 00:26:49.599
It knows exactly what you want before you even know you want it.
00:26:49.680 --> 00:26:54.000
Like it is gonna it will know you are gonna buy your whole life off of meta ads.
00:26:54.079 --> 00:26:54.799
Is it right?
00:26:54.880 --> 00:27:04.400
If everyone's using this and it's connected to everything, it's going to be like it's going to be the most profitable business ever.
00:27:04.720 --> 00:27:13.440
The problem is it is purely dystopian and it knows everything about you, and it's like a huge risk factor, especially if it has everything.
00:27:13.519 --> 00:27:26.880
Like this sets up a very uncomfortable, weird precedent where they have all everything, everything you've ever done, said, liked, clicked on, aged with how long you stared at that post.
00:27:26.960 --> 00:27:36.640
Like they know they will know fucking everything about you, and it sets up this pretty brutal privacy vector situation.
00:27:36.960 --> 00:27:44.160
Now, my thought process obviously is that it means Zek is gonna go really high.
00:27:47.359 --> 00:27:48.960
It means Zek is gonna go really high.
00:27:49.119 --> 00:27:50.799
This privacy stuff is gonna go really high.
00:27:51.039 --> 00:28:00.079
But at the same time, I think to myself, like, I'm a Zek buyer and I'm also willing to give Meta my entire life without much restraint.
00:28:00.240 --> 00:28:01.759
Like, I'm kind of just like, take it.
00:28:01.920 --> 00:28:05.680
I'm sort of like thankful that I'm giving it to Meta.
00:28:05.920 --> 00:28:06.960
Like, thank you for taking it.
00:28:07.039 --> 00:28:10.319
I'm saying thank you for stealing my data because I I want the product to be better.
00:28:10.400 --> 00:28:13.119
Like, I'm willing to basically give everything if the product is better.
00:28:13.440 --> 00:28:20.880
So I don't know what's gonna happen, but I would highly recommend everybody go try one of these personal systems out and tell me what you think.
00:28:20.960 --> 00:28:22.640
Tell me if I'm completely off size and wrong.
00:28:22.720 --> 00:28:23.680
Because I don't think I am.
00:28:23.839 --> 00:28:24.799
I don't think I am.
00:28:25.039 --> 00:28:28.000
All right, quick market crypto update.
00:28:28.240 --> 00:28:34.720
Um, first of all, JCal, everybody wants to be a trader, even if they are legendary angel investors.
00:28:35.119 --> 00:28:38.559
The dead cat bounce continues to bounce.
00:28:38.799 --> 00:28:41.759
What is Bitcoin 17 years later?
00:28:42.079 --> 00:28:44.400
It's not great for transactions or smart contracts.
00:28:44.480 --> 00:28:49.119
The user experience is still intimidating for most, and it's no longer capturing the public's imagination.
00:28:49.279 --> 00:28:59.839
Nothing about this user experience is intimidating, but if it comes up at a dinner party, it's followed by a hearty remember that it's a boring store of value, trusting, trusted is that which is its biggest value.
00:28:59.920 --> 00:29:00.640
It's boring.
00:29:00.799 --> 00:29:05.119
Folks expect Bitcoin to be stable, but it's and that it's no longer a way to get rich quick.
00:29:05.440 --> 00:29:10.240
Institutions of bracing and accumulating, it took Bitcoin from punk rock to muzok.
00:29:10.480 --> 00:29:11.359
What is that?
00:29:11.920 --> 00:29:13.119
What does that even mean?
00:29:13.920 --> 00:29:22.240
It's a brand name for recorded background music playing in public spaces like elevators, offices, and stores to create a soothing, unobstructive atmosphere.
00:29:22.480 --> 00:29:23.839
I did not know that had a name.
00:29:23.920 --> 00:29:25.440
I thought it was just like
elevator music.
00:29:25.680 --> 00:29:26.960
Punk rock to muzok.
00:29:27.279 --> 00:29:33.920
Advocates went from pirates to suits and orange ties, awkwardly sharing cringe memes, just like the cool kids do.
00:29:34.240 --> 00:29:38.640
If Bitcoin were going to reach mass adoption in an important use case, it does better than anyone else.
00:29:38.720 --> 00:29:39.759
It would have by now.
00:29:40.000 --> 00:29:49.920
Bitcoin feels like the CD in the age of Shopify or in the age of Spotify, the DVD in the age of Netflix, a bridge technology that folks who invested in their collection keep saying is the better experience.
00:29:50.160 --> 00:29:59.279
Perhaps Bitcoin is vinyl, cool memories and fun to drag out and put on display, but a technology that served us to get us to where we are at now.
00:29:59.680 --> 00:30:06.720
Fun fact, which I also read this, is that Jason's wife bought Bitcoin at$300 and outperformed his Uber investment.
00:30:06.799 --> 00:30:07.359
I did hear that.
00:30:07.440 --> 00:30:10.960
I don't know if that's how true that is, but all right, I have a take for you.
00:30:11.119 --> 00:30:13.039
I have a take, I have a couple takes for you on this.
00:30:13.200 --> 00:30:20.319
Number one is I just like people's expectations short term are way too high and long term are way too low.
00:30:20.480 --> 00:30:22.960
And Bitcoin's worth more than meta, bro.
00:30:23.440 --> 00:30:28.480
It's a 17, it's a 17-year-old asset and vented an asset class.
00:30:29.279 --> 00:30:32.559
And it's it's it's worth like one and a half trillion dollars.
00:30:32.799 --> 00:30:43.759
Like I think people I think people deeply underestimate and underappreciate just how massive Bitcoin has become, how big it is, how massive it's become, right?
00:30:43.839 --> 00:30:46.400
Like a couple X's from here, and it's the most valuable asset.
00:30:46.640 --> 00:30:51.920
Like it's it's more valuable than the most valuable uh public company, has a long way to go to catch gold.
00:30:52.160 --> 00:31:02.799
But I think people again, this is part of my thesis on buying alts right now, is people are deeply underappreciating how reflexive these assets can become.
00:31:03.039 --> 00:31:12.960
Um, and I also think it does serve a very clear purpose in the market right now, which is that the entire US stock market is correlated and betting on AI.
00:31:13.119 --> 00:31:18.160
Everything like the like the GDP of America is like bet on AI succeeding.
00:31:18.319 --> 00:31:19.599
Everything is bet on AI.
00:31:19.759 --> 00:31:24.240
This is what this is one of my thesis theses for Bitcoin a while back.
00:31:24.319 --> 00:31:30.079
It kind of didn't feel like a great one, but it was like it's the the stock market is like a correlation of one right now.
00:31:30.240 --> 00:31:32.160
Everything is a bet on AI, all of it.
00:31:32.480 --> 00:31:37.440
All the mags are, all the memory stuff is, all the neo cloud stuff is the photonic stuff.
00:31:37.599 --> 00:31:39.440
Um, everything has become an AI trade.
00:31:39.519 --> 00:31:41.279
All birds shoes became an AI trade.
00:31:41.359 --> 00:31:47.920
It has like a correlation of one in stocks, and Bitcoin is like the one thing that's not, it's just not, it's not correlated.
00:31:48.400 --> 00:31:51.759
AI went up only, and Bitcoin was just completely chutting it out.
00:31:52.079 --> 00:32:00.880
And so I think the best case scenario for a BTC from here is that 20 like the last couple years were like the lost half decade for Bitcoin.
00:32:00.960 --> 00:32:10.799
Two of King talks about the lost decade, it was like the lost half decade for BTC, and it's over or it's close to over, and the upside becomes really stupid again.
00:32:10.960 --> 00:32:19.200
Because even now it's like you think about people's targets for Bitcoin are like 100k, maybe, maybe 126, new ATH.
00:32:19.440 --> 00:32:23.519
There's no one doing a million, a million BTC again.
00:32:23.680 --> 00:32:26.880
There's no one doing like a couple million BTC like they used to.
00:32:27.039 --> 00:32:34.319
What's the what's the is it Cal lost uh lost decade from Cal XYZ underscore whose thesis is this?
00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:35.200
Yeah, here it is.
00:32:35.359 --> 00:32:39.200
If price sustain is much lower from here, then we are staring at the potential lost decade for crypto.
00:32:39.359 --> 00:32:40.720
Not the most unreasonable thing to imagine.
00:32:40.799 --> 00:32:48.000
AI had multiple lost decades on its road to the present day, and it's an advantage for long-term oriented holders for everyone else.
00:32:48.240 --> 00:32:49.359
Dot dot dot.
00:32:50.160 --> 00:32:51.440
It's a classic tweet.
00:32:51.519 --> 00:32:55.039
Um, because I remember like reading this and feeling fucking scared for my life.
00:32:55.279 --> 00:32:56.240
Pico bottom.
00:32:56.400 --> 00:32:58.000
Basically pico bottom.
00:32:58.319 --> 00:32:59.839
Lost decade is nuts.
00:33:00.079 --> 00:33:04.880
One of the funniest interactions I've seen in a long time is Togi bought MSTR.
00:33:04.960 --> 00:33:06.160
Everyone knows who Toge is, right?
00:33:06.480 --> 00:33:07.920
He's one honestly one of my favorite influencers.
00:33:08.000 --> 00:33:08.559
I think he's hilarious.
00:33:08.799 --> 00:33:17.440
Togi bought MSTR and he started tweeting and was asking, can somebody explain to me why I should own MSTR over Bitcoin?
00:33:17.599 --> 00:33:18.160
Like, why?
00:33:18.319 --> 00:33:22.000
And everyone's like, well, because if Bitcoin goes up, MSTR will go up more.
00:33:22.079 --> 00:33:23.759
And he's like, okay, I know that, but why?
00:33:24.000 --> 00:33:27.200
And like, because you can outperform Bitcoin by by holding MSTR.
00:33:27.279 --> 00:33:28.960
And he's like, okay, I know that, but why?
00:33:29.119 --> 00:33:30.720
Can somebody explain why?
00:33:30.960 --> 00:33:33.920
Explain to me why I should hold it over BTC.
00:33:34.160 --> 00:33:40.960
And after like three days of
interactions, he just had like a full-blown crash out, started cussing everybody out, calling MSTR holders slurs, slurs.
00:33:41.119 --> 00:33:41.759
It was nuts.
00:33:41.920 --> 00:33:46.480
It's like average MSTR holder after one hour of trying to understand why you should hold this.
00:33:46.640 --> 00:33:48.319
And to this day, I don't get it.
00:33:48.480 --> 00:33:49.599
To this day, I don't get it.
00:33:49.759 --> 00:33:50.160
I don't.
00:33:50.319 --> 00:33:54.000
Why does Sailor Bitcoin have a premium over Thread Guy Bitcoin?
00:33:54.079 --> 00:33:54.480
Why?
00:33:54.640 --> 00:33:55.519
Well, I don't get it.
00:33:55.599 --> 00:33:56.079
Why?
00:33:56.240 --> 00:33:59.599
I still to this day do not understand the MSTR thesis.
00:33:59.759 --> 00:34:04.319
And the dad thing is just like to this day, I just don't know why you would hold it.
00:34:04.480 --> 00:34:05.119
Really, I don't.
00:34:05.359 --> 00:34:10.079
Meta to build a new undersea cable connector in the United States and France, capable of carrying one meta bit per second.
00:34:10.159 --> 00:34:13.519
Dude, this meta thing is going to drive me off the fucking wall.
00:34:13.679 --> 00:34:13.920
Wow.
00:34:14.079 --> 00:34:14.719
Look at it go.
00:34:14.880 --> 00:34:15.360
Oh, dude.
00:34:15.519 --> 00:34:16.079
Look at it go.
00:34:16.400 --> 00:34:17.360
Meta 112.
00:34:17.440 --> 00:34:19.360
The GOAT, one of the greatest to ever do it.
00:34:19.599 --> 00:34:21.679
Warren Buffett retired on Friday.
00:34:21.920 --> 00:34:24.800
Warren Buffett, one of one of the greatest to ever do it.
00:34:25.440 --> 00:34:33.599
And I have a sheet in front of me of Berkshire Hathaway return every year versus the SP.
00:34:33.679 --> 00:34:35.280
And it's pretty nuts.
00:34:35.599 --> 00:34:36.719
It's pretty fucking nuts.
00:34:36.880 --> 00:34:37.920
Shout out to the GOAT, man.
00:34:38.000 --> 00:34:43.199
1965, Berkshire, 49.5% versus 10% SP.
00:34:43.360 --> 00:34:44.239
1996.
00:34:44.320 --> 00:34:47.440
He he did underperform 96 and 97 underperformed.
00:34:47.599 --> 00:34:53.760
Back to back.7.
00:34:53.920 --> 00:34:58.239
He was up 13.3 versus 30.9, which is insane.
00:34:58.400 --> 00:35:02.559
What the fuck happened in what happened in 1967, by the way?
00:35:02.800 --> 00:35:10.800
Stock market because the Federal Reserve ease monetary policy to enter a soft landing after mild economic slowdown, triggering a massive speculative wave during the go go years.
00:35:10.960 --> 00:35:12.239
The great 67.
00:35:12.400 --> 00:35:15.760
Biggest stock gainers of 1967 was what?
00:35:16.079 --> 00:35:19.599
McDonald's returned 194%.
00:35:20.800 --> 00:35:25.760
IBM, Johnson Johnson, Xerox, Coca-Cola, Walt Disney, and HP.
00:35:25.920 --> 00:35:27.360
That is fucking nuts.
00:35:27.599 --> 00:35:33.360
68, he returned 77% against 11.
00:35:33.599 --> 00:35:35.760
19 and 90 in 69.
00:35:35.920 --> 00:35:42.159
He beat it in 70, crushed it in 71, 80.5, underperformed 72, 8.1 versus 19.
00:35:42.400 --> 00:35:45.679
73 again, underperformed 2.5 versus 15.
00:35:45.920 --> 00:35:47.599
That's a couple misses back to back.
00:35:47.760 --> 00:35:51.280
In 74, he returned to 50% against 26.
00:35:51.440 --> 00:35:52.880
75, he also got crushed.
00:35:52.960 --> 00:35:54.559
2.5 versus 37.2.
00:35:54.639 --> 00:35:55.840
What happened in 75?
00:35:56.239 --> 00:35:59.679
Biggest stock gainer in 1975.
00:36:00.320 --> 00:36:00.960
Target.
00:36:01.280 --> 00:36:02.960
Target lazy boy.
00:36:03.119 --> 00:36:04.960
Trinity Industries Coca-Cola.
00:36:05.119 --> 00:36:06.639
Yes, and Walmart.
00:36:06.880 --> 00:36:11.599
Imagine giving these brothers the A AI and oh, those are those are red.
00:36:11.679 --> 00:36:12.639
Am I fucked that up?
00:36:12.719 --> 00:36:13.840
Parthes is red.
00:36:14.239 --> 00:36:15.199
Oh, you're right.
00:36:15.440 --> 00:36:18.639
Wait, he lost 48% in 74?
00:36:18.800 --> 00:36:19.599
You're right, actually.
00:36:19.760 --> 00:36:22.480
He lost 48% of the entire company fund.
00:36:22.800 --> 00:36:24.719
He lost oh, I didn't really realize that actually.
00:36:24.800 --> 00:36:25.119
My bad.
00:36:25.199 --> 00:36:25.840
There's a couple of these.
00:36:25.920 --> 00:36:27.920
Okay, so he giga outperformed some of these years.
00:36:28.000 --> 00:36:29.280
He underperformed this in 70.
00:36:29.519 --> 00:36:31.360
He was on 48.7%.
00:36:32.719 --> 00:36:35.119
Buffett fund in what the hell?
00:36:35.280 --> 00:36:36.320
In 74.
00:36:36.559 --> 00:36:38.239
Brothers, if you're down, don't worry.
00:36:38.480 --> 00:36:39.599
Severe bear market.
00:36:39.760 --> 00:36:40.480
Holy shit.
00:36:40.639 --> 00:36:42.480
His own net worth fell 50%.
00:36:42.960 --> 00:36:43.599
Famous quote.
00:36:43.679 --> 00:36:48.480
He told Forbes he felt like an oversexed guy in a whorehouse regarding cheap stock valuations.
00:36:48.559 --> 00:36:51.440
He actively bought shares of undervalued companies like the Washington Post.
00:36:51.599 --> 00:36:51.920
Wow.
00:36:52.079 --> 00:36:55.119
Okay, he was he lost 50% of watch this, watch this.
00:36:55.360 --> 00:36:55.920
Okay, watch this.
00:36:56.239 --> 00:36:57.519
Here's a comeback story for you.
00:36:57.679 --> 00:37:01.679
He loses 58% of his fund, 48% of his fund versus 26.
00:37:02.079 --> 00:37:07.440
The next year, he returns 2.5% against 37% of the SP.
00:37:07.599 --> 00:37:10.880
And he's like, they're probably like, this is the worst trader of all time.
00:37:11.280 --> 00:37:24.960
And then the next year, he returns 130% against 23, then 47% against minus 7.4, then 15 against 6.4, then 102 versus 18.
00:37:25.199 --> 00:37:25.840
Jenny.
00:37:26.000 --> 00:37:27.920
Then he goes 32 against 32.
00:37:28.000 --> 00:37:35.199
And then he goes 31.8 against minus 5, 38 versus 21, 69 versus 22.
00:37:35.440 --> 00:37:36.239
Sun run.
00:37:36.639 --> 00:37:37.440
Sun run.
00:37:37.760 --> 00:37:38.239
84.
00:37:38.320 --> 00:37:39.039
He had a
rough year.
00:37:39.119 --> 00:37:40.639
Minus 2.7 against 6.1.
00:37:40.719 --> 00:37:43.920
Then he goes 93.7 against 31.
00:37:44.079 --> 00:37:48.480
And 87, the Black Monday, 4.6 against 5.
00:37:48.639 --> 00:37:52.719
Then he goes 59 versus 16, 84 versus 31.
00:37:52.800 --> 00:37:55.280
Then he loses 23% of the entire fund against 3%.
00:37:55.760 --> 00:38:03.280
Next year, Binks 35.6 against 30, 30 versus 7, 39 versus 10, and 25 versus 1.
00:38:03.519 --> 00:38:07.360
1977, dude he did 47 against minus 7.
00:38:07.519 --> 00:38:09.679
Wait, 1997 is when he left his wife.
00:38:09.840 --> 00:38:11.440
Warren Buffett leaves.
00:38:11.840 --> 00:38:22.719
Wow, his brother, his wife left him in 1977, and he returned 47% while the SP did minus 7.4.
00:38:22.800 --> 00:38:27.679
Is the best year of his career when his bitch wife stopped looking over his fun trades?
00:38:27.920 --> 00:38:28.400
Wow.
00:38:28.639 --> 00:38:31.360
He got a divorce and had the best year of his career.
00:38:31.519 --> 00:38:33.039
Lesson in there somewhere.
00:38:33.199 --> 00:38:37.280
Okay, then he does 57 against 37, 6 against 23.
00:38:37.440 --> 00:38:37.920
Bad year.
00:38:38.079 --> 00:38:42.079
Followed up by 35 against 35, 52 versus 28.
00:38:42.239 --> 00:38:44.400
He was not much of a dot-com trader, by the way.
00:38:44.639 --> 00:38:45.599
Minus 20.
00:38:45.920 --> 00:38:46.400
This is rough.
00:38:46.480 --> 00:38:47.199
99.
00:38:47.760 --> 00:38:50.800
He went minus 20 while the SP did 21%.
00:38:51.440 --> 00:38:53.119
That's a rough year.
00:38:53.440 --> 00:38:54.719
Now he's kind of cooked.
00:38:54.880 --> 00:38:57.039
He did 20, but then he bounced back the next year.
00:38:57.199 --> 00:38:59.280
Plus 27 against minus 9.
00:38:59.440 --> 00:39:01.440
Plus 6 against minus 12.
00:39:01.679 --> 00:39:03.920
Minus 3.8 against minus 22.
00:39:04.159 --> 00:39:05.760
Plus 16 against plus 29.
00:39:05.920 --> 00:39:07.039
Plus 4 against plus 10.
00:39:07.280 --> 00:39:09.119
Last versus plus 5.
00:39:09.760 --> 00:39:14.079
He lost 31 in 228 in 2008 against minus 37.
00:39:14.159 --> 00:39:15.599
Well, that's P went down to 37%.
00:39:16.159 --> 00:39:19.440
Next year, he bounced back plus 2.7 while SP to 27.
00:39:19.679 --> 00:39:20.719
Anything else crazy?
00:39:21.360 --> 00:39:24.400
2015 he was minus 13 while the SP was plus one.
00:39:24.800 --> 00:39:27.119
2022, he was plus four against minus 18.
00:39:27.440 --> 00:39:30.400
25, he was plus 11 versus plus 18.
00:39:31.119 --> 00:39:31.519
Damn it.
00:39:31.599 --> 00:39:33.360
He's kind of been ass the last decade.
00:39:33.519 --> 00:39:36.000
He kind of had an ass closure here.
00:39:36.159 --> 00:39:36.880
Not gonna lie.
00:39:37.039 --> 00:39:38.159
Like pretty underwhelming.
00:39:38.400 --> 00:39:39.760
Fell off the 2000s bad.
00:39:40.000 --> 00:39:43.119
Pretty much the Buffett Heyday was like these years.
00:39:43.440 --> 00:39:54.639
He had one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight of like from from 76 to 83, he was like the greatest of all time.
00:39:54.800 --> 00:39:59.440
And then he did it again in like yeah, 70s and 80s, he was that dude.
00:39:59.679 --> 00:40:03.280
When was insider trading made illegal?
00:40:03.599 --> 00:40:04.320
Can't find it.
00:40:04.559 --> 00:40:06.000
Oh, yeah, in the year 2000.
00:40:06.239 --> 00:40:10.719
Established strict ethical boundaries regarding insider and trading, how corn corporate information is shared with the public.
00:40:10.960 --> 00:40:12.559
And he like never had a green year again.
00:40:13.039 --> 00:40:13.599
2000.
00:40:13.840 --> 00:40:34.000
Red, red, red, red, red, green, green, red, red, green, red, red, barely green, barely green, green, red, green, red, red, green, red, super red, barely green, red, red, barely green, red.
00:40:34.400 --> 00:40:34.960
Damn.
00:40:35.119 --> 00:40:37.599
It's like John Jones before steroids were banned.
00:40:37.840 --> 00:40:38.320
Fuck.
00:40:38.559 --> 00:40:40.960
You told me my GOAT was just inside our trading.
00:40:41.199 --> 00:40:41.679
Sheesh.
00:40:42.400 --> 00:40:47.679
And if you are new here and you liked what you saw because you should, I'm live every morning at 8:30 a.m.
00:40:48.000 --> 00:40:49.360
S Monday through Friday.
00:40:49.440 --> 00:40:51.920
No skips, no misses, no nothing, bro.
00:40:52.079 --> 00:40:52.800
No nothing.
00:40:53.039 --> 00:40:55.760
No nothing but fucking three hour streams every day.
00:40:55.840 --> 00:40:56.559
I love you.
00:40:56.719 --> 00:40:57.519
I appreciate you.
00:40:57.679 --> 00:40:58.239
I'm leaving.
00:40:58.320 --> 00:40:59.280
I got a lot to do today.
00:40:59.360 --> 00:41:00.639
I'm gonna go hit legs at the gym.
00:41:00.719 --> 00:41:04.239
I'm gonna read my book and we are going to make some fucking money.
00:41:04.400 --> 00:41:05.039
I appreciate you so much.
00:41:05.199 --> 00:41:06.239
8 30 AM EST.
00:41:06.320 --> 00:41:07.119
I'll be here tomorrow.
00:41:07.199 --> 00:41:08.159
I'll see you tomorrow.
00:41:08.320 --> 00:41:09.119
All platforms.
00:41:09.199 --> 00:41:09.679
I love you.
00:41:09.840 --> 00:41:10.480
I'm out.